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Elections In France
Many readers here will likely be more versed in the intrigues of the elections in France than I am.
It seems clear so far the the synthetic Rothschild candidate will win this round.
But what will be the long-term outcome in the epic fight of globalists versus nationalists – in France, in Europe and elsewhere?
Macron, next Pres. of France, an exceptional person. (I am not a fan.)
A strand in F politics / commentators etc. brands him as a candidat fabriqué, a candidat du système a sort of cut-out ersatz pol, created and boosted by the financial elites, Mega Corps., banking – as he worked for Rotschild, etc. The MSM, particularly magazines… ensuring his win with 24/24 favorable coverage. Sure, he is young, good-looking, etc.
This pov is conveniently conspiratorial, and the media support is real; yet, the MSM merely follow and go for the winner, in kind of positive feed-back loop, pretty mindless.
“Manu” – pour les intimes – is very clever, tough, and determined to rise / become powerful since he was a precocious child, attracted to and competing within the world of adults, since the age of 5?… Yes, a psych profile approach is superficial, junky, or only one aspect. The ‘parental’ love of his life was his grand-mother. Manu took decisions about his life very young. At 12 he was baptised Catholic, by his decision. Pic in church first from coll. of pix young Macron, Gala gossip mag.
http://photo.gala.fr/emmanuel-macron-et-brigitte-trogneux-retour-sur-leur-rencontre-lorsqu-il-etait-lyceen-22835
At 15 -17 he decided he would marry the teacher B. Trogneux (24 years older than him, with one child older than him, another the same age and in his class at school), and he managed that. The ‘unconventional’ marriage is now 100% accepted, and even a I’d say a ‘plus’ point, in the sense that ‘different love-lives’ tinged with trangression attract support from certain quarters. Some gays support Macron as rumors about him being gay with his older wife as a ‘mommy type cover’ indulging in an affair with some sultry media guy.
Macron is an opportunist taking advantage of the break-down of trad. F politics – death of the Socialist party, divisions on the right, oppos parties no clout, Sarkozy despised, Hollande then more so.. to present a quasi ‘evangelical’ solution as a last ditch effort against decline, sinking GDP per capita, > as ‘collaborationist’ with the US-EU-NATO – etc. He is most likely quite, or semi-sincere, in his desire to fix it all. A ‘maverick’ who is yet ‘hyper conventional’ – a very conventional profile!
@ Gravatomic at 6. Le Pen will never win, the FN will never have a ‘prez.’ About the social unrest, yes.
Posted by: Noir22 | May 6 2017 14:54 utc | 19
jfl @ 30. Something like that yes! – no religion afaik before 12 yrs. (Macron.)
jen wrote: “What’s the possibility that le Pen will receive a large proportion of her votes from people who would vote for anyone who looks like a winner, regardless of political and ideological affiliations, simply to stop Macron from winning?”
MLP will not attract votes as ‘the winner’ as it is known that she is, and probably always will be – a loser. Yet, some Mélenchon – Fillon, ‘other’ voters, who are rabidly against Macron, will vote Le Pen. The anti-Macron crowd was discussing voting MLP/abstention/nul vote to death on boards, and some said, heh go for MLP.
My prediction was that the outcome would be closer to 70-30 than 60-40, in favor of Macron; for sure MLP will pick up some anti-M voters, not enough though imho to change that prediction, but who knows, trivial details, no matter.
More seriously.. It is generally assumed, or put forward, that Le Pen voters are the poor, the unemployed, the ugly racists, etc. – see Trump and Brexit. While the correlation with region/unemployment is high (as in GB and rust-belt US), for the rest it doesn’t hold.
The poor – those under the poverty line or severely disadvantaged, vote exactly the same as the national average, that is, not more for the FN, Le Pen, or FN candidates. (no link..)
Le Pen’s *presumed electorate* in the worker category, i.e. low-paid private-sector employees (factories, supermarkets, services, small biz, agri, etc.; *State* personnel votes socialist) is imho made up of roughly 3 equal parts.
Le Pen voters, who decry globalisation, foreignors, terrorists, muslims, etc. / the remnants of the left (socialist – Trotskyist – add anarchist – ..), who voted Mélenchon or not at all / those who are ‘foreign’ – outcasts in any case – and thus can’t rally to Le Pen or to anyone.. and just keep their heads down.
The divide-to-rule strategy has worked perfectly on these workers. In two factories I know of, the 3 different groups don’t speak to each other, except as routine politeness / ugly jokes small skirmish etc., as they are all in the same boat, subject to the same oppressive rules, etc. though some contacts/friendships cross these lines.
Marine is not pro-worker, and 2/3 ppl working one or two jobs of that type or those wanting to actually GET a job like that are aware. The last third grabs an opportunity to make noise, be heard, posture, play some kind of role, etc.
Posted by: Noir22 | May 7 2017 13:13 utc | 74
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