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North Korea’s Test Of A “Hydrogen Bomb” Was Only Somewhat Successful
A few hours ago North Korea exploded another nuclear device. It was its fourth test of a nuclear bomb and the 2055th global nuclear detonation of such a device.
First size estimates from seismic data measured by China and others say that the bomb developed a force equivalent to about 10 kilotons TNT.
The very exited DPRK TV anchor announced that its scientist exploded a "miniaturized H bomb". The English announcement says it "scientifically verified the power of smaller H bomb." A hydrogen bomb consist of two stages. A primary nuclear fission device is exploded to trigger a secondary nuclear fusion device consisting of hydrogen isotopes. Such bombs are very powerful and the rather low yield of roughly 10kt make it quite doubtful that this was an actual working H bomb as these are usually several magnitudes stronger.
The earlier North Korean tests of fission bombs had yields of 1 kt, 4 kt and 9 kt. The first one is considered to have been a partial dud. This fourth test today may have been a partial dud of an H bomb or it may have been just a basic fission device with probably added tritium for a boosted reaction. Only a measurement of the radionuclides resulting from this test will make it possible to determine its real configuration.
There had been recent signs that another nuclear test in North Korea would soon happen. Satellite images showed that a new test tunnel was dug into a mountain. There were rumors since 2013 that North Korea is working on a hydrogen device. In early December the North Korean leader announced that his country was ready to test an H bomb but this was dismissed by the U.S. as bluster. North Korean announcements are usually over the top exaggerated but also basically true. I therefore consider this to have been a real test of an H bomb as announced but one which was only partially successful.
After the Korea war the north of the country was completely obliterated. Hardly any structure with more than one level was left standing. The factories, the electricity network and its dams were destroyed:
American planes dropped 635,000 tons of bombs on Korea — that is, essentially on North Korea –including 32,557 tons of napalm, compared to 503,000 tons of bombs dropped in the entire Pacific theatre of World War II.
Since then a huge amount of the North Korean gross domestic product has been spent on its military. When it started to test nuclear devices North Korea announced that it would use the new capabilities to replace or shrink its conventional military. The savings would be used to increase the standard of living for its people. Strategic assessments say that its nuclear and missile development is not aimed at creating a first strike force but a deterrence capability.
North Korea considers the U.S. and the U.S. influenced South Korean government as its primary enemies and aggressors and Japan as a secondary threat. China and Russia are seen as somewhat friendly countries but kept at a distance.
As the U.S. develops its 'pivot to Asia' anti-China posture it is pushing for more hawkish policies in South Korea and Japan and presses for an alliance between these historic enemies. Despite hawkish, rightwing governments in both countries the success of that strategy is only slowly developing. The North Korean test will be probably allow for further steps towards a NATO-like anti-China and anti-North Korea structure.
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Let’s touch this one last time to drive out the lying Great Shaytan. We’ll science the shit out of it.
At the end of WW2, the world’s militaries had a pretty darned good idea how much damage 1,000T of TNT would do to a city. Then along came two air-burst nuclear fission weapons in Japan, and by comparison, those weapons were assigned an EQUIVALENT damage impact of several thousand tons of TNT, and it stuck. Nuclear weapons ‘strength’ (as air burst) became measured in KT of TNT equivalent damage, not force.
From that point on, it got ‘rocket scienced’. Nobody ever blew up 10MTs of TNT to determine the equivalent force impact of a hydrogen bomb. It was all THEORETICAL TNT-equivalent. (But they did blow up equivalent tonnage of ANFO and TNT to establish they’re about the same magnitude, so we have that equivalence to work with.)
Then came nuclear proliferation, first atmospheric, then underground, and a system of test and verification arose, based on the seismic S- and P-waves generated and reflecting around the globe, measured by geophysicists. So now you’ve got geophysicists interpreting S- and P-waves talking with nuclear scientists interpreting ‘yield’ in an archaic KT of TNT kind of equivalence.
“Hey, Hanre’, how strong was that last 6.8 bump on the Richter scale?”
“Oh, Marcelle, it was only 140KT by my theoretical yield calculations.”
Over time, after 100s of underground tests, a measure of reliability was developed between measuring seismic waves and CALCULATED KT or MT yield of TNT-equivalent (but not TNT force, and especially not TNT underground), so again, it stuck.
So was Lil’ Kim’s 10KT explosion really the equivalent of 10KT of TNT? Hell no, you’d blow a crater the size of Mount Penatubo with that much TNT. TNT is a chemical mass-to-mass conversion, solid to extremely highly-compressed gas, and by, what is it, Maxwell’s Law, it becomes super-heated nearly to plasma underground and generates tremendous outward explosive forces.
Nuclear is a mass-to-energy conversion, not the same thing at all. TNT generates 2000 feet per second shockwaves and massively powerful expansion force that largely blows upward, while the nuclear blast smokes the paint off battleships and generates a slow but powerful 500 feet per second shockwave, powerful enough to knock down buildings and turn over vehicles over a large area blowing slowly outward.
Blast Effect Calculation.rtf – Metabunk
https://www.metabunk.org › attachments
Again, an air burst nuclear explosion has an equivalent damage to an air burst TNT explosion, but there is no such comparison, nor will there ever be one, for underground testing. I’m sure 1KT of TNT, or ANFO, would create as powerful as seismic wave as a 10KT underground nuclear weapon, it’s a totally different 1000x more expansive gas reaction and 10x higher velocity shock wave with TNT.
Wait, you just lost your argument! Where is Lil’ Kim going to get 1000T of ANFO way up there in North Korea!? Well, a small coastal freighter can carry 15,000 DWT of ammonium nitrate and a small coastal oil tanker is 10,000 DWT of fuel oil, so there you go. The US and its allies have been sending Lil’ Kim ANFO by the 100,000s of DWTs! To set off 1000T of ANFO in an underground cavern, carefully staged, and sequenced to have the maximum seismic shock wave, (and there’s 1,000s of miners and blasting software that shows you how to do that), would be no big thing.
Shorter Version?
We proved that based on all available knowledge, the most likely scenario was an ANFO explosion. We proved that Defense has conducted plenty of these massive ANFO bmob experiments as recently as ten years ago, it’s all low technology and it’s all freely available. We proved Lil’ Kim doesn’t have the 90% U235, doesn’t’ have the deuterium, doesn’t have 5-axis precision milling equipment and doesn’t have the nuclear triggers, nor any way to get them. He has nothing of value to trade.
But there’s one more thing. Lil’ Kim is a narcissist. If he really had The Bmob, and since their test site is in NE Korea, and winter prevailing winds are from SW, blowing offshore directly towards the United States, WHY WOULDN’T HE USE AN AIR BURST????! Maximum effect, absolute proof that he has it, in front of all the world, then NATO and US rain $10Bs in direct aid down on him not to do that again.
Occam’s Machete proves it was ANFO, and let’s never let Great Shaytan and the compliant media run this ‘PRNK Has The Bmob’ PSYOP stink again. There are some 25 million North Koreans in the largest open air concentration camp on earth, more than 50x larger than the largest Somalia internment camp, and almost three times the Holocaust, being allowed by the Western World to work as slaves, then starve and die.
Next time the Pentagon tries to flog ‘The Bmob’ at their annual $T re-budget time, write to your Congress person, the Western World has a moral obligation to make sure we’re not all knowingly and willfully responsible for what is the largest genocide in human history, up there in North Korea.
Oh, look, some war pron! GTG!
Posted by: Chipnik | Jan 8 2016 10:43 utc | 43
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