Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 16, 2022

Happy 'Russian Invasion' Day

I woke up early today because the moon is full and I have been promised a 'Russian invasion'.

The sky was clouded, no moon to see, and the 'invasion' is for some reason way less bloody than anticipated.

Not all hope is lost though. It may still be coming:

The 3am time (1am GMT) when US intelligence sources suspected a Russian attack came and went without incident last night as Putin continued to keep The West guessing.

Cold clear skies over capital Kyiv - where locals had braced for an aerial blitz - remained silent save for passing commercial flights.

But tension remained high before dawn on the day American officials had said Putin’s invasion force would be unleashed on Ukraine.

I wonder why the map accompanying The Sun screed has four of the five arrows showing a 'possible Russian advance' plus all those artillery cannons and tanks point towards the east.


bigger

What is this supposed to say?

Anyway, let's have a happy 'Russian invasion' day.

Posted by b on February 16, 2022 at 7:02 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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Kiev are going to Collapse by Themselves.

Posted by: IronForge | Feb 16 2022 7:10 utc | 1

The U.S. has an immense military base at Fort Hood, Texas, which by the standards of the Sun is right on the Mexican border. Tanks, artillery, helicopters, everything. Obviously the U.S. invasion of Mexico will start this afternoon. The Russians should withdraw their embassy from Mexico City and deploy nuclear missiles in Guadalajara.

Also the U.S. has secret alien spacecraft in Roswell, New Mexico, even closer to the Mexican border. The U.S. -- Grey invasion must be stopped at once! Impose sanctions now!

Posted by: MFB | Feb 16 2022 7:16 utc | 2

The most stupid propaganda I have heard (I am 76).

Posted by: Alain Houisse | Feb 16 2022 7:32 utc | 3

The target audience of all this propaganda is the domestic populations of the West.

Durham came out with a bombshell, the Covid narrative is collapsing, inflation is really starting to bite, the gas crisis in Europe is causing widespread harm, a real revolt has kicked off in Canada that they’re terrified might spread to other countries, nothing like a Russian invasion scam to keep the plebs distracted.

Russians must think the lunatics have taken over the asylum.

Posted by: Down South | Feb 16 2022 7:49 utc | 4

Love it. The map is very telling : the legend provides symbols for important ukrainian military targets, but there are none to be seen on the map itself… And rightfully so : there is indeed nothing in Ukraine worth a russian offensive

Posted by: Benoit | Feb 16 2022 7:54 utc | 5

Have to agree with Alain Houisse and Down South, well all the comments so far. I'm not far behind Alain in age and if I hold my breath much longer waiting for the invasion ................. And I followed Anfrei Martyanov's advise and got some pop-corn (despite the fact I hate the shit).

Posted by: Charlie Canberra | Feb 16 2022 7:59 utc | 6

Come & go it will, no matter what does or doesn't happen.

USA with find a pretext to 'embargo' Russia economically.

Or will it? If it signs the draft security Treaty it can't.

Read and think about Article 2 of the
The draft of the European Security Treaty (http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/6152)

"1. A Party to the Treaty shall not undertake, participate in or support any actions or activities affecting significantly security of any other Party or Parties to the Treaty."

What does 'security' mean? It isn't defined. How can you be 'secure' if your economy is embargoed?

As importantly, USA and Turkish and British bastardyness will be prohibited. No more supporting Al Queda, ISIS or its rebrands.

No more supporting terrorists in Khazakistan. No more supporting terrorists in Afghanistan. No more occupation of Syria.

All these endanger Russia (at least).

The treaty covers all EuroAtlantic countries, CIS countries, all of Europe. 61 countries at a rough count.(Article 10).

If there is a dispute it goes to a conference, where all decisions must be unanimous.

USA etc - or Russia, or anyone - can't impose anything on the rest. (NATO supposedly requires unanimity for a decision, but notably, all NATO countries think alike - or oink along, anyway).

Not only that, article 2, section 3. says
"A Party to the Treaty shall not allow the use of its territory and shall not use the territory of any other Party with the purpose of preparing or carrying out an armed attack against any other Party or Parties to the Treaty or any other actions affecting significantly security of any other Party or Parties to the Treaty."

Ukraine today.

And neutrality is not a bar.

The Treaty enters into force 10 days after 25 countries have signed up and ratified it. After that, any of the 61 countries who chose to remain out can change their mind and join (or leave, for that matter) So it's all in or all out, boys. Everyone sign up now.

After the glorious 61 are all in (ROLF), other countries can join if every signatory agrees.

Who will be left behind? Who won't sign, or, at least, not yet?

Run it forward.

There are those who will be 'in', and those who will be 'out'. Some Central Eurasian former Soviet states will be in (except, for the moment, MAYBE, Ukraine).USA and NATO aren't there. So the 'like minded' vote yes to third party countries - China, Iran, Venezuela, Cuba. LMFAO!

Now notice Article 7 section 2
"Without prejudice to the provisions of Article 8 of the Treaty, every Party shall be entitled to consider an armed attack against any other Party an armed attack against itself."

Section is a high level consult mechanism to solve it. But Section 7 (by my reading) trumps it. BUT also, see section 1!

Diplomacy rules. Mostly.

This is the document that the USA can't, I now see, sign.

But NATO countries will gradually acede to it, as it has nothing but positives for peace and security.

WWhich brings us back to Ukraine...they will do very well to look to the future - who aroiund them has signed, or will sign.

And chose. USA or Eurasia.

They are not stupid.

This is one hellava move by Russia. Mega respect.

Posted by: powerandpeople | Feb 16 2022 8:06 utc | 7

* Article 8 is a high level consult mechanism to solve it

Posted by: powerandpeople | Feb 16 2022 8:11 utc | 8

Happy False Flag avoided day.

What sort of false flag could they resort to anyway? Surely not a chemical attack, one hopes European leaders put a veto on that! So what else then?

Posted by: Et Tu | Feb 16 2022 8:14 utc | 9

Interesting, what Reuters writes on DDoS-cyberattacks on Ukraine yesterday:
"San Francisco-based Cloudflare, a prominent provider of denial-of-service protection, said that it had seen no evidence of "large DDoS activity" in Ukraine against its data centres or customers there.

"From our perspective today hasn't seen unusual attack traffic against us or our customers on Ukraine," the company said in an email."
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-reports-cyber-attack-defence-ministry-website-banks-tass-2022-02-15/
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-reports-cyber-attack-defence-ministry-website-banks-tass-2022-02-15/

Posted by: Mikkael | Feb 16 2022 8:22 utc | 10

It actually has more potential than I thought.

If 'behind closed doors discussion' can cobble together 25 countries of the 61 (San Marino, Vatican City, are you there?) that are like-minded for peace, the magnificent 25 could agree to quickly vote in North Korea and South Korea as members - INSTANT PEACE TREATY!

The only way US could block such a move would be by also joining - in order to nix peace between the 2 Koreas.

Mind you, it could join, nix it, then leave, I suppose....ROLF!

What a coup for peace this be. How deeply embarrassing for the Nobel committee. They promised Joe....

Posted by: powerandpeople | Feb 16 2022 8:29 utc | 11

US can be happy, they are able to distroy a Country only by desinformation.
Only pitty that it is their Partner who got the damage.

Lesson to learn?

Do not engage with US even not as Friend!

Posted by: AndreH | Feb 16 2022 8:43 utc | 12

The Ukraine has attacked the United States.

The resulting extreme social, political, infrastructural damage can be observed almost everywhere from the oligarchic overshoot on Wall Street, the Rust Belt, to the urban wilderness of Detroit, the homeless hyper-colonization of the streets of the West Coast, etc. The U.S. productional system has been destroyed. These are the results of the Ukrainian assault. The Ukranization of the U.S. is very nearly complete. Europe will be the next to fall to the Ukranization onslaught.

Posted by: blues | Feb 16 2022 8:44 utc | 13

To concoct an assault as horrifying as can be, the "Possible Russian Advance" arrow makes it look like Kyiv is completely surrounded.

Unless Russia's elite Teleportation Corps has already occupied Galicia???

Posted by: Vintage Red | Feb 16 2022 9:08 utc | 14

Good morning, seit 3 Uhr morgens wurde nicht zurueckgeschossen. Have a good day

Posted by: Bart Schuster | Feb 16 2022 9:13 utc | 15

I guess I have underestimated the stupidity of the Americans, Though they could have been talking Washington time. Have to see what happens in the next 24 hrs.
An interesting piece in RT makes me wonder if the Russian invasion got wacked.

https://www.rt.com/russia/549490-blackhawk-ukraine-poland-border/
A Blackhawk helicopter of the US Army has flown out to the Poland-Ukraine border to pick up several passengers from a black SUV, according to multiple local reports and flight radar trackers. The helicopter’s sign is EVAC01.

The UH-60M, tail number 20-21131, was first noticed flying east from Mielec Airport in Poland shortly before midnight local time on Tuesday. It landed near the Korczowa-Krakovets border crossing, where it was met by a black SUV.

Several people reportedly exited the vehicle and boarded the helicopter, which then took off and headed west. Its destination was a hospital in Rzeszow-Jasionka, Poland, where it arrived shortly after midnight local time.

Your quoting the Murdoch and Brit tabloids b which is a waste of time, but the Brit powers that be seem to be throwing a hissy fit that no invasion has occurred.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 16 2022 9:19 utc | 16

Waiting for Godot.

Posted by: mijj | Feb 16 2022 9:31 utc | 17

Russia managed to occupy Belarus without a shot. Those are the forces I would keep an eye on. How long until they are withdrawn?

Posted by: Malchik Ralf | Feb 16 2022 9:53 utc | 18

Mind you, it could join, nix it, then leave, I suppose....ROLF!

Posted by: powerandpeople | Feb 16 2022 8:29 utc | 11

Heh. Isn't that what the British did to the EU?

Posted by: John Cleary | Feb 16 2022 10:02 utc | 19

Looks like they might be violating board game trademarks
Axis and Allies?
Risk?

Posted by: Christian J. Chuba | Feb 16 2022 10:12 utc | 20

Russia managed to occupy Belarus without a shot. Those are the forces I would keep an eye on. How long until they are withdrawn?

Posted by: Malchik Ralf | Feb 16 2022 9:53 utc | 18

The main exercise is due to end 20th Feb, so probably around that time. It will take a while to make an impact on the unusually large amount of Russian forces there but there should be the normal videos only now running in reverse. Much like the videos yesterday that came from Crimea where their exercises finished earlier.

The attention will now switch to the Black Sea, Med and Pacific where 20+- 5 Russia ships are in action now. Only official videos tho'.

Specialist RuAF and RuNA naval strike aircraft were filmed into Hmeimim yesterday. Interesting is maritime search aircraft join them, it was one of them that apparently spotted the US sub last week.

Posted by: JohninMK | Feb 16 2022 10:12 utc | 21

Poor Zelensky. Played like a got damned fool. Now US mainstream media is saying things like "Russia didn't invade on the 15th like President Zelensky claimed"

Zelensky stupid guy as he is pronounced the 15th as a day of Unity because he had been informed Russia would attack this day. When asked who informed him on this he said he was watching CNN and heard it there. Lol

Posted by: comandante | Feb 16 2022 10:25 utc | 22

It's out! The official timetable for the assault on Ukrain, taking of Kiev, and celebratory fireworks is published (leaked), approved by Putin and signed by Shoigu:

06:00 Getting up.
07:00 Morning toilet
08:00 Breakfast
09:00 Assault on Ukraine
12:00 Lunch
13:00 Taking of Kiev
18:00 Gazmanov's Concert
21:00 Fireworks.

Posted by: BM | Feb 16 2022 10:48 utc | 23

I'm sure over in London BoJo the Klown and his Foreign Secretary the Fizzy Ms Lizzy were counting on a Russian invasion to save their own reputations as politicians and not as stand-up comedians - just as Creepy Uncle Joe was relying on a Russian invasion to lift his popularity before the mid-term collections, distract the US public's attention from the truckers convoys in Canada and justify sanctioning anyone and everyone even remotely connected to Nord Stream II.

Could be a lot of people joining Ukrainian President Zelensky when he resumes stand-up comedy after his term as President is finished, which could be sooner than 2024.

Posted by: Jen | Feb 16 2022 11:01 utc | 25

BM @ 23:

Should there not be a victory parade down the main drag of Kiev with Putin and Shoigu in the leading tanks, followed by Russian military with captured Ukrainian armaments in tow, sandwiched somewhere in-between the taking of Kiev and Gazmanov's Concert?

Posted by: Jen | Feb 16 2022 11:11 utc | 26

Ma quanto sono maligni i russi, prima promettono a bidet di invadere il paese che non c'è poi all'ultimo momento ritirano il loro esercito dalla Siberia per dislocarlo in Russia centrale,
Così che hanno fatto fare una figura di m.erda a bitet e a bojo.
Sono sicuro che da ora in poi sia bidet che bojo non avranno più alcuna fiducia in Putin

Posted by: Alessandro Cagliostr | Feb 16 2022 11:15 utc | 27

Nothing,!
There's been an overnight thaw?
Someone got bad intelligence?
It's all spoof?
Deferment to June?
Always a good time for that kind of stuff!

Posted by: Jpc | Feb 16 2022 11:19 utc | 28

B.,

Unrelated to this specific post, it would be useful if you could integrate Donate button, perhaps on the upper right side of the home page.
I understand that it is not priority to you, but it would help to those who would like to donate.

Posted by: Mladen | Feb 16 2022 11:20 utc | 29

Western POLITICS turned into a non-stop 24/7 real life farce - more or less - only 'Spitting Images' (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spitting_Image) rivals its on-going absurdity!

Here's the latest UK-Edition, after Truss' Russian exposure as laughing-stock, now fool Boris follows Mrs. Nudelmann adventures of being grotesque:

UK Prime Minister uses China's Sina Weibo to 'warn' Putin, puzzling and amusing Chinese netizens
By Global Times
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202202/1252358.shtml


Posted by: MD | Feb 16 2022 11:23 utc | 30

Posted by: Et Tu | Feb 16 2022 8:14 utc | 9

Someone had posted a comment recently regarding an old friend who had studied in the US (who was from Russia), and they had said that there was a running joke describing the US as "a prison-farm with an abundance of terrible food".
Perhaps their next salvo will be a CIA-subsidised, "black-ops" program of swamping the region with culinary delights from the US.

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Feb 16 2022 11:53 utc | 31

Alessandro Cagliostr | Feb 16 2022 11:15 utc | 26

nicely done! your sense of humor is a bit British ma azzeccato in pieno

Posted by: dan of steele | Feb 16 2022 11:54 utc | 32

I am afraid I can't really capture how preposterous reality can get but here is my attempt. Apparently there are two possible scenarios:
- Russia says "we will do A". America says 'Hah you don't fool me this is a devious ploy to deceive us!'. Then Russia does A , totally blindsiding America who take it as proof of how devious Russia is.
- America says "Russia will do B", then Russia denies it. Then when Russia does not do B, America concludes they successfully deterred Russia.

Posted by: Tuyzentfloot | Feb 16 2022 12:05 utc | 33

The Sun is a tabloid for double digit IQ crowd. Let's see a funny take down of NYTimes diagrams. As it is you are actually implying that your readership is the same intelligence level as Sun's.

Posted by: digits | Feb 16 2022 12:11 utc | 34

Heh. Isn't that what the British did to the EU?

Posted by: John Cleary | Feb 16 2022 10:02 utc | 19

Good one!

Posted by: Gene Poole | Feb 16 2022 12:24 utc | 35

Posted by: digits | Feb 16 2022 12:11 utc | 33

That map...it does some how remind me of the opening credits of HREF="https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ekFGXjZHDP0">Dads Army

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Feb 16 2022 12:31 utc | 36

Nyargh.
Links just don't work from my phone...apologies.

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Feb 16 2022 12:32 utc | 37

Here you go Jon

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CEDWDAMRBeU

Posted by: John Cleary | Feb 16 2022 12:42 utc | 38

Thank you, sir.
I remember watching it as a kid with my nan and grandad. Funny show.
Cheers.

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Feb 16 2022 12:44 utc | 39

Down South congrats

Best observation on the reality of the lunacy through the Western world and the freak's running it.

The target audience of all this propaganda is the domestic populations of the West.

Durham came out with a bombshell, the Covid narrative is collapsing, inflation is really starting to bite, the gas crisis in Europe is causing widespread harm, a real revolt has kicked off in Canada that they’re terrified might spread to other countries, nothing like a Russian invasion scam to keep the plebs distracted.

Russians must think the lunatics have taken over the asylum.

Posted by: Down South | Feb 16 2022 7:49 utc | 4

Posted by: Jpc | Feb 16 2022 13:03 utc | 40

Putin is unpredictable because he does what he says.

For the imperialist crowd this is just unbelievable.

Posted by: Olivier1973 | Feb 16 2022 13:08 utc | 41

Foolish b and his equally stupid followers, the invasion has already started, they just hijacked the electrical feed of all the news networks all over the world and using a clone army of reporters to pretend everything is well. The only thing stopping them is zelansky himself who is fighting the entire Russian army in the outskirts of Kiev with two sawed of shotguns in both of his hand alongside his trusted pet dragon.

Posted by: A.z | Feb 16 2022 13:11 utc | 42

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Zakharova:
We ask the American and British media to publish the schedule our invasions for next year as well, so that we can plan our vacations. https://t.co/y4EG0BOaBT

Posted by: comandante | Feb 16 2022 13:12 utc | 43

About the map posted by The Sun: according to Liz Tuss the Rostov et Voronej areas are not part of Russia; so... why are they depicted in red on that map? The UK government shall control better its medias propagating false intelligence.

Posted by: Olivier1973 | Feb 16 2022 13:21 utc | 44

comandante | Feb 16 2022 13:12 utc

Another most excellent example of the back and forth trolling between these two vaunted superpowers of the mutually masturbatory bluffing game. Russian derision in response to Biden's trolling of Putin has reached hypersonic levels of weaponized twittering.

Funny stuff. Thanks for this.

Posted by: Useless meat beater | Feb 16 2022 13:30 utc | 45

Its supposed to say, we haven't got a f*cking clue but we'll try and frighten as many folk as possible and sell some shit newspapers in the process.

No doubt we'll get the same shit tomorrow, and the next day and... you get the picture.

Of course the Whitehall backed and trained Ukrainian Neo-Nazi brigade in Ukraine might be under orders to kick of hostilities with Donbas (Donetsk and Luhansk).

The sooner Putin recognises their sovereignty the better, then Russian troops can be invited in.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Feb 16 2022 13:31 utc | 46

There was once an invasion threat from Russia not so long ago
It stayed hanging on and had nowhere at all to go
The West looked around with terror and with fear
Claiming Russian tanks would any moment be here.
"Putin is a thuggish little creature
Armed with Novichok so dire
While our mercenaries are another feature
The best money can hire."

Blah blah that Putin
Crashing 'cross the border, mean
There's a attack that surely is on
Blah blah invading
Russia's famous war machine
The invasion dates are come and gone.

"He's supposed to make an empire and make himself the Tsar
And the Kazakhs think he might be really wunderbar"
For supplies of gas Europe must say pretty please
Or else in winter they can all bloody freeze
From Brazil to Beijing Russia's much more than a gas dealer
All to Moscow they're on the run
They think it is not a Crimea stealer
But deserves a place in the sun.

Ah ah that Putin
Crashing 'cross the border, mean
He's attacking, oh yes it's on
Ah ah that Putin
Russia's gonna come smashin'
You can blow the panic horn.

But then the ridiculous predictions and the desire to cancel NS2 became known to more and more people.
The desperation spread from the MI6 and CIA to CNN and Browder.

"The bombs just got to blow," declared Russia's enemies.
"NATO's wavering so much it'll collapse from a breeze
Not that any power is coming from the wind farms
And our only hope is Russian force of arms.
All our media has been shouting pretending
Of a Russian attack, but that's a game
That's beginning to fall to people's understanding
What a bloody shame."

Bah bah that Putin
Put the attack in the bin
Sat back in Moscow sipping wine
Bah bah that Putin
Held back through thick and thin
He stayed on his side of the border line.

Ah ah invadin'
NATO desperation oh so keen
They cannot quit, war's their butter and bread -
Oh oh that Putin
If a real attack can't be seen
False flag ideas are in their head.


(Oh those Russians.)

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Feb 16 2022 13:34 utc | 47

Seriously, with friends like NATO, Ukraine doesn't need enemy. By now it should be clear to Ukrainians who their enemy is, certainly not Russia. So, all NATO is ready to offer Ukraine in case of an attack is to run away from the capital and leave the locals to perish. And then sanctions from hell. It's ridiculous. Ukraine should demand to be treated like the West treats Israel, with billions of dollars in aid every year.

Posted by: Steve | Feb 16 2022 13:40 utc | 48

welp, it's only 3 hours or so till noon, yet oddly i am not seeing any videos of the invasion. i guess they need to "declassify" some more secret intelligence, maybe it's tomorrow.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Feb 16 2022 13:40 utc | 49

Russell Bentley has an update from his perspective posted on youtube about 16 hrs ago from now. I thought youtube banned him so this might not be up for long. Most barflies know he is from Texas and lives in the Donbass.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qu48GbtH5u8

Posted by: migueljose | Feb 16 2022 14:14 utc | 50

A surprisingly balanced article from the BBC this morning. Of course they have to mention Putin's 'muscular' policy but perhaps the wind is changing.

"If he [Mr Putin] were a promoter of multiculturalism and gay rights, I feel sure that with regards to his foreign policy, it would be treated with a great deal more tolerance," Mr Taylor said.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-60297302

Posted by: dh | Feb 16 2022 14:22 utc | 51

Posted by: migueljose | Feb 16 2022 14:14 utc | 49

Great stuff, thanks for that one. He should be on prime time TV back in his home country. He won't that goes without saying.

Posted by: Paco | Feb 16 2022 14:39 utc | 52

@Paco 51:

Bentley is now a Russian citizen. One of the many Donbass Russian passport holders.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Feb 16 2022 14:50 utc | 53

@BM #23
ROFL

Posted by: c1ue | Feb 16 2022 14:58 utc | 54

I wouldn't want to live in Donbass right now, it's got to be tense waiting for a possible Ukraine/Nato attack.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Feb 16 2022 15:00 utc | 55

My analysis: Axis Berlin-Paris Deters NATO War Provocation

Full break of Europe with aggressive war hawks in London and Washington DC.

Macron states Russia is part of Europe … Scholz declares in Moscow, European security can only be reached with Russia. Zelensky has been made clear you can be part of the EU, the choice for allegiance is his. Sovereignty … the well know steamroller from both sides.

Biden can’t guarantee the Democrats are still in power in Congress end of this year and the White House in 2024. Lessons learned …

The MEP in Brussels/Strasbourg could force the EU Commission to let the hammer fall on Poland and Hungary. ECJ verdict today is very clear.

Posted by: Oui | Feb 16 2022 15:20 utc | 56

In retrospect, (and I agree we shouldn't underestimate both empire's stupidity and malevolence) this reminds me of an American Football play (sorry) whereby the offense tries to get the defense to jump offsides by the quarterback changing up snap count and cadence. It is a play that seldom works, but can work with an undisciplined opponent - the opposite of the Russian government.

So when the offense fails to get the defense to jump offsides, they call a timeout, and usually punt the ball downfield. "Biden Blinked with Blinken" should be the headline as the Russians are too smart for such infantile gamesmanship.

But we should look at this as a play in a game, and not the outcome of the game. The USA is deranged, dangerous, desperate... and losing.

Posted by: gottlieb | Feb 16 2022 15:27 utc | 57

Ah, those pesky Russians. Either they they were too hungover from last night’s heavy vodka drinking sessions to invade first thing this morning, or they are too ignorant to know their left from their right and they are moving east instead of west. If Moscow should fall then we will know that it is the second explanation that is the right one.

Posted by: Pb | Feb 16 2022 15:34 utc | 58

@Steve | Feb 16 2022 13:40 utc | 47

>>Ukraine should demand to be treated like the West treats Israel

Already happened LOL: https://www.rt.com/russia/545572-germany-ukraine-weapons-supply/
Promote guilt and cowardice as hallmarks of civilization, and a few years down the road you'll have lots of fun with your brave new culture.

It was my pet theory from the Maidan years: Why do (some) Ukies hate Russia? Because Russia has subsidized them for 25 years. It follows that in a decade or two, they'll hate Germany just as much.

At that point, they'll have caught up with the Poles, whose hate-everyone policy leaves them with little leverage vs the EU. Unfortunately, Ukies and Poles also have seriously bad blood between themselves; hard to see what good can come from it all.

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Feb 16 2022 15:36 utc | 59

some Ukies hate Russia because they beat the Nazis.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Feb 16 2022 15:50 utc | 60

Yesterday I read an essay which claims the USA helium reserve is basically empty.

Furthermore, US officials pled with Russian officials for a supply of helium for the purpose of:
"preventing collapse of the USA internet"

I spent many years designing and implementing the early ethernet and internet protocols. There never
was any connection to helium.

BUT....

I distinctly recall there being a connection between helium and H-bombs...

Could anyone here elaborate on this?

INDY

Posted by: Dr. George W Oprisko | Feb 16 2022 15:53 utc | 61

Were a mushroom cloud to appear, the evidence for it would surely come in the form of smoke wafting from the opium pipes being passed around by DC's 3LAs.

Posted by: S Brennan | Feb 16 2022 15:55 utc | 62

@Down South | Feb 16 2022 7:49 utc | 4

Russians must think the lunatics have taken over the asylum.
I would not argue against the Russians on this question.

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 15:55 utc | 63

Riing!
"You have reached the Kremlin, lair of the evillest evildoers on the planet, Vladbad the Bad speaking, how may I help you?"
"Oh, hi, Vlad, Azov Amerikanskiy here. How's things?"
"You know, invasion, no invasion, invasion, no invasion, it gets old real quick, you know?"
"Yeah, I hear you. Listen, you have anything on the calendar for today?"
"Let me check . . . no, nothing scheduled. Let me check my emails . . . nope. Memos . . . no. Looks like another dull day."
"Oh, okay, I just wondered. Let me know if anything comes up, will you?"
"Sure, Az, sure. Just as soon as we get the go-ahead from NATO . . . oh, wait, you didn't sign up for that yet."
"Doesn't look like we're ever going to."
"Bummer."
"I know, Vlad, I know. Think of all we're missing out on. F-35s, Zumwalts, those crazy subs that knock over underwater mountains, cluster bombs . . . We can't wait."
"Whoa, gotta run, Az, looks like somebody's trying to schedule us for an invasion."
"Okay, Vlad, nice talking to you, keep in touch."
Click!

Posted by: pasha | Feb 16 2022 15:58 utc | 64

@pretzelattack | Feb 16 2022 15:50 utc | 59

>>some Ukies hate Russia because they beat the Nazis
For the hard core, you're right of course. Though as far as I know, Moscow places great value on the narrative that there were all sorts of folk in the Red Army (the original "diversity is strength" lol), probably precisely to not make it sound like Russians beating down the barbarians.

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Feb 16 2022 15:59 utc | 65

as far as I know that diversity didnt include nazi supporters.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Feb 16 2022 16:02 utc | 66

What is this supposed to say?
That poor little Ukraine has no air, military or naval bases. Where are the icons on the map for Ukraine. Interesting that map doesn't show Russian bases at all just some vague icons showing Russian forces stuffed up against the border. Yet more black propaganda from Rupert Murdoch and The Sun.

Posted by: Ghost Ship | Feb 16 2022 16:03 utc | 67

Gilbert Doctorow on Russia's next moves.

"Yesterday we saw several very interesting developments in Moscow that have been reported separately by our media when they are in fact all interconnected and relate to Russia’s moving on from its Plan A, the invasion scare, to Plan B, the possible recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk republics as sovereign states independent of Kiev. This plan also can be allowed to play out over several weeks or months while applying further psychological pressure on the Zelensky government."

to summarize, Doctorow appears to be saying that Shoigu's announcement of finishing up war games followed with The Duma's bill presented to Putin allowing him to recognize the Donbass republics followed by Putin's rejection of the bill-- for now-- puts huge pressure on Ukraine/Zelensky to change their minds and decide to support the Minsk Accords before Russia abandons them and moves into the Donbass. Doctorow's overall belief is that Russia is now initiating and the U.S. is reacting resulting in the obvious power shift in favor of Russia. It seems to me that Russia is acting quickly in each move and not allowing the U.S. to spin the story in their favor, thus, the Empire is losing control of the storyline. They are exposed and ugly.


https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/02/16/meet-the-new-proactive-russia-the-kremlin-moves-on-to-plan-b/

Posted by: migueljose | Feb 16 2022 16:20 utc | 68

Biden has diffiuculty believing reality. From today Feb 16th:


Biden said, citing US intelligence, that "Our analysts indicate they remain very much in a threatening position" - he further claimed that "150,000 Russian troops" now encircle Ukraine, including from inside Belarus.

The FR forces are returning to base but the numbers on the borders have increased significantly according to Brandon.

It is not just Brandon:


But at the same time it appears the US is hitting back, as on Wednesday Secretary of State Antony Blinken issued a statement saying "we continue to see critical Russian units moving toward the border, not away." He said despite the Kremlin's claims, the US sees "no evidence of a Russian pullback".

Dire forecasts will likely continue till the March 1st State of the Union at which time Brandon will declare victory.

I suspect any adult member of the EU policy establishment will be reviewing all of Putin's proposals and contemplate cutting the AngoAtlanticist umbilical. Next up - EUexit!

Posted by: Sushi | Feb 16 2022 16:28 utc | 69

@Steve | Feb 16 2022 13:40 utc | 47

Ukraine should demand to be treated like the West treats Israel, with billions of dollars in aid every year.
I guess that was the idea the occupiers of Occupied Palestine had in mind before 2014.

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 16:34 utc | 70

@ migueljose | Feb 16 2022 16:20 utc | 67... thanks migueljose.. i am not sure about doctorows conclusions there...

Posted by: james | Feb 16 2022 16:47 utc | 71

A presser I didn't have time to parse yesterday is "Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's remarks and answers to media questions at a joint news conference with OSCE Chairperson-in-Office and Polish Foreign Minister Z. Rau following the talks" where Lavrov explains the following to the assembled press:

"We proceed from the fact that one of the main challenges facing the OSCE is to achieve a common understanding of the principle of the indivisibility of this very security, which is fundamental for the entire European security architecture. It demands the avoidance of any action that would strengthen someone's security at the expense of the security of any other country. All this is enshrined in many OSCE documents since 1994, when the Code of Conduct in the Politico-Military Sphere was adopted. Then the Charter for European Security in Istanbul in 1999 was approved at the highest level, and in December 2010, at the OSCE summit in Astana, this principle was in a detailed form, unequivocally confirmed. Now it's about us doing it. This is not how our Western colleagues try to imagine that every country has the right to choose its own alliances, and they try not to remember that this should not be done at the expense of the safety of others.

"In order to clarify the approaches of our colleagues, whose leaders have subscribed to these documents, I sent a message to the foreign ministers of the countries concerned in Europe asking them to clarify how they themselves understand the set of these obligations, which are called the principle of the indivisibility of security. I hope that such substantive answers will certainly come. At least I asked Z. Rau not to forget to do it." [My Emphasis]

Lavrov needs to say the reason for Russia's security proposals is because OSCE NATO members have broken the OSCE treaties by threatening Russian security. And the likely reason he hasn't gotten many replies to his letter is due to the fact that those OSCE nations have no clue what to say. So, they go along with the biggest violator of treaties ever in history and go hysterical.

There's more to parse, but that's all the time I have for today.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 16 2022 16:50 utc | 72

If I was Zelensky I might be worried that the false flag might be me getting Novichok in my underpants

Posted by: Mark T | Feb 16 2022 16:52 utc | 73

@Dr. George W Oprisko #60
All the helium yakety is entirely due to some company trying to raise money because they purportedly have a lot of helium reserves. Oh and the US gov helium reserve is empty.
Company is Avanti I think.
But it is almost certainly a scam.
As far as I understand it, most helium is skimmed off natural gas. The US in producing lots of natural gas, but the price is apparently not enough to prompt anyone to do more of that.
As for internet: more BS. Those articles are all coming from PR Newswire or sponsored Oilprice posts - I.e. pay to print. The internet: you *can* use helium to cool backbone internet routers but it isn’t the only thing that can be used.

Posted by: c1ue | Feb 16 2022 16:54 utc | 74

An Epic Saigon / Kabul moment has happened without a shot being fired.

A graphic of all 42 countries who have evacuated Kiev

The graphic lists 41, but greater than half of the Ukrop regime has fled, so that makes 42.

Posted by: Arfur Mo | Feb 16 2022 16:54 utc | 75

@Dr. George W Oprisko | Feb 16 2022 15:53 utc | 60

I distinctly recall there being a connection between helium and H-bombs...

Could anyone here elaborate on this?


H is Hydrogen and He is Helium.

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 16:57 utc | 76

@karlof1 | Feb 16 2022 16:50 utc | 71

"In order to clarify the approaches of our colleagues, whose leaders have subscribed to these documents, I sent a message to the foreign ministers of the countries concerned in Europe asking them to clarify how they themselves understand the set of these obligations, which are called the principle of the indivisibility of security. I hope that such substantive answers will certainly come. At least I asked Z. Rau not to forget to do it." [My Emphasis]

Lavrov needs to say the reason for Russia's security proposals is because OSCE NATO members have broken the OSCE treaties by threatening Russian security. And the likely reason he hasn't gotten many replies to his letter is due to the fact that those OSCE nations have no clue what to say. So, they go along with the biggest violator of treaties ever in history and go hysterical.


There is a different reason why Lavrov has not gotten many replies. NATO and EU have decided it is better they answer on behalf of those who got the question, so those are the replies that Lavrov receieved, instead of from the signatory countries.

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 17:08 utc | 77

@60 This is directly affecting my business so I can tell you what I know. Helium is produced as a side product of uranium mining. There is basically one huge US facility for this that is closed for maintenance right now. There are two other major facilities that I know of in Russia and Qatar. Coincidentally or not, they are all also undergoing maintenance. So all helium allocations have been slashed dramatically. It is kind of a big problem here affecting multiple industries.

It is perhaps worth noting that the Russian plant suffered a fire in the fall and an explosion in January I believe. Who knows if it was some idiotic US attempt at sabotage, but it ends up hurting US businesses. And, needless to say, Russia probably won’t be a hurry to get supply chains back to the US up and running anytime soon.

Posted by: Krungle | Feb 16 2022 17:21 utc | 78

As far as I understand it, most helium is skimmed off natural gas. The US in producing lots of natural gas, but the price is apparently not enough to prompt anyone to do more of that.
As for internet: more BS. Those articles are all coming from PR Newswire or sponsored Oilprice posts - I.e. pay to print. The internet: you *can* use helium to cool backbone internet routers but it isn’t the only thing that can be used.

Posted by: c1ue | Feb 16 2022 16:54 utc | 73

[80% certainty] Helium is a light gas, so it evaporates into space. But radioactive decay produces helium, so rocks can produce helium dependent on the natural fissile content (uranium, perhaps thorium too), but as rocks differ, helium content in NG varies a lot, so most commercial helium comes from few sources.

Theorizing: you need to apply distillation to natural gas to separate helium, calling NG to sufficiently low temperature costs the same if the helium content is 0.1% or 2%. So helium from the 1st source costs 20 times more to produce.

With metal ores, the impact of percentage of metal in the rock is less dramatic.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Feb 16 2022 17:22 utc | 79

Interesting and well articulated line of inquiry in a Tim Kirby article at SCF.

The condescending attitude he describes is, of course, directed at practically the whole world, and in reality, is quite transparent to most adults who aren't on the payroll of the empire in some way. And arguing with those who are on the payroll, using captive media channels like Twitter, is indeed a pointless exercise. Then again, at this point in time, the US ain't Rome. A better (but still clumsy/forced) comparison might be present-day US as Great Britain in the 1930s, and present-day China as the US back then. The question for other countries is what do you do in this situation?

Posted by: ptb | Feb 16 2022 17:23 utc | 80

Once again the US leads by example:

https://popularresistance.org/the-persecution-of-alex-saab/

This rules out any "diplomatic solution."

Posted by: Paul | Feb 16 2022 17:24 utc | 81

@BM | Feb 16 2022 10:48 utc | 23

06:00 Getting up.
07:00 Morning toilet
08:00 Breakfast
09:00 Assault on Ukraine

Putin on his way to invade Ukraine
https://www.tiktok.com/@military780/video/7064663264235408645


Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 17:28 utc | 82

@Dr. George W Oprisko | Feb 16 2022 15:53 utc | 60
Helium is the product of a hydrogen fusion. That is what, according to physic's standard model, occurred just after the big bang, and what happens in H bombs.

Posted by: aquadraht | Feb 16 2022 17:28 utc | 83

What happened to the cyber-attack? I checked the webpage of one of the banks supposedly under attack yesterday, and it really was down. It showed a very crude html (looked anno 1994) basically saying hahahaha. Why isn’t that all over the news today?

Posted by: Jörgen Hassler | Feb 16 2022 17:31 utc | 84

@ karlof1 | Feb 16 2022 16:50 utc | 71... thanks karl. it is perhaps as norwegian suggests @ 76.... i can see lots of room for mischief in the way they respond..

Posted by: james | Feb 16 2022 17:39 utc | 85

@Piotr Berman #78
Meh - here’s reality: Where does helium come from

Most of the helium comes from natural gas deposits.

Your example of production is correct except that natural gas deposits have different levels of helium. The existing sources are presumably fairly high in helium content.
If helium is really valuable, I’d guess that the LNG process - which is already freezing NG, would be a cheaper way.

But be that as it may, I think a far more critical use for helium is MRI machines.

Posted by: c1ue | Feb 16 2022 17:46 utc | 86

Could it be possible that even the Bandera nazis dont want to die?

Posted by: Robert Macaire | Feb 16 2022 17:47 utc | 87

I hope to live long enough to see the epic slapdown of the U.S. from the world champion Russians.

Posted by: morongobill | Feb 16 2022 17:48 utc | 88

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 17:28 utc | 81

Missed the afternoon activities:

12:00 Lunch
13:00 Kiev's capture
18:00 Concert by Gazmanov
21:00 Fireworks salute.

Ratified by the President with his signature in the upper right side corner and by the Defense Minister in the lower center one.

https://r2.mt.ru/r4/photo793C/20591984675-0/jpg/bp.webp

Who is Gazmanov?

Here you have him singing Born in the URSS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=coeH02wg4lE

Posted by: Paco | Feb 16 2022 17:49 utc | 89

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 16 2022 17:28 utc | 81

By the way, no need to speak Russian to understand Gazmanov’s first line:

Ukraine, Crimea, Belarus and Moldova, that’s my country. The list goes on later on.

Posted by: Paco | Feb 16 2022 17:55 utc | 90

With much of the world focused on military action in Ukraine, Putin moves the chess pieces elsewhere:


CNN revealed based on defense officials that US planes warned off Russian fighters when they flew near US bases in Syria. According to the report, "US fighter jets and other coalition aircraft escorted three Russian aircraft in eastern Syria on Tuesday when the Russians flew into coalition-restricted airspace, according to two US officials with direct knowledge of the incident."

Even the most deaf and dumb are led to ask the question "If RF forces entering Ukraine is really, really bad, and totally, totally unacceptable, then what are we to think of US forces illegally occupying a tranche of Syria?"

Checkmate!

Posted by: Sushi | Feb 16 2022 18:03 utc | 91

Doctorow's point is well-made. There is a new situation for Ukraine:

"Whereas in the preceding several weeks, Kiev had publicly denounced the Minsk Accords as posing a threat to their state if implemented, whereas President Zelensky himself had said before cameras that not a single line of the Accords was acceptable to him, no sooner than the Duma vote became known did the Kiev authorities start sending out appeals to all international organizations to help save those Accords from the Russian pull-out via recognition of the independence of the Donbas republics."

Posted by: jayc | Feb 16 2022 18:33 utc | 92

@Piotr Berman #78

To get an impression of helium production out of natural gas:
Amur Gas Processing Plant at the "Power of Siberia" pipeline: 60 million cubic meter/year

Posted by: JWW | Feb 16 2022 18:41 utc | 93

Happy Russian Invasion/Syrian Gas Attack in Douma/Libyan Responsibility to Stop a Dictator from Killing His Own People/ Iraqi Weapons of Mass Destruction/September 11th Inside Job/Serbian Racak “Massacre”/Kuwaiti Incubator Babies/Vietnam Gulf of Tonkin/FDR Knew Pearl Harbor Would Happen/Remember the Maine Day everyone!

All patriotic Support-the-Troops Americans and indeed Freedom-Loving People around the world will surely celebrate this proud tradition today!

Posted by: ak74 | Feb 16 2022 18:56 utc | 94

In case you missed today's invasion, you can watch a live recording of it. Nine webcams in Ukraine and Russia follow the Russian invasion: Belgorod, Kharkov, Kiev, Odessa, Sumy, Chernihiv, Lvov + Flightradar24 and commentary by NATO officials. The nine hour live stream started at 9 am Kiev time, one hour before the start of the invasion.

Evacuation Ukraine-Russia Crisis - LIVE BREAKING NEWS COVERAGE Stream (Invasion Imminent?)

Based on the commentary, the host Inventor Lee Wheelbarger seems to be a rabid Russophobe.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Feb 16 2022 19:01 utc | 95

along w/"Russia Attacks!", the covid narrative is collapsing! we are now in the territory of "post-critical virology". covid is a narrative. hahaha. soon to be "post post-critical" and then "post ICU", too. no more toys r us, just morgues are us.

so covid is its practice, its rituals, its liturgies, its regimes, its discourses of knowledge, its representation in graphs and sweet, sweet pie charts. the tracking centers and portable morgues and vax stations and nose swabs. if we don't test for it, will it come? how can there be any missing children if you aren't missing children?

the state prepares to end mask mandates while sending out a directive to all medical care providers to prepare for "crisis levels of care", which they have not done before during the virus.

because the narrative is collapsing.

the Koch-fueled crypto-funded trucker convoy, the Russia Attacks! hysteria and the collapsing covid narrative, what do they all have in common? umm...the same thing they have in common with the Superbowl and its trillions in ad revenue?

Posted by: rjb1.5 | Feb 16 2022 19:02 utc | 96

Helium is separated from natural gas and oil, not all natural gas and oil deposits contain it in recoverable amounts.

It is difficult to store and usually pumped down into an empty gas field for holding.

The USA once held most of the world stocks in a government owned strategic reserve. But that got privatised and the company that bought it sold the gas off for filling party balloons.

The USA has squandered what it once had it and now realizes it's needed for all kinds of advanced, cutting edge, science and tech.

I believe Canada has sizeable deposits

Posted by: DaveGood | Feb 16 2022 19:08 utc | 97

Posted by: MFB | Feb 16 2022 7:16 utc | 2

Fort Bliss in El Paso, TX is even closer to Mexico than Fort Hood. We're talking 5 minutes driving, no exaggeration. Then just up the road is the White Sands Missile Range and Holloman Air Force Base. Further west we have Davis-Monthan AFB, AZ. We have the Mexicans cornered but for some reason the national tabloid media isn't reporting on this clear sign of aggression and intent to invade.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 16 2022 19:10 utc | 98

Sushi | Feb 16 2022 18:03 utc | 90
what are we to think

you are giving us way too much credit. it's an instance of Russian aggression. that you think more of it is itself grounds for the only attitude one can properly have toward Russia: suspicion. we have a thing we do with the geographers and historians and their book. Cf. burning down the Maus.

Posted by: rjb1.5 | Feb 16 2022 19:11 utc | 99

This might be important. Today the European Court (CJEU) found against Hungary and Poland who had challenged the EU's right to withhold funds until the two states agreed to uphold what the EU calls 'the rule of law.' The NYTimes has an article which probably contains some actual facts.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/16/world/europe/eu-court-funds-hungary-poland.html

As Wolfgang Streek argued in the NLR, last month the EU seems to have entrusted its legislative powers to the Court which is a lot more reliable-for the Atlanticists and NeoLiberals who run Europe- than the elected legislators. The EU is rapidly erasing all traces of the democracy that it was established to thwart.
This article by Streek is very good.
https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/190

NATO and the EU are slowly dissolving, which is good news.

Posted by: bevin | Feb 16 2022 19:15 utc | 100

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