Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 6, 2017
Elections In France

Many readers here will likely be more versed in the intrigues of the elections in France than I am.

It seems clear so far the the synthetic Rothschild candidate will win this round.

But what will be the long-term outcome in the epic fight of globalists versus nationalists – in France, in Europe and elsewhere?

 

Comments

…also this show so well too how extremely naive people are and how great propaganda work in the western media. Why laugh at N.Korea? Western people are brainwashed beyond help.

Posted by: Anon | May 7 2017 18:32 utc | 101

No change same Establishment Presidents. Endless wars and Regime changes continue.
Clinton->Bush->Obomo->Trump
Nicolas Sarkozy->François Hollande->Emmanuel Macron

Posted by: OSJ | May 7 2017 18:37 utc | 102

Hopefully though, the parliamentary election in France next month cause some chaos for the globalists parties..

Posted by: Anon | May 7 2017 18:43 utc | 103

Everyone backed the wrong horse. Instead of pushing for JL Melenchon who’s also a non-interventionist on foreign policy from the very beginning as opposed to the unpopular candidate of Sarkozy’s party, F. Fillon, and then the Islamophobe Le Pen, you’all had to back Le Pen who had no chance in hell of winning because she scared not only Muslims but many on the Left.
So now the result is this – more of the same shit. Ugh.

Posted by: Circe | May 7 2017 18:48 utc | 104

Emmanuel Macron victory speech praising 5-years François Hollande’s regime.
Good luck good ridden!

Posted by: OJS | May 7 2017 19:13 utc | 105

It is unfortunate that the propaganda globalist state now appears unassailable. How anyone of intelligence could support such a fascist empty suit carrying his baggage is beyond me, unless propaganda received wisdom has reached such a level. I agree that it would have been better if Melenchon or Fillon had been the opponent, since Le Pen carries the baggage of her family inheritance. It seems to me that an undoubted status of being part of a present day fascist structure is more relevant than having an inheritance of collaboration with a prior regime a lifetime ago. It is also obvious that Le Pen’s positions were in the interest of the French people rather than the unelected international power structure. I see little future for anything after this result.

Posted by: exiled off mainstreet | May 7 2017 19:21 utc | 106

I see 66% is the new 98.7% common to autocratic elections. France lost another Republic.

Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | May 7 2017 19:22 utc | 107

Obomo praises Emmanuel Macron well run campaign and like Emmanuel Macron’s “Liberal value” . Good ridden!

Posted by: OJS | May 7 2017 19:22 utc | 108

I wonder when Israel will start sweating.
The idea is to make the use of lethal force against Muslims acceptable in the NATO countries with mass influx of them that will not assimilate but go to war on their host one way or another. Good plan but…
Plans could go awry as there is a real danger of a Sharia Europe if they forgotten how to be a barbarian.

Posted by: ThatDamnGood | May 7 2017 19:37 utc | 109

the media in unison crowing over the result of course. Was at a lunch today and all the obedient little Europhiles there watching the media talking heads were delighted. I’m not even a Le Pen supporter in particular but merely by questioning Macron’s agenda, where he came from, etc, I was met with mock Nazi salutes and snide remarks. The ideologues amongst the middle classes who back the EU/Globalist project are genuine fanatics, I can see it with my own eyes with every passing week. They won’t accept any counter arguments or dissenting voices. They refuse to think critically but merely rehash whatever the Guardian, New York Times or BBC say. The level of pro-Brussels tribalism is astonishing, even as someone who has grown up with and befriended many of these people down the years. One day their bubble will burst though but unlike them I’ll have the good grace to smile inside and whisper “I told you so” under my breath.

Posted by: Nick | May 7 2017 20:05 utc | 110

Nick:
Indeed, these people are brainwashed, they have no idea whats going on in the world, just watching msm and like you say you cant debate with people like these. The worst is that the left is the most brainwashed by this liberal right-wing propaganda. Thats why leftists parties are so weak today.

Posted by: Anon | May 7 2017 20:31 utc | 111

A third of the French voted Marie Le Pen. How would the French press look like, if one out of every three journalists was extreme right?

Posted by: passerby | May 7 2017 20:41 utc | 112

I know that France attempts to rigorously regulate “their” French language, so I presume that the Académie française prohibits the importation of the US colloquial term “sheeple”.
So we won’t see any French newspapers or websites proudly proclaiming “La Sheeple Ont Parlé!
This is an utterly predictable, even routine tragicomedy. But I must post this to give credit to an expatriate relative I’ll call “Joe”; Joe lives in France, and has proved to be a prophet.
Last year, when Joe visited the US, we were discussing the US presidential campaign and Bernie Sanders. Joe and I agreed that the West is experiencing a general political meltdown. Joe then went on to describe the default pattern that EU elections follow:
1) The prospective candidates are inevitably the “Usual Suspects”, i.e. centrist/moderate careerist technocrats, the odd “maverick” or two with limited, cultlike support– and The Extremist(s).
2) The Establishment power elite, institutions, and complicit mass-media begin an orchestrated howling: “Anybody But [insert Extremist du jour here]!”
3) The “Anybody But!” coalition throws massive resources into a public relations campaign to generate mass hysterical fear at the prospect that The Extremist may win and lead the nation straight to Hell.
4) The terrified, confused, hysterical, panic-stricken public accordingly falls in line and elects the favorite centrist/moderate careerist technocrat who will perpetuate the neoliberal status quo.
5) The Establishment power elite and its mass-media megaphone will effusively praise the inconquerable wisdom and good sense of The People in once again Saving the Republic by rejecting a dangerous Extremist.
________________________________________________
At the time, Joe offered this scenario to explain why Bernie Sanders wouldn’t be allowed to succeed. As it turned out, there are many reasons why the US debacle didn’t precisely conform to this pattern.
But Joe’s description perfectly fits what’s happened in France.

Posted by: Ort | May 7 2017 21:08 utc | 113

The French elections are also the end of the post-world war 2 world order. Until now, the elections were left against right, socialists against conservatives.
In these elections both socialists and conservatives lost out. Now it’s nationalism against globalisation.

Posted by: Passerby | May 7 2017 21:56 utc | 114

So Macron 65%, and Le Pen has already conceded. Campaign well run. Macron is a shark (report from the family), not a victim of the banksters. He followed May’s strategy in UK of staying quiet till elected.
Future policy: not merely a bankster, but also the son of a conservative family of doctors from Amiens. So not a pure neo-liberal, as has been suggested, but someone who is forced by his family background to take their point of view into account.
The prospect is not too bad. Other than in foreign policy, where he has declared himself against the Asad regime in Syria. I don’t take that too seriously. Once in power, he may discover what is implied in attacking Asad, that is war against Russia, and he may hesitate.

Posted by: Laguerre | May 7 2017 21:59 utc | 115

@111
“The worst is that the left is the most brainwashed by this liberal right-wing propaganda. Thats why leftists parties are so weak today.”
couldn’t have put it better. As many have commented on, the notion of left vs right is dying. In Europe it has morphed into something akin to pro-EU vs pro-nation state. The levels of cognitive dissonance from people of the traditional left is truly astonishing.

Posted by: Nick | May 7 2017 22:12 utc | 116

I am French. Macron won because of an unprecedented media onslaught that led 25% of voters who don’t know their heads for their a… to vote for him in the first round, while the media had blocked anyone but Macron and Le Pen from getting to the second round. That’s because they know that people would elect a head of lettuce if that head of lettuce was running against Le Pen.
There is a very good interview of a French liberal (as in “proponent of free-market rather than big State”. Americans would call him “a libertarian”), Charles Gave, who gives a clear vision of the whole shebang, and of why this could be getting out of control in the near future. You see, the US only stopped major civil war kind of s… because Trump won, which disarmed the anger of the disenfranchised masses. Unfortunately, in France, Emmanuel Clinton won. And the French extreme left wing, who hates Macron’s guts, can be dangerous. I mean, physically dangerous. Other clear-headed observers than Gave are already mumbling words like “barricades” and “civil war”.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-06/why-charles-gave-expects-total-mayhem-france-even-if-macron-elected

Posted by: Lea | May 8 2017 0:33 utc | 117

@90, smuks, ‘It’s not a question of belief, but of analysing what’s actually going on. …’
righto … you offer an assertion with zero analysis. meanwhile the rothschilds guy is president of france. superficial analysis, sure, but hard to walk around. or is big finance our friend? seems to be yours.

Posted by: jfl | May 8 2017 0:47 utc | 118

I haven’t seen anyone mention that only 28-29% of the voters participated in this election.
What does that say about any French thinking their vote matters? Look at the choices they were “offered”.

Posted by: psychohistorian | May 8 2017 0:53 utc | 119

@74 noirette
the parallels between obama and micro seem very strong … someone linked elsewhere – on the open thread – to a biography of obama that had him making decisions with an eye to future political – showbiz – utility at an early age.
the ‘destiny’ of the ‘political’ – showbiz – class seems now to be to surf the waves of financial power, all pretense to politics long gone. probably always thus, to a great extent. but with the need for real politics so striking now – the disaster to be had for relying on autopilot more apparent than ever – so too is the self-centeredness of the showbiz personalities.
greed is good, right? the invisible hand of the market will bring about the best of all possible worlds.

Posted by: jfl | May 8 2017 1:39 utc | 120

@119 Psychohistorian: the other way around. High turnout compared to your average election in Western democracies, moderate turnout for France. Macron still got more than 40% of all possible voters’ approval.
Which leads me to:
@117 Lea:
If Macron manages to trick the French fools again and his non-existing party actually gets a majority in parliament, I expect things to go South before his first mandate is over. As in major demonstrations. And unlike Nick, I’ll make my best to remind to all my acquaintances who voted Macron by default / because their friends/significant others were brainwashed idiots who would’ve killed them otherwise that they did vote for the guy and are to be blamed for that shit. I want all those who voted for him without considering him worthy of the office and despite considering his opinions as utter shit to actually hate themselves for what they’ve just done, and then to hate him for what they did. And I mean *hate*, not dislike.
I’m also not sure it’s hardcore leftists who would go the farthest in violence; antifas and similar groups mostly seem to focus on soft targets and heavily outnumbered cops. FN guys are just as tough and desiring violence, they just don’t dare to risk it now considering how everyone else suspects them of being closer fascists; and the longer they’re kept out of any significant power, the closer they’ll come to giving in to violence.

Posted by: CluelessJoe | May 8 2017 2:14 utc | 121

…PARIS (Sputnik) — A total of 4.2 million of French voters cast empty ballots in the presidential run-off on Synday, a survey conducted by Ispos and Sopra Steria said ….8.9 percent of the total of 47.6 million voters cast empty ballots, refusing to give their support to either of the candidates.
https://sputniknews.com/europe/201705071053368008-french-voters-cast-empty-ballots/

Posted by: OJS | May 8 2017 3:04 utc | 122

@ jfl | May 7, 2017 9:39:16 PM | 120
I may have made the comment you refer to but it was not linked to other sources, rather an informed opinion of my own. It is well past the time for editing that comment but being distracted in typing it out (an interrupted thought a.k.a. a ‘senior moment’, something happening with increasing regularity as the vintage approaches 3/4 century), I neglected to insert the penultimate position of both Obama and Micron as holding senior national public offices thereby exposing their names to widespread public consciousness, Obama in the U.S Senate, Macron as a senior minister in Hollande’s administration as Economic’s minister, a position of significant technical ability implied – Neither producing any significant record of accomplishment. Maybe a control F with my handle will produce the original comment (append the above to it SVP). I try to never rely on Google for my opinions nor YouTube for information, either place I usually find no there there.

Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | May 8 2017 10:22 utc | 123

@ 123 Addendum
The link to the comment at: Poll: The Democratic Party is in Deep Trouble is:
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/04/poll-the-democratic-party-is-in-deep-trouble.html#c6a00d8341c640e53ef01b8d27ba527970c
May save you the search.

Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | May 8 2017 10:33 utc | 124

mina @ 78. Marine: abysmal performance in Pres. debate vs. Macron.
MLP is good speaker facing a supporting audience, but she can’t deal well, or at all, with one-on-one opposition. I remember one TV show where she was facing Mélenchon and simply refused to debate him, he was an ‘illegitimate’ candidate, she looked only to the Media masters, and ignored all he, Méluche, said. This drove him wild and he was vituperative (no doubt the desired effect.) It is important for MLP to appear to be persecuted, marginalised, left out, etc., so that her voters, many of whom are truly so, identify with her.
Iirc, a Le Pen member has failed to become Pres. 7 times! It’s a cottage industry, the Le Pens are supposed to drain the discontented vote, corral it, keep it captive, on a few simple themes, xenophobia, nationalism, national preference, support for families, against globalism / outsourcing, adding in some ‘state support’ stipends, some advantages for a certain class of poor ppl etc. The FN at present drains mostly ‘right’ voters, leaving the ‘left’ to split on its own which it gloriously manages to do with zero prodding, no shame at all, so no need to interfere there. Heh, Marion Maréchal le Pen is ready to carry the flame forward another 50 years.
Fascim is an extremism of the center, with a heart-felt soldered marriage between ‘economic, capital forces’ —corporations, big biz, war, arms, production, control of land, ppl, etc. — and the State – Gvmt – Oligarchs. No need for overt authoritariansm with jackboots, night raids, prison, torture.
We see inspiring, gripping discourse, the inner soul of strength that can be called up, glory be: The Nation or The People who Will, or Must, prevail, a quasi evangelical solidarity without a prescriptive religion… Le Pen and Macron both exploit this register, in different ways.

Posted by: Noir22 | May 8 2017 14:33 utc | 125

@123 @124 ftb
actually on the obama biography i was thinking of @26 jawbone’s post on the open thread …

Seems he ended up weighing what race his wife should be based on his desire to win in politics and get ahead fast and to the very top.

… although i certainly agree with the points you made, [ Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | Apr 25, 2017 6:37:18 AM | 73 ] … i hope the unsubmissives … or whatever Mélenchon’s party is called, La France insoumise … can fill the vacuum created by micron’s non-party ‘win’. i have only a shallow understanding of french politics. i think that as in the us, the mechanics behind the scenes have their hands on the controls in europe, and that ‘serious’ among the political class are just a bunch of hoofers, as was/is obama.

Posted by: jfl | May 8 2017 15:51 utc | 126

@ 126 jfl
Resisting with every fibre I have to disparage the recent POTUS, I think you are correct about the nature of the political beast infesting a good part of the world. Mélenchon, iirc, entered the French race belatedly as an independent and garnered some 20% of the first round vote, insufficient to continue. Speculation has he would have been in the final two had he just a little more time to marshall his supporters and would have likely done as well if not better than Macron, this must be under the assumption that MSM would be honest brokers in dissembling the campaign. It has been said elsewhere that France is a politically conservative country, you can take that to the bank – good as gold. Independents begin in a hole compared to the traditionally known parties and some outliers having national recognition. [The village of about 1500 souls where I live in Spain has about 24 differing ballots to cover the local political spectrum, most garnering a few votes each election]. Nonetheless, Mélenchon demonstrated his political integrity by NOT directing his supporters to any specific candidate. The panic shown by establishment politico was revealing, had Macron NOT prevailed, almost as if EU/ Brussels would collapse as result of M. Le Pen obtaining office. The ubiquitous support for Macron from every quarter other than public must be a telltale sign if anything else is; France got their Clinton, as in Hillary Hollankozy.
You might look into what the Irish Republic has for conducting a multiparty election that gives first past the post candidates the position for multiple office districts – space is too short here to accurately describe but in short a voter ranks the preference of their candidates on the ballot and as the field is eliminated the vote is transferred to the next preference marked on the ballot – some districts having two or three seats to represent that district. All ballots are paper and hand counted under close supervision in public. Makes a fantastic argument for ‘none of the above’ having 50%+1 sends the election back for another slate of candidates.

Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | May 8 2017 17:52 utc | 127

@jfl 118
Let me guess – you are not very familiar with the BRRD or the CCCTB, am I right? FTT maybe?
I admit it’s not household names and somewhat complicated, but without knowing the reforms which are actually being implemented, it’s somewhat strange to generalize and say that ‘nothing is changing’, imo.
Of course, it is far too little, too timid, so I definitely don’t want to say ‘all’s well’. I generally agree with your last sentence @126, but find it important to take note (and reinforce) if there are steps in the right direction.
So yes, I hope Melenchon & Co. will be successful in the upcoming general elections. But they have to be careful not to form a de-facto front against the establishment together with the extreme right, since this would pave the way for an FN government.
The power of corporations and wealthy individuals (i.e. of capital) is obviously a huge problem – maybe the most fundamental we face – and undermines our current ‘democracies’. But if you look back at the 20th century, the best friends of capital (and thus worst enemies of the common folks) have always been the hardcore nationalists/ fascists. Germany, Spain, Argentina, Chile, Saudi-Arabia…

Posted by: smuks | May 8 2017 18:08 utc | 128

What is the surprise? There will be no adequate alternative candidate under capitalism. No real choice that will alter the condition of the working class and poor will be allowed. Nor will there be an alternative to the policy of imperialist policies abroad, whether as an appendage to NATO, or as a junior imperialist power in its own right.
Only the amnesia induced by the wheel of the life cycle revolving, and the rise and fall of generations, such that the lessons of the past are imperfectly passed on over the years — a process made more difficult by censorship and the deliberate falsification of history — allows this charade of bourgeois politics to continue.
Sooner or later, though, the internal dynamics of history and political need will catch up with this conservatizing process, and the old order will be overthrown. It will all seem so obvious… then! But now, the unfolding of political discussion remains tedious, overheated, flatulent and empty. Le Pen! Trump! Macron! Putin! All people with no future, nothing to offer to anyone, except their retinue and their financiers. All will vanish in a puff of historical smoke. Sad to say it usually takes a war to do this. I very much hope it will happen differently this time. That no war will be needed to terminate the rule of the modern-day Hohenzollerns, Romanovs, Habsburgs, House of Osman, etc. All great rulers! And now their ashes are insufficient to make a doorstop.

Posted by: Jeffrey Kaye | May 8 2017 20:12 utc | 129

@ Posted by: Jeffrey Kaye | May 8, 2017 4:12:49 PM | 129
Bravo. May the Tumbrels roll near & far!

Posted by: Outraged | May 8 2017 22:40 utc | 130

@128 smuks, the Financial Transaction Tax appears to continue to go nowhere, thwarted by the big capital interests that run the eu, while the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive and the Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base both seem calculated to benefit those same big capital interests, and to further remove ‘regulation’ from elected governments to appointed eu ‘authorities’.
the eu is an anti-democratic organization. it is government of, by, and for transnational corporate interests. peoples’ interests are not represented within it and people are held powerless against it. the very same powers that are in the us seem also to be in control of the eu. the eu is creeping corporatism. and it seems now to be creeping way past its speed.

Posted by: jfl | May 8 2017 23:03 utc | 131

@jfl 131
Actually no, the FTT is on track (if only in 11 states), while the BRRD and CCCTB go very much against financial interests. Why do you think was there so much pressure last year to allow state aid to Italian banks and push Deutsche Bank to the brink? To kill the BRRD, which forces banks to reduce speculation/ risk exposure.
As to the EU, here’s a logical riddle:
How can a single state regulate or tax transnational corporations or markets, whose business dealings and profits are global and move across borders in split seconds?
Answer: It can’t.
So if you want taxes and regulation to be purely national matters, this means you don’t want any at all. That’s the neoliberal model: Global mobility for capital, while politics remains within the boundaries of the nation-state, and states have to compete for investment by lowering wages, taxes, environmental protection… A great thing, at least for the 1% that is.
The EU is far from perfect and far from truly democratic, but if you want some form of democratic control, you have to strengthen it as well as other supranational institutions, esp. the UN.
Everything else, esp. Le Pen-style nationalism, only serves corporate/ capital interests.

Posted by: smuks | May 9 2017 11:31 utc | 132

ruralito at 82. Thx for the data from World Bank. I was going on e.g., Jean Gadrey, graph for F:
http://alternatives-economiques.fr/blogs/gadrey/files/pibhpibempl.jpg
Or go to site and search ‘effondrement’ etc.
http://www.alternatives-economiques.fr/
+ The likes of https://jancovici.com (attempts to integrate energy/economy, etc.)
—— World ‘economy’, the larger context, France within it —-
‘The economy’ in terms GDP per capita, as a % of World GDP, a total that varies over time, combined with a Purchasing Parity measure in ‘constant dollars’ identical or similiar to WB stats, used to make a historical comparison between two points, 1960 and 2012:
Most countries // zones, in the world are ‘stable’, i.e. they have, at the comparison points, the same size slice of the pie (the world economy grows over time.) Caveat: this is an *average* measure, and does not measure inequality (gini…), the stress of war, early deaths, migration, oppression, etc.
Exceptions. The USA has experienced a loss of 16%, in a steady downhill slope. The measure integrates per capita. (During that timespan the US economy grew, but so did its population.) Not surprising if you consider how ‘fantastically rich’ the USA was in 1960, in terms of GDP, energy use (!), sq. feet of housing, automobiles, agricultural and industrial ouput, exports, etc. per capita.
Gains. East and South-East Asia 8.5% (China 5,4%, the rest fractioned over the other countries). Japan, 5%. Ex-USSR 3.9% (Russia, 3%, rest fractioned.) Brazil, 2.4%. Middle East and the Mahgreb, 2.3%. All makes sense as well. (Total does not jibe as I have left off losses/gains of 2% or less.)
No change -> Canada, Europe, India, Aus, Oceania, sub-Saha Africa, S. America…….Overall economy grew, scientific, tech. advances, and one might judge that ppl’s lives ‘improved’ with better med care – sanitation – housing, smarter teachers, cell phones, better re-distrib, more tolerance, chocolate doughnuts with sprinkles, or whatever.
Do we see any interesting up-down movements during the time-span?
The only major one is EU27 countries (not the political entity), which rises from 26 (on this index) in 1960 to 33 in 1990 and then…sinks to 24 in 2012. Imho, it appears that EU enlargement, and its re-distributive investments, outsourcing, de-localisation, import of cheap labor, provided a tremendous boost which then rapidly sank, in effect annuling the rise. — Which explains in part Greece, Ukraine debacle, general EU problems and ‘protectionism’, Brexit, rise of Le Pen, Wilders, etc.
http://slideplayer.fr/slide/2331478/ (in F, and v. hard to read etc.)

Posted by: Noir22 | May 9 2017 12:48 utc | 133

I agree with the abysmal performance; she probably lost 5 % that day.
You confuse Mélenchon and Hamon. Hamon came in late and as a submarine, programmed to grasp from Mélenchon the voice he needed to pass 1st tour, and consequently, helping Macron be the one in the 2nd tour. A Hollande plan.
Mélenchon started the presidential campaign a year before (unlike the socialists with Hollande who kept saying until december ‘i will announce shortly if i am candidate or not’!! or later ‘i will announce shortly who i support among the candidates to the primaries’… and in the end did not even go to vote in the primary HE HAD insisted to organize… bigger despise than that you don’t get.
Pretty good documentary on Mélenchon:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3RtMQQ3wdjk
(born in Tangiers of Italian and Spanish parents, arrived to France as a child and was victim of racist insults as an ‘Arab’)

Posted by: Mina | May 9 2017 14:21 utc | 134

For those who think France will get a Greek therapy, a few facts:
– a peasant in France, who starts working at 16 and keeps working until getting his full pension usually get around 800-900 euros per month once retired. This is based on what they earned before and they cannot usually pay themselves more than that throughout their life if they want to stay independent with just a small exploitation. The French system evaluates the pension on “the 25 best years”. The problem is that for people whose best years were on this level, it is just enough to pay rent and food (and just 200 euros above the ‘minimal’ provided by the state even to someone who has never worked).
– the medical file is not centralized: you go to a doctor and he has no information available on what drugs you are taking, what other doctors you have seen, etc. same for hospitals: they have no clue about your allergies. You are supposed to know everything, to memorize it, and to explain it (quickly) to the doctor you have waited 2 hours to see.
But explain that to the French and they will still tell you that they are against reforms and that it is worse anywhere else.

Posted by: Mina | May 9 2017 14:53 utc | 135