Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 22, 2020
It Is Not ‘Authoritarian’ To Support Quarantine Measures – It Just Makes Sense

Yesterday James Corbett of The Corbett Report interviewed Kit Knightly of Off-Guardian about the corona crisis. At 18:30 minutes in Corbett finds it "disturbing" that some of the blogs who usually criticize governments, like Moon of Alabama, support the measures governments have taken to lower the speed of the novel coronavirus epidemic.

Corbett then highlights a discussion on Twitter between me and the Off-Guardian account.

It started with this:

vanessa beeley @VanessaBeeley – 5:33 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

#BillGates funded World Health Organisation advocate forced removal of family members fm homes if "tested" positive for #COVID19 even tho test is not proven reliable. So, govts hve corralled us in homes & will now unlawfully raid & extract citizens under poss. false pretext.

I retweeted that and remarked:

Moon of Alabama @MoonofA – 22:30 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

China did this in phase 2 of the Wuhan quarantine because it was the only way to protect the families from their infected members. Without that policy Wuhan would not have ended the epidemic.
Current test reliability is relativ high if test is immediate used when symptoms appear.

OffGuardian retweeted my tweet and launched the discussion:

OffGuardian @OffGuardian0 – 10:54 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

Surely your not actually advocating the forced removal of “infected” people from their homes against their will? #COVID19 #coronavirus

MoonofA: To separate infected from non-infected people is the ONLY way to stop such an epidemic.

OffGuardian: So let’s be totally clear. You believe the govts – the same ones who have lied us into wars, murdered innocents and destroyed the environment – should have the power to invade our homes and take away apparently healthy people whom they “SUSPECT” of being infected?

MoonofA: Our governments already have the right to do so under certain circumstances. An epidemic which threatens the health of all is one of them.

OffGuardian: That is not an answer. Do YOU believe these corrupt govts, which you have been opposing for so many years, should be able to enter people’s homes and take away people they claim to “suspect” of being infected?

MoonofA: I support quarantine measures during epidemics. We have had these for many centuries for good reasons. We should again use them.

OffGuardian: You support arrest and detention for people the govt claims to suspect MAY have a virus that – according to official estimates – is harmless or mild for 80-99% of those infected.
You do. MoA. Former champion of human rights and justice.
Have you lost your mind?

MoonofA: You are framing a measure that protects your and other families as "arrest" and "detention". It is neither of those.

OffGuardian: Oh ok. So, should the people ‘suspected’ of being infected be allowed to leave when they choose?

If your answer is ‘no’, then this IS arrest and detention and you are hiding behind blurry language.

As it made no sense to continue I stopped responding. Later Mark Sleboda jumped in to support my view:

Mark Sleboda @MarkSleboda1 – 5:02 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

Replying to @OffGuardian0 and @MoonofA
Leviathan – save me and mine from such fools.

Another discussion between OffGuardian and him unfolded from that. OffGuardian seemed to become a bit desperate when it then tweeted this nonsense:

OffGuardian @OffGuardian0 – 19:14 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

Replying to @MarkSleboda1 @ghigoberni and @MoonofA
So you would support indefinite detention for anyone who may be carrying flu virus then. It’s a lot more dangerous to healthy people and children than #covid19, as any epidemiologist will tell you.

I have not heard of any epidemiologist who has claimed that. But maybe I am reading the wrong ones. This graphic though from the British Office of National Statistics does not look like a flu outbreak:


Source: ONSbigger

The same ONS data was used by the Financial Times to produce this probably better visual:


Source: bigger

The few high blue dots around December/January time frame show exceptionally bad flu seasons like the London flu of 1972. Similar charts from other countries show the same effect for current covid-19 outbreaks. Without control measures like the current lock-downs the red line would certainly go through the roof.

The covid-19 disease the novel coronavirus causes is not a "flu". We largely do have 'herd immunity' against the flu. But this is a new virus causing a new disease. Nearly nobody is yet immune against it. It works in ways we are still just beginning to understand and there is no established therapy.

If we let this epidemic run wild without any control measures the death toll will be exceptionally high. The death per infection rate in Germany is currently estimated to be 0.53% (via Christian Drosten). It may be higher in other countries. That looks like a small number but remember that nearly no one has yet acquired immunity. It would probably take a year for the epidemic to run through a whole country.

Great Britain, with a population of some 60 million, would be theoretically looking at 300.000 excess death within one year. But the health care system would completely break down and thereby vastly increase the total death toll as there would be no care for most of the critical covid-19 patients and no beds for the usual other cases. That may already happen as Britain is now estimated to already have 41,000 excess death from the current epidemic.

Current estimates say that 2 to 3% of the population have so far developed anti-bodies against the virus. They likely give some immunity but we do not know how long that will hold. Should this epidemic have weather dependent waves the first one will likely end during the summer. Model calculations show that only some 6-7% of the population would by then have acquired immunity.

A second wave will then come during the winter. It will be worse as it will start everywhere at the same time and will come on top of the yearly flu season. We will then likely again need some harsh control measure like temporary lock-downs and case quarantains.

Now back to the Off-Guardian and Corbett critique. My view on the epidemic was always based on science. You can follow how it developed through the list of posts attached to this one. As I watched how China defeated its outbreak I had hoped that other governments would take similar measures. With globally concerted action we could have completely erased this disease!

But one slips into a pandemic with the governments one has, not with the ones one wishes for.

Will our 'elites' use the crisis to further enrich themselves. Sure. Will they abuse some of the control measures? That is practically guaranteed. And it does not change a damned thing with regards to the pandemic.

It is now too late to defeat it by eradicating its source. Social distancing measures like lock-downs are needed to keep the epidemic under control and to not overload our health care systems. Should the next outbreak wave be worse than the current one we will need even harsher measures than we currently have. I will support those because I know that they will save lives.

If that makes me an 'authoritarian' in the view of some then let it be so.

I for one find it more useful to tell people to make and wear masks than to post 'expert opinions' (scroll down) from PR-company sites which disagree with the scientific mainstream while their estimates of the total death toll have already been exceeded.


Previous Moon of Alabama posts on the issue:

Comments

there is no deadly epidemic in Europe, either….total morbidity within range of previous flu seasons https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/

Posted by: skeptic23 | Apr 23 2020 0:35 utc | 201

the pair | Apr 23 2020 0:23 utc | 198
Brilliant! I am laughing my ass off. I am going to keep this and refer to it whenever I feel I need a laugh.
I nominate you for the best comment ever award!

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 0:38 utc | 202

@Juan Moment #145
nCOV is absolutely here to stay.
It still doesn’t follow that it should be allowed to run rampant. That is a political decision: to trade off deaths vs. economic losses.
Note I don’t advocate blindly for either side. The whole point of politics is hopefully deciding that which is acceptable/best for the most people.
However, there is a huge difference between “ought to” and “is”.
There is also a huge difference between what one person thinks is better vs. another.
The reality is that for wealthy persons, managers, professionals – the lockdown is great.
Yet for working class people, the economic impact of the lockdown is devastating.
Who controls the government? Seems pretty clear.

Posted by: c1ue | Apr 23 2020 0:41 utc | 203

There is no global pandemic as, even according to the JH own hysterical Covid19 Heatmap, countries with huge populations, such as India (1.4 billion), China (1.4 billion), Brazil (213 million0, Pakistan (221 million), Indonesia (274 million), etc., etc., have no excess morbidity.
b and his fellow-travelers should stop hyperventilating and move along…
Covid19 is something big, but it’s not a deadly pandemic.

Posted by: skeptic23 | Apr 23 2020 0:46 utc | 204

Anyone wish to explain why there is no flu any more in the US of A? Where did it go? CDC reported it no longer exists in the last two weeks.
And why such a reduction in pneumonia deaths?
And why coincidentally did the CDC change it’s decades old protocols on death reportage giving liberal interpretations for listing COVID deaths when it had never specified for any other disease to get such treatment in it’s history?
And why if this COVID thingie is so infectious and deadly are no upstate college towns (which hold thousands of NYC students each Fall/Winter and they were there until recently) having any deaths from COVID?
And why are they listing deaths as COVID deaths in NY State (the epicenter- oooh NYC as center of universe again) AND openly admitting they won’t test for COVID on many of these cadavers?
And why has overall US death toll gone down by 30,000 over the first 14 weeks of this year when compared to last year? I know no careening around in autos and assorted death-like activities but shouldn’t the Black Plague more than make up that shortage?
And why are those who question the MSM about so much in the past all of a sudden believing the corrupt corporate media and the Pharma funded CDC (60% of funds from Pharma) and WHO (80% of funds from Pharma)?
Why do people point to Italy’s excess death total when Italy had a bigger excess death total in 2017 due to interstitial pneumonia (BTW same thing is happening this year and does happen their yearly now)?
Once you’ve read through these questions- tip of the iceberg- head back to comment #4 by Russ- he is correct.

Posted by: Allen | Apr 23 2020 0:51 utc | 205

You can’t have been criticizing official narratives for your entire existence and then uncritically swallow the official narrative now. Especially considering how easy it is to see the totalitarian takeover that is taking place.
The a-priori assumption is that there is a pandemic- that is false. What we have is a seasonal virus that is exploiting rapidly deteriorating conditions created by a specific economic system that has as it’s hallmarks destruction of the soil, toxic air and polluted streams and oceans. You could say COVID is the symptom and the current social order that has created a breeding ground for such viruses is the disease.
For those who suffering from and/or dying from this seasonal virus there are in almost ALL cases two common traits;
1) They live in large, polluted, toxic metropolitan areas- just take the areas/regions of Wuhan, Madrid, Brussels, Milan, NYC, Tehran (which other city am I missing?) out of the equation and the mortality rate goes down so severely you could not locate it with a microscope;
2) They are 65 plus years old AND have usually two or more (always at least one) SERIOUS underlying conditions FROM living in these toxic places.
Virtually all of those in category 2 have lived in category 1 for many years.
What is glaringly missing from this newly created (but long in the making) “health emergency of catastrophic proportions” is how on earth did so many, before this new virus came along, already suffer from severe respiratory ailments?
Why are so many already suffering from reduced immunity?
Why is nothing being announced to deal with these issues?
Why no government (before or after the new virus) was/is interested in preventing the large number of pre-existing conditions from flourishing in our midst?
Why is industrial agriculture so toxic for our bodies, the air and soil? Who profits from this?
How come all of these multi-billion dollar medical institutions, federal agencies and their government pets are always using medications to treat the symptoms and never the conditions?
What does this say about an economic social order that has created such unhealthy people who are a perfect breeding ground for viral replication?
What does this say about a society that is not taking care of it’s most vulnerable citizens to as a defining feature?
Is this really a health emergency or is it a financial/security/political emergency?

Posted by: Allen | Apr 23 2020 1:06 utc | 206

There are empirical models of societies that have controlled Covid-19 without lockdowns.
Hong Kong and Macau were among the first territories to record virus cases in late January. Hong Kong had its first Covid-19 death in January.
In January both Hong Kong and January adopted similar measures. All residents were asked to wear masks when in public among people and especially when using public transportation. In Macau buses and taxis would not pick up passengers without masks. In Hong Kong there was no law regarding use on public transportation but the government’s advice was adhered to and many taxi drivers would not pick up people without masks. Taxis also started carrying bottles of hand sanitizer so that after paying the driver and getting their change passengers could make use of the sanitizer. Virtually everyone in Hong Kong walks with their hand sanitizer. Hong Kong also diligently traces all cases to find the source of infection.
Many employers allowed their employees to work from home wherever possible.
Hong Kong has had airport temperature screening since the SARS epidemic. From January, airport staff were masked and gloved as are post office workers, policemen and other public servants that interface with the public. Unlike in the UK, no bus drivers or other public transport personnel are known to have been affected due to their jobs.
Cinemas, casinos were closed and concerts, street parties etc banned. Even Lion Dances and other public celebrations for Chinese New Year were canceled (Unlike the Carnival celebrations in France, Spain and even most of Italy).
However, there was no lockdown. People continue to take trains, buses, minibuses, taxis and ferries as usual…but everyone is masked and carrying their sanitizer.
On entering public buildings and restaurants people are subject to scanning with thermal image scanners or non-contact thermometers as are delivery people and visitors to apartment buildings. Restaurants remain open but observe table spacing by either keeping tables further apart or leaving an empty table between occupied tables. Many restaurants have now focused on pick up and delivery.
The result is that at this time Hong Kong has had 4 Covid-19 deaths and just over 1,000 confirmed cases with a population of 7.5 million people. Macau with a population of around 700,000 has had zero deaths and around 50 confirmed cases. Macau also started using the anti-viral / HIV medicine cocktail first introduced by doctors in Thailand for treatment with good effect.
By Mid-March new virus cases in Hong Kong had slowed to a trickle with several days recording no new cases. However, when the US and Europe started to announce lockdowns etc tens of thousands of returning residents came into Hong Kong and some of them did not diligently observe their 2 week self-quarantine. In particular, some of them frequented certain bars which became hotspots that were revealed by contact tracing. This caused a spike in new cases, the vast majority of whom had recently returned to Hong Kong or had frequented one of the hotspot bars.
Hong Kong then closed bars and pubs in early April and limited public groups to 4 people. Banks also began temperature screening. HK also closed the airports to non citizens or residents.
Daily new cases have now declined to single digits and some days there are zero new cases.
In Hong Kong and Macau people go to work, use public transport, go to malls, supermarkets and restaurants etc. but the virus situation is under control.
Recommendations:
Masking in public
Temperature screening on entering public buildings. If area temperature scanning cannot be implemented then use hand-held non-contact thermometers.
Hand sanitizer at the entrance to buildings, supermarket checkouts etc. Encourage people to carry around their own sanitizer.
Diligent contact screening for infected persons with testing and possible quarantine for those who may have been infected.

Posted by: Othello | Apr 23 2020 1:06 utc | 207

Disabuseer @205
Thanks for remembering me in your rant ‘donkeytale’, er … ‘King Lear’. I’m honored by your disdain.
The new handle suits you as you frequently dis-respect the blog and abuse the unwary who are captured by your pretense to socialist wisdom.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 1:07 utc | 208

Othello

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 23 2020 1:10 utc | 209

B has his point of view, Corbett and Off-Guardians theirs and I can make my mind. No needs for bickering. The latters fear about a 1984 in the making. The former bases his view on science. Good. but why the certitude about what WILL?
“A second wave will then come during the winter. It will be worse as it will start everywhere at the same time and will come on top of the yearly flu season. We will then likely again need some harsh control measure like temporary lock-downs and case quarantains.”

Posted by: Jean | Apr 23 2020 1:12 utc | 210

Allen @210:
You can’t have been criticizing official narratives for your entire existence and then uncritically swallow the official narrative now.
This is a narrative that USA/West can’t control. It’s in other countries that are highly unlikely to participate in a hoax.
The a-priori assumption is that there is a pandemic- that is false.
It’s not a-priori. Everyone here is also skeptical. But there’s no way to hide something this big. This is not a WMD in Syria or the Skripals.
<> <> <> <>
And we all want to open the economy too. We just want it done in a responsible way. And that might mean a few weeks longer than libertarians like. But the blame for that lies with our governments, not sensible people.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 1:14 utc | 211

@ the pair[198]
Exactly. Thank you!
Christ, even sifting through half the alt media these days I’m thinking ‘same zoo, different critters’. I’m afraid that a lot of people will die before some of these gacks get their heads screwed on straight.

Posted by: Zengine3 | Apr 23 2020 1:23 utc | 212

a few days ago, I linked to a report on litigation over COVID-19 – Missouri sues China for billions of losses caused by Coronavirus….they hid and did not disclose….
I opined the sovereign immunity issue will impede this suit making it to case management.
Just in case I am proven inept; here is what China’s defense [in part] may include: there is this helpful Special Report.
Former Labradoodle breeder tapped to lead U.S. pandemic task force
Source

Washington. On January 21, the day the first U.S. case of coronavirus was reported, the secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services appeared on Fox News to report the latest on the disease as it ravaged China. Alex Azar, a 52-year-old lawyer and former drug industry executive, assured Americans the U.S. government was prepared.
“We developed a diagnostic test at the CDC, so we can confirm if somebody has this,” Azar said. “We will be spreading that diagnostic around the country so that we are able to do rapid testing on site.”
While coronavirus in Wuhan, China, was “potentially serious,” Azar assured viewers in America, it “was one for which we have a playbook.”[.]
Shortly after his televised comments, Azar tapped a trusted aide with minimal public health experience to lead the agency’s day-to-day response to COVID-19. The aide, Brian Harrison, had joined the department after running a dog-breeding business for six years. Five sources say some officials in the White House derisively called him “the dog breeder.”[.]
Harrison, 37, was an unusual choice, with no formal education in public health, management, or medicine and with only limited experience in the fields. In 2006, he joined HHS in a one-year stint as a “Confidential Assistant” to Azar, who was then deputy secretary. [.]
Before joining the Trump Administration in January 2018, Harrison’s official HHS biography says, he “ran a small business in Texas.” The biography does not disclose the name or nature of that business, but his personal financial disclosure forms show that from 2012 until 2018 he ran a company called Dallas Labradoodles.
The company sells Australian Labradoodles, a breed that is a cross between a Labrador Retriever and a Poodle.[.]

A very close CV for the task. No? Some Vets have advised we keep our pets inside.

Posted by: Likklemore | Apr 23 2020 1:26 utc | 213

Well, b does it again
“The few high blue dots around December/January time frame show exceptionally bad flu seasons like the London flu of 1972. Similar charts from other countries show the same effect for current covid-19 outbreaks. Without control measures like the current lock-downs the red line would certainly go through the roof.”
How convenient the graph starts at 1970. Missed 1968. Over 100K dead in US. Half the population. My school never closed. My Dad went to work every day.
“The covid-19 disease the novel coronavirus causes is not a “flu”. We largely do have ‘herd immunity’ against the flu. But this is a new virus causing a new disease. Nearly nobody is yet immune against it. “
Its not a new virus. Its a strain of corona virus which was first isolated in 1968. Its a pathogenic strain much like SARS and MERS. Humans have a highly evolved immune system developed over millions of years. When exposed to a new various our innate immune cells go to war, sending signals to our adoptive immune cells who begin to mobilize. In many cases a persons innate immune system is up to the task and eliminates the virus. A 6 day war in that event. Most people don’t even know they were infected in that case or have mild symptoms. In that case few if any antibodies are created.
In some cases more severe cases the adoptive immune system, which takes 1-2 weeks to mobilize are needed, antibodies as well as T-cells finish off the virus. Over 99% of healthy young people will succeed. They will then be immune.
As a single strand RNA virus like influenza, it mutates fairly rapidly. So vaccines will never be fully effective and reinfection becomes possible, although symptoms may be less severe
“It works in ways we are still just beginning to understand and there is no established therapy.”
Well, we don’t fully understand any virus and we do have therapies, oxygen, hydroxychloroquine, antivirals, etc. But those are needed for only for severe cases. Interesting that the therapy being most often used at the start of of the pandemic for severe cases is ventilators which are now known to be harmful for most people. Again, those most needing these therapies are elderly who have a number of other diseases. Tough luck for us but we had our life, no need to stop the young from living.
“If we let this epidemic run wild without any control measures the death toll will be exceptionally high. “
Life has a mortality rate of 100%. Fortunately the toll on under 60’s is less than with a bad influenza. For some reason those under 40 have negligible mortality rates despite them having not greater immunity to a new virus. We don’t actually know the CFR because we don’t know how many have been infected. Some studies show infection rates might be 50-80 times higher than reported. MGH did a random sampling in the Boston area and showed antibodies in 35% of population.
Lockdowns may be slowing the development of herd immunity, besides causing excess deaths from suicides , heart attacks and other diseases as treatments are delayed or cancelled. The delay in herd immunity renders the population susceptible to a 2nd wave like in 1918. In 1918 herd immunity was delayed due to travel was not as fast or extensive, and larger number of people lived in rural areas. If you ask me lockdowns have made a bad situation worse. Much worse
Of course, there is a reason for that. Preventing herd immunity until a vaccine is ready. Mandatory vaccinations for all. Since it mutates like the flu, it will be mandatory seasonal vaccines. Big bonanza for Big Pharma and the Virus Hunters/Makers, not to mention Big Tech/Data who will roll out new 5G toys to monitor and track everyone with digital ID
And hey, Gates and Microsoft released a report on a new patent
“A sensor communicatively coupled to or comprised in the device of the user may sense body activity of the user. Body activity data may be generated based on the sensed body activity of the user. The cryptocurrency system communicatively coupled to the device of the user may verify if the body activity data satisfies one or more conditions set by the cryptocurrency system, and award cryptocurrency to the user whose body activity data is verified.”
Social credit here we come. You want to eat, be a good puppy. Lol

Posted by: Pft | Apr 23 2020 1:28 utc | 214

YUM YUM EAT DON’T THINK
making moon bat soup
is a simple recipe
with one part messy market
and two parts jumping species
bitter ingredients be gone!
your lab leak heresy
will not be discussed here
unless defending the Chinese
your sick will go to stadiums
the rest wait for vaccines
await further instruction
and totally reliable testing
skeptics are killing grandma
skeptics must be stopped
only a selfish, right-wing loon
would take the face mask off!

Posted by: lizard | Apr 23 2020 1:31 utc | 215

Othello | Apr 23 2020 1:06 utc | 211
Yes. Goof point on HK and Macau. Taiwan with 20 million only 5 deaths. Very few deaths in China outside Hubei. South Korea had a MERS outbreak in 2015. All of these other least affected areas were exposed to SARS in 2003. One wonders if they may have had partial immunity. If I remember Hubei was one of the least affected provinces to SARS
Likewise California which is has the highest Asian populations in the country is relatively unscathed. Most Chinese visitors travel first yo California (SF or LA) Might be some portion of the population with immunity

Posted by: Pft | Apr 23 2020 1:38 utc | 216

Trump told us the novel coronovirus was nothing to worry about. Two weeks later he declared a national emergency.
We were told that masks were useless. A few weeks later, they were mandatory.
We were told that hydroxyChloroquine treatment is dangerous. Then that it is unproven/unapproved. Then that it has bad side effects and that bogus studies show that it doesn’t work. Yet people WITH NO FINANCIAL INTEREST tell us that it IS working.
As soon as Trump got his Wall Street bailout he was pushing to get people back to work. Because he doesn’t work for us. He presides over the neoliberal work camp known as USA. And furloughed workers means lost profits for THOSE THAT MATTER.
Now we are told to hate China. Yet the recognized timeline doesn’t support the assertion that China withheld information. In fact, Congressmen were briefed on the upcoming pandemic and acted on that info, selling stock and telling their close friends about the coming pandemic. And NYTimes wrote about how China had bought the West time and the West squandered it.
Where is the testing? China had developed a cheap 15-minute test by mid-February. South Korea has widespread tests. USA has a national emergency but Trump won’t force companies to produce what is needed. His song and dance about ventilators was a farce when it was already clear that testing, masks, and hydroxyChloroquine are really the answer.
The ‘problem’ with opening the economy lies with the failed government response.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 1:40 utc | 217

@ 170 karlof1.. thanks again for the links to pepe and indian punchline.. definitely worth the read!
@ 198 the pair.. lol… good post!
@ 199 peter au.. thanks peter.. that is interesting.. apparently they form 75% of signapore – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Han_Chinese i was not familiar with this..
@ 210 allen.. i think it is the poster vk that has been saying the timing of covid 19 fits nicely with a financial meltdown… i am not sure how one wants to explain it all, but he sort of answers your last question @210..
@211 jr.. good sleuthing.. i think your are correct!
@ 219 lizard… thanks!

Posted by: james | Apr 23 2020 1:41 utc | 218

If our government leaders would provide more detailed information and educate the public rather than just saying without a lockdown millions would die and, it might help people understand the situation better. And since many areas of the US are virtually untouched people are starting to believe this was much to do about nothing DP @ 79 <= whenever government is conducted in secret the governed always lose.. The biggest failing of the USA constitution is sovereign immunity..preventing the governed the right to sue and imposing on the guilty life behind bars. Deep discussions are often not between right and wrong, but between two right ideas, like: 1. let's change to make things better 2. let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater or 1. individual liberty is important 2. responsibility to the group is important deltaeus @ 109 <=yes that is because big business expects to make massive bucks from the problems infectious agents cause humans. The enslavement of the world population (enslavement by virtue of poverty, insecurity etc.). It has provided the perfect cover, just as the lock downs are hiding the collapse and now all blame is on Covid19, not the collapse it hides. Had a big picture of this been grasped from the start, a calculus of lives lost via lock down versus jobs lost, stores closing etc., might have suggested it better to use traditional medical methods (focus on high risk, allow rest to go about their lives) than extreme administrative methods. by: Brad @ 130 Just like the street light system the virus has provided perfect cover for surveillance, crowd control and laws that remove civil and human rights. IF you have tested positive to SARS-CoV-2, then you are a danger to others. by: Peter AU1 @ 134 <= but that conclusion assumes your test results are not among the false positives of which there are many. No the uninfected others are the danger to our society, because they are not wearing sufficient personal protection to be safe from infecting agents. Big government should fund personal protection methods, not vaccinations vaccination are both too late and of the wrong kind at infection risk times. WG @ 96 said;"Like it or not, you need government, ..for civilized society (at least until you grow up a little more), and the reason your government sucks is because YOU let it suck. In the meantime, you need that government to provide the discipline that you lack so that you don't kill yourself and your neighbors due to your own lack of self-discipline." by: ben @ 140 BS..<= what is needed is sufficient cheap enough personal protection to protect every living human from every other living human.. Iran announced the right idea they developed a virus detection system for public places that detects infection risk in crowds and places of business. which allows the infected person in the crowd to be identified. ...it is clear that the lock-downs were the correct policy. Those who hate the lock-downs should be appealing for governments to speed up testing and early treatment. That is the way toward lifting the lock-downs responsibly. Jackrabbit @ 143 <== not true the government lock down and massive testing would have been unnecessary, and the testing is highly problematic, if governments had not put into law monopoly powers that allowed big business to privatize into profitable money making enterprises, at the expense of everyone else, patents and copyrights. Because if there were no monopoly profit possible in virus there would be adequate personal protection everywhere, and the PPP would protect not from just one virus, but from all virus type infections. Now government could require everyone to wear it, during times when infection risk (from any virus or fungi) was on the rise, just as they do when the sea is too dangerous at the beach. Assuming such equipment were available, I would agree government should strictly enforce the requirement that everyone protect themselves and wear the protection clothing and apparatus. the virus is just like the street light surveillance system, it can hold up traffic so that rebels can not get from home to the demostration while the government brings in its troops. What is true is that infectious pandemics could long ago have been denied a route to attack humanity.. Patents are responsible for the recent years pandemics ..I remember when everyone said nothing could be done to avert being tossed from the vehicle during highway collisions, but government passed a law, and safety belts were invented ..big pharma says nothing will work but their next big vaccine, but those vaccines are of little value, by the time they can be developed and tested, and worse, vaccines are generally virus specific so vaccines cannot be developed until the next virus arrives.
The better way, is to eliminate not the threat of infection, but the route by which the infection happen, do it with clothing and apparatus, much like the safety seat belt, merely make a safety belt (a zero tolerant virus outfit, one that can be worn by all, install UV shelters and walk through antibiotic disinfection showers) and who cares how many new virus come to town, A new vaccination, is almost useless, but it makes big pharma trillions, and cost the poorest the most, so no one is going to work on developing an infection in-tolerate personal protection outfit and no government is going to enforce that everyone wear such IIPPO because Big Pharma wants a patented vaccination they can bilk everyone in the world for.

Posted by: snake | Apr 23 2020 1:43 utc | 219

@Posted by: Likklemore | Apr 23 2020 1:26 utc | 217
Re: “Former Labradoodle breeder tapped to lead U.S. pandemic task force”
Hmm…I guess history does indeed rhyme…
Remember former Bush II Katrina FEMA director (and Intl Arabian horse Assn Judges and Stewards Commissioner) Micheal D “Brownie, you’re doing a heck or a job” Brown? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_D._Brown

Posted by: gm | Apr 23 2020 1:59 utc | 220

In 4 weeks NY went from a total of 6,075 cases of the flu to 143. For the entire state! The entire state of NY has 143 cases of the flu during statistically a high activity time of the year.
Where did the flu fly too?
And in December the CDC said this was going to be a rough flu season.
If the state-run mainstream media news never mentioned a thing and didn’t generate panic and hysteria the population would not have thought anything of it. They would just assume it was a more severe flu season like the one in 2018.
You didn’t really say much of anything JRabbit- and I’m a socialist BTW. But overall isn’t this all very encouraging- our masters have finally shown a sincere interest in our health and are protecting us.
Too many have abandoned their critical thinking skills.

Posted by: Allen | Apr 23 2020 2:03 utc | 221

Posted by: Ed Butterworth | Apr 22 2020 21:32 utc | 122
WARNING! no such person “Ed Butterworth”. highlighted name a link to multiple sites – Daily Stirrer, Paul Joseph Watson Summit News, CATHERINE YANG, Jennifer Zeng, Epoch Times, New Tang Dynasty Television, Gordon Guthrie Chang. Gatestone Institute, Falun Gong, Guo Wengui, Kyle Bass, Chris Chappell China Uncensored and more….
I was drafting a good rebuttal the above post, after spending a good almost 2-hrs, back checking for more detail, when clicking highlighted name, discovered was shocking Hey “Ed Butterworth” or whoever you are tell your Epoch Times, Gordon G Chang etc. fuck you.

Posted by: JC | Apr 23 2020 2:05 utc | 222

Questions about the Coronavirus “Pandemic”
Why is the mainstream media engaged in constant fear mongering?
Why aren’t we seeing daily death counts of far more deadly diseases like TB, Hepatitis B, HIV/AIDS, Malaria?
Why aren’t we seeing daily death counts of vehicular deaths and injury every day – worldwide?
Why don’t we ever see the increasing number credible professionals with alternative, less drastic viewpoints on the subject of this “pandemic?”
Why is there absolutely no questioning the fatality level of the disease or why we should even shut down society to this extent?
Why aren’t we looking at shocking Italian Coronavirus death numbers more closely, when according to Prof Walter Ricciardi, scientific adviser to Italy’s minister of health, “only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity – many had two or three”?
Why aren’t we looking at health statistics based on ‘Deaths of Despair’(according to a study for every 1% of unemployment added there are 40,000 deaths) over unemployment in contrast to potential viral deaths?
Why aren’t we quarantining the most at risk population first and protecting them to the fullest extent rather than destroying our entire planet’s economic infrastructure?
If the government really cared about our more vulnerable segments of society, why is our older population being made to wait in long lines in the freezing cold at the grocery store without aid or assistance?
Why are there no questions being raised about the effectiveness of the Coronavirus test, when several studies and experts have said it is not reliable?
Why are so many “beloved” public figures being paraded out as having contracted the virus?
Why are we trusting Big Pharmacy/Medical INDUSTRY interests to decide our entire planet’s approach to the virus when it has been show time and time again that they continuously create products that are unsafe and have little regard(I.e. Oxy-leading cause of accidental death, third leading cause of death = medical mistakes) for the public over profit?
Why are we trusting Dr. Anthony Fauci, who is a Big Pharmacy spokesperson, to dictate our health policy now or ever?
Why are we trusting any government officials or medical experts who have highly profitable ties to ‘Big Pharma’?
Why will Big Pharmacy interests be allowed to make a profit during this planet-wide emergency while so many are suffering from an economic crisis that they have mandated?
Why isn’t there more accountability on Big Pharmacy interest and governments around the globe that do research on dangerous biological cultures?
Why are the quarantine levels being pushed up by people who have no fear of having lost jobs or who have very large reserves of wealth?
Why are leaders like Cuomo unnecessarily scaring the public with talk of 9 month quarantines?
Why are they pushing the invention of a vaccine as the cure for this virus when vaccines don’t work against the common cold or flu and have been shown to actually make you more susceptible to Coronavirus?
Why is Bill Gates, a computer geek geek with NO medical training, a person who can’t keep viruses off his monopolistic software in charge of this vaccine push?
Why are inexpensive alternative medicines being overlooked and/or being outlawed while the vaccine mandate is pushed when some of these treatments(i.e.mass doses of Vitamin C) have been shown to be extremely effective?
Why is the social distancing narrative being pushed over and over again when studies have proven that it does little or nothing to slow the virus?
Why are social distancing and ‘quarantine shaming’ videos being posted on international news when they are small isolated incidents?
What is the agenda as more articles are published saying this social distancing will be the ‘new normal’ going forward?
Why are health insurance companies making profits and even considering executive bonuses during this crisis?
Why aren’t any members of government who make an insider profit during this pandemic being stripped of their positions and put on trial immediately?
Why are ‘mom and pop’s stores going out of business, while large corporations like Amazon hiring by the 10’s of thousands?
Why are gyms being closed down in junk food restaurants allowed to stay open, when clearly the obesity epidemic far outweighs this pandemic?
Who decides what is an ‘essential business’ and what is not?
Aren’t all businesses essential, if it is your livelihood and puts food in your mouth?
Why is Game Stop considered an essential business, while my local Acupuncturist shut down?
Why are banks getting bailed out again?
Why are the stock markets permitted to trade and very wealthy people allowed to make even larger fortunes while the average person is losing their retirement fund?
Why aren’t public stocks and pension funds ‘protected’ first and foremost over individual profit?
Why is stock trading considered ‘essential’?
Why aren’t absurdly wealthy billionaires who pay virtually nothing in taxes being allowed to acquire more wealth, while millions of people will have their wealth stripped away?
Why won’t there be a massive wealth tax imposed on these people for the good of the community?
What has the FED done to ease this crisis?
Why is there no escape from this Coronavirus scare on absolutely any modern communication device, broadcast, or app when it is far less deadly than many other diseases?
Who sets the standard for shutting down society for illness or disease in the future?
Will we be required to destroy lives and the economy every time there is some type of viral scare moving forward?
Why are so many accepting virtual house arrest without the slightest push back, questioning, or struggle?

Posted by: Allen | Apr 23 2020 2:08 utc | 223

b there are too many trollers here, I suspect they’re all from Epoch Times and Gordon G Chang etc… and another below long comments.
Posted by: Allen | Apr 23 2020 2:08 utc | 227
You need to do another clean sweep now!

Posted by: JC | Apr 23 2020 2:16 utc | 224

Allen | Apr 23 2020 0:51 utc | 209
Frustrating when reality won’t slide the way that you want it to, eh? Christ, such whining. If you want an ongoing pandemic that comes back in waves, don’t worry, your moronic countrymen are ensuring that you’ll get it.
Meanwhile, we’ll have to insist that all of you moonbat snowflakes remain on your own side of the Canada/US border. Don’t bring your shithole problems up north, eh?

Posted by: Zengine3 | Apr 23 2020 2:22 utc | 225

I have been reading MOA for many, many years and the proliferation of references to the now farcical Zero Hedge (many years ago it actually delivered some useful news and actual trading insights), Wattsupwiththat (climate denial) and other sad sites (unfortunately now including Off Guardian which I previously enjoyed reading) is disappointing.
The utilization of a crisis by the US (and other white western) elites to steal yet more trillions from the people to bail themselves out from their own mistakes is simply business as usual (9/11, 2008 GFC etc.). The US has been an oligarchy for quite a while now. We have also definitely never been told the truth about 9/11.
This does not mean that COVID-19 had to be created in a lab and cannot have been naturally produced through mutation. It also does not mean that the vast majority of health professionals are lying (the same ridiculous assumption made by the climate deniers) about the deadliness of the virus.
Anyone thinking that this is “just the normal flu” should read the book “The Great Influenza” about the post WW1 “Spanish” Flu (it may actually have been the US Flu) to understand how a mutated virus can completely change its impact upon the body – something very much being seen with COVID-19.
I will continue to wade through the truly ridiculous posts (many be people new to MOA) to saviour the excellent comments and information provided by B and many of the regular contributors. Contrasting opinions are refreshing and required for a healthy discussion, but some have simply gone off the deep end into the depths of paranoid delusion.

Posted by: Roger B | Apr 23 2020 2:23 utc | 226

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 22 2020 18:34 utc | 10
“Strange how complaints from this group align so well with exactly what the governments want: ignore the financial looting and focus on getting the wage slaves back to work, even if that means killing a bunch of people (that heartless capitalists find to be useless”
Please dun feeds the trolls. Anyone who are against “locked down” and with good writing skill long comments, no interest in Big Pharma are most likely trolls. You and I has been here for long time. I still remember Arnold, he’s from Thailand missing almost 3-yrs. Take care 🙂

Posted by: JC | Apr 23 2020 2:40 utc | 227

Twitter is far more toxic and dangerous to society than Covid 19. I have no clue why people validate still validate that CIA censored turd of a platform.
Do yourselves a favor and quarantine yourselves from it. Nothing of any substance will ever be solved between the twats on twitter.
There’s never been a more divisive devise since political parties.

Posted by: dave | Apr 23 2020 2:50 utc | 228

@B
The same ONS data was used by the Financial Times to produce this probably better visual:
That you depend on such a blatently fraudulent and discredited graphic, one that is clearly contradicted even by subsequent corrections to the ONS own reports, speaks volumes about the quality and reliability of your arguments.
Is it wise, B, to cling so voraciously to the claim “this alone is true, everything else is false” when steadily growing numbers of esteemed scientists, doctors, and professors of biomedical research are daring to step forward – against the mainstream media, against the main swell of (propagandised) public opinion, and against the government elites – to criticise the basis of such claims on scientific grounds and using scientific research to support their criticisms?
So doing does not lead to a dispassioned and enlightened evaluation of the evidence based on scientific criteria. Rather, it leads to an increased reliance on dogma, on propaganda, on the voices of those who shout loudest, on blind faith, on ignorance – and especially – on the power and dishonesty of the elites. So doing profoundly undermines the most important foundations of MoA that have long distinguished MoA in the past as an important and valuable source: namely, and precisely, balanced, independent and well-sourced analysis that is unswayed by elite interests or propaganda.
Have you any conception, B, of the extent to which your desperate clinging to the view “this alone is true, everything else is false” has already changed the assumptions many will unconsciously rely on when reading and judging your articles in the future? Assumptions about the quality and reliability of your analysis, about the balance of your judgement. MoA has a well-deserved reputation built up over many years. Will you discard that reputation so readily in the moment through ill-considered dogma?
You would do well at this point to reconsider the relevance of sound, balanced and independent analysis to the historical development of MoA’s reputation. You would do well to consider which articles have been enduringly most successful, and why, what qualities make them stand out.
You would do well to ponder this general question: what makes a person cling to the idea (whatever idea it may be) “this alone is true, everything else is false”? What are the inevitable consequences of such thinking?

Posted by: BM | Apr 23 2020 3:06 utc | 229

Donald Trump Should Lead a Strong Federal Strategy to Improve Testing, Not Abdicate to the States
https://tinyurl.com/y8n4h7ao
Only problem with that is…Trump and the morons he has in his administration. Maybe we could get Angelina Jolie? I’d listen to her a lot faster than Trump…or f she’s too old for you, how about Amber Heard…Margot Robbie? They probably know more about it than Trump.
The Senate Relief Bill Is A Good Next Step, There is Still Much More To Do
https://tinyurl.com/y6uyx5mt
Ignore the picture of that ugly-ass bitch Pelosi…a disgrace to the state of California…or any state, really…including the state of humanity…

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 3:17 utc | 230

Twitter is far more toxic and dangerous to society than Covid 19. I have no clue why people [..] still validate that CIA censored turd of a platform.
Do yourselves a favor and quarantine yourselves from it.
Posted by: dave | Apr 23 2020 2:50 utc | 232

Very nicely put, Dave. Much the same applies to Arsebook, which is even more of a toxic curse on this planet, and which also needs to be quarantined, and also Google. All three are crucial propaganda tools of the elites which they use to manipulate, brainwash, exploit and repress the silent majority and thereby reinforce their power.

Posted by: BM | Apr 23 2020 3:18 utc | 231

Santa Clara County in California had it first…
New data shows first U.S. coronavirus death earlier than thought
https://tinyurl.com/ya5pfcxq
February 6th, not end of February. So the US had around 30 days to get ready for it from the time the Chinese officially alerted the US the first week of January. And Trump proceeded to waste 60 days. And now he complains “China didn’t tell us…”

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 3:21 utc | 232

@ bm 233.. i am curious how you explain the graph from the ons that shows a real increase in deaths for 2020 then?? it is on this page
here.. thanks…

Posted by: james | Apr 23 2020 3:25 utc | 233

JC@228
Well said! I suspect many of these who want to Make America Great Again or at least back to the world as it was during the last football season. With an additional 50 million unemployed on top of a previous about 22% unemployment rate (shadow stat) their posts reflect fear of losing everything and need to express it somehow.
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/unemployment-charts
This is a truly deadly virus with wide-spread attacks on organ systems throughout the body via ACE-2 and other receptor sites. Many of those who survive hospitalization will be disabled for the rest of their lives with lung, heart, kidney, liver, reproductive, intestinal and neurological damage – just to mention a few pathological effects.
(see MedCram and Chris Martenson for details).
A partial solution is masks for everyone, however, the US cannot produce enough masks. It is even worse in countries such as France where you cannot buy masks at the pharmacy and it is illegal to sell 3D printed masks.
This pandemic is triggering a collapse of the complex system called western capitalism and the collateral damage will be tragic no matter what. Hopefully, we will not have to endure a fusion of 1984 and the brave new world or nuclear winter.

Posted by: krollchem | Apr 23 2020 3:34 utc | 234

San Francisco Opens Select Streets to Pedestrians, Bicyclists Amid Pandemic
https://tinyurl.com/yb6fh39w
Among the streets listed is Ellis Street between Polk and Leavenworth streets.
I live on that street this side of Leavenworth.
The block on the other side of Leavenworth is relatively sparse on one side – because PG&E has a huge building on it with a parking lot (plus a convenience store I shop at.) Still a few homeless hang out there on that side. The other side is *loaded* with homeless in tents. The next block up has a motel with night club, an apartment building, and a Kentucky Fried Chicken on one side, and supported housing and miscellaneous shops on the other. That side is loaded with black people from the supported housing hanging out.
So what part of that is a “slow street” which should be used by pedestrians and bicyclists? Makes zero sense to me. This appears to be a sop to people who are demanding an end to the lock down without any real benefit.
And San Francisco has *still* done *nothing* for the homeless and SRO residents. And they never will, despite all the alleged promises.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 3:37 utc | 235

One could always take up smoking for the time being. The old adage eh, what don’t kill you makes you stronger. I remember my drinking buddy in the past saying ‘Bud, you know what? Alcoholics don’t catch colds man’ I started putting credence in that as well as the very real effect of alcohol on a persons outcome while sustaining a fall down a set of stairs for example. The alcoholic brushes off and says what about that drink. As in the cytokine storm, in essence the sober fear of hurting oneself is hurting ones self.
Want to fight? Yeah start a chain smoking, binge drinking fight club, a super spreader mosh pit, the Covid-19 will have step up to put it up.

Posted by: Gravatomic | Apr 23 2020 3:39 utc | 236

Posted by: Othello | Apr 23 2020 1:06 utc | 211
Thank you so much Othello for your detailed description of the methods used in Hong Kong and Macau, which match very well with what I witnessed in China (what you described was slightly more relaxed, but entirely the same principle). As I have emphasised numerous times, China didn’t achieve their enormous successes through blind and destructive lockdowns like in parts of Europe and the US, but used selective lockdowns profoundly integrated with contact tracing, constant temperature screening, testing, quarantining, and moderate social distancing measures. Lockdowns in China were limited, measured, and carried out flexibly and with wisdom and compassion according to local need. Using such an approach automatically gains the respect and cooperation of citizens, especially with the long-standing reputation of the Chinese government for looking after their citizens.

Posted by: BM | Apr 23 2020 3:42 utc | 237

For your reason on quarantine I shift from Off-Guardian to here.
Anti-authoritarian doesn’t mean blindly opposing anything they propagate: that is equally dumb as “Befehl ist Befehl”. We should use our own judgement on all matters based on information and our own intuition.
In three of the Five Eye countries the political front leaders were wrongly advised by scientists on covid19: in the US, the UK and Canada. Virulent viruses combined with cheap and abundant global air travel make a risky mix as we find out in 2020. The speed of spread can easily overwhelm existing IC capacity. Most of East Asia learned from earlier virus outbreaks: the West didn’t, till now.

Posted by: Antonym | Apr 23 2020 3:43 utc | 238

live video feed from wuhan https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D6bcICxR3p8
wonder what paveway is up to??

Posted by: james | Apr 23 2020 3:46 utc | 239

Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 3:37 utc | 239
Hello Richard. Funny post you had up thread a ways. 2nd best of the day, 1st goes to the pair.
Seattle is doing this as well in some of the residential neighborhoods. I think the idea was to make it easier for people to be able to walk around their neighborhood and still maintain social distancing, and since their is a lot less traffic why not. Sounded like a good idea to me.
I haven’t been to SF in at least 25 years, but I don’t really remember any residential neighborhoods, so I am not sure if it is a good idea there.
David F

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 3:47 utc | 240

New Map Shows San Francisco’s Coronavirus Cases by Zip Code
https://tinyurl.com/y74fl7ng

According to the data, the 94107 zip code in the South of Market neighborhood, has one of the highest rates of COVID-19 infection in the city.
The high numbers there are partly because the Multi-Service Center South homeless shelter is located there, where an outbreak resulted in 96 residents testing positive.
The zip code with the highest number of cases is 94110, which is located in the Mission District. Even though Latinos make up just 15 percent of the city’s population, 25 percent of the city’s positive coronavirus cases are among Latinos.
Additionally, Latinos make up 80 percent of coronavirus patients at Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, a sharp increase from the regular 30 percent Latino hospital population.

On the other hand, their “Unknown” Race/Ethnicity data point is… 30%. Really? 30% no one knows? The page says: “The “Unknown” includes individuals who did not report a race/ethnicity to their provider, could not be contacted, or declined to answer.” Guess who is likely to do that…
The Black data point is…5%. Really? Or is that why 30% are “Unknown” – because no one wants to be accused of being “racist”? They’re trying to tell me that the huge percentage of black people I see without masks, no social distancing, hanging out all day with their homies – and they have few if any cases? While Latinos have *five times* that many cases?
Something’s wrong there.
Best news: My Zip code has only 9.9 cases per 10,000 population in a population of 56,000. Only 56 confirmed cases total. City-wide rate is 14.23.
Except I’ll bet they’re all on my block… LOL

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 3:49 utc | 241

I’ve been stating that ‘lockdown’ is usually bad policy repeatedly here over the last several days, citing experts at Stanford University and the University of Oxford, and have only received anger and b.s. in return. Now will you listen to THESE experts:
Flattening the curve, “which has been adopted by many countries in the hope that warmer weather and a future vaccine will help rein in the virus, could destroy economies while having little effect on cutting infections, the researchers led by Peking University Professor Liu Yu said.
“‘The turning point will never come, the peak value of case numbers will remain the same as if there are no such measures,’ the team, which included scientists from Harvard University in the United States, said in a non-peer-reviewed paper released on preprint platform arXiv.org last week.
‘We strongly suggest they reconsider [the approach].'”

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 3:54 utc | 242

Posted by: Antonym | Apr 23 2020 3:43 utc | 242
I’m becoming increasingly of the opinion that NZ and Australia are getting off lightly because they have a different strain and population density. Time will tell when there are any 2nd waves. Also here in Ontario we are surrounded by the the NA epidemic in the US now. Again time will tell what strain and what measures worked for Canada, geographically we are stuck with the hand we were dealt.

Posted by: Gravatomic | Apr 23 2020 3:55 utc | 243

james | Apr 23 2020 3:46 utc | 243
Checked out the link, wasnt sure what to expect, but there didnt appear to be that much traffic. I had thought that they were back to normal, and had expected to see a lot more traffic.
Saw your advice earlier, believe it or not, I thought both of those people earlier that I called trolls were wanting to have a legitimate conversation. It wasn’t until a couple of posts went back and forth that I realized they weren’t interested in discussing anything and were just trying to start an argument. I will be more careful going forward.

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 3:58 utc | 244

So obvious , even the troll dont make an effort to differentiate his sock puppet”s posts
a glance thru history of posts showed David F , Pupile , Disabuser and many more are from one person. Puppet accounts that support each other and congratulate each other are so typical. The method of claiming as an ‘expert’ or ‘marine’ or ‘veteran’ and then proceed to insult regular posters in MOA
Classic Hasbara 101 ‘Poison the well’ to make regular ppl abandon the comment section overran by bots and sock puppeters

Posted by: milomilO | Apr 23 2020 4:01 utc | 245

@248 pilpul artiste… a very insightful poster that shows up infrequently named paveway shared that live wuhan link 3 or so weeks ago… maybe a bit longer.. at the time it was as dead as can be… it is much more active now, so although it might seem quiet, it was super quiet when he shared it last…. thanks for your comments there!

Posted by: james | Apr 23 2020 4:02 utc | 246

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 3:47 utc | 244 I think the idea was to make it easier for people to be able to walk around their neighborhood and still maintain social distancing…
That might make sense except in reality in most places in San Francisco today under the lockdown, you can walk all over the place and be fifty to 100 feet away from someone, let alone six feet – unless you’re going by a homeless tent city where that is *impossible* since they’re all over the sidewalk. Even on Market Street, there’s hardly anyone except depending on the flow of foot traffic eddies around specific corners, etc. So I don’t buy it – I’m pretty sure it’s a way of easing social pressure.
“I don’t really remember any residential neighborhoods”
SF has residential neighborhoods. I just never visit them because there are fewer shops I’d want to visit there. Also depends on what you’d consider “residential.” Neighborhoods with a lot of free-standing houses and yards are relatively rare until you get into the outer areas of the county – San Francisco is *small* – unless you’re talking the rich neighborhoods where everyone has a *wall* and a yard like feudal barons. (Gotta keep those “coloreds” away from the rich white folk, ya know…except for your Mexican maid, your black gardener, etc.) But there are places with row houses with a *small* yard and a garage either by the side or *under* the house. Most everyone else lives in apartment buildings (and the real estate developers who own this town like it like that – when they aren’t building massive hotels for the tourists.) But again, San Francisco is small, and with a population of 883,000 crammed into 47 square miles (population density 21st in the nation, 6,658.9 per square mile), there isn’t room for a lot of single family homes.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 4:06 utc | 247

Shit this lot are scum.

(Reuters) – All members of the World Health Organization (WHO) should cooperate with a proposed independent review into the spread of coronavirus, Australia’s Prime Minister Scott Morrison said on Thursday.
Morrison on Wednesday spoke with several world leaders including U.S. President Donald Trump to canvass support for a review into the origins and spread of coronavirus, which emerged in China late last year.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 23 2020 4:10 utc | 248

Pft | Apr 23 2020 1:28 utc | 218
Brilliant post Pft. It aligns with the experts’ latest research, see my post 246.
People have gone mad here. As I said a week or so ago, my diagnosis is Trump Derangement Syndrome.

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 4:11 utc | 249

milomilO | Apr 23 2020 4:01 utc | 249
David F and pilpul artiste are me. Somebody attempted to insult me yesterday by calling me an ‘exceptionally slick pilpul artiste’, which has two meanings, one actual the other colloquial.
One is ‘sharp analysis’ the other is a person who is an ‘extreme hairsplitter’. I found I liked it, and decided to start posting with that name.
Not trying to hide anything, I even said I was going to do it in yesterdays thread.
Disabuseer is a bit of an enigma, thinks very highly of his extreme intelligence, finds himself to be very clever, and likes to insult people in cryptic ways. I think the term would be a back handed compliment. And he is not me.

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 4:12 utc | 250

fairleft | Apr 23 2020 3:54 utc | 246
The Standford Study was flawed. Several people at moa pointed this out. gm @190 posted a link to a video in which the presenter states that the Stanford Study was withdrawn.
From the link you provided actually makes points that favors the position favored by b and others that argue for a responsible lifting of lock-downs:

Some leaders, including US President Donald Trump, have proposed lifting some of the pandemic restrictions, but the paper warned that doing so was a wrong and dangerous way to go.
The researchers said that relaxing the lockdown measures without significantly ramping up infection control capacity such as testing could create a humanitarian disaster in the US similar to that experienced by Ecuador, where corpses of coronavirus victims were wrapped in cardboard and left on streets because too many people died.
. . .
One solution, according to the study, was to tighten lockdown measures while rapidly increasing testing and patient isolation…. This meant a stricter ban on public activities and the construction of makeshift hospitals to house all patients so they would not infect others.
China’s strategy of “elimination” was the most effective way to suppress the outbreak quickly, but was unsustainable due to its high cost, with 40-90 per cent loss of economic output in a month, they said.
The researchers suggested authorities consider the less stringent but equally effective strategies adopted by South Korea and New Zealand.

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 4:17 utc | 251

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 3:54 utc | 246 Flattening the curve, “which has been adopted by many countries in the hope that warmer weather and a future vaccine will help rein in the virus, could destroy economies while having little effect on cutting infections
As usual, the article points out that South Korea was the best at handling the crisis. Which is absolutely true.
What everyone involved in the study forgets is that *South Korea was PREPARED* for this. The United States was *not*.
How many times do you people – including these academics – have to be told that before you get it through your empty skulls?
And then there’s this – which you conveniently left out of your positive review…

The researchers said that relaxing the lockdown measures without significantly ramping up infection control capacity such as testing could create a humanitarian disaster in the US similar to that experienced by Ecuador, where corpses of coronavirus victims were wrapped in cardboard and left on streets because too many people died.
That conclusion is in line with forecasts by some senior American health officials, including Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, who said that reopening the economy too soon would “backfire”…One solution, according to the study, was to tighten lockdown measures while rapidly increasing testing and patient isolation. If each patient infected less than one other person, the spread of the coronavirus would eventually be under control.
This meant a stricter ban on public activities and the construction of makeshift hospitals to house all patients so they would not infect others.

So I guess you didn’t even read the whole piece, did you? Too much of a hurry to be a troll.

The researchers suggested authorities consider the less stringent but equally effective strategies adopted by South Korea and New Zealand, which maintained fewer than 10 daily cases and only suffered losses ranging from 0.5 to 4 per cent of their economy.

And *IF* the US had been as *prepared* as South Korea, then that’s what the US *could* have done. Instead, the US has an Orange Toddler-In-Chief who prefers to think like *you* do and wasted two months, as well as his predecessors who wasted ten years.

Jaymie Meliker, professor of public health with the Stony Brook University in New York, said the model had its limits because Liu’s team did not put a value on each life lost in the pandemic.
“I could not find how much they estimate a life is worth in their cost benefit model,” Meliker said.
“If the hospitals are overrun and more people are dying because of that, then we need to quantify that cost for a cost-benefit model.
“That is needed for us to be able to evaluate the pros and cons of the different containment strategies.”

So the model is shit, the advice is useless for the United States, and they agree that the steps taken were correct – just inadequate – thanks to Trump.
Don’t waste my time, fairleft…

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 4:18 utc | 252

Continuing from @255
In the US we currently use a ‘virus mitigation’ strategy that demands social distancing and self-isolation. Masks were added later.
South Korea’s ‘virus suppression’ strategy is pro-active but requires mass testing, early treatment, housing infected people (instead of sending them home to infect their family), etc.
AFAICT, there are no plans for USA to change strategies. USA still has a shortage of PPE and a severe shortage of tests. But USA is determined to “open the economy” asap.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 4:29 utc | 253

I had a Twitter discussion with Off-Guardian about this. He just can’t accept that the virus is real, so he tries to pinhole every reaction to contain it as unreasonable. The problem is that, when this is all over, those who claimed “it’s just a bad cold” will look fools after millions of deaths. We’re still in wave 1 in most places.

Posted by: demo | Apr 23 2020 4:31 utc | 254

I just wish, when covoid19 statistics are presented, then side-by-side they also present the statistics for flu/influenza/pneumonia. These would include daily, weekly, monthly stats, with trend lines going back ten years.
That way, when we know that covoid19 deaths are 150,000 people, and the annual deaths for influenza and pneumonia are usually 600,000 deaths, then we can calculate that we at 25% of our annual planetary allocation!
This would take all the steam and panic out of the ‘pandemic’ and allow us to make cool and educated decisions.
And I have never heard of a ‘pandemic’ which leaves children untouched. We have entered the twilight zone of the absurd!
And now that we have emptied the hospitals, cancelling all non essential surgery, are we now in a pandemic of heart/cancer/bowel deaths?

Posted by: Ric G | Apr 23 2020 4:33 utc | 255

Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 4:18 utc | 256
“I could not find how much they estimate a life is worth in their cost benefit model,” Meliker said.
“If the hospitals are overrun and more people are dying because of that, then we need to quantify that cost for a cost-benefit model.
“That is needed for us to be able to evaluate the pros and cons of the different containment strategies.”
What a revolting conversation this is. These guy’s are by definition sociopaths, the only value they see in other people’s lives in a monetary one.
If we were in a situation where there truly wasn’t enough to go around, where a decision between having 10 out of 20 live or all 20 die, then this type of decision would be necessary, even though unseemly. But we are not, this type of conversation/decision is completely unnecessary. Makes me want to puke.

Posted by: pilpul artiste | Apr 23 2020 4:37 utc | 256

@203
Foot note #2 on the CDC sight.
2Percent of expected deaths is the number of deaths for all causes for this week in 2020 compared to the average number across the same week in 2017–2019. Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death (<25%), and then increases over time such that data are generally at least 75% complete within 8 weeks of when the death occurred (8).

Posted by: Michael Weddington | Apr 23 2020 4:44 utc | 257

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 4:17 utc | 255
The Stanford/Uppsala study wasn’t flawed, and the amateur efforts to show it was, including calling the lead researcher a “hack,” embarrassed this site. Obviously it was dealing with available, strong data, and there was not enough of that on April 4. Researchers always deal w imperfect data, that’s not a flaw, and all subsequent random studies (Santa Clara, LA County, for example) have supported the study’s tentative conclusions.
The researchers cited in the SCMP article are recommending a smart strategy that minimally disrupts the economy while isolating those with Covid-19. “Only a few countries, including South Korea, Qatar, Norway and New Zealand, have so far been able to stop the spread of the virus with minimum disruption to business, according to the researchers.”
The lockdown policy “resulted in a major disruption to economic activity and social life but was not effective in isolating infected people from the rest of the population. To some extent, it was worse than doing nothing, they said.
‘This choice still incurs 20-60 per cent loss of economic output, but only achieves a 30-40 per cent reduction in the number of cases, an extent which is insufficient to overturn the epidemic curve,’ the researchers said. ‘Our results show that this is usually the worst scenario in terms of cost-effectiveness.'”

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 5:01 utc | 258

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Apr 23 2020 4:29 utc | 257
So, what you, I and even angry Richard Steven Hack are advocating is to re-open the economy after we ramp up testing and monitoring and make sure those with the virus and the vulnerable are isolated properly. Like in South Korea, Qatar, Norway and New Zealand. That’s what the authors of the study recommend.
Or do you recommend we keep on destroying the US economy?

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 5:09 utc | 259

Longtime reader, first time commenting.
I had to chime in about the RT-PCR tests. To suggest they are relatively high in reliability if used when symptoms first appear is ludicrously out of sync with all of the information I’ve come across. These tests are unreliable at doing just about anything. They will give positive results in the presence of quite a range of different viruses. The advice of the CDC, WHO and even the manufacturer of the test kits, is that they are completely inadequate at making diagnosis.
Honestly, I’m baffled as to why they are used to test for anything, ever. Any so-called ‘test’ that cannot detect the presence of a specific virus is redundant. It’s certainly an outrage that any (all?) positive results to the test are being counted as ‘confirmed cases’ of Covid19, when it could just as easily be the clap!
As for the rest of the debate. For someone to be ‘suspected’ of having this virus, surely they’re likely to be symptomatic – otherwise why are they ‘suspected’ – which would mean it’s too late to stop it spreading within a household via isolation/separation. So the quarantine argument, in the case of forcibly removing people from their homes and families, is a pretty weak one. As I said at the start, longtime reader, and usually agree with most of the views expressed – but on this, I’m afraid I have to side with Beeley, Corbett and OffGuardian. I think forcibly removing people from their homes is a going way too far. These are rights the state should not have over an individual, and I think the point that Vanessa Beeley was making in particular, is that there’s a lot of room for abuse. These measures could be deployed for all manner of reasons. Especially in light of the thoroughly unreliable, borderline redundant testing become utilized. A slipper slope indeed. And draconian all the way.
I remain more afraid of the measures being enforced than I am of the virus.

Posted by: Shane | Apr 23 2020 5:12 utc | 260

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 5:09 utc | 263 So, what you, I and even angry Richard Steven Hack are advocating is to re-open the economy after we ramp up testing and monitoring and make sure those with the virus and the vulnerable are isolated properly. Like in South Korea, Qatar, Norway and New Zealand. That’s what the authors of the study recommend.
Seriously, you’re enlisting *me* in support of your bullshit position – which you have been touting here for *days* if not longer? You claim you are recommending the same methods advocated in the article – the same methods used in South Korea – when there is *zero evidence* that such things are even possible in this country – and certainly not any time soon – and you have been denouncing the lockdown *without once* mentioning that using those methods? And *continuing* to *ignore* what I and others have *repeatedly* said – that the lockdown was only necessary *because* the US wasted *two months* of bullshit from people like *you* and Trump and that had the US *been* prepared, it would not have been necessary.
And you have failed to address *ANY* of the points I made – and that in fact the article made!
Seriously, you are unbelievable. Someone who is completely incapable of reading comprehension – and still less capable of caring about that as long as you can recite another version of your bullshit.
The textbook definition of a TROLL.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 5:24 utc | 261

See, this is what I said before…You get these “passive-aggressive” types who come in, sound oh so nice and reasonable – no insults (overt), no swear words – and they sound like they just have a reasonable disagreement about things.
So you engage them.
And then they: 1) Ignore every opposing fact you’ve referred to; 2) reiterate the same points over and over as if no one has said anything in opposition; 3) ask “why are you holding such an unreasonable position?”; 4) dismiss all criticisms of the references they rely on without actually engaging those criticism a iota; and 5) finally, they actually tell you that you are in agreement with *them*!
Awesome.
Trolls come in many forms.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 5:32 utc | 262

I wrote this on my Facebook page to address the idea that calculated giving in to authority in some areas is not anti freedom in the colloquial sense of the word. It seems appropriate to repost it here as it addresses the rather clumsy approach people like Corbett take on the subject. I like James a lot and think he’s a good man who serves an important function in society.
At the risk of drawing fire from my own allies, there seems to be a widespread misunderstanding of the concept of freedom. Every and any encroachment on what many see as personal freedom are quickly labeled fascism. And, while that has certainly been the trend in western countries, and I certainly sympathize with the assumption, it’s not always the case.
Necessarily, freedom and liberty must strike a balance in a country or a world where the good of the people, including yourself, is present and the concept of tyranny is absent.
What does this mean?
Rousseau, who greatly influenced the modern western legal system, framed it loosely like this:
Freedom and liberty are two opposing points on a spectrum.
Absolute freedom is a condition where we are absolutely free from harm others can cause us, whether it be crime or things like pollution, or even infection. Absolute freedom would necessarily be a police state.
Absolute liberty is a world with no restraints. No one can tell you what to do, or who you can and can’t harm. Absolute liberty is the law of the jungle and rule of the strongest.
Rousseau argued that we are “forced” to be free. What did he mean by that? He meant that we are forced to give up some of our liberty so that we will be free from harm that we will all suffer should we be exposed to the laws of the jungle.
In layman’s terms, I am not allowed to ravish your daughters and steal your chickens because if I am, then you would be allowed to ravish my daughters and steal my chickens, because a world where I can harm and be harmed is not a free world. All reasonable people agree to this I think.
Likewise, a world where I am absolutely free from harm is a world where I’m a prisoner, therefore, we must find the sweet spot in the middle where I won’t be harmed by you, but I won’t be a victim of the police either.
So, the argument today, when we can be harmed by others inadvertently, is how much liberty must we temporarily cede in order to be free? It’s an unavoidable argument by nature.

Posted by: Don | Apr 23 2020 5:34 utc | 263

Without reference to the merits of your views versus Off-guardian I would advise caution in propping up any argument on the basis of ONS statistics unless you have very clear knowledge of how such data is compiled. It combines CSO with OPCS and therefore accesses Death Registration data.
You should know how UK death registration occurs. In hospital it is Part 1 that is filled in by a Doctor usually a Junior. The Part 2 must be completed by a completely different doctor if cremation is proposed – that takes time since that doctor must be completely separate from the first in all respects. The second doctor gets a fee “ash cash” to sign off on the entries by Doctor 1.
Death Certificates read upwards with ailments contributing to death in rising order of significance until the top item states proximate cause with others as contributory. Since UK Hospitals have for many years been obliged to publish mortality statistics by hospital and rankings they may well be included to book “Exceptional Items” currently by logging everything as Covid-19. The Medical Defence Union , the malpractice insurer is asking government to indemnify doctors for all Covid-19 cases in a blanket immunity.
There are highly political factors at work. There is a vested interest in Whitehall in having as many deaths booked to Covid-19 as possible to justify extreme measures and extreme spending. It is an essential fig-leaf for very naked politicians.
Typically around public holidays nursing homes used ri decant their elderly into NHS hospitals because relatives did not want to take them and it was easier to have them die in hospital. The effect was “bed-blocking” by 80 year olds which has also been a problem as local government lacked funds for social care so left them with NHS. Now we have the absurd situation of Governments in Europe funding bed-blocking by >80 and >90 year olds directly and re-purposing hospitals. So the death statistics are questionable as a policy guide.
Further, when filing a death in UK there is a window of 5 days to register a death and 8 in Scotland. To do this you need the Death Certificate which is delayed by needing 2 doctors to sign off, often in remote locations. Then you need a Disposal Certificate from an undertaker to permit removal of the body and disposal. That Dione it is registered in the local office and in time collated in London electronically.
So the deaths reported on any one day may be spread over 6 weeks.
The statistical inferences from the data are invalid because they are nothing other than a running average in terms of inferences.
As for Flu in UK – MOST respiratory deaths occur around March. UK is damp and housing stock is oldest in Europe

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 23 2020 5:36 utc | 264

http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2020/7/schedule/13/enacted
In the Coronavirus Act 2020 all legislation has been amended and this Act stays in force until 2022 giving the Government powers to override all existing legislation

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 23 2020 5:42 utc | 265

Bob #83

I just dont trust Bill Gates, he is creepy he thinks there are too many African people, like the people with the smallest carbon footprint in the world. Also why is he traveling all over Africa collecting forskins? He is a weirdo

My suggestion as the reason for Bill Gates peculiar collection habit is that he considers foreskins to be orphans and he will bring them all together and create a new MAGA cap for Trump to wear.
or
He is in league with Les Wexner who has finally been outed (thanks to Whitney Webb) as the boss of the Epstein teenager racket. The foreskins will be fashioned into a fashionable tasteful fedora for Les Wexner to wear.
or
A new coat for Ghislane Maxwell.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 23 2020 5:45 utc | 266

allen 225, 227
What is the agenda as more articles are published saying this social distancing will be the ‘new normal’ going forward?
The whole concept of self-isolation and anti-social “distancing” is radically anti-human. We evolved over millions of years to be social creatures living in tight-knit groups, and although modern societies ideologically and socioeconomically work to massify and atomize people, nevertheless almost all of us still seek close human companionship in our lives.
This terror campaign seeks to blast to pieces any residual human closeness, which means any residual humanity as such, the better to isolate individual atoms for subjection to total domination. Arendt wrote profoundly on this goal of totalitarian governments, though even she didn’t envision a state-driven cult of the literal physical repulsion of every atom from every other atom.
If the state-run mainstream media news never mentioned a thing and didn’t generate panic and hysteria the population would not have thought anything of it. They would just assume it was a more severe flu season like the one in 2018.
I’d bet money on that.

Posted by: Russ | Apr 23 2020 5:46 utc | 267

Something appears to have gone horribly wrong with the OffGuardian, the Corbett Report, and Counterpunch. I do not rely on them anymore. Anyway, I do not use the term ‘lockdown’, it’s just a quarantine. This is a measure that has been implemented for thousands of years, and been proven to actually work. It may be a tad authoritarian, especially if implemented in an irrational manner. But sometimes what must be done must be done.
As far as the ‘economy’? The quarantines may even help a bit with the economy, simply by pulling back the curtain of delusion that has been hiding the reality that the USSA economy has been strutting about with no clothes as of late.
The Cov-19 virus does not only attack the lungs, it also attacks the kidneys, heart, liver, etc. and replaces healthy tissue with scar tissue. And this occurs even in healthy young victims that show now symptoms.
Quarantines are the only sensible measure until some acceptable solutions become available.
(I am now eating 6,000 units of vitamin D3 daily. And two cups of black beans too (for a perfect balance of zinc and copper). If I feel a ‘cold’ coming on, I will begin smoking cigarettes (something in tobacco has been implicated in stopping viral lung damage completely — this of course is NOT ‘medical advice’). Just don’t ask.

Posted by: blues | Apr 23 2020 5:51 utc | 268

Globalization always has sought to dig up and propagate every pathogen it can. Now it may have found a type of flu which is not qualitatively worse than other flus, but somewhat more contagious.
And that latter circumstance, if true, is what guarantees that this natural process of the virus cycling through the population will assert itself. Society’s options are to meet this flexibly and adaptively, or to try to use rigid force to resist. The latter is guaranteed to fail, can only excruciatingly drag out the process of developing herd immunity, and brings horrible ancillary evils on top of whatever the virus is going to do.
What we see here is a version of Dominion theology which thinks it can dominate nature, the totalitarian technocratic mindset which is delusional in thinking it can control nature.
There’s no comparison between this and e.g. medieval epidemics. As with every other evil, globalization carried out its function of propagating this flu bug worldwide as fast as it could. There was never any opportunity for quarantines to work. All we’re left with is the demented notion of closing the barn door after the cow is out, locking people inside and then setting the barn on fire.

Posted by: Russ | Apr 23 2020 5:56 utc | 269

@ bm 233.. i am curious how you explain the graph from the ons that shows a real increase in deaths for 2020 then?? it is on this page
here.. thanks…
Posted by: james | Apr 23 2020 3:25 utc | 237

I analysed in detail that graph – and the twitter fabrication which is the same as the FT graph – in the debunking thread here Posted by: BM | Apr 16 2020 16:32 utc | 400
Please read that analysis again James (you read it last time, and acknowledged it at the time).
Very briefly:
1) Why is the FT spike almost vertical, while the ONS one gradually increases and gradually gets steeper? Because the FT graph adds all the cumulative Covid-19 data in one burst in week 14 – FRAUDULENT FAKE NEWS
2) Look at the ONS data carefully. There is a large increase in gradient immediately after the start of the lockdown. Only about half of those deaths are accounted for by the alleged Covid-19 deaths (I will fully justify the use of the word alleged below, read on). Now look at the data for deaths from other causes such as heart disease, compared to the previous 5 year average. Why were heart disease deaths in 2020 massively less than the 5 year average, has heart disease suddenly been cured in 2020? Also all other major causes of death are substantially reduced in 2020 compared to the 5 year average. That proves beyond question that the alleged covid deaths (which are already only half the spike for week 14) are massively inflated. The likey degree of inflation corresponds to the highly improbable extreme reductions in the other causes of death, compared to the 5 year average – i.e. those deaths were improperly attributed to Covid-19.
The charts showing comparison of the different major causes of death with the five year average are not given in the link you gave, you need to check this more detailed ONS analysis here (or here), which was the original page published 16th April that I commented on. The alleged heart disease deaths (up until week 14) in 2020 were one third less than the 5 year average for the same period, and all other major causes of death were about 10% less than the 5 year average.
The ONS data clearly show that the majority of the excess deaths in week 14 compared to the 5 year average were non-covid deaths. Some of these non-covid excess deaths might have been due to some unknown other manipulations, but at least some of them would have been directly caused by the lockdown – such as elderly people dying as a result of panic and fear, or because of being denied treatment for other conditions. There can be no question that the lockdown puts some lives directly at risk, especially when carried out in the inhuman and brutal manner used in the UK. Such situations put health-compromised elderly people under dangerous levels of stress.
Please see my more complete analysis of the April 16th ONS report linked above.

Posted by: BM | Apr 23 2020 6:00 utc | 270

The latest study provided by experts, referred to in my posts above, can be found directly here:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07765
The study recommends the strategy taken by what it labels the “control group”: “This group includes South Korea, Singapore, Qatar, Norway, Slovenia, Russia, and New Zealand, etc., all with R0< 1, but still not sufficiently small, such that the epidemic can be reduced to a lower level (but not eliminated), depending on the stringency of intervention measures. Singapore in February was the most prominent example within this group, where antiepidemic measures have been mild enough not to affect everyday life by aggressive social distancing. Through regular epidemiological control practices, they managed to maintain a daily increase of infected cases fewer than 10, and only suffered 0.5%–4% loss of economic outcome in a month. The control strategy requires a highly capable epidemic control system. Given the aforementioned long-term uncertainties, even with such a capable system, the strategy is still a tightrope-walking game with the risk of abrupt system overload by accidentally untracked surges of infection, which, unfortunately, appears to be the case in Singapore in early April. ..." "Only suffered 0.5%–4% loss of economic outcome" sounds fantastic! If you're not lucky enough to be a citizen of one of the "control group" countries, please urge your country to imitate the wise policies they have implemented. We need to avoid a massive worldwide economic depression, don't you think? On the other hand, a poster above (#260) has called the authors of the study I cite "by definition sociopaths" so be warned.

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 6:13 utc | 271

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 23 2020 5:42 utc | 269
In the Coronavirus Act 2020 all legislation has been amended and this Act stays in force until 2022 giving the Government powers to override all existing legislation
Enabling Act. Goes well with the 1933-style mass cult enthusiasm to throw away all prior principles, ideas, rationality itself and embark on a bizarre adventure.

Posted by: Russ | Apr 23 2020 6:17 utc | 272

Hi there. This is the first time I comment in this, one of my most admired ones, blog.
I admire B and lots of people who comment in here. I have been following this blog since the beginning of the crisis in Siria, daily with lots of admiration for B.
I am writing cause I totally concur with Mr. James Corbett. I admire him as much as I admire this blog and your enlightening labor for years.
I agree with him with the idea that you should have use this platform to voice other voices than the main stream ones. We have the MSM to know about the benefits of lockdowns an quarantines. Alternative media should use its platforms to air the voices of the people (scientist and experts in this case) that can not find a way to explain and share publicly their valid and profesional points of view.
There are hundreds of respectable virologists and epidemiologists that don’t agree at all with the draconian mesures our governments are imposing in our societies. It is gonna be very difficult to come out of the lockdowns and because of them nothing is going to be the same afterwards, and them what?, Mr Gates vaccine?
I think B, you should have choose to use this platform to help other voices of judgement be heard. Corporative MSM is not good and you are fully with them in this one.
As I see it we are dismantling society to save the very old ready to dye and people with other morbidity issues. We should have just lock down them and continue with business as usual. Aside from that I don’t think is the same to dye with Covid than to dye with Covid. In my country and I think in most countries If I dye tomorrow in a car accident and I have tested with cover my death certificate is gone say that I died of Covid. Why this obsession in counting all deaths as Covid deaths. Too many loose ends my friend.
All your Covid articles about Covid are superb but I don’t read your blog to get this kind of information. To do that I read the New York Times.

Posted by: Alfrodenas | Apr 23 2020 6:21 utc | 273

I’m sorry but as much as we think the elites are dumb, they pulled this off masterfully, itz was so successful now they are saying cov19 can be a seasonal thing with lockdowns coming for years to come

Posted by: Bob | Apr 23 2020 6:22 utc | 274

OK my turn since everyone else appears to have a lot to say. I got home about half an hour ago poured my first scotch (Good news 4 me my local bottle-O tired of seeing big city corporations milking their customers by charging $100 for 1,5 liters of cheap scotch delivered to the door, but taking two weeks to get it to ya, has put one of their young Pakistani blokes in a van & is delivering everywhere including all the way out to my joint. I dunno why this but I’ve noticed for a while that the best booze sellers are Islamic – eg my bottle-O is owned by a personable young Iranian).
Anyway I dunno if I’ve mentioned this but Jacinda & her crew of worthless neo-libs have succumbed to the pressure form corporate lobbyists is about to lift the lockdown by slackening off a bit for two weeks, then if there hasn’t been a spike, slackening off totally.
The flaw is obvious, two weeks isn’t long enough to judge the first slackening off.
Worst off all it is late autumn & we have just had the first couple of cold snaps. I have already told many of our ‘clients’ that we cannot keep delivering once the lock comes off because it is just too dangerous for them as well a us (most of the crew are boomers so fit into the “could get really crookfrom the coronovirus” category, but the big danger is that when the thing does get loose & can be caught in any old supermarket, we could become unwitting vectors. We keep distance, use gloves and masks but sanitizer is quite difficult to source & very expensive. Someone could catch it off a tin or carton. I’ve been making hand sanitizer from 70% methylated spirits 30% aloe vera gel, but I dunno if some of our most vulnerable customers use it enough.
The anti-government types would be smarter to kick up about the way governments have been lobbied into lifting the lockdown, rather than worrying about getting plucked by the bill & slotted up.
I drive around most days & have a piece of paper signed by a doctor authorising me to do so as an alleged ‘essential service’ yet haven’t been pulled once. That said I know others who are known members of gangs that the police gang is at war with who have been repeatedly pulled over.
The lockdown is a handy excuse for harassing ‘the enemy’ sure, but coppers harass these guys all the time regardless of lockdown, this is just a bit of novelty for cops who can pretty much do what they want regardless of any pandemic.
If the whiners moaning about abuse of power were truly honest they wouldn’t pissfart about whinging over a tiny weapon in the oppressor’s arsenal, they would be pushing to remove all the powers that are abused by so-called law enforcement.
At least lockdown is an attempt to promote a social good, show me one drug or sex work law that can rightly claim that – there are none, at best those laws enable easy harrassment of the marginalised, at worst they enable corruption by large criminal enterprises.
So freedom-fighters why doncha fight for something more useful than stopping the proven method of slowing down, sometimes halting an epidemic?

Posted by: A User | Apr 23 2020 6:27 utc | 275

The reasoning in the article appears to be unbalanced.
Because of lock-down measures, as applied following wildly different implementations across the nations, the total death rate might appear to be similar to a major flu outbreak, when all weeks are added together. You can see this clearly in the total European statistics. The US death rates with the many underlying health issues (a known hidden calamity everyone knew about) might end up higher than flu in the end.
Now read this carefully. Various methods of lock-downs worked, social distancing worked. Various strategies and quality face wear will have had influence depending on the context. But there’s no evidence at all that separation of family members was needed just like there has been no evidence (on the contrary) that closing primary schools had any effect since children have not infected any adult or each other by any known measure. But the price of doing so in terms of trauma and productivity and business collapse might have been relativity high. Perhaps too high? Modelling has limitations when there are so many variables in the mix even some that have not been included yet, like long term effects.

Posted by: John Dowser | Apr 23 2020 6:32 utc | 276

Apple and Google are teaming up to force contact tracing onto our phones

How Apple and Google Are Enabling Covid-19 Contact-Tracing
The tech giants have teamed up to use a Bluetooth-based framework to keep track of the spread of infections without compromising location privacy.

I just dont trust the “without compromising location privacy”. Initially perhaps, but software changes over time and features will be added.

Posted by: Joost | Apr 23 2020 6:44 utc | 277

No one reads. No one thinks. No one is capable.
I’m done here. The unrelenting crew of idiots with their policy of just repeating the same bullshit over and over in comment after comment by the same trolls has indeed won out.
I recommend Bernhard just delete all the coronavirus articles he has posted since this started, as they are doing nothing but importing the most useless irrational trolls I’ve ever seen here at MoA, despite the several years I’ve been coming here. If he goes back to discussing Syria, Iran, or other foreign policy issues primarily, I shall return, at least to read his posts.
There’s only so much idiocy I can take in one day, and fairleft and the rest of her scumbag cronies have exceeded that limit.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 6:47 utc | 278

Richard Steven Hack at 282, please re-read Deltaeus’ comment:

Covid19 has made people fearful, perhaps including commenters here. When we are fearful, we are less tolerant of uncertainty and disagreement, more likely to be dogmatic.
When this crisis passes, I hope to see a return to respectful disagreement focusing on bringing forward missing facts to enlighten the conversation, and abhorrence for ad hominem attacks.
It is a sad observation that these days so many people regard anyone who disagrees with them as mentally defective and morally contemptible.
It is so much healthier to be curious: how did you come to that position? why would you believe that? do you have facts of which I am unaware?

Posted by: Deltaeus | Apr 22 2020 20:52 utc | 98

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 6:57 utc | 279

There is nothing wrong with ” authoritarian ” as long as it is beneficial to the people.

Posted by: chan pooi hoong | Apr 23 2020 7:03 utc | 280

Without reference to the merits of your views versus Off-guardian I would advise caution in propping up any argument on the basis of ONS statistics unless you have very clear knowledge of how such data is compiled. It combines CSO with OPCS and therefore accesses Death Registration data.
You should know how UK death registration occurs. In hospital it is Part 1 that is filled in by a Doctor usually a Junior. The Part 2 must be completed by a completely different doctor if cremation is proposed – that takes time since that doctor must be completely separate from the first in all respects. The second doctor gets a fee “ash cash” to sign off on the entries by Doctor 1.
Death Certificates read upwards with ailments contributing to death in rising order of significance until the top item states proximate cause with others as contributory. Since UK Hospitals have for many years been obliged to publish mortality statistics by hospital and rankings they may well be included to book “Exceptional Items” currently by logging everything as Covid-19. The Medical Defence Union , the malpractice insurer is asking government to indemnify doctors for all Covid-19 cases in a blanket immunity.
There are highly political factors at work. There is a vested interest in Whitehall in having as many deaths booked to Covid-19 as possible to justify extreme measures and extreme spending. It is an essential fig-leaf for very naked politicians.
Typically around public holidays nursing homes used ri decant their elderly into NHS hospitals because relatives did not want to take them and it was easier to have them die in hospital. The effect was “bed-blocking” by 80 year olds which has also been a problem as local government lacked funds for social care so left them with NHS. Now we have the absurd situation of Governments in Europe funding bed-blocking by >80 and >90 year olds directly and re-purposing hospitals. So the death statistics are questionable as a policy guide.
Further, when filing a death in UK there is a window of 5 days to register a death and 8 in Scotland. To do this you need the Death Certificate which is delayed by needing 2 doctors to sign off, often in remote locations. Then you need a Disposal Certificate from an undertaker to permit removal of the body and disposal. That Dione it is registered in the local office and in time collated in London electronically.
So the deaths reported on any one day may be spread over 6 weeks.
The statistical inferences from the data are invalid because they are nothing other than a running average in terms of inferences.
As for Flu in UK – MOST respiratory deaths occur around March. UK is damp and housing stock is oldest in Europe
Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 23 2020 5:36 utc | 268

Oh what a breath of fresh air! Thanks for that common sense Paul Greenwood.
So the deaths reported on any one day may be spread over 6 weeks.
I suspect that that “infamous” twitter chart with the vertical spike suddenly appearing from nothing in week 14 (and reproduced in the FT) is probably entirely due to an accumulation of delayed death registrations (only about 1 third of them covid-19), that were forced to be published in one go due to pressure to clear backlogs of unregistered deaths before Easter holidays. When idiot published the vertical spike chart on twitter, the government liked the effect it had on raising panic, and decided to fit the statistical narrative around it.
It is absolutely certain that the ONS had specific information about the patterns of delays of death registrations leading up to week 14, which would have made a critical difference to understand the real data. Why didn’t they publish that information (especially differences in delayed registrations registered in week 14 compared to earlier, and why they were delayed)? That is a conspicuous absence from the lengthy analysis they published on 16th April. It seems reasonable to suspect they were likely exploiting registration delay anomalies in order to nurture the false interpretations of the data desired by the government.

Posted by: BM | Apr 23 2020 7:07 utc | 281

For those who plan to post the Stanford study on the “hidden” cases in Santa Clara, the authors study has been discredited. See this youtube video on flaws in the study: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8Pv77R3g1E

Posted by: krollchem | Apr 23 2020 7:17 utc | 282

Don’t let the door hit you on your very welcome way out…

No one reads. No one thinks. No one is capable.
I’m done here. The unrelenting crew of idiots with their policy of just repeating the same bullshit over and over in comment after comment by the same trolls has indeed won out.
I recommend Bernhard just delete all the coronavirus articles he has posted since this started, as they are doing nothing but importing the most useless irrational trolls I’ve ever seen here at MoA, despite the several years I’ve been coming here. If he goes back to discussing Syria, Iran, or other foreign policy issues primarily, I shall return, at least to read his posts.
There’s only so much idiocy I can take in one day, and fairleft and the rest of her scumbag cronies have exceeded that limit.
Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 6:47 utc | 282

Posted by: Avid Lurker | Apr 23 2020 7:25 utc | 283

re Richard Steven Hack | Apr 23 2020 5:32 utc | 266 who said
“You get these “passive-aggressive” types who come in, sound oh so nice and reasonable – no insults (overt), no swear words – and they sound like they just have a reasonable disagreement about things.
So you engage them.
And then they: 1) Ignore every opposing fact you’ve referred to; 2) reiterate the same points over and over as if no one has said anything in opposition; 3) ask “why are you holding such an unreasonable position?”; 4) dismiss all criticisms of the references they rely on without actually engaging those criticism a iota; and 5) finally, they actually tell you that you are in agreement with *them*!”

This isn’t new, I noticed it first in the old usenet days & it is why I refuse to engage with corporations via email. I will use text based ‘chat’ in a pinch but the sad fact is that the real reason every capitalist organisation of more that 10 staff got rid of telephone service to use email plus if they are more than 100 or so in the organisation robo-voicemail with as a lottery prize the occasional opportunity to engage with some impoverished unfortunate in Timbuktu on a ‘service’ desk, is precisely because this communication mode allows avoidance of any issue deemed to be inconvenient.
If you are an entitled frustrated customer you can take it all out someone far more abused by said corporation than you – sadly this satisfies too many of us.
As for here at MoA the only effective response is to keep stating your point of view as often as you feel necessary while never engaging with the murders of fuckwits who inhabit every website in the world & who are the #1 reason why so few blogs currently strive to avoid censoring morons.
b does a good job here but that doesn’t mean he should have to allow posts which misrepresent issues to a point the gullible/naive could be endangered by a post.
The trolls delight in getting a rise, however rather than withdrawing completely which those tossers tend to regard as a ‘win’ it is better to ignore them completely. That really annoys the arsehats at the same time as it earns the silent appreciation of most MoA users who should not be judged by their failure to endorse your POV, as in most cases, they are merely trying to avoid being dragged down by the same morons.
We all slip up and allow ourselves to get dragged in the tossage – even b when he posted this thread. IMO

Posted by: A User | Apr 23 2020 7:27 utc | 284

We’ve accepted politicians’ orders with zero scientific studies, using test subjects, to back up those edicts. We have just been following orders. Not all of us have, though. My family needs sunshine for Vitamin D and human contact. To sacrifice our children in this mess is especially cruel, but my children’s lives have been put on hold and they are missing out on things they will never get back, all because of politicians’ unscientific orders. This dud of a pandemic will be blamed for everything. Putting families under house arrest, and closing down businesses, is bizarre and unhealthy. Unfortunately, MoA cannot see through the illusion, or chooses not to. I can’t help but wonder why.

Posted by: trishwriter | Apr 23 2020 7:36 utc | 285

There is a lot of poorly devised research projects on COVID-19 that wastes precious time. One of these is testing the efficacy of Hydroxychloroquine as a means to suppress the virus.
This chlorinated organic, only serves to lower the cell pH and transport zinc into the cell to block the viral replicase during early stages in the infection. Unfortunately, US studies only use it in late stages of the dis-ease and fail to incorporate zinc in the treatment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=481&v=dLSYRqcg0wo&feature=emb_logo
Besides taking zinc+copper at a 15:1 ratio (30 mg zinc) and quercetin at a dose of 1-2 grams a day works as well to suppress the viral infection in the early stages without the toxicity issues.
Once infected, a treatment with IV vitamin C plus a arthritis medication saved the life of a Seattle doctor who came down with the virus. Turns out that once the virus gets into the bloodstream the vitamin C levels drop to zero.

Posted by: krollchem | Apr 23 2020 7:38 utc | 286

There is a lot of poorly devised research projects on COVID-19 that wastes precious time. One of these is testing the efficacy of Hydroxychloroquine as a means to suppress the virus.
This chlorinated organic, only serves to lower the cell pH and transport zinc into the cell to block the viral replicase during early stages in the infection. Unfortunately, US studies only use it in late stages of the dis-ease and fail to incorporate zinc in the treatment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=481&v=dLSYRqcg0wo&feature=emb_logo
Besides taking zinc+copper at a 15:1 ratio (30 mg zinc) and quercetin at a dose of 1-2 grams a day works as well to suppress the viral infection in the early stages without the toxicity issues.
Once infected, a treatment with IV vitamin C plus a arthritis medication saved the life of a Seattle doctor who came down with the virus. Turns out that once the virus gets into the bloodstream the vitamin C levels drop to zero.
Posted by: krollchem | Apr 23 2020 7:38 utc | 290

Shionoiri et al.: All ACE inhibitors bind to zinc ions located in the active site of the ACE molecule. ACE2 is a zinc metalloenzyme and carboxypeptidase located as an ectoenzyme on the surface of endothelial and other cells. Reeves et al. Effects of Dietary Zinc Deprivation on the Activity of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme [ACE] in Serum of Rats and Guinea Pigs.
Effects of Dietary Zinc Deprivation on the Activity of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme in Serum of Rats and Guinea Pigs
Supplemental zinc (total, 24 microM) increased both Vmax and Km. EDTA inhibited the enzyme activity, and the inhibition was totally reversible by zinc. Copper at 30 microM had no effect on ACE activity. The results of this study show that ACE activity in serum of rats and guinea pigs is highly sensitive to the dietary intake of zinc and suggest that metabolism of the vasoactive hormones, angiotensin II and bradykinin, might be affected in vivo.

Posted by: Avid Lurker | Apr 23 2020 7:54 utc | 287

Shane #264
I fully support your view regarding locking up people on the basis of the USELESS RT-PCR TESTS.

These tests are unreliable at doing just about anything. They will give positive results in the presence of quite a range of different viruses. The advice of the CDC, WHO and even the manufacturer of the test kits, is that they are completely inadequate at making diagnosis.
Honestly, I’m baffled as to why they are used to test for anything, ever. Any so-called ‘test’ that cannot detect the presence of a specific virus is redundant. It’s certainly an outrage that any (all?) positive results to the test are being counted as ‘confirmed cases’ of Covid19, when it could just as easily be the clap!

It is imperative to use a reliable test once and then a second confirmation later before shutting people up anywhere or separating families. Certainly you do not gather all the suspected +ves into one place where there is an overwhelming abundance of virus in the air on the basis of a dud test kit. That is deliberately placing people in harms way. Masks and good sanitary practice at home seems infinitely better to me and if the risk/fear zone at home is intolerable then a safe single occupancy environment is the next best thing.
Trusting the state to make a wise decision in this atmosphere is trust misplaced in most nations I know of. But if mandatory separation and economic shutdown is proposed then it should be accompanied with mandatory taxation on the wealthy to pay for the social cost.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 23 2020 7:56 utc | 288

Chloroquine Is a Zinc Ionophore

Posted by: Avid Lurker | Apr 23 2020 8:15 utc | 289

Human Lab Rats: The U.S. Government’s Secret History of Grisly Experiments
John Whitehead spells out the utter depravity of the deep state and its disregard for Americans going back decades:

“For instance, did you know that the U.S. government has been buying hundreds of dogs and cats from “Asian meat markets” as part of a gruesome experiment into food-borne illnesses?
The cannibalistic experiments involve killing cats and dogs purchased from Colombia, Brazil, Vietnam, China and Ethiopia, and then feeding the dead remains to laboratory kittens, bred in government laboratories for the express purpose of being infected with a disease and then killed.
It gets more gruesome.
The Department of Veterans Affairs has been removing parts of dogs’ brains to see how it affects their breathing; applying electrodes to dogs’ spinal cords (before and after severing them) to see how it impacts their cough reflexes; and implanting pacemakers in dogs’ hearts and then inducing them to have heart attacks (before draining their blood). All of the laboratory dogs are killed during the course of these experiments.
It’s not just animals that are being treated like lab rats by government agencies.
“We the people” have also become the police state’s guinea pigs: to be caged, branded, experimented upon without our knowledge or consent, and then conveniently discarded and left to suffer from the after-effects.
Back in 2017, FEMA “inadvertently” exposed nearly 10,000 firefighters, paramedics and other responders to a deadly form of ricin during simulated bioterrorism response sessions. In 2015, it was discovered that an Army lab had been “mistakenly” shipping deadly anthrax to labs and defense contractors for a decade.”

The Bill Gates plague has been inflicted on the entire planet. Allowing ourselves to be “locked down” like prisoners is not the correct response.

Posted by: Ship Track | Apr 23 2020 8:22 utc | 290

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=74&v=meLGD-tX6Jo
NYTimes Doug Mills caught on a hot mike.
“You can take off that mask, everyone here has been vaccinated anyway”

Posted by: Ship Track | Apr 23 2020 8:28 utc | 291

krollchem | Apr 23 2020 7:17 utc | 286
Again with the ridiculously exaggerated language. The Stanford study on Santa Clara County was not “discredited.” Some economist from peakprosperity.com made a LONG-winded youtube video about possible inaccuracies in a report that entirely admits all those possible inaccuracies. But I admit only going through half of the 40+ minute video. Written communication is much more efficient.
Immediately after Santa Clara County there was a similar scientific random study of Los Angeles County with very similar results. Similar results in NYC random study of pregnant women, Iceland, small town in Germany.

Posted by: fairleft | Apr 23 2020 8:59 utc | 292

Facts: Trump has been twitting endlessly about “fake news” since his election. The major news outlets have been lying about most everything ever since JFK’s assassination.
Conclusion: When determining if any information is true or false first consider the source. Is the source reliable? Does the source have a history of being false? Second do your own research.
Given that, I personally do not trust any of the information that has been put forth by the CDC, WHO etc (known to be compromised by money). My drive past our local hospital showed an empty parking lot and zero wait time for ER. Hmmm…that is an observable fact.
Here is another fact: The lady in line behind me at the store said her husband is a nurse at a hospital and they are giving him time off because things are so slow.
Conclusion based on observable facts: This is all a bunch of nonsense. The major news outlets are doing today what they do every day. Lie, lie, lie.
Question: Why does Trump believe them TODAY when all along he has touted them as (what they are) liars?
PS do yourself a favor and do some real research by real scientistsdoctors about viruses. Please educate yourselves and you will find out that a “virus” is not a living thing!!!!! Also educate yourselves about the 5G rollout in Wuhan.

Posted by: ceaclearly | Apr 23 2020 9:18 utc | 293

Some think house confinement during a pandemic is authoritarian? You want an example of real fascism???
What kind of people do this to children during a pandemic or at any time?
child imprisonment during covid-19
And not a peep of outrage from the world. Imagine generations of children born and then traumatized with this kind of brute force under this scourge?
Zionism is the real disease humanity is overlooking.

Posted by: Circe | Apr 23 2020 9:40 utc | 294

Wow, Canada is doing pretty good, numbers wise, vs. the US but we aren’t overrun with imbeciles. Reading the covidiot comments here I can definitely see why. Seems that every one of them has latched onto a single piece of a puzzle and they’re using it to deny what’s happening all over country, like a person who’s too stupid to look out the window to check the weather.
Tell ya what, deniers. You guys have about 70 years of total $#%& karma stored up. I’ve decided that I agree with you. End all quarantines, lock-downs, distancing measures, relief measures, and just go out there and do what you want. It probably won’t involve a living wage, but like I said, your karma is in the toilet.
You also have to remain within your own national borders. K? Thx.
Remember, covidiot: If you cough up bloody goo, it’s not real. Just a panic response, so get back to work you lazy snowflake.

Posted by: Zengine3 | Apr 23 2020 9:42 utc | 295

I unfollowed OffGuardian on Twitter. Their hysterical, anti-science approach to COVID-19 made me question their ability to approach any issue in a logical and critical manner.

Posted by: Napier | Apr 23 2020 9:47 utc | 296

Lots of new police statist pro-lockdown trolls in this thread, spewing venom and performing Orwellian inversions turning the English language on its head. I wonder who sent them.

Posted by: Russ | Apr 23 2020 9:55 utc | 297

“The death per infection rate in Germany is currently estimated to be 0.53% (via Christian Drosten)”. Where is the source for that? You just link to that hack’s Wikipedia page.

Posted by: John | Apr 23 2020 9:57 utc | 298

I’m neither qualified or have the appropriate data to argue in favor or against a lockdown in this case. I think the only thing we really can do is look back in 1/2 years time to see which countries have done better. I wonder if there’ll be a difference between those who have locked down and those who have not.
It is intersting to look at the euroMOMO data to compare the mortality rate for this year to previous years for the EU countries.
https://www.euromomo.eu/
The worst infected countries are all showing increased mortality relative to recent years. Interestingly, Sweden is one of those. That would suggest that the argument that Sweden is somehow doing better than the UK is a moot point. Time will tell ultimately.
Here in Ireland, our Chief Medical Officer has said we don’t have any excess mortality relative to previous years yet. The euroMOMO graphs agree with his statement. It makes sense given our official death toll from Covid-19 is 769 at the time of writing. I’m sure multiples of that figure have died already since the start of the year from other causes. The natural argument there is that the death toll would be much higher without our lock down, but again time will tell there.
Stay safe everyone. Irrespective of what the actual Infection Fatality Rate (It will of course end up much lower) ends up being, I would rather not catch it or have any of my loved ones catch it either.

Posted by: Mark | Apr 23 2020 9:59 utc | 299

I’m not going to waste everybody’s time with a point-by-point refutation of b’s post. Just let me make one observation: if this were a real plague killing crazy numbers of people, would we still be arguing about how deadly it is a month on?
That right there tells you that something’s wrong with the official narrative.

Posted by: Seamus Padraig | Apr 23 2020 10:00 utc | 300