Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 01, 2012

The 'Syrian Revolution' Is Likely Over

The little horror show around Baba Amr, the rather small quarter on the outskirts of Homs, is over. The military pushed in and what was left of the rebels is fleeing. They have now lost the only small stronghold they had managed to establish.

The conglomerate of exiles, the Syrian National Council, saw some twenty hawks split away to form the Syrian Patriotic Group and to endorse the separate Free Syrian Army. That and the offer from the Libyan NATO government to give some $100 million to the cause led the Syrian National Council to create a "military bureau" and to now officially endorse violence.

"The creation of the military bureau was agreed upon by all armed forces in Syria," SNC leader Burhan Ghalioun told a news conference in Paris. "We will be like a defense ministry."

The head of the Free Syrian Army was just on Al Jazeerah Arabic and complained that he had not been informed of that step and openly rejected it. It seems certain that the split between these groups will deepen. This is now all about the dough the various Wahhabi regimes are promising to any group which claims it can take Bashar Assad down.

All this is very much in favor of the Assad government. It can now rightly claim and prove that these groups are nothing but terrorists supported by foreign governments with the intent to destruct the Syrian state. It will make it very difficult for these groups to find support within the Syrian people.

The armed groups will surely continue their dirty work for a while. Attack some army patrols, use this or that bomb and other terrorist tactics. But without a decent backing in the population, they have little chance to become more than a nuance. Meanwhile Assad has time to implement the reforms the new constitution promises to deliver. That will further lessen support for any violent change.

I find it possible, even likely, that have seen the apex of the Syrian revolution attempt and that the situation will from now on calm down.

Posted by b on March 1, 2012 at 14:15 UTC | Permalink

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Although, the rules of engagement have been changed by Bush and Obama, now it's okay to kill anyone by dronestrike, in any country, without a trial or death-sentence.

Posted by: Alexander | Mar 5 2012 23:56 utc | 101

FYI

Ankhar Kochneva, writer and sole foreign journalist permanently living in Syria, tells RT what is really up in the country, who funds the opposition, how international media fake images of unrest and why it is so important to watch weather forecasts

http://australiansforsyria.wordpress.com/2012/02/12/interview-with-ankhar-kochneva-writer-and-sole-foreign-journalist-permanently-living-in-syria/

Posted by: brian | Mar 6 2012 0:01 utc | 102

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