Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 18, 2012
Syria: After Deadly Strike Gloves Will Come Off

Updated below:

The foreign supported insurgency in Syria made hit-and-run attacks in some suburbs of the capitol Damascus. But those fights were isolated by government forces and seem now to die down as the insurgency has problems to sustain them. That may well be for a lack of personal:

Rebel commanders declared that the "Battle for Damascus" had begun, with fighters drafted into the city from other areas of the country as part of an operation they called "Damascus Volcano and Earthquakes of Syria".

[H]e said that rebel units from Homs, Deraa and two other cities had been drafted into the capital.

This morning a suicide bomber killed the Syrian defense minister and the deputy defense minister during a security meeting. Syrian interior minister Muhammad Al Shaar and others were seriously wounded in the attack.

Ten days ago Hillary Clinton warned:

"The sooner there can be an end to the violence and a beginning of a political transition process, not only will fewer people die, but there is a chance to save the Syrian state from a catastrophic assault that would be very dangerous not only to Syria but to the region," Clinton said at a news conference.

Were the recent attacks and today's bombing the "catastrophic assault" she warned of? How did she know of them?

The news of who did these assassinations and how is currently foggy. The most interesting question is: Who gave the intelligence that enabled these assassinations?

The deputy defense minister Assef Shawkat is Bashar Assad's brother-in-law. Earlier this year the insurgency claimed to have killed the defense minister Dawoud Rajiha by food poisoning. He was an orthodox Christian. We can therefore be sure that his death will be a rather harsh part of talk the president of the Russian Federation Putin will have today with a major supporter of the insurgency, the Turkish prime minister Erdogan.

These assassination are surely as heavy hit for the Syrian government. But the result of that hit may not be what the insurgency wishes for: that the people in the government give up. My assessment is that the government's gloves will come off now and its response will be felt beyond the Syrian borders.

Update:

 The Free Syrian Army in Turkey is claiming responsibility (as did some Jihadi group):

Riad al-Asaad said in a phone interview from his headquarters in Turkey that rebel forces planted a bomb inside a room where senior government officials were meeting Wednesday.

The rebel leader denies government claims that it was a suicide attack, saying all those who carried out the operation are safe.

Time for another reminder: Syria went through a quite similar situation in the late 1970s when the Muslim Brotherhood led another insurrection against the Syrian state. There were many assassinations and assassination attempts, including on the then president Hafez al-Assad, as well as large attacks on government forces. The response was ferocious and the insurrection was put down.

Comments

Assassination Attempt on Tony Blair in Israel – http://www.google.com/search?q=Assassination+Attempt+on+Tony+Blair+in+Israel
Assassination Attempt On Sarkozy In Israel – http://www.google.com/search?q=Assassination+Attempt+On+Sarkozy+In+Israel
Assassination Attempt on Hillary Clinton in Israel – http://www.google.com/search?q=Assassination+Attempt+On+Hillary+Clinton+In+Israel

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 19 2012 15:15 utc | 101

3arabiSouri
#Pakistan ambassador: it became more clear what #Syria is facing after yesterday’s terrorist attack in #Damascus killing top officials.
arabiSouri
#India passes condolences to #Syria for the terrorist crime yesterday assassinating minister of defense and his colleagues. #UNSC
http://www.rt.com/news/russia-china-unsc-veto-syria-584/

Posted by: brian | Jul 19 2012 15:18 utc | 102

assad has fled nowhere:
Ali Hashem علي هاشم ‏@alihashem_tv
AFP: Mother and sister of ‪#Assad‬ attended funeral of Assef Shawkat in ‪#Tartus‬ ‪#Syria‬.

Posted by: brian | Jul 19 2012 15:19 utc | 103

I doubt Assad fled to the coast, i doubt he was in Damascus to begin with.

Posted by: nikon | Jul 19 2012 15:40 utc | 104

obvious strategy to avoid assassination of top officials is to spread them out all over the country, meetings between top officials are conducted via their deputies.

Posted by: nikon | Jul 19 2012 15:48 utc | 105

@104 & 105
makes sense

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 19 2012 16:08 utc | 106

Yemeni security officer Colonel Abdallah al-Mawzai assassinated in Aden
http://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCABRE86I0CI20120719

Posted by: nikon | Jul 19 2012 16:25 utc | 107

Bulgarian media have named the reported suicide bomber who killed six Israeli tourists and two Bulgarians when he exploded a bus yesterday as Mehdi Ghezali.
The Times of Israel reports that Ghezali was Swedish citizen with Algerian and Finnish origins who had been held at the U.S. detention facility at Guantánamo Bay from 2002 to 2004.

Posted by: nikon | Jul 19 2012 16:31 utc | 108

Recall Voltaire.net’s warning of the massive propaganda campaign to be launched a few weeks ago- complete with staged assault footage, fake videos of defections of regime officials etc.. Is any of that in play here now?

Posted by: JL | Jul 19 2012 16:46 utc | 109

this site is like sweet ambrosia for paranoiacs. I sort of miss that guy – don’t remember his nick – who used to post about flying saucers and death rays.

Posted by: slothrop | Jul 19 2012 17:24 utc | 110

“The Times of Israel reports that Ghezali was Swedish citizen with Algerian and Finnish origins who had been held at the U.S. detention facility at Guantánamo Bay from 2002 to 2004.”
so – al-CIA-duh then –
slobthob is working overtime at the mo I see

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 19 2012 17:52 utc | 111

“The Times of Israel reports that Ghezali was Swedish citizen with Algerian and Finnish origins who had been held at the U.S. detention facility at Guantánamo Bay from 2002 to 2004.”
so – al-CIA-duh then –
slobthob is working overtime at the mo I see

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 19 2012 17:52 utc | 112

This site wouldn’t be the same without Slothbob

Posted by: Alexander | Jul 19 2012 18:33 utc | 113

Swedes Deny Report That [person ACCUSED of being the bomber] Was a Former Guantanamo Detainee
” Swedish officials are denying Bulgarian news reports that say that the suicide bomber who killed five Israeli tourists yesterday has been identified as Mehdi Ghezali, a Swedish citizen who spent two years in the U.S. prison at Guantanamo Bay. The news agency Sofia says he was identified after fingerprints found at the scene were submitted to the FBI and Interpol. There was no official comment or confirmation from the local authorities, however, the story was being reported in Israeli media.”
according to something on twitter

[Swedish] secret service [says]: “We can confirm he is not the suicide bomber”

Though how anyone can be sure of anything, regarding what many here and elsewhere suspect is a likely False Flag Op, is a little unclear

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 19 2012 18:48 utc | 114

Suicide bomber is a Western meme, supposed to denote ppl so crazed that they can be condemned out of hand, their cause obliterated.
The random unpredictable characteristic of ‘suicide bomber attacks’ is also used to induce fear, panic, suspicion of individuals, to create fractioning and discord, a trust in authority, ie. in army personnel, police, commanders, etc.
The origin of the meme is attached primarily to Palestinians.
Attacking and sacrificing yourself, a few key ppl, or thousands of others is not uncommon, just that the MSM has a built in knee jerk reaction, as do those who have no explanation, no clue, and wait to paint the event in negative blue smoke – heh, it was a suicide bomber.
You can’t get a bomb inside a national security meeting while there are gun battles (of unknown extend as the open source information is not credible) in the capital without inside collaboration. And I guess at quite high level.
(It is easier to get a bomb in than a person with a bomb strapped on it, I would think, re the suicide bombing meme.)
Assad’s crowd have, I surmise, very low security when they are not in public, on the road, or in ‘dangerous areas’ and in their ‘defended homes.’ Due to a kind of hubris and entitlement, a deceptive feel of safety which is just projected power, being surrounded by supporters and flunkeys.
Ppl seem to think that it might be very difficult to organize such a killing, I’m actually surprised it didn’t happen until now (see Hill’s predictions, and others)..
I don’t want to be suggesting ways and means on a public board, but think of 4 bright 16 year-olds trying to sketch out scenarios, like 20% would be feasible. For ex, the locale of these meets was recently changed, I read (?), following the ‘poisoning threat’, or some other stuff (?) but tracking just one cell phone would practically reveal the location, provided good knowledge of the ground. That doesn’t mean there was no inside collaboration, but such attacks are not rocket science level. All that is of course independent of whom the perps actually are.

Posted by: Noirette | Jul 19 2012 21:00 utc | 115

Via Aangirfan – “The Bulgarian Interior Minister says : The bomber is not Mohammed Mehdi Ghezali “
Ergo:
Since the Israelis came up with a Muslim Name to pin this on SO QUICKLY then IMHO the probability that this bombing was a purely Israeli False Flag, just increased dramatically

Posted by: Hu Bris | Jul 20 2012 20:01 utc | 116