Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 08, 2022

Mysteries Of The Failed Rebellion In Kazakhstan

It is still a mystery what forces exactly are behind the rebellion in Kazakhstan. While I had presumed that it was a CIA operation it may have been outsourced to Britain's MI6. There are also still other possibilities.

The action seen over the last few days smelled strongly of a color revolution as typically instigated by the United States. The gangs which attacked police forces, set buildings on fire and stormed places where arms were stored seemed very well trained. They worked in formations and were obviously under someone's command. Some of them seemed to have been trained snipers as some shots hit policemen at longer distances. Three of the policemen killed were beheaded which points to some Jihadi elements. Some are also said to have been foreigner and the size of the total force was estimated as up to a quite high 20,000. This has led to some speculate that these people came from Turkey where President Erdogan has used Jihadis from Syria for his foreign policy purposes. But for who's benefit would he do such in Kazakhstan?

Turkey is of course a member of NATO and will in the end do NATO's bidding. Russia ultimatum to 'keep NATO off Russia's border or else ...' might be reason enough for Washington DC to create trouble at Russia's southern boarder. When the U.S. fled from Afghanistan it tried to get new bases in Central Asia but was denied them by every government in the area. A regime change in Kazakhstan might put someone at the top who would allow a U.S. outpost. But who could that person be?

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was installed in 2019 after the long term leader Nursultan Nazarbayev left under public pressure. But Nazarbayev actually stayed in control until very recently. He gained the title 'First President' and was made Chairman of the National Security Committee (KNB). The capital Astana was renamed Nur-Sultan in his honor.

The person who ran the day to day business of the security committee was Karim Masimov, a stalwart allay of Nazarbayev and a business friend of Joe & Hunter Biden. It seemed that the security forces were not really into a fight when the first gangs became violent. Forces guarding the airport of Almaty, the largest city of Kazakhstan, were allegedly told to leave shortly before a gang of some 50 rebels took over the airport.

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has now taken the leading position of the National Security Committee. Nazarbayev is out. On Friday it was reported that he and his family had left Kazakhstan but his private secretary declared that Nazarbayev, who has not been seen in the public since the end of December, was still in Astana / Nur-Sultan.

Karim Masimov was likewise removed and has now been arrested and charged with treason:

The charges of treason point to the possibility that the KNB chief was involved in a bid to topple Tokayev and seize power.

That theory appeared to receive a semi-official endorsement on January 7, when a well-known commentator and former high-ranking government official went on state television to declare that he had received information that Kazakhstan had been targeted by an “armed rebellion” that amounted to an “attempted coup d’etat.”

Yermukhamet Yertysbayev, a one-time adviser to Nazarbayev, is popularly known by the nickname “the president’s nightingale,” as it was widely understood he would express thoughts Nazarbayev wished to put in the public domain, but with plausible deniability.

By way of evidence for his theory, Yertysbayev told Khabar TV that he had been given information that an order was given to remove the security cordon around the airport at Almaty just 40 minutes before protesters occupied it on January 5. That would likely only have been possible with sanction from the very top.

Tokayev has replaced Masimov at the KNB with Yermek Sagimbayev who was previously the head of the State Protection Service which is tasked with ensuring the president’s security. He is Tokayev's man.

Government media have stopped to use the capital name Nur-Sultan and now just call it 'the capital city'.

If this was an internal coup was it one by Tokayev to remove the Nazarbayev clan and its helpers or did the Nazarbayev attempted a coup against Tokayev?

Another mystery is the arrest of Wild Arman (Arman Dzhumageldiyev), a young mafia boss like figure who seems to have been the leader of the rebellion in Almaty. Wild Arman is popular on social media, runs charities and operates financial pyramid schemes. A quite colorful man.

There is also a similar colorful external figure in the game.

Mukhtar Ablyazov was trained in nuclear physics but became a wild east capitalist after the USSR broke down. He gained a share of the BTA Bank when it was privatized by then President Nazarbayev. He used the bank to gain some $5 billion for himself and in 2009, after some trouble with Nazarbayev, he fled the country. BTA Bank eventually broke down defaulting on some $10 billion of debt with one of its biggest creditor being the Royal Bank of Scotland which was bailed out by the British taxpayer.

As many shady billionaires from the former Soviet Union Ablyazov settled in London and was granted political asylum. He hired several companies with CIA, MI6 and Mossad background to gain material against Nazarbayev and to defend himself from going to prison. Arrest orders against him were out in the Ukraine, Russian and Kazakhstan. Several court cases against him were opened in London. After he had brazenly lied under oath to one British court about the ownership of the $20 million house he lived in a judge sentenced him for 22 months in prison. But Ablyazov would never enter a British jail. He vanished.

He later appeared in Rome and then in France always followed by court cases and arrest notices against him. He always hired several PR firms and lawyers to defend himself. A judge in Britain eventually stopped his extradition to Russia and with the relations between the 'west' and Russia breaking down he was allowed to stay in France.

(The whole, much longer story is told in a 2017 Financial Times weekend piece which is free to read.)

Ablyazov is a perfect example of what Chatham House recently called The UK’s kleptocracy problem:

The growth of London as a centre for financial and professional services coincided with the collapse of the USSR and the rise of post-Soviet kleptocracies in the 1990s. These states and their elites have since become a major source of clients for UK-based services firms and of investors in UK assets.
...
Based on extensive research on the laundering of money and reputations by elites from the post-Soviet successor states, this paper details how the UK is ill-equipped to assess the risk of corruption from transnational kleptocracy, which has undermined the integrity of important domestic institutions and weakened the rule of law. It concludes by calling for the UK government to adopt a new approach to this problem focused on creating a hostile environment for the world’s kleptocrats.

Over the last years Ablyazov has been accused of several regime change attempts in Kazakhstan. He has founded and funded a political party in Kazakhstan which was promptly prohibited.

Two days ago Reuters suddenly started to whitewash the guy by headlining him as 'opposition leader' of Kazakhstan:

The West must pull Kazakhstan out of Moscow's orbit or Russian President Vladimir Putin will draw the Central Asian state into "a structure like the Soviet Union", a former minister who is now a Kazakh opposition leader told Reuters.
...
Mukhtar Ablyazov, a former banker and government minister who is leader of an opposition movement called Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan, said the West needed to enter the fray.

"If not, then Kazakhstan will turn into Belarus and (Russian President Vladimir) Putin will methodically impose his programme - the recreation of a structure like the Soviet Union," Ablyazov told Reuters in Russian from Paris. "The West should tear Kazakhstan away from Russia."

"Russia has already entered, sent in troops. CSTO is Russia. This is an occupation by Russia," he said.
...
He said he was ready to go to Kazakhstan to head a provisional government if the protests escalated.

"I would not only return - people keep on asking when I will return and blame me for not returning to lead the protests - but people don't understand how difficult it would be for me to return as Russia has sentenced me to 15 years and Kazakhstan to life," he said.

Ablyazov dismissed suggestions that the West had financed the protests as an attempt to distract attention from the fact that the roots of the protests were domestic.

"I know the Soviet cliche of a Western spy, but I would be happy to be an American or European spy because then we would live like the people in America or Europe - and everyone would laugh," he said. "Sadly the West doesn't help me; the West hinders me."

Well, well well - "Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied."

It was the U.S. embassy in Kazakhstan which had announced details of a planned demonstration by Ablyazov's party on December 16.

Ablyazov is now allegedly in Kiev calling for 'western' sanctions against Kazakhstan.

Ablyazov, with all his stolen money, might well have financed the recent color revolution in Kazakhstan. The British secret service MI6, some of which 'former' agents have worked for Ablyazov, might have had a hand in it. Vladimir Odintsov stitches the line from London over Turkey to Almaty:

The appointment in June 2020 of Richard Moore, a former ambassador to Turkey, as head of MI6, Britain’s foreign intelligence service, was a move to strengthen the British position in the Central Asian theatre. He is not only a stalwart Russophobe, but also a fierce apologist for Great Turania: that is, the success of the pan-Turkist aspiration to create a state uniting the Turkic-speaking peoples in Central Asia, the Caucasus, and even for that matter in the Russian federal republics of the Volga region, the Urals, and the North Caucasus. Richard Moore has long nurtured this project. The key to London’s plans in this area is winning the support of Erdogan, president of the Turkish Republic Erdogan, and the now-head of MI6 worked to realize this aim during his ambassadorship in Turkey in 2014-2018. To this end Moore organized repeated visits to Britain where the Turkish leader met with representatives of its political-military establishment; always supported Erodgan’s course for Turkey in his official statements; and gave backing to his political party.
...
With Moore taking the helm, British intelligence has noticeably intensified its activities in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Both pan-Turkist organizations have tame Islamist groups have been strengthened in order to neutralize the influence of Moscow and Beijing in the region. Turkey’s part in this great game is to serve as a kind of battering-ram for British interests.

One of the 'peaceful protesters' in Kazakhstan has been identified as someone who until recently had lived in Turkey. In a picture he makes the 'Grey Wolf' sign of Turkish fascists.

An MI6 cooperation with Ablyazov and Reuters putting him up as the 'opposition leader' makes perfect sense. Turkey in the mix might well have added to the training of the gangs and the Jihadi elements. Karim Masimov, the former head of the security committee in Astana, may have been bribed to help them or was compromised via his Biden connection. The criminal Wild Arman will have worked for money no matter from where.

That still leaves several open questions.

For one how did Russia know what would happen? Russia's CSTO forces were in the air just 13 hours after Tokayev had requested help from the defense pact. Even a well trained quick reaction force will take more time to pack up, get to the airport and leave. CSTO troops from Belarus, Armenia and Tajikistan were also quite quick. Someone must have given them a warning.

Those CSTO troops are by the way not active in the streets but are guarding bases, airports and government buildings. They relieve Kazakh forces who are now free to fight down the gangs. Gunfire was still heard this morning in Almaty. The operation is continuing.

What was the expected outcome of this whole affair? Burning down some government buildings and killing policemen is not enough for a coup. One needs to go for the head of the beast and there was no known attempt to do that.

For now it looks as if Tokayev is sure to win this. There will be no 'western' sanctions coming as several large 'western' corporations are making good money with recovering resources in Kazakhstan. Would they have to move out in retaliation to sanctions it would be a big win for Russia and China.

This all was a quite predictable outcome. But why then launch this operation at all?

The only answer that makes sense to me is that it was an attempt to divert Russia's attentions from the 'western' threat. As such it has failed.

Posted by b on January 8, 2022 at 18:26 UTC | Permalink

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Life is complicated.

Posted by: librul | Jan 8 2022 18:42 utc | 1

The Kazakh oligarch in Kiev seems to be behind it, obviously with a much help from his friends Mi6, Ukrainian SBU and Turkey. Reports suggest that several hundreds of these trained terrorists eight now are fleeing Alma-ata to neighbouring Kyrgyzstan.

Posted by: mikhas | Jan 8 2022 18:48 utc | 2

Few hours ago, Russian news outfits spread an official version that foreign -- but unspecified -- links were identified, and an arsenal of one of the armed groups was uncovered, with sniper rifles, automatic weapons and cash in Kazakh, Kyrgyz, Tadjik, American and Euro currencies (no rubbles? Or my sloppy reading skills...).

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Jan 8 2022 18:48 utc | 3

Too early to tell.

It might be Russia's asymmetrical response/demonstration it is ready to use force before scheduled negotiations in a week or so.

It might be just a smart timing to trigger wests preparations for color revolution in Kazakh too early, and eliminate suspects on own terms, catching them with pants down.

Or, it could really be western initiated operation.

Anyway, facts is that foot solders are west sponsored, and that Russian intelligence was aware what is going on.

Posted by: Abe | Jan 8 2022 18:49 utc | 4

I wonder how long it will take for the US media & Co to start referring to Tokayev as "Russian backed dictator Tokayev" and start with the usual threats.

Posted by: S.O. | Jan 8 2022 18:51 utc | 5

Was pondering..."has there ever been a historical event
where two or more independent elements
attempted a coup at the same moment?"

Sure would be messy. And a tangled web.
Would such a situation be to someone's advantage?

Made me think of the JFK assassination. So many elements
had their own reasons to want Kennedy dead. The
usually reliable compass, "cui bono", becomes a compass that
is constantly spinning, in all six directions at once!

Did someone or some group empower multiple elements with interests in Kazakhstan,
and get them to act almost simultaneously?

Posted by: librul | Jan 8 2022 18:59 utc | 6

For one how did Russia know what would happen? Russia's CSTO forces were in the air just 13 hours after Tokayev had requested help from the defense pact. Even a well trained quick reaction force will take more time to pack up, get to the airport and leave. CSTO troops from Belarus, Armenia and Tajikistan were also quite quick. Someone must have given them a warning.

Various insurgencies are what CSTO is exercising for all the time. As the Russian ultimatum happened a few weeks ago, NATO reaction was only to be expected, and the start of protests was an obvious clue. Enough for CSTO to start getting ready.

Posted by: TheJomu | Jan 8 2022 19:00 utc | 7

CSTO was in large part able to move quickly because Russian military transport aviation command (using Il-76, An-124 etc) has proven itself (cf the rapid delivery of peace-keepers & materiel in Nagorno-Karabakh when needed recently) to be very efficient.

Posted by: Sam | Jan 8 2022 19:08 utc | 8

There will be no 'western' sanctions coming as several large 'western' corporations are making good money with recovering resources in Kazakhstan. Would they have to move out in retaliation to sanctions it would be a big win for Russia and China.

It is my understanding that Chevron,in particular,obtained a sweetheart deal from Nazarbayev back in the 90's. This to obtain modern oil extraction technologies. The world has moved on... Russia, China, and Iran all have modern oil extraction techologies in their domestic oil majors. Chevron is dispensible.

It would be a fitting riposte to NATO's push back, to seize the concessions from Chevron and the other NATO oil majors, and hand them to a local/CSTO oil major under better terms for Kzahstan.

INDY

Posted by: George W Oprisko | Jan 8 2022 19:08 utc | 9

The islamic extremist element which is used against all muslim countries or those with large muslim populations used to be controlled by Saudi Arabia and Qatar but I think Erdogan took control of those forces during the Syrian war.
Erdogan is like loose cannon bouncing around between US and Russia and creating a lot of destruction.

I posted this headline and link at the end of the last thread.

"US approves voluntary departure of some consulate staff from Kazakhstan"

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/us-approves-voluntary-departure-some-consulate-staff-kazakhstan-2422436

That is one place that should be locked down until all its inhabitants have been thoroughly investigated.

On the upcoming talks
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/veteran-us-russia-diplomats-tackle-ukraine-tensions-g

Sherman and Ryabkov will lead the two delegations in Geneva, where both sides will air their concerns in an extraordinary session of the U.S.-Russia Strategic Stability Dialogue (SSD), talks normally designed to head off the possibility of nuclear confrontation, a senior State Department official said on Friday.

Inserting the word "normally" is very much playing down what is occurring

Everything coming out of the state department is that they fully expect to fob off Russia with bullshit. If they do that then we are at a state of nuclear confrontation and Russia will certainly move missiles close to the US as in 1962.
Anther small item that was in the news recently is that US announced it is opening a special forces base in Albania. https://www.dw.com/en/us-constructs-new-special-forces-regional-base-in-albania/a-60361419

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 8 2022 19:12 utc | 10

Judging by Antony Blinken’s very recent friday presser rant, I reckon that the swiftness of the CSTO and the collapse of the coup/colour revolution just before the big day next monday, 10th Jan. suggests the west is extremely upset. To quote the immortal Dick Emery :

“ I got it wrong again, Dad! “

The fact that Moore also failed and that Erdogan now has to explain himself to Putin gives Russia an even stronger hand at the upcoming talks in Geneva. It woiuld appear that Moore isn’t half what he’s cracked up to be and neither are all the rest on the U.S/ NATO side.

Posted by: Beibdnn | Jan 8 2022 19:19 utc | 11

And remember Erdogan and the president of Azerbaijan, another turk state who Erdogan helped win the turkish war against Armenia recently, telling Putin the other day that he's committing a big mistake by thwarting their nefarious plans for Kazakhstan.

Posted by: mikhas | Jan 8 2022 19:19 utc | 12

As to Russia's reaction time, the circumstances Russia has been in these last years, a reaction time of 12 or 24 hours would be far too slow. I have assumed for some years now that they have a fast reaction force or units of that force always on alert and ready to step non a plane within minutes. There is also Russia's intel gathering capabilities. No doubt they knew something was in the wind but could not make a move until asked by the UN recognized leader of the country.
Yanukovych's mistake was in not asking Russia for help. Russian intel knew he was to be killed and pulled him out of the country.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 8 2022 19:26 utc | 13

Bizarre... On 28 DEC 2021 Nazarbayev met Putin in St. Petersburg

https://tass.com/world/1381887

Posted by: Anon | Jan 8 2022 19:28 utc | 14

The tv journal of january 6 was a delight. By coincidence, one news item was the anniversary of "the mob attacking the Capitol in Washington"; the next news item was "Kazakhstan protesters storm government buildings".

Posted by: Passerby | Jan 8 2022 19:31 utc | 15

Western "Intelligence" and Nato operations aimed at Russia always remind me of that silly (urban myth?) trick of putting dog poo in a bag, setting fire to it, and then dropping it on someone's doorstep, just before ringing the bell.

No actual purpose other than pure sabotage and inconvenience, the childish joy of watching your foes get covered in dogshit as they douse the flames... but importantly, no material gain to the perpetrator, even if successful.

It only works once, at best twice. After that, one can consider themselves lucky not to have their face turned into minced meat by any expectant resident.

I would expect Russia's retributions to become increasingly vicious, as well they ought to be.

Posted by: Et Tu | Jan 8 2022 19:33 utc | 16

Judging by flightradar24, an-124's and il-76 are still in the air back and forth 24/7.

Posted by: mikhas | Jan 8 2022 19:35 utc | 17

Welcome to the Age of Popcorn!

With so many global trigger-points, it's hard to imagine someone won't fuck up somewhere.

Posted by: gottlieb | Jan 8 2022 19:35 utc | 18

Craig Murray, who may be in a position to know, denied that the CIA was involved. He said nothing about MI-6.

Posted by: lysias | Jan 8 2022 19:37 utc | 19

"But why then launch this operation at all?"

As several people have suggested in the comments, one possibility is that RF counterintelligence got their hands on the levers of the whole thing, and started it up. With Tokayev in on the play. It had been set up for a long time, of course. Pretty funny if, as the Reuter piece suggests, the top management of MI6 and CIA were also played, and not only assets like Massimov.

Posted by: veto | Jan 8 2022 19:44 utc | 20

If NATO and / or Americastan is / are behind this perhaps 20,000 member invasion force this is a supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole. Whether there was any kind of wishy-washy "non-declaration" "authorization" from Congress is not really relevant. There needs to be at least an internal investigation of our "gud" "federal" gubberment and the corporations and NGOs that own it lock, stock, and barrel. For a nation claiming to be a "Constitutional Republic," this is what few in the nation I live in dare to call it -- high treason.

Posted by: William Haught | Jan 8 2022 19:44 utc | 21

Very nice sum-up of a sticky mess b.

***
mikhas | Jan 8 2022 19:19 utc | 12

Armenia is one of the CSTO states sending toops. 100 of them. Plus the Armenia -Turkish "rapprochement" is taking place in Moscow, in full view.

****
The "secret" of a swift move; Lots of planes.
"The Russian MoD said more than 70 Il-76 and 5 An-124 transport aircraft are being used to deliver Russian forces to Kazakhstan around the clock. That is a really huge share of its transport aviation if true, and could transfer a large force quickly."

Posted by: Stonebird | Jan 8 2022 19:45 utc | 22

Posted by: Anon | Jan 8 2022 19:28 utc | 14

Interesting! Maybe Putin set him up to get that invite for his military to take over from K's military guarding state organs :) If yes, then this is worrisome as it would be expected Russian move ahead of expected confrontation in their western frontiers.

Posted by: justanotherdog | Jan 8 2022 19:47 utc | 23

It's been well known the Empire and NATO have had their eyes on the Caspian Sea peripheral ever since the USSR breakup. I am really surprised that Russia didn't have a pulse on the regions under currents all this time.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Jan 8 2022 19:50 utc | 24

The protests in Almaty and Aktau do not so much resemble the Color Revolution attempts in, say, Hong Kong in 2015 and 2019, but rather the Arab Spring protests that occurred across North Africa and the "protests" in Syria that instigated the de facto Western invasion of that country in 2011. Perhaps that was the intention behind these "protests" in Kazakhstan. Bear in mind the original "protest" in Syria occurred not in any of the country's major cities but in a town near Lebanon.

Notice that the "protests occurred in cities near Kazakhstan's borders with Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and China (Xinjiang). The "protests" could have been staged close to those neighbours with an expectation to spill across borders. Whose expectation, we don't as yet know, but if the Almaty unrest had spread to Xinjiang, that would certainly help ruin the staging of the Beijing Winter Olympics by giving Western nations an excuse to withdraw their teams on security grounds.

It seems likely that several intel agencies and a number of private contractors from different countries might be working together to try to pull off future Color Revolution schemes in the Eurasian heartland at least. The US and CIA may not have so many contacts here in this part of the world (no airbases here and having consulates closed in Russia and China also does not help) and must rely on other intel and propaganda agencies, and private security agencies drawn from other countries - assuming of course, that the US and the CIA are the ones who started the operation.

The British are very likely to be heavily involved given their past history of meddling in this part of the world with Russia as their main adversary and their recent involvement in the war against Syria in various ways (boots on ground, funding of White Helmets, the propaganda effort thru Syrian Observatory of Human Rights, film makers who win Oscars for Best Documentary, and other outlets).

All this cooperation is likely to mean that tactics used in previous Color Revolutions and Arab Spring revolutions are likely to be reused and mashed together; if they worked once, they might just work again. When working and coordinating different groups, all with their own agendas, the instigators are not likely to try any new tactics or ideas. The problem though is that others become wise to the repetition and the overworking of such tactics, and can foresee and prepare for them. That might help to explain how CSTO forces were quick to react to Tokayev's request to safeguard airports and essential buildings.

Posted by: Jen | Jan 8 2022 19:53 utc | 25

Posted by: Et Tu | Jan 8 2022 19:33 utc | 16:

No actual purpose other than pure sabotage and inconvenience, the childish joy of watching your foes get covered in dogshit as they douse the flames... but importantly, no material gain to the perpetrator, even if successful.

Yup! Such is the West of today. Pitiful and sadistic.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Jan 8 2022 20:04 utc | 26

#4
I've been thinking this for some time as well. "It might be just a smart timing to trigger wests preparations for color revolution in Kazakh too early, and eliminate suspects on own terms, catching them with pants down."
#5
already happening
thanks B for all that you do

Posted by: hannibal | Jan 8 2022 20:05 utc | 27

Colour revolutions mostly happen in connection with elections, but this was not the case here. It does not exclude the possibility of western meddling, but it looks like a power struggle between Tokayev and Nazarbayev factions has been central, with CIA/MI6 types likely on the Nazarbayev team.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 8 2022 20:06 utc | 28

Tokayeff and VVP are great friends. It is especially interesting that both love tigers. Below is a link to a very interesting piece on Turanian tiger where they show their environmental concerns. Perhaps, environmentalists will finally be able to save the steppe fauna. After all the Soviet nuclear tests, doing something good to prevent global warming would be great:

https://www.zakon.kz/5085341-chto-izvestno-o-turanskom-tigre.html

Posted by: Danil | Jan 8 2022 20:08 utc | 29

New Years Greetings, all y'all
And A Big Ol' Western, "Howdy!"

Thanks to 'B' and the oh so many erudite barflies, I learn something EVERYTIME I visit this fine establishment.
I don't know that I can add much to the vigorous and rigorous Convo, but here goes...

I agree there appears to be many elements of hybrid warfare/ Colour Revolution....the head choppers are a dead giveaway(unintentional pun).
The one vexing question is why no effort to remove Tokayev?
What if that element was eliminated/ liquidated right as the whole circus got going?
THAT would be a Judo move par excellence, no?
Bless us All
Ciao!

Posted by: Lauren | Jan 8 2022 20:09 utc | 30

They wanted to go for the whole thing
...protests with colorful signs
..little but of violence
...calls for negotiations
.. Sir Tony to the rescue
.. Ukraine 2.0

A good series of steps that would have diverted attention away from Winter Olympics and rubbed Russia's nose to the ground for their new meeting....and nip Eurasian Union in the bud.

Posted by: Nme | Jan 8 2022 20:12 utc | 31

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/page/2
Meeting with Nursultan Nazarbayev December 28, 2021, 13:35 St Petersburg
Informal meeting of the CIS heads of state December 28, 2021, 14:50 St Petersburg
Meeting with President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev December 28, 2021, 15:30 St Petersburg

Posted by: ΚΓΨ | Jan 8 2022 20:12 utc | 32

lysias 19

Murray says the same abut every color revolution. Always its the fault of corrupt authorities and the trouble makers are just genuine people with genuine grievances.
That's not saying that these issues do not occur as color revolution are built around genuine grievances that already exist or can be caused to exist.
Where there is corruption, people can be bought which is very fertile ground for the US and UK.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 8 2022 20:16 utc | 33

@mikhas | Jan 8 2022 19:35 utc | 17

Judging by flightradar24, an-124's and il-76 are still in the air back and forth 24/7.

Not many flights over Kazakhstan now, but I did find an Il-76 with N/A both for origin and destination, but apparently heading for Moscow https://www.flightradar24.com/RFF8393/2a6f3221

and...
An Antonov-124 on the same path https://www.flightradar24.com/RFF8460/2a6f5f51
Another Antonov-124 https://www.flightradar24.com/RFF8494/2a6f4a73
Another Il-76 https://www.flightradar24.com/CTA0558K/2a6f4459

All heading for Moscow

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 8 2022 20:18 utc | 34

Thank you b.

It is great to get a solid summary at MoA. Blinken also got his rs kicked for smart remarks about a Russian invasion. The Russian foreign ministry issued strong rebuttal. 2022 is off to a swift start.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 20:19 utc | 35

If the Ruskies were immediately ready with military force, it could be, as B suggests a fantastic response to "a priori" held intel or, just as likely, from my POV, a plan that was compromised long ago but patiently nurtured after neutering and then led, like a steer, to slaughter...when it held the greatest market value.

For Blinken and all the other 3LA accolytes it was probably meant as wake up call but, there the Ruskies failed, you can never wake the denizens of DC, their inflated egos make them the equivalent of the zombies in "the night of the living dead". We will lose this empire to DC's "bonfire of vanity".

Posted by: S Brennan | Jan 8 2022 20:22 utc | 36

Now that (not so) poor Nazarbayev is not needed anymore, the time is for more comprehensive disclosure how much he and "his extended family" managed to save during long years if the dad/grandad had "the office job no. 1"

OpenDemocracy

As Kazakhstan burns over inequality, the elite’s wealth is safe and sound in London
London is home to some £530m in luxury property owned by the country’s ruling class

Thomas Rowley, 6 January 2022, 2.39pm

Four thousand miles away in London, though, the UK assets of the Kazakhstani ruling class are sitting quietly. The Central Asian state’s elite owns at least £530.4m of luxury property in London and the southeast, according to data released in a recent report by Chatham House. Some £330m of that luxury property is owned by the extended Nazarbayev family.

=====

If true, it does not speak well for the collegial spirit of Nazarbayev: most of the loot went to them. As it was pointed out by Anatoliy Shariy, such spills of info do not happen so long as the group in question is of any use to the West. Although over the years, there were articles about this or that mansion being a property of a daughter, or a grandson of the patriarch.

Mind you, London and "collective West" is a safe heaven for the (not so) hard earned savings only as long as the family is in good graces. Seems that it is more efficient to be ruled by a strongman who is not THAT cosy with the West: some level of corruption is unavoidable, but billions of USDs may be too much if you add the cost of favors that were associated with those billions, and which were not invested back in the country's economy.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Jan 8 2022 20:25 utc | 37

Posted by: Nme | Jan 8 2022 20:12 utc | 31:

A good series of steps that would have diverted attention away from Winter Olympics and rubbed Russia's nose to the ground for their new meeting....and nip Eurasian Union in the bud.

Beijing is not even allowing foreign spectators to attend the Winter Olympics, what attention is there to divert? How is Russia's nose rubbed into the ground since Kazakhstan is not part of RF? Nipping Eurasian in the bud, well, nice try, but Eurasian is not contingent upon Kazakhstan being an integral part. It'd be a logical and useful part but can be circumvented. So, if that's west's game plan it actually amounts to nothing.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Jan 8 2022 20:36 utc | 38

#Norwegian:
They're using 2 different an-124 every day (3 yesterday) as you can see and at least 5 probably more il76. Each of them make 2 trips daily.

Impressive. This must be one if not the biggest Russian air lift operation in recent history.

Posted by: mikhas | Jan 8 2022 20:39 utc | 39

... like Russian Air transports in syria some kind of gps blurring technique and turning off of transponders is going on over Kazakhstan a while after departure. Probably a safety measure against MANPADS.

Posted by: mikhas | Jan 8 2022 20:47 utc | 40

The International Center for Not-for-Profit Law (ICNL) estimates there are 38,000 active NGOs in Kazakhstan while the majority of them is funded by the United States and European countries by way of grants and donations.
"[I]t appears that the US funds and foreign NGOs have done quite well based on the uneasiness within the country," Rasmussen said. "Moreover, the UK has over 85 NGOs also present in Kazakhstan and have provided significant funding to provide "civil society and rule of law."
The most active participants in the political and social processes in Kazakhstan are such entities as the US Agency for International Development (USAID), the National Endowment for Democracy, the American Bar Association, Freedom House and many others, Rasmussen added.

This amounts to one (1) NGO for every 526 Kzakhs, spending USD$95 / each.

In a country with a monthly income of USD$ 220/month, this is 43% of the average Kzakh's monthly income.

Yet unanswered.... why the Kzakh government permitted this to happen....

I am of the opinion... the number of NGOs will be markedly reduced in the coming weeks/months....

While NATO howls....

INDY

Posted by: George W Oprisko | Jan 8 2022 20:51 utc | 41

Please don't derail this fantastic thread over this, but The Empire is in worse shape than anyone suspects....

Sorry, but I cannot post the link, but, please check out www.wallstreetonparade.com

NY Fed secretly gave the too big to fail/jail 4 largest Wall Street firms 11.23 TRILLION in Repo loans!
MSM blackout.....for 2 years
I'm posting this just as a little icing on the Empire's Cake of Debt Collapse. You don't think TPTB are feeling a little pressure and not thinking clearly?
Everyone here knows what's going to happen next....Russian missles at the 200 mile limit. I hope VVP cuts off Europe completely, including overflights. Or jack the prices thru the roof.....
Blessings
Ciao!

Posted by: Lauren | Jan 8 2022 20:54 utc | 42

this looks so much with Ukraine Maidan 2014 an Bucuresti 1989 Romania

Posted by: Ed | Jan 8 2022 20:57 utc | 43

Anon @14--

And it wasn't just Nazarbaev as I've commented on now for the fourth time--ALL the main players were officially contacted by Putin prior to New Years and some also after. Recall, the announcement to get prepared was issued by the Outlaw US Empire's Embassy in mid-December, which provided the proper lead-time for the sleeper cells to get prepared and coordinate their actions when the bell rang. Psaki's denial without any prompting seals the issue as to what entity is ultimately responsible; the motive as b notes being quite obvious.

The key now is what will happen next as the talks begin. Much depends on Russia's intel and how it might be employed. China stands ready to assist Kazakhstan as an SCO partner:

"The First President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev is currently in the Kazakh capital, his spokesperson Aidos Ukibai tweeted, Kazinform reported. Ukibai took to his official Twitter account to reveal that the First President of Kazakhstan Nazarbayev is currently in Nur-Sultan, holding a number of consultative meetings and keeping in touch with President Tokayev. Nazarbayev also spoke by phone with heads of some friendly countries, Ukibai said."

Additionally,

"'While the CSTO led by Russia will offer direct support to help Kazakhstan maintain order and stability, China could offer sustainable support for the country to realize long-term economic development and boost effective reform to solve fundamental economic problems that could potentially cause unrest to return,' said a Beijing-based expert on international relations who asked not to be named.

"China cares for the safety of its nationals in Kazakhstan now, and it is also necessary for Beijing to keep an eye on Kazakh situation to prevent spillover of the unrest to impact Xinjiang's stability, Zhu said, noting that China is also able to provide counterterrorism support to Kazakhstan under the Shanghai Cooperation Organization framework." [My Emphasis]

I fully expect action relative to the bolded text to begin very soon as IMO it's been neglected too long. Foreign oil operators tied to the nations backing the unrest may find themselves ejected. I also expect a long needed purge of malevolent foreign NGOs to occur throughout Central Asia during 2022.

As for the upcoming talks, I expect they'll be given an even shorter amount of time to show progress, with any hint of foot-dragging to prompt Russia's delegation to abruptly adjourn while describing the risks in no uncertain terms.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 21:01 utc | 44

Thanks b

Posted by: Beibdnn | Jan 8 2022 19:19 utc | 11

Thanks pretty much nails it and seems by the meeting in Russia just before this event they had heads up what coming.

Posted by: jo6pac | Jan 8 2022 21:11 utc | 45

Posted by: Lauren | Jan 8 2022 20:54 utc | 42

Here you go and is this a good site to read

https://wallstreetonparade.com/

Posted by: jo6pac | Jan 8 2022 21:13 utc | 46

Peter AU1 #10

Thank you for that link to channelnewsasia and its story on the fleeing US embassy staff. It is a Reuters sourced piece and obviously a propaganda post. It had an interesting closing paragraph:

The demonstrations began as a response to a fuel price hike but swelled into a broad movement against Tokayev's government and former President Nursultan Nazarbayev.

As b reports, the previous head of state security is now in prison on treason charges. Given that the new security chief is Tokayev's head of Presidential Security, I assume the entire ploy has collapsed and there will soon be a cage full of singing canaries and that might be the end of Nazarbayev as well. Good.

Perhaps the wests fundamental blunder was exposed with the clumsy elevation of the fraudster thief Ablyazov to be the pretend 'President in waiting'. Who do they think they are fooling?

The Joe Biden double whammy trick has been snapped up by the tigers. To actually do this level of ham stupidity is enough to make one assume that both the MI6 and CIA actually snort the coke that they are supposed to be selling.

The USA is gonna need a lot of luck on the January 10 meeting.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 21:17 utc | 47

I suggest barflies click this link to read what jayc posted to the previous thread. My assessment about the talks being short are further backed by Blinken's utter idiocy.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 21:29 utc | 48

George W Oprisko | Jan 8 2022 20:51 utc | 41
karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 21:01 utc | 44
****

So we can expect to see NGO's having to declare publically their source of funding, combined with a PR "repression" of foreign elements that caused the uprising.

Followed by China and Russia making sure of linking Kazakhstan more firmly into the BRI.
****

The Oil/Gas scene, which evidently could have been in the process of being "groomed" by Massimov to go through Turkey to Israel, or the Baku=>EU, may find itself being re-routed more directly to China. Which is a pity for us Europeans. (Go long blankets, there will be a shortage of wolf and bear furs this year.)

In fact this could be one of the "New systems" that Russia may "suggest" in Monday's talks with the US. Interesting if so, as it would suggest that the "plot" was known beforehand and advantage taken of it. We will not have to wait very long to see.

Posted by: Stonebird | Jan 8 2022 21:36 utc | 49

Bounties on Ablyazov?

Posted by: IronForge | Jan 8 2022 21:37 utc | 50

En qué capítulo del estudio de Chatham House sobre la cleptocracia en Gran Bretaña se aborda el robo del oro de Venezuela?

Posted by: Frasco | Jan 8 2022 21:37 utc | 51

A perfect match … Jihadists with support of KSA, not Turkey. Erdogan would not dare double-cross Putin and Russian interests. Russia is closer than Washington DC. The role of Israel and the training of Kazakh security and special forces since 2016 and Netanyahu's visit. Posted earlier today. Indeed role of Masimov who had ambition to be ruler and president. Last attempt of the US to play a role in Central Asia after the defeat in Afghanistan. Game over.

Kazakh policymakers believe that Israel could indirectly assist Kazakhstan’s attempts to increase its oil exports to East Asia. In November 2006, Kazakhstan’s Deputy Prime Minister Karim Masimov announced that Kazakhstan would expand its investments in Haifa’s oil refineries.

Masimov has also called for an extension of the Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Pipeline to Israel. Should the BTC pipeline expand to Israel, Israel’s oil terminals at Ashkelon and Eilat could be used to increase Kazakh oil shipments to Europe and East Asia.

Source: The Israel-Kazakhstan Partnership |The Diplomat |

Posted by: Oui | Jan 8 2022 21:38 utc | 52

George W Oprisko #41

Astounding stuff on the NGO's. Thank you :))

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 21:39 utc | 53

Muslim Kazakhstan asks Netanyahu for help in war on terror | I24 – 2016 |

"The Kazakhstani army is moving toward developing the mobility and effectiveness of its combat training," the Defence Ministry press service reported. "Studying Israeli experience in applying special forces presents a unique platform for realising the goals we set. Another important field is exchanging information on security."

Netanyahu scores diplomatic home run in Iran’s backyard – visits Azerbaijan-Kazakhstan | TOI – Dec. 17, 2016 |


Posted by: Oui | Jan 8 2022 21:40 utc | 54

Two security conferences with representation of Israel’s IDF in Astana and Almaty Province were organized by Baza-V, a tactical outfitter that supplies munitions, gear, optical sights, world class body armor, and modernised weapons from 50 manufacturers from across the globe to Kazakhstani security agencies. A weapons depot is located in Almaty where the heaviest assault took place.

Posted by: Oui | Jan 8 2022 21:43 utc | 55

karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 21:29 utc | 48

Blinken should move to Alaska on a permanent basis. He knows a second rate hotel to stay in that would suit him just fine.
***

Oui | Jan 8 2022 21:40 utc | 54

So this was an Israeli sponsored setup? it figures as they would be direct beneficiaries.
OT Note; Gintsberg is doing a "Fauci" in Russia itself. Trying to get Qtests and passports into the mainstream, as in Europe and the rest of the world.

Posted by: Stonebird | Jan 8 2022 21:47 utc | 56

Thanks b, for the comprehensive report. The FT link is also very helpful to those of us here who know very little about what has been happening to 'players' from such countries since the USSR dissolved. Fascinating. Maybe not a Great Game, but not tiddlewinks, either.

Eighteen million was the population quoted in the FT piece, 2017 date. Quite a lot more than my little native land, even if described as an 'expanse of nomads and billionaires'. I can't think they are all billionaires, so that makes for a lot of nomads. Really, FT?

Posted by: juliania | Jan 8 2022 21:48 utc | 57

RE: Posted by b on January 8, 2022 at 18:26 UTC | Permalink

“Ablyazov is now allegedly in Kiev calling for 'western' sanctions against Kazakhstan.”

Apparently Mr. Ablyazov is becoming more forgetful in old age.

It appears he has forgotten where Kazakhstan is situated, and with which other countries it shares extensive borders.

Although not yet adequately established, it appears that your list of participants are not yet complete, and consequently this incompleteness limits your perception of possible outcomes as quoted below :

“There will be no 'western' sanctions coming as several large 'western' corporations are making good money with recovering resources in Kazakhstan.

Would they have to move out in retaliation to sanctions it would be a big win for Russia and China.”

Posted by: NotEuclid | Jan 8 2022 21:49 utc | 58

lysias #19

Craig Murray, who may be in a position to know, denied that the CIA was involved. He said nothing about MI-6.

Yep, that's our Craig :/

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 21:52 utc | 59

Russia's CSTO forces were in the air just 13 hours after Tokayev had requested help from the defense pact. Even a well trained quick reaction force will take more time to pack up, get to the airport and leave. CSTO troops from Belarus, Armenia and Tajikistan were also quite quick. Someone must have given them a warning.

I don't think there is any "secret" here. Such a mechanism for sending collective peacekeeping forces was used for the first time since the formation of the CSTO. There is no doubt that before publicly voicing a request for help to the CSTO, the President of Kazakhstan, through appropriate channels, thoroughly discussed with his colleagues (primarily with the Russian side) the prospect, feasibility and the very possibility of such a decision. I think that the preparation of the peacekeepers for dispatch began several days (at least a day) before Tokayev's public appeal to the CSTO. In fact, everything was already ready, and when he asked for help on January 5th, the process only "started" officially.

Just to remind that on January 5 - even before the official appeal to the CSTO - Tokayev talked on the phone with Putin and Lukashenko, and the Belarusian president said, in particular, that on this situation, "the leaders of all CSTO countries are in constant contact." By the way, there is no news of this telephone conversation on January 5 on the Kremlin's website. Not all conversations should be made public. Everything has its time...

The participation - to one degree or another - of Turkey (and hence of the UK) is undeniable. Just read the Turkish press about what is happening in Kazakhstan. The participation of Ukrainian freaks is natural and quite expected, I would say banal.

Posted by: alaff | Jan 8 2022 21:52 utc | 60

uncle tungsten 47

That head of security would have been the person for keeping Tokayev and Nazarbayev informed. US/UK managed to purchase a top asset there. I am reminded of the Nuland phone call that was recorded Russian intel and made public. I think the fast reaction forces would have been handed a list of names and addresses before leaving Russia.
I suspect the Russian specialists will have him singing like a bird in the not too distant future. His shoes are not a good place to be.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 8 2022 21:53 utc | 61

Passing along this Guardian article on Kazakh money floating around in London.

Article

Perhaps this is superfluous relative to b's Financial Times link, but posting here for ease of reading:

The Kazakh elite’s properties bought during Nazarbayev’s presidency include Prince Andrew’s marital home, Sunninghill Park in Berkshire, bought in 2007 for £15m by oligarch Timur Kulibayev, the son-in-law of the former Kazakhstan president.

It also emerged in early 2020 that Nazarbayev’s daughter Dariga Nazarbayeva and grandson Nurali Aliyev own property in London worth at least £80m. The National Crime Agency issued unexplained wealth orders, which are used to track suspicious funds, against three properties: a mansion in The Bishops Avenue, one of the most expensive roads in the capital; an apartment in Chelsea; and a mansion in Highgate, north London. The orders were dismissed by a judge who found the NCA had not proved any link between the purchase of the homes and criminal funds.

Posted by: schmoe | Jan 8 2022 21:55 utc | 62

Oui #52, 54, 55

Thank you for that added dimension. Not surprised. But it does pose an interesting twist to the outcome over the next few years.
Israel? busy in Azerbaijan and Kazakistan and ???

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 22:01 utc | 63

goods update piece, thanks b!

Posted by: ptb | Jan 8 2022 22:12 utc | 64

Came across, don't remember where, article suggesting Muslim Brotherhood involvement - might lead back to MB fan Erdogan although I seem to recall that MI6 and CIA have used MB in past.

BTW, Astana in Kazakhstan was location for talk about future of Syria between Syrian government and jihadists - perhaps some Syrian jihadists enjoyed living in Astana so much when compared with Idlib that they stayed then decided that perhaps the next Islamic State should be Kazakhstan. Just assessing/guessing.

Posted by: Ghost Ship | Jan 8 2022 22:14 utc | 65

The USA is getting very desparate in Eurasia.. Geography is a bitch...from who dreams of rule the world

Posted by: Nick | Jan 8 2022 22:14 utc | 66

The Pan-Turkic idol that could have been created from this would have created major headaches to Iran, Russia, and China....specially an open highway from Istanbul-Baku...all the way to Urumqi.

Posted by: Nme | Jan 8 2022 22:14 utc | 67

Peter @ 10:

The Erdoğan threat is more serious than that because (in addition to Erdoğan's Muslim Brotherhood home base) it has been leading the Turanist (Turkic Nazi) revival for the last several years, from China to Albania. The alliance with the Turkish Nazi party is in fact the only thing that's keeping Erdoğan's party in power. In all the Turkic-speaking areas, including Xinjiang, both Moslem fundamentalists and their bitter enemies the Turkic racial nationalists are generously supported by, and look up to, the Ankara government. A direct, physical Turkish involvement (using Arab mercenaries) in the case of Kazakhstan, as it was done in the aggression against Armenia, is also highly probable according to everyone I talked to in Turkey.

Posted by: Piero Colombo | Jan 8 2022 22:16 utc | 68

alaff #60

Thank you for that and especially your last paragraph and links. That reveals a Turkish element and hence MI6. Turkish leaders sure like playing the seven headed hydra.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 8 2022 22:19 utc | 69

>>>>: Oui | Jan 8 2022 21:38 utc | 52

Masimov has also called for an extension of the Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Pipeline to Israel.

Slight problem - Kazakhstan’s Deputy Prime Minister Karim Masimov just got busted for treason.

But also how exactly did he plan to extend BTC pipeline to Israel? Syria, Iraq and Iran block a strip of land from the Caspian to the Mediterranean so it's have to go round that strip of land either to the west (why pipe it down to Israel when you can load it into tankers in Ceyhan) or east (LOL)

Posted by: Ghost Ship | Jan 8 2022 22:26 utc | 70

"It has been said that Tokayev will seek admission to the Union State mechanism."

That tidbit came from Amaranth's introductory bullet points prior to the current Open Thread at Saker's. For those of us deeply into Russian domestic affairs, its plans and goals, I don't think we'll find that at all surprising as the lack of equity promotes civil dysfunction and can too easily be tapped by enemy elements, and was also clearly evident as a cause to the Jan 6, 2021 protests in the Empire's heart. That's why I bolded China's offer of help for domestic development.

Domestic equity is the primary reason IMO we'll see something akin to the old Russian Empire arise in Central Asia. For just as with Afghanistan, internal development that is centered on uplifting all the people is a requirement for the entire region to remove the one main motive for civil unrest--Poverty.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 22:32 utc | 71

I suggest barflies click this link to read what jayc posted to the previous thread. My assessment about the talks being short are further backed by Blinken's utter idiocy.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 21:29 utc | 48

I'm disappointed you missed this, karlof1.

Gorbachev was the President of the Soviet Union, and never


"The Russian president at the end of the Cold War, Mikhail Gorbachev...."

It may seem small, but to make this sort of mistake at this level, when you are battling for credibility, is an enormous tell.

Posted by: John Cleary | Jan 8 2022 22:36 utc | 72

@70 I had a bit of trouble with that too. BTC extension to Ashkelon and Eilat? Makes no sense.

Posted by: dh | Jan 8 2022 22:59 utc | 73

John Cleary @72--

How did I miss it, John, as it's just one aspect of the idiocy on display? Blinken, Psaki, Sullivan--indeed, the entire crew--constantly make similar gaffs that point to their idiocy and ignorance.

Related to the overall screwed up policies undertaken by the Outlaw US Empire is what's reported in this article about the sheer stupidity of Trump's Trade War--nth degree FUBAR I wrote about at the time:

"As it stands today, America has nothing that China needs that it can’t make or buy elsewhere. America conversely needs China desperately, without China’s goods the American economy grinds to a halt. The extent of that dependency has been highlighted by America's ongoing supply chain chaos. Manufacturing, retail, construction and countless other industry sectors have stalled without Chinese goods. No country in the world is as dependent on imports as the U.S. Attempts to find alternatives to China are fruitless, no other country can match the efficiency, infrastructure, economies of scale and cost that China can. American manufacturing only accounts for 20% of the American economy, self-sufficiency for Americans is a fantasy, even in the best case scenario, it is generations away."

And relations with Russia are now very similar. But notice that neither China or Russia suggest turning off the tap at their end via a total embargo. To do so would be utter folly as why promote self-dependence when you have the Outlaw US Empire solidly on the hook of dependency. Congress is so focused on continuing the corruption flow to the 1% that it won't even consider taking basic steps to rectify the situation. There's an old adage about not interrupting your adversary when it's busily making mistakes, and the Outlaw US Empire is making mistakes in droves.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 8 2022 23:38 utc | 74

This is the important part: "What was the expected outcome of this whole affair? Burning down some government buildings and killing policemen is not enough for a coup. One needs to go for the head of the beast and there was no known attempt to do that."

You don't stage an internal coup against a sitting government by seizing airports.
You do it by overwhelming the Presidential guard then lining the dude against a wall.

This is not an internally-instigated coup, though I do not discount the idea that high-ranked people on the CIA/MI-6 payroll were going around doing western biddin.

No. This is an attempt at a foreign-instigated color-revolution.

One that was made inevitable by Moscow's ultimatum to Washington w.r.t. NATO.
An attempt that was SO predictable that the Russians game-planned how to respond to it.

As for Ablyazov as the new "Yats is our man", well, no idea.

I've never heard of the dude and, most likely, in a month or so we'll never hear of him again.

After all, when was the last time that "Yats" made it into the headlines?

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Jan 8 2022 23:52 utc | 75

Erdogan has got to go.

Everything he does is clearly sanctioned by the USA and NATO - this idea that he is an independent actor is ridiculous.

Look at the outcome of everything he does - it helps the USA empire.

Russia need to wake up to the danger of this Pan Turkic nonsense before it’s too late

That is all I have to say on this matter.

Posted by: James2 | Jan 8 2022 23:54 utc | 76

@21 Norman Birkett, is that you?

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Jan 9 2022 0:02 utc | 77

@Librul, I wonder how much of a Schelling Point the fuel price-cap removal was for all the players in this thing. Both the classic Gene Sharp move (We Demand the Thing! We Demand More Things!! We Demand No Less Than Complete Overthrow of the Regime!!!) and the possible strategic ambush of the CSTO in full force.

By the way, the CSTO wading into this situation is a message in itself.

Posted by: Lonkal | Jan 9 2022 0:03 utc | 78

Read the FT piece, very interesting. One question came about: since Ablyazov was sentenced to 22 months jail term in the UK, how come the Brits have not asked the French to extradite him like the did in the case of Assange? Very “fishy”.

Posted by: BG | Jan 9 2022 0:05 utc | 79

I read Craig Murray’s article and I can’t tell whether he is being naive stating that the CIA is not involved - no mention of Mi6 ......that this is all about Gas prices.

Kazakhstan reminds me of Syria when a legitimate protest was turned into a war to overthrow Assad with that British agent ( sorry can’t remember his name) in charge of the white helmets.

The British ran jihadis groups there - probably still does.

Kazakhstan is definitely a colour revolution and the same actors that were involved in Syria are involved in Kazakhstan

Turkey Israel UK and the USA

Craig Murray writes about how open Kazakhstan was to western capital and the strong links to Blair and Prince Andrew - he is deliberately ignoring what is staring him in the face Mi6 involvement.

Nazerbayev - tried to ignore geography and carry out a multi vector policy thinking the west respect him and his country. Kazakhstan is just a piece on the grand chessboard to undermine Russia

Look at Belarus same thing multivector policy nearly led to the overthrow of Lukashenko and a repeat of Ukraine

Nazerbayev played anti Russian card
He signed a military deal with USA
He did joint military training with the UK and Israel

He was taking Kazakhstan down a road that was not good long term for the country

Their future is in Eurasia

Posted by: James2 | Jan 9 2022 0:08 utc | 80

Just watched Martyanov's latest sitrep where he espouses the idea that the staging area was not in Afghanistan but in Uzbekistan. He mentions the battles over the Fergana Valley that Stalin was responsible for when he distributed it between the stans back in the day, which has been a source of trouble ever since. His hypothesis has merit and deserves further study. The video is just over 23 minutes.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 9 2022 0:31 utc | 81

Yeah, Right

Afghanistan, although not run by US proxies is scorched earth to all intents and purposes, something Russia and China have try and stabilize.
Kazakhstan has perhaps been the closet of the stan countries to Russia in terms of relations.
Nazerbayev came up with the Eurasia economic union and one of the founders of the security block that is now cleaning up the US proxies.
To me there was no for the simple reason this wasn't an attempt to take over the country, rather an attempt to destroy it, turn it into an Idlib or Afghanistan and remove a Russian ally prior to the talks.
When the US pulled out of Afghanistan, Uzbekistan had an open border policy for assorted US proxies to stream across. A lot of unemployed fighters that are at this moment being eliminated in Kazakhstan.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 9 2022 0:36 utc | 82

That last bit in my post @82 should have read "To me there was no leader..."

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 9 2022 0:44 utc | 83

Priceless tweet:

https://twitter.com/spriter99880/status/1479966371664515077/photo/1

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Jan 9 2022 0:49 utc | 84

I love a good MI6 clandestine plan, where months, sometimes years of planning, goes up in smoke in days.

If Turkey is involved AGAIN (like in Syria ), I'd have to question Putin's logic in collaborating with these 2 faced rats. Same goes for Putin's Zionist friends, who are joined at the hip with US Duals in undermining Russia at every turn.

This latest attempted Coup D'etat is America's ANSWER to Russia's request for Security Guarantees. Therefore, Putin/Lavrov/Others are WASTING THEIR TIME turning up to meet these Satanic Warmongers.

Embarrassing really!

Posted by: WTFUD | Jan 9 2022 1:17 utc | 86

Kazakh Metals Mining, Oligarch and AUS Feasibility Study

Kaznickel’s Supervisory Board approved a contract with CSA Global (Aus) for pre-feasibility and feasibility studies on our Gornostay #nickel #cobalt project | Dec. 3, 2021 |

Kenges Rakishev, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Fincraft Resources and Battery Metals Technologies and Supervisory Board’s Chairman of “KAZNICKEL” LLP.

Posted by: Oui | Jan 9 2022 1:29 utc | 87

Fugitive banker calls himself leader of protests in Kazakhstan – Tass agency

According to Mukhtar Ablyazov, the protesters in Almaty consult with him how to act every day

Posted by: Oui | Jan 9 2022 1:30 utc | 88

Financial shenanigans as chairman of Bank Turan Alem (BTA Bank) and billions went missing …

Spies, Lies and the Oligarch: Inside London’s booming secrets industry ! FT – Sept. 28, 2017 |

Ablyazov was suspicious that a trap was being set and Wahid was working for the other side (Kazakh president Nazarbayev)

Posted by: Oui | Jan 9 2022 1:32 utc | 89

May the Kazakistan police ensure that not one Grey Wolf or their ISIS dogs get out alive.

I would hope that this ends in a serious decimation of these murderous scum.

After listening to Martynov's assessment one really does have to wonder what Uzbekistan imagines it's future to be.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 9 2022 2:11 utc | 90

US Uzbekistan strategic partnership.

December 13, 2021 https://www.state.gov/joint-statement-between-the-united-states-and-uzbekistan-following-the-inaugural-meeting-of-the-strategic-partnership-dialogue/

NOVEMBER 20, 2020 https://uz.usembassy.gov/joint-statement-between-the-united-states-and-uzbekistan/

Reaffirming the U.S. commitment to this partnership and support for the reforms being implemented in the Republic of Uzbekistan, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary Thompson noted U.S. assistance to Uzbekistan grew to nearly $100 million in 2019, a ten-fold increase from 2016.

Additionally, both sides noted the necessity of meeting obligations and provisions under UN Security Council Resolution 2396 to counter terrorist travel. The United States announced it intends to provide over $9 million in assistance this year to combat transnational organized crime and promote rule-of-law and anti-corruption initiatives.

May 16, 2018 https://uz.usembassy.gov/the-united-states-and-uzbekistan-launching-a-new-era-of-strategic-partnership/

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 9 2022 2:29 utc | 91

Probably stating the obvious to all here but Craig Murray was the British ambassador to Uzbekistan. (Apologies if everyone knew that.)

Posted by: spudski | Jan 9 2022 3:00 utc | 92

US has an "enhanced strategic partnership" with Kazakhstan. Last meeting 10th December.
Interest bit on Afghan USAID relocating to Almaty also mention of US helping in "repatriating, rehabilitation and reintegration" of foreign fighters.

https://biznewspost.com/government/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-kazakhstan-enhanced-strategic-partnership-dialogue-united-states-department-of-state/

Assistant Secretary Lu and Deputy Foreign Minister Rakhmetullin expressed the commitment of the United States and Kazakhstan to continue humanitarian support to the Afghan people. The United States expressed appreciation for the temporary relocation of USAID personnel from Kabul to Almaty....

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 9 2022 3:04 utc | 93

Just another Murican-backed Coup to harass RUS per RAND Instructions.

CHN Imports Crude+NatGas+Resources from KAZ.

With the Beijing Olympics coming up, this is yet another "ColorRev" Racket that tries to disenchant the World from CSTO/RUS/CHN/SCO/Belt+Road.

Looks like Reforms - possibly Nationalization/Profit_Sharing from NatResource Exports might be in Order.

Posted by: IronForge | Jan 9 2022 3:16 utc | 94

Oui | 52
> “Erdogan would not dare double-cross Putin and Russian interests”
That comment is so amusing it, caused me to snort my tea.
Erdogan is the scorpion’s scorpion.
The type of scorpion that stings the frog mid pond, in the now Trump memed retelling.
Erdogan is busy selling arms to Ukraine, including the Baykatur drones, and has opened a factory in Ukraine to pump them out at a greater rate.
Erdogan is still double and double-double crossing Putin across Syria, Libya, MENAand Central Asia.
Barflies are correct to look for his fingerprints on this latest Kazakhstan adventure.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 9 2022 3:29 utc | 95

The biggest mystery for me is the role of the Prime Minister of Armenia, who acted promptly as the current President of the CSTO. I thought he was Soro's man, brought into power via a colour revolution in Armenia.

Posted by: Albertde | Jan 9 2022 3:53 utc | 96

Erdogan is backed by NATO. He's a NATO soldier. Putin knows about it, yet he has to play the game. Its not like the Russian navy dont need to cross the straits of bosphorus and dardanelles

Posted by: Nick | Jan 9 2022 3:56 utc | 97

excellent coverage b.. thank you...

thanks also to mikhas, and alaff - 2 informed posters....

oui - not sure what agency is paying you, but they ain't getting their moneys worth... they are throwing it away..

Posted by: james | Jan 9 2022 4:08 utc | 98

US sanctions against Belarus have impacted world potash supply and prices. This impacts food production costs. Canada and Russia can increase supply. Australia's BHP now mines Potash in Canada. Kazakhstan has significant deposits.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/potash-importers-brace-prolonged-price-rally-after-sanctions-belarus-2021-12-21/

https://stockhead.com.au/resources/kazakhstan-potash-takes-control-of-big-potash-mine-shareholders-give-thumbs-up/

https://newswire.iguana2.com/af5f4d73c1a54a33/kpc.asx/3A546740/KPC_Quarterly_Activities_Report

https://www.bhp.com/what-we-do/global-locations/canada-jansen-potash-project

Posted by: Paul | Jan 9 2022 4:09 utc | 99

Xinhuanet provides a summary of the situation in Kazakhstan in the link below

Kazakhstan eyes post-riot restoration as situation stabilizes

They report at the end:
"
A total of 4,404 people have been reportedly detained across the country.
"

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 9 2022 4:57 utc | 100

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