Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 19, 2022

Open Thread 2022-06

News & views ...

Posted by b on January 19, 2022 at 18:17 UTC | Permalink

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Here's one for the "Rothschilds To Rule Them All" theorists:

How Reuters and Havas and Wolff formed a news monopoly

Rothschilds figure very heavily in the Jewish initial formation of the news telegraph networks (Paul Julius Reuter was born Israel Beer Josaphat) - both in early use and in later funding to expand worldwide.

Nor is this not completely understandable. While the article talks about Reuters role in various financial panics, there can be no question that getting accurate information, fastest is a huge advantage in any number of areas.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 21 2022 15:32 utc | 201

Hello barflies. The Daily daily from Montréal as I see it.

1) How Canada works for our overseas barflies: No national security issue in Chinese takeover of Canadian lithium company

“That review concluded that Neo Lithium is "really not a Canadian company," he told the industry committee, describing it as an Argentine company with directors in the United Kingdom and only three Canadian employees "on paper." “

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/no-national-security-issue-in-chinese-takeover-of-canadian-lithium-company-liberals-1.5748814

2) Over 500 troops on high-readiness in Ukraine (note the fine print…)

“The Canadian contingent includes about 350 troops primarily from Valcartier, Que., who form the core of a 1,000-strong NATO battlegroup stationed in Camp Adazi, about 30 kilometres northeast of the Latvian capital of Riga.”

https://globalnews.ca/news/8527217/canada-ukraine-nato-troops/

3) This Toronto Star piece (editorial) was worth the read.

“The reasons for Canada’s new aggressiveness are starkly political. The Ukrainian-Canadian lobby is politically powerful, and anyone who wants to mobilize that lobby had best be prepared to oppose Russia all-out in this confrontation. There is no room for subtlety.”

https://www.thestar.com/opinion/contributors/2022/01/20/canada-usually-the-voice-of-moderation-is-playing-the-cowboy-on-ukraine-crisis.html

4) And for the Francophones, Blinken and Lavrov in 30 seconds

https://www.lapresse.ca/international/europe/2022-01-21/pourparlers-sur-l-ukraine/russes-et-americains-prennent-rendez-vous-la-semaine-prochaine.php

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Jan 21 2022 15:56 utc | 202

Stratechery writeup on the Intel split

It is an interesting article but is wrong in many critical ways.

For example:

This is what Gelsinger did with the 486; from the afore-linked paper:

...

For executing this visionary design flow, we needed to put together a CAD system which did not exist yet.

...

The combination of all these tools was stitched together into a system called RLS which was the first RTL to layout system ever employed in a major microprocessor development program…RLS succeeded because it combined the power of three essential ingredients:

While I'm sure Intel did create their own flow - they were already pretty big back in the 486 era - the details don't match up.

1) RTL language descriptions existed long before 1992 (when the 486 came out). Even if we backtrack 2 years for the design process, 1990 is much later than:
a) 1979: IBM uses gate array based logic synthesis to design its mainframe computers
b) US DOD directs an effort to create what became the VHDL logic synthesis language. RFP in 1981, specification finalized in 1985
c) Synopsys - the dominant logic synthesis EDA company today - founded in 1986.

So Gelsinger no doubt created a flow, but logic synthesis existed long before Intel and HDL languages was a big and industry wide thing long before the 486 was created. I would also note that the above says RTL to layout - this is not automatically a placed cell library. I know for a fact Intel was custom laying out the vast majority of its CPUs in the late 1990s to early 2000s. The notion that Intel was using a full RTL/synthesis/cell library placement flow in the 486 seems extremely unlikely.

2)

The problem is that Intel, used to inventing its own tools and processes, gradually fell behind the curve on standardization; yes, the company had partnerships with EDA companies like Synopsys and Cadence, but most of the company’s work was done on its own homegrown tools, tuned to its own fabs.

This is flat out wrong. While I came onto the scene later - in 1997 - Intel was a major customer for both Synopsys and Cadence. I supported different Intel facilities for both companies so I know this for a fact.

3) No mention of either Intel underinvestment or Intel's process+design flow.
Again, I have direct personal knowledge of this, as I worked for both Synopsys and Cadence, and in fact managed the Cadence relationship with TSMC as my last endeavor in the semiconductor/EDA space.
Intel's processes were 40% faster than TSMC in that era, by TSMC's own internal statements. Intel's processes were also more power efficient etc etc. AMD had a smaller delta but equally could not fab its latest generation chip at TSMC due to the performance hit. (Note: TSMC was founded in 1987)

The point is that Intel could notoutsource its chips to an external fab like TSMC without a major performance hit even if they wanted to. For older chips - there was no point as Intel had fully depreciated fabs making them anyway.

Now take this fact with the reality that Intel shut down a lot of fabs: they have 13 active now but shut down 9 from 2000 to today.

Prior to EDA, I worked at AMD in the period when AMD first produced a processor that was faster than the latest Intel one. Intel used its 10x+ fab capacity to destroy AMD's ability to monetize this chip (what later became known as Athlon). Intel realized that it could cut prices on its leading edge chips, which rippled through to AMD even as it slowed the price reductions on the slower chips. Since Intel had so much fab capacity - AMD literally could not produce enough chips to even break even, admittedly a significant part of the problem was %good output for the Athlon. So Intel was hurt, but it both maintained its 85%+ industry dominance while still being profitable from a cash flow basis.

So nice try, but the author relies too much on Intel and too little on actual industry expertise - from himself or from others.

Intel's problem now is that TSMC has leapfrogged a full generation ahead of them.
Does Intel still have the 40% edge? I don't know.
Does the full generation difference make up for the 40% edge, if it exists? I don't know.
Does TSMC's capacity mean that any company using them (cough Apple) no longer has to worry about Intel dominance of CPU capacity? HELL YES. I would even hazard an educated guess that the answer to the above first 2 questions are No and Yes given Apple's behavior.

This is the secular change.

And to be clear: PC shipments have been flat for a long, long time prior to COVID. Even cloud - while a growing segment, is tiny compared to laptop/desktop CPU sales and is cannibalizing those to some degree, so the decision made to "streamline" by prior Intel CEOs isn't entirely unjustified.

This is not to say the multiple billions spent on stock buybacks was, though.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 21 2022 15:59 utc | 203

unknown31 @181 & librul @ 142

The reliability of the maps from 181 is indicated by the fact they do not remotely agree with each other.

Note that both Zelensky and Poroshenko are Russian speakers. As an actor Zelensky tries harder, fools no one.

The most ultranationalist actor on the scene is Arsen Avakov. Born as an Avakian, a Soviet Armenian Jew. Having grown up in USSR he is naturally a Russian speaker.

If you want truly comic history distorted by ideology and fanatics go over to Wiki and start reading their take of Ukrainian history. Maybe look at the ‘Khmelnitsky Uprising’ and link around from there. Did you know that over a million Ukrainians died just in that uprising? Did you know that four million Ukrainians died in the wars of the 17th century? It is all that laughable. No, you will not find straightforward answers to who speaks what where.

The name Ukraine did not even exist until the 1880s. Ukrainian nationalism started where I sit, Chicago. Why would there be a well defined Ukrainian language or even a distinct dialect?

When Sheldon Patinkin was doing his new translations of Chekhov retaining the ribaldry of the originals with lots of jokes from yokels in Surzhyk patois he found that no Chicago Ukrainian and no Ukrainian Ukrainian could help him. Who could read the jokes and translate immediately were Polish speakers.

Most of Ukraine was vacant and not settled until Catherine the Great took control of the territory. The country was only occupied and settled in the 19th century. Who speaks what is the story of who settled where. This paragraph is wholly politically unacceptable.

Posted by: oldhippie | Jan 21 2022 16:12 utc | 204

More alternative energy info

Grid Balancing Costs skyrocketing in the UK

The Electricity System Operator (ESO) plays an essential role in balancing supply and demand using the Balancing Mechanism (BM). Matching supply and demand requires payments to be made between the ESO and participating consumers and generators. Consumers and generators submit prices for volumes of energy they can provide within a half-hour period (Settlement Period) to balance the system. In this Insight article, analyst Angus Fairbairn looks at balancing costs of ESO since 2015.

...

The ESO role in Great Britain, performed by National Grid ESO, is becoming more challenging and costly. All electricity consumers pay for these costs as part of their bills. In 2020, some contributing factors were the move to a more decentralised system and increases in intermittent generation with a push to a net zero future.

...

The graph below shows how payments for balancing energy produced from different fuel types has contributed to net balancing costs since 2015. This graph only includes payments for utilised balancing energy in the BM and outside the BM in Balancing Services Adjustment Actions. Additional payments, such as availability fees or start-up costs have not been included.

Net balancing costs were £506m in 2015. The system pressures mentioned above have pushed the net cost in 2020 to £1.3Bn, 67% higher than 2019 (£794m).

...

The graph below shows changes in net Bid and Offer cash flow between 2015 and 2020. Bids have a negative volume as they are a reduction in energy on the system. The Bid price represents the amount paid to the ESO by the balancing services provider and therefore the lower the Bid price, the more expensive it is to the ESO and a negative price will represent a payment to a BM Participant.

Bid cashflow is the price (£/MWh) of a Bid multiplied by the volume of the Bid (MWh). A net positive Bid cashflow across a year means more money was paid to Balancing Service providers for negatively priced Bids by the ESO than the ESO received from positively priced Bids.

Prior to 2020, the yearly net cost attributed to Bids was negative. This means more money was received by National Grid ESO for reducing energy on the system than was paid to Balancing Service providers to reduce energy on the system. Balancing Service providers will pay to reduce their generation as they may save costs of operation and/or fuel. They may also pay to consume more electricity.

The negative net Bid Cashflow from Bids reduced the overall cost of balancing the system by an average of £125m per year from 2015 to 2019. This trend significantly switched in 2020 with a positive net Bid cashflow, of £257m being paid from the ESO to Balancing Service providers to reduce energy on the system. This represented an additional 19% of cost on top of Offer costs.

Net positive Bid cashflow means more money is being paid to BM Participants from the ESO than Balancing Service providers are paying to the ESO to reduce energy on the system. Bids which result in payment from the ESO to the Balancing Service provider will have a negative price in £/MWh.

This is largely large electrical grid wonkery, but what matters is that the costs to consumers due to grid balancing has increased 794 million GBP from 2019 to 2020 to 1.3 billion GBP, and the reason for that is the grid operator went from making money in balance payments to spending money.

This is directly an impact of alternative energy (solar PV and wind).

So the costs to the overall population isn't just the subsidies to install or the feedin tariffs but also systemic costs to the grid operator which then get passed down to the consumer.
The grid balancing amount is 46 GBP per household in 2020 (1.3 billion/28.1 million households) - again, not a huge amount of money per household but a new cost that didn't exist prior to the advent of alternative energy reliance in the UK.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 21 2022 16:13 utc | 205

More alternative energy info

Grid Balancing Costs skyrocketing in the UK

The Electricity System Operator (ESO) plays an essential role in balancing supply and demand using the Balancing Mechanism (BM). Matching supply and demand requires payments to be made between the ESO and participating consumers and generators. Consumers and generators submit prices for volumes of energy they can provide within a half-hour period (Settlement Period) to balance the system. In this Insight article, analyst Angus Fairbairn looks at balancing costs of ESO since 2015.

...

The ESO role in Great Britain, performed by National Grid ESO, is becoming more challenging and costly. All electricity consumers pay for these costs as part of their bills. In 2020, some contributing factors were the move to a more decentralised system and increases in intermittent generation with a push to a net zero future.

...

The graph below shows how payments for balancing energy produced from different fuel types has contributed to net balancing costs since 2015. This graph only includes payments for utilised balancing energy in the BM and outside the BM in Balancing Services Adjustment Actions. Additional payments, such as availability fees or start-up costs have not been included.

Net balancing costs were £506m in 2015. The system pressures mentioned above have pushed the net cost in 2020 to £1.3Bn, 67% higher than 2019 (£794m).

...

The graph below shows changes in net Bid and Offer cash flow between 2015 and 2020. Bids have a negative volume as they are a reduction in energy on the system. The Bid price represents the amount paid to the ESO by the balancing services provider and therefore the lower the Bid price, the more expensive it is to the ESO and a negative price will represent a payment to a BM Participant.

Bid cashflow is the price (£/MWh) of a Bid multiplied by the volume of the Bid (MWh). A net positive Bid cashflow across a year means more money was paid to Balancing Service providers for negatively priced Bids by the ESO than the ESO received from positively priced Bids.

Prior to 2020, the yearly net cost attributed to Bids was negative. This means more money was received by National Grid ESO for reducing energy on the system than was paid to Balancing Service providers to reduce energy on the system. Balancing Service providers will pay to reduce their generation as they may save costs of operation and/or fuel. They may also pay to consume more electricity.

The negative net Bid Cashflow from Bids reduced the overall cost of balancing the system by an average of £125m per year from 2015 to 2019. This trend significantly switched in 2020 with a positive net Bid cashflow, of £257m being paid from the ESO to Balancing Service providers to reduce energy on the system. This represented an additional 19% of cost on top of Offer costs.

Net positive Bid cashflow means more money is being paid to BM Participants from the ESO than Balancing Service providers are paying to the ESO to reduce energy on the system. Bids which result in payment from the ESO to the Balancing Service provider will have a negative price in £/MWh.

This is largely large electrical grid wonkery, but what matters is that the costs to consumers due to grid balancing has increased 794 million GBP from 2019 to 2020 to 1.3 billion GBP, and the reason for that is the grid operator went from making money in balance payments to spending money.

This is directly an impact of alternative energy (solar PV and wind).

So the costs to the overall population isn't just the subsidies to install or the feedin tariffs but also systemic costs to the grid operator which then get passed down to the consumer.
The grid balancing amount is 46 GBP per household in 2020 (1.3 billion/28.1 million households) - again, not a huge amount of money per household but a new cost that didn't exist prior to the advent of alternative energy reliance in the UK.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 21 2022 16:13 utc | 206

@ c1ue | Jan 21 2022 15:32 utc | 201

thanks for that link..

Posted by: james | Jan 21 2022 17:12 utc | 207

Recognizing Luhansk and Donbas as independent states is the stupidest thing Russia could do. They won’t do it, not in a million years. The reason they won’t is not the fallout from the West that would certainly follow such a move. The reason is simply the composition of Ukraine as Russia’s most important and biggest neighbor on its western borders. And Ukraine is there to stay, forever. As a failed state or a model of economic performance, as a corrupt gangster nation or a decent civilization, it will always have huge ramifications for Russia in any way. And in terms of security and foreign policy, it’s vital for Russia that Ukraine stay out of NATO and be at least neutral, just like it was in 2014. The only way to keep Ukraine neutral and possibly even friendly is for Ukraine internally, to have a counterweight to the Catholic crazies over in Galicia. Galicia is the russophobic, anti-semitic region in the east, where the fascists are from. Stepan Bandera came from this shithole, so does today’s Oleh Tyahnybok, the Svoboda thug. The last legitimate president of Ukraine was Pres. Viktor Yanukovych, from the centrist Party of Regions. He got himself elected in a fair and democratic fashion. However, for Yanukovych to become president would not have been possible without his voters in Luhansk, Donbas and Crimea. Crimea is gone now and will never influence Ukrainian elections again. Luhansk and Donbas have not participated in Ukraine’s nationwide elections since the Maidan coup. That’s how Western tools like Yatsenyuk and Poroshenko got to be prime minister and president. Yatsenyuk’s party “People’s Front” came in first in the 2014 parliamentary elections. They did that with only 3.5 million votes, nationwide, but without Crimea, Donbas and Luhansk. I think it’s easy to see how the roughly 5 million Ukrainians in Luhansk and Donbas could make a huge difference in any election in Ukraine. They’re a vital, priceless asset for Russia, but only if they get re-integrated with the rest of Ukraine. Hence the Minsk agreements.

Posted by: Scotch Bingeington | Jan 21 2022 17:35 utc | 208

@ Scotch Bingeington | Jan 21 2022 17:35 utc | 207... i agree with you.. but the minsk agreements have been ignored by ukraine and the west...

Posted by: james | Jan 21 2022 17:38 utc | 209

m @191--

You're just as illiterate as Blinken's team. The Outlaw US Empire broke two extremely important promises, the first one that allowed for the reunification of Germany being rather huge. If Gorbachev had known the promises made to him would be broken, I very much doubt Germany would've been allowed to reunify and the Berlin Wall would still be standing. Furthermore, the Outlaw US Empire has broken all three OSCE treaties on Collective Security. As both Orlov and myself note, the written response cannot avoid acknowledging that reality--there's no way around it aside from not responding at all.

Paco @194 & Peter AU1 @197--

Not too surprising; pretty much par for the course. Some interesting Q&A at the presser. I'll wait to see what b publishes before I comment further about that event on this thread.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 21 2022 17:56 utc | 210

oldhippie

For that garbage unknown31 linked to its just a matter of checking the list of sponsors or partners on the right side of the page with bellingcat topping the list.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2022 17:57 utc | 211

Scotch Bingeington @207--

Yes, it's often overlooked that Russia defends Ukraine in the same manner it does Syria regarding its territorial integrity. Indeed, the entire Russian argument about the artificial nature of what's now called Ukraine is very solid. Of course, the biggest player in all this is something that no longer exists--the USSR and its Constitution that conferred special status to those entities known as SSRs, of which Ukraine was one. If SSR status had never existed, none of the now independent nations that resulted from that status would exist. The Tsar's Russian Empire as a unitary state was far more stable than what the Bolsheviks created.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 21 2022 18:08 utc | 212

Peter AU1 @ 211

Good catch.

Looking around that page a bit more I see that it is by a professor who taught such rubbish at UC Berkeley for a quarter century. And his name is Walker. We should not wonder that with such creatures for academics the State Department has no diplomats at all.

Posted by: older | Jan 21 2022 18:54 utc | 213

yemen has been punished, the coalition blew up another prison

the most grotesque genocide of our times is almost up to its tenth birthday

Posted by: Rae | Jan 21 2022 20:05 utc | 214

RT has interviewed Iranian President Raisi about the JCPOA and other issues. The article contains a textual recap and the 16.5 minute video.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 21 2022 20:08 utc | 215

Joe Lauria has an interesting analysis of US Regime Change.

The Three Types of US ‘Regime Change’

Posted by: spudski | Jan 22 2022 0:47 utc | 216

Cheers to you James.
I have developed some very conservative views in the past 15 years,
But I think leaving the urban environment, participating in my community, raising kids, and self employment
Has softened that.

I still think the US is the best place for me to accomplish my family dreams,
So I will defer to a preference for my nation, over others.
Admittedly, there is a bias.

But, reading here has also helped to round out my hard conservative edges.
I’m very tolerant of others, and willing to work with ALL peoples.
My priority is always skewed towards my family’s growth, however.

So, please humor me when I shit on China.
Because, I don’t think I could ever do what I do, in China.
I could only do it in the US

Posted by: Cadence Calls | Jan 22 2022 3:36 utc | 217

Cadence Calls 217
Much comes with understanding and respecting other peoples cultures and way of life. China is a very different culture to ours. A very different history. I am an anglo Australian but that does not stop me from having a great deal of respect for say indigenous Aboriginal culture, or a completely different Chinese culture, both of which are far removed from my own.
Chinese culture far predates communism though it is simply painted as communism. As Xi says, Communism with Chinese characteristics. But even then, it is not dogmatic communism but pragmatic. It has pulled Chinese peasants out of poverty and they still a sovereign people not having to worry about western bullshit converting them to something they are not.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 22 2022 3:50 utc | 218

@ Peter AU1 218
Thank you.
Your words are refreshing and relevant to me.
I’ll continue to work on relegating my Western bias, and develop my views.
Many thanks.

Posted by: Cadence calls | Jan 22 2022 4:03 utc | 219

I offer a general observation that may add clarity to people-oriented affairs...

Any population that can recall misery and or suffering know well the condition of "less misery or suffering". That population knows automatically when conditions are better from year-to-year. It is obvious and so shapes their view of their government.

Compare now a population that does not recall suffering or misery...they are vulnerable to misleading/false propaganda because to have no ready counter-view causes confusion, which is an entry point for hypnotic effects to impinge and take root...enter our State Department's "marketing" and psy-ops" strategies.

By the way, just who are the types that so dearly and sincerely wish to dominate and control others?

Posted by: chu teh | Jan 22 2022 4:54 utc | 220

@PeterAU1

I was trying to complete the image link you posted @151. I agree with you about the political inclinations of the author.

@oldhippie

Very interesting, thank you.

Posted by: Unknown31 | Jan 22 2022 9:40 utc | 221

Extreme cold warning, and smog warning this AM. Montrealers advised to stop using wood-burning stoves until the advisory is lifted. (There’s also been a run on electricity leading to talk of Hydro Quebec shutting down wattage to greenhouses and cryptocurrency.)

Maybe because of all that, La Presse takes a deeper look at New Zealand and it’s response to the Omicron wave. I wish I could step into one of those photos, at least until tomorrow afternoon.

“La Nouvelle-Zélande et l’Australie, par exemple, sont isolées et ont une densité de population peu élevée. Elles ne partagent pas non plus de longue frontière avec les États-Unis, comme le Canada. Elles peuvent se barricader plus facilement contre les voyageurs potentiellement infectés.”

https://www.lapresse.ca/international/asie-et-oceanie/2022-01-22/la-nouvelle-zelande-face-a-la-vague-omicron.php

3 Canadians shot, 2 killed at Mexican resort (on second thought, maybe I should just stay here and put on an extra layer. Plenty of Canadian visitors die in Mexico, apparently.)

https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/3-canadians-shot-2-killed-at-mexican-resort-local-officials-1.5750323

Canada poised to offer more support to Ukraine

“Questions about what kind of action would trigger what kind of response from Ukraine’s allies have been clouded amid reports of disagreements among NATO allies, as well as by comments made on Wednesday by U.S. President Joe Biden.”

https://globalnews.ca/news/8530041/russia-aggression-ukraine-anita-anand/

But there are limited options to what help Canada could provide (more on how Canada works)

“Another capability Canada could offer is satellite imagery from its Radarsat spacecraft. The Conservative government announced that initiative in early 2015, but it ended less than a year later after the process of transferring the surveillance data became tangled in red tape and bureaucracy.”

https://ottawacitizen.com/news/national/defence-watch/analysis-canadas-options-in-helping-ukraine-are-limited

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Jan 22 2022 15:16 utc | 222

Marandi vs BBC
Best takedown I've ever seen: Mohammad Marandi vs a BBC guy. a classic, IMO, should be used in debate classes for the next 100 years. Step 1, tell the truth, don't let the interviewer move you away into his world.

24 minutes

https://thesaker.is/58645-2/

Posted by: migueljose | Jan 22 2022 16:11 utc | 223

Weren't the Grand Duchy of Finland, Congress Poland, and the Baltic governorates separate entities with well-defined boundaries during the last decades of tsarist rule? St. Petersburg may have wanted unified, russified rule, but it had limited success.

Posted by: Lysias | Jan 22 2022 16:17 utc | 224

Remember China's plans to build 150 new nuclear reactors?

Everyone’s least favorite climate fix? Nuclear power gets fresh look.

The article is about startups seeking to promote nuclear generated electricity (new nuclear plants), but then

In the United States, which currently gets about 20% of its electricity – and about half of its carbon-free electricity – from nuclear, some 21 reactors are in the process of being decommissioned, according to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

According to wiki, there are 94 nuclear power plants operating in the US now in 58 sites. So 21 is more than a 20% reduction.

My view: the chance of a nuclear resurgence in the US or EU is zero. The heavily funded large enviro groups are pretty uniformly against nuclear and will fight any resurgence tooth and nail - Greenpeace is the most violently anti-nuclear despite its climate armageddon views.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 22 2022 16:27 utc | 225

Cannabis makes you stupider

Cannabis Use Produces Persistent Cognitive Impairments

My personal observations from acquaintances who use MJ heavily:

1 absolutely got visibly stupider. He was very bright, quick and an excellent conversationalist despite being a manual work guy (illegal immigrant from Ukraine). 10 years of heavy MJ use later, he talks literally 20% slower and is dull.

Another is an absolutely brilliant semiconductor scientist. Some form of manic/depressive type disorder - he once cut his thumb to tatters running in a bar and tripping. Uses MJ as well - not as heavily as the above but quite heavily, but seems to be fine.

But of course, we now have a lot of places with legalized use. Will be interesting to see if the above plays out.
No doubt the conspiracy theorists will be saying "but that's the plan". Nah, it is all about the money.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 22 2022 16:33 utc | 226

migueljose | Jan 22 2022 16:11 utc | 223

Thanks for that vid migueljose. Mirandi, as usual, is right on target. Simple logic. Very clear audio. 5 stars out of 5.

Posted by: waynorinorway | Jan 22 2022 16:46 utc | 227

Here's why the claim that "supply chain" is why the US has such high inflation now is utter nonsense.

US vs. Euro vs. UK inflation by Menzie Chinn

Chinn claims it isn't US monetary policy that is causing inflation because US, UK and euro inflation is pretty much the same. But wait, is Chinn saying there wasn't money printing in the UK and EU?

ECB measures to combat economic impact of euro including 2 trillion euro issuance and bank lending encouragement

Bank of England money printing matched COVID related UK spending

Between April 2020 and July 2021, the Bank of England’s ​‘money printing’ programme – creating new money to buy up government debt — matched 99.5% of total new debt issued by government to pay for Covid support schemes like furlough, new analysis from NEF shows. While total borrowing between March 2020 and July 2021 was £413bn, the Bank of England’s total purchase of government debt was £412bn, or 99.5%.

412 billion GBP = $560B. Scaling to US relative population, that would be over $2.7 trillion. Not exactly pocket change, either.

So I have to say it is highly unclear to me whether Menzie Chinn's assertion is correct: that the increase in inflation in the US can't be due to money printing in the US or elsewhere.

But be that as it may: it seems highly unlikely that all 3 regions are experiencing the same "supply chain" problems the US has had. But I don't actually know - maybe others in the UK and EU can chime in.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 22 2022 16:47 utc | 228

The beat on Brandon goes on...

Biden approval new low on AP poll - on TheHill

Forty-three percent of respondents said they somewhat or strongly approve of the way Biden is handling his job as president, compared to 56 percent who said they somewhat or strongly disapprove of Biden’s performance.

The poll, conducted from Jan. 13 to Jan. 18, reflects the president’s lowest approval rating, as recorded by the AP and NORC, since he entered office. Biden entered office with a 61 percent approval rating in January 2021, which fell to 48 percent by October and December. Now, that number is slipping even further.

...

Only 28 percent of respondents said they want to see the president run for reelection in 2024, while 70 percent said they do not. Only 48 percent of Democrats said they want to see another Biden campaign.

Again, the absolute numbers aren't as interesting as the change over time.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 22 2022 19:33 utc | 229

This made me laff

inequality
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=meiU6TxysCg

Posted by: ld | Jan 23 2022 0:44 utc | 230

More on the Red Wave:

GOP In 2022: A Once In A Century Win? - Breaking Points

Some key takeaways (Poll question and respondent data):

How has the Biden presidency make you feel?
50%: Frustrated
49%: Disappointed
40%: Nervous

Ouch.

Biden & Democrats focusing on issues you...
Don't Care About: 39%
Care a little about: 28%
Care a lot about: 33%

Less of an ouch, but still ouch.

UVa Center for Political Analysis: Republicans could win their greatest majority in nearly a century

[This would be a gain of 35 seats in the House.]

Note this isn't a prediction of the greatest majority in a century, but things are such that it is very much on the table.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 23 2022 4:57 utc | 231

@226
There’s a lot of margin space with the premise, but I tend to agree.
I think use of cannabis when young is detrimental.
And persistent, constant, chronic use will dull your brain.

However, I’ve been using cannabis for 40 years. And I’m certainly not dumb.
Lazy? Sure, at times.
Failed to reach my potential, maybe.

But I’ve met every goal I’ve ever had,
And nearly all of those goals have been met in the last ten years.
I’m at peace with myself, my woman, and my kids.

I currently use about once a week, often going months between.
This, after starting every morning with a bong load on the shitter, for 20 years.
I went cum laude in uni (English Lit) at age 40.

No doubt cannabis has an effect on ones life track.
But it hasn’t made ME more stupid, imo.
YMMV, of course.

Cheers


Posted by: Cadence Calls | Jan 23 2022 5:49 utc | 232

Cadence Calls
I tried it because apparently it had health benefits. For me though it was nothing more than a
painkiller - an analgesic. I guess if it was cheaper I would get into it a bit more. At the moment booze is expensive but still works out cheaper than hooch.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 23 2022 6:29 utc | 233

@Cadence Calls #232
As I noted in my personal anecdotes - any cognitive impairment caused by MJ is clearly not universal but it is very possible, even likely that it can happen.
It wouldn't surprise me if there was a genetic component.
For that matter, the impact may not be a THC outcome. The recent strains of genetically enhanced THC plants, were THC the cause, seem like they would certainly have accelerated the stupid due to the wildly increased THC levels - but I believe most of the users of these are adults.
So your statement about maturity may be a factor as well, although both examples I cite were well into adulthood before use (AFAIK).
Besides, stupid may be a societal good (in the eyes of the American oligarchy).

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 23 2022 11:45 utc | 234

Important

I would strongly, in the strongest sense of the word, recommend everyone listen to the full Joe Rogan interview with Dr. Robert Epstein. It requires the use of Spotify which I resisted until about a month ago.

What Dr. Epstein is working on is the creation and operation of a Nielsen type behavioral data gathering setup to document what Google and other search engines are actually showing people.

He originally decided to do this due to manipulation via search engine curation, but his effort accelerated after hearing about examples from internal Google whistleblowers alleging that Google was using "ephemeral experiences" to manipulate opinion.

Search engine curation: Google has the ability to control the rankings of search results. We know this because Google sells advertisers the ability to circumvent whatever Google rules apply to "normal" search engine rankings; it would be impossible to believe that Google could not skew search engine results for whatever reason if they desire it.

"Ephemeral experiences" are related to search. One example: anytime someone uses Google search, unprompted suggestions appear. Dr. Epstein notes that, for example, typing "Hilary Clinton is" prompted very different suggested completed search terms in 2016 when done on Bing vs. Google (Google only showed positive search terms like Hilary Clinton is going to win the election, other search engines skewed negative like Hilary Clinton is a liar). Note the suggestions are ostensibly based on the most common search terms used by the overall population.

This in turn led him to the question: How do we know what Google (or any search engine) is actually showing/suggesting to different people, since the search engine has the power and capability to customize every single person's results? Note that search engines are one of the primary ways people access anything on the web.

Dr, Epstein is a psychologist by profession - so he did research on several of the "ephemeral experience" methods (there are more than the one above).

What he found was that the suggestions skew undecided people's views by a significant amount. So not only is Google able to control what people see by monkeying with search results, but they can also skew perceptions and what is searched for using ephemeral experiences such as the suggestion/autocompleted search term list shown.

I have corroborated parts of what he has alleged and am working on more, but the core is vitally important: how can we as a society know what a large audience tech company is doing in reality?
In particular, whether its actions are extending far beyond commerce and into societal manipulation?
Google search page is seen 500 million times a day - to give an idea of its breadth of audience.

Posted by: c1ue | Jan 23 2022 12:12 utc | 235

Does cannabis use lead to this -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=corZx0a1yRU
(probably not CCP/Chinese military sponsored)
which I got from a very interesting article
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-23/tang-ping-lying-flat-generation-rejecting-chinas-work-culture/100477716

Posted by: tucenz | Jan 23 2022 12:49 utc | 236

Does cannabis use lead to this -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=corZx0a1yRU
(probably not CCP/Chinese military sponsored)
which I got from a very interesting article
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-23/tang-ping-lying-flat-generation-rejecting-chinas-work-culture/100477716

Posted by: tucenz | Jan 23 2022 12:49 utc | 236

China gets its own hippies, cool. Turn on, tune in, and drop out.

Posted by: Bemildred | Jan 23 2022 14:41 utc | 237

...China gets its own hippies, cool. Turn on, tune in, and drop out.

Posted by: Bemildred | Jan 23 2022 14:41 utc | 237

.
"Turn on tune in, lie down"!

Posted by: tucenz | Jan 23 2022 18:25 utc | 238


Nowadays this condition is getting very well known across online platforms. i personally know close friends and family members who are having narcissistic traits and after reading many articles about this condition in people i trully understood that this is a real treat when interacting with these type of people. Even if members of familly are having narcissistic traits, we have to learn how to cope with them and their condition. thank you for writting this article.

Posted by: narcisistul demascat | Feb 16 2022 13:36 utc | 239

Posted by: tucenz | Jan 23 2022 18:25 utc | 238

I think it is more like "this leads to use of cannabis" than the other way around, but yeah. People are not machines, and that is not a defect. Lots of stress over long periods is not good for you, and there will be consequences, pharmacological and otherwise.

Nice to see you posting here. Missed it before now.

Posted by: Bemildred | Feb 16 2022 14:09 utc | 240

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