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Ukraine: Move To Replace The President Is Illegal
The Ukrainian opposition claims it wants to associate with the European Union because they desire the rule of law. Why do they then break the law and try to illegally remove the elected president from his office?
The parliament now says it has temporarily handed the president's powers to speaker Oleksandr Turchinov, a top ally of gas oligarch Yulia Tymoshenko. But that move certainly did not follow Article 111 (impeachment) of the Ukrainian constitution:
- The President of Ukraine may be removed from office by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine by the procedure of impeachment, in the event that he or she commits state treason or other crime.
- The issue of the removal of the President of Ukraine from office by the procedure of impeachment is initiated by the majority of the constitutional composition of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.
- To conduct the investigation, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine establishes a special temporary investigatory commission whose composition includes a special procurator and special investigators.
- The conclusions and proposals of the temporary investigatory commission are considered at a meeting of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.
- For cause, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, by no less than two-thirds of its constitutional composition, adopts a decision on the accusation of the President of Ukraine.
- The decision on the removal of the President of Ukraine from office by the procedure of impeachment is adopted by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine by no less than three-quarters of its constitutional composition, after the review of the case by the Constitutional Court of Ukraine and the receipt of its opinion on the observance of the constitutional procedure of investigation and consideration of the case of impeachment, and the receipt of the opinion of the Supreme Court of Ukraine to the effect that the acts, of which the President of Ukraine is accused, contain elements of state treason or other crime.
As far as I can tell none of the highlighted points have been met. Replacing the president through a simple vote is clearly illegal. It is also breaking the agreement achieved two days ago with the pressure from three EU ministers.
Instead of leaving the place as had been agreed the fascist groups on the Maidan are growing with more radicals arriving. In the east pro Russian Ukrainians are preparing self defense groups.
By each hour the situation is getting more and more out of control. The sorcerers apprentices, though not admitting it yet, are now helpless. Who will be the first to call up Moscow and to ask Putin for help?
I think that Putin will first and foremost rely on a well proven strategy, truth.
I strongly assume that FSB and others are working hard to analyse and compile all dirt (read: proof of highly criminal involvement and actions) they’ve gathered in order to better understand the dirty details, players and interactions. But, of course, also to leak or publish some of it – which might quite dramatically change the situation on the ground.
Unlike the “expert” of (the zamerican) associated press quoted above I do not think that Putin is basically afraid and in a dilemma, trying everything to not lose too much. (Actually I think that’s bullshit)
Putins interests are simple. He doesn’t want ukraine to be turned against Russia, he doesn’t want the eastern part of ukraine to suffer or to get into a harmful situation and he wants to weaken – and in the long run to destroy – zato.
Afraid or seriously worried he is certainly not. After all, the mere fact that the zusa/zeu cowards timed their dirty attack to coincide with Sochi shows clearly how weak they are.
As for the Putin and timochenko get along well line, I don’t fall for it.
In the end, I think, it will come down to some few critical factors:
– Will the well being and the not-zatoization of the russian speaking eastern part of ukraine be guaranteed or not (with whatever government ukraine will have)?
– Will the “russian” part of Ukraine accept any new government and constitution or will they demand to separate and/or join Russia?
– Will any new government be or not be evidently and unilaterally pro-zeu/zato?
As for the “russian” part, things probably will turn out difficult. The people there have suffered a lot, are not any more in the mood for experiments and, most importantly, have already entered into what I perceive a highly autodynamic and increasingly weaponized anti-ukraine vortex.
The central (and pro western) kiev government, who and whatever that will turn out to be, will *have* to make major concessions to the eastern part; after all it’s the eastern part that earns almost all the money. On the other hand, Crimea, for instance, already is highly autonomous. Any further concessions would basically create a situation that’s unacceptable for the western part. Because one major desire desire of the eastern part, namely to not finance a rotten country that works counter their interests, will naturally be absolutely inacceptable for kiev.
That issue (eastern parts) and the fact that the instigators zusa/zeu actually have not interest at all in ukraine itself (other than as a tool on the geastrategic map) is the very core of the problem (and not yanukovich, timochenko or whatever other polit-gangster).
And eastern ukraine doesn’t need western ukraine or kiev; after all they have been “thrown in” decades ago. But kiev needs the eastern part; that’s ukraines life-blood, without it ukraine has no viable existence.
I elaborate this to some detail because it shows once more a major the problem of the zusa/zeu/zato world: They plan and act based on maps, theories (most of them weird or insane), plain stupid “because I took that decision”, and calcule – usually far away from reality, no matter whether it’s about F-35 fair tale, about ignorant mid east dreams, or about a country like ukraine.
*theoretically* it may even have looked smart to them. Down on the ground, however, the situation is very different from what their “think”-tanks came up with.
Fittingly the “new government”, no matter which puppets will staff it, is a wet dream, a somewhat berserk theory and no more. ukraines life-blood is in a part of the country, they won’t even dare to go to. And they can’t dictate by force; because they have none and because, if needed, Russia will stand behind “their” russian fellows.
So, Putin sure enough is not afraid, nor has he reason to be; and he did the smart thing: He let them stir their wet dreams, take decisions, create resolutions …. and it’s all meaningless puppet theater. Just given them some time to find it out, and, being at it, find out that zusa/zeu will *talk* about financial help – but not shell out any reasonable amount of money.
In the end the question will be “Do the eastern regions break away in all but name or in name, too?”
Posted by: Mr. Pragma | Feb 24 2014 18:07 utc | 71
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