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There Is No Will To Fight Climate Change
The recently published report, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, by the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is grim:
B.1.3. Global warming of 1.5°C relative to 1850-1900 would be exceeded during the 21st century under the intermediate, high and very high scenarios considered in this report. Under the five illustrative scenarios, in the near term (2021-2040), the 1.5°C global warming level is very likely to be exceeded under the very high GHG emissions scenario, likely to be exceeded under the intermediate and high GHG emissions scenarios, more likely than not to be exceeded under the low GHG emissions scenario and more likely than not to be reached under the very low GHG emissions scenario.
The global reductions of Green House Gases (GHG) which are required to fit even the intermediate scenario are unlikely to be reached with the current policies:
The time has come to voice our fears and be honest with wider society. Current net zero policies will not keep warming to within 1.5°C because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. That is the very simple acid test that must be applied to all climate policies. The time for wishful thinking is over.
The reasons are of course political. There is a lot of lobbying for policies which continue the output of GHG while there is little immediate interest in reducing them. A decade ago Peter Lee had already done the math. Looking back at what happened since he lays out a list of failures:
The United States under Joe Biden has doubled down on the absurd narrative that the United States has the national capacity and moral stature to lead the world’s response to climate change.
Let me dismiss this claim in a few words.
First, the doom of the climate change regime was sealed when the United States refused to ratify the Kyoto Protocol in 1998.
It was double doomed when the United States under Barack Obama imposed a successor regime that eliminated legally binding caps for anyone.
It was triple doomed when Donald Trump withdrew from the Paris Agreement.
It was quadruple doomed when the United States under Joe Biden decided that its highest priority and organizing principle of policy was to treat the People’s Republic of China as America’s prime geopolitical adversary.
Doom doom de doom doom doom. You get the picture.
It is not only the U.S. which is guilty here. All political system seem to prefer short term rewards over avoiding future pain., especially when others can be plausibly blamed for the outcome. The U.S. is just the most hypocritical actor here.
That Joe Biden is still playing nice with the fossil fuel industry demonstrates the mechanism:
The Biden administration is now on track to approve more oil and gas drilling on public lands—activity that accounts for a quarter of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions—than any administration since George W. Bush. Climate envoy John Kerry has balked at the idea of committing the U.S. to a coal phaseout. Politicians who call themselves climate hawks are still going out of their way to make clear that there’s a vibrant future ahead for the companies that funded climate denial, whose business model remains built around burning up and extracting as many fossil fuels as possible. Administration officials, meanwhile, have talked repeatedly about the need to cap warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius.
This is climate denial.
Just look at the recent infrastructure bill:
Many of the bill’s provisions are on the oil industry’s wish list. The proposed legislation has more than $10 billion for carbon capture, transport and storage — a suite of technologies fossil fuel companies hope will allow them to extend their license to operate for years, if not decades. There’s also $8 billion for hydrogen — with no stipulation that the energy used to produce it comes from clean sources. A new liquid natural gas plant in Alaska won billions in loan guarantees, while other waivers in the bill will weaken environmental reviews of new construction projects, experts say.
“This infrastructure proposal is not a down payment on real climate action,” said Mitch Jones, director of Food & Water Watch Policy, a Washington accountability organization. “It is doubling down on support for climate polluters.”
Just yesterday Biden confirmed his pro fossil fuel position by asking for cheaper pollution:
President Joe Biden on Wednesday afternoon added to the pressure on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, after one of his top advisers said earlier in the day that OPEC and its allies “must do more” to support the economic recovery.
…
Oil futures recently traded higher, but they had retreated earlier Wednesday after U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan pressed OPEC and its allies to further boost output and described a recent agreement to increase production as “simply not enough.”
Which lets me agree with Peter Lee's scary conclusion:
Lacking a time machine that can take us back to 1998 when we still had a chance to turn things around–or a nice big catastrophic war that wipes out enough humanity and industrial capacity to accomplish the same thing–it might be up to the planet to deal with the problem herself: churning up enough sea level rise, weather calamity, drought, famine, and disease to reduce the human load on the planet by the ugliest means imaginable.
That’s all the climate change optimism I can muster, and that’s it!
This not a pessimistic view but a realistic one. It does not mean that we should give up. All of us, personally and politically, should try to reduce our environmental footprint as much as we can.
Unfortunately that is neither easy nor convenient to do.
Global warming.
The collection of pea brain politicians want to stop Global warming by controlling the carbon dioxide in atmosphere. That is actually more ridiculous than trying to stop the rushing train by putting a single straw on the rails.
Confident politicians are trying to change Gods setup.
Obviously they cannot succeed.
And Gods setup is that way that 95 percent of humanity will be eliminated.
God did set it up this way when he did create our solar system.
Global warming?
Global warming is continuous process that started at peak of the Ice age that did happen about 18 thousand years ago.
There is now no more global warming. There is now accelerated global warming.
People now noticed that our planet is warming up. People did not notice global warming before, because the changes were not noticeable during one person lifetime.
So what is the reason for accelerated global warming?
Some 30 or 40 years ago great change did happen. And it has nothing to do with carbon dioxide in atmosphere.
Carbon dioxide stays in lower atmosphere is not cumulative process. With rain carbon dioxide creates carbonic acid and it falls to the ground where it helps in creation of top soil. Also plants do absorb carbon dioxide. So carbon dioxide is being part of the recycling process Carbon dioxide is not and newer was the cause of global warming. Although there always were large forest fires they never influenced anything..
So here is what is happening!
Staging.
I do find it difficult to pick the starting point of the explanation, but I am picking the starting point of peak of the Ice age. Ice age is now accepted fact so I do not have to prove it.
We did find some Neanderthal skeletons and some pictures on the walls of caves where they were living. (But the question is: Did all Neanderthals live in caves?)
Also we have here a traveler through Alps clothed if fur and leader with pouch of berries.
Scientist determined that he died six thousand years ago. He was discovered only because the thick layer of ice above his body has melted away.
Than we have latest excavations in Sahara desert where were find skeletons an villages and former lakes what did prove that Sahara was a place with ample flora a fauna.
But most important fact we find in Bible when Jews did leave Egypt they were wandering 40 years in wilderness and when they were very hungry God did send them manna. The manna was sweet. So at one time area which is now Sinai Desert was bursting with vegetation and life. And the manna was coconuts falling from coconuts trees.
All this is proof that Global warming was present and happening continuously to this day.
And this is only the end of the Stage, Foreword, or like I love to say Prelude.
And now I can go to the theory itself .
MYSTERIOUS LADY THEORY
I have no doubt that most of readers will not understand the theory because to understand it, it requires certain minimal knowledge of static, kinematics, dynamics and vectors.
It also requires certain familiarities with works of two Slavic Geniuses , Copernicus, and Kepler, and also Holandian Ticho de Brahe.
But there is no reason to despair. All you have to understand that everything has two sides. As Newton law that every action has an opposite reaction of equal size. Also every coin has a head ant tale. So if there was an Ice age there must be also a hot age.
I will concentrate mostly on Kepler.
So how it went down,
Tycho de Brahe spent most of his life observing night skies recording the position of planets at time intervals. Eventually when he finished his work, he did not know what to do with it, so he did send all his notes and sketches to Kepler.
On bases of these notes Kepler formulated 3 laws on movement of orbiting planets in our Solar system. (you can Google Kepler to find the Laws,)
What is significant is the interpretation of second Law which is about of equal areas. The interpretation is that velocity of the earth orbiting tne Sun is not constant. The velocity when earth on the curve around the sun is higher than when is on the curve on opposite side. (Far away from sun.)
But I do have a problem with first Law (the ellipse)
First problem is that ellipse is an anomaly.
Second problem is that ellipse is inherently unstable.
As the earth rotate around the Sun trajectory is determined by two obvious forces. The gravity pull of the sun and the centrifugal force emanated from kinetic force of the earth.
These two forces never change so the orbit must be circular,
So who is right Kepler or me.
Actually Kepler is right because his Law is based on factual findings of Ticho de Brahe.
But here is the snag, First law of dynamics is that nothing changes in our universe unless force is applied to it. So there must be some invisible unknown force that warps the circular orbit of earth into ellipse. I do call this unknown force “Mysterious Lady”
So there are three forces determining the trajectory of the earth not two. (Holy Trinity,)
And so mysterious lady is pushing the end of ellipse continuously away from the other end. That is more and more away from sun making the ellipse longer and narrower. Because now earth is spending more time on the ellipse that is far away from sun, the temperature of the earth is decreasing and than the ice age sets in up on earth. Because the vector of Mysterious lady is in direct opposition to Suns gravity, strength of Mysterious lady is decreasing with each orbit. Eventually Suns gravity eliminates all force of Mysterious lady and earth execute his last progressing orbit. And that is the peak of the ice age,
Than Sun is starting to pull back orbit of the earth, making ellipse fatter and shorter until earth make last orbit which is precise circle.
But Sun pulling back the earth trajectory is building up the potential energy in earth.
And now we know the origin of Mysterious lady. It is actually inertia of earth built up by Suns gravity. So when earth makes the precise circular orbit, that is the peak of hot age. And passing that point, inertia in earth is starting to build the ellipse on opposite side of Sun and the process repeats itself.
So the movement is like pendulum.
Orbit of the earth defined by two vectors. Vector of kinetic energy and vector of earth inertia.
According my calculations movement from peak of ice age to peak other ice age takes forty thousand years,
………………………………………
So where are we now?
We are approximately 2 thousand years away from peak of hot age, when orbit of the earth becomes precise circle. And I believe it is not too good news for humanity,
At the beginning I did mention the red line and accelerated Global warming.
So what is happening?
Sun is emitting heat waves into universe but so does also earths, the face turned away from sun. This acceptance of heat energy and emitting heat energy was in balance.
But because earth is spending more time closer to sun the enthalpy of the earth is increasing, Increase of enthalpy means accelerated Global warming.
Prophecy and consequences
Seasons.
Although it was happening before now it will happen more obviously. The summers will become longer and winters will become shorter. It will happen until circular
orbit of the earth when seasons will vanish and all year will be only summer. I am not going to note on the impact on the flora. In every case the impact becomes questionable.
Going back to present.
Environmentalists are now alarmed by diminishing icebergs on poles. Claiming of the rising of the level of oceans is threat to humanity. That is not a threat. That is a joke.
About our Mother Earth.
Earth is not a sphere to call earth sphere is good enough when we argue with people who claim that the earth is flat.
Earth is ellipsoid with larger axis of distance of two opposite points on the equator an smaller axis from pole to pole.
But even that is not precise because earth is more squashed on north pole than on south pole.
That proves two things.
Earth was once liquid mass.
The solidifying of surface of the liquid mass did begin on North pole.
On North pole we have deep see while on South pole we have solid earth mass.
So what are the detrimental factors threaten the humanity?
(Here are enthusiast of global worming actually right.)
1.Increased temperature.
2.Weather
Temperature of air on most areas will increase to such extent that it will become non breathable.
Concerning weather, it is more complicated.
As earth will heat up and all snow and ice will vanish the temperature differences will of different areas considerable decrease. That will influence the air movement around the globe.
The air movement will considerably decrease. It will decrease to such extent that most of evaporated water from oceans in a form of clouds will not reach solid ground but they will fall back in a form of rain into oceans. Result of this will be dry lands on continents.
So here is signs to watch. Amounts of rain in all areas.
Tornados Hurricanes and Typhoons will be no more. They will die out.
The results.
The earth axis of rotation is not perpendicular to area of its ellipse it is inclined 22,7 degrees. That means that southern hemisphere is more exposed to sun when earth is on curve around the sun.
So Australia will first that will become arid uninhabitable land. All flora and fauna including the population will die out. Following new Zealand Africa Middle east South America will die out.
Eventually all area up to Northern Polar circle will become uninhabitable.
Only Northern parts of Canada, Labrador, Iceland and Russian Tundra will be habitable.
Naturally by progressing the devastation there will be great migration Earth population to North.
Some countries will accept selectively some emigrants but there will not be so many accepted .
Russian Taiga is a huge land and they will accept mostly Slavic people Except Polish and not Russian speaking Ukrainians.
We have Lucy from 3,2 million years and we have Ardi from 4.4 million years.
So humanoids and humans survived several hot ages so why such a pessimistic outlook for humanity now?
Well?
We do not know how may died in hot age and how many survived.
And here is the huge difference. They did not have an axe and saw. All surface of earth was cowered and protected by canopy of trees.
This time it will be different.
People did cut down most of the trees for inhabitation, fields and roads.
So now the earth is mostly naked.
So what can humans do now to at lest somehow diminish the impact of hot age.
Not much!
Maybe plant trees on every free area could help a little bit.
The other thing is imperative. Canada should dig a deep channel from Great lakes to arctic circle, and Russia should dig a deep channel from Baikal lake to Russian Tundra.
To have a soft water for population and for irrigation to have a back up
in case of insufficient rain.
I still stand by my calculation of peak of the hot age 2 thousand years from now, but that is within error of plus minus 5 hundred years. So maybe we will start to notice the beginning of hot age soon.
We have scientist star gazers, who could measure the distance of earth to sun at time of peak of winter, and at time of peak of summer and establish the parameters of ellipse.
And doing twice or more times could determine the gradient of earth nearing the sun.
From that it can be calculated precisely the peak of the hot age.
What is most peculiar to me that Trump wanted to buy Iceland from Denmark.
Did he wanted a safe land for future US population? Because he knew what will be coming? This is very suspicious to me. But Democrats have different idea
They just will kill all Iceland population and take over.
Soon will be here on earth life or death situations for most of nations, so conflict will arise with unforeseen consequences.
Final conclusion.
Bible is saying that God created heaven and earth. I would put it slightly differently.
Many parameters of our Earth and our Solar system that support life, in my opinion could not happen randomly. I am strongly convinced that our solar system is Gods pet project.
Post Scripted
Please do not misunderstand me. I am condoning all activities what Governments are doing, fighting Global warming and Climate change. But these activities will have zero influence on what is coming.
I am only wondering if I will get at least one echo.
April 30, 2021
Signed by Zarathustra, Diploma Engineer
Posted by: Zarathustra | Aug 12 2021 18:54 utc | 86
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