No matter how the Brexit vote will go, the powers that are will not allow Britain to exit the European Union.
pic via Aenea Endymion
That's all.
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June 23, 2016
BREXIT – Not Gonna Happen
No matter how the Brexit vote will go, the powers that are will not allow Britain to exit the European Union.
That's all.
Comments
UK and Brexit: NATO Warns of Terrorism
Yep. The piece linked by ProPeace | Jun 22, 2016 8:36:11 PM | 35 in the Open Thread Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jun 23 2016 8:52 utc | 4 It wont happen simply because the STAY vote will unfortunately win, Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 8:56 utc | 5 The EU will break up, not through popular vote, but when the pressure on the economy becomes too great that no amount of bailout money can save it. Posted by: never mind | Jun 23 2016 9:01 utc | 6 Right from the start I accepted that the Remain side would somehow win. How could it be otherwise? The rulers want the UK to stay in and it will…even if the vote favors Leave, as b says. Democracy is nowhere to be found, anywhere. We live in a seamless, monolithic, Western world, cast as solid concrete, and the rest of the world will either have to actively oppose it or be subsumed into it. Of course Russia and China are the only credible opponents, not as if they form any kind of unified bloc. And let’s not even begin to speculate about the Clinton 2 administration’s urge to dominate all at home and abroad: a nuke of (self-) righteousness. Posted by: Quentin | Jun 23 2016 9:13 utc | 7 Britain is too well populated for the Remain in the EU forces to chance an election, the fix is in. If you look what happened in the Republic of Ireland, TWICE a (French) proposition to restructure the EU was put to a required constitutional plebiscite, TWICE the proposition was defeated, TWICE the vote was annulled and TWICE the proposition was resubmitted for a correct vote; look for both Nice Treaty and Lisbon Treaty. It is one of those things that raise questions about the quality of French theoretical republicanism since the Lisbon Treaty was the direct result of French manipulations after the Netherlands and France itself rejected the Nice Treaty after the Irish final acquiescence. France is superb about many things, republican politics isn’t one of them. Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | Jun 23 2016 9:55 utc | 8 And while the EU is struggling from the inside, SCO is due to admit India and Pakistan as members. Posted by: never mind | Jun 23 2016 10:00 utc | 9 As someone with a vote in this referendum, I would have voted Leave if the Leave group had also said they were going to quit NATO but since they’re all rabid Atlanticists they didn’t so I won’t. The sovereignty we’ve given up to the United States is far more important than what we’ve given up to the EU. Posted by: blowback | Jun 23 2016 10:04 utc | 10 @10, bb Posted by: jfl | Jun 23 2016 10:30 utc | 11 @jfl hear, hear! blowback, Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 10:44 utc | 13 I am waiting for the point that the British pound declines to the point that it reaches parity with the Euro. Whereupon the British will simply fix the conversion rate, and, while keeping their beloved currency, join the Euro zone in a de facto sense. Posted by: ralphieboy | Jun 23 2016 11:02 utc | 14 Craig Murray’s take is correct, I think.
London’s city hates regulations. Posted by: somebody | Jun 23 2016 11:48 utc | 15 google predicts a landslide for Leave. Posted by: Mischi | Jun 23 2016 11:52 utc | 16 jfl @ 11 Posted by: blowback | Jun 23 2016 12:39 utc | 17 I’m sure you’re right, b, though I don’t think Leave are going to win anyway. They seem to be going down. But even if they did win, it won’t be by much, a couple of percentage points. If that’s the case, it’s not really justified to go as far as a massive revolutionary change, and some kind of compromise would be more appropriate (at least if it were possible, which it isn’t). Posted by: Laguerre | Jun 23 2016 12:41 utc | 18 Re: Posted by: blowback | Jun 23, 2016 8:39:11 AM | 17 Jules @ 19 Posted by: blowback | Jun 23 2016 13:19 utc | 21 Yep, as we knew, REMAIN lead already, sigh. Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 13:19 utc | 22 re 20. Your link doesn’t understand that voting Brexit would not be a “decisive strike against the banking-corporate neo-Feudalism”, but rather lead to more of it. The Brexiteers are not left-wing, you know. They are more neo-liberal than the current lot, and can be trusted to destroy any remaining employment protection. Zero-hours contracts, the lot. The main feature is that they are anti-globalisation, and racist/xenophobic. Posted by: Laguerre | Jun 23 2016 13:25 utc | 23 Laguerre @ 18
No it won’t, the Conservative Party loves power too much. If Remain loses, Cameron will be eased out and most likely Johnson will be eased in, so there will still be a Conservative government and it will probably only move slightly to the right if Johnson has to incorporate the likes of Gove into the government. Johnson was a scholarship boy who climbed into the upper class rather being born into it like Cameron. Posted by: blowback | Jun 23 2016 13:32 utc | 24 re 24
That’s right. That’s what I said. You just don’t understand the ideologues of the Tory party. I gave you a link about their Mein Kampf (in fact plural works). Posted by: Laguerre | Jun 23 2016 13:49 utc | 25 re 24 again.
Sorry to pick you up on a point, but it’s misleading to call Johnson “a scholarship boy”. His father had a number of highly paid jobs, nice houses, and were upper middle class at the least. You don’t get a scholarship to Eton on social criteria, you know. You have to be already half in the system, as Johnson was indeed. Posted by: Laguerre | Jun 23 2016 14:19 utc | 26 23;Racist and xenophobic?How about they want to preserve their identify as Englishmen,not refugees fleeing globalization.(Globalization is good?-only for slavemasters.) Posted by: dahoit | Jun 23 2016 14:31 utc | 27 The debate, position-taking, and campaigning, have been the absolute pits, on both sides. Natch, I only followed it from far off, in the MSM etc. The comments on various sites (mostly afaik under 35s) were apalling in their arguments, almost every ‘fact’ or ‘consequence’ was…wrong. Posted by: Noirette | Jun 23 2016 14:35 utc | 28 Laguerre @ 25 Posted by: blowback | Jun 23 2016 15:02 utc | 29 dahoit Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 15:07 utc | 30 Read this morning that Cameron would never have suggested the referendum if he had thought it had a chance … it was supposed to be a relief valve and then real-life-events kicked in, most obviously the migrant and Greek Monetary crises … which added to pre-existing fairly intense anti-Eastern European immigrant labor (Polish, apparently — in whose footsteps the Ukrainians allegedly dreamed of following). Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Jun 23 2016 15:23 utc | 31 Like the Scotland vote the Brexit Vote votes have already been counted. Brexit 49.9% Stay 50.1%. Posted by: ALberto | Jun 23 2016 15:26 utc | 32 re 29.
You really don’t understand the dynamics. All the nutters and racists are in the Leave camp. They’re determined Little Englanders, brick up the Channel Tunnel stuff. Johnson is not alone, and may not be able to keep the lid on. But the major new factor, as I mentioned, is that they will be freed from the mass of EU legislation protecting workers’ rights, and will certainly go for dismantling human rights legislation. Of course, they say they’re going to create new “British human rights”. But you know how that is going to turn out. Posted by: Laguerre | Jun 23 2016 15:41 utc | 33 I have to wonder how Brexit is playing in Turkey and the Ukraine (and other countries starry eyed to join the EU). Islamophobia in the US is bad enough I have to wonder how many migrants (without family already in the US) would endure years of vetting for a chance to live here (not that racism against African-American and Hispanics, indigenous peoples and sundry other minorities is not constantly in the news) … next to old-fashioned dreams of unlimited opportunities, you have Chicago and Watts and the failing white working class dying young of substance abuse and suicide, with vigilant armed Americans inexplicably guarding the entrances. Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Jun 23 2016 15:48 utc | 34 Laguerre Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 15:50 utc | 35 I say Leave triumphs. Then things get interesting, as b’s “Don’t Take No for an Answer” post makes clear, when Conservatives and Labour work together to slow-walk the Article 50 process. Posted by: Mike Maloney | Jun 23 2016 16:02 utc | 36 Plenty of “good reasons” to oppose the EU .. long-standing, in fact, dating back to the EU’s formation — what’s doubtful is how many of those reasons figure in how large numbers of people are voting, particularly considering the “sudden swing” in the last month Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Jun 23 2016 16:21 utc | 37 @ BLOWBACK – Comment #17: Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 17:18 utc | 38 BREXIT Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 17:28 utc | 39 It’s very surprising for me to see people on MoA defending racists and xenophobes. Laguerre at 33. Posted by: Noirette | Jun 23 2016 17:28 utc | 40 CORRECTION regarding comment #38 Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 17:34 utc | 41 NOiRETTE Comment #40 Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 17:39 utc | 42 Norway had 2 referendums about joining the EEC (EF) and EU. Posted by: Trond | Jun 23 2016 18:24 utc | 43 What someone mention earlier, the EU is gonna break up eventually due to its own corruption, hate, racism, and contempt for its own people – it’s own people in the future being its biggest enemy by the evil elite. Posted by: tom | Jun 23 2016 19:04 utc | 44 In the West, people are made to vote until the desired outcome is achieved.. frankly speaking though, I don’t think a vote for in or out will change much. Posted by: Zico | Jun 23 2016 19:27 utc | 46 Can Zico, Noirette or any of the regulars respond to this? Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 19:31 utc | 47 Trond @43, Posted by: Jonathan | Jun 23 2016 19:59 utc | 49 Can Noirette, Oui, or one of the regulars acknowledge that they can see me? I believe that I have been prevented from posting on this site. I do not trust anyone else’s acknowledgement but a regular on here. Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 20:48 utc | 50 Susetta @ 38-39: I find myself in your camp. The Empire owns the EU. Regardless of any vote, I can’t see any change being allowed. Corporate dominance must continue. Same for the U$A, no matter who wins the election, workers are screwed. Posted by: ben | Jun 23 2016 21:00 utc | 51 susetta, Posted by: Jonathan | Jun 23 2016 21:17 utc | 52 Hi: Posted by: susetta | Jun 23 2016 21:39 utc | 53 If the “remain” wins, the EU will be able to impose more on the UK because the UK cannot threaten to exit anymore for a long while. In both cases this exercise has weaken Cameron. He will leave very soon as he won’t be able to handle a divided country. Posted by: virgile | Jun 23 2016 21:39 utc | 54 “We live in a seamless, monolithic, Western world, cast as solid concrete, and the rest of the world will either have to actively oppose it or be subsumed into it.” Posted by: rg the lg | Jun 23 2016 21:43 utc | 55 “Writing in the Financial Times, British lawyer David Allen Green explained Brexit voting is “advisory,” not “mandatory.” Parliament has final say. Posted by: ALberto | Jun 23 2016 21:49 utc | 56 Betting companies now give the remain vote an overwheliming lead. Tragic. Posted by: Robz | Jun 23 2016 21:52 utc | 57 I have a right to vote. I’m not going to. Why? Its fixed. The illusion of democracy, and even the amazing commentators here suffer from the illusion that that there is actually a real chance of “Brexit”… Bullshit. Just like you Americans think your “vote” makes any difference. Look around you. The majority of the worlds population dont give a flying fuck. Because we understand that knowing how to grow our own food is worth more than knowing who just blew Clinton. Posted by: dan | Jun 23 2016 22:07 utc | 58 I think William Hague, that old Tory, summed it up best: “The Leave campaign is really the Trump campaign with better hair.” Posted by: Lochearn | Jun 23 2016 22:15 utc | 59 Posted by: susetta | Jun 23, 2016 5:39:27 PM | 53 Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jun 23 2016 22:37 utc | 60 rg the lg @ 55 posted: Posted by: ben | Jun 24 2016 0:14 utc | 61 @ Never mind 6 Posted by: likklemore | Jun 24 2016 0:19 utc | 62 Some Legal experts weigh in: Posted by: likklemore | Jun 24 2016 0:31 utc | 63 this moment of realism brought to you by b Posted by: Jay M | Jun 24 2016 0:34 utc | 64 39 Posted by: Uk Tahder | Jun 24 2016 1:38 utc | 65 Referendum results are on live tracker on the guardian
Posted by: jfl | Jun 24 2016 2:41 utc | 67 Pssst, the yuan ‘gold fix’ (sic) is in! Buy renminbi! Posted by: Uk Tahder | Jun 24 2016 3:10 utc | 69 So now ‘Labour’ and the Tories defy the British public and elect a new people? Posted by: jfl | Jun 24 2016 4:28 utc | 70 This is a red letter day for democracy in the UK. Posted by: Nana2007 | Jun 24 2016 4:32 utc | 71 Britain Defeated … Again! Susetta I can see your posts but did not read (see) the one you are referring to. Posted by: Noirette | Jun 24 2016 5:34 utc | 75 @ Nana2007 | Jun 24, 2016 12:32:25 AM | 71 Posted by: Formerly T-Bear | Jun 24 2016 5:56 utc | 76 Posted by: jfl | Jun 24, 2016 12:28:26 AM | 70 Posted by: somebody | Jun 24 2016 6:12 utc | 77 This here is the BBC on city of London thinking
I am sure pay is not really the issue. Posted by: somebody | Jun 24 2016 6:21 utc | 78 VIVA the UK! This has nothing to do with racism. The MSM focus on racism but the ppl in the countryside who voted to leave are those who have been told in 2008 that they would get their pensions cut because of the financial crisis. They see Greece and think what happens when it comes to us. The so-called freedom of circulation and work is a joke (and I have been experiencing it enough) that does not actually help workers more than what existed before expect for cheap slave work paid 5e/3p an hour. In fact in the currect system even if you work full time in one EU country you don’t get rights in the neighbouring country, unless you have a permanent job in a big company. Posted by: Mina | Jun 24 2016 6:24 utc | 79 As the stupid Scots voted to Stay – maybe the English should have a referendum on Scottish independence. Posted by: DM | Jun 24 2016 6:30 utc | 80 Cynicism can be healthy but right now I’m busy feasting on my hat! Posted by: dan | Jun 24 2016 6:35 utc | 81 55 Posted by: Uk Tahder | Jun 24 2016 7:03 utc | 82 b, you’re wrong this time Brexit result 51.7% and Nigel Farage may soon be the PM. Posted by: Jack Smith | Jun 24 2016 7:08 utc | 83 @DM | Jun 24, 2016 2:30:52 AM | 80 Posted by: Jack Smith | Jun 24 2016 7:13 utc | 85 Primary reasons why Exit is OK I am headed to bed but am reading all the hysteria over the BREXIT vote and wondering how the situation will be manipulated by the global plutocrats to their favor. Posted by: psychohistorian | Jun 24 2016 7:18 utc | 87 Listening to Cameron’s speech I now suspect London will be very happy to mute into the Swiss of these Islands, with arms into the EU market that will take the shape of Scotland and Ireland. Posted by: Mina | Jun 24 2016 7:24 utc | 88 Cameron resigning, starting the Brexit process; a very gracious speech. Posted by: V. Arnold | Jun 24 2016 7:30 utc | 89 @Oui | Jun 24, 2016 3:14:34 AM | 86 Posted by: Jack Smith | Jun 24 2016 7:40 utc | 91 @V. Arnold Oui | Jun 24, 2016 3:46:26 AM | 93 Posted by: V. Arnold | Jun 24 2016 7:54 utc | 95
Well, I lost 10 Euro. Balance of the world remains in order 🙂 Posted by: radiator | Jun 24 2016 7:58 utc | 97 Fellow barflies, I do believe that for once we have good reason to celebrate! Posted by: dan | Jun 24 2016 8:17 utc | 98 Now the real fun begins! Posted by: blues | Jun 24 2016 8:25 utc | 99 it will get real fun; most EU countries now want referendums (and I don’t think it will mean for the extreme-right go up, rather, they have something to say during the referendums but afterwards they won’t be considered serious enough to rule) Posted by: Mina | Jun 24 2016 8:29 utc | 100 |
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