Posted by: Julian | Mar 16 2022 8:13 utc | 345
You bring up the interesting aspect of Germany’s for now remaining nuclear power plants. Fortunately, I think there are strictly technical obstacles (that is, beyond the political resistance from anti-nuclear groups) to extending the life of the reactors for much longer. When a definitive end of life date has been set for a nuclear reactor, this has implications for the maintenance and fuel cycle.
Basically, the operator will minimize maintenance and maximize the exploitation of (and by extension, the wear on) the reactor, so as to recoup as much as possible of the capital cost before it’s gone. It’s very likely that this will prevent Germany from reversing its nuclear phase-out, and thereby helping to reverse the terminal decline of its industry and living standards (which from now on are weaponized against Eurasia, and should therefore be reduced to zero).

Posted by: Unnamed | Mar 16 2022 13:30 utc | 403

WJ, THE PENTAGON IS KEEPING US FROM FIGHTING, NOT BIDEN; Your rush to conclusions has you predicting nuclear war every day; STOP; you’re wrong, been wrong, always wrong. Time doesn’t stop, but in your logic world, it’s 11:59 and there’s no tomorrow.

Posted by: ScottinDallas | Mar 16 2022 13:32 utc | 405

Just watched Zelenskyy’s address to US Congress. Now I wonder who put that video together?

Posted by: Mark Gaughan | Mar 16 2022 13:35 utc | 407

Western Intelligence Reports battle for Mariupol to end in 2-3 days
From Colonel Cassad:

US intelligence warned the General Staff that Russia could transfer part of the military from Nikolaev and Kherson to the eastern front in order to speed up the encirclement of Ukrainian troops. According to Western intelligence, the battles for Mariupol will last another 2-3 days, and after that, an operation will begin to encircle the eastern front, which now has 37-45 thousand soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

This supports my estimate posted upthread. If the reports are correct Mariupol will fall to RF by the weekend and the bulk of the RF forces will be reassigned to closing the kessel to the north.
RF landing craft delivered supplies in the port of Berdyans’k. I expect this included military forces now moving north to reinforce the kessel.
If the above is correct, then NATO will face a RF “mission accomplished” on the date of the March 24th Brussels meeting. NATO may undertake an increased deployment of force on the borders of Ukraine but I doubt they will entertain crossing the border into Ukraine as that would expose them to attack. An article in the NATO agreement refuses membership to states engaged in a border dispute. The US may seek to bend the NATO rules but I cannot see the EU NATO members being so disengaged from reality that they agree with NATO entry into the conflict.

Posted by: Sushi | Mar 16 2022 13:40 utc | 409

Posted by: LEx | Mar 16 2022 13:39 utc | 397
https://t.me/intelslava/22508
Germany reacted sharply to the idea of Polish Deputy Prime Minister Kaczynski to send an armed NATO peacekeeping mission to Ukraine.
The German government is against sending any NATO military to Ukraine. For Berlin, this is a “red line”.

Posted by: Boo | Mar 16 2022 13:48 utc | 411

@oldhippie
You have now stated, twice, very specific comments on geneology – of AOC and of Gonzalo Lira.
I am curious where you are getting this information from.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:09 utc | 413

@psychohistorian #256
To be clear, the term “Doom Loop” is typical ZH nonsense.
Poszar made no such reference – in fact, described 2 plausible (to him) scenarios by which the situation is resolved.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:12 utc | 415

@Circe #321
Cheers for the first coherent, consistent and intelligent comment I have ever read from you.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:21 utc | 417

Arioch, it’s chemical castration, puberty disruptors.
Posted by: ScottinDallas | Mar 16 2022 12:12 utc | 381
…and it is a first step towards surgery.
And this surgery is to be done on mentally unstable kids, or on kids given to mentally unstable parent after divorce.
I was trackign, by e-mails from a mate, a story of one unstable girl about 13yo. She threatened suicide if she was allowed to convert to boy. At the very same time she planned to elope to runaway with an abusive boy she was in love with and who only valued her when being obedient whore.
Reportedly, some years before that she was raped by a family friend. Reportedly it was medically confirmed by body review (she was allegedly started seing things at time, or she told so. Allegedly that event triggered it and it was not so before, abut that can not be ensured).
So, she found guardians who sued her family, extracted her, and were preparing the transition.
It almost happenned, papers done, her on meds, those puberty delayers reportedly, like half a year of therapy and heppy date with knife.
Then she pulled something, i don’t remember what, but steady preparing for transition was interrupted, and she started fleeing to her family now complaining them about her guards being strict and abusive, like reversing what was two years before.
Two years later – she is screwing all boys in the hood and f..s like pig whenever guards looked away.
Then she fled back to parents. Few months before her 16yo. Guardians just sighed with relief and counted days until their guardianship would legally expire.
So, basically i don’t know what is going on with her now, heard after emancipation she found some job (at least some good development), probably touring around new hood and enjoying all the aspects of life without all those annoying “you should not”… from some other legally adult person.
However, what would had happen would he not suddenly do that twist? Again, it was like half year more that she would undergo that fashionable surgery and be very advanced modern trendy dick-girl. And then another half-year later she discovers in her an equally pationate urge to f-k all the boys in the hood… but now she lacks vagina to do it.
Okay, you might argue that SO unstable persons better not have kids anyway, and castration by transition is perfect tool to manage their count.
But i think it would still be better to wait for them to at least emancipate and be out of puberty and hormones storms. And if after all that they still sure to switch, then there perhaps would be some more chances the irreversible change it makes would not be regretted in few years and now forever.

Posted by: Arioch | Mar 16 2022 14:25 utc | 419

@imo #332
Sorry but that’s idiotic.
Among other things, McConnell detests Trump – the line of succession goes through the Senate first.
Secondly, not all of the Republicans in the House now, nor going to be in the House post November, are pro-Trump. If anything, the scale of the Red Wave is such that the most lame, dinosaurian Republican candidates have a real chance to win. They don’t absolutely need to tap into Trump’s base.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:28 utc | 421

@too scents #411
It doesn’t matter.
Have you noticed that China has its hooks into the Biden family too?
Israel created the game, Ukraine is following it but China has perfected the practice of deploying money to direct/distract/neutralize US politics.
The same can be said for Hollywood blockbuster movies: there is always at least 1 Chinese company that is a listed funder (starting credit list) – this presence is why you almost never see Chinese “bad guys”, only the occasional Triad mobster whereas Russian spies/gangsters/whatever are ubiquitous.
And yet again – this illustrates the chaotic nature of influence…

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:39 utc | 423

Julian | Mar 16 2022 8:13 utc | 345
NS2 was the proximate cause; Keeping that in mind resolves the question of why now?
Of course the wider objective of the US can be generalized as “The Wolfowitz Doctrine” but the importance of killing NS2 and promoting US LNG to Europe should not be minimized nor forgotten. At the risk of sounding apocalyptic, it is obvious that the US has its busy fingers involved all over the globe and plenty enough sycophants and true believers to keep that up for some time. The outcome – what the near future will look like or be – will be as much a product of how the rest of the world responds to the “battle lines being drawn” as to those busy meddlesome fingers.

Posted by: vinnieoh | Mar 16 2022 14:47 utc | 425

Lira is a weirdo libertarian creepoid incel who’s in Ukraine to get poverty puss.

Posted by: HawHaw | Mar 16 2022 14:56 utc | 427

WJ, it wouldn’t be brinksmanship if they were taking off-ramps; but it’s clear the Pentagon ain’t playing, the Germans appropriately killed the Polish notion of a peacekeeping force. You confuse the sales pitch with the product; the threats of the clown who’s friends are the only think keeping him from kicking your ass. And again, there’s a tomorrow; until you realize that, all your musings will be crippled by your insistence on pathetic and teleological fallacies.
C1ue, no, it’s VP (Presides over Senate, but not a Senator), Speaker of HOUSE, then through the cabinet. Also, though it’s not possible to simply pump more without significant limits and caveats; it IS possible to sell off stored reserves. OPEC has always had issues ons with absolute compliance, particularly in times of high prices. I’m not saying this will fully off-set “lost” Russian petrol, but again, we should see slackened demand from China. We’re not that far removed from full tankers drifting at sea looking for a port; and we’ve seen (to my surprise) commodities prices moderate. We haven’t seen EU cut off all these trades with Russia, yet; as predicted the sanctions would be riddled with exceptions and loopholes. More lip service and posturing than real action.
Arioch, dude, if you’re under 18 you can’t get a tattoo; they’re not lopping off tallywackers of high school kids; so you’re fighting a strawman, like one, it’s not a trend, it’s not a problem, it’s not widespread, it’s not really the gov’ts business.

Posted by: ScottinDallas | Mar 16 2022 15:11 utc | 429

Someone mentioned the Second World War DDay related battle in the Normandy countryside of the FALAISE GAP CLOSING which saw the annihilation of the German forces there. Sorry there are many comments and I can’t track who made it.
I’ve been to Mont Ormel many times. The monument to these who ‘closed the gap’ was not celebrated till long after and is now a fine little attraction along the ‘Denoument’ trail that some retards dress up as soldiers and drive around in jeeps during June who should be best avoided otherwise you may end up making them cry by point g and laughing at them.
ANYWAY – the truth of that battle is not fully acknowledged.
It was a random company of Poles numbered in just hundreds who held the little hill that the only road that could carry tanks and weapons back towards Paris or infact to Berlin to perhaps hold the Red Army back that might have allowed the Allies to not stick with the Yalta agreement with Stalin.
The allies could have obliterated the retreating Germans at many points and over these summer weeks. But they didn’t. They wanted them to go to the Eastern front.
It seems the Polish brigade hadn’t been told of this. But fearlessly they proceeded to plug the gap. The were NOT reinforced or given artillery or plane cover but the Germans could not get control of the hillock and pass they occupied. Being narrow meant the greater numbers couldn’t make a difference. A bottle neck.
Most German units were still using horses. The panzers had no chance to get to the hill and thus the pocket formed – eventually given the rate of progress of the Red Army it became too late for the Germans. The ‘allies’ overlooking the plain with canons finally had no choice but to go to the ‘rescue’ of the Poles, let rip and left a cloud of flies over the few square miles for the next few years with the awful stench of death – many horses and men – the vast orchards destroyed.
The area has returned to its bucolic charm , cider and calvados made and the little village of Camembert not far away giving its name to the fine cheeses of the dairy industry there.
The Poles? Ha, they didn’t get Poland returned to them. They were fooled then and they are fools now.
They still expect the black soil of Ukraine as promised by the western masters when they decided that state would be parcelled out. They expected Russian Ukrainian eastern peoples would have returned to Russia and the peace would leav them with vast swathes of land with a rump Ukraine cleared of the peasants who OWN the land cleared out and their legally being able to own it. Currently foreigners can’t.
The Russians advance has made them realise that these plans are in doubt and the only way they will get their hands on the lands and resources now is if they make an official agreement before Zalensky has no government or country left to grant it to them!
3 Wise Men? 3 Blind Mice. And one of them is the dumb Pole who still doesn’t understand that their Empire is one of many European nations new that are never going to rise French m the ashes again to covet these further Easter lands – Russia.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Mar 16 2022 15:21 utc | 431

@c1ue | Mar 16 2022 14:19 utc | 417
I’m starting to realize why so many people here refuse to respond to you.

Ok, so you believe all this is according to plan.
Lira apparently believes (from the posted video) that there is no plan. The oligarchs are there but they’re fighting each other.
This is also what I believe.

There is literally no evidence whatsoever that the US oligarchs are in opposition regarding foreign policy. The Pentagon was arming Ukraine under both Trump and Obama. US policy there steadily increased under both presidents, and of course EuroMaidan was entirely Obama’s doing along with the help of a lot of Neocons, “Barry Goldwater” Democrats (Pelosi, Clinton, etc), and enthusiastic Pentagon, Dept of State, and CIA support.
Where the US Oligarchs disagree is entirely in terms of domestic policy, and they largely use the same astro-turfing methods to force certain issues. The issues have been chosen with the express intent at dividing any and all political opposition that might arise with respect to their domestic policies. Any and all discussions about taxation are about easing taxes on the wealthy by increasing the burden of payments upon the poor and laboring-classes. Certain topics are religious object of worship for each side: anti-racism/”white privilege” on one, anti-abortion/”pro-life” on the other.
Meanwhile, anti-crime bills receive enthusiastic support from voters within both factions. Voting-reforms are a complete non-issue among all voters in every bloc. “Hollywood” is for the Democrats (not true at all), while “Nashville” is for the Republicans (also not true). Populism is bad, party politics is good. Socialism is evil, Communism is worse, and that’s why the US can’t have Medicare for All and also why Social Security is failing–even though it isn’t, really, because the Federal Government has borrowed so much money from that publicly-administered, privately-owned pension program that the interest payments alone would carry SS well into the next century.
The topics that are emphasized are all distractions, and the topics that are neglected are the ones the Oligarchs fear. “Economic Inequality” becomes a joke, in some circles; unstated mockery of people and political blocs because of the color of their skin or the languages they speak is acceptable practice.

Your view is classic conspiracy theory – some magical secret cabal knows all, controls all; the modern equivalent of Satan.

The Oligarchs control the message, and they maintain that control through the very real, very public, very easily studied mechanisms I clearly outlined for you, above. That’s not “conspiracy theory,” that’s conspiracy FACT, and you would do well to refrain from lobbing incendiary phrases like that at fellow posters in a place like this.
Personally, the moment someone like you starts putting hyperbolic words in my mouth which I would neither ever say nor even every think, the first thing that comes to mind is “That person must be either an emotionally immature US male (typically not yet out of his 20s), or a paid troll.”
So which is it? I’m betting “paid troll,” because of your next statement:

My personal view is based on direct personal interactions with the edges of the oligarch sphere.

So you’ve just outed yourself as some immature 20- or 30-something who has a vested interest in protecting the Oligarch classes you work for–good for you.

Oligarchs are not superhuman in any way – they are people imbued with superhuman financial or political (or both) resources.

Yes: and those resources allow them to manipulate the media at will (Gates Foundation; Bezos’ Washington Post; Fox News; CNN; MSNBC; Family Research Council; Heritage Foundation; Cato Institute; RAND Corporation; etc) so they can gin up “support” for otherwise unpopular policies which have been carefully developed and propagandized by high-paid experts working on how best to present them to the public in many of the foundations and think-tanks I presented above.
Additionally, there are top-level groups which are sworn to secrecy about their inner workings and (especially) their leadership who directly intervene, influence, and most important coordinate and enforce compliance with the policies our Oligarchs develop in those secret back-room sessions, whether domestic (FBI, DHS, CIA), foreign (CFR, CIA), or internationally (Bilderberg, Trilateral Commission, WEF).
So let me explain it to you again, because you don’t seem to understand very clearly:
A) Yes, there is demonstrable proof that the most politically connected and wealthiest elites from “Western” (and other) countries get together for annual (or biannual, etc) meetings where they discuss what “initiatives” and “policies” (i.e.: laws, legal enforcement, military strategies, and social movements) will be implemented and promoted (with cold, hard cash) in their respective desmesnes.
B) Yes, while we are not allowed to transparently witness how these “initiatives” and “policies” are conceived (thus calling into serious questions the underlying motives), we are (currently, at least) blessed with transparent insight into how they are disseminated amongst the media and electorate, how “support” is created that can be translated into votes into the ballot-box, and what the specific techniques and methods used by these many organizations actually are.
C) Finally, we have ample evidence of the efficacy of these efforts by the ease with which corporate-controlled media outlets can suppress views which dissent from the Oligarchs, and further silence any individual or collective voices around which might start to coalesce a true opposition to Oligarch power and their ultimate strategic motives.
These aren’t “theories”–these are facts. If you’re a tenured academic, speaking out in the wrong way about Israel can get you fired, now. Try talking about what’s actually happening in the Gaza Strip in a Silicon Valley tech corporation and see how long you’re employed–or as an alternative, you could just bring up the idea that maybe the company should be hiring based on merit and skill, rather than sex and skin-color. Posting a picture of some Ukrainian guy wearing a Nazi uniform and flying a Nazi flag will get you banned from Social Media–while challenging people on what they actually know about Ukraine, and what’s going on over there, will get one a blank stare and accusations of sedition.

They fuck up too.

Yeah: they fucked up by provoking a war in Ukraine. Except it’s still going to benefit the US Oligarchs, while the rest of the non-Oligarch US will suffer the consequences.
What you don’t seem to understand is that if it doesn’t harm them, doesn’t erode their power, and doesn’t improve ordinary people’s relative economic standing and burden, then it’s not really a “fuck-up,” is it?

They are, if anything, more jealous and emotional than regular people because they have far fewer hard limits on their actions.

Spare me the pseudo-scientific pop-psychology bullshit, please.

So it isn’t the post-modern equivalent of Satan, more like the financial/social equivalents of Godzilla and Mothra duking it out in the ruins of Tokyo.

You’re sounding more and more like a teenager with each sentence.

But anyway, I know from experience that it is impossible to convince the dedicated conspiracy theorist of what reality is really like.

Just curiously: who shot Robert Kennedy? What do you know about that? Since you seem to be a rather precocious and arrogant child of about the age of 16, I’m going to go out on a limb and guess: nothing.

Posted by: Pacifica Advocate | Mar 16 2022 15:55 utc | 433

Posted by: DunGroanin | Mar 16 2022 15:21 utc | 432
I tend to agree with your interesting insight about Mont-Ormel battle and the lonely unaware Poles … The fight took place on august 20 and 21st 1944 proved to be decisive in closing the Falaise pocket and trapping German troops in it.
The interesting facts leading to its importance are several:
1/ Success of the Soviet Belarus offensive from June 22nd to July 1944, which brought about the destruction of the German Center Army group – a loss of 600,000 men. Collapse of Ost Front and Stalin quick victory became then a given to every observer.
2/ Unsuccessful July 20th, 1944, attempt against Hitler’s life in Rastenburg by Colonel Von Stauffenberg and subsequent failed coup d’état in Berlin by his conjurates.
3/ Success of the US Army breakthrough in “Operation Cobra”, on Tuesday, July 25, 1944 which allowed Patton to put an end to the seven week long stalemate in Normandy bocage. In my personal view only made possible by mismanagement of German resistance by Count Von Choltitz (many attested unsound and contradictories orders given from his HQ to his embattled German paratroopers) opposing US General Collins 7th Corps and then more importantly the sabotage of the German counter-offensive in Mortain (Unternehmen Lüttich – august 7th, 1944) by General Feld Marschall Von Klüge. Disobeying direct Hitler’s orders, Von Klüge launched the attack without waiting for Luftwaffe support, however specially gathered for the occasion, so forfeiting every chance of success for Operation Lüttich. This happened after his one day disappearance (August 14th, 1944), widely rumored arranged to allow for some clandestine meeting with US General Dwight Eisenhower… The whole thing being followed by Von Kluge suicide on August 19th, 1944. Hitler’s always believed in his treasonous behavior after that.
https://books.google.ca/books?id=-EpVEAAAQBAJ&pg=PT75&lpg=PT75&dq=von+kluge+one+day+disappearance&source=bl&ots=bwQVDaBg8B&sig=ACfU3U23ew6eI61nbg1HpglsylhchGNOwg&hl=fr&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwir2dzOjMv2AhWVHTQIHcx0Cz0Q6AF6BAg0EAM#v=onepage&q=von%20kluge%20one%20day%20disappearance&f=false

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Mar 16 2022 17:03 utc | 435

@Pacifica Advocate #435
I could be insulted if you weren’t so very, very stupid.
I don’t get insulted by conspiracy theorist wackos.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 16 2022 17:31 utc | 437

So, if the US is planning a false flag to justify entry into the war, what is the endgame? Global thermonuclear war?

Posted by: Tsar Nicholas | Mar 16 2022 22:37 utc | 439

I believe it was Freud who said that: “America is a mistake, a gigantic mistake it is true, but none the less a mistake.”
The question is: How should this monstrous mistake of America be dealt with in a way that does not literally blow up the entire planet?
This is the fundamental question of the era.
Reason, argument, logic, truth, and certainly diplomacy do not work. And most importantly, appeasing America sure as hell don’t work.
Turning up the pain dial on America is likely the only language the Americans will understand.

Posted by: ak74 | Mar 17 2022 5:16 utc | 441

@Circe #439
I am always happy to give credit, where credit is due.

Posted by: c1ue | Mar 17 2022 14:36 utc | 443

Gonzalo is a creepoid right wing libertarian lunatic. He may be right about Ukraine/Russia, but he’s such a loon on every other topic.

Posted by: HawHaw | Mar 18 2022 4:03 utc | 445