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Weekly Review And Open Thread 2018-11
The last week at Moon of Alabama was heavy on 'Novichok'. But that story it is only one act in a much larger play.
Mar 11 – Syria – The Fall Of Two Cities
This morning Afrin fell to the Turkish supported Takfiris. Over the last days civilians and YPG fighters fled the area. The Kurdish YPG made no serious attempt to defend the city. They left large stacks of ammunition behind. The Turkish government will now 'settle' its own people in Afrin and, in two to five years, will let them vote to be annexed by Turkey. This chanin of events was easy to see but the political stupidity of the Kurdish leadership is immeasurable.
The Syrian army continues to split Takfiri held areas of east-Ghouta into tiny pieces. Ten thousands of civilians have fled from the Takfiri to the government's side. Negotiations over the evacuation of the 'rebel' fanatics are ongoing. In a week or two the whole area will be liberated and under government control. A 'chemical factory', likely used to prepare chemical weapons, was found in the already librated area.
The Russian Defense Ministry loudly warns that U.S. paid provocateurs plan a "chemical incident" to then accuse the Syrian government. The U.S. has sortied ships, say the Russians, to 'respond' to such an incident with a swarm of cruise missiles on Syrian government targets. If that happens, Russia said, it will attack any detected missile launching platform.
Mar 12 – Theresa May's "45 Minutes" Moment
The British government again lies about chemical weapons.
Mar 13 – Trump Orders Rexit – Torture Woman To Head CIA – (Updated)
Who is the next to be fired by Trump? Mattis or McMaster?
Mar 14 – Are 'Novichok' Poisons Real? – May's Claims Fall Apart
The 'Novichok' story, as told by the British government, can not be true.
Mar 16 – The British Government's 'Novichok' Drama Was Written By Whom?
The piece was updated quite often with additional facts and supporting links. Early readers may want to reread it.
A big thank you to all commentators for the extensive and very disciplined discussion of our 'Novichok' posts. These could not be published without your support.
Mar 17 – Guardian Rips-Off Goebbels – Fascist Propaganda For Better Anti-Russian Smears
The post was somewhat updated with this comment.
Use as open thread …
KURDISH LAND BRIDGE TO ISRAEL?
Russia, Turkey and the United States have come to a tacit agreement that the final settlement of the Syrian civil war will include population transfers where isolated problem populations are “ethnically cleansed” and moved to larger, economically and logistically more viable larger units. The relationship of these “cantons” to each other and to the Syrian state will be a matter for the political process.
The United States did not protest the ethnical cleansing of Afrin of its almost exclusively Kurdish population. These Kurds are needed to strengthen the U.S. occupation zone east of the Euphrates. America nor Israel has any use for Afrin, especially since dreams of a Kurdish or ISIS corridor to the Mediterranean have permanently been curtailed. On the other hand, the U.S. has shown its willingness to massacre hundreds of Syrians and Russians to demonstrate its ownership of some key points of Syrian geography. The locations of these points of contention might reveal a grand geopolitical scheme of the U.S. and its allies. The points:
- Everything east of the Euphrates, including the eastern bank of Deir ez-Zor.
- The oilfields east of Deir ez-Zor.
- Al Tanf border crossing and surrounding area on the main road from Damascus to Baghdad.
- The Daraa border crossing, just south of Daraa.
Several key places are held by ISIS, possibly with the tacit support of USA.
It is claimed that the reason the U.S. need to occupy the Al Tanf border crossing is to block the land corridor between Iran and Lebanon and thus prevent Iran from supplying Hezbollah. The real reason may be different. If pro-U.S. and pro Israel forces managed to take control of the Syrian side of the Jordan–Syria and the Iraq–Syria borders then it would enable Israel to supply a a Kurdish protectorate in eastern Syria. The area from the rebel enclave around Daraa to Amu Kemal on the Euphrates is mainly desert. If pipelines could be build on this strip of land then Israel could steal oil from “Kurdish” oilfields and even water from the Euphrates.
The United States may be about to start a land invasion of Syria. The offensive would start from the U.S. base at the Al Tanf border crossing and extend through Abu Kemal to the American and Kurdish-held areas on the eastern bank of the Euphrates. The troops would be supplied through Jordan. It is possible that Britain would also take part in this operation.
The 2,400 man strong U.S. 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit arrived in Haifa in Israel on March 14, 2018 aboard the three US Navy ships of the Iwo Jima amphibious ready group. The Marines may be on their way to the Al Tanf base through Jordan. Another 200 U.S. troops are said to have arrived in Al Tanf the previous week. Unconfirmed rumors claim that an additional 2,300 British troops also arrived at the base along with Challenger tanks and Cobra and Black Hawk helicopters.
The attack would start with with a massive cruise missile launch on Damascus from NATO war ship. The ships are said to be assembling in the eastern Mediterranean, the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea. Russia has promised to retaliate against any ships launching missiles at Syria. This warning was first stated by the Russian General Staff on March 13 and again on March 17. The missile attack would however be only the first part of a NATO attack. It would be quickly followed by a land invasion from Al Tanf.
Attacks by the the U.S. and U.S. proxies have the tendency to coincide with ISIS attacks in the same area. ISIS has recently launched massive attacks along the Euphrates river and more may be planned.
Any Western aggression on Syria would have to be preceded by a false-flag provocation by Syrian opposition forces. Britain pays lip service to international law and it could not launch a war of aggression without an effective propaganda campaign. Russia claims to have information that a staged chemical weapons attack is being prepared. The March 17th warning specifically says that the preparations are happening in southern Syria near the Jordanian border under U.S. supervision.
Posted by: Petri Krohn | Mar 19 2018 14:28 utc | 57
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