Ukraine: U.S. Campaign Stuck Without Russian Intervention And German Support
Two days ago a mob, supported by the fascists Right Sektor, killed over 30 federalist Ukrainians in Odessa by pushing them from their camp into a building and then setting fire to it. Those who escaped the massacre, not the perpetrators, were rounded up by police. Today pro-federalism people besieged the police headquarter in Odessa until the police released those it had earlier arrested.
In the east some military and National Guard units under government control were in sporadic fights with federalists but right now the government forces seem to be again in retreat. There were attacks on private bank outlets in the east because the owner of the bank, a well known oligarch, is suspected of financing the fascist Right Sektor paramilitaries.
The U.S. plan for Ukraine seems to be to bait Russia into an occupation. This would destroy EU-Russia relations, embolden NATO and help the U.S. to keep the EU as a secondary partner under its control. There would be lots of economic upsides for the U.S. in such a situation. Selling more arms and increasing energy market shares are only the starters.
There are two reasons to believe that this plan will fail:
First: Russia will not take the bait. The people requesting more local autonomy in Ukraine are perfectly able to take a stand on their own. Should a few die, like in Odessa, even more will rise up. Except for the Right Sektor people now included in the National Guard there are no loyal troops for the Kiev coup government to use against the people. The huge mistake the coup government made, repeating a U.S. mistake made in Iraq, was to dissolve the federal riot police Berkut. Those now unemployed trained fighters, together with experienced former Soviet soldiers, are the military backbone of the federalists. There is therefore no need for Russia to openly intervene. The Kiev coup government is already a dying entity.
Second: Many people in Europe have recognized the nefarious U.S. scheme and are protesting against their politicians' slavishness in following the U.S. lead. The political pressure against Russia bashing is building. Every pro-NATO/anti-Russian report in the media, and there are lots of them, gets trashed in the comment sections. Some of the European elite are openly turning against the U.S. induced anti-Russia propaganda. Even the most staunch transatlantic tabloid in Germany, Bild, today reports (original here) that the CIA and FBI with dozens of agents are running the show in Kiev. The report is based on "German security sources" which lets me believe that the German government is looking for ways to counter Washington's moves. The German Foreign Minister Steinmeier just called (in German) for a second Geneva conference to solve the situation.
Without Russian intervention and without German support the U.S. campaign against Russia is unlikely to reach its secondary target of isolating Russia. The primary target, Sevastopol harbor in Crimea, was already lost when Russia reunified with the island.
What is left to do then for Washington is to create more chaos in Ukraine and to hope that somehow out of total chaos some new chance may arise to stick it to Russia. For lack of real direction that strategy is also unlikely to succeed.
Posted by b on May 4, 2014 at 15:34 UTC | Permalink
« previous pagePosted by: William Bowles | May 5, 2014 4:01:37 PM | 200
"I agree, why are acting as if I don't believe you?"
I think we both misunderstood each other.
"But like I said, all you have to do to access the site is click on the 'Ignore this warning', link."
I know. And to get around the Google (malwareoogle, CIAoogle?) attack site's blocking
vz.ru in their translator, there is this cure:
Posted by: scalawag | May 5 2014 20:12 utc | 202
BTW, the link cited above to the Global Research page on the Odessa file is actually republished from: http://frallik.livejournal.com/781599.html, which is as far as I know, a Ukrainian site.
Posted by: William Bowles | May 5 2014 20:17 utc | 203
Posted by: scalawag | May 5, 2014 4:12:52 PM | 202
lost in translation?
Posted by: brian | May 5 2014 22:26 utc | 204
Somebody's fellow fifth columnists are getting worried:
Howzabout some R2P CONSISTENCY, O? Are U.S. cruise missiles on the way to fry Svoboda HQ in Kiev?
Posted by: B | May 6 2014 1:21 utc | 206
Orlov is brilliant, and i think he captures the real sense of what is happening. he lived through it once, and knows what lies ahead. ignore him at your own risk.
Posted by: guest77 | May 6 2014 2:35 utc | 207
The rebellion in eastern Ukraine is the result of deep divisions in Ukrainian society that were dramatically exacerbated by the Maidan coup, which was itself supported—and, to a great extent, politically managed—by the United States. To pretend that the eastern uprising was conjured up by Russia is "dangerous self-deception.” It’s also a way of diverting attention from the real US agenda--primacy in Eurasia A broken state works just fine for the neocons. It was never about Ukraine. Washington and the oligarchs have toyed with Ukrainian fascists, and ended up turning them loose. See detailed analysis at Good for the Gander:Ukraine's Demise Accelerates
Posted by: The Polemicist | May 6 2014 4:43 utc | 208
The comments to this entry are closed.
But like I said, all you have to do to access the site is click on the 'Ignore this warning', link.
Posted by: William Bowles | May 5 2014 20:03 utc | 201