Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 10, 2015
Open Thread 2015-28

News & views …

Comments


Michael Hudson
EU Infrastructure Undermines Sovereignty

Posted by: james | Jul 10 2015 17:45 utc | 1

It looks like Tsipras and Syriza are proposing a similar austerity program as the program that was rejected in the referendum. This implies the Left is no different than the others. “plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose”
Athens capitulates to creditors. http://www.bbc.com/news/business-33475455

Posted by: ab initio | Jul 10 2015 17:48 utc | 2

More on the Tsipras selling out proposal:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-10/tsipras-sells-out-referendum-no-vote-ahead-weekend-deadline

Posted by: ab initio | Jul 10 2015 18:02 utc | 3

Yanis Varoufakis writes in the Guardian:
Debt restructuring was our aim: little did we know, when we embarked on negotiations, that Grexit might be a goal for eurozone leaders

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jul 10 2015 19:15 utc | 4

Yanis Varoufakis writes in the Guardian: Germany won’t Spare Greek Pain: It has an Interest in Breaking Us
Debt restructuring was our aim: little did we know, when we embarked on negotiations, that Grexit might be a goal for eurozone leaders.

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jul 10 2015 19:17 utc | 5

ab initio @3
ZH also noted that the latest Greek proposal may still fall short ( see: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-09/greek-compromise-proposal-leaked-and-there-may-be-problem ).
Greece is still not cutting pensions (enough) and is relying on tax measures more than the Troika would like (they distrust Greek ability to collect taxes).
And ZH has also noted that Greece will need more than money due to the turmoil of the last few months (see http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-10/dont-tell-merkel-greek-banks-need-additional-%E2%82%AC10-14-billion-bailout ). It’s for this reason that Merkel had said that a new Greek proposal would have to contain MORE concessions than what was demanded before the referendum.
=
I think there is much happending behind the scenes. France and the US may have gotten assurances about debt restructuring and investment that are much more reliable than the previous Troika’s ‘trust me’ promises. But GRexit still seems like a strong possibility, even with Tsipras’ “capitulation”.
Also of note: prior to any GRexit, Greece may appeal to the European Court of Justice.
It’s going to be interesting to see how this all plays out. I don’t think anyone can say for sure what will happen in the next few days.

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jul 10 2015 19:33 utc | 6

Syriza as Trojan Horses or White Knights?
Opinion is split into two starkly opposed camps.
Misconceptions, misunderstandings.
I believe Syriza is sincere, this was not a put-up job. In the 5 months suspense and dragging are the result of a very weak, new, opponent who tried to change the conversation and faced shocking bad faith, intransigeance, obfuscatory moves, insults, and threats. And capitulated for lack of …a plan B. Yanis V said repeatedly there is no plan B. (I said this before, and someone snipped right back, how is that possible, a game theorist? Well if you are condemned to death in a locked-up cell, the plan B is suicide, and the result is the same.)
Syriza is not a ‘left’ party. The communist refused to have anything to do with it, and the ‘left component’ of the party will now maybe quit.
Lamenting about pensioners starving and your country exploding, does not make you ‘left.’ Syriza, in a way, took over where PASOK left off, which does not mean they are the same (new ppl set on reform and without the clientelist bent, etc., a fresh approach etc.) It was a last-ditch try at garnering some advantages in the present framework. Saving it. And that is what said they would try to do. Honest.
The PTB will not accept political movements of any stripe, except ordo-liberalism.
Syriza is a Citizen Movement, like Podemos, Cinque Stelle, etc. These can be dealt with. Easily. They can even be encouraged, as signs of ‘democracy’, ‘freedom’, etc. (See one step further, color revolutions, when that suits.)
Citizen Movements confine themselves to the existing geo-political space (1), but request, demand, scream for more re-distribution, advantages or compensation for their voters, etc. More parking places, free internet, better health care, more Gvmt. jobs, debt relief, stipends for the poor, attracting more investment, Keynes galore, some ecological stuff like no fracking, no Monsanto, getting rid of corruption, reforming the tax structure, no surveillance, or getting rid of some pol/king/ etc. and even ‘independence’ (Scotland, Catalonia.) etc. (I support most of these.) And they get nowhere.
1. Syriza, being in the Euro/EU. Both Tsipras and Yanis V. are Europhiles.

Posted by: Noirette | Jul 10 2015 19:44 utc | 7

B already wrote about how Syriza is a scam party. And the dominant faction in the party is a centrist,unprincipled and unradical sellouts – from day 1.
There should’ve been a Plan B,C and D from the day they were elected, if not way before. This latest surrender is a repudiation and of the recent democratic vote that Syriza spent so much time propagandising and riding the bandwagon on, for their own PR.
It’s been true forever, that fake leftists are a fascists best friend. When fake leftists don’t do enough to fight back against the evil dominationists, that’s when the fascists take over power, riding a wave of anger and resentment built on the back of unprincipled left cowards.

Posted by: tom | Jul 10 2015 20:33 utc | 8

we can soon add Syriza, if not already, next to the list of failures, straight after the Arab spring and Occupy.

Posted by: tom | Jul 10 2015 20:39 utc | 9

Will the Greeks – Varoufakis – demand a referendum on Tsipras’ plan? Or is it back to a life of leisure – game theory – in the British academy?

Posted by: jfl | Jul 10 2015 21:02 utc | 10

I agree with Noirette that Syriza is sincere. I believe the article in the guardian by Varoufakis (that was linked in the other thread), shows the quality of intelligence and capability in this party. (“Germany won’t spare Greek pain–it has an interest in breaking us”)
What chance have the negotiations had, while the Troika, backed by interested EU nations, were playing so falsely and maliciously with Syriza? Tsipras indicated for a long time his preference for staying in the EU; and with an idealistic spirit has sought to appeal through the European Court for Justice, if necessary.
However, I’m convinced that there are sincere people of the left in the coalition, and that Syriza is much more than a citizens’ reform movement.
Whatever the outcome from the last, dispiriting round in the negotiations, the resistance shown by Greeks will continue. I don’t believe that they will lie down and accept to be stripped of their country’s legacy and dignity. They will not give up without a fight.

Posted by: Copeland | Jul 10 2015 21:04 utc | 11

Varoufakis:

By the time Syriza won power last January, and as if to confirm our claim that the “bailouts” had nothing to do with rescuing Greece (and everything to do with ringfencing northern Europe), a large majority within the Eurogroup – under the tutelage of Schäuble – had adopted Grexit either as their preferred outcome or weapon of choice against our government.

Posted by: Copeland | Jul 10 2015 21:12 utc | 12

Why Greek PM Tsipras “determine” to remain in EU even with resounding victory of 61% NO votes and would EU finally disintegrate?

Posted by: Jack Smith | Jul 10 2015 21:32 utc | 13

Turkmenistan regards Russia ’s Gazprom as insolvent partner and Gazprom Cancels Turkish Stream Pipeline Contract with Italy’s Saipem – See more at: .”>http://www.novinite.com/articles/169770/Gazprom+Cancels+Turkish+Stream+Pipeline+Contract+with+Italy%E2%80%99s+Saipem#sthash.5C12gG0E.dpuf. I’m wondering what our Putin led kleptocracy will now do without their oil money? Probably leave to their London mansions, leaving us with the whole mess…

Posted by: Arbat | Jul 10 2015 21:40 utc | 14


I agree with Noirette that Syriza is sincere.
I believe the article in the Guardian by Varoufakis (that was linked in the other thread), shows the quality of intelligence and capability in this part
I’m convinced that there are sincere people of the left in the coalition, and that Syriza is much more than a citizens’ reform movement
Posted by: Copeland | Jul 10, 2015 5:04:50 PM | 11

Lol
“I agree . . . . ”
“I believe . . .”
“I’m convinced . . . .”
When reading the nonsense quoted above plsremember that back in 2008 the idiot above was telling people to give Obama a chance, and that he might just be the solution to the problems the US was having back then.
Just keep that in mind when reading anything written by this guy.
An oracle or a cassandra he is not

Posted by: yawn | Jul 10 2015 21:49 utc | 15

Seems Tsipras caved in. The guy sold out. Imagine what all those Greeks that went out to shout in the streets and voted feel now. The EU is such that once you’re in, you never get out even if you want to. What most Europeans don’t realize is that you don’t have to be in the EU to prove your European-ness. It’s one thing I heard a lot during the Greek vote.
Those that voted “Yes” said they did so to protect their “European identity”. Last time I checked, Greeks were still Europeans even before the EU came into existence.
Anyway, back to Tsipras. The guys staged all that drama only to administer the very same remedy the Greeks have voted against..This time, in a sneaky way.. A 60 BILLION bailout is all they need, he says. I guess the Greeks are f*cked whichever way they turn.

Posted by: Zico | Jul 10 2015 21:53 utc | 16

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11732926/Crippled-Greece-yields-to-overwhelming-power-as-deal-looms.html
Tsipras and Syriza messed with the Greek people. They led them down the garden path of defiance only to surrender when push came to shove. Goes to show they were not fit to govern in the first place as not only have they brought Greece to the brink but did not gain any advantage. Now the Eurocrats have them by the balls and know it. So they will not back down any more. This will weaken the Left in other places in particular Podemos in Spain and strengthen the Right.

Posted by: ab initio | Jul 10 2015 22:01 utc | 17

The problem is simple. The people of Greece recognized that they were in a bind. Their government had sold them out to the eu banksters. They did the usual thing: they voted to put in a party that sounded fair. Like Obama in the US, they got suckered by rhetoric. They wanted to go back to the relative halcyon days when they could be comfortable. The left, so-called, only moves oligarchs a tiny amount until the average guy quits causing problems. It never takes long for the oligarchs to come back and get more than they had before. Smoke and mirrors and an electorate that looks only at their own interests. The rest of society can rot so long as ‘I get mine.’ Real revolutions take place for a short while … even Ecuador will capitulate in the end and they are actually making strides toward equity and equality. It won’t last. Greed is part of the human soul. Thus, we are all complicit in the evil that whirls around us.

Posted by: Rg an LG | Jul 10 2015 22:07 utc | 18

He, he, he…
I am really glad that Syria/fascists are back to square one. They are just like Beppe Grillo. Phew, White Liberals. Expecting that Greek PM will clash with New German Wehrmacht would be to much.
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2015/07/tsipras-has-just-destroyed-greece/

This is basically the same proposal as that was just rejected by the Greek people in the referendum. There are some headlines floating around about proposed debt restructuring as well but I can’t find them.
This makes absolutely no sense. The Tsipras Government has just: renegotiated itself into the same position it was in two months ago; set massively false expectations with the Greek public; destroyed the Greek banking system, and
destroyed what was left of Greek political capital in EU.
If this deal gets through the Greek Parliament, and it could given everyone other than the ruling party and Golden Dawn are in favour of austerity, then Greece has just destroyed itself to no purpose.
Markets are drawing comfort from the roll over but how Tsipras can return home without being lynched by a mob is beyond me. And that raises the prospect of any deal being held immediately hostage to violence.

Posted by: neretva’43 | Jul 10 2015 22:46 utc | 19

Steve Keen on the latest proposal- tsipras-has-just-destroyed-greece

This is basically the same proposal as that was just rejected by the Greek people in the referendum. There are some headlines floating around about proposed debt restructuring as well but I can’t find them. This makes absolutely no sense. The Tsipras Government has just:
• renegotiated itself into the same position it was in two months ago;
• set massively false expectations with the Greek public;
• destroyed the Greek banking system, and
• destroyed what was left of Greek political capital in EU.
If this deal gets through the Greek Parliament, and it could given everyone other than the ruling party and Golden Dawn are in favour of austerity, then Greece has just destroyed itself to no purpose. Markets are drawing comfort from the roll over but how Tsipras can return home without being lynched by a mob is beyond me. And that raises the prospect of any deal being held immediately hostage to violence.

Posted by: Nana 2007 | Jul 10 2015 22:53 utc | 20

Greece debt crisis: Athens accepts harsh austerity as bailout deal nears
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jul/09/greece-debt-crisis-athens-accepts-harsh-austerity-as-bailout-deal-nears

Emphasising the likelihood of further strife in Greece next week even should a deal be concluded, Brussels officials talked privately of plans to fly in humanitarian aid such as food parcels and medicines to major cities.
The urgency of Greek efforts to prevent an exit from the euro came after Brussels set a midnight Thursday deadline for Greece to produce a package of measures in line with previous demands.
The new proposals include sweeping reforms to VAT to raise 1% of GDP and moving more items to the 23% top rate of tax, including restaurants – a key battleground before.
Greece has also dropped its opposition to abolishing the lower VAT rate on its islands, starting with the most popular tourist attractions. Athens also appears to have made significant concessions on pensions, agreeing to phase out solidarity payments for the poorest pensioners by December 2019, a year earlier than planned. It would also raise the retirement age to 67 by 2022.
And it has agreed to raise corporation tax to 28%, as the IMF wanted, not 29%, as previously targeted.

He, he, he….

Posted by: neretva’43 | Jul 10 2015 23:06 utc | 21

“….plans to fly in humanitarian aid such as food parcels and medicines to major cities.”
It must be great feeling of being an European.
This is Sparta – https://youtu.be/QkWS9PiXekE

Posted by: neretva’43 | Jul 10 2015 23:09 utc | 22

It ain’t over til the German lady sings- Greek-businesses-accept-lira-lev-grexit-looms

Amid the chaos, the Greek Drachma has made two mysterious appearances this week (see here and here), suggesting that the EU is on the verge of forcing the Greek economy into the adoption of a parallel currency and while this week’s Drachma “sightings” might properly be called anecdotal, a report from Kathimerini and comments from deposed FinMin Yanis Varoufakis suggest redenomination rumors are not entirely unfounded.
Now, with the ECB set to cut Greek banks off from the ELA lifeline on Monday morning in the absence of a deal, some businesses are mitigating the liquidity shortage by accepting foreign currency. FT has more:
Like many Bulgarians, Kostadin Dobrev, is a regular visitor to the beaches and bars of northern Greece. But this week, the holidaying firefighter immediately noticed things were different. First, the shops were half-empty. Then, even more surprising, he found Greek hotels and restaurants were happy to accept the Bulgarian lev.
As Europe’s politicians prepare for a weekend summit to decide whether Greece can stay in the eurozone, Mr Dobrev’s experience highlights how the old certainties are collapsing. By early next week Greeks could be preparing for life outside the euro and a possible return to the drachma.
Many Greeks in the retail and leisure industry say it makes increasing sense to accept Bulgarian and Turkish money at a time when tourism, the country’s economic lifeblood, is under threat. The tourism confederation said last-minute bookings plummeted 30-40 per cent, compared with the same period in 2014, after Greece imposed capital controls last week.
Athanasos Kritsinis, who runs the Krita chain of supermarkets, said Bulgarians visiting his shops in the northern cities of Xanthi and Komotini were paying in leva.
“There is nothing bad in accepting Bulgarian leva because it is stable and pegged to the euro so why not accept to do business with it? It is legal. There is no reason not to accept,” he said.
Yes, “no reason not to accept.” There are however, quite a few reasons for Germany “not to accept” Tsipras’ latest proposal and for Greeks “not to accept” a deal that flies in the face of a referendum outcome that’s not even a week old.
And so as we kick off yet another weekend where all eyes turn nervously to Brussels on Saturday and to Athens on Sunday, the million dollar question seems to be this: what will the preferred payment method be in Greece this time next week? Lira, lev, drachma, or euro?

Posted by: Nana 2007 | Jul 10 2015 23:25 utc | 23

@11
I agree. Tsipras is one guy. He’s failed, get another guy to be the face man: one who has the humility and guts to do what the people tell him to do. There are plenty of people who know what needs to be done. The road ahead is ‘a disaster’ whichever way they turn. So the Greeks are free to choose the way that leads away from Germany and back to Europe.
Brutal cartoon from Fortrus. The caption:

Good news:
Before we carried them off to work in Germany
Now they are so deeply in debt, they’ll work for us for free–at home!

‘ Whatever the outcome from the last, dispiriting round in the negotiations, the resistance shown by Greeks will continue. I don’t believe that they will lie down and accept to be stripped of their country’s legacy and dignity. They will not give up without a fight. ‘
The Greeks have been at war with the Northern barbarian hordes since the Dorian invasion at least and continuing right through the second World War with the Brits and the CIA. They now have the opportunity – thrust upon them – to put an end to it, once and for all.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 10 2015 23:27 utc | 24

SCO starts expansion, ratifies 10-year development strategy

UFA, Russia, July 10 (Xinhua) — The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) on Friday ratified a resolution on starting its expansion procedures and passed a comprehensive blueprint for the bloc’s development in the next decade.
The leaders of the SCO states ratified the resolution on starting the procedures of granting India and Pakistan full membership of the organization, according to a declaration issued after the 15th SCO summit held in Ufa, capital of Russia’s Bashkortostan Republic.
The SCO also elevated Belarus to the status of observer from dialogue partner, and took in Azerbaijan, Armenia, Cambodia and Nepal as new dialogue partners…
Meanwhile, the leaders approved the SCO Development Strategy until 2025, which set targets and tasks for the organization’s development in the upcoming 10 years.
Analysts said that with its expansion, the SCO will provide a platform for broader economic and security cooperation within the Eurasian region.
Both India and Pakistan are challenged by terrorism, separatism and extremism. Their entry into the SCO will be a positive step for the two countries to improve domestic security situation, as the rich experience accumulated by the bloc will help them tackle the “three evil forces,” said Chen Yurong, a senior research fellow at the China Institute of International Studies.

‘…to improve domestic security situation, as the rich experience accumulated by the bloc will help them tackle the “three evil forces” : terrorism, separatism and extremism.’
Right. But Barack Obama and his European Unit might cite the same “three evil forces”. Enemy twins seem to converge, to come to resemble each other during the course of their contest so that in the end it makes no difference which one wins. The very fact of the contest misshapes – unifies – the contestants.
Come on Greece! “Birthplace of democracy!”

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 0:38 utc | 25

‘ Whatever the outcome from the last, dispiriting round in the negotiations, the resistance shown by Greeks will continue. I don’t believe that they will lie down and accept to be stripped of their country’s legacy and dignity. They will not give up without a fight. ‘
Hmm… an interesting quote. But, 40% of the Greeks want to be in the EU, and it is not small percent. In the end those who voted “yes” won. Isn’t that absurd, the Greeks (or their ruling class) invented a new form of deceptiveness and stealing votes or in this case whole referendum. You first do not know what are you voting for, and than after you vote got majority of votes than turned out not to be what they tell you. All this in what 96 hours.
As for “resistance” I very much doubt that. As Dr. John Henrik Clarke said “You cannot destroy slavery by becoming a part of your Master’s cultural incubator.” and Greeks are willing slaves at that.

Posted by: neretva’43 | Jul 11 2015 0:42 utc | 26

Blah. We heard “Syriza is sell outs” within the first week, that they had capitulated. This rollercoaster has been up and down almost uncountable times. Then they refused to deal and held the referendum. Now again, we hear they are sell outs for the latest proposal, which most here have surely read about in NYTimes or in some website full of limp dicked western “leftists” who seem to have joined hands in their “triumph” of pissing on those who have been elected by the Greek people to try and get them out of this austerity.
Look, we even have the neretva’43 laughing as he reads about “Greek failure” written up in a Western rag calling them “fascists”. Scumbag, but you always were.
I’m going to wait until the end to find out. And I’m not going to take the words of some shitty Western newspaper for the details. I do know this: the great majority of Syriza, including the hard left voted for this. So, like all the other times we’ve heard the local snakes cry “sell out!” it may well be a false alarm.

Posted by: guest77 | Jul 11 2015 0:48 utc | 27

We even have brit rags with headlines saying “Varoufakis is on a boat near his holiday home” while the photos of him in fact shows he’s sitting on some crowded public transport that looks more like the Staten Island Ferry. Games being played by the Western media? Shocker!
But maybe the gullible idiots here want to provide more links to the BBC and other Brit rags though?

Posted by: guest77 | Jul 11 2015 0:54 utc | 28

And what is this posted by Nana? These are not the words of Steve Keen, this is some other author, so why are you presenting it as such?
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2015/07/tsipras-has-just-destroyed-greece/

Posted by: guest77 | Jul 11 2015 0:57 utc | 29

I don’t believe that the current situation in Greece is resolved by the latest position by Tsipras. I want to remain hopeful that Greece will take the opportunity to make structural changes in their financial situation by forcing odious debt responsibility back onto the bankers (maybe bringing criminal charges) and changing their tax structure to eliminate the Greek plutocrats.
A question I have is what carry-on effect whatever happens in Greece will have on Spain, Portugal, Italy, etc? The refinancing struggles of Ireland some years back was a more financially isolated incident than what is happening with Greece. The resolution of Greece, IMO will set precedents for austerity-or-not for the rest of the EU going forward…..as goes Greece, so goes the 99%.
The kabuki continues. I sense a BIG manufactured crisis coming to further scare and control the global populace if Greece doesn’t capitulate to the Troika. More fear and hate are always the easy answers for manipulating the ignorant.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 11 2015 0:59 utc | 30

Judas!

Posted by: Anunnaki | Jul 11 2015 1:04 utc | 31

Greece has been abandoned by foreign compradors and slaves. Syriza has little choice but to capitulate.

Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 11 2015 1:35 utc | 32

Is this not reminiscent of all the flowery rhetoric of the newly elected Barrach Obama back there in 2008; only soon to be followed by the most tragic of political betrayals on Record?
Much the same with Tsipras, the actions are a far cry from the rhetoric. Similar to many analysts, I strongly believe he was among the most disappointed by the “OXI” referendum outcome. He remains forced to carry on with the farce he appears uncomfortable with. Perhaps he shoulf enroll in the Obama school on how to lie incessantly to your public; without feeling any shame.

Posted by: bjmaclac | Jul 11 2015 1:35 utc | 33

Tsipras is one man. The phenomenon in Greece can survive the failure of one man. How quickly the comrades here are to throw in the towel: nothing can be done. That’s solidarity. It’s fortunate that the Greeks don’t waste their time reading the comments on this blog. They have the specter of the Germans before them to focus their attention, and the realization now that they have no help from anywhere, least of all the left who have disparaged their efforts from before the beginning. They know now that they are the only ones home and that they are going to have to do it themselves.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 1:57 utc | 34

#32 he can start by making it perfectly legal to lie in campaigns, ala Obama.

Posted by: Colinjames | Jul 11 2015 2:09 utc | 35

jfl @33: “they are going to have to do it themselves.” That’s the kiss of death, for sure.

Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 11 2015 2:10 utc | 36

It is important to confront this economic propaganda because it sells a social-pathology which rationalizes “wars of choice.” See how my teacher manipulated our class: Our Teacher Misled Us about Government Spending & Economic Stimulus

Posted by: Tom Murphy | Jul 11 2015 2:14 utc | 37

@ guest77 | Jul 10, 2015 8:48:00 PM | 26
White Liberal aka fascist? Are you too much in Counterpunch aka “left”?
Are you deluded “Yes We Can” voter and now you are passionate about “socialist” Bernie Sanders? “What fools these mortals be.” Shakespeare would say again and again.
Or, you are simply illiterate. And everything was/is so easily predictable. You are not illiterate (although close) you are White Liberal the biggest PS on the Earth.
Is this guy coming from “left”, or leave impression on you that he is concerned for ordinary Greek: http://www.parismatch.com/Actu/Economie/Avant-la-bataille-Yanis-Varoufakis-725030# yes, I like Octopus salad too. He studied Game Theory which is so central to neoliberal concept and so useless in real life. Real inventor of Game Theory is Lenin. Anybody is remembering?, кто кого? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Who,_whom%3F
Beppe Grillo, Podemos, Syriza is all the same liberal shit, that’s how they manage with opposition. Just like Friedrich Ebert in 20s. At least SPD is not hiding its fascist nature.
Guest77, If you are USAian it will be forgiven, if you are coming from the Core EU county that you are just US’ Clone. Hey…it is not your fault, you know mother nature can be cruel. Or combination as result of too much of CNN and mother nature!
Yes, I laugh at Greek failure.

Posted by: neretva’43 | Jul 11 2015 2:15 utc | 38

guest77@28- Wait what?
My mistake, he didn’t write this, tsipras-has-just-destroyed-greece, but he did send the link to automatic earth via this article which is worth reading. someone-pull-the-plug-or-this-will-end-in-war/

Yes, it’s still entirely possible that Tsipras submitted this last set of proposals knowing full well they won’t be accepted. But he’s already gone way too far in his concessions. This is an exercise in futility.
It’s time to acknowledge this is a road to nowhere. From where I’m sitting, Yanis Varoufakis has been the sole sane voice in this whole 5 month long B-movie. I think Yanis also conceded that it was no use trying to negotiate anything with the troika, and that that’s to a large extent why he left.
Yanis will be badly, badly needed for Greece going forward. They need someone to figure out where to go from here.
Just like Europe needs someone to figure out how to deconstruct Brussels without the use of heavy explosives. Because there are just two options here: either the EU will -more or less- peacefully fall apart, or it will violently blow apart.

I agree with Jackrabbit- nobody knows how this is going to turn out. Thanks for pointing out my mistake, and noting the pile on of gloating dickheads.

Posted by: Nana 2007 | Jul 11 2015 2:19 utc | 39

Greece has been abandoned by foreign compradors and slaves. Syriza has little choice but to capitulate.
Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 10, 2015 9:35:40 PM | 31

What are you referring to? Anyway, no, the problem with Tsipras and most of Syriza, one entirely sufficient to cause disaster for Greece regardless of outside influences, is a There Is No Alternative to neoliberalism, austerity and the Eurozone ideology. Nothing new here, we see it all the time among ‘leftists’ in Western capitals.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 2:33 utc | 40

Follow-up to my comment @
Tspiras remarks to Greek Parliament:

For the first time, we have on the table a substantial discussion for a debt restructuring.”

ALSO NOTE: Yanis’ Op-Ed pressures Schauble/Germany to accept the Greek proposal and to agree on other items (debt restructuring, investment, etc.) that are being discussed behind the scenes.
=
Syriza has always sought a comprehensive deal that included structural reforms, debt restructuring, and investment. Those who are calling Tsipras a “sell-out” are not taking into account what is happening behind the scenes. It appears that France and the US, each for their own reasons, are helping to broker the kind of comprehensive deal that Syriza was hoping for.
It may not be everything they were hoping for, but it’s likely to be MUCH better than what they would’ve gotten if they had just quietly succumbed to the Troika back in February.

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jul 11 2015 2:34 utc | 41

Nana @38:

Problem with that is of course that very banking sector. They call the shots. The vested interests have far too much power on all levels. That’s the crux. But that’s also the purpose for which a shoddy construct like the EU exists in the first place. The more centralized politics are, the easier the whole thing is to manipulate and control. The more loopholes and cracks in the system, the more power there is for vested interests.

The crapitalists, in existential crisis, opt for bankers’ fascism. Were you caught off guard?

Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 11 2015 2:38 utc | 42

fairleft @39: “the problem with Tsipras and most of Syriza […] is a There Is No Alternative to neoliberalism, austerity and the Eurozone ideology.”
Tsipras’ Historic Greek Parliament Speech in Support of Social Democracy – Against Neoliberalism
Care to rephrase?

Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 11 2015 2:45 utc | 43

It’s apparently easy to forget that Syriza came to power on a platform of exposing bad faith on the part of the EU – motivated in large part by the fact that previous “Greek bailouts” by-passed the Greek economy and became “bankster bailouts”. I find it fascinating that Greece was told that Varoufakis must “step down” – which is code for Regime Change. Also fascinating is “stepped down” Varoufakis sniping at the EU from the sidelines. All this chattering and nattering about Greece serves to deflect attention from the fact that the EU was a lousy idea from the outset and is now on borrowed time.
No matter what happens next, Greece will still be there in 2017. But if the EU doesn’t save Greece, right now, the EU will cease to exist as the half-assed, terminally-distressed economic bloc its designers intended it to be.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jul 11 2015 2:48 utc | 44

@41- er, no. Nothing has decisive has happened yet. Besides who am I to say how this should all be going, or anyone else? Am I from Detroit and is Tripras Kwame Kilpatrick? Is nedver 43 a black panther? Jeezum crow this Tsipras/Obama blather has been repeated by ninny hammers since day one.

Posted by: Nana 2007 | Jul 11 2015 2:55 utc | 45

Nothing decisive, Nana @44? Of course things decisive already happened. You should certainly be speaking, cause someones have been too long speaking for you.

Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 11 2015 3:05 utc | 46

Joshua Tartakovsky, in Tsipras Capitulated, We Owe it to the Greece to Speak Out, says what needs to be said. Unless he is rescued by German and creditor intransigence, he has struck a huge blow against resistance to austerity (see especially the final paragraph in the blockquote below). Things could not have worked out more perfectly for the Troika in their efforts to contain and demoralize resistance across southern Europe:

… Just 6 days ago, this past Sunday, 61 percent of the Greek public voted for its dignity and against capitulation to the Troika, despite the fact that they were placed under economic siege and financial blackmail. …
The last proposal cannot be defined as anything else but capitulation. This is due to the simple fact that it would involve major cuts in pensions and a rise in VAT while Greece would cut 13 billion euros from its budget, which is far more than the original 8 billion that the Greek public voted against. This is not just a capitulation, but a trampling upon the results of the Greek referendum and the will of the people. Germany said it will consider some kind of debt relief, but recent months have made it increasingly clear that the neoliberal austerity intentions of Germany regarding the Southern countries of Europe have not only not gone away but have intensified. …
It is clear, however, that as long as Greece remains in the Euro, it will never manage to pay the debt and its economy will never recover. Leadership is not to accept such a tragic and declining trajectory at face value and offer no resistance in its path. Tsipras’ trajectory therefore sends a double message. First, that despite the popular ‘No’ vote in the referendum and the strong stance taken during negotiations, the bottom line is that there must be a capitulation. This sends the unmistakable message that resistance is futile. Precisely since Tsipras arguably tried and failed, his capitulation not only discourages other Greeks from pursuing a path out of austerity but also demoralizes parties across the continent such as Podemos who may have more courageous ambitions. Secondly, by not educating the public about the potential of an Exit, or at the very least by not being straightforward about the fact that the economy can never recover under austerity, Tsipras has betrayed the public trust placed in him. He was supposed to lead, not to be dragged by circumstances.

The solution to despair is for Greeks to build on last Sunday’s ‘61% against’ vote and continue the resistance, in the streets because the parliamentary ‘post-democratic’ politicians have abandoned you. Good luck!

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 3:09 utc | 47

In Oz, everyone is soiling their underwear over the slide in the Chinese stock market. The pundits are saying that the Chinese govt is “mishandling” the “crisis” by ordering the suspension, from trading, of 2/3 of listed companies AND barring holders of more than 5% of an individual stock from trading at all.
The pundits say that markets are supposed to be free to rise or fall in response to “market forces.”
On the other hand a related school of thought is wondering…
“When are those stupid commies going to realize that the whole point of a stock exchange is to fleece middle class investors for the benefit of the 0.1%? What kind of monsters fix a problem caused by the super rich by putting the burden on the super rich?”
(borrowed from Xymphora July 9, 2015)

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jul 11 2015 3:11 utc | 48

My pet theory is that Victoria Nuland flashed Trsipras the medusa head when they sat down together in March. This Tsipras today is an impostor. The real Tsipras is currently a statue in a rooftop garden in Brussels. Varoufakis is secretly in route to Berlin to slay the minotauress. Merkel. A new age is coming into being. It’s going to be glorious.

Posted by: Nana 2007 | Jul 11 2015 3:15 utc | 49

fairleft @39: “the problem with Tsipras and most of Syriza […] is a There Is No Alternative to neoliberalism, austerity and the Eurozone ideology.”
Tsipras’ Historic Greek Parliament Speech in Support of Social Democracy – Against Neoliberalism
Care to rephrase?
Posted by: Comrade X | Jul 10, 2015 10:45:24 PM | 42

Your point is that we should believe Tsipras’s words rather than his actions? Are you being obtuse for the fun of it?
And, are you going to answer my question? I simply want you to explain what this means: “Greece has been abandoned by foreign compradors and slaves. Syriza has little choice but to capitulate.” What actions, by who or what specifically, left Greece little choice but to capitulate? There was no barrier to switching to a new Drachma and renouncing most of Greece’s debt. No matter who ‘abandoned’ Greece. Read Bill Mitchell’s A Greek exit is not rocket science scenario and tell me where the ‘foreign compradors and slaves” enter in to foil Syriza’s plans.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 3:18 utc | 50

By the way, this Greece discussion actually began awhile ago, on page two of the Countdown to Grexit. There’s some substance there that informs or should inform some of the comments here. Yesterday, for example, I wrote:
[Bill] Mitchell wrote earlier today, before the austerity capitulation became clear:

… I am still trying to work out an impression of what is going on in Greece and Brussels. … The sheer antagonism of the Baltic States towards Greece is a newly revealed element which is interesting. If their logic prevails then it really is a race to the bottom unless the nation is Germany. Representing the desired benchmark by massive mediocrity if not near disaster (as in Latvia, Lithuania etc) seems to be the new normal in EU debates. Spare the thought. The Baltics should be joining Greece in a solidarity pact to oppose austerity and seek fundamental changes to the EU Treaties instead of siding with the Troika’s death wish for Greece. But there is quite a bit of uncertainty in trying to guage the Greek position. One is led to the most obvious, simple and consistent interpretations of that position – that Syriza is a fractured coalition and those currently in positions of authority (Prime Minister etc) are surrender monkeys who have miscalculated dramatically. But that would tell us that they are acting with such venality towards their people as to be almost an unbelievable narrative. …
[And yet …]
Yes, once again, the so-called ‘progressives’ who think it is fine for Greece to remain in the Eurozone, fundamentally misread the Groupthink that binds the Troika together as a ‘Recession Cult’. …
Anyway the big external spending boost is not about to happen – and really, it never was.
The Troika’s position has really only hardened from ridiculous to something beyond believable – if you sit outside the neo-liberal Groupthink that they are trapped within.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 10, 2015 10:44:22 AM | 169
There are other good comments there too, including an excellent one by Chipnik at 166.
And then there’s also a lot of wailing about someone named ‘Yves’ … Is that a pseudonym of somebody who actually matters, i.e. someone who posts here?

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 3:33 utc | 51

fairleft @50
“Yves Smith” is the pen name of the person that runs the blog http://www.nakedcapitalism.com. NakedCapitalism (“NC”) has a fairly large readership.
NC has a standard daily post called “Links”, which occasionally has a link to MoA.

Posted by: Jackrabbit | Jul 11 2015 3:46 utc | 52

Great comment under that Bill Mitchell post I referred to in comment 50:

Derek Henry says:
Saturday, July 11, 2015 at 4:38
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again.
These neoliberals know what they are doing, it is not because they are stupid. They know how it works in reality and they have set up so that commercial banks are the ones calling the shots not the ECB.
It’s been a project managed for decades now, it is an asset stripping machine and they know it. It’s exactly how they want it. Ban fiscal policy and let the commercials do that job instead and oh boy it has worked like a dream for the top 1%.
It’s time to stop calling them stupid, our narrative must change. They are deceitful parasites end of story.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 3:46 utc | 53

http://www.kitco.com/charts/popup/au24hr3day.html
The interday gold transaction on July 10th sows exactly why the Chinese locked down the markets and locked out the shorters, gold was heading for the basement on hedged margin calls, and China is hoarding PBS to finance their BRICSA currency-swap charade. I’mean sure the EUROPEAN and RUSSIA both made Syria and Tira an offer they couldn’t refuse, to prevent the value of their own PM holdins, and those of the Chocolate Junta, from catering as well.
So instead of ending up in a morgue as a headless, hands-less corpse, the Two Greeks are risen to the pantheon of world leaders and their finance ministers, who sold out the very citizens who elected them.
Hope in Chains, baby. Hope in Chains.

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 11 2015 4:25 utc | 54

@jfl #24
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IImopHDKcuk
Russia’s Putin and China’s Xi at BRICS summit in Ufa
Watch carefully as President Xi speaks to Putin. The Eng translation is weak. I am fluent in Mandarin. Xi facial expression when he said “met my old friend again”.
in Chinese it carry deeper meaning. “my old friend again” is an exception – someone you know and trusted for donkey years.
I am confident should America exceptionalism showdown with Russia, China will back Putin especially if Japan’s on America side.

Posted by: Jack Smith | Jul 11 2015 4:27 utc | 55

Greek parliament authorizes gov’t to negotiate debt deal proposal

The bill was passed by the plenum with 251 votes in favor versus 32 against with 291 deputies participating in the roll call vote in the 300-member strong assembly. Eight MPs opted to abstain.
The ruling coalition’s parliamentary majority was saved by the deputies of the right-wing Independent Greeks who hold 13 seats in parliament.

The Plutocrats’ Republic is selling it as ‘a good thing’.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 5:27 utc | 56

@54
I was thinking that … NATO hegemon, SCO hegemon … they are coming to resemble each other. Although the Chinese are rich enough not to have to stoop to violence. As well, of course, the US berserkers has everyone running their way.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 5:34 utc | 57

@54
President Xi is quite close to Putin and Russia if for no other reason than the two countries share a lengthy border. President Xi is close to many other world leaders currently as well. The writing is on the wall. It is not a matter of if, it is a matter of when China and any in her sphere of influence will dominate the world economy and governance. Americans are not shown all the world leaders meeting with China’s president Xi but it dwarfs those meeting with president Obama which to me signals that the shift of power is well under way.
Of course Japan is on the US side and has been, like Germany, since the end of WWII. Do you think the Japanese are stupid enough on their own to destroy their country with nukes like Fukushima? It took the Americans goading them to grow “economically” to develop energy sources that are contaminating their little island and the rest of the world.
When will the tipping point happen? What will be the precipitator? Will we live through the process? Stay tuned!!

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 11 2015 5:57 utc | 58

from RT:

Greece’s parliament has backed a debt restructuring deal, sealing that which is a “national responsibility,” PM Tsipras said during passionate debates. The reform package has already received ‘positive’ reviews from creditors ahead of a crucial EU summit.
Following lengthy Friday night debates in the Greek parliament, the lawmakers have voted to authorize the Greek delegation’s sealing of a deal with the country’s international creditors in accordance with conditions presented earlier this week. […]
“For the first time, we have on the table a substantial discussion for a debt restructuring,” Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras told the parliament ahead of the vote on bailout terms the country put forward on Thursday.
“It is a choice of high national responsibility, we have a national duty to keep our people alive … we will succeed not only to stay in Europe but to live as equal peers with dignity and pride,” Tsipras said.
The PM insisted that with the latest proposals he had won important concessions from the creditors, and the new deal was better than the one rejected by the Greek public in last week’s referendum.

Only 32 NO votes and 250 votes approving the proposal in the Greek Parliament.
I recall that there was an Yves Smith story, that included the scandalous charge that there were two different copies of the agreement, one to be shown to the “institutions” and a whole different version (implying betrayal by Tsipas) to be fobbed off on Parliament? Something might be a little smelly about that story.

The government officials working on a deal appear, by accident or design, to have sent a version of the proposal to Parliament that includes debt relief when the version sent to the creditors does not. There were a couple of junctures at which the Greek team sent Brussels the wrong version of their proposal. But the European Commission and French have come to “help” the Greeks. One suspects that they’ve essentially take over the drafting process despite claims otherwise. It’s not clear how the creditors would be sent a “wrong” version (which would be fatal) or Parliament (which could be read as bad faith). There is a parliamentary vote at 2:00 PM in Athens; that is presumably more than ample time to get this sorted out, but it’s not a good sign.

What was Yves Smith’s intent in passing this story along, which seems little more than a rumor, unsubstantiated by any source?

Posted by: Copeland | Jul 11 2015 6:07 utc | 59

For the lame-ass excuse-making file, Vanis Varoufakis::

To exit, we would have to create a new currency from scratch. In occupied Iraq, the introduction of new paper money took almost a year, 20 or so Boeing 747s, the mobilisation of the US military’s might, three printing firms and hundreds of trucks. In the absence of such support, Grexit would be the equivalent of announcing a large devaluation more than 18 months in advance: a recipe for liquidating all Greek capital stock and transferring it abroad by any means available.

And the Grexit ain’t rocket science post by Bill Mitchell is the perfect response to that excuse, even though it predated Varoufakis’s comment. It also catches Yanis in an outright lie:

Last Wednesday (July 1, 2015), the ABC radio presenter, Phillip Adams, in a wide ranging interview about the upcoming referendum in Greece and the prospects for the nation, asked the then Greek Finance Minister: “My jokes about printing drachmas in the cellars, remain jokes?” The then Finance Minister replied: “Of course they do … we don’t have a capacity … because … Maybe you don’t know that. But when Greece entered the euro in the year 2000 … one of the things we had to do was to get rid of all our printing presses … in order to impress on the world that this is not a temporary phenomenon … that we mean this to be forever … we smashed the printing presses, so we have no printing presses”. …
When I heard that interview I wondered why [Varoufakis] would want to mislead the Australian listeners, even though interviews like this are no longer geographically restricted and that he was clearly intent on convincing the world, a few days before the referendum, that Syriza was committed to the euro and exit was not an option. Earlier in the week, I had railed against the lies and misinformation coming out of the EU leadership. The boot was on the other foot in this case. But it also raises questions of how an exit might occur in the event that Syriza actually stand up for its electoral mandate (anti-austerity) and refuse to agree to any further austerity. I doubt they will do that but hope springs eternal. …
The Bank of Greece has an information page where it describes the location, functions and capacities of – The National Mint – aka The Banknote Printing Works of the Bank of Greece. …
The Bank of Greece tells us that far from smashing the printing presses, the “National Mint was organised in line with Western European standards and was equipped with state-of-the-art machinery for the manufacturing of coin dies and the striking of legal tender coins, commemorative and collectors’ coins, medals, etc.”
It retains those capacities to this day.

As to the direct challenges of issuing a new currency:

There has also been a lot of talk about the Greeks lacking the capacity to manage a currency swap. But it is only 15 odd years ago that the European nations (and their central banks) did exactly that. The transition to the euro was relatively smooth and the experience embodied from that transition would surely not be lost to the Bank of Greece.
They have already moved from drachma to euro – they know all the practical issues, albeit in a non-hostile environment where other Member States were doing the same thing. But the principles remain the same. …
The new currency would be empowered because the citizens and corporate entities would have to use it to extinguish their ongoing tax obligations.
The private sector would have to acquire that currency, notwithstanding any decisions or preferences it might have for another currency in which it might store wealth. …
With sufficient forward planning, the new currency tokens could be issued on the first day of the new system.
There are various interim measures that can be used that would allow the new currency tokens to be produced in sufficient quantities. Secure vouchers, stamped Greek euro-notes, or just the unique Greek identifier on the notes, would all serve as interim measures.
When the Czech and Slovak governments decided to abandon their short-lived monetary union in early 1993, cross-border currency movements were prohibited while new Slovak banknotes were issued.
The old Czech banknotes were ‘stamped’ and were in use in Slovakia until August 1993.

There’s much more from that very good post. Seriously, I hope no one here is buying the excuse-making.
Also, I have zero votes here, but I personally don’t give a crap about what the latest Yves meta, scandal or ‘meta-scandal’ is.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 7:05 utc | 60

Seamus Milne said it back on July 2:

The real risk across Europe is that if Syriza caves in or collapses, that failure will be used to turn back the rising tide of support for anti-austerity movements such as Podemos in Spain, or Sinn Féin in Ireland, leaving the field to populists of the right.

And we see Golden Dawn, UKIP, and France’s National Front were and are all strongly against giving in to the forces of austerity. Is there a major political party on the left that will join them? What a bleak situation. You can see Farage’s ‘support Syriza resistance’ Euro Parliament speech here, with Tsipras squirming in his seat in response. Obviously something was up …

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 7:34 utc | 61

@60 Do you seriously believe any truly left party will join movements that are far right, nationalist and sometimes openly fascist? And what kind of anti-austeritizm do you see in calls to kick all immigrants out of the country?

Posted by: Arbat | Jul 11 2015 7:44 utc | 62

33
Greek debt crisis: Tsipras trolls for $74BILLION in additional debt
MPs approve bailout plan, but some Syriza MPs rebel
Athens Parliament technocrat elite has given Alexis Tsipras the authority to negotiate
a new refinancing bailout by 250 votes to 32
, but 17 government MPs didn’t back the plan
Tsipras: We have a strong mandate (wait, I thought the oxi vote was the ‘strong mandate’)
Summary: Motion passed, but Tsipras hit by defections
Tsipras: We can put Grexit behind us (which was the plan all along)
Reuters: EC and IMF give thumbs-up
Story: Day of judgment for Greece
Anti-austerity protests in Athens
See the Tsipras NeoLiberal Austerity and National Privatization proposals here

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 11 2015 8:15 utc | 63

Thank you, Volodia! Gazeta.ru: “Russia has Lost $52 Billion in Capital Outflow Already This Year”. Obviously, this doesn’t make much difference to us as we haven’t seen a kopeika of this capital at any moment in the last two decades. It has been all stacked in your mansions around Moscow, and now is being moved to your mansions in London in a panic drill.

Posted by: Arbat | Jul 11 2015 8:28 utc | 64

via Reuters
EU, IMF tell Eurogroup Greek proposals form basis for bailout talks
The European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund have told euro zone governments that proposals from Greece for a bailout loan are a basis for negotiation, an EU official said on Saturday.
“The three institutions have made a first joint assessment of the Greek reform proposals submitted Thursday night. Under certain conditions, they jointly see the proposals as a basis for negotiating an ESM program. This assessment was sent to the Eurogroup president last night,” the official said.
That recommendation is an important step before the Eurogroup of euro zone finance ministers meets at 1300 GMT in Brussels to decide on Athens’ request for help from their European Stability Mechanism bailout fund. Ministers’ advisers are due to meet in the Euro Working Group at 0800 GMT.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jul 11 2015 8:35 utc | 65

37
Even McDonald’s Minions are shrieking ‘What the F*ck?!” It is truly abysmally frightening that 340,000,000 USAryans can let their country be militarized, then looted to 103% of GDP, even before the Private Fed Vampires reimpose perpetual Interest Only Forever.
But that they should so eagerly line up behind Syriza’s Tsipras, Greece’s Menem, ‘I will not betray you! Just vote oxi to make the loans and repayments legitimate!” with a name / party anagram: ‘Sir Is A Tzar Spy’. Watch ‘Four Horsemen’, pretty much says it all.

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 11 2015 8:44 utc | 66

58
If you really want to take the red pill and go down the rabbit hole, in a three-dimensional chess game, this is just the opening act in a Shakespearean (read ‘Western morality play’) tragi-comedy Greek theater, preparing USAryia for the imminent Poroshenko Second Bailout, using the $58 BILLION that the US RINO Congress just looted from USAryans to form a ‘special fund’, a fund to keep Kerry’s promise to, ‘unconditionally backstop the IMF loans’ that will be made to the Kiev Junta Coup leaders, and which every economic expert has said will never be repaid, just as the IMF has already said the Greek loans will never be repayed~!
That means it’s coming out of your last life savings and my last life savings, savings that are never coming back again.
“BREAKING: Greece Grexit Tsipras Troika Syriza~~!!” What the F*ck~?
The whole media festivus is just PSYOPS for the hoi polloi when Chocolate Emperor strides onto the stage, and begins his aria:
“La, la, we, are white like you and me,
and need more tens billions you see,
that will be looted from you to me,

but it’s just business, get over it!”
Well, I’m no quatrain writer, but you get the picture, coming to Western media circuses this fall, just before the Big Crash!!

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 11 2015 8:57 utc | 67

Nobody seems to be taking Goldmann-Sachs to task for their role in enabling this whole disaster…in a jut world, they should be forced to surrender their share of the profits they made on these bogus debt deals to help repay them.
But that will never happen as long as politicians work for bankers, and are traded back and forth like football players.

Posted by: ralphieboy | Jul 11 2015 9:03 utc | 68

57
Uhhh, China is building a bunch of nukes of the same style, purchased from the same Toshiba-owned Westinghouse that Japan used.
Uhhh, China has not even begun to riff down their real estate and retail bubbles, the ‘BRICSA’ talks are pure PSYOP, while the
world’s billionaires are busy buying up all the natural resource companies being shuttered by the collapsing commodities bubble,
all part of the Shekinah 2001, 2008, 2015 Global Inter Caetera Etsi Cuncti Intra Arcana.

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 11 2015 9:19 utc | 69

@60 Do you seriously believe any truly left party will join movements that are far right, nationalist and sometimes openly fascist?
Posted by: Arbat | Jul 11, 2015 3:44:59 AM | 61
I believe any truly left party would join the right on the anti-austerity issue.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 9:34 utc | 71

Good news! Troika unhappy with Greek capitulation; not abject enough … So there’s still a chance for Grexit.

{Very rough translation:} “Overall, [the Troika paper] recognized that [the Greek proposals] include possible loopholes again that the Greek government had inserted [on] Thursday. There must be a clear common understanding on the content and timing of the received by the authorities of obligations which have a clear basis on which an ESM program can be agreed.”
[The Telegraph comments:} This looks like a reference to a number of caveats in the Greek plans, which state that should the government be able to collect more than they envisage in unpaid taxes, they would then re-evaluate their decisions to raise VAT in some areas. … Similarly on pension reforms, Athens reserves the right to review all its measures at the end of 2016 if it manages to exceed its targets for cutting pensions outlay by 1pc of GDP.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 9:45 utc | 72

@70 It’s not “some right”, we’re talking about diehard nationalists. Do you really want to stand arm in arm with people who say that gas chambers were a “minor detail in the history of WW2”?

Posted by: Arbat | Jul 11 2015 9:49 utc | 73

@70 So your loser ‘strategy’ is not to ever take the same position as the right does, no matter how sensible (i.e., anti-austerity) that position might? I don’t understand, this has nothing to do with immigration and who said “arm in arm”? The enemy of my enemy on this profoundly important, life-and-death issue (anti-austerity) is my friend.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 10:24 utc | 74

I still think this nightmare is going through (too much Washington Consensus and US political pressure), despite these hopeful signs:

Deal hopes tempered
On the back of that leaked assessment from the Troika, Reuters is now reporting two unamed eurozone officials who reflect the same concerns that the measures will not be enough to satisfy creditors.
“The high figures for financing needs over the next three years may be too high and too sudden” said one official.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 10:28 utc | 75

???
well, to have an opinion all you need’s a keyboard,
or vocal chords…
let’s sing along

Posted by: john | Jul 11 2015 11:02 utc | 76

here’s the link to FOUR HORSEMEN, it’s worth your time.
https://youtu.be/5fbvquHSPJU

Posted by: okie farmer | Jul 11 2015 11:10 utc | 77

Hopes For Greek Deal Tempered Over Doubts by Eurogroup

An article in the German newspaper FAS claims that creditors believe the Greek proposal does not go far enough.
The FAS article also reports that Greece’s creditors are insisting that they have the right to co-author the reform bills that the Greek government will be required to present to parliament.

The Germans want to write Greek law, just as the TNCs write US law … and will soon be writing European law if the Europeans sign on to the TTIP. I would say that rejecting both, by the Greeks and the Europeans respectively, is a NO! brainer. Of course, our respective ‘representatives’ seem not to understand the meaning if the word NO!. We must hold our own referenda and present them with our results. Teach them the meaning of the word NO! Roll up a newspaper showing the results or our referenda and hit them sharply on their snouts.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 12:07 utc | 78

Far right Spain Prime Minister gives off hopeful signs of a non-agreement:

New agreement with #Greece “will be worse than the previous one,” says Spain’s PM Mariano Rajoy.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 12:37 utc | 79

I think Dijsselbloem and Schaeuble are aiming for Grexit, and likely to get it because, for one thing the Bundestag will have to approve it, and I don’t think the Eurogroup will act countering Germany’s lead.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jul 11 2015 14:02 utc | 80

However, I’m convinced that there are sincere people of the left in the coalition, and that Syriza is much more than a citizens’ reform movement. Copeland at 11.
Copeland, I agree, I drew with a wildly splashing broad brush to get the point over. And what you say is certainly part of the reason why the Troika did everything it could right from the start to get rid of Syriza / make it capitulate. To the point of making its power felt by shutting down cash assistance / payment system, as an ultimate threat (which it certainly wanted to avoid, it looks very bad, yet at the same time it serves as a threat to others) but which worked.
My point, *for others*, was, this is not a morality play in musty costumes, or Boulevard Theatre with bedroom lies and deceptions, or a game of poker, or negotiations at the Golf Club. It is dirty financial politics, filthy to the highest degree, involves the survival of millions of ppl, and endless unknown facts / variables.
Yanis V. and Tsipras stated they had no plan B (which they hadn’t as far as visible) in the sense of ‘we intend to stay in the Euro – EU’ – for a reason, had they not proclaimed that, made that last ditch effort, they would not have been accepted at all, in negotiations or whatever.
What would have followed idk, but they would have been OUT. Was that a good choice? Many would say not, go it alone, etc. More pointedly, join the BRICS, cosy up with Russia, etc. My spontaneous bent is in that direction as well, sure. But while we are free to judge, we do so on insufficent information imho.
Greece as Ukraine or Lybia is a step too far for all the parties. Specially for the Greeks who prefer to stay alive, sort of for some. For now.

Posted by: Noirette | Jul 11 2015 14:55 utc | 81

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/11/us-iran-nuclear-idUSKCN0PL0F420150711
Tehran and the six powers have given themselves until Monday to reach a nuclear agreement, their third extension in two weeks, as the Iranian delegation accused the West of throwing up new stumbling blocks to a deal.
~~~
Other problematic issues in the talks are access for inspectors to military sites in Iran, answers from Tehran over past activity and the overall speed of sanctions relief.
~~~
But the negotiations have become bogged down, with diplomats speaking of a shouting match between Kerry and Zarif.
~~~
A senior Iranian official speaking on condition of anonymity said on Thursday the United States and other Western powers were shifting their positions and backtracking on an April 2 interim accord that was meant to lay the ground for a final deal.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jul 11 2015 15:26 utc | 82

Legal Working Paper Series No 10 / december 2009
withdrawal and expulsion from the eu and emu
by Phoebus Athanassiou
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scplps/ecblwp10.pdf
4 Intermediate conclusion
The conclusion is that Member States could not, pre-Lisbon Treaty, withdraw unilaterally either from the EU or, a fortiori, from EMU, and that the only way for them to do so legally would be by means of a negotiated agreement with their fellow Member States. Such an agreement would necessarily involve a Treaty amendment and require the unanimous consent of its partners, in accordance with Article 48 TEU. How likely some Member States are to wish to withdraw voluntarily (however heartily their partners may desire their departure) can only be a matter of speculation. What is clear, however, is that given the serious legal and practical difficulties that the withdrawal of a Member State would entail, and which even negotiations in good faith may not suffice to overcome, those who supported the withdrawal of Member States accused of having ‘thrown a spanner in the works’ of European integration may well have advocated a step which, though politically imaginable, would be legally inconceivable (at least pre-Lisbon Treaty) (90. See Ellemann-Jensen, ‘Ireland must go’, available at < http://www.project-syndicate.org/print_commentary/ellemanjensen16/English >, exhorting Ireland to ‘do the rest of Europe a favor and withdraw from the European Union’.)
This conclusion inevitably raises the question of whether, in the absence of its willingness to withdraw or of an agreement on the procedure for withdrawal, a Member State could be expelled against its will, either from the EU or EMU. Part Two of this paper will examine these questions.

Thus, marginalising a Member State, even if not formally expelling it, would not be impossible, but none of the avenues available for achieving it would be ideal. Persuading a Member State to withdraw, by making use of the proposed exit clause or resorting to the regular Treaty revision procedure, may be the better option.

In the unlikely event that a Member State withdraws voluntarily or is expelled from the EU, its NCB’s membership of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) and euro area participation would be terminated, with the departing Member State having to restore its old currency or adopt a new one. Restoring a Member State’s old currency or adopting a new one would inevitably involve considerable risks and difficulties and entail substantial legal complications, including with regard to the validity and enforceability of outstanding re-denominated contracts between debtors in the withdrawing Member State and their creditors. Successfully resolving the issues arising would necessitate very close cooperation between the departing and the remaining Member States. While it may sound attractive, the idea of using the agreement with the Council provided for in the Lisbon Treaty exit clause for negotiating a departing Member State’s continued participation in EMU (even temporarily) after that Member State has withdrawn from the EU (113) is questionable, not least from a public policy perspective.

Posted by: c | Jul 11 2015 16:34 utc | 83

It’s encouraging to see some commenters taking a moderate, wait and see, attitude about this 6 month old government and their success or failure. Too many seem to too easily pass judgment because if they are not Heroes they must be Zeros and deserve summary and public execution.
It’s also revealing to watch the reactionary response to these young Communists that seems to have scared the schnitzel out of many or the Radical Centrists including one Nekked Capitalist who can no longer tolerate any voices that oppose the Party Line.
The other faction that may be disappointed are those who screamed for the poor Greeks to jump from their precarious ledge so that Russia could profit from their plunge into the abyss.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jul 11 2015 16:53 utc | 84

@84 wow… your last sentence – i guess everybody has to be in bed with the imf keeping the world financial system and us$ propped up according to you.. anything else will be defined as the abyss, lol…

Posted by: james | Jul 11 2015 19:33 utc | 85

@84 wow.. i guess everyone has to stay in bed with the imf, keeping the world financial system and us$ propped up according to you! anything else is going into the abyss!

Posted by: james | Jul 11 2015 19:35 utc | 86

To everyone here who claim to be a moderate re the Syriza position, name for me all the sovereignty actions the’ve taken to protect themselves from the terror Troika ?
And whether those actions are sufficient ? I’d love to hear it.
All those claims that Tsipras is just one man is not credible what-so-ever. He is the leader of the Syriza party, and in this latest betrayal, the vast majority of this party sided with subjugation. So it’s not just one man is it ? It never was. I look forward to never hearing that poor excuse again.
And who really forced Varufakis to quit, was it the terror Troika, or Tsipras ?

Posted by: tom | Jul 11 2015 21:19 utc | 87

And who really forced Varufakis to quit, was it the terror Troika, or Tsipras ?”
Should be Tsipras and the party members responsible.

Posted by: tom | Jul 11 2015 21:21 utc | 88

Another day of failure to agree is a good day for Greece (despite Syriza’s best efforts to screw over the bottom 80-90% of Greeks). Germany’s Schauble rejects Greece’s capitulation because he doesn’t trust them, proposes a ‘temporary’ 5-year Grexit. Finland finance minister Alexander Stubb says he has to take any agreement to Finland’s parliament and will have a very hard time getting ‘more loans’ through. Meanwhile, Wall Street, I mean ‘the US’, is applying heavy pressure for an agreement and even more severe austerity for Greece.
How austere can it get? Bangladesh severe? Sure, no limits!

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 23:19 utc | 89

@84
Glad to see you reverting to type …
‘ The other faction that may be disappointed are those who screamed for the poor Greeks to jump from their precarious ledge so that Russia could profit from their plunge into the abyss.’
… you had me wondering there.
I do agree that identifying with the ‘correct’ outsiders’ view of the Greeks’ misfortune has been transformed by those who love doctrinal purity into a game – one in which they have zero skin. That identifying with the ‘right line’ with respect to the Greeks’ ongoing tragedy has become a fixation for some. For far too many.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 11 2015 23:25 utc | 90

@84: ‘The other faction that may be disappointed are those who screamed for the poor Greeks to jump from their precarious ledge so that Russia could profit from their plunge into the abyss.’
Your statement is pro-Wall Street neoliberal nonsense. When Argentina took essentially the same plunge, it suffered 3 months of negative growth and then ‘endured’ 7 years of strong economic growth. Greece’s suffering might be even briefer, since a new, undervalued currency would create an immediate boom in tourism, and that is Greece’s number one industry.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 11 2015 23:57 utc | 91

@90
If you say that Greece should ‘jump’ then you must be pro-Germany because that is the threat they are using against the Greeks, forced Grexit.
Argentina is a poor example to compare with Greece, but not as silly as Iceland, they had their own currency and natural resources to exploit to support their battles with the IMF/WB/ Greece has tourism and shipping but most of their GDP comes from other sources.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jul 12 2015 2:16 utc | 92

b
EU♡RU

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 12 2015 2:56 utc | 93

91
Most of Greece’a GDP comes from the IMF. Ain’t NeoLiberalism grand?
And no, they will never be able to repay the debt, only make perpetual Interest Only Forever payments,
as their ports and public utilities are privatized, leaving essentially 100% of their GDP as IMF loans
and the annual winter German sex-tourism to the outer-island disco-brothels. Oh, and watered-down ouzo.

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 12 2015 3:04 utc | 94

86
Tsipras is Menem of the Med. Look at him! Look at his body language!
Para Los Santos, Para Sa Yawa, Pour a 40 on the Ground for δημοκρατία.
It’s just business, get over it.

Posted by: Chipnik | Jul 12 2015 3:11 utc | 95

“If you say that Greece should ‘jump’ then you must be pro-Germany …” So if I said the US shouldn’t invade Iraq I was pro-Saddam, and if I said the US shouldn’t invade Afghanistan I was pro-Taliban, and if I said the US shouldn’t overthrow Ukraine’s democratic government I was pro-Russian … Okay, back to reality:
I said Greece should ‘jump’ because like all sane economists I’m a Keynesian economist. You MUST provide an economy in a deep recession with government deficit-fueled economic development. (You MUST not instead attempt to run surpluses to service an unpayable debt, because this will definitely make the economy worse, the people poorer, hungrier, dying younger, and so on.) In the case of Greece, it MUST also have an undervalued currency in order to attract tourists, by far Greece’s number one industry, and decrease the price of your exports. None of the preceding is possible under the Euro, and all of it is possible and easily doable under a new Drachma.
The only reason Grexit is a ‘threat’ to Syriza’s leaders is because they are economic idiots, or they’ve sold out in some way to the Big Banks and other powers that be. Their proposal for more extreme austerity just continues the downward spiral to the abyss of deep impoverishment except for a thin grossly wealthy layer at the top. Bangladesh? Central African Republic? Guatemala? How far down does the economic spiral have to go till non-idiot non-sold-out leaders jump off?

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 12 2015 3:12 utc | 96

Typical right-wing Guardian ‘news’ article, but at least it notes some key names worth following (like Costas Lapavitsas) of the honorable resistance:

“I cannot support an austerity programme of neoliberal deregulation and privatisation,” said [Greece] energy minister, Panagiotis Lafazanis, after refusing to endorse further tax increases and spending cuts in an early-morning vote on Saturday.
“If accepted by the [creditor] institutions and put into practice, they will exacerbate the vicious circle of recession, poverty and misery.”
The Marxist [SCARY!] politician, who heads Syriza’s militant wing [MILITANT! IS HE A BOMB THROWER??] and is in effect the government’s number three, was among 17 leftist MPs who broke ranks over the proposed reforms.
Other defectors included the president of the 300-seat parliament, Zoe Konstantopoulou; the deputy social security minister, Dimitris Stratoulis; and the former London University economics professor Costas Lapavitsas. All described the policies … as ideologically incompatible with Syriza’s anti-austerity platform.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 12 2015 3:21 utc | 97

Good article on what’s going on right now in Athens working class neighborhoods:

One sign of the volatility: a group of men in their 30s or 40s – a truckie, a muso, a security guard and a waiter – drinking wine guffaw that last week they were supporting Tsipras and now they’re supporting Schäuble. They want the drachma back. …

Debate Rages in SYRIZA Over Austerity Plan from The Real News is also very current:

So debt relief just ain’t happening. Certainly not to a degree that is going to render the debt sustainable. And so this is the big question. I mean, really there are two questions in this debate. The first question is, is Greece better off on a long-term basis in the Euro, outside of the Euro. And you’ve heard people like Costas Lapavitsas say quite clearly that Greece is better off outside the Euro.
The other question is even if you believe that Greece is better off inside the Euro, you disagree with people like Syriza MP Costas Lapavitsas, one must ask the obvious question, will this deal actually prevent a Grexit? And anyone who thinks that this deal, which is going to cause further economic contraction in Greece, further social inequality, further increase, probably in the debt–certainly there will be an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio. Further unemployment. But somehow magically this is going to prevent a default. I think they need to have their heads examined. If anything, this is going to accelerate a default on the other debts that Greece has.

Posted by: fairleft | Jul 12 2015 3:42 utc | 98

Sorry to go off topic, but it does say open thread at the top … the Dictator in Thailand has just raised a ruckus by returning 100+ Uighurs to the Plutocrats’ Republic. The assumption is that everything the Dictator does is wrong … he’s Royal Thai Army, in power via smash and grab coup of the elected government, and he and his Royal Thai Navy cronies are in the midst of cutting a deal to buy 4, no make that 3, no make that 2 Chinese submarines – all for the same 36 gigabaht, 1+ gigabuck USD price, the number of u-boats keeps getting ‘refined’ – and they’re going to cut Thaksin’s Universal Health Plan to pay for it – get the infant mortality rate back up where it belongs outside Bangkok in occupied Thailand. The assumption is quid pro quo, for the PRC’s ‘good deal’ on submarines too big to operate in the littoral waters of the Gulf of Thailand.
But Xinhua marshals a story of a (CIA, presumably) ratline of recruits from Xinjiang through Southeast Asia to Turkey and the ISIS. Xinhua gives more detail than is usual in a strictly disinfo campaign … so it might actually be true.
But, never believe anything until it’s officially been denied … U.S. Condemns Forced Deportation of Ethnic Uighurs in Thailand to China, UN ‘gravely concerned’ over deportation of ethnic Uighurs in Thailand to China .

Posted by: jfl | Jul 12 2015 4:08 utc | 99

@97
I think you’re beginning to get to the bottom of the situation … the future of Greece is no more up to the political class there than the future of the US is up to ‘our’ political class, or the future of China or Russia is up to the political class in those nations. Well … it is if we want more of the same.
So don’t let’s keep our eyes on the political class if we’re looking and hoping for change, let’s keep our eyes on the people in each and every case. Things are poppin’ in Greece. Watching the real political scene in our US is still like watching paint drying. Well, maybe the peoples of color in the US will come through … in a very real sense it’s a case of being abused enough to actually effect change, all other options having been foreclosed.

Posted by: jfl | Jul 12 2015 4:18 utc | 100