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The MoA Year In Review
The big stories of 2019 which Moon of Alabama covered were:
- The vindication of Donald Trump by the Mueller and Horowitz 'Russiagate' investigations. The Democrats, driven by the security state, then continued their coup attempt against Trump by impeaching him over 'Ukrainegate'.
- The slow but continuing retreat of the U.S. from the Middle East demonstrated by its lack of reaction even after the attack on the Saudi oil installations and the shooting down of a large U.S. drone by Iran.
My predictions on these issue for next year are:
- The unreasonable campaign against Trump will hurt the Democrats in the 2020 elections. Unless something unforeseeable happens Trump will be reelected.
- The U.S. will pull its troops out of Iraq and Syria.
- The MAX will not be allowed back into the air unless Boeing ditches MCAS and finds a better way to make the plane certifiable.
- Mainstream media have suppressed all news about the OPCW scandal. This will only change if major new evidence comes to light.
May all of you have a happy new year!
After U.S. Strike On Iraqi Forces Its Troops Will (Again) Have To Leave
Within Syria @WithinSyriaBlog – 17:43 UTC · Dec 29, 2019
Trump just made the mistake of his presidency.
That may be true or may be not true. Here is what happened.
On Friday a volley of some 30 107mm Katyusha rockets hit the K1 base which houses Iraqi and U.S. troops near Kirkuk, Iraq. One U.S. mercenary/contractor died, two Iraqi and four U.S. soldiers were wounded. Instead of finding the real culprits – ISIS remnants, disgruntled locals, Kurds who want to regain control over Kirkuk – the U.S. decided that Kata'ib Hizbullah was the group guilty of the attack.
Kata'ib Hizbullah is a mostly Shia group with some relations to Iran. It is part of the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) which were founded and trained by Iran to stop and defeat the Islamic State (ISIS) when it occupied nearly a third of Iraq and Syria. KH is like all PMU units now under command and control of the Iraqi Ministry of Defense.
To take revenge for the death of one of its mercenaries the U.S. air force attacked five camps where Kata'ib Hizbullah and other Iraqi forces were stationed:
In response to repeated Kata'ib Hizbollah (KH) attacks on Iraqi bases that host Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR) coalition forces, U.S. forces have conducted precision defensive strikes against five KH facilities in Iraq and Syria that will degrade KH's ability to conduct future attacks against OIR coalition forces.
The five targets include three KH locations in Iraq and two in Syria. These locations included weapon storage facilities and command and control locations that KH uses to plan and execute attacks on OIR coalition forces.
All of the KH positions that were hit were in the western Anbar desert, 450 kilometer away from Kirkuk. KH has bases on both sides of the Iraqi-Syrian border where it is engaged in fighting the still active ISIS. The results of the air strikes were devastating:
Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai – 6:20 UTC · Dec 30, 2019
32 killed and 45 wounded the count of #US violent aggression on #Iraq security forces brigades 45 and 46 last night on a military position established to counter-attack and raid #ISIS remnant at al-Qaem, the borders between Iraq and Syria.
The al-Qaem/al-Bukamal border station is the only open one between Iraq and Syria which is not under U.S. control. The U.S. was furious when the Iraqi prime minister Adil Abdul Mahdi allowed it to be established. It was previously attacked by Israel which had launched its assault from a U.S. air force base in east Syria.
TØM CΛT @TomtheBasedCat – 6:11 UTC · Dec 29, 2019
It wasn't just Hezbollah Battalions members who were affected, there are also wounded among the ranks of the Missiles Forces / Rocket Battalion which is considered a separate unit apart from the numbered brigades.
The dead include Abu Ali Madiniyah, the commander of the 1st battalion of the 45th Brigade.
The strikes were in total disregard of Iraqi sovereignty and against forces under direct command of the Iraqi state:
Cont. reading: After U.S. Strike On Iraqi Forces Its Troops Will (Again) Have To Leave
The MoA Week In Review – Open Thread 2019-78
Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:
Confirms our take:
For Wall Street, Russia Has Become ‘Bulletproof’ – Forbes
>“They’ve made themselves bulletproof,” says James Barrineau, co-head of emerging-market debt for Schroders Investment in New York. “They can pay off all their foreign debts with their central bank reserves. Plus, they’re cutting interest rates. The currency is very stable. And they have room on the fiscal side to spend on their economy.”<
Related:
MOHAMMED HASSAN @MHJournalist – 18:42 UTC · Dec 28, 2019
A video shows members of the #Syrian_National_Army mercenaries fighting in #Libya in conjunction with the advance of the #Syrian army forces over the city of #Maarat_al_Numan and its countryside in #Idlib
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Other issues:
Russia has received a lot of criticism over the bombing of alleged 'hospitals' in Syria which were registered on a UN sponsored list. The Russian military argued that the positions on the UN list were not of real hospitals but of ammunition depots or command centers of the Jihadis. After it had published dozens of articles bashing Russia's campaign the New York Times has finally admitted that Russia was right:
The U.N. Tried to Save Hospitals in Syria. It Didn’t Work.
United Nations officials only recently created a unit to verify locations provided by relief groups that managed the exempt sites, some of which had been submitted incorrectly, The Times found. Such instances of misinformation give credibility to Russian criticisms that the system cannot be trusted and is vulnerable to misuse.
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The groups give locations of their own choosing to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, the agency that runs the system.
A document prepared by the agency warned that participation in the system “does not guarantee” the safety of the sites or their personnel. The document also stated that the United Nations would not verify information provided by participating groups.
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While investigating an airstrike in November, The Times discovered that a relief group had provided coordinates for its health center that were around 240 meters away. When another hospital was bombed in May, The Times found that the coordinates submitted by its supporting organization pointed to an unrelated structure around 765 meters north.
After questions from The Times prompted the organization to review its deconfliction list, a staff member discovered that it had provided the United Nations with incorrect locations for 14 of its 19 deconflicted sites. The original locations had been logged by a pharmacist. The list had been with the United Nations humanitarian agency for eight months, and no one had contacted the organization to correct the locations, a member of the organization’s staff said.
Use as open thread …
Open Thread 2019-77
Turkey’s Military Intervention In Libya Might Help Syria
The Turkish intervention in Libya might develop into a major international crisis as each side in the 'civil' war in Libya has several international supporters.
Turkey is now taking serious steps to move troops and equipment to Libya:
Turkey will introduce a bill to send troops to Libya as soon as Parliament resumes, in response to the country's invitation, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced on Thursday.
Speaking at a meeting of provincial heads at the headquarters of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party) in the capital Ankara, Erdoğan said the military mandate to send troops to Libya will be on Parliament's agenda when it resumes early January.
He also criticized countries supporting the East Libya-based warlord Khalifa Haftar rather than Fayez al-Sarraj.
Reuters noted that there is no public record of the 'invitation' Erdogan talked about:
It was unclear what specific invitation Erdogan was referring to as the interior minister in the Tripoli-based government, Fathi Bashagha, suggested in comments to reporters in Tunis that no official request had yet been made.
Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Russia and several west European countries support the anti-Muslim Brotherhood forces under Khalifa Haftar who controls most of Libya (red). Qatar and Turkey have taken the Islamists' side. Fayez al-Sarraj controls little more than Tripoli and Misrata (blue). He originally had UN and EU support but the lack of progress since 2015, when Sarraj's Government of National Accord was formed, has weakened his authority and his international support.
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Cont. reading: Turkey’s Military Intervention In Libya Might Help Syria
Christmas
Long before Christianity evolved, people celebrated the winter solstice as the end of the dark times and the coming of light. Roman Christianity moved the day on which it commemorates the birth of Jesus to the winter solstice. It replaced a holiday of older religions. The deeper meaning stayed. Hope for a new beginning, needed as much today than ever. Hope that the walls of darkness will come down.
Picture courtesy of the Bethlehem Association
Like every Christmas I visit my larger family and enjoy to cook for them. I have much fun with the kids. Their minds are untouched from the dark policies we often discuss here. They are open for new insights and challenges. Their curiosity encourages us to be likewise open for new ideas.
I wish you all a contemplative, hope- and peaceful Christmas.
Bernhard
U.S. Media Bias Creates False Pictures Of Russia
The latest Putin bashing piece in the New York Times is headlined:
It’s Putin’s World. We Just Live in It.
Its economy is sputtering and its young are frustrated, but with America and Europe in tumult, Russia and its leader of two decades are on a roll.
Its first sentence already includes two falsehoods:
Its economy, already smaller than Italy’s, may be sputtering but, two decades after a virtually unknown former K.G.B. spy took power in the Kremlin on Dec. 31, 1999, Russia and its president, Vladimir V. Putin, have just had what could be their best year yet.
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The NYT can claim that Russia's GDP is smaller than Italy's because it only looked at the nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of those countries. But nominal GDP like nominal wages are not meaningful comparisons. The question is how much can be bought for each nominal unit.
Andrei Martyanov has recently looked at two quite comparable houses, one near Moscow and one near Washington DC. The Russian house costs some $93,000 while the U.S. one is offered for $440,000:
Cont. reading: U.S. Media Bias Creates False Pictures Of Russia
The MoA Week In Review – Open Thread 2019-76
Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:
Related:
Turkey's Grand Plans for Middle East Primacy – National Interest
Related:
The Democratic Leadership’s Strategy on Impeachment Is Doomed and Dangerous – Aaron Maté, The Nation
Former NSA Director Is Cooperating With Probe of Trump-Russia Investigation – The Intercept
>Rogers has met the prosecutor leading the probe, Connecticut U.S. Attorney John Durham, on multiple occasions, according to two people familiar with Rogers’s cooperation. While the substance of those meetings is not clear, Rogers has cooperated voluntarily, several people with knowledge of the matter said.<
Related:
The campaign proceeds quite fast. The terrorist don't fight back much because they lack fuel. A week or so ago the Russian airforce had bombed a complex of small refineries near Azaz in northern Idleb. That seems to have destroyed most of the available fuel supplies.
At the UN China and Russia have vetoed the attempt to open new UN humanitarian aid border crossings in the the Kurdish held area in the northeast. Russia then introduced a resolution that would have allowed to keep two UN aid crossings into Idleb governorate open. The 'western' countries voted it down. Unless some new compromise is found by January 10 UN supplies into Idleb will cease by that date.
Other issues:
(I am currently traveling to spend a few days with my wider family. New Moon of Alabama posts will therefore be fewer than usual.)
A look at a another war:
Propaganda in the War on Yugoslavia – Swiss Propaganda Research
Anti-Vaxxers:
Peter Hotez vs. Measles and the Anti-Vaccination Movement – Texas Monthly
Space Force – the important stuff:
May the Space Force be with you. Here’s what we know about the US military’s newest service – Defense News
“It’s going to be really important that we get this right. A uniform. A patch. A song. It gets to the culture of a service,” [Gen. John Raymond, who currently leads U.S. Space Command,] said. “So we’re not going to be in a rush to get something, and not do that right. There’s a lot of work going on towards that end. I don’t think it’s going to take a long time to get that done, but that’s not something we’re going to roll out on day one.”
Use as open thread …
Travel Notice
Dear Readers,
I am currently traveling to spend a few days with my wider family. New Moon of Alabama posts will therefore be fewer than usual.
b.
PS: Use as open thread …
Syria Launches New Idlib Campaign – UN Battle Over Control Of Aid For Syrians
The Syrian army campaign to liberate the terrorist held Idleb governorate was restarted yesterday. The campaign had been halted at the end of August after ceasefire negotiations between Turkey and Russia. Since then nearly a thousand people have died on all sides around Idleb during skirmishes, artillery attacks by rebels on Aleppo city and Syrian and Russian air strikes.
The general aim of the re-launched campaign is to liberate the cities Maarat al-Numan and Saraqib and to gain control over the north to south M5 highway between Hama and Aleppo.
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The currently most active front is in the southeast of the territory where at least two axes of attacks take place in the direction of Maarat a-Numan, a city that had 80,000 inhabitants when the war on Syria started. The terrain is relatively flat and allows to make good use of tanks.
Cont. reading: Syria Launches New Idlib Campaign – UN Battle Over Control Of Aid For Syrians
Open Thread 2019-75
How The Deep State Sunk The Democratic Party
The House Democrats continue to party on their Titanic voyage even as there are clear signs that the impeachment iceberg will sink them:
President Trump’s job approval rating has ticked up 6 percentage points since the Democrats' impeachment inquiry began, according to a new survey.
The Gallup poll released early Wednesday found Trump’s approval rating at 45 percent, up from 39 percent when the inquiry was launched in the fall. The new findings mark the third-consecutive increase in Trump's approval rating, Gallup noted.
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Gallup’s new poll found that 51 percent of respondents say they oppose impeachment and removing Trump from office, an increase of 5 percentage points since the Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) announced the impeachment inquiry into the president's dealings with Ukraine. By contrast, 46 percent of respondents now support impeachment and removal, down 6 points.
Not even the Democrats core supporters are enthusiastic about the step the House Democrats will take later today when they will vote to impeach Donald Trump:
Liberal groups organized more than 600 events from Alaska to Florida, following a familiar model of mass protest that has come to define the left during the Trump administration.
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For all the passion among activists, the gatherings were notably smaller than many of the other recent mass protests ..
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Some activists acknowledge that impeachment doesn't fire up people like life-and-death issues such as health care, guns or climate change.
The Democrats hope that by November 2020 the voters will have forgotten about impeachment and vote for Democratic candidates. But Donald Trump and other Republican candidates will take care that everyone will keep the issue in mind.
It is the reason why Trump's letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi reads like an overlong campaign ad. Its content will be at the core of each of his campaign speeches. It is no holds barred but surprisingly factual.
Trump partisans are not the only to think that the impeachment articles the Democrats brought forward are astonishingly weak and not supported by the facts. The Senate will need little time to exculpate Trump.
So how did the Democrats get here? Trump's letter notes that talk about impeachment started as soon as he stepped into office:
Cont. reading: How The Deep State Sunk The Democratic Party
The Turkish Intervention In Libya Might Lead To A War With Egypt
The Turkish President Erdogan continues to create enemies for Turkey.
After waging a war on Syria, he has managed to piss off the EU by pushing refugees towards it. He has displeased NATO and the U.S. by installing Russian air defenses. Most Arab countries at the Persian Gulf hate him for his support for Qatar.
Erdogan has allied himself with the Government of National Accord (GNA) that rules in Tripoli, Libya. He will now have to take on several additional countries which support the GNA's opponent.
After the NATO war destroyed Africa's richest country Libya is still split.
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Most of the east and the south and most of the oil of the country is ruled by General Khalifa Haftar, a former CIA asset. Haftar has support from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Russia. A U.S. delegation recently visited him. Nine month ago he started a campaign to eliminate the Muslim Brotherhood controlled GNA around Tripoli and Misrata.
The campaign got stuck even as each side continued to put more and better material onto the ground and into the air. Pilots flying for Haftar are allegedly from the UAE and Egypt. The GNA flies Turkish drones which are likely controlled by Turkish pilots. There are also rumors that Russian mercenaries are involved in support of Haftar.
Both sides lack well trained ground troops in sufficient numbers. At the end of November Erdogan offered a rather curious agreement to the GNA. In exchange for troops from Turkey the GNA would have to agree to a common maritime border between Libya and Turkey.
Fayez al-Sarraj, the Chairman of the Presidential Council of Libya and prime minister of the GNA, agreed. That resulted in this curious map.
Cont. reading: The Turkish Intervention In Libya Might Lead To A War With Egypt
Max Blumenthal Says He Is A “Cynical Salesperson Posing As Journalist”. He Is Right.
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In July 2017 we took on three "cynical salespersons" in the 'progressive' media who took part in a "disinformation campaign aimed at convincing Americans to support decapitating another Middle Eastern government and let Al Qaeda and co. fill the void." Those three "cynical salespeople" were then and still are "posing as journalists".
Five years after the war on Syria began those three "cynical salespersons", who had consistently propagandized for more war on Syria, turned around and started to write in favor of the Syrian government side while either forgetting to mention or even hiding their earlier position.
From our 2017 piece Syria – The Alternet Grayzone Of Smug Turncoats – Blumenthal, Norton, Khalek:
Cont. reading: Max Blumenthal Says He Is A “Cynical Salesperson Posing As Journalist”. He Is Right.
The MoA Week In Review – Open Thread 2019-74
Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:
Related:
What have the US and protestors in Lebanon achieved over Iran and its allies? – Elijah Magnier
Intel: How Trump continues to restrict humanitarian trade with Iran
If Iran Falls, ISIS May Rise Again, Tom O'Connor, Newsweek
Related:
Washington Post’s Afghanistan Story Reveals Core Folly of American Defense Strategy – Matt Taibbi, Rolling Stone
At Least 23 Soldiers Killed in Insider Attack in Afghanistan – NYT
Related:
The Inspector General’s Report on 2016 FBI Spying Reveals a Scandal of Historic Magnitude: Not Only for the FBI but Also the U.S. Media – Glenn Greenwald, Intercept
Related:
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Related:
The pickle-fork issue affects some 5% of the 7,000 older 737 NG jets. Its repair is a costly affair.
Qantas Boeing 737 Crack Repairs Taking 3000 Man Hours Per Plane
Additionally all NG planes will also need new engine inlets and engine fan cowls.
Boeing Is Redesigning 7,000 Planes. It's Not What You Think.
Related:
The Ukrainian Anti-Corruption Bureau is a U.S. creation. It is therefore not astonishing to find that it is corrupt.
@kooleksiy 16:29 UTC · Dec 13, 2019
Director of Ukraine's National Anti-corruption Bureau Sytnyk will pay a ~$140 fine for "violation of restrictions on accepting gifts" [valued at ~$1 thousand in his case] – his lawyer stated today after Appellate Court ruling @dw_ukrainian reports www.dw.com/uk/
Maksym Eristavi @MaximEristavi – 9:50 UTC · Dec 14, 2019
Gut-wretching vid from yday Kyiv court hearing where a group of veterans tried for assassinating top Ukraine journalist Pavlo Sheremet. Their supporters bully, swear at and throw death threats at the prosecutors, their families & kids — right in the court.
Policemen do nothing
Related:
In Praise of Telling the Truth – Peter Hitchens, First Things
The Art of Doublespeak: Bellingcat and Mind Control – Edward Curtin, Off-Guardian
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Other issues:
Cont. reading: The MoA Week In Review – Open Thread 2019-74
Media Suppressed Evidence Of The OPCW’s ‘Chemical Attack’ Manipulations – There Is Now More Of It
A journalist describes why he resigned when his outlet suppressed his reporting about manipulations within the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
Meanwhile Wikileaks published additional evidence that the OPCW Manufactured A Pretext For War By Suppressing Its Own Scientists' Research:
Leaks from the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) prove that the OPCW management ignored or manipulated reports its Fact Finding Mission had written about the April 2018 Douma incident in Syria.
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The OPCW management ignored that the technical, chemical and medical analysis of its own specialists exculpated the Syrian government from the allegation that it poisoned some 40 people in Douma by dropping Chlorine canisters from a helicopter.
The new documents published by Wikileaks include the original Interim Report written by members of the Fact Finding Mission of the OPCW who were on the grounds in Douma to investigate that case. The original Interim Report was suppressed by the OPCW management and a rewritten Interim Report and manipulated Final Report were published. They made it look as if the Syrian government was guilty of a chemical attack. At least two whistleblowers have gone public and some 20 OPCW inspectors have internally protested to their management.
From Wikileaks' introduction:
WikiLeaks is also releasing the original preliminary report for the first time along with the redacted version (that was released by the OPCW) for comparison. Additionally, we are publishing a detailed comparison of the original interim report with the redacted interim report and the final report along with relevant comments from a member of the original fact finding mission. These documents should help clarify the series of changes that the report went through, which skewed the facts and introduced bias according to statements made by the members of the FFM.
The well respected Mail of Sunday columnist Peter Hitchens reports of additional details of the case:
The Mail on Sunday can reveal that a senior official at the Organisation for Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) demanded the ‘removal of all traces’ of a document which undermined claims that gas cylinders had been dropped from the air – a key element of the ‘evidence’ that the Syrian regime was responsible.
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The original interim report also mentioned for the first time doubts about the origin of the cylinders, saying: ‘The FFM [Fact-Finding Mission] team is unable to provide satisfactory explanations for the relatively moderate damage to the cylinders allegedly dropped from an unknown height, compared to the destruction caused to the rebar-reinforced roofs.
The videos from the Douma incident showed the undamaged pressure vessel 'sleeping' on a bed.
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Cont. reading: Media Suppressed Evidence Of The OPCW’s ‘Chemical Attack’ Manipulations – There Is Now More Of It
Please Support Moon of Alabama
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Moon of Alabama provides news and analysis which other media cover late or not at all. It offers original thought and no-nonsense writing on a nearly daily basis. This site is free of charge and of distracting advertisements. The comments are open and lively. It is the effort of a single person.
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Thanks you very much!
Bernhard aka b.
Violent Death Of Journalist – Blamed On Russia – Was Assault By Ukrainian Fascists
On Thursday the notorious Steele dossier about alleged Russian influence on President Donald Trump was officially debunked as unverified "internet rumor". On the very same day another case, in which Russia was accused of being behind a murder in Ukraine, fell apart.
On July 20 2016 a remote controlled bomb was used to blow up a car in Kiev and to kill its driver:
The blast threw the driver, Pavel G. Sheremet, a prominent journalist, into the back seat. The vehicle stopped then rolled backward, and for a moment, he seemed to be struggling to crawl free of the wreckage, closed circuit video showed.
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Mr. Sheremet, 44, a onetime employee of Russian state television turned critic of the Kremlin, was among several prominent journalists who had moved from Russia to Ukraine, where restrictions on the news media are looser.
Sheremet was the 14th journalist killed in Ukraine after the U.S. directed coup against its elected president and government. It was quite obvious that the extreme right in Ukraine, which had come to power during the coup, was behind the murder campaign:
As recently as May, Ukraine was rocked by a big scandal after the personal data of more than 4,000 media staff were posted online by Ukrainian ‘witch-hunting’ website Mirotvorets supported by the aide to Ukraine’s interior minister. The employees were accused by pro-Kiev activists of “collaborating with terrorists” for their reporting from war-torn eastern Ukraine.
Sheremet and the other killed journalists were on that list.
Western media largely ignored the anti-press murder campaign in Ukraine which was run by the fascist paramilitary Right Sector.
Instead, their reports on Sheremet peddled hints that Russia was behind the murder. The New York Times wrote at that time:
By the afternoon, President Petro O. Poroshenko called an emergency meeting of his national security staff and strongly hinted that Russia had been behind the brazen assassination.
“It seems this was an act done with the intention of destabilizing the situation in the country,” Mr. Poroshenko said. “In the conditions of war and aggression, I am not excluding the possibility of some foreign interest here.”
The Guardian noted:
Cont. reading: Violent Death Of Journalist – Blamed On Russia – Was Assault By Ukrainian Fascists
Boeing Will Have To Stop Its 737 MAX Production Line. What will Trump Do To Avoid It?
The grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX will be further extended. Major airlines have already moved the date for the return of the MAX into passenger service to April 2020. They will have to move it again.
After the first 737 MAX crashed in October 2018 the Federal Aviation Administration calculated that it was likely that about 15 more fatal crashes would happen during the 45-year life of the 737 MAX fleet worldwide. Despite knowing that another crash was likely the FAA did not order the planes to be grounded. Only after a second MAX came down in March of this year did the FAA react properly. It was the last regulator to do so.
Global trust to the FAA and Boeing was lost and other international safety regulators are now taking their own detailed look at the planes problems. That process is far from over.
Since the 737 MAX plane type was grounded Boeing has announced again and again that the re-certification of the planes and their return-to-service was just two months away. The always unrealistic announced return date helped to hold up Boeing's stock price and put the FAA under pressure to agree to Boeing's changes. The new FAA administrator Stephen Dickson has finally had enough of it and personally told Boeing's CEO Dennis Muilenburg to shut up:
Cont. reading: Boeing Will Have To Stop Its 737 MAX Production Line. What will Trump Do To Avoid It?
Open Thread 2019-73
News & views …
How, btw, did Corbyn do it?
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