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The MoA Week In Review – OT 2021-009
Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:
— Other issues:
Biden admin:
Counter Biden admin:
Iran:
Covid-19 Politics:
Longreads:
Use as open thread …
james 155
When in doubt, round up the UsualSuspect,
you wont be far off the mark !
faq
Q] Has ‘China’s aggressiveness driven away all its neighbors towards the great satan’ ?
A] That’s another monumental lie from the united snakes.
Fact is…in the past 7 decades,
Every single leader who’s friendly to China has been taken out and replaced by Washington’s puppet, by soft coup [ex jp], palace coup [ex Whitnam] , down to murder [ex Nepal’s king Birendra’s entire family wiped out in 2001] and outright genocide [the mother of all regime change in indon, 1965, to remove pro Beijing prez Sukarno with CIA asset Suharto, collateral damages estimated at 3M, including almost the entire Chinese community]
Here’s a partial list,
Panda huggers ousted, murdered, by CIA/MI6/RAW…
PM YIng LUck , Thailand,
PM Najib, Malaysia,
prez Arroyo, Ph,
prez Sukarno, INdon,
PM Hatoyama, jp,
prez Park Chung hue, SK,
PM Whitnam, Oz,
PM Lange , NZ,
PM Norman Kirk, NZ,
KIng BIrendra, Nepal,
KIng Gyanendra Nepa,
PM Oli, Napal
prez Rajapaksa, Sri Lanka
prez Yameen Maldives,
PM Rajiv Ghandi, India,
PM Alkatiri, E Timor,
PM Thinley, BHutan,
Tip of an iceberg.
The crap trap that China’s ‘aggressiveness’ drive off all its neighbors towards the great satan, has been debunked hundreds of times here by yours truly.
Yet day after day, you see murikkans insist on repeating that big lie.
Is lying built into murikkans DNA ?
Posted by: denk | Feb 2 2021 2:15 utc | 204
On Myanmar, the two Global Times articles linked on page 1 are good sources.
“The NLD clinched an overwhelming victory, giving Aung San Suu Kyi a second five-year term in office. The NLD took 83 percent of the ballot in the election, while the army-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) won 33 out of 476 parliament seats, much fewer than the party had expected.
Experts said the military’s actions can be seen as an adjustment to the country’s dysfunctional power structure. …”
Spot on.
“The prosperity brought about by political reforms alone was superficial and fragile. The predicament of Myanmar lies in that political reforms failed to provide any impetus to solve deep-seated problems, nor did they provide a safety valve to avoid repeated political wrangling. ”
Spot on.
Aung San Suu Kyi is an ongoing Orange Revolution saga. She would never have reached such glory even among Burmese, without a long nurturing of the narrative by UK/US over the many preceding years with the help of a large army of covert infiltrators in the ancien military government. She was supposed to be the “Yeltsin” for Myanmar (complete with obvious MI6 asset in Oxford don hubbie). It seemed she baulked at some of her masters’ more eggregious demands and became unpopular to the puppet masters, but nevertheless performed wonderfully for them in the covid saga. I don’t know whether the coup will aid Myanmar or damage it further – that depends what happens next – but something like this was frankly urgently required to save Myanmar. Hope it is not too late.
It is true there was huge fraud in the recent election, there is no doubt about that. There were widespread complaints at the time and also in the runup to the election, but not only from the army, also from ethnic groups who were deliberately sidelined by the NLD which is exclusively Burmese and very ethnonationalist. Many districts were denied an opportunity to hold elections allegedly because of fighting, but there were allegations that most of the areas excluded were areas where NLD was poised to lose control, while other areas with more fighting but where the NLD was not in power/poised to lose, elections went ahead. No doubt the NLD had expert technical support from the US and the UK in carrying out the election fraud.
The claims that NLD had an even bigger landslide than 2015 seem quite preposterous to me, just as preposterous as Biden’s alleged win, and this coup is no doubt influenced in part by events in the US. The burmese military did what Trump should have done but didn’t have the balls to do (or more likely lacked US military support for, as their military leaders are all revolving doors from the MIC). It is true that Aung San Suu Kyi is a cult figure amongst most burmese, and she can do no wrong in the eyes of many of them, but the same is not true for the whole of Myanmar. Non-burmese ethnic groups regard her as a threat because of her extreme ethno-burmese nationalism. In 2015 the non-burmese ethnic groups lost out big time because they formed too many small parties which divided the vote. This time they learnt the lesson from 2015 and were I think relatively united in opposition to the NLD, with much fewer parties, so the landslide in non-burmese areas should never have been on the cards. Even amongst ethnic burmese, although ASSK definitely still has majority support amongst burmese voters even amongst the burmese a significant minority seemed to be very disappointed in her.
Aung San Suu Kyi really badly screwed up Myanmar, and especially her catastrophic handling of Covid and allowing the economy to be destroyed according to the wishes of the global elites. Over the last 5 years she has also cemented a very strong Anglo-US foothold which will be hard to deal with and very dangerous in the future.
I don’t know how this coup will affect the future of Myanmar – it could be good or bad depending what the military does. But if the military can strip out the MASSIVE infiltration of CIA and MI5 from the Myanmar government and especially from the Myanmar intelligence services, police, and even the army itself, then Myanmar at least has a chance to improve on the catastrophic situation under the NLD. There is not a good outlook for democracy – there is no doubt about that. But sometimes unpopular actions are necessary to counteract dangerously destructive forces. That is not a positive outlook at all – there looms a lot of conflict ahead. I hope that conflict will not consume Myanmar as the yellowshirt/redshirt conflict consumed Thailand for so many years (and still ongoing). I fear there will be many lean years ahead for Myanmar, and wish them well, and I hope eventually they will pull through, with the help of Belt and Road. There could be a very bright future for Myanmar, but so many hazards on the way there!
The Chinese got it completely right in their analysis. The structural tensions are highly complex, highly deepseated, and go back 6 decades – and in major respects much more than that – especially British colonial divide and rule policies, and even before that the long history of competing kingdoms of different ethnic groups with dynamically changing territories and successes/failures. There is no easy solution to those tensions, and some parties will be aggrieved no matter what outcome. As China says, there needs to be dialogue and compromise on all sides – but alas that will be hard to find amoungst the NLD’s huge support base.
Under the NLD the economy has massively expanded, and most Burmese were very happy with that fact – but in my opinion it was all a massive bubble based on massive foreign debt. That was the deliberate strategy of the Anglo-US elites – to burn out Myanmar by pouring fuel on the fire of consumerist greed, amplified by the effects of decades of sanctions. I hope the new military government will consider investigating that foreign debt with a view to writing off and deeming illegal portions of the foreign debt that was improperly given. Most of that debt was effectively colour-revolution handouts from the west to inflate the economy and make it irrevocably dependent on western finance – but catastrophically unsustainably for Myanmar (even before Covid, how much more so now after the NLD has gutted the economy at the behest of the western elites). Banks must be held accountable for the bad loans that were granted under the NLD regime. Any loans that were competently and properly given should be respected and legitimised, but those which were given to people who obviously never had any realistic chance of repayment should be very carefully examined and annulled if improperly made. I think many people were getting into debt problems even before covid, but now huge swathes of non-agricultural work will have been affected by the covid mismanagement. The military will have tough decisions to make with the domestic bank side of the foreign debt though, since some (most/all?) of those domestic banks have close links to the military.
The debt-bubble factor has been hugely amplified by the gutting of the economy by the covid disaster – apart from agriculture, I would guess most of the productive economy (especially many large manufacturing investment projects from other parts of Asia) will have taken a dangerously critical blow from the covid mismanagement, and it is precisely these sectors which would be needed to counterbalance the consumer debt balloons (the Maidan cookies).
The huge CIA/MI6 infiltration dates from way back, it is not just recent, but once NLD came to power I think that exploded. The long term future of Myanmar under the NLD in my opinion was pretty bad even before covid, because the society was getting screwed up by unbalanced westernisation and a raging fire of consumerism (deliberate part of the colour revolution), and the economy (and even society at the cultural level) was getting dangerously dependent on the US. That was a bubble that had to burst eventually; covid made it burst early – maybe that may eventually turn out to be just as well, or maybe the the covid crash may be too much to recover from, I don’t know. I hope the Chinese and Russians will very quietly give the military wise guidance and support on how to extricate itself from the horrible mess the NLD has caused. Fortunately the US is in a state of freefall chaos, and the UK is caught in Brexit chaos, so cross fingers for Myanmar.
Posted by: BM | Feb 2 2021 13:13 utc | 242
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