Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
September 6, 2011
How Internal Supply Commitments Create New Enemies

Picking from several recent pieces Gareth Porter adds one and one together and finds the rather stupid reason why, after mid 2008, the CIA increased its drone campaign in AfPak.

Despite that disastrous start [in the early years of the drone campaign], however, the CIA had quickly become deeply committed internally to building a major program around the drone war. In 2005, the agency had created a career track in targeting for the drone program for analysts in the intelligence directorate, the Post article revealed.

As there was now an internal carreer commitment by the CIA to its personal in the drone business, that business had to be increased. This even after it had turned out that drones attacks are an ineffective tool with negative strategic effects.

By 2007, the agency realised that, in order to keep those commitments, it had to get the White House to change the rules by relaxing existing restrictions on drone strikes.

That's when Hayden began lobbying President George W. Bush to dispense with the constraints limiting the targeting for drone attacks,[…]

Released from the original constraints on the drone programme, the CIA immediately increased the level of drone strikes in the second half of 2008 to between four and five per month on average.

And it grew and grew from thereon.

Similar internal mechanisms are active within the military. All those additional special operations forces hired and trained after 9/11 have soldiers and officers on career pathes they want to continue. Instead of winding down after Bin Laden has been caught they will be actively looking for new targets.

This is a "supply side economics" run wild. Having committed to sustained supply capacity, as the CIA did with the drone analyst career offer, sustained demand, new enemies, new terrorists, need to be created. For those secretive people working the dark and dirty side of the war business that is not a problem but part of their specialty.

The "war of terror" is now engraved into the organizational structure of the CIA and the special forces. It will therefore only end when the U.S. will lack the money to continue it.

Comments

There are loose parallels between the Mafia’s protection rackets and those legalised by the USG.
It could be interesting to trace the remnants of the Prohibition era law breakers to see how many of them have political influence in the US today.
Nothing launders reputations as efficiently as pots of money.
The Kennedy clan comes to mind. But there are probably many others with a lower profile.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Sep 7 2011 2:12 utc | 1

One must begin to question the value of these spy agencies – today do they create more trouble then they avoid?
Someone should do a study of this. Iran is a good example – the CIA killed its democracy in 1954 and installed the Shaw – did any long term good come from this – an honest person would have to say no.
The world is changing, it is maturing – shouldn’t all this geo political government controlling gamesmanship be a thing of the past? Shouldn’t the people of these countries control their own government – isn’t that the path that Western culture wants?

Posted by: JohnJ | Sep 7 2011 2:21 utc | 2

I have known this for a while now. And therefore, based on various criteria, I dont give the US more than a year more of “free operations” in the AfPak region.
Secondly, and more primarily, the US target in the region has been causing regional mayhem and wars, rather than actually getting the taliban or alqaida. This is well exposed now, and therefore doomed to failure.

Posted by: amar | Sep 7 2011 6:10 utc | 3

Afghanistan is a Israeli/US staging area to keep control of Pakistan.
Pakistan’s nukes are a main preoccupation of Israel – so the US must maintain the war in Afghanistan – PERIOD.
Pakistan’s political scene is very volatile – through payoffs, AfPak keeps the Pak generals in power and the nukes under their control.

Posted by: JohnJ | Sep 7 2011 22:23 utc | 4

Irrespective of what the IS-US think of the pakistani nukes. The war for reaources in central asia has been a failiure.
Hence the Empire has re-doubled its efforts in middle east and Africa. The political upheavels are obvious. The big question is whether even these wars would deliver any results?
And I personally dont think so. The Empire’s style of doing business is way outdated now. May Darwin have mercy on it 🙂

Posted by: amar | Sep 8 2011 16:24 utc | 5