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The Imminent Dodging Of Brexit – A Gift For The Fascist Right
We claimed that BREXIT – is not gonna happen and pointed to a propaganda campaign (see further examples in the comments there) launched to reverse the Brexit votes. Within that campaign two memes get pushed:
First, young voters feel cheated of their future because some old, grumpy people voted for Brexit. Well, these young voters of age 18 to 24, tearfully interviewed by the BBC and Channel 4, constitute only 5% of the electorate. Only a third of them voted at all, 70% of those 1/3 of 5% for "Remain". This is a small part, and a not very interested one, of the population. Who are they to deserve some special attendance?
The second meme pushed is the "success" of some petition for a #ReverseBrexit vote someone set up on the UK parliament website. It now has more than a million "signatures". That is a lot in a short time frame. But wait, any dog on the Internet can "sign" that petition provided it has some throw-away email address. I, a German in Germany, "signed" to test the procedure. It took me about 30 seconds.
This propaganda campaign will not have any tangible success, but it sets a certain atmosphere which then will be used to stall the exit process.
The EU exit mechanism is build in a way that allows for an endless postponement of the actual procedure. This is the way the British politicians will likely take. The Jack of Kent Blog explains how this works:
The UK did not [immediately] send to the EU the notification under Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty on European Union which would have commenced the withdrawal process.
The Article 50 process is the only practical means by which the UK can leave the EU. … And so unless and until the Article 50 process is commenced and completed, the UK will stay as a member of the EU.
In short: no Article 50, no Brexit. … And it is entirely a matter for the Member State to choose whether to make the notification and, if so, when.
The UK immediately filing Article 50, as Cameron once promised, would trigger a two year long negotiation period with the EU which would end with the legal exit independent of the negotiation results. After filing Article 50 the clock would run down to the deadline likely without any serious concession from the EU. The UK has therefore an interest to negotiate before filing Article 50. To negotiate before filing is its only chance to apply some pressure.
But the EU has no reason, or legal basis, to negotiate at all before the UK files. Why should it make concessions to a divorce letter that was not filed and may not ever arrive?
It is a stalemate situation. The powers that are against Brexit will use this to blockade any move.
The six founding EU members claim to push Britain to file the Article 50 application immediately. But that is just playing to the gallery. In reality they want the never ending stalemate:
There is no desperate rush for Britain to trigger the process for it to leave the European Union, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Saturday, leaving London some space to work out its next move after a referendum vote to leave the bloc.
Despite the British voter decision for Brexit business as usual will continue with absolutely no change in sight:
Jack of Kent:
It is not impossible to imagine that the Article 50 notification will never be made, and that the possibility that it may one day be made will become another routine feature of UK politics – a sort of embedded threat which comes and goes out of focus. The notification will be made one day, politicians and pundits will say, but not yet.
And whilst it is not made, then other ways of solving the problem created by the referendum result may present themselves: another referendum, perhaps, so that UK voters can give the “correct” result, or a general election where EU membership is a manifesto issue, or some other thing.
This will not please Leave campaigners, and rightly so. It means the result of the referendum will be effectively ignored.
While this may be a convenient way forward for the EU bureaucrats and the politicians committed to neo-liberal globalization, the damage in the long run will be much more severe than a chaotic Brexit procedure.
Brexit will join a number of other issues on which the democratic will of the people has been ignored. This further de-legitimizes the EU and whatever it undertakes.
People who argue that a violent overthrow of the system is the only way forward will gain credibility.
The aborted Brexit will also give further impetus to the hard-rightwing parties currently cropping up in several European countries. These parties ostensibly cater to the "small people" who feel unrepresented and on the economic losing side. But the economic programs of these parties are anti-social and would only further inequality. They (ab-)use the grievance of the poor and middle class to gain even more power for the rich.
What is missing in Europe are leftwing parties that take the romantic longing for local nationalism – in opposition to bone-crushing globalization – seriously and merge it with socialist policies. The social-democrats once had that role but under Blair, Schroeder and Hollande they waft away into the anti-nationalism, neo-liberal globalization sphere. Nationalism has, for them, become a dirty word. This at the time as nationalism gains new popularity as the anchor for common people lost in the sea of neo-liberal arbitrariness.
The space left empty by them will be filled by fascism.
Central to all of the opinions and comments I’ve been reading since Friday’s win is the electorate the world over is AWAKENED, and if they weren’t on Friday they are today, to the nefarious, underhanded, secretive Western cabal’s march toward Globalism/NWO.
Thanks to the Brexit vote the U.S. march towards Globalism has taken a seat at the 2016 campaign table.
Since 2008, the more conservative voices in alternative news media throughout the world has relentlessly pounded home the facts by ripping off the masks of the fakery called ‘government’. Of course many were writing about this takeover long before 2008, but my point is, at least when speaking about the U.S., the energy shifted into high gear following the ’08 election in the states.
Back in ’08 the Republican/Conservative voters sensed something wasn’t right and began in earnest to figure out what in the world was really going on and down the rabbit holes they went. While digging to learn what the root cause of the their unease was their brethren passed Obamacare, Tea Party groups were skewered, taunted and belittled by the Left, Breitbart, a massive influence on conservatives, dies on a sidewalk of a heart attack following a glass of wine, the FBI was caught gun running across the border, no bankers went to jail let alone to court, no accountability, Hillary’s state dept seemingly aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood, the Arab springs, the Cantor’s and Boehner’s in the house always aligning themselves in the end with neolibs, the massive surveillance across the globe, the senseless loss of lives in the Middle East all for the sake of regime change so the West could/can divide the people and pillage the resources to line their greedy pockets and so, so much more.
Across the pond, the EU has been using austerity measures, a rather foreign concept, like a cudgel on Greece, Cyprus, Spain, etc. all the while secretly sending their military to Libya, Iraq, Syria and goodness knows where else. Having Merkel order millions of refugees to be re settled throughout the EU, the pensions debacle, unemployment rates skyrocketing, housing unattainable, the constant fearmongering of terrorist attacks…
While the conservative right/middle here in the U.S. was awakening, the left remained stubbornly silent preferring blinders and hands over their ears all the while remaining loyal to the leadership rather than the values that once made the Democratic Party a platform for the people. The middle grew larger and made it their business, not all, of course, but damned many to learn too what was really going on.
Back in 2008 I’d be reading articles about which pill had been taken–the blue/red pill, the political/policy matrix, the communication matrix and the ‘wake up’ articles. Alex Jones tag line ‘There’s a war on for your mind’. The comment threads were so painful to read b/c a few folks then were yelling at anyone and everyone to ‘wake up’ ‘wake up’ and they meant it.
The conservative right, and I think it’s safe to say, the conservative middle has awakened here in the U.S. and the Brexit vote certainly shows the majority of the electorate has awakened to their leaderships dishonest, backroom deals, pay to play, talking out of both sides of their mouth, cozy elite club (literally).
The Brexit vote is the clearest indicator of the Zeitgeist or the growing trend of our time, that is 50+1 have AWAKENED to Globalism’s agenda and at least in Britain, the voters have rejected it by voting to Leave the EU. Going back is a loss and nobody wants to be a loser.
I believe this trend is only going to grow, strengthen and solidify as more bother themselves to learn Globalism’s agenda. As well, people intuitively align themselves with winners and fighting the elites agenda of Globalism is now a winning proposition thanks to Brexit.
Efforts I’m certain, enormous efforts, will be made by the Globalists to stuff the genie back into the proverbial bottle, but such efforts will be an exercise in futility. But try they will and try they must.
The comment posted by Yul@40 suggests Cameron is putting the onus of Brexit on whomever will replace him. I ask, so what? Why on earth would Cameron ever be expected to lead the departure? The Brexit vote was as much about him as it was about the EU’s governance. The next dance is going to be when Article 50 is triggered, not if. This is the next phase of Brexit’s battle and yes, the journey is going to be chock full of peaks and valleys, but I wholeheartedly believe in the end the voters will prevail because they must.
And as for the current propaganda campaign regarding the petition for a re vote? This effort too will fade away into the shadows of time. Few, very few, ever expected a Brexit win by more than a million votes against Remain. I know some say a million votes isn’t that much, but unless you’ve run a political campaign I can promise you that it is that much.
And I’d argue, given the growing trend of AWAKENING coupled with an already embarrassing loss equals the risk of losing, again. Globalists are a lot of things but they aren’t stupid, but then again…
Globalism lost on Friday. The People won. And the People aren’t going to go backwards. It’s not in our best interest and it’s just not in our nature.
The Brexit vote propelled the very real tug of war — Globalism v The People — out of the shadows and into the light of a very bright sunny day…
Next up, November…
Posted by: h | Jun 26 2016 17:30 utc | 66
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