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Syria: First To Blink …
Look who blinks:
Syria's opposition chief Moaz al-Khatib said on Wednesday he is ready for dialogue with officials of President Bashar al-Assad's regime, subject to conditions including that some 160,000 detainees are released.
"I announce I am ready for direct discussions with representatives of the Syrian regime in Cairo, Tunis or Istanbul," Mr Khatib said via his Facebook page, citing as another condition that passports for exiled citizens be renewed in embassies abroad.
Missing is the condition that many "western" governments and their puppet Syrian opposition had earlier set for talks. There is no longer the demand that Bashar al-Assad has to leave before any negotiations can take place.
It is likely that many of the exile Syrian opposition will reject these negotiations and further split their coalition.
I expect that the Syrian government will take up this offer but it will take time for the process to start. There obviously will be no release of opposition fighters from prison before negotiations start. When they start al-Khatib and his bosses in Washington will have little to offer. The fighters on the ground are not under the command of the exile opposition. They will care little about what he negotiates.
Still this offer will have effects. On the ground it will diminish the motivation of some of the fighters. It will also have effects on those that finance and support the opposition fighters. Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar will have to treat more carefully now as al-Khatib negotiation offer implies that Washington wants the conflict to end. Whoever stands in the way will have to watch out.
Right or wrong, and what is occurring is very wrong – The facts of the matter, airspace was breached, targets hit, and yes Israel did it, even if this was green lights or agreed and driven from it’s allies. The point is that this was a dry run, Syria’s defenses are exposed, they do not work, now validated. The fact that this has contravened international law is one thing, but since it’s the ‘special child’ that took such action, any redress will simply fall aside, in the same stroke the same Country said a big FY to it’s human rights abuses raised by the UN, a clever maneuver – Which will be the focus?
As far as game-play goes it’s textbook, it’s dirty and smoke screens. As far as retaliation goes, Syria or Iran, they just cant pull it off as the repercussions would be far hotter and actually set-off the demise that is planned, and then the War starts, not a War, but a utter breakdown of infrastructure, Gov, transport networks,supply chains, agri and business, as well as those in power, targeted hits and Syria will be at a standstill within 6 weeks; then the reconstruction starts. We will read/See (Media) 3 months of bombardment and it will plastered on every news channel, so much so the average citizen of the world will just want to watch ‘American idol’, The walking dead, History channel etc to escape the repeated events and dialog, when it ends, it’s just a old conflict that is now ended, like Kosovo, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. The occasional clip-its of news about wrongs/rights will appear and the rest of the world goes on with it’s daily life – nothing new.
In the meantime Mali rules the news and the knock on effects like the just in explosion in Ankara, Turkey across from the US embassy, and will not be the last, just headlines ‘This is why we need to stop the terrorists( what we caused)’ but with spin and theatrics of Hollywood and geopolitics; we are all Dr’s of spin and the audience gullible, as they just want jobs and some sense of future, and our world is in turmoil, a very historic story that has been working for thousands of years…
Posted by: Kev | Feb 1 2013 11:39 utc | 88
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