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Super Sunday In Europe
Today there were country wide elections in France, Greece and Serbia and local elections in Italy and Germany.
The outcome is in general a shift to the left but on a finer scale a shift to more outlying parties on the left as well as on the right.
In France Sarkozy is out. The fake socialist Hollande will be the new president of France. That lets me hope for a saner, less Napoleon like French foreign policy. Instead of a Merkozy European leadership of German chancellor Merkel and Sarkozy we are now in for a new combination of Merkel and Hollande. Merde?
The Greece the radicals are winning mostly on the left but also on the hard right, fascist side. It will be difficult to form a stable coalition. Any plausible combination I can think of will be against the austerity track ordered from Washington, Berlin and Brussels. Is it time for another one of those traditional U.S. steered military coups in Greece?
In Serbia the nationalist pro-Russian parties will gain and are likely to win over the pro-EU parties. That more pro-Russian way is in my opinion the better path for Serbia. The orthodox heritage of that country fits better with Russia than with the mostly catholic and protestant EU.
State elections in the German, traditionally conservative, northern state of Schleswig-Holstein brought a slight, though not decisive shift to the left with both major parties, Merkel's CDU and the social democrats now running head to head. Astonishingly the scandal plagued libertarian FDP, which is part of Merkel's federal coalition, lost only half of its share which is less than everybody expected. The Pirates, a new geek party formed against overbearing copyright protection, did win a healthy 8%. In general it can be counted on as a left party. That does give a decent chance for a new state government on the more left side of the spectrum with a coalition of the social-democrats, the greens and the pirates. This is relevant to federal policies as the state governments have a say in federal legislation via the Bundesrat (Senate). A switch from the current conservative government in Schleswig-Holstein towards the more leftist side would change the majority situation in the Bundesrat and impede some of Merkel's worst policies.
In Italy today's voting is for some thousand city councils and mayorships. The result may give a feeling for the general mood in the country towards the dictated austerity policies but there will likely be too much ambiguity in the overall situation to draw final conclusions from the results.
All together these elections are a slight, though not yet decisive, win against the austerity dictates which, I believe, was initiated by Washington and Wall Street in defense of the U.S. dollar.
France, Muslims: 90%+ for Hollande (? – corr. to estimates but out of my hat)
Israel, 93% for Sarkozy. Voters in Ramallah: 83% for Hollande (high abstention in both.)
USA: All for Sarkozy, top: Miami, 80+%. Except in two spots. Portland, Oregon, and Brooklyn, NY.
Much of the Anglo scare-mongering about Hollande relates to the issues expressed in the votes above. He is a mainstream, standard, pol, and there is really nothing exceptional or startling about him – these are qualities that helped him get elected.
Hollande’s foreign policy should be a tad more palatable, in the sense of less: Atlanticist, pro-Israel, pro-EU as US lackey, interventionist. This is an electoral expectation he must fulfill, and afai can see, is determined to follow. We will see how far that goes…
Greece: 35 % abstained – high. The main result is that the ex in-power coalition (new democracy + socialists) will now hold according to *predictions* based on the rules, 149 (/300) of parliament seats, with all the rest distributed further left / right / fringe.
Seats, predicted, on the left: Syrizia, 52, Communists, 26, Democratic left, 19, total 97.
On the right: Greek Independent, 33, Golden Dawn, 21, total, 54.
A slam-bang protest vote.
Those in power will of course play these two sides against against each other.
It shows how ‘democracy’ channels voters into mainstream parties, while gloriously and shamelessly ignoring the issues ppl are really exercised about. That leaves space for ‘neo-nazis.’
The Greek MSM was (I have read and saw a little) very down-mouthed, alarmist, disappointed, scare-mongering, etc.
can’t say it often enough, the media control the narrative, breaking out of their grip is no. 1 priority.
Posted by: Noirette | May 8 2012 16:28 utc | 35
France, Muslims: 90%+ for Hollande (? – corr. to estimates but out of my hat)
Israel, 93% for Sarkozy. Voters in Ramallah: 83% for Hollande (high abstention in both.)
USA: All for Sarkozy, top: Miami, 80+%. Except in two spots. Portland, Oregon, and Brooklyn, NY.
Much of the Anglo scare-mongering about Hollande relates to the issues expressed in the votes above. He is a mainstream, standard, pol, and there is really nothing exceptional or startling about him – these are qualities that helped him get elected.
Hollande’s foreign policy should be a tad more palatable, in the sense of less: Atlanticist, pro-Israel, pro-EU as US lackey, interventionist. This is an electoral expectation he must fulfill, and afai can see, is determined to follow. We will see how far that goes…
Greece: 35 % abstained – high. The main result is that the ex in-power coalition (new democracy + socialists) will now hold according to *predictions* based on the rules, 149 (/300) of parliament seats, with all the rest distributed further left / right / fringe.
Seats, predicted, on the left: Syrizia, 52, Communists, 26, Democratic left, 19, total 97.
On the right: Greek Independent, 33, Golden Dawn, 21, total, 54.
A slam-bang protest vote.
Those in power will of course play these two sides against against each other.
It shows how ‘democracy’ channels voters into mainstream parties, while gloriously and shamelessly ignoring the issues ppl are really exercised about. That leaves space for ‘neo-nazis.’
The Greek MSM was (I have read and saw a little) very down-mouthed, alarmist, disappointed, scare-mongering, etc.
can’t say it often enough, the media control the narrative, breaking out of their grip is no. 1 priority.
Posted by: Noirette | May 8 2012 16:28 utc | 36
I had the same thought as dahoit at 34.
In Greece, it is obvious that the real ‘fascists’ (using that term very loosely), those who aim to quietly destroy, enslave and despoil a whole ppl, are not neo-nazis, but banksters, technocrats, powerful foreign interests, neo libs and free marketeers slavering for assets, and the Greek elite who support them, which includes the handmaiden, the media, and in the shadows, the Church and the Military.
Facing such a coalition, it is sort of comprehensible that a hyper xenophobic and nationalist party, Golden Dawn, would gather support. (German comptrollers are working to tax the Greeks more, right in Athens, I have read.)
What is peculiar is the clear reference(s) to Hitler’s nazism, in Greece!! to boot. I can only suppose that a Fuehrer figure is still admired, appeals, can be used as a model..Note the left does not refer to Stalin or Mao.
In F, Marine Le Pen has expunged references to that history, and when the cams are around, militants are forced to wear shirts that cover their tattoos. All overt references to Hitler, the Nazis, are banned, meticulously controlled. Marine makes up for that by being the only F pol candidate in this election to not control her image, a very clever move. Pictures of her show her smoking, on bad hair days, shopping, etc. Journos know they can take any pix they want. Which sends a message: I, we, are ordinary ppl, have nothing to hide, except, amongst ourselves, that one thing.
The old style fascism is a provocation, and one guaranteed to gather attention. Not surprising. It is an extreme form of nationalism, which all those in power will do anything to scotch, thus provoking reactions, counter-reactions, and so on.
Posted by: Noirette | May 9 2012 15:47 utc | 37
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