Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 5, 2020
Syria – Another Ceasefire In Idleb – Erdogan Loses On All Points

Our last post on Syria concluded:

Erdogan wants Idleb but neither Syria nor Iran nor Russia will let him have it. President Putin will meet Erdogan during the coming days and will make sure that the point is understood.

President Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey and President Vladimir Putin of Russia met today in Moscow. They had a 160 minute long talk under 4 eyes and another round with their relevant staff. The parties agreed on a new ceasefire in Idleb governorate.

Idleb governorate Mar 5 2020

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The so far published agreed points are:

1- Cease all military actions along the line of contact in the Idlib de-escalation area starting 00:01 on March 6, 2020

2- A security corridor will be established 6 km deep to the north and the south from highway M4, Specific parameters of the functioning of the security corridor will be agreed between the Defense Ministries of the Turkish Republic and the Russian Federation within 7 days.

3- On March 15, 2020 joint Turkish-Russian patrolling will begin along highway M4 from the settlement oo Trumba (2 km to the west of Saraqib) to the settlement of Ain-Al-Hayr.

Here are part one and two of the memo.

(I believe that Ain-Al-Hayr is also transliterated as Ain al Hawr which is on the very western end of the M4 segment that is still under Jihadi control).

The aim of the current Syrian army operation is thereby largely fulfilled. The M4 and the M5 highways will be free of Jihadis and open to traffic.

This ceasefire is unlikely to hold over a longer period. But it brings a useful pause for the Syrian army that will allow it to recover a bit and to take care of its men and equipment.

This for now also ends the Turkish threat to attack the Syrian army and to reconquer all areas it had liberated over the last months.

Erdogan, who had made many demands, saw none of them fulfilled. The agreement will cost him political points within his party.

Added:


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@Hevallo @Hevallo – 18:08 UTC · Mar 5, 2020

Best thing for me from the Moscow meeting between Erdogan and Putin was the subservient stature of the Turkish delegation in front of Putin and standing under the statue of Catherine the Great who defeated the Turks several times during the XVIII century.

Comments

Putin is indeed graceful in victory. Real statesmanship.
Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 0:42 utc | 66
Grace can be shown also in details, how you treat the guests. Decoration of the room where Putin talked with Erdoğan was tasteful, white walls and flowers (AK means white? colors should please the guests), a mirror, two bronze statues providing harmonious accent. On the left, Katherine the Great who annexed all lands of Crimean Khanate, the peninsula and all northern shores of the Black Sea (and all shores of Azov Sea), decreasing the Ottoman sway. On the right, Russian soldiers liberating Bulgaria from Turks. Stressing long history of mutual relations.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 6 2020 15:45 utc | 101

Those who think this agreement might be a concession to Turkey or something like that are severely underestimating the significance of Turkey agreeing to joint patrols. This neuters the Turks’ ability to support the jihadis while pretending to be in Syria to maintain rule of law. As pointed out above by Walter, this is a surrender agreement disguised to look like a win for the Turks to help stabilize that country to Syria’s north.
Why stabilize Syria’s enemy? It would be understandable for Americans to think this is crazy since destabilizing countries they view as adversaries is always the very first thing that America tries to do, but that is just because America doesn’t border many countries. As crazy as Americans may think it is, having peaceful and prosperous neighbors is a good thing for a country.
Think about how this is going to work out: The SAA attacks a jihadi nest. The Turks start shrieking “They are barrel bombing civilians! The last school/hospital/puppy shelter in all of Idlib again! We need to bomb the SAA!” to which the Russians then say “Hmm… maybe. How about we send our joint patrol over to intervene on behalf of any civilians we find there?”. Turks be like: [sotto voce]“Crap! We can’t help our attack dogs with the Russians watching!”

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 6 2020 15:47 utc | 102

@ Posted by: Trailer Trash | Mar 6 2020 15:38 utc | 100
The route from Syria to Russia is much longer and more dangerous than a route to Bulgaria/Hungary/Greece. Besides, Angela Merkel herself invited the Syrian refugees to Germany right after the ISIS invasion begun, so it’s unlikely they ever thought about going to Russia.
Another geographical factor is the destruction of Libya. Refugees from there go by boat to Italy, which is the nearest country. This route already was used by Libyan illegal immigrants before, so the know-how already existed.
There’s also the propaganda factor. You people from the First World countries don’t have the idea about how your propaganda is efficient. Here in my country, for example, people abandon their white-collar careers (lawyers, accountants and even doctors) to try to immigrate to the USA in order to live working as taxi drivers, nannies etc. The First World is seen as some kind of Deus ex machina here in the Third World: people really believe that, once they set foot there, their problems will be solved. That’s why even people who, theoretically didn’t need to emigrate, still do so: they think they can be even better.
After the collapse of Ukraine, some higher estimates put the number of refugees to Russia at about 1 million. I don’t know if these numbers are exagerated or not, but we know their destiny: they received full Russian citizenship, in a move that enjoyed high popular support. The thing is Eastern Ukrainians are Russians that happened to be at the wrong side of the border when the USSR suddenly (literally overnight) dissolved.

Posted by: vk | Mar 6 2020 16:24 utc | 103

I suspect Erdogan’s main goals at this time are killing as many jihadists as possible so they don’t return to Turkey and stopping existence of a Kurd state.

Posted by: Alaric | Mar 6 2020 16:48 utc | 104

From What exactly is Captagon and is it still available? No doubt the “Captagon” used by the Islamic Forces (ISIS or ISIL) and other extremist groups to enhance their soldiers abilities today is far removed from the Captagon of the eighties. Instead of just two main ingredients, illegal manufacturing likely combines several highly addictive stimulants with compounding actions into one destructive little pill. This “new age” Captagon, as with any highly addictive substance, is likely to cause irreversible changes in brain circuitry that govern impulse control and judgement, taking away a person’s ability to reason or think rationally.
For treatment, one of the specialists is Their treatment center is in Thailand. You may want to avoid this country for your next tourist trip.

Posted by: Geneva Observer | Mar 6 2020 16:48 utc | 105

@ 78 montreal quote “I have the possibly mistaken impression that there are people on this site who are rooting for a massacre of the terrorists”
i think that impression is accurate with regard to me… i can’t see how these terrorists can be integrated back into any society… how do you see it? you are correct in that turkey has been given the task of having to deal with all their fairweather friends actions, but they include turkeys actions in all of this too.. the problem for turkey is syria is a direct neighbour of theirs… until they find a way to make peace with syria – and it doesn’t look like erdogan is willing or capable of this, then i suspect turkey will be having difficulty moving forward with the idea of peace in syria.. they can say they are protecting the people and etc. etc., but as @89 b wildered notes – that is just cover for the ongoing supply of the last terrorist stronghold in syria – idlib… lets be clear.. turkey under erdogan needs to be seen for the shifty person he is..
@89 B. Wildered.. i think most here see what you articulate which is why we have regularly accused erdogan of supporting the ”moderate headchoppers”… it is hard to see it any other way.. @ 78 montreal makes a good point, taken from uncle t’s comments – turkey is not the only one who threw fuel on a fire here, but they are the country most directly affected by it, being the neighbour of syria… they have to find a way to get back to a peaceful existence with their neighbour.. land grab won’t do it.. giving weapons to the fsa band of headchoppers won’t do it… honourable actions will.. we have seen little of this from turkey…

Posted by: james | Mar 6 2020 16:53 utc | 106

Reads like a level headed sane person speaking.
https://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/12/opinion/putin-plea-for-caution-from-russia-on-syria.html

Posted by: librul | Mar 6 2020 17:05 utc | 107

@Piotr Berman | 101
Absolutely.
It is fundementally a show of strength, though not everyone understands as such.
Also, giving Assad the media space rather than Russia using it to counter Turkey’s propaganda was brilliant, again (it’s not the first time), and shows a very different approach between the two leaders and their public.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 17:08 utc | 108

Have the Russians ever said anything at all about the refugees, at any time since 2011? No one ever talks about refugees going to Russia. Do the Russians refuse to let them in, claiming they are all potential headchoppers?
Posted by: Trailer Trash | Mar 6 2020 15:38 utc | 100
If refugees get to Turkey, the route to Russia is relatively short: enter Georgia and get through Caucasus.
This route was used historically, and recently by supporters of Caucasus Emirate (extermists in Chechnya, Dagestan etc.), so it is probably watched, and Russia has extensive files from Syria to evaluate people who would cross.
It also seems that that the route is hard for families with children:
Count Argutinsky crossing the Caucasian range (to clobber Chechen rebels in 1860s).

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 6 2020 17:13 utc | 109

Piotr Berman
Putin is indeed graceful in victory. Real statesmanship.
Real statmentship deals with principles. I.e protesting turkish against war of aggression against Syia, make sure SAA is strong and not attacked by states like Israel, Turkey, US.
Putin is collaborating with the foces that that have ruined Syria for a decade. This is not “real statmanship” at all.
Turkey that just past weeks murdered SAA soldiers occupied and in effect annexed Syrian territory. Russian response to this aggression? Lets work together Erdogan!
No wonder the war drags on with a “friend” to Syria like that.
Russia do indeed cultivate its OWN interest. They want to be friends with Israel, Turkey, US letting Syria, Iran take care of themselves when things get dire but you cannt benefit two sides, sooner or later you will get squeezed.

Posted by: Zanon | Mar 6 2020 17:36 utc | 110

Escobar got some proper feedback on his Erdoğan Khan theory
https://thesaker.is/putin-saves-erdogan-from-himself/
As I have frequently noted: Erdoğan dreams of being a second Yavuz Sultan Selim. His previous aping of Atatürk with his and Davutoğlu’s “zero problems with our neighbors” was done to win over Atatürk’s followers for their support at the time.

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Mar 6 2020 17:43 utc | 111

On the Outlaw US Empire’s use of Death Squads, first lets look at what drives this mindset: “‘This Is Your Brain on Capitalism’: CNBC Market Analyst Rick Santelli Calls for Infecting Global Population With Coronavirus to Help Wall Street:
“The projected death of 11 million Americans would be a fair price to pay for better long term stock growth, says a capitalist extremist.”
Another quote from the item:
“Assuming the most conservative estimates of 0.5% mortality, this is a call for the death of 37,500,000 people worldwide or 1,750,000 Americans, all in order to shore up the stock market.”
Qui Bono from such action? The .1%. Which Class drove the Ideology behind he Cold War and the world war that preceded it? The .1%. Death Squads were copies of Nazi and Japanese methods, but as noted have historical precedents. Outlaw US Empire usage began as soon as WW2 ended first by sending ex Nazi Gestapo and SS into Eastern Europe to terrorize, then Korea the tactic of using indigenous troops to do the killing under Outlaw US Empire supervision was adopted–the initial Salvador Treatment. That was then used in Guatemala and slowly expanded throughout South America and the Caribbean. We shouldn’t forget Palestine and the Zionist’s methods. Iran, Kenya, the partitioning of India followed by Vietnam/Southeast Asia. The massacres within Indonesia and Philippines. Then back again to Latin America. All for the sake of Capitalism and the .1%. So what Rick Santelli called for from his CNBC platform is normal Outlaw US Empire policy–not some aberration.
Do let that sink into your brain for a few minutes if you can. Killing Millions for Profit is seen as fucking NORMAL–altruistic even. The Picture William Gruff paints is not gory enough. The Nazis were nothing compared to the Outlaw US Empire and its numerous Foreign Legions stationed on every continent. Eradicating such vermin, exposing those policies, calling out those who enabled and abetted the killing is what Syria is actually all about. It’s quite clear too many haven’t the stomach to admit what’s been done or the utter evil of the entire process all For A Few Dollars More–The entire gamut of the Clint Eastwood Spaghetti Westerns were metaphor for all the killing for a Fistful of Dollars by the Good, Bad and the Ugly–but few were willing or able of opening their eyes to the carnage. Yes, and all the Colonial/Capitalist nations did similar things to ensure their return on capital invested ranged in the Exceptional Profit realm, making certain no Nationalistic forces would get in the way to upset the cashflow.
Remember, Orcs are mere slaves at the service of the Genuine Evil–an orgy of Greed at the behest of an Ideology more ancient than Capitalism stretching back 4,000 years. The never-ending, deadly serious Class War between Creditors and everyone else, with the sabotage of Sanders being yet another small chapter in the ongoing saga. Only George Lucas was brave enough to call out the real evil in The Phantom Menace–the so-called Trade Federation–but even then only a few of us heard his cry.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 6 2020 17:51 utc | 112

Erdogan didn’t get his summit but he did speak to Merkel by phone just now. All I can find out is that it was agreed that the stuation needs to be examined.
Remember. The figure of 140k is rubbish. A far more reasonable estimate places the number at 12k.
Given that so many of these are not Syrian I would suggeat that the Syrian contingent is easily less than 10k.
So, my thinkong is that Merkel might well apply the current agreement which means the EU accepts Syrian (checked and verified!) refugees but returns all others. If she does, there will be far less than 10k being absorbed into the EU and probably an end to such attempts again as Greece ia now building a wall!

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 17:57 utc | 113

Apparently, there has already been an attack by some of Erdoğan’s boys on the SAA. We’ll see what happens when the SAA strikes back. That was quick.
https://southfront.org/turkish-backed-militants-attack-syrian-troops-russian-reporters-with-armed-drones-photos/

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Mar 6 2020 18:04 utc | 114

James @ 106
It was hard enough to know what was going on in the Vietnam war, despite hordes of journalists crawling over the place. In Idlib on-the-spot journalism seems entirely absent so guesswork is often the order of the day. Who are these takfiris? By using descriptions such as takfiris, headchoppers, cannibals etc people are in effect condemning them to death in their mind, wishing them to be bombed to smithereens by ordnance dropped from 30,000 feet, by pilots who thereafter return to a comfortable bed. Be careful what you wish for. Many of the headchoppers, moderate or otherwise, may be displaced peasants who have had guns put in their hands by the real villains, in exchange for the necessities of life. I am surprised and concerned by the righteous anger in some of the posts, especially those from normally peace-loving folk!

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 6 2020 18:13 utc | 115

Strategic Culture Editorial echoes what I wrote above @112:
“The guilty parties to Syria’s suffering and misery have the rank audacity to profess seeming compassion.
“As Russia points out, US ‘aid’ is a cover for supporting anti-government groups in Syria. Both Turkey and the US are exploiting conflict and human suffering for political ends. While the Europeans completely misdirect their ostensible concern, by blaming the victim – Syria – instead of condemning the aggressors, with whom they are complicit.”
Yes, IMO the writer’s too tactful, although the dots are connected between the killers and their sponsors. I appreciate Russia and China’s efforts to keep the moral high ground, but until the Creditor’s Death Squads and the Creditors themselves are completely liquidated and the 4,000+ yearlong Class War’s ended, they will continue to face the onslaught of the Outlaw US Empire’s and its allies Death Squads and all other tactics employed to bring them to kneel.
Yes, it’s an Existential War, the ultimate enemy being the Power at the service of Greed.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 6 2020 18:14 utc | 116

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 6 2020 18:13 utc | 115
I am reminded of an old saying (I am paraphrasing):
“Don’t just go after the person who fired the bullet, but go after the person who bought the bullet.”

Posted by: naiverealist | Mar 6 2020 18:45 utc | 117

Seems I’ve seen this Pepe Escobar article title before: “Putin saves Erdogan from himself.” At the end of Pepe’s recap, he suggests and links to this essay by Turk historian Dr. Can Erimtan, whose article is filled with additional links to further information. Pepe got confirmation about the main point in his previous essay myself and others linked to:
“Their argument, essentially, is that Erdogan is an internationalist, but in Islamic terms only. Since 2000 he has managed to create a climate of denying ancient Turkish nationalist motives. He does use Turkishness, but as one analyst stresses, ‘he has nothing to do with ancient Turks. He’s an Ikhwani. He doesn’t care about Kurds either, as long as they are his “good Islamists.”‘”
Pepe also tells us of the internal Turkish political strife, which as many noted has its own affect on Erdogan’s choices. As I wrote yesterday, the ceasefire lasted all of a few seconds before it was denounced by NATO’s terrorists; so, combat against them will continue. After all, how else is the M-4 going to be cleared so joint patrols can operate?

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 6 2020 19:01 utc | 118

Montreal@115
The crimes committed on the battlefield are as nothing compared to the enormities perpetrated by those, such as Freeland, Thatcher and Hillary Clinton, to take the smallest of samples, who wouldn’t know one end of a gun from another.
No Syrian soldier, in Idlib, however hyped up, is likely to feel half as bloodthirsty, callous and cruel as the keyboard camp followers who watch the killing, chortling, with mouths full of popcorn.
The exceptions, perhaps being those snipers, aiming at children with telescopic lenses, taking cover between the deckchairs rented out to the fans of genocide whose delight it is to watch ‘Arabs’ being massacred.

Posted by: bevin | Mar 6 2020 19:03 utc | 119

re: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 0:42 utc @ 66
I read your comment and have been trying to avoid a long dissertation.
You seem to be knowledgeable and give constructive thoughts here @MoA.
So, take a look at this:
http://thesaker.is/erdogan-loses-the-battle-but-the-war-is-far-from-over/
I believe both the story & comments can give quite a few ‘ah-ha moments’ for You and other readers here.
I’m not at all an expert on current local politics in Turkey.
However, I’m well versed in MIT-CIA connection. The pre-MIT turkish poppy field’s proprietors and the Wall St creation-CIA connections go back a long time. You’ve heard about the *Sassons*-family haven’t You?
It’s rumored Gülen in Saylorsburg, Pennsylvania is sitting on $50 Billion. Where did he get all of that?
You do know it’s the intelligence agencies that control the international narcotics trade.
Anyway, all modern coup d’etats involve intelligence agencies & hovjuden banksters along with their domestic operating arms such as the Cosa Nostra & Kosher Nostra. They in-turn usually use some corrupt politician along with the military always being the most visible organizers.
And, I agree with the Saker and have thought so the whole time that, the RF Military bombed intentionally the turk convey last week. Russian Intel knew at least 1 day in advance all of those turk soldiers were going to travel that road.
But the narrative has been ‘obfuscated’ to get this recent temporary ceasefire.
Why do I say this?
Damn, most people have the memory of a goldfish…
Remember the *IL-20 Russian Recon Plane Shotdown* in Sept 2018?
https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article/russia-officially-blames-israel-for-downing-of-il-20-plane-off-syrian-coast/
Well, there was a french submarine missile launch and at least 1 S300-missile landed in Cyprus.
But those *facts* disappeared within 24 hours from the ‘official story’.
Also Brittish jets, and american recon planes also politely disappeared from what was reported.
Hhmmm?
Hope that helped.
Took alot of time in fact.
Regards X-

Posted by: Veritas X- | Mar 6 2020 19:06 utc | 120

@ 116 montreal… i am glad we are continuing this conversation and getting different perspectives.. i share @karlof1’s view that it is the 1% driving this for greed.. so in that sense, you’re right – these are probably poor people who have very little choice in the so called choices they make.. they go for the money.. however.. killing people for money, or religious ideology still doesn’t fly with me.. there is no excuse for going to another country and making war on that country whether it be a state doing it directly, or a group of mercenaries doing it for the money.. as i asked you in my post – what would you do here in this situation? thanks..

Posted by: james | Mar 6 2020 19:17 utc | 121

Montreal @115
Virtually everyone here agrees with your statements. In a microcosmic examination of any situation, there are individual narratives that can be publicized/politicized to distract from a legitimate perspective of the macro situation. Thus, in Idlib there were innocents adversely affected, no less than there were innocents adversely affected when Lincoln’s soldiery took the devastating March through Georgia to help end the American Civil War, or when the Red Army marched west to put an end to Hitler. The commenters here are generally enthusiastically supporting the SAA not because of bloodthirstiness, but because of the macro situation, in which Idlib was not controlled by forces conducive to peace, growth, order and the acceptance of diverse religious beliefs.

Posted by: zakukommander | Mar 6 2020 19:19 utc | 122

from rt – US opposition reportedly blocked the UN Security Council from backing the agreement between Russia and Turkey for a ceasefire in Syria’s Idlib province. US diplomats earlier sought to back Turkey’s incursion in the area.

Posted by: james | Mar 6 2020 19:23 utc | 123

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 17:57 utc | @114
nonsense. the 13000 are just the battering ram. once the doors are open again, millions will follow. but you know that.

Posted by: grit | Mar 6 2020 19:32 utc | 124

Montreal @115
You are correct that even greater evil lies elsewhere than the terrorist infested parts of Syria’s Idlib province… as in boardrooms and corner offices in North America. karlof1 effectively highlights the scope and historical scale of this villainy; nevertheless, you insist upon shying away from the reality of what these orcs that serve the empire are.
I find it fascinating how so many neoliberals in North America and western Europe will be horrified and gravely offended about some imaginary homophobic “microaggression” presumably uttered by some simple Appalachian white working class guy, calling for him to be censured, castigated, fired, pilloried, but will insist that subhuman cretins doing the vilest of possible deeds for the westerners’ empire who throw a homosexual to his death from the roof of a building in a carnival-like atmosphere are just “misunderstood”.
A cynical person might say that people like Montreal @115 offer their defense of these monsters because deep down they understand that they themselves are the greater evil that piled this tragedy onto Syria.
Yes, the citizens of empire who gave their consent to this “regime change” nightmare are certainly the greater evil, regardless of their vocal attestations to their own exceptional superiority and humanity. Unfortunately, the tools they use to achieve the empire’s ambitions in Syria are still monsters, even if they were formerly human. Worse yet, these beasts are so internally ruined that leaving them alive is cruelty, like leaving a rabid dog to suffer until the disease takes its life.
Keeping with the rabid dog theme, Russia and Syria are fulfilling the role of Atticus Finch, with all the same reluctance. Westerners who shriek for “regime change”? They are the rabies personified.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 6 2020 19:36 utc | 125

James @ 122
What indeed? Having just complained about the lack of direct news from Idlib I have just watched on UK Channel 4 News the first of several broadcasts from near the Turkish border. Heart-breaking as you can imagine. My view is that the US and UK in particular work for chaos and destruction in the GME (except in Israel). Their aim – to protect Israel by divide and rule of its neighbours – originally had control of ME oil as its rationale. Now the US is no longer dependant on the ME for oil the policy just marches on regardless, rather like “saving the holy places” during the crusades.
So any steps that promote stability – “beating swords into ploughshares” are admirable and should be supported.

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 6 2020 19:47 utc | 126

@ Veritas-X (121)
You rightly highlight the dependency of spooks and their agencies upon drug money. Western banks are now so addicted (!) to the liquidity provided by laundered drug money that they can’t manage without it. This gives enormous power to the gangsters running the cartels and, so, the CIA, Pentagon, etc., had to muscle in to get a slice of the action. And they have the “Law” (the Prohibition) behind them to justify taking on their competitors.
But with the laundered cash comes the ethics – psychopathic callousness. One only has to read Neil Woods’ (front-line narcotics cop for 20 years) account [“Drug Wars”, Penguin, 2019] of what’s happened to the British police to realize what’s happening to the security services of nation-states. Eventually their power (“for security, y’know”) takes over governments.
In a 1994 letter to the Lancet, a medical newspaper, a Colombian judge said “it’s five minutes to midnight in the world’s battle against organized crime”. A Dr Newcombe warned: “it’s not five minutes to midnight; it’s five minutes past.” It seems Dr Newcombe was right.

Posted by: John Marks | Mar 6 2020 19:48 utc | 127

@ 127 montreal… one wonders how many times the western msm can show pictures of refugees trying to escape to a better place, verses ever telling their viewers of the fact that these regime change games are the direct cause of the humanitarian issues that constantly highlight… fortunately many intelligent people are seeing it as a really cheap propaganda campaign foisted on the west to avoid the responsibility of the west owning up to it’s direct role in creating it..
how many are from syria, verses afganistan, africa – libya and etc. etc.?? i am sure they don’t say.. no.. keep on flashing pictures of humanitarian crisis while negating to mention the root cause of it – usa/uk and etc – as you note…
it gets tiring.. back to my question – what would you do with the terrorists, or moderate headchoppers here? thanks..

Posted by: james | Mar 6 2020 20:11 utc | 128

The strategy of “more killing today so there will be less killing tomorrow” has a very poor track record. I recall that The Great War was promoted as “The War To End All Wars”. A hundred years later and the world is still reeling from that orgy of death. Maybe it’s time to try a strategy of less killing. That seems to be the direction the Russians are headed in, and I applaud it.
Certainly there are people too dangerous to be on the loose. But that doesn’t imply it is necessary to impose as much punishment, suffering, and dehumanization as possible, which is the way typical prisons are organized.

Posted by: Trailer Trash | Mar 6 2020 20:21 utc | 129

The Syrian Chemical Weapons Narrative Continues to be Developed
Israel Destroyed Chemical Weapons Production Facility In Recent Strikes On Syria – Report
As I predicted @42: Now the Jihadis have 10 days to try again.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 6 2020 20:36 utc | 130

James @ 129
The short broadcast was not, surprisingly, anti Assad, although this may come. Channel 4 used to be a good independent source of news and comments until it, at about the same time as the Guardian, fell, noticeably under NATO control – on subjects relating to NATO’s interests. The broadcast was heartbreaking because the pictures of destruction could just as easily have come from Fallujah, Raqqa or Mosul. The hope is that diplomacy, led by Russia, can improve the situation. Continued violence plays into NATO’s hands.

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 6 2020 20:39 utc | 131

Not at all impressed with “The Saker” essay linked above. The inclusion of “Erdogan is crazy and desperate” is typical US propaganda used against all adversaries since forever. “The Enemy is Irrational and Their Actions Can Not Be Understood” is a typical excuse for more bombs and more economic warfare. The essay ignores obvious US pressure being applied to Erdy that might make his actions appear rational (although still odious).
Even worse, the essay openly promotes the overthrow of Erdogan. What makes him so sure that more chaos in Turkey will somehow result in more stability on Russia’s borders? Seems to me that Turkey should pick its own leaders without interference from some joker that calls himself “The Saker”. I don’t know who this “Saker” character is, but he sure smells bad.

Posted by: Trailer Trash | Mar 6 2020 20:58 utc | 132

The m4 zone map is https://www.rt.com/news/482496-russia-turkey-idlib-deal-war/

Posted by: mike | Mar 6 2020 21:18 utc | 133

Trailer Trash @130
Well, none of this would have been a problem if the Syrian people had simply gone along with the empire’s plans for their country. The murderers and rapists that the CIA collected from all over the world could have just stayed in the homes they stole from Syrians they murdered and then we in the West wouldn’t have to trouble our Prozac-soothed consciences with what to do about them.
I have a question for folks: Anyone familiar with the levels of violence in Latin America? What is your opinion on that? Are Latin Americans (particularly Mexicans, Guatemalans, Hondurans, Peruvians, Colombians, Haitians, Venezuelans, Brazilians, etc… you know, the ones that seem to like to kill each other the most) naturally violent? Is this just the way they have always been? Part of their culture, perhaps?
I ask because I have traveled a little in Latin America and the people I’ve met there have almost all been truly wonderful. They seem much less prone to violence than what I am accustomed to seeing in the Untied States. I have a gambit that I employ in which I travel solo and play the lost and desperate foreigner (not necessarily too far from the truth). I am invariably “adopted” by charitable locals (some of whom have been really impoverished) who give me a place at their table and a place to crash for the evening, and oftentimes even make it a project to introduce me to their local culture. I’ve rarely ever been shown anything but kindness.
So where is all the violence there coming from?
You know where this is going because you know what the US has been doing to that region for many decades. The murderous gangsters in Latin America are almost all demobilized thugs previously employed by the CIA, and by other organs of the empire before the CIA existed (privately employed by Coca-Cola, or United Fruit, etc). Of course, many are also the children of those “retired” death squad thugs, so the violence becomes transgenerational.
You see, the killing doesn’t stop when the CIA paychecks stop. It goes on and spreads like cancer to poison whole countries. You cannot “fix” these people because they don’t even think that what they are doing is wrong. They kill casually and brutally, with no remorse or empathy for their victims. Their death squad lifestyles carve any potential to feel empathy from their hearts and cauterizes the hole. What that leaves behind is something that is no longer human.
The Syrian people have done nothing to deserve having to deal with these orcs, but the lovers of “regime change” will never take responsibility for their handiwork. The Syrian people have no choice but to do the dirty work of cleaning up the mess America made in their country, and these death squads are the most repulsive part of that mess.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 6 2020 21:25 utc | 134

@Veritas-X | 121
Thanks Veritas-X, These topics are complex and its difficult, for me at least, to keep the comments short!! I appreciate your response and, yes, I do understand better now where you are coming from.
The last part first, Erdogan had some loudly announced deadlines to meet and he met them with fireworks and standing ovations,; your and Saker’s theory of the convoy would render Erdogan’s success coincidence. That’s difficult to agree with.
Gulen is still a mystery – I’d be interested to know whether the $50bn figure is current and foreign held or not. Gulen had massive and extensive business interests; and he had reportedly up to 3 million followers in government positons but its all finished, I think. In Turkey his assets have been usurped and shared among the AKP loyal – family first of course – and his following dessimated; I know of his CIA dealings but I can not see where his foothold in Turkey would be now. Also the CIA itself does not have the hold that it did.
Saker has a point on who could follow Erdogan, but he does not mention that Erdogan is both head of AKP and President. The former may be lost, the latter is a different game entirely; who will stand against Erdogan in Presidential elections? Remember also that at election time Erdogan destroys opposition and intimidates the electorate. The key for Ersogan is to keep busimess leaders happy, at which he is very good! All enjoy a share of the staggering corruption.
But I do agree that Putin’s protracted leverage over Erdogan in Syria has almost run its course and that most of the projects designed to develop lasting ties between Russia and Turkey are beyond cancellation stage and so could be picked up another leader with no threat to Russia’s interests. Having said that, Russia would do best to keep Erdogan on side and engage him fully in the arms development and space programmes that Putin and Erdogan discussed last year. They are very important to Turkey’s future – it lags seriously behind Iran here.
Like it or not Erdogan is a major player regionally; Erdogan, that is, more so than Turkey. Dangerous position to be in, though, for both the region and Erdogan, so Russian will be cautious and continue to manage him as best as possible, imo, at least until someone else decides his fate.
2023 is ominous.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 21:51 utc | 135

#101, 102, and 103
Thank you Trailer Trash, Piotr Berman and William Gruff well said all.
It is a good day for humanity when we witness statesmanship with finesse.
The slow unwinding… yes.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 6 2020 21:54 utc | 136

@grit | 125
“But you know that”
I have no agenda here.
I speak as I find. That simple.
And there is no evidence whatsoever of the 140k figure and definitely nothing to suggest that millions will be on their way.
Interesting how quick we are to accuse Turkey of inflating figures when we hear of 3000 dead SAA tropps, but when it comes to refugees they are telling the truth!
The numbers are not there.
The situation is not what it was in 2015. Not by a long shot.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 21:59 utc | 137

Wm Gruff @135:
The murderers and rapists that the CIA collected from all over the world …
I’d bet they weren’t “murders and rapists” until they were radicalized by CIA, MIT, Mossad, etc. and that government officials of countries that conspired against Syria were complicit: they ordered it, they covered for it, they hoped to profit from it.
I, for one, would like to hear from these “murderers and rapists”. I’d like them to appear in court and tell their story.
Killing the Jihadis is rather convenient for the Empire asshats, isn’t it?
=
… the killing doesn’t stop when the CIA paychecks stop.
The paychecks have stopped?
Someone’s still paying for this shit show. I’d guess it’s CIA-MIT-Mossad that keeps the balls in the air.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 6 2020 22:06 utc | 138

Putin is collaborating with the foces that that have ruined Syria for a decade. This is not “real statmanship” at all.
Turkey that just past weeks murdered SAA soldiers occupied and in effect annexed Syrian territory. Russian response to this aggression? Lets work together Erdogan!
No wonder the war drags on with a “friend” to Syria like that.
Russia do indeed cultivate its OWN interest. They want to be friends with Israel, Turkey, US letting Syria, Iran take care of themselves when things get dire but you cannt benefit two sides, sooner or later you will get squeezed.
Posted by: Zanon | Mar 6 2020 17:36 utc | 111

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 6 2020 22:23 utc | 139

@John Marks | 128 / Veritas-X
I am not too knowledgable about this, but my understanding is that AKP’s routing of the Kurds (Turkey’s community) was very much about AKP wresting control of drugs and human traffiking.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 6 2020 22:27 utc | 140

Re my earlier comment about the US being behind the Turkish invasion of Syria, see this story:
https://www.rt.com/news/482531-us-blocks-un-syria-ceasefire/
US ‘BLOCKS’ UN from supporting Russian-Turkish ceasefire in Syria’s Idlib

US opposition reportedly blocked the UN Security Council from backing the agreement between Russia and Turkey for a ceasefire in Syria’s Idlib province. US diplomats earlier sought to back Turkey’s incursion in the area.
Friday’s meeting was requested by Russia, after President Vladimir Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a ceasefire after a six-hour meeting in Moscow the day before.
However, “one of the parties” blocked the Security Council statement that would have expressed support for the agreement, Russian envoy to the UN Vassily Nebenzia said.

Nuff said.

Posted by: Barovsky | Mar 6 2020 22:33 utc | 141

Putin loves to troll the delusional sultan Erdogan https://twitter.com/Imamofpeace/status/1235764404861497346

Posted by: Nick | Mar 6 2020 22:35 utc | 142

Reply to Zanon. Armchair generals can whack-whack all bad guys with a barrage of keystrokes that the bad guys deserve, but the logic of limited warfare rules in real life. Escalation in limited conflicts is followed by counter-escallation in wasted blood and resources. The smart course of action is tricky and may look displeasing.
Putin steers through a sea with murky waters and plentiful reefs. And while cautious, Russia moves forward.
Home base is priority number 1. Russian economy was restructured to become insulated from oil shocks and sanction attacks, while maintaining social stability and fairly steady growth, although small. Mind you, many wise westerners think that his policies are ridiculous, for starters, anti-Keynesian. But you cannot be a Keynesian if financial markets are a lair of the enemy.
There are periodic reports that engagement in Syria is not popular in Russia. But the political reality is that if not exactly popular, they are a very minor issue to the Russians. Attempts to raise retirement age (ver low), tolls on highway and other mundane causes were used to organize demonstrations, but hardly ever Crimea, Donbass and Syria. Actually, Russian authorities resolve genuine protests with calculated concession THAT THEY CAN AFFORD. No Macron on the banks of Moscow River.
In that spirit, Putin is increasing arsenal in Syria rather gradually. The transient debacle during Turkish offensive reveals big gaps in air defense. But there were signs that these defensive are continually improving, even if Israels tries to “nip them in the bud”.
There are many complexities and unknowns, and Putin’s Russia probably errs to much on the stingy side. But it may be the case that reefs exists that we do not know about.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 6 2020 22:49 utc | 143

#136
The idea that Russia could not cancel its commercial endeavors in Turkey is wrong, I believe. If I were Russia I would not supply the rest of the S-400 (slow walk it) until I felt that Turkey could be trusted not to turn around and use them against Russia. If Russia stopped building Turkey’s nuclear power plant it would mean nothing to Russia economically. They have more orders for nuclear reactors than they can build. Same for natural gas. Don’t sell to Turkey … so what, China, India, can take plenty of gas. Russia is being nice to Turkey to develop a strategic ally, not to make money. You seem to think Erdogan is more important than Turkey. I think the Saker is correct and Erdogan’s days may be numbered, not Turkey’s.

Posted by: Stevek9 | Mar 7 2020 0:23 utc | 144

Oh, and I think Russia could do without Turkey’s tomatoes. In fact, what does Turkey have, that is of any interest to Russia, aside from its location?

Posted by: SteveK9 | Mar 7 2020 0:25 utc | 145

@ Barovsky 142.
There is a one word descriptor for the US action: criminal.
A revelation to the world US engages in war crimes and that they support the White Helmets who are terrorists. Peace is a disease. War is profits.

Posted by: Likklemore | Mar 7 2020 0:29 utc | 146

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 6 2020 22:49 utc | 144
Yes, the problem is that war between near peers with modern arms, particularly missiles and other indirect fire tends to destroy all who participate, witness WWI and WWII, the only winners were those who were not in the line of fire, Uncle Sugar in particular. USA used to be able to rely on the protection of the Pacific and Atantic Oceans, but those days are gone.
In the case of Syria and Turkey, it is Turkey that has the most to lose, Syria is already demolished. This is why Israel is restrained now, plus the incompetence of their ground forces, which have degenerated into occupation troops. They can and will be hit first thing if things get serious. Everybody loses, it’s a dumb game, even if you “win”.

Posted by: Bemildred | Mar 7 2020 0:31 utc | 147

karlof1 @ 113 stated;
“Remember, Orcs are mere slaves at the service of the Genuine Evil–an orgy of Greed at the behest of an Ideology more ancient than Capitalism stretching back 4,000 years. The never-ending, deadly serious Class War between Creditors and everyone else, with the sabotage of Sanders being yet another small chapter in the ongoing saga. Only George Lucas was brave enough to call out the real evil in The Phantom Menace–the so-called Trade Federation–but even then only a few of us heard his cry.”
Great analogy, the real sad part is the fact that the masses of the American public never hear critiques like so many express on these threads.
They’re too busy taking selfies. The sickness of American society is off the charts…

Posted by: ben | Mar 7 2020 0:47 utc | 148

What does Russia want from Turkey? Stability. Dont think for a minute that Turkey couldn’t fall apart like Syria. Turkey is a disaster waiting to happen with it’s fragile economy and political culture. Turkey has many radicalized country bumpkins that could boil over into insurrection if Erdogan is embarrassed and sent packing from Syria. It doesn’t matter if the terrorist nest is in Syria or Turkey, it is a threat that must be eliminated from Russia’s perspective. Russia has centuries of experience dealing with these kind of eastern potentates. They know what they are doing. Arm chair critics need to give it a rest.

Posted by: nemo | Mar 7 2020 0:58 utc | 149

ben @149–
Thanks ben! You may recall that Lucas released The Phantom Menace in 1999 prior to the WTO (Trade Federation) Battle of Seattle which makes the connection he made very overt but oh so hidden to movie goers. I was still taking classes at NAU and did share that connection with students and profs only to discover the massive ignorance about the WTO and what was planned for it in Seattle–PhDs didn’t know squat!!!!! Talk about getting educated–WOW!!
As I go offline for the day, I note the big arrests in Saudi; several AIPAC attendees testing positive for Coronavirus; Occupied Palestine has closed its borders to those from Outlaw US Empire; a new study shows great economic benefits from Sanders proposed Medicare For All; and numerous other interesting developments all noted here.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 7 2020 1:07 utc | 150

nemo @150
Excellent comment. Russia is dealing sensibly with lunatics.
I hope they’re successful so we avoid WWIII.
The Russians must take care that their patience is not mistaken for weakness.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 7 2020 1:28 utc | 151

Jackrabbit
Looking at some of the photos of the Turk delegation in Moscow with Putin, i don’t think they mistake patience for weakness.
Looked more like naughty kids lined up in the headmasters office.
Idlib II has ended. Idlib III coming soon.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 7 2020 2:17 utc | 152

…where is all the violence there coming from?
Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 6 2020 21:25 utc | 135/BLOCKQUOTE>
Operation Phoenix

Posted by: Guerrero | Mar 7 2020 3:55 utc | 153

Stevek9 | 145
My point was that a post Erdogan government would not. Of course it could but the hit to Turkey would be too serious. Russia could of course do what it wants but it would foolish to cancel the Akkuyu projext given that Russia is paying for it. And it is not so much selling gas to Turkey as transporting gas to Europe across Turkey …
And I said regionally, yes, Erdogan is the entity, moreson than Turkey. Remove Erdogan now and Turkey would retain only a shadow of its current influence.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 7 2020 4:09 utc | 154

Next time Erdogan is bitchy he will become a turkey bottled with rotten tomatoes! SCNR! 😉
I assume the armistice and the agreement will be broken by the orcs shortly!
See you next time in this theatre! Syria will be survive!

Posted by: Wolle | Mar 7 2020 4:16 utc | 155

@Peter AU1 | 153
Precisely. And it was hillarious. At the same time scuffling to be in the camera frame.
@nemo | 150
And it’s this that distinguishes Russian from US approach regionally. Russia seeks stability and solid relations between countries. Exactly what Assad too was talking about in his interview.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 7 2020 4:20 utc | 156

You notice Assad plays zero role in the political machinations and decision making of the Russian/Turkish/US de facto partition of his own country.
His troops and his tanks were obliterated as Putin allowed Erdogan to settle scores or wtf is going on there. Three of his jets were downed, substantial of his expensive military equipment destroyed and many of his soldiers “neutralised” all with the tacit approval of Russia.
Those still waiting for the Russian bear paws to slap down the Turks and their jihadis as you have been waiting patiently for almost 2 years now without it actually happening are going to be kept waiting…and waiting…and waiting.
But I guess everyone needs a pasttime.

Posted by: donkeytale | Mar 7 2020 4:31 utc | 157

donkeytale @158
And if your paymasters could’ve taken Syria they would’ve done it by now.
But I suppose every donkey needs to wag it’s tale.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 7 2020 4:57 utc | 158

@donkey ale(158)

You notice Assad plays zero role in the political machinations and decision making of the Russian/Turkish/US de facto partition of his own country

Putin informed Assad shortly after the meeting(https://tass.com/politics/1127685). See also Assad’s interview for vesti24. Putin/Russia has never betrayed Syria. Russia lost also some heroes in Syria last years.
The first goal is avoid a full-scale war and next a full elimination of the orcs. Russia and China will not see the orcs at home.

Posted by: Wolle | Mar 7 2020 5:10 utc | 159

President Assad’s Rossiya 24 interview is excellent. I couldn’t find an English version, but a machine translation of a Russian version is very readable. Highly recommended.

Posted by: S | Mar 7 2020 6:31 utc | 160

There is a myth being perpetuated that Russia/Putin “allowed” Turkish drones to decimate the Syrian Army. The Syrian Army wasn’t decimated, and the loses are overstated. A decimated army would not have been able to hold its ground and maintain the recently liberated areas…areas that are vital for the Syrian State.
Russia didn’t “allow” anything. Drones are hard to stop, look at the damage primitive drones did to Saudi oil infrastructure. Turkey has a very robust drone program and Syria/Russia did not have the assets in place to stop a surprise drone attack. Those assets are now being provided, which is one of the benefits of this cease-fire.
The SAA just took back and kept the M5, that is impressive. They also pushed back the Jihadis in southern Idlib, which will make it more difficult to harass Hmeymim air base, which is also very significant. Compared to the gains, the losses are minimal.
Turkey is a major military power, and one that Russia wants in its orbit. A Russian war with Turkey benefits the Anglo-Zionist empire. The myth that Russia isn’t backing Syria to the hilt is easily disproven by facts on the ground.

Posted by: Hassaan | Mar 7 2020 6:36 utc | 161

@S #161
My bad, there is a proper English translation: Assad to Russia 24: Erdogan Aligned with Al Qaeda Because of his Muslim Brotherhood Ideology.

Posted by: S | Mar 7 2020 6:44 utc | 162

ANNA-News war correspondents nearly got killed by Turkish artillery in Saraqib: Anna News report from Saraqib | March 4th 2020 (vid).

Posted by: S | Mar 7 2020 6:58 utc | 163

According to SANA through Southfont drones have attecked Hmeimim Air Base.
https://southfront.org/militant-drones-attack-hmeimim-air-base-amid-new-idlib-ceasefire/

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Mar 7 2020 7:43 utc | 164

S.161
I posted the interview at 91 on the previous page, but it was near the end, so many may have missed it. Good that you posted it again. It is well worth a read.

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Mar 7 2020 7:48 utc | 165

Piotr Berman #144

There are many complexities and unknowns, and Putin’s Russia probably errs to much on the stingy side. But it may be the case that reefs exists that we do not know about.

Try a parliament for one and Russia is in the middle of a very large transition in governance. And the neocons have been ousted. For now. Why would Putin give them any air to breath and retaliate.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 7 2020 8:25 utc | 166

nemo #150
Thank you and so true, centuries at the great game. Russia teaches us all some mighty lessons should we dare to listen. Assad and his nation is truly fortunate to have such an intelligent ally.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 7 2020 10:20 utc | 167

i love the orcs recall, evoking images of an endless tide of inbred, brainless slaughterers rampaging the countryside…a veritable existential threat to all mankind, as it were. i think you guys are mistaking them for the swarms of locusts that are devouring vast swathes of the planet as we speak.
i figure the takfiri fighters are what, 10,000, 20,000 max? mostly holed up in Idlib with their little orc wives and their little orc children, these dudes no doubt see the writing on the wall(time to reintegrate into society?). and yes, William, i’m sure that there are some too far gone, but how many William, how many?
it’s also interesting that the really grisly stuff we were overwhelmed with back in the more heady days of the invasion of Syria has been pretty much absent in recent years. you know, all the beheadings, gang rapes, liver eatings, etc. seems to me it’s just armoured vehicles, Kalashnikovs, suicide bombers, and such…oh yeah, manpads too.
but since we all like going to the movies, remember this scene?
it’s judgement that defeats us

Posted by: john | Mar 7 2020 11:11 utc | 168

Montreal @ 116:
Undoubtedly many people fighting with Hayat Tahrir Sham / Jabhat al Nusra, ISIS and their allies are local people forced to do so, on pain of starvation or seeing their children suffer for lack of medicine. The family of the 5-year-old boy Omar Daqneesh who starred in a White Helmets video comes to mind; the parents were pressured by the jihadis to surrender him to them for their White Helmets propaganda. This is one reason why the Syrian govt has at various times in the past offered amnesty to fighters who put down their weapons. In many cases those fighters joined the SAA. Over time, only the most hardcore fighters ended up in Idliv province.
A good number if not in fact the majority of jihadis in Idlib province is foreign. Several thousands of them (up to 20,000 in 2017) are Uyghurs from Western China and Central Asians who came to Syria on false Turkish passports through various Southeast Asian countries. These people apparently came to Syria for military experience and training needed to lead huge uprisings and cause chaos against Beijing.

Posted by: Jen | Mar 7 2020 11:15 utc | 169

The first good topographic map of the 6-km. security area on both sides of the M4.
Next week, a Russian military delegation will be in Turkey to specify the details on joint patroles on the highway. Given the very specific and very soon coming deadline of March 15, the Russians clearly intend on making it work. Any provocation against the MPs will be dealt with very harshly. This area has been the black’s heartland for years and the appearance of the joint patroles will be huge. I hope it works.
At the moment, the truce is in its second day and has held without major incidents.
Reports that Tiger units are moving to the rear for a much needed rest.

Posted by: BG | Mar 7 2020 14:19 utc | 170

I think I’ve cracked the Refugee numbers game.
When quoting 140k Turkey is including the camp on Lesbos. This was first erected in 2015. Turkey has done little more than nothing to prevent refugees from trying to get to Lesbos by boat for years because it is such a lucrative business.
Now the figure they quote is the accumulation of years of refugees trying to get to Greece.
But it is nothing to do with the recent opening of the border by Turkey.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 7 2020 15:13 utc | 171

Jen @ 126
Thanks for this. I had heard of the Uighurs some time again but didn’t know whether they were still there.
William Gruff @ 126 – I missed it first time – you nominate me as Defender of Monsters! As you normally write very good sense I can only assume that you hadn’t read my posts properly (or cocktail time had arrived).

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 7 2020 16:27 utc | 172

@ montreal… thanks for your continued commentary.. what would you do here? you mention ” “beating swords into ploughshares” but how is that going to happen with a hardened group of headchoppers and specifically with the uighers on false passports? thanks…

Posted by: james | Mar 7 2020 16:47 utc | 173

NPR: host Cornish and reporter Bowman somewhere in Syrian oil fields:
CORNISH: All right. So what happens then? I mean, could this trigger a possible wider conflict with the U.S.?
BOWMAN: Well, it’s unlikely. And many observers, both the U.S. and Kurdish officials, believe that once Idlib is pacified – and that, of course, is the area of northwest Syria that the government of Assad is trying to pacify – that once that comes to an end and Assad basically recaptures Idlib, the Kurds will strike a deal with the Syrian regime. They’re actually hoping for more autonomy. We’re not sure if they’re going to get that or not. And once that happens, Audie, once they sign a deal with Assad, the sense here is the last U.S. troops will leave.
CORNISH: That’s NPR’s Tom Bowman in northeast Syria.
Thank you so much, Tom.
BOWMAN: You’re welcome, Audie.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 7 2020 17:30 utc | 174

john @169: “…but how many William, how many?”
All of them.
But instead of wringing your hands in fake concern and empty virtue signalling, why not take direct action? Grab a flight to Gaziantep, take a taxi down to Idleb, and pick out a few of these poor misunderstood gentlemen to bring back with you to your own home. Read bible verses to them and ween them off the captagon. Envelope them in your love and in no time I am sure those turds will polish up to be upstanding members of polite society, just like you could have done with Jeffrey Dahmer if you’d had the opportunity.
I doubt you’d have any more chance of success at that than you would at trying to reason with the coronavirus, but you seem quite confident in the correctness of your delusion so there is no reason for you not to try.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 7 2020 17:45 utc | 175

Erdogan trying to be a Cowboy,
https://twitter.com/HEICKEEEE/status/1235703770723618817

Posted by: Tom_LX | Mar 7 2020 17:54 utc | 176

James – If I knew more, maybe I could give you a sensible answer. Firstly, are the terrorists (to call them something) organised into recognisable military units? Let us say, if there are 10,000, roughly a division. Do they have a chain of command and if so who is at the top of it? Do they have any recognisable uniform? Are they being supported (as, for example, in Gouta) by western special forces? If there is the equivalent of divisional general, who is that person taking orders from? Do they have heavy weapons? Or are they just an armed mob? Are they hiding out in built up areas, among civilians? How can I possibly answer your question in my state of ignorance? (!)

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 7 2020 17:56 utc | 177

Jen @170 makes a point that the pearl-clutchers should think deeply on. Most of the orcs in Idlib have already been given at least one major opportunity to give up the killing and return to civilized society, and most have had several such offers. The ones who have been inclined to give up the death squad lifestyle have done so and there has been no retribution against them. The ones that refused to join civilization have been shipped to Idlib. The best way to view this process is that it has been a distillation of evil. With each of these offers to down arms the ones who could be saved have departed the jihadi mix, which has caused that jihadi mix to become a more purified distillate of evil. I’d estimate that the evil in Idlib is now approaching pretty close to 200 proof.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 7 2020 18:15 utc | 178

Released less than 1 hr ago by Elijah J Magnier:
*Putin helps Erdogan climb down from the tree with a ceasefire agreement*
“..A well-informed source said that “Erdogan wanted a ceasefire in Idlib but could not announce it himself because it would have cost him dearly domestically. He lost the war when he failed to recover Saraqeb and recover the entire 70-kilometre-long highway linking Aleppo to Damascus, known as the M5. He wanted Putin to bring him down from the tree. The Russian President understood and saved his business partner from humiliation….”.
https://ejmagnier.com/2020/03/07/putin-helps-erdogan-climb-down-from-the-tree-with-a-ceasefire-agreement/
X-

Posted by: Veritas X- | Mar 7 2020 19:54 utc | 179

@ montreal… people make decisions all the time in the absence of more or adequate info, and i do understand what you are saying…
i think it is fairly obvious the moderate rebels ( the name the west gives them ) or the terrorists ( the name syria, russia and a few others give them ) are organized and have ongoing access to weapons and all the public relations support a force could have, not to mention the oodles of money that have been thrown their way… so, to suggest this isn’t organized in any way shape or form seems very naive to me… maybe you aren’t saying that..
i am sure there are some in the group of fighters on the usa-uae-ksa -etc payroll are lost souls, but think about it for a moment.. they are fighting to do what? overthrow the syrian gov’t? get a paycheck?? practice their insane religious outlook? all of the above?? none of it adds up for me… they are hanging with the wrong crowd if they are still in idlib at this point in time… so, i continue to believe the only response here is for these people to be removed by force.. so, yes i am in favour of liquidating them by force.. it ain’t pretty and i wish there was another way, or that they could see the folly of their ways, but i am a realist too…. i appreciate your idealism, but something more then idealism has to process what is going on here.. if you can tell me another way, i am all ears.. thanks..

Posted by: james | Mar 7 2020 20:02 utc | 180

james, Wm Gruff
There should be consideration given to obtaining justice for the victims of this illegal war. Is there already enough info and testimony for that? If so, this concern vanishes.
I agree with Wm Gruff’s distillation of evil theory. That effectively addresses the moral issue. Many of the head-choppers are themselves victims, deliberately lured into the fighting but those who remain are likely the most committed and irredeemable.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 7 2020 21:22 utc | 181

@Veritas X | 180
“Erdogan wanted a ceasefire in Idlib but could not announce it”
But he did announce the need for a ceasefire.
As did many Turkish state ‘pundits’ when discussing what they expected from the talks.
Elijah is, well, he’s the best out there but here his source is wrong.
However, as I said in a previous comment Putin is indeed gracious in victory and did give Erdogan the means to return home with the headlines he needed to help him save face.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 7 2020 21:26 utc | 182

S #163
Thank you for the link to the interview with Assad. It was a great insight.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 7 2020 21:31 utc | 183

@Piotr Berman | 175
1) Important because it reduces/ eliminates the need for Turkey to get involved in helping to remove the US and therefore weakens Turkey’s Syria hand yet further – good thing!
2) Interestingly I saw part of an interview yestersay in which Trump said “the US is protecting Syria’s border”, and thet “we should just let them fight it out” (From memory so not word for word)
It immediately made me think that Trump is still set on leaving Syria. Very good.
It would also be a good gesture with which to begin the new agreement he wants with Russia to stop the broad distribution of arms.

Posted by: Egor68500 | Mar 7 2020 21:36 utc | 184

donkeytale #158

Those still waiting for the Russian bear paws to slap down the Turks and their jihadis as you have been waiting patiently for almost 2 years now without it actually happening are going to be kept waiting…and waiting…and waiting.

What is your ‘slapping down’ supposed to mean. It very USA and stupid. Thats why the USA failed. All the Russian Bear needs do is hold its paw firmly of the grey wolf’s tail, pinning it to the ground. Assad would fully agree and likely respond in the same manner. I am sure there are extensive closed door discussions between Assad and Putin or their ambassadors.
The image of Erdoghan making pilgrimage to Moscow was a necessary theatre for Erdoghan and his entourage. I doubt Putin needed it but clearly rejoiced in it as you can see by the published photograph of the men being stared down by Catherine the Great. Priceless.
The folly of Israel and the USA mendacity in the middle east is precisely the folly of punching and slapping in rage and bully approach. The blatant carpetbagging of the USA from stealing in Ukraine to stealing Syrian and Iraq oil, stealing Syrian wealth deposited in overseas banks. That sets the scene for a century to come.
Syria is smarter than the USA and Israel and will likely prevail.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Mar 7 2020 21:52 utc | 185

reply to Posted by: Barovsky | Mar 5 2020 21:20 utc | 40
There were photos of Putin immediately after the Air assault on Libya and you can see by his face that he was in absolute shock. I don’t believe he ever anticipated such treachery.
Any faith he had in the US and the UN died that day.
Russia was still too vulnerable; he couldn’t do a thing to assist Libya. Instead he turned all his considerable talents to ensuring Russia’s economic and military security.

Posted by: frances | Mar 7 2020 22:04 utc | 186

James @ 181
Ron Paul Institute – Inside the World Uighur Institute.
John Helmer – the Catherine Principle
Obviously an extremely complicated situation, especially the Uighur bit, as it pits Turkey and the US against China. You may well be right, unfortunately.

Posted by: Montreal | Mar 7 2020 22:17 utc | 187

@ montreal.. thanks.. all around unhappy and unfortunate situation.. i put the responsibility for all of this at the feet of the west, usa-uk-israel, in line with the middle east partners – ksa-uae-qatar-turkey.. what i find especially unfortunate is how dishonest the mainstream media in the west is about all of this.. clearly the msm is bought and paid for and not a neutral source of information for any of it.. cheers james..

Posted by: james | Mar 7 2020 23:07 utc | 188

James,
As far as the MSM being paid for. I think it is a round about way. MSM is in the business of advertising. I daresay that most commercials I have seen are filled with propaganda. Not political but light on facts and stretched on truths. So we have been trained to accept a fair amount of bullshit already. Now the PTB offer the MSM news for free. Most TV shows now use unpaid actors and writers. So the the products MSM offer cost very little to produce.
Garbage in = Garbage out

Posted by: arby | Mar 7 2020 23:57 utc | 189

piotr at 102
lol,well spotted.look at them all standing there having to explain themselves.you missed the erdogan look a like on the far left with matching shirt and tie

Posted by: mcohen | Mar 7 2020 23:58 utc | 190

@ 193 arby… that is a good way to define it – msm in the biz of advertising……. how does one explain the role of so called neutral broadcasters like cbc, bbc and etc? it is not the same deal.. i call this herd mentality.. no one has the cajones to call bullshit on what the advertising media is doing – not even channels like cbc here in canada… typically cbc gets fed news wire services – reuters/associated press – and it is the same garbage spread thru a public broadcaster… as you say – g in and g out..

Posted by: james | Mar 8 2020 0:09 utc | 191

donkeytale @182
You’re right, I don’t know if you’re paid.
I shouldn’t have been so glib.
My comment was colored by your two preceding comments about Syria that are very like what we see from some that are seen as “trolls”. Until now, you’ve steered clear of such nonsense.
So I rescind the “paymaster” notion.
I respect that you still comment here. If you’re ‘OK’ with b, it is untoward to not respect you as a commenter.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 8 2020 0:38 utc | 192

donkeytale | Mar 7 2020 22:06 utc | 189: This is a master/slave relationship …
Once again, you’re taking up propaganda narratives.
!!

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Mar 8 2020 0:41 utc | 193

A new propaganda narrative: the Putogan-Virus by Slavoj Zizek. The German designation for such a thing is “Mietmaul” (aka bought voice). For sure he knows what he is doing. This last week most likely has been a record week for FakeNews.

Posted by: Hausmeister | Mar 8 2020 9:11 utc | 194

William Gruff @ 176:
first my disclaimer to counter your overbearing assertiveness…
in no way am i apologizing for or sympathizing with this band of regressive fanatics, as anyone who’s read my comments over the years would know. i’m just looking for a more realistic picture, you know, just to satisfy the junior anthropologist in me, ’cause the idea of 10 or 20 thousand frothing psycho killers à la Jeffrey Dahmer wandering around under one roof strikes me as hyperbole.
these folks had/have a flag and a doctrine, and even their wanton slaughter followed an edict, at least somewhat inspired by their 2004 Management of Savagery, where extreme violence is emphasized.
interesting also that in cities like Mosul and Raqqa, traffic flowed and hospitals and markets were operative, indicating that there was at least some degree of effective governance.
anyway, in conclusion, i still say that if these dudes don’t die in Idlib, or if they aren’t shipped off to some other hotspot, it’s entirely plausible that some, or even many of them, could reintegrate in some way into society. take away a fanatic’s gun, and his support group, and there’s a chance he becomes docile.

Posted by: john | Mar 8 2020 15:02 utc | 195

Not siding one way or the other but–
“take away a fanatic’s gun”
That’s the rub.

Posted by: arby | Mar 8 2020 15:17 utc | 196

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 6 2020 17:51 utc | 113
Pardon me for disagreeing with your thesis at 113. This assumption of ‘evil other’ has become the norm for most conversation, the trajectory at this site has gone from ‘bankers’ to ‘banksters’ to ‘finance and financiers’ to ‘rentiers’ to ‘corporation’ to ‘the 1%’ to ‘0.1%’ to ‘the 0.01%’ to ‘the 0.001’ and etc. to ‘monopoly and/or monopolistic’ and now ‘creditor capitalism’. What message this suggests is that you don’t know where the problem lies and don’t have a sound economic theory to work with; not to worry, there isn’t one, the closest approach to one has been discredited and discarded in total, preference given to youtube charlatans vending ill considered but emotionally attractive conjecture. Have you considered that there might be two economic populations those who, for whatever reason, do not live within their incomes, and those who do? Why is it always those who do live within their incomes are automatically guilty of ‘economic evil’? You are not going to find any functional answer using that methodology as only dead end results will pertain, but that is the royal road of the orthodoxy based herd. It is time to abandon the assumptions and framing of the ‘evil other’ as an analytical tool and framing mechanism; no progress will ensue that road.
Consider for a moment that ‘economic evil’ can pertain to debtors as well; the ‘economic evil’ of ignorance, incapacity to make decisions and judgments about entering into debt by contractual agreement obtaining credit however it may be used. Are there no shoulders among debtors sufficiently strong to take responsibility for their acts – decisions?
An aside: at 1% you are looking at about 3.27 millions of the U.S; at 0.01 is thereabout 33 thousand of the same; at 0.000001 of world population yields some 7,000 candidates and at 0.000000001 there are still 7 running about – you should be able to name these easily.
The assertion of population decimation, however emotionally attractive it may seem to support the assertion, is weakly supported by available facts, falling into the realm of conspiracy theory orthodoxy; a weak crutch indeed.
It is the likely zeitgeist that Hollywood fictions have replaced nouns, adjectives, verbs and adverbs, marking the damage done to the language and the capacity to use it proficiently. The trajectory is toward language not being a commonly shared ability, each having their own private dictionary of incompatible definitions – a hidden cost of individuality – atomisation. Contamination of the language serves to hide political malfeasance behind respectability, best e.g. being ‘democracy’, ‘freedom’, ‘free trade’, ‘trickle down’ (short-listed). This destruction of language has hidden a slow-motion political coup-d’état in the U.S. beginning with the destruction of law enforcement in the Nixon administration and regulatory capture in the Reagan followed by the dismantlement of New Deal policies and programs in the G.H.W. Bush administration and the abandonment of political opposition in the following Clinton administration. The Constitution was discarded during the 2000 election by the SCOTUS itself. Not only is it the Outlaw U.S. Empire, it is the Illegal Outlaw U.S. Empire and power will only be taken from the cold dead fingers of the cabal now ascendant – violence assured, an idea must be liquidated completely, no other option is available. Your lying eyes have had the wool pulled over and are not allowed to view proscribed vistas – abandon hope.
Whatever else they might have been, the Founders were aware of human nature and constructed their republic accordingly from deliberation and negotiation from their disparate interests. Their political progeny have not met those standards since although one issue became settled as result of civil war, an unduly expensive way of negotiating in life and treasure. Another protection given in the original architecture was the requirement of buying a state’s legislature in order to buy a federal Senator, but ‘democracy’ and it was much cheaper buying both candidates for office rather than the state legislature making capture of a house of Congress feasible. ‘Democracy’ strikes again when failure to keep the Republic intact. But that is historical footnote now. The apparent qualification for public office in today’s ‘democracy’ is having good hair, real or fabricated. What the public knows of human nature is derived completely from Hollywood fiction, about as real as The Occupant of the Whitehouse’s hair is original.
The conclusion(s) given are likely based on assumption error, greed is your interpretation of historical record, applying ‘democracy’ and its assumptions to the historical record is nonsense, little separated ancient populations from their ruling classes, an socially organic bond existed between ruled and ruling, when one suffered so did the other. The Persian empires illuminate this splendidly. Capitalism was the ‘other’ in K. Marx’s observations of the working classes and had little bearing on early Classical economists, now barely having a century and a half to show for itself. Preceding the ideology of Mercantilism prevailed in economic affairs. Now a class war between Creditors and Debtors carries the mantle of economic evil. Go ahead and destroy that too while your about it, do not give a thought of what will replace an economic function at least 10,000 years in the making, this is what ignorance does so well.
This will be either ultimate or unlikely penultimate contribution I will have this site, depending. I shall go to ground eternally thankful of not receiving an accolade from the gentleperson from Canada, self appointed approver of content this site, but then, events pass there so infrequently a stop-calendar is handy to measure their passing.

Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | Mar 8 2020 16:38 utc | 197

“Why is it always those who do live within their incomes are automatically guilty of ‘economic evil’?”
And, therein lies the rub…Where do those “incomes” originate? Ferdinand Lundberg, a member of FDR’s administration, in a book that is likely out of print now, entitled “The Rich and the Superrich,” ferreted out the origins and continuing source of those to whom a “job” is not needed. It wasn’t easy, as their resources are deeply buried to the public eye.
Evil? Garnering the resources of thousands of people for one would seem to be at the very least, immoral, in the classic sense.

Posted by: donten | Mar 8 2020 17:36 utc | 198

Louis XVI lived within his income.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 8 2020 18:13 utc | 199

“…’cause the idea of 10 or 20 thousand frothing psycho killers à la Jeffrey Dahmer wandering around under one roof strikes me as hyperbole.”
Yep, tough for people living the life of delusion in a middle class subdivision an ocean and half a continent away from where their empire’s foreign legion are doing their work to imagine what it takes to keep their SUV fueled.

Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 8 2020 18:17 utc | 200