Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 18, 2011
March 18 Update On The Fukushima Reactors

(New issues in bold)

Yesterday saw little progress in the Japanese attempts to restore some safety at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear reactors.


March 17 satellite picture of the Daiichi reactors 1 to 4 by Digital Globe
North is to the left – the lower part of the pic shows the damaged reactor blocks 1 to 4 from left to right. Comparing with the March 16 picture (with no. 4 on the left), the roof of reactor 4 appears to have melted or exploded away during the last two days.
bigger pic

For lack of cooling, three of the six reactors have experienced a partial core meltdown. Uranium fuel rods in the primary reactor containment were only partly covered with water, heated up and melted. Steam reacted with the zirconium hull of the fuel rods, creating explosive hydrogen and additional heat. These reactors are currently cooled through fire lines by seawater and are regularly vented to release pressure. Each venting releases additional radioactivity. Salt from the seawater used will eventually disable the internal valves, gauges and other urgently needed internal equipment.

Reactors 1, 3 and 4 were damaged by hydrogen explosions outside of their primary containment. Reactor 2 experienced a hydrogen explosion within its primary containment. All four reactor are now radioactive scrap and will eventually have to be entombed in place.

Reactors 1 to 4 have an additional huge problem with their open spent fuel ponds which are located above the primary containment. With water circulation disabled the spent fuel heats up, evaporates the surrounding water and is radiating in dangerous doses directly into the environment. This makes human work in the area nearly impossible.

Attempts were made yesterday to cool and refill the spent fuel pond in reactor no. 3 with airfield fire engines. The dousing attempts were renewed this morning local Japanese time and steam could be seen emitting after water was sprayed. For unknown reasons the Japan Atomic Industry Forum in its March 18:00 10:00am status report overnight downgraded the reactor 3 containment vessel pressure from "stable" to "fluctuating".

There were no attempts made yet to cool down or to cover the spent fuel pond of no. 4 which is suspected to have run dry and is the most hot one with relative unused and now melting fuel. This melted fuel could accumulate at the bottom and restart a nuclear reaction producing addition energy. Such a hot and heavily radiating lava like mass would eventually burn through the surrounding concrete and react violently with any water below it.

Fixed line electricity was reported to have been restored to the relatively undamaged reactor 5 and 6 but according to the IAEA this has not been the case. Instead reactor 5 and 6 appear to receive some power from a partially restored no.6 backup diesel generator.

Restoring electricity to reactor 1 to 4 will be a priority. But even with electricity available it is unlikely that the cooling equipment in these explosion damaged reactors will be able to function.

Information by the plant operator Tokyo Power company TEPCO, the Japanese government and the Japanese media is scarce and incomplete or false. The decision making seems to be by committee and always too slow and too late. The urgency to act decisively to at least stop the situation from getting worse has not yet sunk in.

Additional resources:
AllThingsNuclear Union of Concerned Scientists
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Atomic power review blog
Digital Globe Sat Pictures
IAEA Newscenter
NISA Japanese Nuclear Regulator
Japan Atomic Industry Forum (regular updates)
Japanese government press releases in English
Kyodo News Agency
Asahi Shimbun leading Japanese newspaper in English
NHK World TV via Ustream
Status reports for the German Federal Government by the Gesellschaft für Reaktorsicherheit in German language

Comments

It would appear that #4 pool going dry was not correct. Retraction by the US government coming after all kinds of panic being amplified. I’ll find a non-Japanese report to link.

Posted by: YY | Mar 18 2011 6:45 utc | 1

@YY –
I am still pretty sure that the no.4 pool is completely dry.
Reasons:
– the last temperature reading from that pool was on March 14 and showed 84 degree centigrade (100 degree C = boiling) since then there has been no cooling
– the no.4 spent fuel pool contains the most and freshest fuel assemblies – 1479 assemblies with some 60 fuel rods each – a total of 250 tons of fuel – most of this was unloaded only in November 2010 and is still hot and not completely spent
– since the 14th two fires happened at no. 4 severely damaging all walls down to the ground level
– between the 16th and 17th the roof panels of no.4 vanished
Also: Japan Offers Little Response to U.S. Assessment

Japanese officials did not flatly deny Mr. Jaczko’s comments but hedged. Asked about the level of water in the No. 4 reactor, Yoshitaka Nagayama, a spokesman for Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, said: “Because we have been unable to go to the scene, we cannot confirm whether there is water left or not in the spent fuel pool at Reactor No. 4.”

If you think the pool is not dry please explain why.

Posted by: b | Mar 18 2011 7:10 utc | 2

The fact is that with every new public satellite images we get new bad surprises is very frightening.
The western powers, Russia and China have much better means that a commercial satellite photo to asses what it’s happening and the measures they aren’t taking aren’t in line with the ‘tranquility’ of the Japanese company, government and media. I don’t think the DOD is paying to move thousands of US troop familiars in Japan just for will speculation and unsubstantiated fears.

Posted by: ThePaper | Mar 18 2011 8:47 utc | 3

The Japanese are starting to talk now about sealing the reactors with concrete … the sarcophagus. But they still say the priority is cooling the reactors and pools.

Posted by: ThePaper | Mar 18 2011 8:50 utc | 4

Not very clear video but it clearly shows that just dropping ‘a bit’ of water on reactor 3 (?) produces visible plumes of water vapor. So you can at least guess the temperature isn’t precisely below 100 Cº …

Posted by: ThePaper | Mar 18 2011 8:58 utc | 5

We should learn lessons from the Japan’s Nuclear Disaster.

Posted by: Prasad | Mar 18 2011 9:45 utc | 6

The press conference earlier today, they went through the theoretical calculations of the temperatures of each of the pools with assumption of no large changes. I’m assuming the engineers there do know how to do the calculations.
For my part I think the concentration of efforts on pool 3 and not 4 is the telling part. Reactor 4 building cladding is compromised enough to shoot water into it, if they are doing it for 3. They are assuming that pool 4 is still holding and it is probably indicated by their radiation measurements. I was not all that convinced by the eyeball and video of the pool 4 by the pretend to do something helicopters.
The most convincing part of it is that there is no way that Jaczko would have better information away from site, not having previous knowledge of site, regardless satellite imagery. I’m disappointed that they haven’t even flown a radio controlled helicopter (choice of toy, better toy or a industrial quality insecticide sprayer) above the units and get better images. I’m disappointed that whether the entire thing blows up and melts away or is more likely quietly and gently comes to end that we are not getting good image record.
I think this is the function of those who can afford to make decisions that appear to be extraneous to matter at hand. The problem as I see it is that all who minimally matter are very hard at work and appear to know what they are doing.
There was a foreign press conference by semi-retired nuclear safety wonk today that explained hydrogen explosion in 4 without exposure of rods our of water. Sounded plausible.
Do you really think the Japanese government would officially contradict an American important person’s congressional statement? Just look at the nonsense going on between the two governments that tries to bridge the distances of safety between 20-30km and 80+km. Both governments are suggesting both positions are reasonable. Give me a break.

Posted by: YY | Mar 18 2011 11:31 utc | 7

Concentration on pool 3 is probably a function of plutonium. I think this has everybody spooked. It is truly a worry that at the very least there should be more unmanned monitoring going on with cameras and instruments. It would appear they have basically lost most controls they had of the site due to the Tsunami. The press conference suggested that working generators were already there but choice was made to wait for feed from grid since the issue was not just restoring connections. (I think they are talking about new plumbing) These are all guesses.
The lack information stuff is bullshit. There is a lot about that is reported in main Japanese papers and also appearing in the press briefings. The press also appears to be sitting on some information until it is less scary, like the overnite loss of comms to and from the already non-grid connected site. By the time the news is revealed, phones are back.

Posted by: YY | Mar 18 2011 11:40 utc | 8

Two days ago there was talk that the US would use a Global Hawk (unmanned plane) at high altitude and get detailed photos of the reactors. There are also plenty of satellites that can detect any radioactivity traces and how it’s spreading (used by the military to detect nuclear tests). And they must have thermal imaging to discern the actual temperatures inside the buildings. So the governments have all the required information. It’s the lack of clear public information and the divergence between Japanese public announcement and public videos and photographies that don’t give much confidence.
The Japanese nuclear industry and government has a long history at downplaying and trying to hide any kind of incidents or security risks.

Posted by: ThePaper | Mar 18 2011 11:50 utc | 9

We should learn lessons from the Japan’s Nuclear Disaster.
Oh, we most certainly will, and have, it’s called, venture vulture capitalism.
No offense Prasad.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Mar 18 2011 12:02 utc | 10

Satellite imaging is amazing as are thermal measurements, however we are not talking about enemy territory here. There are two convenient spy towers next to the reactors for irradiated bird’s eye view. One could conceivably fly a kite above the site. The arguments at the press conference is about measurements at the western gate verses elsewhere on site. Insisting on data from near outer space observations as more informed than people at site (getting irradiated) is absurd. The granular levels that are being argued as up or down are not resolvable from high altitude observation. Besides what’s the point? It’s not that hot yet.

Posted by: YY | Mar 18 2011 12:24 utc | 11

The press conference earlier today, they went through the theoretical calculations of the temperatures of each of the pools with assumption of no large changes. I’m assuming the engineers there do know how to do the calculations.
That assumption is definitely wrong. The engineers certainly know their numbers, but are they allowed to talk?
On this video at 0:33 one can see the no.4 pool area – dark smoke, not steam, coming from it. Also on picture 7, 8 and 10 here. As there has been some explosion in no.4 while the reactor was empty, it is likely that the hydrogen that likely caused such a big explosion must have come from exposed fuel rods. So the pool was already nearly empty when the explosion happened.

They sprayed some 50 tons of water on no.3 today. The spent fuel pond is roughly 12x12x12 meter. 50 tons of water, if the all landed where they should would fill it up some 35-40 centimeter. Not what is needed …
They stopped water operations again to do electricity installation. No idea why that can’t go on in parallel …

Posted by: b | Mar 18 2011 12:25 utc | 12

The engineers were talking freely. I doubt management have a clue as to what the hell is going on. That’s why there appear to be resource problems that are not immediately addressed. One would expect for example (as we know it isn’t going to blow sky high) crane towers to be readied, as they’ll be required for the foreseeable future anyway. The reason that they didn’t go into very clearly today, about connection to the grid, appears to be that this was not just the only issue. They’ve had recent deliveries of generators (not the ones that went south) which they did not bother to hook up. (I think the issue being hook up to what?) So there are a lot more issues than waterlogged backup supply. (not to mention skeletal remains of the reactor buildings)
The distinct feel I get is that there are people who know what they are doing but that there is no management above that has any clue. This is probably a good thing.
Fundamental to the problem at site is that bringing outside help and experts would still rely on “electricians” doing their job first. And Tepco staff happen to be them.
Alternative is that pool 4 blew up. But that would then suggest exponential increases in radioactivity. Which appear not to be the case. It does bother me that 4 blew up. But the “safety expert” did suggest this being very possible with the rods still encased in water and hence the less damage to 4 versus others. In all cases the explosion being hydrogen based. (this is the modern day Hindenburg, folks)
There is no doubt that this site is a goner. So to suggest there are political machinations going on for some corrupt purpose at this point is to assume levels of crazed depravity that is more comic than real. There is however plenty of political agendas being addressed far from the hazard area which are close to insane. I think Obama has a problem of differentiating good advice from bad and assumes that some of the experts he has relied on are in fact not bat-shit crazy.
What is interesting is that the cabinet secretary practically publicly agreed that not just the site but nuclear power pretty much finished for the country. Now that’s good news.

Posted by: YY | Mar 18 2011 13:32 utc | 13

Memoir after memoir, these dark tales unfold with the brooding overtones and almost medieval surreality of the central Europe in Jerzy Kozinski’s stories: Hunters paid to roam the countryside, hired to kill the pets and farm animals the residents were forced to leave behind when ordered to evacuate; refusniks who stayed behind, defying soldiers and demanding that “moonsuit”-clad scientists “show them” this “so-called radiation.” Even more disturbing are accounts of the heavily contaminated “hot zone” being resettled by war refugees from Tajikistan, who have no memory of the incident and wonder if it can be any worse to live in a place where you can’t “see” your enemy.

Read more at Voices from Chernobyl: The Oral History of a Nuclear Disaster

Posted by: hans | Mar 18 2011 13:43 utc | 14

In parts of the plant where there is no chance of improving situation they should start covering it with sand concrete before radiation gets too high .

Posted by: j gordon | Mar 18 2011 13:50 utc | 15

Deep-water drilling is off the radar and yet soon set to go full steam after a temp. moratorium, and vague new rules by Obomba following the Gulf of Mexico Disaster. (roughly.)
The uncountable victims, meaning the sick, directly affected, economic compensation is another topic, not to mention wildlife, go ignored and buried, or to be literally buried in the next 5 or more years. BP, others, charge ahead, while everyone jumps in concert on the anti-nuke energy bandwagon, for now.
Katrina – not commensurate in its scope, potential harm, to nuclear disasters or GOM – was so horrendously mismanaged it’s difficult to deny that it wasn’t partly the outcome of a deliberate turning away, a cynical lack of care and the adoption of sneering cloaks of petty power and hubris resting on particular, tribal / corporation, affiliations, interests. Actually the GOM had strong elements of that as well.
The disaster at F in Japan feels a little different to me. Of course there is face-saving and cover up to some degree, there always is, partly justified, rightly or wrongly, by the ‘down throw ppl into a panic as more harm will result’…but it all feels more hopeless, hapless, just plain weird, lost. It is incomprehensible, for ex. that electricity could not be restored quickly. I was talking to some engineer type today and he said that in CH mega emergency generators are set to go (made by Honda, of course) and it may take a day or so as they have to go by road. (? Ppl always make these kinds of comparisons favorable to them so some salt may need sprinkling.)
It looks like Japan simply doesn’t have a crisis mode, an emergency power structure. (post ww2)….
Cooling is key, that is both intuitive and ‘scientific’, but lacking info on what exactly is overheated, what chemical reactions are taking place, what can one say?
The Nature<>Human equation is reaching inexorable limits. Well, that was cheap and easy.
(thx b for all the info)

Posted by: Noirette | Mar 18 2011 15:17 utc | 16

lacking info on what exactly is overheated, what chemical reactions are taking place,
Readable for non-nuke experts: SAFETY AND SECURITY OF COMMERCIAL SPENT NUCLEAR FUEL STORAGE
Public Report- Committee on the Safety and Security of Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel Storage – Board on Radioactive Waste Management – Division on Earth and Life Studies – NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
The first pages of chapter 3 are the relevant ones.

Posted by: b | Mar 18 2011 16:14 utc | 17

(thx b for link.)
AJE just right now: “Japan is considering burying the F reactors in sand and concrete”, finally!
Back to the past:
The F and Russians made many vid. docs about Tchernobyl.
This link lists them in F, it is not complete. (Also old, only for anyone who wants to get into it. The list is important, though.)
http://www.dissident-media.org/infonucleaire/video_3.html
The documentary by Tchertkoff (2003) Sacrifice is on DailyMotion. It is in Russian w french subtitles. (google dailymotion – then Tchertkoff, free and legal.)
The battle of Tchernobyl can be seen with dramatic Eng voice over, an hour and half, free and legal:
http://topdocumentaryfilms.com/the-battle-of-chernobyl/
These two films show some of what little original footage exists. Afaik.

Posted by: Noirette | Mar 18 2011 20:55 utc | 18

Michael Collins has long piece at the Agonist… and there are tons of comments… worth a read.
Power Corrupts, Nuclear Power Corrupts Absolutely
The Chairman of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), Gregory Jaczko, told a US House of Representatives subcommittee that: “There is no water in the spent fuel pool [at the Fukushima I plant] and we believe that radiation levels are extremely high, which could possibly impact the ability to take corrective measures.” A “utility spokesman” for Tokyo Electric responded quickly claiming that the “condition is stable.” AP, March 17
The New York Times, China’s Peoples Daily, and other outlets covered this extraordinary asymmetrical exchange between the highest nuclear regulatory official in the US government and a “utility spokesman.” (Image)
The public disagreement between two close allies in the midst of a severe crisis is highly instructive on a number of levels. If chair Jaczko wrong, it is a terrible embarrassment for the US. If he’s right, we can conclude that much of the information from Tokyo Electric is questionable.
The nuclear disaster at Fukushima I is a complex event. Logical progressions are difficult to grasp and follow, particularly when the United States and Japan disagree so fundamentally at the highest levels.
more http://agonist.org/michael_collins/20110318/power_corrupts_nuclear_power_corrupts_absolutely

Posted by: crone | Mar 19 2011 2:24 utc | 19