Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 16, 2012

Syria: Russia Rejects Western Blackmail

The false reporting on the Tremseh "massacre" was supposed to put pressure on Russia and China to agree to a Chapter 7 UN Security Council resolution. Chapter 7 allows the use of force and such a resolution could be used as an excuse for armed intervention. Kofi Annan took that position when, after Tremseh, he urged the UNSC to threaten Syria with "consequences" for not retreating from cities and villages. Annan and Ban Ki Moon were dispatched to Russia and China to further press the issue.

But the Tremseh information operation fell apart when the UN observers confirmed the Syrian government version of the story. Writes the Wall Street Journal:

New evidence on last week's killings in a village in central Syria suggests the bloodshed followed a raid by government forces to arrest male rebels, rather than a deliberate massacre of around 200 civilians as some Syrian opposition leaders and their Western allies first reported.
The findings could ease the pressure on Russia and China to back tougher measures against Bashar al-Assad's government, underscoring how competing narratives and interpretations of events in Syria continue to divide world powers over how to end a conflict now recognized by most as a civil war.

The Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov is scheduled to meet with Kofi Annan tomorrow. He just held a press conference in which he laid out the Russian and Chinese position. From my notes:

  • Lavrov rejected demands of unilateral withdrawal of Syrian armed forces from cities. He insisted on simultaneous withdrawal by the army and the insurgents after local negotiations and under supervision of the UN observers.
  • He accused the west of "blackmailing" by threatening to not renew the mandate of the UN observers unless Russia agrees to a Chapter 7 resolution.
  • He asked how Russia could trust anyone with Chapter 7 when existing UNSC resolutions and the recent Geneva decisions are not followed by others as they continue to arm and support the insurgency.
  • He expressed concern about the increasing sectarian dimension of the conflict and the fate of minorities like the Christians in Syria.
  • He expressed concern about a radical "third force" in the Syrian conflict and emphasized that such AlQaeda forces are a common enemy of everyone involved in the crisis.
  • He regretted that the Syrian National Council does not relent from its "radical demands", is not helpful in creating an inner-Syrian dialog and has not named a negotiator like the Syrian government has done.
  • He emphasized that the solution of the crisis in Syria will be an example for other global crises and should be seen under that perspective.
  • Inner-Syrian negotiation on a transition as agreed upon in Geneva is the way to go and Russia will not go with any UN resolution that does not confirm with the Geneva document.
  • Russia will not permit any Chapter 7 resolution on Syria to pass the UNSC.

The attempt to use Tremseh to blackmail the Russians has obviously failed.

Will there be another trick the U.S. will try to get its will? Could the unconfirmed allegation by anonymous western officials about the movement of chemical arms within Syria be used to create another fake event that the Syrian government can then be accused of? What other malicious ideas will Hillary Clinton come up with?

Posted by b on July 16, 2012 at 9:44 UTC | Permalink

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ZERO chance of a Libya-like NATO Air Attack on syria

Russia to deliver air defense systems to Syria

Russia says it has no plans to impose an arms embargo on Syria and intends to fulfill a contract for delivering air defense systems to the country.

A senior Russian arms export official said on Wednesday that since the contract to deliver Syria the air defense systems were signed before the outbreak of unrest in the country, Moscow is obliged to fulfill its commitments.

''Russia has obligations before Syria relating to old contracts, contracts that were signed in 2008 and were later followed by new ones on air defense systems. They are being fulfilled and they will be fulfilled," AFP news agency quoted the Russian Federal Service for Military Technical Cooperation's deputy chief Vyacheslav Dzirkaln as saying on the sidelines of the Farnborough Airshow near London.

He stressed that the air defense systems were meant to protect Syria's border in accordance with international rules.

"We are delivering weapons and military technology of an exclusively defensive nature," Dzirkaln said. . .

Since weapons manufacture is probably the only remaining real 'productive' sector of the US Economy, I seriously doubt that the psychopaths are willing to risk exposing their expensive military tech to up-to-date Russian-made Air Defences

When, not if, the Russian-supplied Syrian Air Defence Weapons start making mince meat out of cowardly NATO pilots, the last profitable sector of the US economy will plunge right into the toilet, where it belongs

What will the psychopaths do then?

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 18 2012 11:18 utc | 101

I don't even think that NATO is planning on doing airstrikes or even infantry action.
Looks like they stick to insurgenty coming out of the neighbouring countries while Nato folks do the intelligence work. I'd even think it might be dangerous for russia to supply state-of-the art weapons because there is a good chance that they'll be of little use but fall into the hands of western analysts, so the supply of these arm might do more harm than use.
But that's just an impression.

Posted by: peter radiator | Jul 18 2012 11:31 utc | 102

I don't even think that NATO is planning on doing airstrikes or even infantry action.

eehhhmmmm - 'even' infantry action? In any sane checklist of military escalation, airstrikes would come before infantry action since normally there's little risk, especially if you're the US and rather reluctant to risk boots-on-the-ground, in bombing the crap outta a defenseless nation.

But Syria will not be defenceless provided the russkies follow through

And you seem to have missed the frequent almost hysterical calls by psychopaths such as Clinton and little Willy Hague in the UK, for "Chapter Seven" resolutions in the UN against the Syrian Gov't - Chapter Seven is subheaded: "Action with Respect to Threats to the Peace, Breaches of the Peace and Acts of Agression" and would essentially grant the NATO psychos the basis needed to launch Air Strikes while claiming they had UN clearance - just like they did in Libya - have you been following any of this at all?

SO there's little doubt that until now the NATO psychos felt they could simply do a repeat of the Libyan R2P No-Fly zone nonsense - the NATO psychos bombed the hell out of any Libyan Military forces that moved, which allowed NATO Mercenaries to grab bits of territory here and there - without NATO Air Support the Mercenaries would have been wiped out quite easily since the Libyan Forces were well trained in that sort of Warfare. Only the NATO Air Strikes prevented that

Russian supplied Anti-Aircraft Weaponry will seriously dampen the desire of the NATO psychos to launch Airstrike - Well it might not halt the rhetoric from the seriosuly mentally unstable clinton and the odious Hague, but I seriously doubt their respective military advisors are recommending going up against the Russian-supplied Air Defences

"I'd even think it might be dangerous for russia to supply state-of-the art weapons because there is a good chance that they'll be of little use but fall into the hands of western analysts"

nonsense - seriously what scenario have you cooked up in your head that would lead you to such a conclusion?

again this is not Libya - and will play out much differently.

BTW the S-300, which I believe is the weapon system in question, is not the cutting edge by any means, but from what I have been able to find out about it, it is sufficient enough to scare the crap outta NATO pilots

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 18 2012 12:03 utc | 103

Obviously Russia is not going to save the day. They have purposely WITHHELD arms so Syria can't better defend itself!

Posted by: Walter Wit Man | Jul 18 2012 17:29 utc | 104

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