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The MoA Week In Review – OT 2021-039
Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:
(Sorry for not posting the last two days. There was a private emergency which had to be taken care of. – b.)
— Other issues:
Death of the Intercept
Prosecution Futures:
You've been had.
> The budget will not include President Biden’s campaign pledge to enact a public option to create a government-run health insurance program, or his pledge to cut prescription drug costs, the people said. … Other ambitious Biden campaign pledges — from raising the estate tax to forgiving significant amounts of student debt — are also expected to be left out of the new budget plan, the people said. <
The hypocrites will condemn the first plane incident while forgetting about the second and third:
Nuking China:
Use as open thread …
As barflies can see, There may be an undefined ‘ceasefire’ but the 100 year old ethnic cleansing project in the rest of Palestine continues:
Israel’s Daily Toll on Palestinian Life, Limb, Liberty and Land
(Compiled by Leslie Bravery, Palestine Human Rights Campaign, Auckland, New Zealand)
18 May 2021 {Main source of statistics: Palestinian Monitoring Group (PMG): http://www.nad.ps/ NB:The period covered by this newsletter is taken from the PMG’s 24-hour sitrep ending 8am the day after the above date.}
We shall always do our best to verify the accuracy of all items in these IOP newsletters/reports wherever possible [e.g. we often suspect that names of people and places that we see in the PMG sitreps could be typos; also frequently the translation into English seems rather odd ~ but as we do not speak Arabic, we have no alternative but to copy and paste these names from the PMG sitreps!] – please forgive us for any errors or omissions – Leslie and Marian.
206 projectiles
launched from Gaza
82 air strikes (157)
Very many
Israeli attacks
158 Israeli
ceasefire violations
21 raids including
home invasions
11 killed – 261 injured
Economic sabotage
43 taken prisoner
Night peace disruption
and/or home invasions
in 6 towns and villages
Home invasions: 09:20, Nazlet al-Sheikh Zaid – 09:20, al-Arqa – 04:00, Anabta – 03:30, Madama – 03:30, Tel.
Peace disruption raids: 14:40, Beitunya – 16:05, Um Safa village – 03:20, Bir Zeit – dawn, Bil’in – 17:40, Tura village – 18:55, Ya’bad – 19:45, Zububa – 06:30, Tubas – 18:05, Quffin – 04:00, Tulkarem – 20:00, Aqraba – 13:45, al-Azza UN refugee camp – 13:45, Aida UN refugee camp – 18:10, al-Khadr – 18:10, Janata – 20:15, Tuqu – 03:00, al-Ubeidiya – dawn, Husan – dawn, al-Ubeidiya.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Gaza enclave: From 07:00 until 07:00 the following day 206 projectiles were launched towards the Green Line from Northern Gaza, Gaza City, Central Gaza and Khan Yunis.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Gaza enclave: From 07:00 until 07:00 the following day, 206 projectiles were launched towards the Green Line from Northern Gaza, Gaza City, Central Gaza and Khan Yunis.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Northern Gaza – 53 projectiles launched towards the Green Line.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Gaza – 81 projectiles launched towards the Green Line.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Central Gaza – 17 projectiles launched towards the Green Line.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Khan Yunis – 38 projectiles launched towards the Green Line.
Ceasefire violations – Palestinian missile attacks: Khan Yunis – 17 projectiles launched towards the Green Line.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Gaza enclave – from 07:00 until 07:00 the following day, Israeli warplanes carried out 82 air strikes, launching 157 missiles onto Gaza. There were 7 killed, 50 injured, 35 homes destroyed and much damage caused.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Northern Gaza – Israeli warplanes launched 21 air strikes – 35 missiles: 16 injured and 10 homes destroyed.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Gaza – Israeli warplanes launched 17 air strikes – 27 missiles: 6 killed (including a child), 15 injured (including women and children) and 7 homes destroyed.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Central Gaza – Israeli warplanes launched 14 air strikes – 20 missiles: 11injured and 6 homes destroyed.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Khan Yunis – Israeli warplanes launched 13 air strikes – 46 missiles: 1 killed, 14 injured and 10 homes destroyed.
Ceasefire violations – air strikes: Rafah – Israeli warplanes launched 17 air strikes – 29 missiles. 3 injured and 2 homes destroyed.
Ceasefire violations – Israeli attacks: Gaza enclave: From 07:00 until 07:00 the following day, the Israeli Army and Navy pounded Central Gaza, Khan Yunis and Rafah.
Israeli Army attacks – 18 wounded: Jerusalem – Israeli Occupation forces opened fire, with live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters on protesters in Shuafat, al-Zaim, al-Jib, Beit Ijza, Qalandiya, near the villages of Qatanna and al-Issawiya, as well as in Abu Dis, al-Eizariya and at the entrances to Hizma, al-Sawahrah al-Sharqiya, Anata, the al-Ram road junction, Bab al-Amoud area and al-Wad Street in Jerusalem Old City. 18 protesters were wounded.
Israeli Army attack: Jerusalem – 18:00, Israeli Occupation forces opened fire on Palestinian motor vehicles in the Sheikh Radwan neighbourhood.
Israeli Army attacks – 3 killed – 72 wounded: Ramallah – Israeli forces in or near al-Bireh, Sinjil, Aboud, Ni’lin, al-Mughayer, Deir Jarir, Kafr Malik, Nabi Salih, Ein Qiniya, Ras Karkar, Kharbatha Bani Harith, Beit Sira, al-Jalazoun refugee camp, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, killing 3 people, Muhammad Mahmoud Hamid (24), Adham Fayez Al-Kashef (20) and Islam Wael Fahmy Barnat, and wounding 72. There were many tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 4 wounded: Jenin – Israeli troops, manning the Jalamah and Dotan checkpoints and at the southern entrance to Silat al-Dahr, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 4 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 7 wounded: Tulkarem – Israeli forces, manning the Einav checkpoint and troops in Tulkarem, Quffin, Zit and at the entrance to Beit Lid, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 7 and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 8 wounded: Qalqiliya – Israeli Occupation forces, at the entrances to Azun, Hajjah, and Kafr Qaddum as well as near Jayus, Hablat and at the Eyal crossing, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 8 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 33 wounded: Nablus – Israeli Army positions, near the Huwara checkpoint, the intersection of Osirin and Sarra villages and near the entrances to Qusra, Beta, Jama’in, Naqoura, Deir Sharaf, Burin, Madama, Asirah al-Qibliya, Yutma, al-Labban al-Sharqiya, Odla, al-Sawiyah and the village of Tal, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 33 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks: Salfit – Israeli troops, near the entrances to Deir Istiya, Qarawat Bani Hassan, al-Zawiya and the northern entrance to Salfit, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters. There were several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 18 wounded: Bethlehem – Israeli forces, present at Bilal Bin Rabah Mosque, the Aida refugee camp, northern entrance to Tuqu’, western entrance to Beit Fajar, Um Rakba area of al-Khadr and entrance to Husan, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 18 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army attacks – 1 killed: Hebron – morning, Israeli Occupation forces, positioned in the Old City, opened fire on and killed a resident: Islam Fayyad Zahida (32).
Israeli Army attacks – 30 wounded: Hebron – the Israeli Army, positioned in the Bab al-Zawiya area of Hebron and in the Old City, as well as near the entrances to Beit Ummar, Bani Naim, Tarqumiya, Khurasa village, the al-Aroub refugee camp and on Halhul Bridge, fired live ammunition, rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 30 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Economic sabotage: Gaza — the Israeli Navy continues to enforce an arbitrary fishing limit.
Home invasion: Jenin – 09:20, Israeli Occupation forces raided the villages of Nazlet al-Sheikh Zaid and al-Arqa, and invaded a house.
Home invasion – boy (aged 15) abducted : Tulkarem – 04:00, Israeli troops raided Anabta and abducted 15-year-old Muhammad Salam Wajih Rasheed.
Home invasions: Nablus – 03:30, Israeli forces raided Madama and Tel villages and invaded a number of homes.
Israeli police and settlers’ mosque violation: 23:00, Israeli Occupation police invaded the courtyards of Al-Aqsa Mosque, filming the Mosque and its facilities.
Israeli Army – 7 wounded – rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters: Tubas – Israeli Occupation forces, manning the Tayasir checkpoint and in the village of Atouf, fired rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 7 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Israeli Army – 5 wounded – rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters: Jericho – Israeli forces, at the northern and southern entrances to Jericho, as well as outside the Aqbat Jaber refugee camp, fired rubber-coated bullets, stun grenades and tear gas canisters towards protesters, wounding 5 people and causing several tear gas casualties.
Occupation settler violence: Jerusalem – 18:00, Israeli settlers stoned a family home, on the outskirts of the village of Beit Ijza.
Occupation road casualties: Bethlehem – 16:40, an Israeli settler drove his motor vehicle over and hospitalised a 19-year-old Abdullah Saqr Saad, near Khalet Iskarya.
Raid: Ramallah – 14:40, Israeli Occupation forces raided and patrolled Beitunya.
Raid: Ramallah – 16:05, Israeli forces raided and patrolled Um Safa village.
Raid – 1 taken prisoner: Ramallah – 03:20, Israeli troops raided Bir Zeit, taking prisoner one person.
Raid – 1 taken prisoner: Ramallah – dawn, the Israeli Army raided Bil’in village, taking prisoner one person.
Raid: Jenin – 17:40, Israeli troops raided and patrolled Tura village.
Raid: Jenin – 18:55, Israeli soldiers raided and patrolled Ya’bad.
Raid: Jenin – 19:45, Israeli Occupation forces raided and patrolled Zububa village.
Raid: Tubas – 06:30, Israeli forces raided and patrolled Tubas.
Raid: Tulkarem – 18:05, the Israeli Army raided and patrolled Quffin.
Raid: Tulkarem – 04:0 Israeli troops raided Tulkarem.
Raid: Nablus – 20:00, Israeli soldiers raided and patrolled Aqraba.
Raid – UN refugee camps: Bethlehem – 13:45, Israeli Occupation forces raided and patrolled the al-Azza and Aida UN refugee camps in Bethlehem.
Raid: Bethlehem – 18:10, Israeli forces raided and patrolled al-Khadr and Janata.
Raid – 2 abductions: Bethlehem – 20:15, Israeli troops raided Tuqu and abducted two 16-year-old youths: Muhammad Khaled Nasrallah and Sind Talal Al-Amor.
Raid: Bethlehem – 03:00, Israeli soldiers raided and patrolled al-Ubeidiya.
Raid – 2 taken prisoner: Bethlehem – dawn, the Israeli Army raided Husan village, taking prisoner two people.
Raid – 2 taken prisoner: Bethlehem – dawn, Israeli Occupation forces raided al-Ubeidiya, taking prisoner twopeople.
Restrictions of movement (14): 11:30, entrance to Turmusaya- 11:20, tightened procedures at Huwara – 12:00, tightened procedures at Kifl Haris – 12:50, entrance to al-Zawiya – 11:25-12:30, al-Nashash road junction – 14:10, entrance to al-Walaja village – midnight, entrance to Marah Mualla – 09:15, entrance to the Fahs area, south of Hebron – 18:45, entrance to Sa’ir – Beit Hanoun (Erez) crossing closed – al-Mantar-Karni crossing closed – al-Shujaiyeh crossing (Nahal Oz) closed – Sufa crossing closed – al-Awda Port closed.
[NB: Times indicated in Bold Type contribute to the sleep deprivation suffered by Palestinian children]
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Posted by: Paul | May 24 2021 8:02 utc | 126
Taiwan’s new COVID-19 cases skyrocket, blames WHO for its own failures:
Taiwan reports 595 new infections, hits out at WHO over exclusion (SCMP – a pro-Taiwan and pro-HK, anti-Mainland newspaper)
As I’ve already linked here before, the Mainland confirmed Taiwan has been refusing to receive any Chinese vaccines – which have been offered in quantity. They want Western vaccines. But the West doesn’t have those vaccines. As a result, Taiwan has vaccinated less than 1% of its population.
I’ve also once posted by “theory” on Taiwan here, based on the progression of The Diplomat (a heavily pro-Taiwan magazine) articles about its alleged “success” in containing the pandemic (articles about the pandemic are not paywalled). Long story short, it seems the official propaganda – that Taiwan is the most successful “country” to contain the pandemic – is 100% false. Most likely Taiwan is simply not testing its people (this info was later confirmed by official Mainland sources) and is letting the cases to be swept under the carpet. Those 300-500 daily cases are most likely 1,200-3,000 daily cases, based on an extrapolation of the threshold Western and other Third World countries usually can handle before the whole thing leaks to the press.
Taiwan’s situation is critical. It is possible we may be witnessing the beginning of the end of Kaishekist Taiwan.
–//–
Meanwhile, on the other side of the Strait:
China hits 500 million doses in rush to get 40 per cent vaccinated (also from SCMP)
It took 25 days to reach 200 million shots, another 16 to reach 300 million and only nine to achieve 400 million on May 15.
Then, in just seven days another 100 million-plus shots were administered, with a record 17.1 million given on May 20.
An NHC official said previously that China had the capacity to do 20 million shots a day.
After the newest port cities outbreak, the CPC called the Chinese people up for their laziness and accommodation with the situation. It then instructed the regional governments to ramp up their vaccination programs. It worked.
Sometimes, the government has to tell its own people of their own shortcomings in order to do what is needed and what is right. It’s no crime and no shame to recognize your own weaknesses and errors – as long as you use the lesson to correct them.
The Chinese people had the magnanimity to recognize their government was right on the vaccination issue and they were in the wrong. They lined up to be vaccinated the very next day. The government made its part by making the vaccines available as easily as they could. Win-win.
–//–
And, in the country nobody cares (except Kaishekist Taiwan and South Korea):
No one’s safe anymore: Osaka crumples under COVID-19 onslaught (from The Japan Times, a pro-Japan newspaper)
The IOC will insist on having the Olympics there for its own survival as an institution, not because they care about the Japanese people.
The Japanese government will insist on having the Olympics because they don’t want the embarrassment of having it cancelled while witnessing the Winter Olympics of 2022 being a success in China (its mortal enemy).
It’s a myth capitalism doesn’t have its own version of the Politburo. It has, and it gathers in secret, and is made up of the owners of the big corporations and their vassals from the governments and military. Don’t fool yourself: the next thing you’re gonna buy is being decided right now by some corporate bureaucrats in some 50-store building in New York.
–//–
WSJ unmasked again:
Wuhan Institute of Virology lab director refutes WSJ report on sick staff, calling US intelligence doc ‘a complete lie’
“I’ve read it, it’s a complete lie,” Yuan said when he was asked by the Global Times on Monday morning about the WSJ story, which was published on Sunday titled “Intelligence on Sick Staff at Wuhan Lab Fuels Debate on COVID-19 Origin”.
The story, citing an unpublished report that was issued during the final days of the Trump administration, said several researchers at the lab became sick in the autumn of 2019 with symptoms consistent with both COVID-19 and common seasonal illnesses.
“Those claims are groundless. The lab has not been aware of this situation [sick researchers in autumn 2019], and I don’t even know where such information came from,” the Chinese researcher told the Global Times.
Has it become a tradition later POTUSes shitting on the whole dining room before leaving?
–//–
China to cut debt, boost yuan to tackle inflation
This headline is very disingenuous, as it makes its seems to the average reader of the Asia Times (a First Worlder Westerner, probably an American) that China is enforcing classic neoliberal reforms.
When you read the article, things become clearer:
During the past several months the regulators have, among other measures:
– forced Ant Financial, the country’s largest consumer payments and lending franchise, to become a bank holding company subject to stringent reserve requirements;
– allowed Huarong Asset Management, a distressed-debt manager that is majority-owned by the Ministry of Finance, to go to the brink of reorganization with likely losses for bondholders;
– shut down internet platforms offering high-interest loans to Chinese students;
– fined or suspended major rating agencies for having assigned top credit ratings to bond issuers that then defaulted shortly after the ratings had been assigned;
– encouraged corporations to issue equity instead of debt;
– ordered real estate companies to report off-balance-sheet loans taken out through special purpose vehicles; and
– told local government financing vehicles (LGFV’s) to restructure, rather than expect a central government bailout, if they can’t meet debt-service obligations.
These are clearly localized, not systemic, policies. There are no interest rates rise, there are no privatizations.
Of course, David P. Goldman takes a page from the NYT’s textbook and buried the truth at the bottom of the article:
Is China over-leveraged? Goldman Sachs economists argued in a March 19 report that it isn’t. “Policy normalization began in China in the second half of 2020, and we expect the monetary policy stance to remain neutral for 2021,” Kenneth Ho and Chakki Ting wrote in a client report.
“We expect Total Social Financing to grow in line with nominal GDP, and we are forecasting non-financial debt/GDP to drop moderately to 282% by the end of this year,” they added. “We believe China aims to maintain a long-term path of steady leverage and rising per capita income.”
So, that means China is simply reverting the emergency policies from the pandemic. Which was the intended path from the very beginning. They’re not “tackling inflation” because there’s no inflation crisis to “be tackled”.
–//–
Communist China, from a French point of view:
Interview: Love for people makes Chinese communists’ source of strength, says French party chief Jacques Cheminade
Wikipedia says Jacques Cheminade is a “conspiracy theorist”. Does any French here know if that’s true?
Either way, he tells the truth in this interview.
–//–
By pushing for regime change in Russia, the EU Parliament has revealed how irrelevant & unreliable it is for the future of Europe, by Glenn Diesen (op-ed)
–//–
Looks like the Western MSM changed Protasyevich’s description to “activist”, after initially calling him “journalist”. Evidently, Protasyevich is not – and never was – a journalist. His description as a journalist must have caused revolt among the journalists of the Western MSM, forcing its editors to tone down their propaganda a little bit.
Even cockroaches have self-respect, it seems.
Posted by: vk | May 24 2021 14:18 utc | 151
Where are we now: COVID after 1+ year
I ran across some old Excel sheets I had created in the March/April 2020 time frame – this prompted me to take a look at where we are at globally vs. the early estimates.
Here is a graph of the top 83 nations’ COVID performance to date (basically all nations above world average) graphed as # of reported cases per reported death (all based on Worldmeter data). The 2nd line (red) is the number of tests per reported case.
COVID top 83, May 2021)
The purpose of these 2 data points is as follows:
1) Is there a significant difference in cases vs. deaths?
2) Did testing – both as a proxy of “national effort” and also as an indicator of better COVID detection – matter in terms of reported deaths vs. cases?
Note that the global average of deaths vs. cases = 48.17 but the average of the top 83 = 53.05. Or in other words, the 84 through ROW nations don’t really affect anything.
Also note: US is the un-named graph point right after the UK
This is interesting: by and large – the “1 death per 50 cases” doesn’t vary dramatically across the top 83 COVID nations.
Yes, there are spikes but these will be more interesting after looking at this graph:
COVID deaths per 1M population
The 2 graphs are in the exact same order: i.e. most deaths per 1M population in descending order.
The big spikes tend to be really small nations: Andorra and what not, although the Netherlands is the largest notable exception (92 cases per death).
Now comparing vs. 1+ year ago:
The model I created from early reports in March 2020 documented the then death rate of 1 death per 67 confirmed cases (approximately).
I speculated, then, that overall cases would be double that of confirmed.
So the good news: death rate improved somewhat vs early reports, but not dramatically at all. Lockdowns, travel bans, mask wearing, Vitamin whatever, HCQ, Ivermectin, Azythromycin, medical learning etc at best improved death rates by about 20%. The actual “improvement” is certainly lower because the death rate in late April 2020 was certainly not counting at least a few deaths from multi-week/multi-month COVID – and it is certainly likely that at least some COVID deaths were not being reported due to relative lack of testing.
What else is interesting?
=1) There is not a single Asian nation in the top 83. Not India, not Philippines, nobody. Kyrgyzstan is #104 (265/1M), Nepal is #108 (221/1M), Kazakhstan is #110 (215/1M) and the Phillipines is #117 (180/1M). Ditto Africa.
2) The nations that were at the forefront of COVID: Italy, Spain, Belgium, France – they were surpassed by Eastern Europe.
Italy is now #13, Belgium #10, France #22, Spain #20.
Hungary is now #1 in the world in COVID deaths per 100K with most of the ex-Warsaw Pact and Yugoslavia following it.
3) Italy had 551 deaths per 1M population in late April – they’re at 2074 now.
The US had 327, Germany 106 in late April 2020, the US is now at 1816 and Germany at 1047.
UK was 596 in late April 2020, they’re at 1873 now.
Spain was 584 in late April 2020, they’re now at 1702.
Or put another way: if Germany is the gold standard of societal/government COVID handling – they had more deaths since late April 2020 than Spain. And pretty close to Sweden. (Sweden went from 449 deaths per 1M in late April 2020 to 1415)
The US in particular: the US has a higher case to death ratio than almost all of its peers in the top 30. The exceptions are places like Montenegro, Slovenia, Andorra and Czekia, with France a little behind. Does this mean the US did enough testing compared to other nations? Hard to say but very clear that testing wasn’t any sort of proxy for overall COVID performance. The UK tested nearly 1M more per 1M population than the US but has a worse death number. Gibraltar had nearly 6M more tests per 1M population and is #4 on the death list, with Czekia being #3 on deaths and over 2.1M tests per 1M population.
I suspect what ultimately will be shown to have mattered is:
1) Demographics of population. Older populations – i.e. Europe – suffered more because older people are the most affected (60+)
2) Density of population. It is 100% clear that dense cities/nations are able to spread COVID rapidly. Not dense nations, not so much.
3) Relative isolation. Island nations or countries that havfe no tourism/trade to speak of did just fine.
4) Ethnicity: Asian seems to matter. Africa – has done well but most of Africa is young, relatively isolated and not dense.
But in any case, time will tell.
What will be particularly interesting is what the future impact will be.
We already know that COVID killed a lot of people that were very sick. Diabetics, cancer, emphysema etc etc.
This means death rates for the next 2? 5? years will be lower?
Health care spending will fall, because fewer old/sick people?
Accelerated consolidation of small businesses into large, because of capital reserves and government subsidies?
Interesting times.
Posted by: c1ue | May 24 2021 14:58 utc | 154
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