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Why Kerry’s “Know” Speech Is Fundamentally Wrong
To assess something, without having confirmation, is fundamentally different from knowing something.
Secretary of State John Kerry’s remarks on Syria on Aug. 30
what we know … I know that … what we know will … some things we do know … we really know … we know that … We know that the regime … We know that the regime … We know that for three days … And we know that the Syrian regime … We know that these were … We know where … We know where they … We know rockets … And we know, as does the world, … And we know it was … we know what … now knows that … We also know … We know that … We know this. … And we know what they did … as we now know … things that we know … what do we know … we know what we know … that we don’t already know. … we know that after a decade … these things we do know … We also know … because we know … So that is what we know … now know … need to know
U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government’s Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013
The United States Government assesses … We further assess … all-source assessments … Our classified assessments … A preliminary U.S. government assessment … though this assessment will certainly evolve … We assess with … We assess that … this assessment includes … Our high confidence assessment is the strongest position that the U.S. Intelligence Community can take short of confirmation.
Kerry may think something or believe something but, despite him using the word 35 times, he does not know s….
Here goes without the links, I will try and post them afterwards.
Syria CW attack. Petri Khon on another thread wrote, quote,
What we would need to see is:
– Video of dead family killed in their home.
– Video of family member or neighbor, in situ, describing how the whole family was killed.
– Video of dead animals in situ.
– Video of the attack site, empty houses, without fresh bomb damage, abandoned in panic or cleared of dead bodies.
– Lists of victims with addresses.
– Any sign that the claimed victims ever lived in the effected areas.
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Videos only, watched for 5 hours.
I am not arguing for it’s own sake, or prove anything. It is simply hallucinating that such a hullaballoo should explode on so little fact or evidence. I list some grave points of difficulty, of different types.
1) There were several previous alleged CW attacks. I did not sort these out, as concerned only with the attack in the early hours of 21 aug – I accepted the date 22-25 Aug as a mistake in reporting/or as upload date.
The foaming mouth vids (except maybe for one child) are all from pre Aug21. As are those who show women (Aleppo, May, which is clearly by pro Assad activists. No link for now.)
The vids of all the attacks get muddled together in the MSM without proper dating. I came to the conclusion that the previous ‘attacks’ were far better documented. The bulk of vids. with consequent content are previous to Aug21. Ex. Douma, May:
link 1 (see hopefully subsequent post)
2) None of the Aug21 vids can be securely dated by me, although a few do show scenes different from the other attacks. Maybe : something did take place but I have doubts about the amplitude, scope, etc.
3) All the vids. have a somewhat staged, hyper-real air. Now this is partly natural. It is the Zeitgeist – dramatic images required. Cultural factors: No women victims are portrayed, unless dead in a shroud, completely covered with a blanket, etc. I saw not one fully dressed woman (except for med staff with scarves and a few relatives in full abayas, but they are not victims…) This in itself shows that filming was selective and the scenes ‘arranged’ by e.g. skipping the women, removing them, covering the dead ones. All the live victims suffering are men and children. Some crowd scenes contain no women at all. (Victims need to be shown partly undressed so as to appear shocking, vulnerable, etc.) So how far does the arranging go?
4) Aug21 took place in the dead of night, reports from 2.00, 2.30 to 4.00. In many of the vids the dead victims (a few alive) are wearing day clothes, incl. tied shoes, belts, etc. The children, specially if wholly or partly naked, are of course ambiguous. The uncovered men all wear ‘day’ underpants, and a ‘day‘ top like a white shirt if that is shown. This is odd. There is no way that in a serious CW attack ppl got dressed to then instantly fall over and die in the street. Or bothered with belts and shoes before leaving a closed space filled with gas.
black pants (typical day clothes vid.)
link 2 (see hopefully subsequent post)
Or a family escaping fully dressed to die on the stairs and in the street. (no link, …)
5) Nothing much can be made of the ‘crowd dead’ scenes (lines of bodies in shrouds, or dressed, on the floor in some kind of locale, etc.) They could be from all kinds of events.
6) Finer analysis shows some disturbing aspects.
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to be continued.
Posted by: Noirette | Aug 31 2013 17:10 utc | 19
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