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Obama – The Detail Decider Lacks Strategic Foresight
The Obama administration, as part of its reelection campaign, is leaking details of half-secret operations to friendly journalists. These leaks are released to make it look as if Obama were personally and in detail involved in operational decisions. The tactical results of these operations are described as successful, but their strategic outcome are rather important setbacks.
Earlier this week the New York Times published a long piece on secret kill lists of terrorists who are targeted by drones. It portraits Obama as personally deciding who and how to kill various people in foreign countries. But that kill list is just a shiny object:
That’s because it propagates the myth that everyone we’re killing is a known terrorist. … There is absolutely no reason to believe, for example, that Obama–or even John Brennan–knew the identity of the up to 8 civilians who were killed by a drone in Jaar, Yemen, on May 15. All anyone knew about them, according to reporting, is that they ran out after an earlier drone strike to look at the impact site. Boom! They were never on any Kill List, but they are nonetheless just as dead as Quso is.
At precisely the moment the press reported the White House had embraced signature strikes in Yemen and pulled control of those strikes into the White House, John Brennan rolled out a propaganda campaign to focus on the deliberation that goes into the Kill List–that is, into drone killings not covered by the new signature strike policy.
The effort, very clearly, is an attempt to distract attention from those drone killings that don’t involve the kind of deliberation so carefully portrayed by the NYT.
The campaign also deceives in that it hides or plays down the long term and negative strategic effect of these drone strikes. In Yemen anti-U.S. feeling, and Al Qaeda, are growing because of the drone strikes and drone strikes are also a major hindrance in cooperation with the Pakistani government. Something that will cost the U.S. billions as it has do wind down operations in Afghanistan without the transport route through Pakistan.
Today the New York Times publishes a piece by propagandist David Sanger about the Stuxnet virus the U.S. and Israel unleashed against Iran’s enrichment program. Like the one on drones it is full of spin that makes Obama look very involved in the day to day details of a clandestine operation:
The architects of Olympic Games would meet him in the Situation Room, often with what they called the “horse blanket,” a giant foldout schematic diagram of Iran’s nuclear production facilities. Mr. Obama authorized the attacks to continue, and every few weeks — certainly after a major attack — he would get updates and authorize the next step. … “From his first days in office, he was deep into every step in slowing the Iranian program — the diplomacy, the sanctions, every major decision,” a senior administration official said. “And it’s safe to say that whatever other activity might have been under way was no exception to that rule.”
For the U.S. to admit to the offensive use of cyber-weapons is a strategic mistake. The U.S. is supreme in conventional and nuclear military capability because of its strong industrial base and financial capabilities. These are capabilities other countries would have to achieve to the same grade before being able to match U.S. warfare might. That is much different in cyberspace. There you only need smart people, a bunch of off the shelf hardware and software and a bit of time. It also quite easy to disguise oneself cyberspace and let an attack seem to come from someone else than the original attacker. Therefore deterrence does not work in cyber wars. Despite big Pentagon projects like Plan X the U.S. has little, if any, structural advantage in a fight in the cyber realm. With being the first to use active cyber war the us has set a new standard of what is acceptable in the international realm. Other will now use that to their advantage.
Like the shiny object of kill lists today’s revelations about Stuxnet are likely only a diversion from much bigger rogue cyberwar activities, like that huge Flame virus, various U.S. services are running. But unlike global drone killer capabilities, which do need lots of physical resources, cyber capabilities are available to all actors and the cyber realm is a much more leveled playing field.
But back to the Obama campaign. I do not believe that Obama is personally involved in various program details, authorizing every next step, as much as portrait in the NYT piece. After such a program is once launched there is no need for him of being involved at all and playing golf is much more fun than sitting in conferences. The campaign may well be effective in portraying Obama as The Decider daily involved in keeping U.S. safe. But what it really portraits is an Obama who is fixated on tactical level operations which at the same time generate serious strategic set backs.
What is the use of a Decider when he lacks strategic foresight?
“Lack of Strategic Vision”
Why not just: Vision… period? Are there different kinds?
I do not believe that Obama is personally involved in various program details,
Neither do I. Nor, that he had any input, much less more then passing awareness… wrt to Stuxnet. Or the “financial crisis”. Or Health Care system functioning (it’s more of a lethal system, then “care” one). I don’t think he had an intelligent clue, wrt financing Wall Street Crooks, on taxpayer’s dime, to “bail us out” of the financial mess these crooks created. I mean, really… WS had one a great job, just in +/- 3 yrs of recovery, of pumping the system for the next great ripoff, while most people here are clueless what happened in the last 2!!!
That’s pretty good performance, if you ask me.
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Here in Albuquerque, we have an Air Force Base: Kirtland. It is the primary US site, for repository of US Nuclear missiles… +/- 2500 of those suckers, Protecting America!!! After first few years of Bush Jr’s Iraq adventure (NO WMD’s found), a sign seen in many front yards here said:
Number of WMD’s found:
Iraq: -0-
ABQ: 2500
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Albuquerque sits about 500 ft above a vast… aquifer. It extends well beyond city limits, even county (Bernalillo) at parts of it’s periphery. This Aquifer, currently… supplies +/- 65% of this City’s drinking water. Given projections by federal climate studies of extended drought conditions into the future, reliance on the Aquifer will go up in coming years/decades.
Somewhere between 32-50 yrs ago, a pipe… 2 ft. below the ground carrying jet fuel from tankers on trains to underground storage tanks, on the Kirtland site, began leaking jet fuel. What happened, was… they dug a trench about 2 ft deep, put a shallow layer of gavel. Laid some pipe, covered that up with more gravel.
This was in the mid-50’s we are told.
Then, in late 50’s, somebody authorized laying train tracks over that gravel filled trench. On massive train car passing over… ka’chunk ka’chunk ka’chunk… then another… some years later, hard to believe but, that pipe developed cracks, started leaking. Who would have thunk it? Right there in front of ’em, 2 ft. below the ground, train car after train car pressing down on that gravel… and nobody, not a single person, had a notion translating into simple action of grabbing a shovel and removing a couple ft. of loose gravel, to see it… (you get the idea).
Ok, so… that really would have been, seems to me, commons sense thing to do. Would require, only, a little… VISION!!! Seeing what is right there, in front of, most everybody working on that Air Force Base, for +/- 50 yrs. Did’t happen. Too busy with the other tasks, necessary to “Protect America”.
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Took somewhere around 16 yrs for 1st drop of jet fuel to reach the aquifer, somewhere between 16-32 yrs ago (based on, currently, best available data). Now… the toxic plumes from various jet fuel carcinogenic constituents, extend laterally in this aquifer, at minimum: 17,000 ft. Some of this stuff (EDB) can fuck you up, at 4 parts per trillion.
This “spill”, now… is estimated at 24m gallons. And that estimate, just about 10 days ago replaced their longstanding estimate of 8m gallons… mostly as a function of our (myself, and few others trying to get some reality focused on this “event”) That’s more then twice the size of Exxon Valdez.
Kirtland (and DOD folks, largely invisible) are in charge of this “cleanup”. But… there has been, -0- cleanup. None. They are still, 10+ years after having “discovered” the leak, these guys are, exclusively… the total of their actions, directed oly at trying to find out, just how big (lateral expansion of toxins into the aquifer) this thing is. And… incredibly, they have said in public meetings they have “no plans” for remediation (cleanup). Yet, they tell everyone, they’re cleaning it up!!!
How silly is that?
No plans to clean it up… period. They have said it will “bio degrade” (naturally “dissolve”). Yet, vast EPA records of all the toxins currently in these “plumes”, shows conclusively that in an under ground water supply (aquifer), with saturation levels of toxins we have here… that not only will the not “bioremediate”, but… optimistically, with massive human intervention (eg: 100’s of “remediation” wells doing various tasks), this stuff (EDB) will still saturate the water, 50 years from now. 200 years is, given gaps in research, very possible. Yet Kirtlnad’s PR, that Kirtland is “on top of it” (think about that)… has mollified every single regulatory authority into running with Kirtland’s every statement, on this “situation”.
This is the largest spill… by volume of toxics, by size of water supply, and by # of people served by that water supply… in the history of the US. Yet… Kirtland bull shit PR, massively disseminated, has the few people who liver here which have any consciousness about this thing at all, convinced that… the Air Force/Flag/Eagle (etc.) is doing a bang up job, looking after this thing.
We know that, if they began what needed to be done yesterday, it would be at least 30 years of massive effort, just to contain the expansion of these “plumes”, let alone… clean it up. At the current trajectory of PR masquerading as action, this plume is going to render out drinking supply entirely toxic/unusable… in 30-60 yrs. It will make ABQ into, essentially, a Ghost Town.
So anyway… you are right B, BO’s vision ain’t all that hot. And his PR apparatus is putting out stuff, to make him look the the Lone Ranger. And Romney the say, and BushCo before… and people kind’a vote for one caricature, or the other.
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The US, collectively… is running out of usable water. Ours is a particularly grotesque transgression… direct pollution by a military facility tasked w/”Protecting America”, while destroying a primary water supply, then lying about fixing it… while being in charge of the little rooms in (mostly, but not exclusively) Nevada desert, with little joy sticks, directing drones to shoot wherever, by people manning those joy sticks who have no clue, none… of anything about what they are doing. Just a screen, joystick, and some toys.
In fact, the guy at Kirtland in charge of this cleanup, Col. Donald Conley… pictured in this link as receiving an award for his/Kirtland’s “environmental stewardship”, given to him by ABQ’s “Water Authority” (believe it or not)… this guy, told me with a giddy, disgusting Dennis the Menace smile on his face… that he’d much rather be doing the “fun stuff” of manning one of those joy sticks, then being given this mundane job of bull shitting ABQ’s population, w/media saturation, about everything to do with realities which will, literally, determine ABQ’s future access to usable, non-toxic water.
Vision, as I see it B… or the lack thereof, is an approximately, universal, saturating problem amongst humans on this planet, currently.
Posted by: jdmckay | Jun 2 2012 16:35 utc | 37
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