Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 03, 2021

By Following Trump's Policies Biden's 'Deterrence' Predictably Fails

U.S. politicians and military love to claim that they are acting to restore deterrence:

When the president illegally ordered the assassination of Soleimani in January of this year, administration officials eventually lined up behind the excuse that it was intended to “restore deterrence” against rocket attacks from Iranian-backed Iraqi militias. Even though these attacks have continued throughout the year much the same as before, we are back to the same old tired issuing of threats of military action in response to attacks that would not be happening if it were not for the president’s own reckless actions.
...
Were it not for the president’s “maximum pressure” campaign, U.S. forces in Iraq would face far fewer risks than they do today, and conflict between our governments would be much less likely. Had it not been for the president’s decision to order the illegal and provocative attack that killed Soleimani and an Iraqi militia leader, tensions between the U.S. and Iran would not be as great as they are now. Trump’s approach to Iran for the last two and a half years has been to pick a fight and then blame the other side for responding to his provocations. Far from deterring attacks from Iranian-backed militias and the Iranian military itself, the Trump administration has been provoking and inviting them.

President Joe Biden and his administration continue, without any change, the Trump administration's policies towards Syria, Iraq and Iran.

Just like Trump Biden has claimed that last week's airstrike on Iraqi security forces at the Iraqi-Syrian border was designed to deter from further missile strikes on U.S. forces in Iraq:

President Joe Biden said Friday that Iran should view his decision to authorize U.S. airstrikes in Syria as a warning that it can expect consequences for its support of militia groups that threaten U.S. interests or personnel. “You can’t act with impunity. Be careful,” Biden said when a reporter asked what message he had intended to send with the airstrikes, which the Pentagon said destroyed several buildings in eastern Syria but were not intended to eradicate the militia groups that used them to facilitate attacks inside Iraq.
...
At the Pentagon, [chief spokesperson John] Kirby said the operation was “a defensive strike” on a waystation used by militants to move weapons and materials for attacks into Iraq. But he noted that while it sent a message of deterrence and eroded their ability to strike from that compound, the militias have other sites and capabilities.

It is quite obvious that such "messaging" by airstrikes is nonsense that only guarantees that the cycle of violence escalates. As we noted after the recent strike:

The Biden administration has yet to learn the lesson the Trump learned when he tired to provoke Iran and its allies. It is the resistance that has escalation dominance in the Middle East. It can control the pace of further steps up the escalation ladder. It is willing to step up higher than the U.S. It knows how to use that ability.

Today the U.S. received proof that the "message" it sent did not have the desired effect:

An air base hosting US, Iraqi and coalition forces in Iraq was targeted on Wednesday by at least 10 rockets, US coalition officials said.

The Al-Asad air base was struck by grad missiles, Iraqi officials said earlier Wednesday. There are no reports of casualties or damage, and no group immediately claimed responsibility.

The rocket launcher was found in the al-Bayader agricultural area near the town of al-Baghdadi, about 180 kilometers northwest of Baghdad, military sources told CNN. Sabereen news, a pro-Shia militia group, published images on its Telegram page claiming to show the launcher that attacked the base.

Additional news from Iraq says that a U.S. contractor at the base died of a heart attack during the missile strike.

A launch vehicle used in today's attack

bigger

The previous strike on the U.S. base in Erbil was done with three missiles. Today's attack, coming after the U.S. 'deterrence strike' on the unrelated target at the Syrian border, used at least 13 missiles of which ten hit their targets. The base is defended with C-RAM Systems (vid) but today's strike proves that mass attacks can easily overwhelm these.

Should the U.S. insist on further escalation the next strike will again use more missiles.

Interestingly all U.S. news outlets fail to mention the constant attacks on U.S. logistic convoys in Iraq. The latest one happened earlier today in south Iraq. While these attacks rarely cause more than material damage they are a constant reminder that plenty of Iraqis want the U.S. to leave their country.

The groups who commit these attacks do not depend on Iran and do not follow its wishes. They are local Iraqis who take revenge for the assassination by the Trump administration of two of their heroes.

After the murder of Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis a majority in the Iraqi parliament voted for a resolution that demands all foreign forces to leave. The Iranian government announced that the U.S., as punishment, would have to leave the Middle East. Neither the Iraqi groups nor Iran can be deterred from attempts to achieve those aims.

The only way to change that is to fight, defeat and conquer Iran. But the U.S. and Israel are not willing to pay the price for that. They have been out-foxed by Iran. It's abilities are a real deterrence that is actually working.

The Biden administration ignores the demands to leave Iraq and the Middle East at its own peril.

Posted by b on March 3, 2021 at 16:30 UTC | Permalink

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Again, this is ALL by design. Thats exactly what USA wants, the cycle of violence to continue, so they have reasons to stay in Iraq/Syria/middle east and keep on attacking.
Why is this even news or being discussed? We are talking about simple obvious things.

Posted by: Hoyeru | Mar 3 2021 16:52 utc | 1

The Biden administration ignores the demands to leave Iraq and the Middle East at its own peril.

They can’t afford to leave, especially voluntarily (with their tales between their legs).

It will expose them as the emperor with no clothes.

The USD is underpinned by the might of the US military.

Two thirds of the world’s oil and gas reserves are in this region. They can’t simply walk out of there given the diminishing returns of fracking and shale oil in the US. Controlling the hydrocarbons becomes imperative for the US.

Soon we will come to a juncture where we will see what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object.

Posted by: Down South | Mar 3 2021 16:54 utc | 2

What those arrogant SOB's don't understand is a simple principle: "deterrence" goes both ways.

I heard China manufactures some of the cheapest and best missile launcher in the world. Quite sure they will soon go to the hands of some groups. Then we will see who is deterring who.

Posted by: d dan | Mar 3 2021 16:59 utc | 3

Thanks for the posting b...I recently left a ZH link about the attack on the Weekly Open Thread

I think the bit about the military contractor dying of a heart attack sets the proper tone.....out of the comfort zone and into the fire.

What stupid response will failing empire make next?

The shit show continues until it doesn't....

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 3 2021 17:06 utc | 4

thanks b...

my question: was it " the president’s “maximum pressure” campaign" or was it israel, wall st,the military industrial complex maximum pressure campaign? thus we see a continuation of the same under biden... no change... so whose 'maximum pressure campaign' is it???

as for the ongoing cycle of violence... i think anyone who steps back from this will acknowledge it serves no ones interests except those i mention in the previous paragraph... in other words - the system is working.. trump or biden - it doesn't matter... the system is working and although some would argue it is broken, it isn't broken for those whose interests are being well looked after in all this... obviously that doesn't include the people of iraq, or the ordinary people in the usa either... but the major leeches on the usa system continue to thrive and appear unstoppable..

i personally feel all of this examination has to be framed differently...

Posted by: james | Mar 3 2021 17:17 utc | 5

President Joe Biden and his administration continue, without any change, the Trump administration's policies towards Syria, Iraq and Iran.

And Russia, and China:

Kremlin blasts new EU, US sanctions as meddling in Russia’s affairs

China-less supply chain US’ wishful thinking: Global Times editorial

There's clearly a pattern. It's one thing when an incident is tied to an isolated country and an isolated POTUS. But when this repeats in multiple countries around the world and spans through multiple POTUSes, then it's time we call that a policy or a strategy.

My hint is that the USN is deteriorating relatively, due to a recent technological revolution in missiles and other related and adjunct technology (radar, electric, submarine etc. etc.) and due to the USA's overall economic decline since September 2008 and relative decline vis-a-vis China since 2012. As a result, being isolated in the American continent became a disadvantage to the USA, as China gained the opportunity to turn the tide of supremacy back to the land (BRI). The USN still retains its supremacy - but only as a patrolling force (piracy force), not as full-fledged, full escalation warfare force.

Hence the USA's growing choice for soft forms of/low intensity warfare, that is, economic sanctions, propaganda warfare and color revolutions (Unconventional Warfare - UW), instead of the more traditional, Clintonian form of UN-backed expeditions covered by heavy air support (both offensively and logistically), as we can observe from the Gulf War to the Invasion of Iraq. Libya was the last instance where this Clintonian style of warfare was possible, and even that was a strike of luck (China and Russia abstentions) and already an isolated case by then (2011). Syria was the last attempt for a Clintonian-style expedition and there may well be others (Venezuela?), but my prediction is, if the American Empire doesn't go suicidal (hot war in Taiwan?) up to MAD, these kind of expeditions will get rarer and rarer, until they finally stop. The American Empire tends to wither more and more as time passes, the USN degenerating to a more and more ceremonial guard than a de facto effective war machine.

I do expect the American Empire to retain its backyard (Latin America) for the foreseeable future, though. Other allies seems to be very solid (Japan, Australia, Canada, the ex-Warsaw Pact nations, the rebel island of Taiwan) and I don't see they ever abandoning ship.

Posted by: vk | Mar 3 2021 17:17 utc | 6

The US does not have to fight, defeat and conquer Iran to stay in Iraq. The Iraqis have to fight and defeat the US to make the US forces leave or wait until the US simply decides for other reasons to leave, if ever. There isn't the slightest indication that the US government, despite the cost to the US people at large, will find the expense, in money or US casualties, too onerous to bear. The expense born by so-called allies is counted I think as a benefit to the US. Most of all, any costs to the people of Iraq is perfectly irrelevant to the US government (and a depressingly large number of ordinary citizens, I'm afraid.) Embarrassing as the low-level military resistance is, it is nothing to the strategic benefit of denying other parties, especially not Iraq, reliable access to Iraq's oil.

The US withdrew from Vietnam because the morale of the conscript army collapsed, and discipline was broken. (Plus, widespread signs of revolutionary ferment in the US didn't help either.) The US still hasn't withdrawn from Korea and is still fighting in Afghanistan. Once again, the notion that the essential aims of the US government require old-style colonial conquest is wrong. Capitalist decay is not just the cause of the inability to revert to colonial empires (because it hasn't the resources anymore,) but it is is the failed, crazed attempt at a solution. Imperialism, capitalism, if not just a fetter on social progress, it is promoting absolute regression, the destruction of the productive forces in an unconscious struggle to restore the viability of the empire at home. This is crazy but so is capitalism.

The deterrence will succeed very well at continuing the war. It is the Iraqi resistance that needs a new strategy.

Nobody has an end game for the liberation of the Palestinian people either, so it's not as if the Iraqis are the only ones who don't seem to have any real idea what to do.

Posted by: steven t johnson | Mar 3 2021 17:23 utc | 7

@ Hoyeru | Mar 3 2021 16:52 utc | 1... is there anywhere i can read your brilliant articles and commentary?? obviously not here!!

Posted by: james | Mar 3 2021 17:25 utc | 8

Re: 3 Down South,

I think a more accurate description of what we might see of the US in Iraq is what happens when an unreasonable force meets an immovable object

Posted by: Kadath | Mar 3 2021 17:33 utc | 9

My guess is Biden, and Trump before him, know the air strike intervention policy of deterrence doesn't work. Then the question is why do it? Because the message is not for those who oppose us, but to shape public opinion in the US.

And what message is being sent to the home crowd? That the US can and will respond militarily and give the appearance of looking tough. Failing to respond militarily makes the president look weak in the eyes of the media and his constituency. This was how CIA director Allen Dulles hoped JFK would be dragged into providing US air support for Bay of Pigs invasion. What Dulles didn't expect was that JFK, while young and inexperienced as President, had the strength of character not to fall for the trap set for him and took the blame for the failure.

The next question is, how does the President and his advisors determine what targets to strike back at? Since more than likely they aren't going to strike back at individuals or small groups who have conducted the attacks, because they have no military or propaganda value. So targets are chosen which do one of two things or both. The targets are favored by some constituency in our government or desired by one or more of our allies, and which have propaganda value in our media.

Posted by: 10 to 1 | Mar 3 2021 17:35 utc | 10

The US will suffer in Iraq and the climax will come in Syria.
It will be a year or two, but it is inevitable.
Russia, Turkey and Iran are going nowhere.
The US will have to go home. Like Vietnam, the inevitable was seen clearly seven years before they ran for their lives.

This isn't Afghanistan. This is Syria and the US has lost its gambit.
It is just a question of missiles, like in Iraq.
When the Syrian Army has the right missiles in quantities, the US will bleed out at al Tanf and Deir ez Zor.

Elections in 2022 will be critical to battle plans.

Americans are fed up with the ME. Biden's administration has no support for more war.


Posted by: Red Ryder | Mar 3 2021 17:37 utc | 11

"By Following Trump's Policies..."

I don't think Trump had any 'policies'. What he did was something like dynamic negotiations. Dynamic and unpredictable.

Posted by: Mao Cheng Ji | Mar 3 2021 17:42 utc | 12

Thus the Deep State (Empire managers) Deep Fake double-down: Substitute US troops for NATO troops.

What could go wrong? right: "Burden-sharing" with Europe.

<> <> <> <> <>

What passes for advanced strategic thinking: the 'ragheads' and sleepy Euro public will never notice.

!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 3 2021 17:50 utc | 13

Posted by: steven t johnson | Mar 3 2021 17:23 utc | 7

The US does not have to fight, defeat and conquer Iran to stay in Iraq. The Iraqis have to fight and defeat the US to make the US forces leave or wait until the US simply decides for other reasons to leave, if ever. There isn't the slightest indication that the US government, despite the cost to the US people at large, will find the expense, in money or US casualties, too onerous to bear. The expense born by so-called allies is counted I think as a benefit to the US. Most of all, any costs to the people of Iraq is perfectly irrelevant to the US government (and a depressingly large number of ordinary citizens, I'm afraid.)

Absolutely. I fully agree but for a minor distinction: I believe that the cost to the people of Iraq is not irrelevant. It is intentional and strategic.

Posted by: robin | Mar 3 2021 17:55 utc | 14

The photo of that makeshift launcher's worth a few words. It's set to fire remotely like IEDs, and it's expertly camouflaged as a pile of junk. That it wasn't discovered implies very little in the way of active patrolling is occurring, which congers up memories of Vietnam. Are the NATO troops there occupiers or hostages? I expect IEDs to be upgraded since the vehicles they target have been uparmored and casualties to again be taken by the hostages. I also expect helos providing convoy security to take hits from manpads, which will count as further deterrence. And the same can be said for Syria.

Given the Outlaw Empire's attacks on Russia, I expect the tactical situation to change soon in Syraq. Unmentioned in this piece is the escalation of attacks on Donbass by the Ukronazis which Russia will also include in its equation. The visit by the Uzbek FM was very timely since it's a frontline state relative to Afghanistan that the Outlaw Empire would like to attack with its Terrorist Foreign Legion. To its great misfortune, Uzbekistan isn't currently a member of the CSTO, which like Turkmenistan makes it a much easier target for penetration by terrorist forces.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 17:59 utc | 15

Nonsense:

At the Pentagon, [chief spokesperson John] Kirby said the operation was “a defensive strike” on a waystation used by militants to move weapons and materials for attacks into Iraq. But he noted that while it sent a message of deterrence and eroded their ability to strike from that compound, the militias have other sites and capabilities.

Why would "Iran" want to move weapons from Syria into Iraq? If that waystation has any use to Iran, it is to move weapons and materials from Iran via Iraq to Syria.

Also, why would the Iraqi resistance attack the US from a parking lot "compound" in the middle of the Syrian desert?

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Mar 3 2021 18:07 utc | 16

vk @ 6

To the list of actions filed under unconventional warfare, I would add sabotage. We had a glimpse of this type of operation with the Venezuelan hydro plant failure in 2019 and the attacks on the Natanz nuclear enrichment facilities in Iran. In my opinion, we can expect more actions of this type in the coming years. Not necessarily against high profile targets but petty vandalism of infrastructure and industry. Wide enough to have an economic and societal impact on the competitor and plausibly deniable to manage the ego of the domestic citizenry.

Posted by: robin | Mar 3 2021 18:11 utc | 17

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 17:59 utc | 15


The photo of that makeshift launcher's worth a few words. It's set to fire remotely like IEDs, and it's expertly camouflaged as a pile of junk.

For me, it conjures memories of israel's supposed use of a remotely controlled gun to assassinate the Iranian nuclear scientist in Iran some months ago.

Modus operandi?

My bet is on this being a false flag.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 3 2021 18:17 utc | 18

VK is right but there is also the reality of absolute decline in the US, a real hollowing out of capacities. This is evident in social inequality, growing poverty and hunger, declining life expectancy, racial divisions, the fascist threat of the far right, deindustrialization, failed weapons procurement in the Air force and navy, infrastructure decay, the loss of some soft power tools, and no state capacities for emergency responses (eg. Covid, Texas, Katrina).

The US isn't just worried about China catching up to a still dynamic America. It is also scared about American collapse.

The US elite, as the stupidest ruling class in the world, won't be able to stop relative or absolute decline.

Why? Because, firstly, American capitalism is no longer ascendant and is in an early terminal stage. And, secondly, because the ruling class here has no vision beyond vulgar liberalism. The contradictions, crises, and development trajectories will not be reversed or contained.

Posted by: Prof K | Mar 3 2021 18:19 utc | 19

Probably a naive observation, but it seems to me that the US objective is clearly to create a new state using Western Iraq, Eastern Syria and Kurdistan.

Posted by: Harry | Mar 3 2021 18:33 utc | 20

Posted by: 10 to 1 | Mar 3 2021 17:35 utc | 10

...Because the message is not for those who oppose us, but to shape public opinion in the US.

This is how I see the recent US attack as well. It seems to fit with the background noise bringing Syria back in the spotlight. In the last week there has been a criminal complaint filed in France calling for the prosecution of the Syrian government over its alleged role in alleged chemical attacks in 2013. There is also the conviction by a German court of a former Syrian policemen for facilitating the torture of prisoners.

Even if the attacks destroyed nothing more than the light buildings we have been shown, which is unlikely, the operation could be viewed as a success. This new exposure reinforces the narrative of a retaliatory, purely defensive measure against an expansionist Iran.

Posted by: Red Ryder | Mar 3 2021 17:37 utc | 11

Americans are fed up with the ME. Biden's administration has no support for more war.

It doesn't appear to be the case. This latest operation could also be seen as a way to probe domestic opinion. So far, I haven't come across any type of defensive reaction from the home audience.

Posted by: robin | Mar 3 2021 18:36 utc | 21

vk @6 and others

Libya was a special case because of proximity to and participation by Italy and France. Libya had no air defense, the Libyan Air Force was Qaddafi’s personal collection and mostly antiques. US still only had ability to create chaos, was not able to direct outcome.

For same reasons of proximity, Syria is for Russia and Iran. US has no force projection capability left, only mischief projection. Iran/Russia have the far simpler task of supporting a functional government.

Posted by: oldhippie | Mar 3 2021 18:39 utc | 22

10 to 1 @#10:

Right on, Bubba! Your theory and deduction deserves a rating of 10.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Mar 3 2021 18:45 utc | 23

Probably a naive observation, but it seems to me that the US objective is clearly to create a new state using Western Iraq, Eastern Syria and Kurdistan.

Posted by: Harry | Mar 3 2021 18:33 utc | 20

That was the idea some years ago, but the opportunity was passed, and it's now no longer possible.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 18:46 utc | 24

Posted by: Harry | Mar 3 2021 18:33 utc | 20
Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 18:46 utc | 24

There has been a Syraq idea to combine the Sunni Arabs from Eastern Syria and Western Iraq into one Salafist extremist entity, and a greater Kurdistan idea to combine the kurds from Syria and Iraq, but i'm not aware of an idea to combine Kurdistan and Salafi Extremist Arabs from both Iraq and Syria into one entity. That would be incompatible.

Posted by: Passer by | Mar 3 2021 18:54 utc | 25

I quite agree with b that the US airstrike was poorly thought out. I suspect that the Israeli air-strike there of some weeks ago was on the same site, but wasn't quite as successful as the Israelis like to claim. So Netanyahu asked the US to finish the job, or perhaps cover up for the Israeli failure. But there isn't any proof.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 18:54 utc | 26

Posted by: Harry | Mar 3 2021 18:33 utc | 20

Probably a naive observation, but it seems to me that the US objective is clearly to create a new state using Western Iraq, Eastern Syria and Kurdistan.

I certainly expect the US to have drawn up plans to close the Bukamal gap. This could fit into a wider plan to include part of Anbar and Nineveh. It would box in Syria quite nicely with the added bonus of having the occupation of the North outsourced to the Turcs.

North and South Beardistan.

Posted by: robin | Mar 3 2021 18:59 utc | 27

b is right to suggest that it's unwise to bomb your supposed allies, if they're government paid militias, who are armed with Katyushas, but only lightly controlled by the government. No they don't have the capacity to seriously wound the US, as b correctly indicates. But there's no good future, only constant harassment.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 19:04 utc | 28

Red Rider @#11:

Americans are fed up with the ME. Biden's administration has no support for more war.

And you still believe American have any say in such things? Or even that American have enough senses to know what's right or wrong? There were no support to go in Syria and Libya, but hey, that weren't problems. Iran wasn't a go not because there wasn't American support. There wasn't British and European support, that's how.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Mar 3 2021 19:09 utc | 29

It's hard to shape public opinion when the event to do that isn't publicized by local news. As I recall from the election campaign, ending participation in the Forever Wars was very popular, over a majority in favor. And there was lots of bipartisan pushback at Biden for his useless missile attack. Our local weekend demos still occur with the Anti-war theme now taking precedence along with the healthcare and $15 wage issues. Welcome to the age of continuous agitation. What's missing is The Draft.

If you're a Patriotic American, you want action on the Home Front where so much is literally falling apart. The failed political heads of Texas and Mississippi have decided the only way out is to completely open up their failed states and damn public health and any other considerations. And with Biden held hostage to the Donor Class, the situation will only worsen:

"In the face of pressure from a faction of conservative Senate Democrats, President Joe Biden reportedly agreed Wednesday to limit eligibility for direct relief payments by accelerating the phase-out of $1,400 checks proposed in the emerging $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package.

"Under the new eligibility structure, according to the Washington Post, individuals earning $75,000 or less annually and couples earning $150,000 or less will still receive full $1,400 payments, as proposed by the relief package passed by the House last week.

"But under the latest framework pushed by conservative Democrats and accepted by Biden, the phase-out of the $1,400 checks will end at $80,000 for individuals and $160,000 for joint filers—meaning individuals and couples who earn more will receive nothing, not even partial payments. The House bill proposes (pdf) ending the phase-out at $100,000 in yearly income for individuals and $200,000 for couples."

And as many critics note, that bill doesn't do much to solve the problems Patriotic Americans see daily. As I've written previously, the Trillions handed to Wall Street Neoliberal Parasites need to be yanked back and placed in a budgetary pool aimed specifically at those many thousands of problems. Not doing so will be political suicide because there is a genuine need to implement the basics of MAGA that's pretty much admitted across the political spectrum.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 19:13 utc | 30

@21 Robin

The flag-draped caskets haven't come home in numbers.
The Vietnam syndrome was 58,000 dead GI's, thousands of helos and planes blown up, and sappers penetrating airfields destroying machines on the ground.

Missiles now do what sappers and artillery from General Giap did for years.
Using missiles is more tactical. But it can be ratcheted up, like the Houthis have done.
Iran has been very tactical with missiles in Iraq.
That phenomenon has not started in Syria.

The impact on public opinion takes large, impossible to hide events. Those will be coming.

It doesn't happen overnight. But the public was primed by Trump pulling out troops and never starting a new war. In fact, he cooled down North Korea which was red hot when he took over.

The US pulling troops out of the ME is a momentous political as well as geopolitical decision.

They will have to be "blown out" of the ME. Give it time.

Posted by: Red Ryder | Mar 3 2021 19:14 utc | 31

Posted by: robin | Mar 3 2021 18:59 utc | 27

Fantasy. Da'ish only has any effect around Samarra, where the Sunnis in the villages are offended by the actions of the Shi'a militia in town around the shrine.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 19:17 utc | 32

vk @ 6 – "Hence the USA's growing choice for soft forms of/low intensity warfare, that is, economic sanctions, propaganda warfare and color revolutions..."

Blind spots? You omitted bio-warfare (virus seeding, GMO implantation, pestilence infestation, so-called vaccines); chemical warfare (incl. false-flag ops and 'poisonings'); trade sabotages-blockades and infrastructure attacks (incl. food sources such as Chinese pigs, electric power grids, water supplies, etc.). "Full-spectrum dominance" means no holds barred, so there's no such thing as "low intensity" of aggression.

Posted by: norecovery | Mar 3 2021 19:20 utc | 33

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1816721/business-economy
UAE plans to give 230 Million dollars to Yemen. That is almost 10 million per person; why not giving it directly to each adult citizen, maybe it would work better

Posted by: Mina | Mar 3 2021 19:26 utc | 34

Prof K @#19:

The US elite, as the stupidest ruling class in the world, won't be able to stop relative or absolute decline.

Yup! Main reason is because the American ruling class is one that does not deserve to be in that class. Just look at the top layer of people in that class. They are no more than mouthpieces having memorized buzz words and cliches, who got to where they are because of the stupidity of a dumbified populace. Oh, the same can be said of the rest of the so-called West.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Mar 3 2021 19:28 utc | 35

norecovery @33--

"Full-spectrum dominance" means no holds barred, so there's no such thing as "low intensity" of aggression.

100% correct. As with Once Upon a Time in the West, any means are to be used to attain the ends.

////

Yet More Lies? Blinken:

"'We will incentivize democratic behaviour, but we will not promote democracy through costly military interventions or by attempting to overthrow authoritarian regimes by force,' he said. 'We tried these tactics in the past. However we’ll intentioned, they haven’t worked. They have given democracy promotion a bad name and they have lost the confidence of the American people. We will do things differently.'"

Look what you just did to Russia and then you utter the above tripe! Pompeo in a different guise is Blinken.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 19:30 utc | 36

Posted by: Mina | Mar 3 2021 19:26 utc | 34

That means giving to the Sunnis of South Yemen, who the UAE supports, not the Houthis of the north, who are the real sufferers.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 19:30 utc | 37

Mina @34--

Do check your math. Your equation makes Yemen's population just 23 people.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 19:33 utc | 38

Given this latest claptrap, Zionists will soon be accusing Iran of forcing it to kill Palestinians.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 19:36 utc | 39

@ Robin and Red Ryder about the impact on the home front

The only death reported so far is a contractor who died of a heart attack. What does that tell you? Just consider the results of the previous bombing there. How many troop are currently stationed there and what percentage are going to report PTSD symptoms are the questions I think may effect American feelings....precision bombing that doesn't kill many makes the point that the alternative is very possible.

It doesn't have to be dead bodies in caskets. If the US volunteer military stops being so volunteer, like "Get me the Hell out of here!!!", then what choice will the military have?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 3 2021 19:36 utc | 40

@ 34 mina.. quote from your link - "The UAE supports a political solution to the conflict in Yemen, Al-Hashemy reiterated, mentioning the implementation of the Saudi-led drive toward a power-sharing agreement between the internationally recognized government and the Southern Transitional Council." in other words, more support for the same assholes and none for the houthi in the north.... nice bit of propaganda, but avoids all the looting and theft uae is responsible for...

Posted by: james | Mar 3 2021 19:39 utc | 41

Today's attack on Al-Asad base comes only a few days after senior US soldiers spoke to CBS in detail about the previous attack. Good timing by Iran, to remind Americans that it can repeatedly cause serious damage to a well defended US base?
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-missle-strike-al-asad-airbase-60-minutes-2021-02-28/

Some of those interviewed expressed surprise that there were no fatalities in the attack in January last year.

Marine General Frank McKenzie, commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East also confirmed what was pointed out in MofA last year, that the missile attack was very precise and "they hit pretty much where they wanted to hit."

It's possible that that's the reason why nobody was killed - that the Iranians successfully targeted specific buildings that they knew would be evacuated.

Posted by: Brendan | Mar 3 2021 19:49 utc | 42

norecovery @33 – I forgot to add Cyberwarfare which encompasses all of the other forms. That is one reason why 5G technology is so dangerous, as more and more people are plugged into networks.

Full-spectrum Dominance has become only a military policy and it not only applies to foreign countries and entities – it is the modus operandi of the international corporate coup that is perpetrated against any and all dissenters including U.S. citizens.

Posted by: norecovery | Mar 3 2021 19:55 utc | 43

Sorry, I meant: "NOT ONLY a military policy"

Posted by: norecovery | Mar 3 2021 19:56 utc | 44

I agree b, but I'm nagged by the disconnect between our rhetoric ('ignore demands... at their own peril') and the reality, which is that these rocket attacks really do sweet FA to the US military. It will carry on being little tit for little tat for years and the 'peril' will never materialise. It reminds me of living in Sydney waiting for the largest property asset bubble to pop... and it never does. It really is the golden goose. So much for fundamentals and economic history. It's same with US military presence: we keep waiting for the mother-of-all-nemesis KOs that the US forces cannot get up from and... instead they just keep dancing to the same old tune. Sure, it's Mujahideen attrition-style shit designed to wear them down and undermine domestic confidence, etc, etc. But there's never any Tet Offensive up-yours which exposes the rotten core of the whole thing.

I guess I'm just tired of waiting for the Empire to get its come-uppance.

Posted by: Patroklos | Mar 3 2021 19:59 utc | 45

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 19:30 utc | 36

"Full-spectrum dominance" is finished. It's now a question of weaving between hostile militias, to get the logistic convoys from the Gulf to the US bases of destination. That works for the moment, but for how long? The hostiles are not very organised, and the government is against them.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 20:00 utc | 46

@ Brendan | Mar 3 2021 19:49 utc | 42... the iranians gave advance notice... a class act when compared to the opposing side.. otherwise the retards would have went full retard - which they show great capacity for...

Posted by: james | Mar 3 2021 20:01 utc | 47

Oriental Voice @ 35

"because of the stupidity of a dumbified populace."

The populace knows what is going on, they aren't "dumbified". But the populace are perceived as stupid by the class of people who, because they have graduated from some Ivy league school or gotten rich, or gotten high placed government jobs, because of their social and political connections think they are smarter and better than everyone else.

The populace doesn't have those connections, nor money or time trying to organized to oppose the ruling class of Ivy leaguers and rich politically connected society. The populace goes about their daily lives trying to make a living for themselves and their families while the ruling class makes stupid policies which further enriches themselves and attempts to extend their power and influence. But what their policies really shows is just how corrupted that class of society has become and how out of touch they are with the rest of our society and the rest of the world.

Posted by: 10 to 1 | Mar 3 2021 20:06 utc | 48

The figures are actually far higher, and do not make sense imo, unless it includes military equipment
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-56242610
Btw, Biden stopping to sell weapons to KSA for the Yemen conflict is probably a favor to Macron who can fill in without any parliament interfering.

Laguerre, for once you are (almost) right. Not just the Houthis, everyone in N Yemen, including civil servants, teachers, postal, electricity etc. They have not seen their pay for months and are now for real almost starving too. In the past 3-4 years they had been "allowed" to go cash some of their salaries after long and difficult trips far out of Sanaa but were told that KSA did not allowed them to be paid monthly because otherwise the Houthi state in the N would be functional.

Posted by: Mina | Mar 3 2021 20:09 utc | 49

Posted by: Mina | Mar 3 2021 20:09 utc | 49

Sorry to hear you don't like what I say. Of course nobody in North Yemen has seen their salaries for months or, more likely, years. I imagine what has happened, is that the major agricultural product in the past was qat. Now there's a crisis, people have to eat, and they will have gone back to raising wheat, or other eatables.

Posted by: Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 20:39 utc | 50

I am guessing that in the little, and rapidly diminishing, time he has as POTUS before Amendment No 25 has to be invoked, Sleepy Uncle Joe has to demonstrate what a tough and resolute world leader he is by continuing with a failed Middle East strategy. Laying also the ground work for Kamala Harris (who was probably the favoured Democratic Party pick for President all along) to take over so she too can look like a tough, determined POTUS, dedicated to Biden's agenda, and resolving to carry on with the tired obsessive-compulsive repetitive actions of a decaying failed power.

Posted by: Jen | Mar 3 2021 20:39 utc | 51

Mentioned above by several posters is what I'll call "Full Sectrum Sabotage". After a nation (Iraq) is wrecked in a full frontal assualt following sanctions etc, it is draped in chains making recovery near impossible. Every little thing the US & Friends do is another cut that drains the people of Iraq as a whole and hampers not only any chance of mending but resistance as well. It's like a moose being covered in ticks that finally just dies because it cannot maintain it own health. (Tick really ARE a huge problem in the moose population FYI)

On the other hand, I think there may be a "Saigon Embassy Moment" in the future for the USA in Iraq. Although from my distant armchair it seems as though resistance has dropped off, I wonder if there are other factors at play. Occupiers likely fall into "search and avoid" habits, not wanting to get bled by ambushes, IEDs etc. Resistance also wants to live to fight another day and probably avoids poking the hornets nest without getting a decent return on investment.

We all know from looking at the Houthis efforts, that guidance and saturnation are paramount to inflicting damage. Who knows....there may come a time when Iraqi Resistance Forces combine their efforts and mount a Tet Offensive, turning the Green Zone into a burn-site.

Posted by: Chevrus | Mar 3 2021 20:41 utc | 52

>>>> d dan | Mar 3 2021 16:59 utc | 3

I heard China manufactures some of the cheapest and best missile launcher in the world. Quite sure they will soon go to the hands of some groups. Then we will see who is deterring who.

One day the Chinese will manufacture a $100 JDAM kit that will convert a $1,000 Grad missiles into a $1,100 PGM.

After the C-RAM systems at al-Asad airbase were overwhelmed by 10 $1000 Grad missiles I hope all those Hitler Fanboys who crow on about how ineffective Russian Pantsir systems are will now STFU 'cos I don't recall any attacks on Khmeimim Air Base being successful unlike this one on al-Asad.

Posted by: Ghost Ship | Mar 3 2021 20:51 utc | 53

"Every Fifth Person" is about a genocidal war, but not the two current examples, although the present ideology is quite similar. Albright was very proud of Clinton's genocidal policy--it was "worthy." Those that followed shared the same mindset and differ in no real ways from those in the 1930s. IMO, the fact that the attempts to cleanse Iraq and Syria were actual policy is very unfortunately forgotten--the actions of the Terrorists mirrored the policy of their trainers and still does. At times I wonder if Russians have ever made the connection between their experience and that of Iraqis and Syrians for they are essentially the same; would Russia's actions and strategy differ if they saw the connection? I think the actions of some Russian soldiers speak that they did. Perhaps the deconfliction concept was born from a partial connection.

The author of the essay says: "we must never forget who is to blame." But who really is to blame for enabling Hitler; for isn't that entity the ultimate font for what was done? The same is true with the Outlaw Empire: An entity wants to attain Full Spectrum Dominance, not an individual, and that entity committed the genocide in Iraq and Syria. That entity pushed Truman to A-bomb Japanese civilians--itself a genocidal act--for the purpose of deterring the Soviets. IMO, they are all the same entity, and I know several barflies would agree. It's that entity that's the #1 enemy of humanity. The men and women that form the entity change over generations, so it's the entity's ethos that combines them into one. So, it stands to reason that if the basis for the ethos is destroyed, the entity will also, and humanity can move on about the business of living.

The Hydra is an excellent metaphorical description of the entity since it has one body with many heads such that when one head dies it's replaced by another. It's also likely the entity is over 3,000 years old, so its ethos--its soul--must be just as old. In the Myth, it took a Superhuman and a mortal to slay the Hydra. But history shows the Hydra was never slain as it lives on and is present almost everywhere on the planet. Hydra heads of the past have tried to make humanity into the Hydra to no avail, yet their genocidal urge betrays part of the ethos's content, which transcends mere megalomania. And so the Argo awaits those who will crew it, all of whom must be convinced of the entity's existence and that the target is the ethos upon which the entity stands. Will the task, the deed, ever be accomplished? The Greeks who wrote it had hope.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 21:11 utc | 54

The Biden crew promised the rubes a return to JCPOA, but their superiors don't want it. So they raise a little hell: as long as something goes boom and Iran is mentioned on TV, they've blown enough smoke to say "Oh well at least we tried", and let the nuke deal die. The details are less important. Whether they've thought through what comes next, I guess we're going to see; odds are it won't be pretty.

The other day, I feel b was clearer than above that these are Iraqi troops: whatever their politics, they are paid and commanded by Baghdad. So Iran has no need to get directly involved, and Iraq is very weak. As long as Iraqis hate each other a bit more still than the Yanks, the Dark Throne may be right that they'll get away with it. Paying off the Green-Zone poobahs is just the cost of doing business. At least so far, nobody has re-opened the gates of hell for the orcs.

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Mar 3 2021 22:07 utc | 55

Thanks for the posting b.., Bleib am Ball dran !

@10 to 1 | Mar 3 2021 17:35 utc | 10
I agree

the message is not for those who oppose us, but to shape public opinion in the US.

@karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 17:59 utc | 15
Yes, cheap Trick but...
Ain Al-Assad look like Dien Bien Phu, French General de Castrie was so assure! Giap mobilise 70.000 men, local Vietnamese not soldiers and 20.000 bikers to haul cheap artillerie but a lot.

@robin | Mar 3 2021 18:36 utc | 21
Yes, one more narrative.
but who buy's anymore? France, the fallen engel of colonialism, so weak since Napoléon Russia campaign and Beresina defeat, is just talking and prostitute to US.
About Germany, we need b.
Is Germany just buying time as I hope or need to be the next Kapo?

@Red Ryder | Mar 3 2021 19:14 utc |
Agree, need blowed up,
could be one shot, but need to be decisive like Dien Bien Phu, but demoralize US industrial/military complex not so easy. Iranian and Russian diplomates will assume the greater role. Thanks to Lavrov, Zarif and Bachar al-Jaafari.

@Patroklos | Mar 3 2021 19:59 utc | 45.
Sorry if you need faster move.
It took 30 years to Vietnamese to blow out France, USA and a lot of prostitute. That's a long run, but US can hardly manage Iran, Irak, Afghanistan and Syria at the same time.


On February 25th, two U.S. F-15 fighter jets dropped seven precision-guided bombs last Thursday  [25 February]. But the US "precision strike" was a 100m from any target of value. Just Look at Maxtar satellite pic
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1259180
Is that True or Fakenews, was there any electronics to interfere with GPS reception? Anyway. It was message of weakness

Réponse du berger à la bergère:
https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2021/03/03/646451/US-Ain-al-Assad-base-in-Iraq-targeted-in-rocket-attack
But those cheap Gradrockets on 3 of march came not alone. Nor at first.

Quite curiously, CBS release on 28 February impressive 60mn Show. Is it a first move toward anti war spirite in woke Amerika. Let's pray!
https://www.cbs.com/shows/60_minutes/video/u9Vd4qSs9i5mtXB7j_raCi4kggAdk4hb/never-before-seen-video-of-the-attack-on-al-asad-airbase/

Do you want to have a look on Iranian Precision Missile Strike? Deter me if you can !
US releases unseen footage of Iran’s missile attacks on Al-Assad
https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2021/03/01/646364/IRGC-missile-attack-assad-airbase-CENTCOM-footage

And Iran Army emphasize that more than 100 plastic bags would be used if they don't have send informations before striking the US Basé.

Iraki PMU and Iranian-allied said the F-15 took off from Al Dhafra Air Base, United Arab Emirates, Centcom air base.
Not denied by USAF suppose to be in charge.

Who send 2 F-15 from so far away (exceed range, need refueling, flying over KSA and Irak...) flying 5000km to delivrer 500kg of raw explosive?
Last week, Who was joigning Centcom? Yes,  you are ! Israël IDF.
US brings Israel into CENTCOM - www.israelhayom.com
https://www.israelhayom.com/2021/02/23/us-brings-israel-into-centcom/
They known were to try bombing there. They just done it in Januar.

As wrote Vanessa Beeley:
https://thewallwillfall.org/2021/02/25/us-integrates-israel-into-centcom/

As I wrote for 3 days, Biden's bombing is a Fakebombing in order for DNC to look like as if Biden is "alive and well" and a clever Commander-in-Chef.
Perhaps for Centcom It's a first Abraham Joint Team  [US/UAE/Is] operation?
Probably Blinken too play is own

But when moving a Knight on a Chess plate, US Centcom must know that a lot of people want them back in plastic bag.

Empty Suit of Biden is just waiting for the move to female and diversified next POTUS "Kamala 1er".  And the necessity to maintain for à while Biden "alive" looks like slowly moving the shit closer to the fan

C'est le bateau ivre
https://www.poetica.fr/poeme-1906/arthur-rimbaud-le-bateau-ivre/

Posted by: Bernard F. | Mar 3 2021 22:19 utc | 56

@Mina | Mar 3 2021 20:09 utc | 49
Biden stopping to sell weapons to KSA for the Yemen conflict is probably a favor to Macron who can fill in without any parliament interfering.

"Le doigt dans le mille !"

You're right. Weapons made in France are all useful to bomb civilian for 75 years.

And absolutely no control on sales. Really useful "SECRET DÉFENSE" stamp.

And last but not least, always a good bribe

Posted by: Bernard F. | Mar 3 2021 22:40 utc | 57

@Oriental Voice (29) The American people have no say whatsoever in how their government conducts foreign policy. Even worse, they have no interest in the topic. In the recent presidential election, matters of foreign policy, war and peace were barely discussed by either campaign. Within the U.S., there is no anti-war coalition worth mentioning. Short of a major engagement with the likes of Iran, Russia or China, most Americans will tolerate almost any military adventure and, in fact, will pay it almost no notice.

Posted by: Rob | Mar 4 2021 0:03 utc | 58

I'm having flashback to the pre-Trump years where the US bombs Iraq every day now and then.

I pray the situation changes soon.

Posted by: Smith | Mar 4 2021 0:19 utc | 59

Posted by: Rob | Mar 4 2021 0:03 utc | 58


"The American people have no say whatsoever in how their government conducts foreign policy. Even worse, they have no interest in the topic. "


Right on, excatomant.

Same up here in Canada.

Posted by: arby | Mar 4 2021 0:36 utc | 60

I keep looking at what is not being reported yet and that is the number and status of the rest of the troops at the air base.

America lost in Vietnam because it became apparent to the troops that the war was BS and no reason for them to be put at risk. I would think that at this point most of the volunteer troops want out of that potential hell hole.

Bottom line is that boots on the ground is hard to maintain in a country that doesn't want you there. It is especially true if you no longer hold a technology edge all over the battlefield which we are seeing in this case....repeated again.

I think the civilization war we are in is reaching some sort of climax but it is really hard to understand what is gong on behind the publicly available face of history

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 4 2021 0:39 utc | 61

psychohistorian @61--

... but it is really hard to understand what is gong on behind the publicly available face of history.

That's why I find it helpful to look for clues in essays that serve as historical reviews like the one I employed @54 even if the product I produce is cryptic to many. The transparency of Russia and China help a lot as do gems from other analysts. The series of essays by Larry Romanoff published at The Saker's have proven helpful too as it touches on the entity's ethos. The West has tripped, but it has yet to realize it's going to fall flat on its face.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 4 2021 1:04 utc | 62

@ karlof1 | Mar 4 2021 1:04 utc | 62 with the follow up to my expression of ignorance of the levers behind the scenes

If there is another Bretton Woods sort of meeting, will there be any media coverage of the event? What was the media coverage back in Bretton Woods day?

I read somewhere that the US was told again about the coming attack through Swiss diplomatic channels similar to those used in the first attack.

Escalation or capitulation? Where are we along that continuum of the shit show we are watching? Unfortunately escalation is still more likely but MAD is still being bumped up against as well so there are limits.

Interesting times.....

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 4 2021 1:31 utc | 63

Something i find notable about the Vietnam War is close to 4,000,000 Vietnamese had to die to get the USA out.

The Vietnam Genocide is similar in that way to the Korean Genocide. I hope Iran doesn't have to sacrifice that much to get rid of the USA...and unfortunately Iraq has already suffered similar brutality. The technology gap has narrowed considerably, so I'd guess the casualty ratio will be lower, leading to a quicker withdrawal.

I don't believe the recent missile strikes were orchestrated in any fashion by Iran. Either false flags or localized Iraqi resistance. If and when Iran gets involved, it will be obvious, as their will be many NATO/American deaths.

Posted by: Haassaan | Mar 4 2021 1:55 utc | 64

@ Karlof 54

1. The Argonautica (whether the pre-Apollonian narrative or Apollonius' reworking of the story) did include Herakles as an argonaut, but the labour of the Hydra was not part of the Argonautic tradition.
2. The idea that one transhistorical agency is responsible for the world's woes sounds a little like the plot of a Bond film and less like history. Shouldn't we be thinking more in terms of the historical conditions that determine the way power is instituted rather than see power as something occult wielded by a monstrous many-headed evil cabal? Sounds like a return to the Protocols of the Elders of Zion...

Posted by: Patroklos | Mar 4 2021 2:05 utc | 65

Attacks on supply convoys is the best strategy that Iraqi militias have in their possessions. Why did they keep wasting resources on bases?

Posted by: Andrew Ho | Mar 4 2021 2:13 utc | 66

“I expect IEDs to be upgraded since the vehicles they target have been unarmored and casualties to again be taken by the hostages.”

IMO the reason the IEDs and attacks on American forces LOS/logistics (mostly from Kuwait and passing through Shia provinces) are not taking casualties is by design, clearly the design is not to kill American troops since killing the troops will make it easier for the US regime to get internal support for prolonging her mission in Iraq and Syria. The design is to hassle the American troop movement and increase operational cost. Tactics are designed for an attritional strategic warfare design.

Posted by: kooshy | Mar 4 2021 2:59 utc | 67

@ kooshy, psychohistorian, karlof1 and others.
Very insightful thoughts you lay out. I think the Iranians, Houthis, Hezbollah, Shia in Iraq have consistently implemented their plan to oust the U.S.: death by 1000 cuts. These attacks are not enough to trigger a huge response-- hardly more than 1 or so dead. Meanwhile, morale is sinking down lower and forces are getting more and more desperate to get out.

Posted by: migueljose | Mar 4 2021 3:41 utc | 68

Mr. steven t johnson

The United States has declared herself to be the enemy of Muslims with a specially emotional animus towards Shia Muslims. Therefore, she cannot stay in Iraq politically, militarily, economically, or culturally.

Just look at Viet Nam, nothing there is left of the combined occupations of France, Japan, France, and the United States.

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 3:58 utc | 69

This military amateur says things are a good bit different, and worse, for the US military to stay in Iraq (or Syria) than what most people here and elsewhere are/have saying/said. The military objective for the resistance is the morale of the US military. I see it as rather vulnerable, particularly after this many years of pointless war.

What I wrote a decade or more ago still stands true. The resistance needs sufficient ATGM's (and manpads would help a lot too) to set up ambushes along the roadways used by the supply convoys. The objective isn't to block the transit of supplies, the objective is to attack and destroy and kill the crew of EVERY convoy's lead vehicle or tail-end charlie.

It wouldn't take that long, assuming a successful implementation of this strategy by the resistance, before private contractors driving would walk off the job. Put GI's in in their stead, and it won't take that long before morale breaks, and soldiers mutiny. That would be something that Official DC couldn't paper over, assuming that our newsmedia covered it, which they might well not, for the reasons we all know and love.

It would be a great defeat done on the (relative) cheap.

Daniel N. White

Posted by: Daniel N. White | Mar 4 2021 4:00 utc | 70

Mr. Mao Cheng Ji

Mr. Trump had a policy of destroying Iran through economic siege warfare.

He thought Iran was a chicken that he could wring its neck and be done with it.

Some chicken!

Some neck!

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:03 utc | 71

Posted the previous in the wrong thread, wish this board had an edit button.

Our country (Vietnam) did benefit under a much more supportive USSR and China and the 2nd world. Materiels, training, all brotherly relationships.

Sad to say, but the iraqis, iranians, yemeni and afghanis lack this support and they have to make do with just Russia, everything else they have to pay for, and Russia and China themselves have no problems selling weapons to Saudi Arabia and Israel and Turkey, the opponent states.

Posted by: Smith | Mar 4 2021 4:05 utc | 72

Mr. Laguerre

It was never ever possible to create a new state from Western Iraq & Eastern Syria together with Iraqi Kurdistan. Yes, they would be Sunnis but for the most part Arabs and Kurds with no experience of centralized government for over two millennia.

That Americans would even contemplate that only indicates one thing to me, Ignorant Hubris.

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:11 utc | 73

@Andrew Ho | Mar 4 2021 2:13 utc | 66

Attacks on supply convoys is the best strategy that Iraqi militias have in their possessions. Why did they keep wasting resources on bases?

They just send à message as donne USAF

@ kooshy, psychohistorian, karlof1 and others.
War is always classical Human behavior encounter with last efficient technologe. Azincour1415, Sedan 1870, La Marne 1916, Airforce 1945.
Desorganising logistic matters but not enough.
Since 2000 It's GPS and unmanned fly. But Global South looks now thé more accurate AND Light {Azincour and Bariton Archery}

Posted by: Bernard F. | Mar 4 2021 4:15 utc | 74

Mr. Laguerre

Sunni Muslims are often easy to upset since their faith is weak.

Attend a Sunni mosque for prayer and so many try to correct your posture, or your movements, or your gestures. Shia will leave you alone.

Do you think it only an accident that the Bishop of Rome is to meet Mr. Grand Ayatollah Sistani at his home who is a Shia Iranian?

Do you think it is only a diplomatic pose when Mr. Dr. Javad Zarif visits the Golden Temple?

Or

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:24 utc | 75

Ms Mina

There is only a single functioning state West of China, the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel, etc. are not states. I do not know what they are, but Iran they are not.

Mr. Shame do instructed the Ansarallah to proceed with the tasks of nation-building in Yemen, a labor of decades.

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:29 utc | 76

Mr. karlof1

Without any doubt, the German people bear the major responsibility both for the rise of the late Mr. Adolf Hitler as well as the crimes of his government.

In the same manner, Protestant Americans and their churches bear major responsibility for having taken the United States into a war against Islam.

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:34 utc | 77

Posted by: vk | Mar 3 2021 17:17 utc | 6

The decline of USN is so apparent that Pentango aligned Defense News has to report the decripit situation of US pride and joy: Aircraft Carriers.

https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2020/09/20/after-a-grueling-deployment-the-carrier-eisenhower-gets-set-for-a-dubious-double-pump/

Some of the interesting snippets from the article:

For nuclear ships — submarines and aircraft carriers — the funding cuts were a double whammy of work stoppages and furloughs that contributed to a wave of retirements in the yards, meaning the public yards were understaffed and had to hire and train new workers. Work took longer, throwing a wrench into an already complicated system of generating readiness.

This the treatment they give to the very crown jewel of the navy. And problem is not limited to Ike (the oldest Aircraft Carrier in service) since Gerald R. Ford, also have numerous of problems.

You know the time is up for a warmongering imperialist state can't even bother to take care of war machine.

Posted by: Hangar | Mar 4 2021 4:46 utc | 78

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 3 2021 17:59 utc | 15

The picture shows 10 tubes. The report was of 13 strikes. So unlikely that it is a remote device.......would have required reloading.

Posted by: DB | Mar 4 2021 5:24 utc | 79

Posted by: Fyi | Mar 4 2021 4:11 utc | 73

Mr. Laguerre

It was never ever possible to create a new state from Western Iraq & Eastern Syria together with Iraqi Kurdistan. Yes, they would be Sunnis but for the most part Arabs and Kurds with no experience of centralized government for over two millennia.

That Americans would even contemplate that only indicates one thing to me, Ignorant Hubris.


Your premise is that the plan is for a functioning state. What would be the logic behind that? From the empire's perspective, a patchwork of dependant, corrupt, basket case influence zones more focused on sectarian division than regional cooperation sounds like a pretty sweet deal.

Posted by: robin | Mar 4 2021 7:47 utc | 80

On the subject of deterrence I just saw this interesting movie. After a tiny little incident with aliens in a remote place the heroes decide they have to find the aliens and kill them all with a big bomb, as the link describes it, in order to prevent war. "The upcoming sci-fi epic tells the story of seven elite soldiers who, after contact with an alien civilization, are tasked with enacting a preemptive assault against them to prevent an intergalactic war. " Now the movie is produced by Haim Saban in Hollywood, which may mean something, but Americans have trouble with the concept of deterrence. That is what 200 years of empire does to you.

Posted by: Tuyzentfloot | Mar 4 2021 8:29 utc | 81

Alt Left: Blockbuster Report: Who Are the Iraqi Shia Guerrilla Groups That Are Attacking US Bases in Iraq?

https://beyondhighbrow.com/2021/02/26/blockbuster-report-who-are-the-iraqi-shia-guerrilla-groups-that-are-attacking-us-bases-in-iraq/

My in-depth report on who these Shia groups attacking us actually are. They are not the PMF! The PMF doesn't want to attack us. B is correct. These are local Iraqis taking it on themselves to attack us. However, most members are individual members of the security forces who go off and moonlight as guerrillas. They're hard to catch and the government doesn't even want to catch them anyway. The "Iranian-backed militias" aren't even attacking us! The PMF gets neither money nor weaponry from Iran nor do they take orders from Iran. Same with these Shia guerrillas. They get neither money nor weapons from Iran either and they absolutely do not take orders from Iran.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Mar 4 2021 8:52 utc | 82

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Mar 3 2021 22:07 utc | 55

.... So they raise a little hell: as long as something goes boom and Iran is mentioned on TV, they've blown enough smoke to say "Oh well at least we tried", and let the nuke deal die....

I agree. And since they resolutely hold the narrative high ground, the deal's collapse is perceived as the result of Iranian intransigence.

As long as Iraqis hate each other a bit more still than the Yanks, the Dark Throne may be right that they'll get away with it. Paying off the Green-Zone poobahs is just the cost of doing business. At least so far, nobody has re-opened the gates of hell for the orcs.

And pushing communities against one another is certainly an art the Empire excels at. How much effort would be needed to take us back to 2005? A car bomb here, a car bomb there, and a little posse of weasels to spread the love on social networks.

Posted by: robin | Mar 4 2021 9:15 utc | 83

Brendan | Mar 3 2021 19:49 utc | 42

"Except "Iran" isn't doing any of these attacks, nor are they ordering them.

Laguerre | Mar 3 2021 19:04 utc | 28

"Militias" are not doing it. The PMF is part of the Iraqi Army and they take orders from them. The PMF itself has no interest in attacking us. The attackers are just local patriotic Iraqis.

Arch Bungle | Mar 3 2021 18:17 utc | 18

Not a false flag.

Petri Krohn | Mar 3 2021 18:07 utc | 16

Right, there's no reason for "Iran" to move weapons from Syria to Iraq. How absurd.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Mar 4 2021 9:17 utc | 84

You know, if the USA wasn't occupying Other People's Territory then I'd have a bit more sympathy with their anxiety over possible attacks on their military personnel.

But they are, so I don't.

You can't sit on someone's territory and THEN claim self-defence. As Caitlin Johnstone says: that's not a thing.

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Mar 4 2021 9:24 utc | 85

Biden bashes NATO into shape and Stoltenberg comes back for more. Craven cretins in NATO are running counter to European best interests.

Brian Cloughley at Strategic Culture takes a autopsy knife to the dumb antics of Xerxes Biden and his NATO chihuahua. My take from the last month or so is that USAi overreach and belligerence is going to alienate enough key Europeans that they will push back hard. "The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation was formed 72 years ago as a military alliance that undertook, consistent with the UN Charter, “to settle any international dispute in which they may be involved by peaceful means in such a manner that international peace and security and justice are not endangered, and to refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force in any manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations.” But Uncle Joe has just assured the world that he has “ordered the halting of withdrawal of American troops from Germany” and “also lifting a cap imposed by the previous administration on the number of U.S. forces able to be based in Germany.” Then three days after his war-drumming speech came deployment of four B-1 Lancer strategic heavy bombers to Norway, a provocation described by CNN as “a move that sends a clear message to Moscow that the U.S. military will operate in the strategically important Arctic region and demonstrate that it will defend allies in the area against any Russian aggression close to the country’s border.”

What Russian aggression? I don't see any but there is every chance the NATO nutters could stir something nasty in Turkey as they have the grey wolves in their pocket and Erdoghan is fading into replacement zone. Equally NATO is building backwards better by scheming to move into the Pacific as well so that gives them the expanded realm of 'an attack on one is an attack on all'. What a despairing prospect.

In a wide ranging report Cloughley includes China EU relations in his analysis of the dimensions of EU economic and trade growth. I guess time is running out for the USAi to provoke a trade schism between the two as a means of magically building better trade with the USAi?

What does the USAi manufacture that can directly replace both type and price from China? Eggs perhaps, maybe maple syrup from Canada, relabeled as USA? blueberries? You get my drift.

Its a good, brief read and worth the time.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 4 2021 10:29 utc | 86

@robin | Mar 4 2021 9:15 utc | 83

And pushing communities against one another is certainly an art the Empire excels at. How much effort would be needed to take us back to 2005? A car bomb here, a car bomb there, and a little posse of weasels to spread the love on social networks.

After all, that's how American elites govern at home--except for those car bombs that is. Although at this stage, I'm inclined to believe their "All options are on the table".

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Mar 4 2021 10:32 utc | 87

Your premise is that the plan is for a functioning state. What would be the logic behind that? From the empire's perspective, a patchwork of dependant, corrupt, basket case influence zones more focused on sectarian division than regional cooperation sounds like a pretty sweet deal.

Posted by: robin | Mar 4 2021 7:47 utc | 80

Precisely. Like the Balkans, the area the Kurds occupy is a patchwork quilt of cultures with no experience of independent self-rule. A great place to make mischief.

Actually there are a lot of areas like that.

Posted by: Bemildred | Mar 4 2021 11:51 utc | 88

@uncle tungsten | Mar 4 2021 10:29 utc | 86

"belligerence is going to alienate enough key Europeans that they will push back hard"
Beg your pardon? Yes the Eurocritters virtue-signaled a bit against Trump, which the latter of course encouraged to boost his MAGA credentials with his supporters--celebrity feuds are good for TV ratings after all. But actual transatlantic pushback against Trump consistently was because he was not bloodthirsty enough for them, by feebly engaging Putin initially, or with his (rhetorical) Syria withdrawal.

Even as Trump insulted them and literally pushed them around at photo ops, the Europeans merrily went along with *stealing Venezuela's oil *Iran sanctions and whining about their missiles (no word about, say, France giving up its own missiles) *the Skripal charade *the Uighur charade *bombing and occupying Syria; you fill out the rest of the list.

Culturally/rhetorically, Biden promises Europe a return to the halcyon days of yonder. To suggest that somehow they'd oppose the very same policies (the one, unchanging, American policy) now that Biden's pushing it--I just don't see the evidence for it. Yes, Nord Stream II is an exception, but that's because German industry is still a thing or Brussels would've killed it; I don't see broad support for the project--how could there be if Merkel herself undermines it with her Navalny stunt.

There is another side to it all; let's take Poland. It's a NATO treaty ally; sure it's regularly made to look pathetic, but the country sure as hell isn't getting invaded and bombed. Syria is a Russian treaty ally, and yet it is has been invaded and is getting bombed once a week. Bombed feels worse than pathetic, so is the choice of Polish elites really that irrational? Sure Uncle Sam keeps those elites comfy, but that's just icing on the cake. Personally, I find it reassuring that Russia doesn't want an empire, remembering how the USSR bankrupted itself propping up theirs; but that also means the Bear can't/won't protect you. Someone like The Saker has been to school and understands these of course, but pretends not to in order to serve his "patriotic" niche.

Guatemala, Iraq, and even Ukraine are "far away". Only since this decade, with the COVID catastrophe and the endless censorship and purges of cancel culture, is there a fundamental question if life's really all that in Core Empire. And even so, most of the kids seem to like the woke insanity. Might as well acknowledge, am I allowed to say this, the nobody comes close to the jews as storytellers; and who controls the narrative controls reality.

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Mar 4 2021 12:46 utc | 89

Yes indeed, he who controls the narrative and manufactures consent and to a great extent dictate reality.
Ma Laoshi, you make excellent points. Who exactly is going to push back hard? From what my European friends tell me, politics there is far more of a caste system than in the USA. What with the EU being dictated to by unelected Brussels, how would any formerly soveriegn nation push back?
Sure there will some cries of outrage from the great unwashed as the they ground down into neofeudalism by the great reset destruction, but those in power would rather keep it and as such will do as they are told.

Posted by: Chevrus | Mar 4 2021 14:17 utc | 90

@ Ma Laoshi

This is not even taking China into account. Russia can get sanctioned to hell and even abandoned, USA can go down, and Europe can still go on like nothing happen and trade with China via the BRI.

China's "non-interference" means they will not abandon Europe even if Europe goes against Russia, in fact, Europe can even corner Russia by teaming up with China in restoring the ancient Silk Road route through Turkey and bypassing Russia altogether, meanwhile Russia lacks people to compete with EU in terms of market consumption, which is what the chinese want.

This is why Poland happily sides with USA on the Russian issue, but also sides with China on the HK issue, because they got options.

Posted by: Smith | Mar 4 2021 14:20 utc | 91

psychohistorian @61: "Bottom line is that boots on the ground is hard to maintain in a country that doesn't want you there."

This is very true. Just as true is that this also applies to domestic power structures. Bad guys cannot remain in power in a country unless they are either supported by a vastly more powerful external entity (fascist dictators in Latin America being backed by the US for example) or those bad guys have significant domestic support in the country they rule.

This is what irritates me about Americans, Brits, and Canadians whining "But it's not my fault! My government doesn't listen to me!" The imperial establishment could not survive without the support of a significant portion of the populations in the imperial centers.

"But our elections are fraudulent! No matter who we vote for they keep doing the same things!"

And what have you done about that? Nothing.

The fact of the matter is that the fraudulent elections in the empire not only serve the purpose of providing dependable continuity in the imperial narratives and figureheads (except for that unexpected hiccup where Trump won), but those bogus elections also act as salve for the conscience of the empire's home populations. "I voted for the guy who said he didn't want to kill brown people on the other side of the planet! He really didn't want to kill them but it is so complicated and difficult not to kill them. It is so sad, but we really tried to not kill them. We really did try!"

Bullshit. The whiners didn't try. They "Support the troops!" and support the killing so that they can keep getting cheap gas for their gas-hog SUVs and cheap bananas in the winter.

I miss Andre Vltchek. He understood this clearly and expressed it well.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 4 2021 14:31 utc | 92

@ Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Mar 4 2021 12:46 utc | 89

Poland wasn't bombed when it was part of the Warsaw Pact either. I don't understand your analogy.

The reason Poland isn't bombed is because nobody wants to bomb it, not because it is part of NATO.

Posted by: vk | Mar 4 2021 14:39 utc | 93

@92

We did try here in the UK. Came very close in 2017. There will not be another opportunity for decades. The current opposition is a government support act.

Stitch ups continue at local level (Liverpool Mayor elections for example).

There really aren't that many options left. You either continue to play the charade or walk away. I've chosen the latter, as at least I can hold my head up high and say it's nothing to do with me

Posted by: Some Random Passerby | Mar 4 2021 15:00 utc | 94

Tehran, Iran – Western powers have backed off from an effort to censure Iran at the global nuclear watchdog as Iran agreed to cooperate with international experts regarding uranium particles found at several of its sites.

Iran’s foreign ministry credited “intense diplomatic efforts” by Tehran and all other participants to its 2015 nuclear deal with world powers for stopping a European and American-backed resolution at the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Western powers drop censure plan as Iran agrees to IAEA talks

Posted by: Bemildred | Mar 4 2021 15:04 utc | 95

Posted by: robin | Mar 4 2021 7:47 utc | 80
From the empire's perspective, a patchwork of dependant, corrupt, basket case influence zones more focused on sectarian division than regional cooperation sounds like a pretty sweet deal.

And in Kosovo's case, build a giant, permanent military base for 'projection of power'.

Posted by: Ash Naz | Mar 4 2021 15:19 utc | 96

Some Random Passerby @94

Sure, and Americans tried in 2016. That was a big part of what Trump's upset victory was about.

So the other day I was out and about and I noticed that a house in the neighborhood was on fire. Screams of pain and anguish were coming from the people trapped inside.

"I should do something for those poor people!" I thought to myself.

I noticed that I had a few sips of water left in my water bottle, so I heroically tossed that water - MY water! - on the fire. No avail. I watched for a moment longer and then shrugged, "Well, I tried", and continued my walk home.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 4 2021 15:20 utc | 97

'92-Gruff
Spot on. It's been several generations of grinding down the USAn population but consent has been manufactured through reptition and mass disenfranchisement. The best you are going to get is a "formerly peace loving" left wingers saying 'oh that's terrible, what a shame'. 20 years on forever wars are a fact of life and USAns have been conditioned to accept that. Since 911 any opposition is met with stiff pushback, no fly lists, intimidation etc. There are very few citzens who are willing to sacrifice their comforts in order to loose a battle.

The current bifurcation programming as per Red VS Blue combined with BLM Antifa agitation is ensuring that there is a constant stream of conflict and dischord. So no chance of any resistance because the little people are quite busy glaring at eachother. After all, half the populace very likely thinks they are fighting the good fight and the other half thinks we should stop being "the worlds policeman" despite neither being true. Like the bullying greedmonger mentality that drives tyrants, the citizens will only respond when it hurts them and they are being poached slowly like the mypoic frogs that they are.

As stated above by several posters the technology gap has been closing for quite a while, it's a matter of time before simple and affordable guidance kits are available and it becomes possible to accuarately launch a trashcan with fins within 2 meters of the target. History is full of equalizers and there have never been more available than there are today. But as long as people are divided and busy fighting one another GloboCap will keep rolling over them.

Posted by: Chevrus | Mar 4 2021 15:23 utc | 98

Posted by: Some Random Passerby | Mar 4 2021 15:00 utc | 94

We did try here in the UK. Came very close in 2017. There will not be another opportunity for decades. The current opposition is a government support act.

Yup. Corbyn was cancelled for being anti-imperialist and if he'd been elected the military would have acted against him - they said as much.

Maybe WG is suggesting some sort of insurrection? I'll meet you in Parliament Square at six. I'll be the one with the QAnon placard and the horned hat.

Posted by: Ash Naz | Mar 4 2021 15:35 utc | 99

they got them: Hezbollah
proof is not important:
In a confession video, the man, who introduced himself as 37-year old Haider Hamza al-Bayati from al-Hamdaniya in Mosul, claims that the attack was ordered by pro-Iranian Kata’ib Sayyid al-Shuhada.

Posted by: gary | Mar 4 2021 15:38 utc | 100

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