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Boris Johnson’s Government Hides Covid-19 Data That Is Needed To Control New Local Outbreaks
Britain has had quite a problem with the Covid-19 epidemic. The coronavirus travails of Boris Johnson did not help. The countrywide lockdown came too late and had therefore stay on longer than elsewhere. In April 2020 monthly gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 20.4%. So far England and Wales have had some 50,000 death from the coronavirus. Scotland registered some 2,500 death and North Ireland some 550.
After the long lockdown the number of death per day has normalized. The data from the Office for National Statistics shows that no more excess death occur.
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That is good news but there are still very bad surprises.
The British government is still hiding information on Covid-19 testing results. It is not even sure how large the current reproduction rate of the epidemic is. This at a time when people, businesses and local administrations need such data as guidance on how much they have to limit their contacts to keep the epidemic under control.
Yesterday the British Health Secretary Matt Hancock announced that the city and metro area of Leicester with some 840,000 inhabitants had to go back under lockdown.
The people in Leicester had no idea that such an order was coming. They had anticipated to go back to the pubs which were supposed to reopen on July 4. The announcement came as a surprise for even the city's mayor:
The mayor of Leicester, Sir Peter Soulsby, has told a press conference he was "a little surprised" when the local lockdown was suggested by government because officials hadn't been given any data to suggest there were any "particular issues" in the city at that point.
He said he had a virtual meeting with the secretary of state the following day, when he pushed for the figures that showed coronavirus cases had spiked in the city.
Sir Peter said it took "quite some time to get any decent data through to us" and it didn't arrive until a week later.
The mayor said his colleagues are still working through the "mountain" of data they have now received to map it and see where in the community the virus is still active and might be spreading.
The mayor and the people of Leicester had looked at the government's coronavirus page and the publicly available data of daily new cases in their region. That data showed sinking numbers.
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But as the Financial Times' John Burn-Murdoch just pointed out that data is very incomplete. It includes only those cases which were tested in hospitals.
At the onset of the epidemic testing was rather rare and only done in hospitals when new patients came in. At that time that data was all that was available. But now there is public testing available and the greatest number of new cases are coming from there.
A different British government website explains that the total count consists of categories:
Breakdown of testing by testing strategy ‘pillars’
- Pillar 1: swab testing in Public Health England (PHE) labs and NHS hospitals for those with a clinical need, and health and care workers
- Pillar 2: swab testing for the wider population, as set out in government guidance
- Pillar 3: serology testing to show if people have antibodies from having had COVID-19
- …
The data on the official coronavirus website the British government promoted only show the new daily cases number of Pillar 1, the hospital testing. That fact is not even mentioned on the overview page that most people look at.
The Financial Times data group has now constructed the real picture (paywalled) from data they have received from a different source. This is the real data from Leicester for all new cases.
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Almost all of them are from Pillar 2, the public testing outside of hospitals. Nobody in Leicester knew that the numbers of new cases in their city had spiked over the last two weeks. Now nothing and nobody is prepared for a new local lockdown. The police do not know how to manage it.
Why isn't that data publicized?
Not only is the data flow completely insufficient but the testing situation in Britain is also still bad:
The mayor of Leicester has said officials struggled to persuade testing staff to stick around despite a major coronavirus outbreak in the city.
Sir Peter Soulsby said testing had been "pretty patchy" and "not sufficiently systematic" to allow local public health experts to get a proper picture of the outbreak, which has prompted the first localised lockdown in England.
Sir Peter, a former Labour MP, claimed officials had spent time trying to persuade testing staff to stay in Leicester rather than "decamp to go and measure elsewhere".
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Sir Peter said testing was finally ramping up in Leicester but expressed concern that local leaders had been slow to receive information from government.
That Boris Johnson's government is unwilling to hand local new cases data to the local governments is only one of its dozens of major screw-ups during the pandemic.
Informing the public as detailed as possible is the very first and most important point in any epidemic preparation plan. The people can not help to fight the epidemic if they have no information about its current extent.
Looking from the outside its hard to understand how the people and the media in the United Kingdom let their government get away with these and the many other willful mistakes it has made during the last months.
Checkmate, anti-zionists conspiracy theorists:
Jewish deaths in UK more than double amid pandemic, data shows
If there’s a Jewish plan to dominate the world, they certainly didn’t account for this pandemic. Alt-righters and paleoconservatives must be scratching their heads right now. I think they’ll just tell this fake news.
@ the “genocide” conspiracy theorists <=by: vk 47
Wealthy Jews have always abused their weak. Your observation suggest you are not aware that Poland, Germany, Russia, Austria Hungary and parts in and around them were destroyed [WWI and WWII] in order to force Jewish survivors into Ottoman Territories (places now called Syria, Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia) Migration was necessary to populate the land with voters, so that land that had no state enforceable private property rights could be transformed into land that had private owner property rights.
In sufficient numbers it would be possible to establish a suitable government, and that government could exercise it sovereignty such that the power of a sovereign state could be used to make private property laws that the state (government) could enforce. Those private property laws, could then be used to take ownership or to obtain drilling rights to the oil beneath the Ottoman land, ownership was proven by a deed recorded in a government office. Hence, Jewish migration into Palestine, provided private capital politics that allowed the states, the state made it possible for dictators, investors, bankers, and private oil and gas companies to acquire drilling rights, beneath the once Ottoman land. Many private immigrant developers would finance their land acquisitions to be developed into subdivisions, by selling to mining, exploration and drilling companies and land agents, the rights to drill beneath the lands.
So poor war weary Jews were forced to immigrate in large numbers to Palestine, it was a possession thing, designed to enable oil and gas companies to displace the Ottoman owners from their oil, Israel was one such state. Its existence, made rule of law possible, laws which allowed private ownership, allowed to take, buy or steal, the Ottoman land. A recorded deed, was sufficient to allow the State to use force to enforce the private ownership, and that enforcement made it possible for oil and gas interest to develop the Ottoman oil into private for profit business ventures.
the sacrifice of 6 million Jews made the exodus to Palestine happen in sufficient numbers. Interesting how it is that the Wealthy Bankers did not move to Palestine, Saudi Arabia, or Syria, etc. They stayed in their offices in England, Russia, Germany, USA, France etc. to continue their to oil and gas lending and investing business.
Posted by: a | Jul 1 2020 11:10 utc | 62
There are two immense problems with the handling of Cov19.
The first is that its history, as presented by the W and the MSM (and not denied elsewhere much) is certainly false. I have posted about this before but I suppose it is too ‘conspiratorial’, not that I have ever sketched out a ‘conspiracy’ or pointed fingers (or only so indirectly as a potential ‘explanation’), and so not much attention is paid.
sidebar. — I have no clue if the virus was man-made or pangolin-made, or arose in China or elsewhere. What is clear to me though is that it took the Chinese with their virology knowledge and Statist approach to identify it and act determinedly. Naturally, much of the following of the enshrined narrative is due to cluelessness, follow the leader, and not evil plotters. —
Now, in one sense that doesn’t matter much – the virus is deadly and must be dealt with, its history, meh. In another sense it is important, e.g. for science, much of the scientific papers are of incredibly poor quality, and this is *in part* due to the presuppositions, accepted ‘factoids’, Docs, med. researchers, labor under.
The second problem is that dealing with the virus, in the West (not in Cuba, Venezuela, Taiwan, S. Korea, Slovakia, and many others) was made to rest on a hybrid of two inappropriate adopted frameworks: a military one — fight the virus, strategy, lockdown, sacrifice, extreme measures, etc. which I leave aside for now… and a scientist one — bowlerized pseudo principles coming mostly from…finance.
Here we meet “flatten the curve”, “preserve the NHS”, “contact tracing”, measures like R0, k (attempt to adjust) and other questionable stuff.
—Taleb’s fat tails for ex, I enjoyed The Black Swan, but he has been spouting nonsense. Cov-19 most resembles the Gomperz distribution, if one wants to get all ‘mathy’…not that that helps for now. —
Testing, test, test, test, is also a part of this discourse (I am not saying testing is no use or shouldn’t be done; but that it does not deserve the emp. put on it.)
The appropriate, correct frame for action, furnishing a guide, a path, is a medical one, known for centuries if not millenia.. Some ppl are ill, very ill, they must be treated as best as one can, and rigorously isolated, those who care for them need consequent protection equipment, thus short shifts, long rest time, and a form of isolation themselves. Civil protection, the military, and other bodies capable of collective, ordered actions, can be very useful.
Doctors and nurses should be in charge of the care and they should have the right to do what they deem is best, such as prescribe x medecine. Top-down management by ignorant ppl, and/or those with financial scamming aims, will inevitably make things worse, not better. (Not stating that Docs are geniuses and always do the ‘right’ thing, oh no..)
**Crazed** management example. Instructions for Triage of Cov19 Patients in Arizona (at present ‘overwhelmed) from 12 June 2020. PDF.
https://www.azdhs.gov/documents/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/novel-coronavirus/sdmac/covid-19-addendum.pdf
The UK has been subject to all the fallacies, bad models, difficulties and contradictions *partly* here described… but see the diff. between N. Ir and England for ex. in b’s post.
Apologies for the long post, not directly about Leicester. Data that might be useful is hidden — because the aim is not the join together to treat sick people or help diminished ppl recover or do the best for orphaned children.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gompertz_distribution
Posted by: Noirette | Jul 1 2020 17:18 utc | 83
Another “conspiracy theory” shot down… Not only are there excess deaths, they are in excess of the official COVID-19 toll *and* normal deaths. Meaning people are dying at home because they are avoiding medical care due to the pandemic. Which a lot of people here suggested all along.
Excess U.S. Deaths Add to Pandemic’s Unofficial Toll
Thousands of deaths not attributed to Covid-19 were likely caused by the disease or indirect impacts of the pandemic, two new studies suggest
These findings, covering the period March 1 to April 25, also suggest “the Covid-19 death counts reported to the public underestimate the true death toll of the pandemic in the U.S., the researchers conclude today in the Journal of the American Medical Association.
Not only are we doing a crappy amount of testing, it’s now being overwhelmed by new cases.
A Dire Warning From COVID-19 Test Providers
U.S. coronavirus testing could fail again, as surging demand creates new backlogs and delays
“This is very bad,” Michael Mina, an epidemiology professor at Harvard, told us. Rapid test-turnaround times are the only way to control the coronavirus without forcing every potentially contagious person — everyone who’s had contact with someone diagnosed with COVID-19 — into quarantine, he said: “Our modeling efforts more or less show that if you don’t get results back in a day or so, outbreaks really can’t be stopped without isolating and quarantining all contacts preemptively.”
So much for “death rates are falling”…and I estimated half a million, round that up another half million.
5 Stages of the Pandemic and Why Covid-19 Will Get Worse
While Covid-19 deaths had been declining since a peak in mid-April, they leveled off in recent days and are expected to begin climbing soon, according to epidemiologists, who study these patterns. They’re already rising in Arizona and Texas…
“I would optimistically estimate that the final number [of U.S. deaths] will be closer to 1 million, if we are lucky,” says William Hanage, associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. He bases that calculation on current deaths-per-infections and a generous assumption of reaching herd immunity at just 50%, rather than 60%.
Bottom line?
“Someone you know is likely to die from this,” Hanage says. “Going forward, how do we stop more of that happening? Easy. Stop transmission. Stop blowing on the embers. It’s epidemiology, not rocket science.”
Well, there *are* “knuckleheads”… I don’t have to be out to see them, I can read them here.
Don’t Play the Mask Shame Game
Even though it feels good
It isn’t correct to frame the question of whether we should be wearing masks as a debate because there’s no question that masks work. The question we’re actually debating is whether people should have to wear masks. The controversy is ideological, not scientific, and that’s why it’s so hard to manage. It doesn’t matter that masks are scientifically proven to be protective if some “knucklehead” (New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy’s words, not mine), or the president, has decided that wearing a mask is just “not for me.”
Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Jul 2 2020 5:39 utc | 94
During the current ‘pandemic’ the UK government has employed ‘scientists’ and the 77th Brigade of the British army, to engage in information warfare using psychological operations online against British citizens to influence and control their behavior, with supporting propaganda and classical conditioning methods facilitated through the mainstream press and media.
To what end?
The sociopaths who are responsible for this catastrophe are the politicians who are in power.
They want more and more power.
They want the full population to fully embrace their totalitarian agenda.
Unenlightened people are always self-destructive.
They are self-destructive because they don’t know why they are here, where they are going, what the meaning and purpose of their life is.
Without knowing anything about themselves, whatever they do is going to be harmful.
It is going to be harmful to you, and through you, to others.
They cannot do anything but harm because their eyes are closed, they don’t have any inner sensitivity, they don’t have any creative joy.
Society is created by people suffering from the disease called seriousness.
The whole of society is dominated by this particular disease: mind.
It has dominated everything.
Society itself is ill.
Psychology means “the science of the soul” and the present psychology is not only not the science of the soul, it denies even the existence of the soul.
Western psychology studies only the mechanical behavior of the individual and the mechanics of mind.
Its studies cannot go very deep for the simple reason that if mind is all, and there is nothing more to life than mind, you cannot ever become one, undivided.
To be divided is the nature of the mind.
Love and hate, courage and fear, yes and no, atheism and theism.
Mind does not feel at ease unless it has divided a thing in two.
It cannot conceive of light unless it is contrasted with darkness, it cannot conceive of life unless it is defined by death.
And because psychology remains within the boundaries of the mind it cannot help individuals to grow to their potential heights.
To realize themselves.
Psychology will discourage you.
At the most it can help the individual to be normal, at the most!
“Just to be normal” is the goal of psychology.
A great goal, just to be normal.
And what is normal?
What is normalcy?
It simply means you are adjusted to the crowd.
So Western psychology is doing only one thing.
Whenever someone is maladjusted, western methods make that individual again adjusted to the crowd.
The crowd is not questioned at all.
Whether the crowd itself is okay is not the question.
Western psychology is the psychology of people who are asleep.
Yet it thinks it is the science of the mind.
Western psychology does not yet believe in the being of the indivdual, it believes only in the mind.
For Western psychology there is nothing beyond the mind… yet!
Western psychology is really just therapeutic, just a part of medicine.
It tries, it helps you to be readjusted, but it is not a transcendence.
Western psychology has dropped the idea of being, of your innermost self.
It is a very strange situation, because they say you become aware of the world through cognition, yet they deny you, they deny being.
Western psychology is still a game, guesswork, with no foundation in reality.
There is only one way to solve the mind and its problems, and that is to get out of it.
So the first step toward a harmony and unity of the being is not discipline but knowledge of that which is within.
The within has been so suppressed for centuries, for millennia, that this suppression has become a part of your self.
And not only you but the whole of humanity has suppressed what is within, you are just a part of the process.
You have not suppressed what is within you consciously, knowingly, it is part of your unconscious heritage to do that.
The people who came to Sigmund Freud, the founder of modern psychology, were all sick people.
That gave him the impression that the whole of humanity itself is sick.
In a way he is logical because everybody he examined, everybody he analyzed, everybody he treated was psychologically sick.
The whole world is a great madhouse yet we have hypnotized ourselves into thinking that we are sane, that we are normal.
This is the hypnosis!
Mind itself is the puzzle, it is its very nature to be puzzling.
So all the efforts that are made to solve it make it more complex, make it more difficult.
If you fight with it, you are fighting with yourself.
There can never be any victory, you cannot defeat it by fighting.
Because by fighting you will be dividing yourself into two, the fighter and the fought.
The struggle becomes infinite and meanwhile energy is dissipated, meanwhile life is wasted.
Remember, you cannot fight the mind.
Mind is nothing but a faculty of imagination.
No-mind is beyond mind.
No-mind is not opposite to mind.
It is a clarity, a silence, that can give you the deepest insight into mind.
You can look into all the layers of mind, but this is possible only from the highest point.
And because now you are no more in the mess of the mind, you are no more confined by your mind.
You have gone beyond boundaries, you cannot only see your mind, you can see mind as such.
And unless mind as such is known, modern psychology will remain just a fictitious game.
Because the person who is in the mind cannot be objective about it.
It is as if a mad person were doing research on madness.
Apparently, it looks logical, because they are mad they can do research on madness.
But it is not so in reality.
Only one who is sane can look at all the dimensions of insanity objectively.
The mad person is not in a position to see anything, to understand anything.
It is an impossible task.
They can create only a fictitious psychology.
If you are studying tomatoes, one thing is absolutely necessary, that you should not be a tomato.
Truth is not an object that you will find somewhere when you are silent.
Truth is your subjectivity.
Just try to understand.
You are there, and the whole world is there.
Whatever you see is an object, but who is seeing it is the subject.
Truth is subjectivity.
Your existence is the truth, and when you are silent you are in truth.
And if the silence is absolute then you are the ultimate truth.
The state of the awakened person is a state beyond mind.
They can see from the top of the hill into the dark valleys of the mind.
The hilltop is full of sunlight.
Their vision is clear, they have no prejudices, they have no preconceived ideologies.
They have left them far behind in the valley where everybody is a bigot, everybody is conditioned, everybody is divided.
None of them is capable of finding real psychology because they don’t fulfill the basic requirement.
The basic requirement is to go beyond mind, because only then you can see the functions of the mind, the subtle activities of the mind, the darkest corners of the mind.
From the hilltop of no-mind the whole valley is available to you, and you are simply a witness, an objective witness.
Posted by: Science Of No Mind | Jul 11 2020 8:50 utc | 99
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