The civil war in syria will prolong intself at least 3-4 more years.
We need to understand 2 basical principles:
1. arms supliers: Turkey, saudi arabia, jordania, israel. In order to stop arms supliers to rebelds, the SAA MUST to close its borders with at least turkey and jordania. Without this, the conflit will endure years. neither the syria not russia have the tools to filter 100% of the skies and destroy 100% of rebels convoys with guns.
2. Bashar has a HUGE problem of man power and poorly trained man, that arent gifted for combat. as simples as that. The solution may be iran fighters, of afhgan shiite militias, but the problem of poor train remains. Look at the tak of Rabia by some russia special forces: almost no losses and a clean and swift job. Training is everything.

Posted by: Ignisdivine | Feb 2 2016 10:06 utc | 103

Posted by: Noirette | Feb 2, 2016 8:31:55 AM | 105
What you describe is correct.
The “dumping process” is simple – it is very hard/impossible to live illegally in Germany/Sweden when you depend on health services, schools, work permits, social security, bank accounts. So once the state tells you you have to go, your choices are limited. You can fight it, and you have a good chance when you have managed to integrate well, as the Germans you know/you work for will plead for exceptions to the rule. Apart from that, you might look for opportunities in the country you came from (and might get some German state help for that). Merkel’s open border policy was based on foreign policy goals (and German need for qualified workers, export markets), so the “dumping process” will be mostly an encouragement.
Above applies to qualified, middle class refugees from civil war countries – and quite a lot of them are, as poor people cannot afford the journey. Official estimates are that 10 percent of refugees will have a job within one year and 50 percent within five years.
What will be done about the globalized male Maghreb street kids is a social work problem and a nuisance for anybody using a city railway station. They basically rob to eat and harrass to have fun. And do the footwork for drug syndicates. I have not seen any concept for that.
The huge problem is the way refugee shelters get burned and politicians threatened by “concerned German citizens”. I have not seen a concept to deal with that either.

Posted by: somebody | Feb 2 2016 14:04 utc | 105

http://failedevolution.blogspot.com/2016/02/the-efd-imf-destroyers-seek-to-finish.html
Will the EU/IMF assaults on Greece never end? With Greek returning to the land to eke out a living, the EFD/IMF now demand the Greek government raise taxes and “social security contributions for all professional categories, including farmers.”
And then the demands that the impoverished Greek government “‘maintain proper border controls'”, or, it will be excluded from the Schengen zone.” With what resources is this to be done?
When the Big Money, Big Banks, Big Corporations have fully raided Greece of anything of value, where will they go next to enrich themselves?
If this has been posted earlier, my excuse is that I’ve been busy and haven’t had time to read all the comments.

Posted by: jawbone | Feb 2 2016 15:02 utc | 107

The other day the Lying times had an article about fear reducing or eliminating drugs,anyone else see it?(I couldn’t read it,my limit of 10 per mo. was up)I didn’t see it anywhere else as followup.
I know that drugs(alcohol, amphets) have been used but sounds great for the military huh?
Almost wahabian?.

Posted by: dahoit | Feb 2 2016 18:53 utc | 109

Ignisdivine @ 104
Please tell us more about the training deficiecy in Syria. I don’t suppose there is adequate time for good training since they feel they’re in an emergency situation. Aren’t they using Iranian trainers? Can you supply a link to the Russian Special Forces taking Rabia (?) with hardly any losses? Thanks.

Posted by: Penelope | Feb 2 2016 20:05 utc | 111

Watching from me laptop (can’t afford cable and TV) the sickening Iowa’s caucus publicly show how democracy at work, how people still believe in liars, thieves, crooks, warmongers and more…. promised everything from heaven to hell. Yea, the Democrats (Democratic party) in Iowa equally split between Hillary and Bernie meaning – duopoly exists in Democrat party or both candidates are the same. The different how they lied to please their supporters
This despicable Deja Vu will repeats 49 more times (not necessary caucuses). Well, need to stock up more popcorn…..
The shows will decide CA Super Tues which party should I change my voting preference from independent to Democrats or Republican.
Whatever, I will vote against apologists who keep this merry-go-around for so long. Yea, CHANGE, CHANGE you can believe in… My foots!

Posted by: Jack Smith | Feb 2 2016 21:05 utc | 113

The crimes begun in the invasion and occupation of 1948 continue …
Israel demolishes more Palestinian homes in West Bank

Local witnesses said the Israelis arrived at about 7:00 a.m. local time. Nidal Younes, head of a local village council, said 12 Palestinian families and in total about 80 people were left homeless as a result of the demolition.

The crimes begun in the invasion and occupation of 2003 continue …
4409 Killed in Iraq During January

Antiwar.com found that 931 people, mostly Iraqis, were killed, and 580 more were wounded. The Islamic State, Naqshbandi Army, and other militant groups lost 3,478 in fighting or by execution. Another 261 were reported wounded.
The United Nations also released its casualty figures for January. They estimate that 849 Iraqis were killed and 1,450 were wounded. At least 490 of those killed and 1,157 of the injured were civilians. They do not count casualties in Anbar nor among the militants. However, the numbers from Anbar province’s health department are 56 killed and 248 injured.
Combining the two counts, at least 4,409 were killed, and another 1,959 were wounded.

The crimes begun in the invasion and occupation of 2008 continue …
The $10 Trillion US Tax Giveaway – $10 Trillion More Proposed

From 2001 to 2016 US politicians have cut taxes on corporations and wealthy investors by no less than US$10 trillion. Another US$10 is coming.
Proposals for more tax cuts now pending in Congress – plus proposals supported by Trump, Cruz, other Republican presidential candidates – will add another US$10 trillion in tax cuts. And, as from 2001 to 2016, the latest proposals will once again benefit mostly US big banks, big corporations, and the wealthiest investors – i.e. the 1 percent and, even more so, the 0.1 percent and 0.01 percent.

The crimes begun in the invasion and occupation of 2011 continue …
Pandora’s box: how GM mosquitos could have caused Brazil’s microcephaly disaster

In Brazil’s microcephaly epidemic, one vital question remains unanswered: how did the Zika virus suddenly learn how to disrupt the development of human embryos? The answer may lie in a sequence of ‘jumping DNA’ used to engineer the virus’s mosquito vector – and released into the wild four years ago in the precise area of Brazil where the microcephaly crisis is most acute.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 2 2016 21:35 utc | 115

… and forever more.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 2 2016 22:01 utc | 117

What somebody at 106 describes is also correct. It is an aspect I didn’t touch on.
106: What will be done about the globalized male Maghreb street kids is a social work problem and a nuisance for anybody using a city railway station. They basically rob to eat and harrass to have fun. And do the footwork for drug syndicates. I have not seen any concept for that.
This is a problem which is linked but nevertheless somewhat separate. (We have these where I live: a multifacetted phenomenon, partly due to Sarkozy.)
To address the larger country and seeming nexus of crisis Germany, I read in some article that in G. a study was performed to assess the ‘at risk for delinquency’ of different ‘migrant populations’ (hah, already a somewhat suspect approach or framing), and the results turned back: 40% for ppl from the Mahgreb, and less than or around 1% for Syrians. (No link and the methods etc. don’t matter.)
This alarming difference is not ‘ethnic’, but due to the simplest thing: ‘migrants’ from Morocco or Algeria (…) have no – 0% – chance of acceptance (barring very special cases and some family re-grouping) and are de facto in the scammer-small crim-drugs circuit the day they arrive, which fact they and their families know, and they thus don’t ‘send’ anyone except young men. The few women-girls are *invisible* because they are prostitutes – trafficked- and illegal houseworkers (nannies, hotels, etc.). Whereas Syrians have a good chance at ‘asylum,’ have children, elderly sick sometimes, are prima facie refugees according to the UN, and are not “Arab.”
The guys in Cologne who went overboard are from that crowd, and many of them will have been hanging around in Germany for years.

Posted by: Noirette | Feb 3 2016 16:20 utc | 119

Posted by: Noirette | Feb 3, 2016 11:20:06 AM | 120
I have heard of a concept now. Steinmeier seems to have a deal with Maghreb states to take their people back (they refused to do that up to now).
For this, Germany will pony up money for training and employment projects.
Germany now is forced to spend the money they have been accumulating from exports, not on – fictitious – loans but officially spend it. Varoufakis could not force Schäuble to do that, but migration – with the help of Greece and Italy – can.

Posted by: somebody | Feb 4 2016 9:06 utc | 121

@123
Good article on Imperialism and the Transformation of Values into Prices. VirnetX VHC transforms nothing – intellectual property – into cash, troll tax on Apple’s initial transformation. Great graphic in that link. Part of the Value peak in the South is the transformation of human lives into Apple’s spiPhones and others’ products. Not unlike the mythic lampshades from Jews’ skin at Auschwitz.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 4 2016 9:34 utc | 123

IDF General Says Israel Effectively Part of Coalition Against ISIS

AP – A top Israeli general said Wednesday that the Islamic State group is “our enemy” and that Israel is sharing intelligence with allies battling the extremists despite remaining on the sidelines of Syria’s civil war.

Well, I guess if the US is part of the coalition against ISIS, Israel probably is too.

“I don’t think that Daesh will collapse in the coming months or year,” he said. “It won’t be easy. Not short and not easy.”

That’s what the US says too. I guess they know something the rest of us don’t? Or think they do. The Syrian/Iranian/Hezbollah/Russian coalition might just collapse ISIS before the US and Israel put the finishing touches on their Da’esh forever plans. Sometimes its victorious truth runs around the world before a glaring lie can finish putting on its shoes.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 4 2016 11:31 utc | 125

@126 jfl
Yeah, not wishing the plague upon Iraq, they’ve suffered enough…though, it will be interesting what is happening there once Syria – with its help – is able to clean house and seal its borders effectively.
How would that look…? An ISIS free Syria while ‘the coalition’ in Iraq fumble along.

Posted by: MadMax2 | Feb 4 2016 13:07 utc | 127

Yesterday the news was saying Cruz cheated in Iowa,by claiming Carson was quitting,thus stealing more wacko evangelical moron votes.Todays newspapers have nada.
They like Ted.

Posted by: dahoit | Feb 4 2016 15:02 utc | 129

Kiev Begins Redistribution of Property in Ukraine to American oligarchs, who figure they’ve collapsed the pricetags in Ukraine as much as they can, I suppose. The rape begins …

The “blue chip” of the privatization campaign – Odessa port plant (OPZ), the estimated cost of one billion dollars OPZ – endpoint of the main ammonia pipeline “Tolyatti-Odessa” with a capacity of 4.7 million tonnes (world trade volumes of ammonia at 20 million). Moreover, the OPZ can be considered as a base for the construction of a LNG terminal.
If you remember the public argument between Avakov and Saakashvili, it began during a discussion about the privatization of the OPZ, which is a conflict at the higher level between the business teams of Kolomoisky and Poroshenko respectively, for the ownership of the Odessa plant.
The USA may make amendments to the plans – it is possible that the United States, the main buyer of ammonia OPZ, will take part in the concourse of privatization.
The second object which Washington is potentially interested in is Odessa’s sea trading port, which was introduced, as well as 12 other sea and river ports, by “a team of European professionals” to the privatization list. Odessa port is a strategic facility, through which, according to some experts, the smuggling of oil from Islamic State (is prohibited in the Russian organization) takes place, and armaments to the Middle East. The purchase by US residents of Odessa port fits into the logic of the government of Yatsenyuk, planning to pass customs control onto foreign companies.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 5 2016 0:09 utc | 131

No More Electoral Coups: OAS is Not Welcome in Haiti

The Organization of American States (OAS), with the Hillary Clinton and her State Department chief of staff Cheryl Mills, adjusted the votes in 2010 to place Michel Martelly into the runoff that propelled him into office. (Clinton email – https://goo.gl/JwSd4S.)
After an immense and peaceful struggle, the people of Haiti have ousted Michel Martelly and the clock is running out for his term to expire on February 7, 2016.
On January 27, 2016, the OAS decided to authorize a special mission to come to Haiti, supposedly to “help the troubled nation find a way out of a simmering political crisis and set a new date for a runoff election.”
The OAS is not welcome in Haiti to come and cause another five years of hell for the people with a Martelly replica or an Opont replica. The people of Haiti have an exit plan: to conduct free and fair elections after Martelly leaves. The G8 group has adopted the recommendations of the Electoral Evaluation Commission and set forth proposals to be discussed only among Haitian stakeholders and the Haitian people. Haiti has had enough of the CORE Group, UN, EU and OAS interference. They’ve acted as tyrants but are good at writing boilerplate rhetoric outlining their self-proclaimed neutrality, professionalism or impartial position. Hillary Clinton’s emails reveal a different scenario. Their partner in crime, Pierre Louis Opont himself, the president of the Haitian electoral council both in 2010 and in 2015, has publicly testified that he gave the Internationals one result and returned a different one. These emperors are naked. The evidence of their perfidy, immorality, illegality, corruption and unwelcome interference in Haiti affairs is glaring.

Shots Fired and Violence Reported by the US Embassy in Haiti

The alleged violence follow days of protests against the arrival of the Organization of American States (OAS), who demonstrators say should not interfere with the country’s already contentious elections.
The term of President Michel Martelly ends Feb. 7, but after canceling elections last Sunday the Washington-based OAS have been called in to supervise the resolution of the political crisis.

‘Called in’ … No! Invited themselves … Yes!

Posted by: jfl | Feb 5 2016 0:40 utc | 133

@135 ‘Hitler in Asia seems to be some kind of comic figure’
A lot of folks take that tack. Check out this new Chula graduate’s smart Seig Heil!. The other thing they say is that graduates of Thailand’s … well Bangkok’s … premiere seat of learning are too dumb to know what they’re doing. I think they know exactly what they’re doing. The folks at the premiere seat of learning in Bangkok were very supportive of the 2014 coup and remain supportive now of the present Thai Führer, although some seem finally beginning to feel pangs of buyers’ remorse : they blame him for the ‘slowdown’ in the Thai economy.

Posted by: jfl | Feb 5 2016 2:34 utc | 135

From the link given by jfl @136
Of course, we are stunned that military officers consider that the military has any honor to protect but understand that much of the “training” of officers is about creating the fiction that the Army is a “protector” of the nation rather than a gang of murderous thugs. [Filing lawsuit about a video share]
This is of course a misconception. Gangs of murderous thugs have their “code”, which includes enforcing “respect” and punishing for “dissing”, and that is a behavior pattern that extends from rulers of city blocks to residents of grand palaces. AKP gang is very diligent on that point, but Thai junta is not exactly a slouch either. Both Turkey and Thailand are deeply divided societies where the rulers cater to their favorite segments while thrashing the others, which in Turkey allows to gather 50% of the vote, with some forceful squeezing if necessary, but in Thailand, not so much due to the ignorance of the peasants in the provinces who do not appreciate what is good for them, hence, junta.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Feb 5 2016 15:27 utc | 137

@137 suzy
Man Stoned to Death in Haiti Anti-Government Protests
Tonton Macoute?
Haiti’s Government Reveals New Plan to Address Political Crisis

[O]n Thursday President Martelly confirmed his departure from office, stating: “I am grateful to all those who allowed me to serve. On Feb. 7, I’ll leave without any regret, any envy and without any desire to remain in power.”
If Martelly follows through on his promise, his departure should satisfy opposition parties who accuse him of trying to unfairly boost his preferred successor, Jovenel Moise.

Sounds like a turning point? Maybe, but the bad guys never give up. Been after the Haitians for 200+ years. All Power to the People!

Posted by: jfl | Feb 6 2016 12:21 utc | 139