Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 2, 2015
Russia’s Campaign To Snuff Off The CIA’s Al-Qaeda Forces

With some 125 strikes in three days the Russian bombing campaign continues to build. The U.S. media is now obsessed with the idea that Russia may be using "dumb bombs" instead of Syrian "barrel bombs". This is becoming a new propaganda meme. But videos from the Russian airbase show that at least some of the planes are armed with KAB-500S-E satellite (GLONAST) guided bombs which are precise "smart" bombs. (Other pictures and video from the Russian air base show a quite comfortable life including air conditioned quarters, a mess tent, Gulaschkanonen, a bakery, a laundry etc. This base is not an improvised short-term installation.)

Besides that how is it more humane to kill by a precise bomb than by a "dumb bomb" or "barrel bomb". Gaza was bombed by the Israelis with (U.S. produced) smart bombs. That did not lead to less destruction or killing. The recent Saudi (U.S. produced) bomb on the Yemen wedding that killed 130 people was also "smart" and hit right where it was targeted at.

The Russians bombed, as I earlier described, mostly in the corridor up to the Turkish border which is in the hand of al-Qaeda, Ahrar al Shams and CIA mercenaries. It also bombed Raqqa, the Syrian capital of the Islamic State and killed a dozen fighters. In response to that the Islamic State canceled Friday prayers in Raqqa seemingly out of fear that any congregation of IS fighters would now get bombed.

Funny. The U.S. claimed for a year that it was seriously bombing the Islamic State. But the Friday prayers have never be canceled before. Could it be that the Islamic State did not believe the U.S. claims but now fears that the Russians really mean business?

The Syrian air-force had avoided bombing near the Turkish border as it rightly feared that Turkey might shoot down a Syrian jet. But the Russian can now do this. The ground bombing is done by the ground attack planes build for task, Su-24, Su-25 and Su-34, while above those planes Su-30M fighter jets armed with superfast, medium to long range R-27 air to air missiles give cover. These would shoot down any Turkish jet that would try to attack the Russian bombers. This is just to make sure that Erdogan does not get any stupid ideas.

The air campaign is also well coordinated with Syrian government forces on the ground. From a paywalled WSJ piece quoted here:

[T]housands of rebels regrouped in several enclaves north of Homs, in towns like al-Rastan and Talbiseh. Russian jets hit both civilian and military targets in these two towns and five surrounding villages, said Rashid al-Hourani, a Syrian army officer from the area who defected to the rebels in 2012.

He said the airstrikes were followed with a barrage of artillery fire from several nearby positions where pro-regime Alawite and Shiite militias, including an Iran-backed group known as the Ridha Brigade, have been massing over the past few days.

The Syrian army will soon attack in coordination with the Russian air force and will try to regain northern territory along the M4 and M5 highway. That again would allow for a wider attack up to the Turkish border. Ground troop reinforcements from Iran, Iraq and Hizbullah are on their way or have already arrived. We are witnessing the build up to a wider battle.

The Guardian rumors that the Gulf states will counter the Russian move by providing more weapons:

Russia’s move clearly risks counter-action by countries supporting the rebels. According to one independent analyst, that may have already begun, with the Qataris – acting with the agreement of Saudi Arabia – flying in planeloads of weapons to Turkish airbases. “I would expect a huge influx of weapons into the north to try to blunt any ground assault by the regime,” the analyst said.

“The stakes are very high.”

And the Russian planes fly very high. They currently mostly fly above 5,000 meter and no Man-Portable-Air-Defense (MANPAD) missile can reach them. The people who get bombed do not even see or hear the planes coming. This will change when the Syrian army attacks and more direct ground support is needed but the planes to be used then are Su-25 and Su-34 build for that purpose and have armored cockpits.

The Russian airbase is protected by modern air defense on the ground and on Russian ships in the nearby sea. It is protected on the ground by some 1,250 Russian marines. It reportedly has ammunition and other supplies for at least three month. Nobody will mess with that base and the Russian campaign. It could not be done without very major forces and using such would practically guarantee a wider war with Russia, a nuclear superpower. Syria is Russia's sister (vid) and will be defended.

The Obama administration has therefore decided that it will not interfere with Russian attacks on CIA mercenaries and their al-Qaeda brother in arms. Some concerned trolling statement gets issued but that is just for show.

But the female candidates for the next presidential elections are not that smart. Both, Hillary Clinton and Carly Fiorina, have called for a U.S. enforced no-fly zone over northern Syria which would of course mean starting a war with Russia and its allies. These women want to attack Russian forces to defend al-Qaeda! Note: The country to decide who is flying or not over Syria is Russia. Dear U.S. voters. Please do not ever again allow these maniacs anywhere near a powerful position.

The CIA mercenaries in Syria – 10,000 men trained, armed and paid under a secret program – are directly cooperating with al-Qaeda and the likewise terrorist Ahrar al Shams. The NYT finally acknowledges this in two pieces today. The first says:

The fighters advancing on that [northern] front were not from the Islamic State but from the Army of Conquest, a group that includes an affiliate of Al Qaeda known as the Nusra Front and other Islamist groups, including several more secular groups that have been covertly armed and trained by the United States.

A second piece on the Army of Conquest:

The alliance consists of a number of mostly Islamist factions, including the Nusra Front, Al Qaeda’s Syrian affiliate; Ahrar al-Sham, another large group; and more moderate rebel factions that have received covert arms support from the intelligence services of the United States and its allies.

The groups fighting together in the Army of Conquest of course share their weapons, ammunition and other supplies. They very likely also have similar ideologies. The CIA, under Obama, Petraeus and Brennan, has been knowingly arming al-Qaeda in Syria and has done so for quite a while. The NYT had pointed out a year ago that the CIA mercenaries are working with Islamists but that piece was somewhat mealymouthed and depicted it as a minor problem. It is also quite astonishing that in-between the 2014 piece and the two pieces today no NYT pieces on Syria mentioned that relation but instead concentrated on the Pentagon "five moderate rebels" clown show which was a mere diversion.

The Pentagon is playing dumb with regards to the people hit when the Russians bomb al-Qaeda positions:

Q: McCain says they hit CIA-backed rebels. I mean, presumably, you guys are looking at the same information. Is that true, or you're uncertain? Where are we on that?

COL. WARREN: Right, well — again, what I'll say, Tom, is we don't think they were ISIL. You know, who's backing who, you know, that's — I'm not going to get into that. I'm just not going to, particularly when you're talking about — you know, it's not even a DOD agency you're referring to.

I take that as confirmation.

The Israelis are now also admitting that they work with al-Qaeda:

Together with some local militias Nusra is in charge of most of the 100-kilometer border with Israel on the Syria side of the Golan Heights. In recent years, Nusra slightly toned down its militant ideology due to the influence of Qatar and Saudi Arabia, which provide it with financial support.

Nusra is in control of most of the border but so far has reached a tacit understanding not to turn its weapons against the Jewish state.

Nusra controls the border because Israel has helped it by firing at the Syrian army whenever Nusra needed help. The linked Jerusalem Post piece is also of interest with regards to the famous Odet Yinon plan as it confirms that destroying Middle Eastern nations into warlord statelets is supervised by the Israeli military intelligence:

Some years back, the intelligence community started to reassess the chaotic reality emerging in the Middle East. Maps drawn up by MI’s Research Department show states being replaced by organizations. …

That is the plan also for Syria. But with stronger support now forming up to regain Syrian territories that plan might well falter.

Comments

On the israeli / zionist stance (eg #97, Thirdeye)
If the syrian “regime forces” would “contract uncontrollably”, like the ISW – paper, cited by b two postings before, put one of its “worst case”-scenarios, this would leave Hezbollah coming first as a winner in the mess, ahead of Israel taking another chunk of the Golan, because Hezbollah had to be accepted as the most stable force in Lebanon and the then forefront of an Anti-ISIS – coalition.
The paper:
http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Forecasting%20the%20Syrian%20Civil%20War.pdf
Dated 9/17 this paper already priced in locations and strategic aims of the coming russian aerial intervention as a means of prolongation of the attrition war, or “destructive stalemate”, as Jim Muir put it in a BBC-comment.
So, is Kremlins intervention really meant to assist the Zionists?
I don’t think so.
But Putin and Netanyahu share the objective to stop Erdogan mounting his islamist Führer Hauptquartier both domestically and externally. Russia won’t reverse the partition of Syria but will establish itself as the protecting power of a syrian rump state, derogating the role of Hezbollah, and the Kremlin will at least try to include Aleppo in it, countering Ergogans plan for a “greater Iraki Kurdistan”, that would include two eastern turkish provinces and the easternmost syrian province, ousting the PYD from most of the kurdish syrian territory.
Besides I think Putin and Netanyahu are opposedly betting on the outcome of this for US-domestic policy and the coming presidentials. The Kremlin would have refrained from intervention, if they believed, the Killary / Bush – camp could profite of it. Russia can’t be driven out of Syria, so it’s time for “Realpolitik”. But Netanyahu notoriously tends to overestimate zionist influence on US-domestic policy.

Posted by: TomGard | Oct 4 2015 12:26 utc | 101

somebody at 80. I don’t really think it was engineered, but I agree part way, in the sense that there are several very mysterious aspects, such as Merkel’s sudden abandonment (unilateral and unjustified) of the Schengen accords. And I also agree Turkey is the prime ‘candidate’ – it also had simple pragmatic reasons to get rid of a whole bunch. As you say, the EU brought it on itself in many ways. And plouf it all went flat as a pancake or whatever the expression is.
Demian at 81, yes, and I just heard Strarikov expound this theory, somewhat surprising.
Cold at 90, that seems too convoluted. The reasons for time x (Russia’s move >>) could also be attributed to (as some French oppo figures and bloggers etc. claim) the fact that Hollande at the end of August ’15 spoke about ‘neutralising’ and ‘liquidating’ Assad. 1. Or various other factors !…(see doveman 94, Piotr 99, more important imho.) Perhaps, no unique cause, a coming together of different strands, a fluid situation that changes, long laid plan now have to be implemented.
fort russ vid starikov http://tinyurl.com/o6ox6tg – nice anecdote about Lenin.
1. I could not find a direct Hollande quote re. ‘liquidating’ Assad. He has used the word ‘neutralising’ over and over. In fact Hollande used ‘liquidating’ (repeatedly, with much emphasis) to describe .. Assad’s behavior towards his own ppl.

Posted by: Noirette | Oct 4 2015 13:36 utc | 102

Posted by: Noirette | Oct 4, 2015 9:36:58 AM | 102
I think it has got something to do with Germany’s direct support for Iraq’s Kurd’s – not via the Iraqi government, that the Turkish government say they found German weapons were used for attacks inside Turkey – and the fact that German politicians last year suggested arming the PKK , plus Germany’s refusal to define Turkey as a safe country where refugees can be sent back to …

Posted by: somebody | Oct 4 2015 15:40 utc | 103

Posted by: TomGard | Oct 4, 2015 8:26:57 AM | 101
It’s unnecessarily verbose. The first paragraph hardly says anything and the second isn’t much better. The author, according to his ISW bio,
“focuses on Syria with an emphasis on the Assad regime and Iranian involvement in the Syrian Civil War. Christopher is the author of An Army in All Corners: Assad’s Campaign Strategy in Syria and has published several articles regarding the security situation in Syria, including “The Assad Regime Under Stress: Conscription and Protest among Alawite and Minority Populations in Syria.”
…which makes him sound slightly “Israeli”.
The following, from your comment, is pure conjecture
“But Putin and Netanyahu share the objective to stop Erdogan mounting his islamist Führer Hauptquartier both domestically and externally. Russia won’t reverse the partition of Syria but will establish itself as the protecting power of a syrian rump state …”
and doesn’t make much sense because it’s highly unlikely that Russia would risk its international reputation merely to create a “rump state” which, by definition, would be ‘high maintenance’ and vulnerable to future attack. A safe and stable Syria is just the first step in Russia’s ME ‘visit’.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 4 2015 16:53 utc | 104

The NYT has been repeating the line that Putin’s interventionism is unpopular with the Russian public … again reiterated this morning. I’m wondering if we’re going to be calling in our markers with our past “NGO-Pro-democracy” team memmbers … my prediction is that if we do so we’re likely to engineer another resounding flop and embarrassment.
We also keep claiming Putin is doing this to divert attention from the “disaster” in the Ukraine — except again that is our disaster that has been appearing to be coming to a head.
So many men behind so many curtains to ignore ….

Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Oct 4 2015 18:01 utc | 105

Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Oct 4, 2015 2:01:32 PM | 105
Interesting isn’t it?
One factor which the Yankees seem not to have taken into account is that all of the Obama Admin’s anti-Putin huffing and puffing has aroused so much curiosity that Russian spokesmen are on the cusp of becoming Media Celebrities. In Oz, Putin and/or Lavrov’s image + sound bite has been in the news each day since Russia arrived in Syria. Today Putin, Lavrov and Medvedev all got ‘shelf-space’ in the news roundups. And even normally pro-American talking heads are scratching their heads over US’s unfathomable non-strategy – which isn’t hurting Russia’s image at all.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 4 2015 19:17 utc | 106

Hoarsewhisperer #104
“A safe and stable Syria is just the first step in Russia’s ME ‘visit’.”
Delusional. Since Mars 2012 (Baba Amro) the SAA couldn’t hold what it cleansed.
The question “why now” got an edge with Russia bombing fortified rebel positions. Why didn’t they help prevent fortification near Homs, Hama, Maarat al Numan, all along the M5? Why didn’t they provide recon and bombs to smash them beforehand? Even some modernized MIG 21 could have done the job.

Posted by: TomGard | Oct 4 2015 19:45 utc | 107

I’m wondering what the Shtetl State is up to. Drawing closer to Putin while Iran is about to (if it hasn’t already) send fighters into Syria. I’m doubtful even b can find out. We’ll just have to cower at the edge of the abyss while we construct the true narrative from “facts on the ground”.
Unless some blogger can generate a plausible scenario right now 😉 Putin may not, afterall, be the golden boy many think. But, from the bottom of my heart, I hope he’s setting a trap for those embarrassing schmucks.

Posted by: ruralito | Oct 4 2015 21:22 utc | 108

@108
‘ I’m wondering what the Shtetl State is up to. Drawing closer to Putin … ‘
Could you be a little more specific? I think that Israel definitely has a plan/plans for what to do after its sucked that last drop of blood out of Uncle Sam … and that its thinking maybe that’s shaping up to be the case right now. If Russia is going to help Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran see the need for a common defence, Israel is going to try to be there. There was an article to the effect that Isreali generals were pushing such a ‘vision’ … ally with the ‘less monstrous’ LSII versus the ‘truly monstrous’ KSA. The US neocons are probably on board. I imagine that was just for show, that they have all brands in the fire. That they’ll see their opportunities and take ’em.

Posted by: jfl | Oct 4 2015 21:55 utc | 109

my take
1) “why now”?
because Erdogan precipitated the decision by releasing refugees onto Europe: it was his last push for a no-fly-zone, against Us and Europeans’ hesitations, and hawkish voices were starting to be heard here and there
so it was to be either a Russia-enforced no-fly-zone to fight Isis in alliance with Assad, or a Nato-enforced one, against Assad.
Putin was ready; I think he also caught the West in a moment of “transition”, and found some green lights and sympathy within the West’s establishment; but he really made the most out of it;
2) what’s up with Israel? nothing new, they are just sensing that Russia is about to become the new power-broker in the Middle East; the parasitical Zionist project always clutched to the strongest guy on the block – the British, then the Us, now possibly Russia; we’ll see how Russia reacts; it is a fact that Russia is presently providing political cover and military protection to the axis of resistance, everything else is speculation
3) I think it’s the beginning of the end for the neocons and maybe also for the liberal interventionists, confining Israel to a status of regional power unable to condition the Us core interests; either that, or next year we’ll have a Us president that will plunge us in WW3

Posted by: claudio | Oct 4 2015 22:04 utc | 110

I think that the “why now?” question will become clearer when someone is brave enough to admit that ending the civil war in Syria will go a very long way to ending the migrant/refugee crisis … and self-interest may well rule the day when it comes to joining Russia, Iran, Iraq and Syria in the noble effort to stem the tide of human suffering … (and save many countries the costs and bother of indefinitely housing and creating a future for 1 or 2 million refugees — I gather there may well be over 10 million in the wings … and the roll out of humanitarian aid has not gone terribly well so far …)
From what little I’ve seen of the response of “ordinary Americans” there’s no groundswell of humanitarian concern for the product(s) of our handiwork (not to mention our scandalous abandonment of probably a hundred thousand Iraqis who are still seething — either in Iraq or in refugee campes — at having been granted no protection on our departure — and that’s not even to mention the Iraqi Kurds and our day-late-dollar-short unkept promises to them)

Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Oct 4 2015 22:08 utc | 111

oh, another reason for “why now”: the Syrian army was really worn out by a war waged by the Us, EU, and all its neighbors; it didn’t have the manpower necessary to hold its territory

Posted by: claudio | Oct 4 2015 22:19 utc | 112

yes, I think Obama’s pussyfooting and equivocating about how many refugees the USA would take had major impact .. I saw a very short lived headline that we “might” take up to 100,000 but … last I saw I don’t think we had even firmly “upped” the number for this year and maybe not even next year .. it was hard to follow … but another serious Obama failure — if we’re too delicate and fussy to take a million (with our land mass) we should at least be generous in helping other EU countries (still struggling to recover from OUR financial meltdown of 2008) with the financing of humanitarian obligation we’ve foisted on them … not to mention making sure UNHCR isn’t having to cut rations to those staying put in those refugee camps (another factor that incited some to run for the border before winter).
Unless things play out very differently than I can even imagine, Obama’s “legacy” is going to be his administration’s “failure to anticipate” this humanitarian disaster — it looks like “criminal negligence” particularly in light of the MSF bombing … frankly, we don’t give a damn about all those “little people”

Posted by: Susan Sunflower | Oct 4 2015 22:57 utc | 113

jfl@109 – Iran has predicted doom for the Farkukte State. And “Israel is going to try to be there”? That’s some volatile coalition you got there. Or does Putin think that strafing from on high, a specialty of the Chosen, cannot be terror?

Posted by: ruralito | Oct 4 2015 23:35 utc | 114


The question “why now” got an edge with Russia bombing fortified rebel positions. Why didn’t they help prevent fortification near Homs, Hama, Maarat al Numan, all along the M5? Why didn’t they provide recon and bombs to smash them beforehand? Even some modernized MIG 21 could have done the job.
Posted by: TomGard | Oct 4, 2015 3:45:30 PM | 107

Short answer…
1. International Law. Russia seems very fussy about the legality of its actions.
(who’ll be first to call that mindset old-fashioned?)
2. Joint Syria-Russia short & long term prep & planning.
There seems to be general agreement among conflict experts that ‘some modernized MIG 21s’ alone, weren’t going to turn any tide.
‘Delusional’ is certainly relevant but that chicken has yet to be apportioned, or find a place to roost.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 5 2015 4:07 utc | 115

@ 57: “WTF . . . The USA hasn’t been able to create it’s own money since the early 1914 when the Federal Reserve System got up and running after being created in stealth late December 1913. The US BORROWS every cent it spends and saddles future generations with the debt burden. The US treasury may print the dollars but the Fed is the one lending it – the FED The PRIVATELY OWNED bank that past presidents railed against and were sometimes assassinated over when they tried to interfere with it’s machinations.
Please learn some basic facts about money and debt
Posted by: Kiwicris | Oct 3, 2015 1:55:23 AM”
You have been reading too much of Ron Paul’s nonsensical ramblings. None of that above is true. The FED fully belongs to the congress via the 12 regional FED banks (which are partly owned by “private” entities, but all of those have the state as the majority or only stakeholder).
Most of US debt is “debt to itself” and can be erased today per stroke of a pen. Literally.
I always find it extremely funny when such people come screaming that all the others should “learn facts”, while being totally clueless themselves. Golden.

Posted by: zedz | Oct 5 2015 11:42 utc | 116

Is there *any* evidence of US and associates bombing in Syria since the start of the Russian campaign?

Posted by: Charles Wood | Oct 5 2015 12:31 utc | 117