Posted by: too scents | Mar 13 2022 15:38 utc | 3
He was killed in area controlled by Ukraine and according to a witness report relayed on Telegram he was shot through the eye. Not sure that this is how you die from large scale shelling from Russian infantry. It is how you die from automatic rifle fire at close or medium range.

Posted by: Wj | Mar 13 2022 15:42 utc | 4

Posted by: Wj | Mar 13 2022 15:42 utc | 4
Imagine how obvious a fact must be before the NYT doesn’t deny it.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 13 2022 15:50 utc | 6

Soliciting barfly opinions of Kenya’s UN Ambassador Martin Kimani’s Feb 21 “powerful” speech. The former counterterrorism director argues that post-colonial Africa “wisely” didn’t seek to redraw its national boundaries.
Is this really relevant to the DLPR?
In 1990-2007 Africa had 88 times more conflict deaths than the entire Western Hemisphere. Could that perhaps have been mitigated by making work for cartographers?
https://www.globalissues.org/article/84/conflicts-in-africa-introduction
Is Kimani’s argument attractive to some people because it promotes forgiveness and unaccountability for the West?
Amazing that the republics’ “declaration of independence” has no resonance even in America.

Posted by: Question | Mar 13 2022 16:09 utc | 8

@ dh | Mar 13 2022 15:59 utc | 7……. i guess those folks in keiv are making good use of the guns the gov’t handed out to anyone earlier…

Posted by: james | Mar 13 2022 16:17 utc | 10

@10 Something strange about that incident for sure james. It might be hard to blame that one on the Russians.

Posted by: dh | Mar 13 2022 16:26 utc | 12

The US *really* does not want to see Kiev fall. Some factions within US government are willing to risk WW3 in order to prevent this.
Posted by: WJ | Mar 13 2022 15:34 utc | 2
I’ve said this from the beginning and I will repeat it: some parts of the US “government” will NOT accept Kiev or Ukraine to fall; they will involve NATO or risk WW3 before that is happening. Other parts of the US government don’t care about Ukraine and will be happy as long as they can crush Russia.

Posted by: zet | Mar 13 2022 16:27 utc | 14

@ 11 quote ” US has stolen 300 billion from Russia and will never give it back. ”
@ 13 quote “western investors hold close to 300 billion worth of Russian bonds.”
seems like a straight trade to me….

Posted by: james | Mar 13 2022 16:29 utc | 16

@ kim | Mar 13 2022 16:34 utc | 17… did they do this with the boeing 737 maxs too?? bermuda – usa colony…

Posted by: james | Mar 13 2022 16:44 utc | 18

dh | Mar 13 2022 15:59 utc | 7
I watched a bit f BBC propaganda video the other day. Nazi’s showing the ‘journalist’ dead russians in the snow and how easy it was to shoot them. lots of uniforms but all uniforms were face down… then he shows some civilian, a real one who had bee walking with backs to the Russian lines. The nazi explained how the civilian had got to close to the Russian lines and the evil Russians shot him. How the evil Russians shot him in the back was not explained.
Now the same propaganda merchants are becoming source material for their own propaganda. let the bastards provide their own bodies for their snuff propaganda. It makes for a good laugh.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 13 2022 16:44 utc | 20

Looks like today is shaping up to be quite momentous, let’s hope for the better.
Russian missile strike on Ukrainian base 10 miles from Polish border used to assemble weapons shipped in from the US and Co. led to Jake Sullivan issuing the first explicit threat of NATO involvement.
Meanwhile, in the Middle East, Iran claimed responsibility for a precision missile strike on a Mossad base in Erbil, Iraq.
Will anyone in the “West” start the necessary climb-down?

Posted by: expat | Mar 13 2022 16:49 utc | 22

US will convince itself that it must act. This is the usual course I think. Biden is tosser although he hopes that war will save his butt.
Russia needs a draft. The absence of conventional capability leads to escalation. Way things are going, there be missiles landing in Russia soon. This becomes less likely if Russia is prepared.

Posted by: jared | Mar 13 2022 16:59 utc | 24

Posted by: expat | Mar 13 2022 16:49 utc | 22
That’ll happen when the petrol riot starts. The increased fuel cost is already making the entire western logistical chain unsustainable.
They can subsidize or reduce fuel tax in the short term, but again it’s not sustainable and it will continues to play into Russia’s hand. Ka-ching….
I read small and medium businesses in Germany (big biz will be counting on govt bailouts as usual) are telegraphing wholesale bankruptcies in the coming months. Any truth to it b?

Posted by: A.L. | Mar 13 2022 17:04 utc | 26

@Deplorable Commissar #11
Re: Venezuela
Why wouldn’t Venezuela sell oil to the US? After it gets its “frozen” and/or confiscated gold and bank reserves and bank accounts back…
Re: CBR reserves, Russian government and individual assets
That which is stolen (oligarch assets) is going to get litigated in Western courts for a long long time.
That which is frozen isn’t “gone” yet, but could be. And the same can be said for the wide range of US and EU assets in Russia ranging from manufacturing plants to patents to civilian jets to stakes in Russian companies, etc etc.
This isn’t a finished story by a long shot.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:05 utc | 28

@ jared | Mar 13 2022 16:59 utc | 24
never underestimate the stupidity of the usa leadership is what you are basically saying, i think…. i agree with that… pretty sure russia already knows that..

Posted by: james | Mar 13 2022 17:07 utc | 30

Europe opening the door to the refugees from Ukraine may badly backfire.
https://journal-neo.org/2022/03/13/number-of-extremists-and-neo-nazis-in-europe-will-increase-at-ukraine-s-expense/

Posted by: OldMike | Mar 13 2022 17:09 utc | 32

Correspondent “The New York Times” Rene Brent died during the fighting in Irpin. Another journalist was wounded.
Telegram post with picture of his body and photos of his us passport and New York Times correspondent press card.

Posted by: Kim | Mar 13 2022 17:15 utc | 34

Ukrainian PfP Training Centre – NATO
https://www.nato.int/structur/nmlo/links/yavoriv-training-centre.pdf
NATO Partnership Training and Education Centres Info
https://www.act.nato.int/ptecs
Related reading …
History of Polish town of Jaworów (today’s Yavoriv)
The trials of Dutchman Pieter Menten and war crimes in Lwów, Galicia (Poland)
Very well acquainted with the trial and his defense lawyer Van Heijningen. An investigative journalist Hans Knoop traced the history of the massacre and Menten’s involvement.

Posted by: Oui | Mar 13 2022 17:25 utc | 36

IMO, many around the globe are wishing for that very scenario.
Posted by: vetinLA | Mar 13 2022 17:06 utc | 29
My only hope is that Russia, China and friends can engineer a softish landing as i believe the “old world order” might prefer the samson option than to retire gracefully into the pages of history.
…unless there’re pitchforks on the street and politicians on lampposts.
Sadly given the orwell-esq brainwashing that’s been going on for decades i can’t see the sheeples fire up their 2 neurons to see what’s really going on.

Posted by: A.L. | Mar 13 2022 17:26 utc | 38

Ukraine resolution scenarios
I have been thinking about this for some time: what are some of the scenarios by which the Russian “military police operation” in Ukraine conclude?
I see it in several broad terms:
1) Some return to status quo after “de-Nazification”.
1a) This is basically federalization: making official the Minsk Accords. I see this as highly unlikely given what has now happened.
1b) Some kind of UN peacekeeping permanent setup with US/EU and Russian monitored regions. This keeps Ukraine intact (minus Crimea) but is the end of Ukrainian sovereignty for the foreseeable future. I see this as unlikely given US/EU rhetoric to date.
1c) Some kind of UN peacekeeping permanent setup 3rd party monitoring. Chinese and other nations forces monitoring regions. This keeps Ukraine intact (minus Crimea) but is the end of Ukrainian sovereignty for the foreseeable future. Maybe but highly depends on whether China/3rd parties are willing/able to do so, and of course if the EU/US will accept it.
1d) A negotiated end: Ukraine constitution changes and appropriate guarantees to Russia as accepted by the Ukrainian government. I see this as extremely low chance given the golden parachutes certainly in hand by said leadership plus the extremist’s anyone they see as wavering.
2) Division of Ukraine
2a) Donetsk and Lugansk only – highly unlikely given what has now happened
2b) Along the Dniepr river including splitting Kiev a la Berlin in 1945. Pretty unlikely given the facts on the ground plus there’s no reason for Russia to let Ukraine keep a Black Sea port. I don’t see this as likely because there aren’t approaching NATO divisions as with the US/UK in 1945 plus it doesn’t resolve Russia’s strategic concerns in Ukraine.
2c) Along the Dniepr river but cutting diagonally from Cherkasy to the Moldovan border. No Black Sea port, no Black Sea gas. Solves Russia’s strategic issues with Ukraine but won’t help assuage angry US/EU.
3) Full occupation by Russia of some sort
3a) The full boot on Ukraine’s neck: highly unlikely. Too much opportunity for Western fuckery via arming Ukrainian radicals.
3b) Some version of pre 2/24 Donetsk/Lugansk, Transnistria/South Ossetia but with at least some active resistance.
4) unilateral withdrawal – i.e. defeat. I see this as being 0% chance; certainly in the short term.
Comments? Criticisms? Expansions? Corrections?

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:31 utc | 40

Deplorable Commissar | Mar 13 2022 16:18 utc | 11
Can someone explain these developments to me ?

1) After all the US has done to Venezuela ? Seriously ? Why would Venezuela even talk to the US dogs ?
– Venezuela is Russia’s ally, but is ready to sell oil to US – minister –
MSM reported – Reuters, Wapo, WSJ, Bloomberg, FT, and NBC among them.
However, in deep embarrassment at mid-week, 2nd VP Jen Psaki stated “the US was not engaged with Venezuela in discussing oil purchase.”
Oh and the US appointed interim president Guaido was not consulted prior to the US delegation’s visit.
Perhaps the opening question was about the Venezuelan gold; stolen by the UK on behalf of the US. Loooong gone. Leased out to the City. Can’t be located.
Russia and China are Maduro’s lifelines.
Not surprised. Reuters reported:
U.S., Venezuela discuss easing sanctions, make little progress: sources,
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-venezuela-discuss-easing-sanctions-make-little-progress-sources-2022-03-06/
the takeaway in article:

“Yes, Maduro is anxious for sanctions relief. No, he is not interested in shifting alliances..[.]

Sanctions = burnt bridges.

Posted by: Likklemore | Mar 13 2022 17:33 utc | 42

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:31 utc | 40
—
Both Putin and Lavrov have been hammering on rolling back NATO to pre-Clinton enlargement.
Maybe you should consider the current action in Ukraine as only a coincidence of meeting that goal.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 13 2022 17:40 utc | 44

Gilbert Doctorow sees a false flag chemical attack coming: “Warning: it is “highly likely” the United States is now about to carry out a ‘false flag’ operation in Ukraine in which it will accuse the Russians of using chemical weapons
“Unfortunately, it appears the Biden Administration does not listen closely to the President, or simply ignores him at times….” https://gilbertdoctorow.com/
Re Venezuela The US is just attempting to provoke another coup, from inside the country by rich compradors who could make a fortune out of renewed trade. As to random Guiado there are plenty more where he came from. And where he is going-Miami.
This will test the highly developed sophistry of London Judges however- how top justify stealing the gold reserves of a government the boss in Washington recognises as the legitimate and de facto power.

Posted by: bevin | Mar 13 2022 17:54 utc | 46

A comment I placed over at Saker’s Vineyard
…………………………………….
Andrei, I think the “popular” support for the war against Russia is overstated in western media.
I am on a work assignment in a northwestern city in the US, a city I used to live in; yesterday, I saw two people standing catty-corner at a relatively low volume intersection with homemade looking “F*** Russia / support Ukraine” signs. I was stopped at the light and observed about one in ten cars honking in support. I pulled through and parked and lowered my window and observing through my rear view window, confirmed my count.
The “hippie-looking” mid-aged woman on my side of the street walked over to my truck and asked me what I was doing; I answered truthfully and asked “did she, or any of her living relatives serve in the military”? “Why did I want to know that” she asked as I noticed her BLM tee-shirt? I mentioned, “it might be relevant when advocating war…I take it the answer is no”? She looked at me blankly and said “you don’t seem Russian”. “I’m not” I replied, “but, I have served in the US Army, read history, can read a map, know a thing or two about logistics and stupid wars”. Then this “hippie-looking” mid-aged woman went into a rage calling me a traitor for holding a view contrary to her media bestowed narrative. I rolled-up my window and merged back into traffic with a raging woman in my mirror.
No Andrei, not everybody in the US is as nutty as our “leaders” but when I see a “hippie-looking” mid-aged woman advocating war I must admit, we have crossed into unknown territory and I am at a loss as to where this trail leads.

Posted by: S Brennan | Mar 13 2022 18:15 utc | 48

A Ukraine-based videogame developer company recently added an overlay on their website, https://www.gsc-game.com/index.htm?lang=ru, including a version in Russian, in which it asks all the visitors to donate money for Ukrainian cause. The first account number in the list of possible donation targets is, allegedly, for the Ukrainian army, and the small addendum after it states that money transfers to that account can be made from anywhere in the world. For anyone in Russia to follow that direction and to donate money to Ukraine this way is a sure way to get prison time, because funding an army of a country that your own country is in active military conflict with – that’s a textbook definition of treason.
When GSC Game World was asked to amend the message to mention that fact, since the majority of its fanbase is in CIS countries generally and in Russia specifically, GSC Game World refused to do so. As of this moment the message on their website remains unchanged.

Posted by: Dropper | Mar 13 2022 18:23 utc | 50

@c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:31 utc | 40
How about a line through Zhytomyr / Vinnytsia extended to the borders of Belarus and Moldova? That would put Kiev well within the eastern part.

Posted by: Norwegian | Mar 13 2022 18:29 utc | 52

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 18:40 utc | 53
Why would someone who supports Russia not be pissed off that 300 billion dollars were left where they could easily be stolen? Instead of being used to buy whatever, gold, silver, copper, machinery? Go fuck yourself, and keep your dumb accusations to yourself.

Posted by: Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 18:45 utc | 54

And how could China etc engineer a softer landing for Americans and Europeans – when it is American and European leaders responsible for the break?
Posted by: c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:33 utc | 43
It can start by shipping them a bunch of push bikes.

Posted by: A.L. | Mar 13 2022 18:48 utc | 56

@ Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 18:45 utc | 54 who seems offended by me calling them out for their lack of context.
LOL!

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 18:55 utc | 58

British press claims the American reporter was shot by the “Russians”. This will likely be quietly revised.
Anecdotally, I am on a discussion list with reasonably intelligent and geopolitically aware (if US-centric) Americans and they are completely hysterical over Ukraine. Along with the surge of “cancellations” of musicians and dead writers etc, this seems similar to the mass hysterias seen during events like WW1 – which in hindsight seemed completely crazy and not replicable…but they are indeed replicable. A false flag event could right now be the most obvious fraud but public emotions would steamroll…The US/EU political leadership has clearly decided that “Putin must be seen to fail” and this will work against release valves toning down manufactured hysterics or even negotiations seeking resolution.
To the people mentioned above, I haver pointed out that reasonable negotiation over security architecture could have and should have been engaged following the Burns memo (Feb 2008) which spelled out the Russian red lines to the highest levels of US national security leadership. Instead: Neo-con directed provocations. This thinking is currently being dismissed in US liberal circles via a New Yorker Magazine interview with a “Russia expert” who argues that realists such as Mearshimer fail to account for an essentialist reading which basically argues that Russian DNA is inherently and unchangeably bent on domination and imperialism. What load of bollocks, but this is what people want to believe these days.

Posted by: jayc | Mar 13 2022 19:02 utc | 60

https://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/ausland/id_91759336/alina-lipp-auf-telegramm-das-ist-putins-deutsche-infokriegerin-.html
@All: what a surprise! I was able to find „Texas” Russsell. But it is the usual „Schmierlappenstück“, straightout propaganda.

Posted by: Hausmeister | Mar 13 2022 19:08 utc | 62

” Posted by: vetinLA | Mar 13 2022 17:06 utc | 29
My only hope is that Russia, China and friends can engineer a softish landing as i believe the “old world order” might prefer the samson option than to retire gracefully into the pages of history. ”
Why ?? So that the oligarchs of the West retain all their wealth and influence ? To preserve the current usury based central banking system ? To maintain the Zio infiltrated corrupt institutions of the world ( i.e. UN, WHO, WEF, AND SO FORTH )?
No, I say let it all burn down so that humanity can start over under new paradigms. The decrepit, evil, order is coming to an end. Its time to dispatch to hell where it belongs.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Mar 13 2022 19:10 utc | 64

Posted by: circumspect | Mar 13 2022 18:54 utc | 57
Obviously Russians are polite and respectful, but isn’t it a bit cynical now that Azov Battalion is nearly whipped out in Mariupol and Ukrainian forces surrounded in Donbas and Kiev almost completely surrounded. I guess probably nothing but an unconditional surrender will do now. They might put some irrelevant items in the documents just to make Ukrainians feel better.

Posted by: Milos | Mar 13 2022 19:14 utc | 66

No, I say let it all burn down so that humanity can start over under new paradigms….
Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Mar 13 2022 19:10 utc | 64
I’m not disagreeing. I just wouldn’t want nuclear winter for my children

Posted by: A.L. | Mar 13 2022 19:25 utc | 68

@ Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 19:12 utc | 65 who still fails at context
The amount at stake is probably the minimum foreign exchange money necessary to keep playing the existing global private money mafia game.
Read the nickel/China part of the comment by Stonebird | Mar 13 2022 19:09 utc | 63 and my comments about the LME pause on nickel trading…..this next week, IMO, you will read scary number in the trillions at stake here and there…..FEAR!!!!!
You are taking one part of a very complex form of civilization war and trying to make into a big thing when is is just part of playing the shit show game until it stops and then the losers are forced to make good on their perfidy.
Where is your huffing and puffing about the private oligarchs abuse of Ukraine natural resources? Pick something else to show us your propaganda chops.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 19:26 utc | 70

currently unable to access the remarkable videos at this link, posted earlier:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1500175827161554946.html/

Posted by: rjb1.5 | Mar 13 2022 19:29 utc | 72

S Brennan @48 <-- I think this poster is correct. We saw a surge of stupidity in America at the start of the war, as can be expected when the Mockingbird mass media cranks up the jingoism to 11, but the lust for war seems to be decaying quickly. Much more quickly than any previous war that I can remember, that's for sure. Furthermore, Biden's popularity war bump was only a few percentage points and already seems to be waning. Sure, Twatter and Farcebook users seem overwhelmingly bound to the official narrative about the Ukraine, but how much of that is because anyone with an opposing view is banned, shadow banned, or otherwise silenced? Despite how shrill and loud the western propaganda is, I get the feeling that it is not as effective as it was in previous conflicts.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 13 2022 19:33 utc | 74

The president of Serbia wished had done a deal at the time.
“Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic says he regrets his November decision to scrap the gas deal offered by Russian President Vladimir Putin. The comment comes amid the energy crunch Europe has been struggling with over recent months.
According to Vucic, the price of $400 per thousand cubic meters offered by Russia didn’t seem good for Serbia back then, but soaring gas prices in the region are forcing the Serbian authorities to revise their energy policy.
“During talks with [Russian President Vladimir] Putin, I didn’t want to settle for a gas price of $400 per 1,000 cubic meters,” Vucic said in an interview with local channel TV Pink, adding that now he would sign such a contract “with both hands.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Mar 13 2022 19:45 utc | 76

@ c1ue | Mar 13 2022 17:31 utc | 40
Well, that’s pretty bleak. You don’t seem to say which outcome you consider most likely. For what it is worth, I would favor 1d, a negotiated settlement where the Ukrainian government gave in to Russia’s security demands. But I understand why you see that as unlikely.
My candidate for the most likely outcome is 5) full-on nuclear apocalypse, because of the stupidity and arrogant stubbornness of the US leadership, and because anyone suggesting moderation can be immediately accused to surrenderism. Here, one wants to cite Herman Goering’s comments in 1946 to Gustave Gilbert about how easy it is to stampede the people into war, as well as Thucydides on the revolt in Corcyra in 427 BC.
As for the exact nature of the nuclear apocalypse, perhaps it would not annihilate every human being, but the damage it would cause would nonetheless not permit any of the current institutions to remain standing, including the exist social class structure, nor could its perpetrators possibly live in the pleasant ways they had previously been accustomed to. In other words, they too would pay a price for their crimes.
It seems to me that the whole issue is that Russia has revolted against US hegemony by refusing to submit to “full spectrum dominance” and the US elite are in a frenzy over that, as well as the incipient revolt to their own citizens against the exploitative systems they live under. Because both Russia and the US possess the Great Equalizer of thousands of atomic weapons, the situation is very dangerous, because both see it as an existential matter. While the US has had no moral right to any of its murderous and criminal behavior as an imperial power, the thing that counts now is only that it also has no pragmatic, expedient “right” to claim “full spectrum dominance,” because Russia has the Great Equalizer too, so that ends the matter. The only way out then is negotiation, but it seems our elite would rather kill the planet and ruin themselves than submit to the least iota of dimunition of their power.

Posted by: Cabe | Mar 13 2022 19:48 utc | 78

Posted by: Cyberhorse | Mar 13 2022 19:40 utc | 75
Yes, that has occurred to me, and others have suggested it. If there is anything good to come out of it, it is certainly the massive uncertainty that this creates. We’ve seen the Saudis come out and publicly state that they’re considering “moving investments away from the US”, and there was even an article in the Asia Times about the Bank of Japan fretting over the possibility that China, Saudi Arabia and others would begin dumping dollar and euro holdings (the Japanese would obviously never, as loyal lapdogs of the US, make such an initiative themselves). Also, I recommend reading Zoltan Poszar’s note “Bretton Woods III” on this subject. It is available for free online but I can’t find the link at the moment.
However, 300 billion dollars – half of the total reserves – is a bit excessive to leave for the West to grab. The same point would have been made with the West confiscating a lot less than that. Very few countries have anywhere close to 300 billion dollars in forex reserves to worry about. And also, I really don’t think there is much besides Q-style “plan trusting” that suggests this was intentional on the part of the Russians. Again, the fact that Siluanov confirmed effectively that there was no change in the allocation of foreign exchange reserves from June 2021 to Febuary 2022 speaks volumes. There doesn’t seem to have been much planning or thought going into this at all.

Posted by: Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 19:59 utc | 80

some of this analysis has value, but aren’t we still falling for the lead story trap?
the powers that be wanted us to tunnel vision on covid.
they want us to tunnel vision on ukraine.

Posted by: Rae | Mar 13 2022 20:01 utc | 82

@ Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 19:45 utc | 77 who continues to state
”
This is about a massive strategic error on the part of Russia, why it occurred and what needs to be done to avoid similar errors in the future.
”
Did you read Cyberhorse | Mar 13 2022 19:40 utc | 75?
Please explain how any amount of fiat Reserve Currency money is strategic for Russia at this time. The 300 billion is a number and many numbers will be written about the global world of finance in the next few weeks but I posit that it is a inconsequential number in the process of birthing an alternative to the Bretton Woods system.
Tell us of this strategic context because I and others seem to not see it.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 20:05 utc | 84

Posted by: kim | Mar 13 2022 16:34 utc | 17

More than 700 Russian Aircraft have had their airworthiness certification revoked by Bermuda authority.
“>https://avia-pro.net/news/bolee-700-samolyotov-rossiyskih-aviakompaniy-priznany-neprigodnymi-k-polyotam

CAN RUSSIA FLY AFTER WESTERN SANCTIONS?
(This is a short note I wrote to my late friend Jon Hellevig four years ago, on March 12, 2018. Russia wasted these four years and now has about one month to put this plan into operation.)
The Russian aviation authorities should start issuing type certificates to all Western aircraft operating in Russia. This would make it possible to replace the Western parts with analog Russian parts.
When the embargo and subsequent sanctions strike, all Russian aircraft will be banned. Spare parts are no longer available from the West and Western companies refuse to certify maintenance performed in Russia.
Re-certification of a whole airplane design can be difficult for Russia without the original drawings. But it may be possible to issue a supplemental type certificate for a variant in which some part has been replaced by a corresponding Russian-made part.
During the Soviet era, Russian passenger planes had no difficulty flying to the West. Soviet type certificates were approved by the Western aviation authorities.
The methods of current economic warfare are to exclude Russia from international organizations such as IATA, or perhaps ICAO.

Empty sky: what damage do the Western sanctions cause to Russian aviation – Profile.ru, March 4, 2022
On February 25, the EU leadership banned “the sale and export of any aircraft, spare parts for them, equipment for their maintenance, as well as the provision of services for their repair, maintenance and leasing.” If the sanctions on joint projects (European companies participate in the Sukhoi Superjet 100 and MS-21 programs) were generally expected, as was the ban on the sale of new aircraft, then the ban on servicing the existing fleet and supplying spare parts is absolutely monstrous.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Mar 13 2022 20:10 utc | 86

Rae | Mar 13 2022 20:01 utc | 82
most of us have 2 eyes. chew gum and walk. stuff like that. the people responding to the covid virus are not different people than those enflaming Ukraine. the people allowing the british NHS to collapse. the people crushing the US education system. the people dumping opioids and meth all over the populace. the people, like Norwegian, who live in a constant state of denial that anything could interrupt their capitalist fairy tales. stuff like the laws of physics. try telling the commenters around here that gasoline is a poison and will never be anything else. “but it makes my machines go boom!” that’s all they need to know.

Posted by: rjb1.5 | Mar 13 2022 20:14 utc | 88

@ Likklemore | Mar 13 2022 20:00 utc | 81 with the China/US meet about Russia
The ZH posting I read says the US is meeting with China to get China to be the mediator in the Russia/Ukraine situation.
I noted elsewhere that the US congresscritters have passed legislation that says all future maps must show Taiwan as not being part of China.
After a while you have to wonder how much of what we are seeing has been scripted beforehand…..
Reality is coming to our world of shit show social organization. Will the Plato’s Cave Display breathers come out and engage with other than top/bottom aka God of Mammon humans?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 20:14 utc | 90

james | Mar 13 2022 19:33 utc | 73
Thanks. We will see as “Ukraine” may be moving towards some sort of negociated deal and the US definitey doesn’t want that.
*
Zelensky murdered in early March? The latest “movie go round” with Zelensky visitng wounded soldiers, included a lady next to him who died on the 24 February. (Family says so). So either some form of walking afterlife has been filmed or some (or all?) of Zelenskyi’s movements have been pre-recorded. You never know the capabilities of animations these days. No wonder he changes his opinions daily, they must have got the vids mixed up.

Posted by: Stonebird | Mar 13 2022 20:23 utc | 92

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 13 2022 20:05 utc | 84
Russia will adapt to the new situation and it will get by without access to these reserves. But it’s in a weaker state than it could have been in, and above all, it would have been easy to avoid it. Those reserves might be frozen money now and just numbers in a computer. But a year or even a few months ago they could have been spent on imports Russia needed, for example capital goods to be better prepared for autarky, or even on raw materials like copper, iron ore, etc. Alternatively, Russia could simply have exported less minerals and energy. 300 billion dollars get you a lot of stuff. It’s as simple as that. Laughing it off as nothing to care about is absolutely bizarre.
For Russia to export years’ worth of actual, limited, real raw materials and products of labor with tremendous (and irreplaceable) value, just to satisfy the superstitions (or worse, foreign loyalties) of neoliberal economists and officials (whom Putin even in the extremely serious situation of the last few years has chosen to continue to humor) is stupid and unnecessary. Having done so is also an enormous propaganda defeat and psychological blow to Russia that shouldn’t be underestimated.

Posted by: Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 20:25 utc | 94

Unnamed | Mar 13 2022 20:25 utc | 94
Russia needs to import raw materials? What universe are you living in?

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 13 2022 20:32 utc | 96

Those reserves had to be kept over seas for balance of payment issues. The reality is if Russian reserves are not released, there is far more in PHYSICAL assets owned by foreign companies in Russia to compensate. Factories, real estate, inventory . Game over.

Posted by: norb | Mar 13 2022 20:34 utc | 98

Stonebird and james
I’m not into superstition – fire power and strategy seem to trump that… no offence intended james

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 13 2022 20:37 utc | 100