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Links and Thread
A few links and open thread …
The Myth of Talqaeda – Alex Strick van Linschoten/Current Intelligence
An Enemy We Created: The Myth of the Taliban / Al-Qaeda Merger in Afghanistan, 1970-2010 – A new book out in April by Alex and Felix, the editors of Zaeef's 'My Life with the Taliban'
The Way Out of Afghanistan – Ahmed Rashid/NYRB
Karzai’s view of the world has undergone a dramatic change and he is bitterly critical of the West and everything it has failed to do in the past nine years. He no longer supports the “war on terror” as defined by Washington, and he sees Petraeus’s surge as unhelpful because it relies too much on body counts of dead Taliban, often killed by US drones with civilian casualties that are resented deeply, and on nighttime raids by US special forces. The alternative, says Karzai, is to seek help from nearby countries like Pakistan and Iran, which he thinks could help him talk to the Taliban and end the war.
Aftermath: Lebanon, May 2008 – Nir Rosen/Current Intelligence
Israel and the Iranian Nuclear Timetable – Paul Pillar/National Interest
Apocalypse Now? Will The Massachusetts Ibanez Case Unravel Widespread Irregularities In The Residential Securitized Mortgage Market? – The Big Picture
things are really heating up in zambia’s western province, where i have family & friends, and part of that story is one that’s becoming all too-painfully familiar…
months before northern rhodesia was granted independence in 1964 an agreement was reached w/ the kingdom of barotseland to become part of the new country named zambia under certain stipulations that provided for barotseland’s autonomy. barotseland covers a large area along the zambezi and its floodplains, rich w/ alluvial soils, fish, grains and cattle. the other regions in zambia pale by comparison.
though this barotseland agreement was essentially revoked by the zambian govt shortly thereafter, it was still respected in the sense that the zambian govt basically left the western province alone and limited its interference in governance there. remaining ignored and underdeveloped — which, afaik, is the majority preference of the peoples there whom have long resisted outside interests (merchants, business & politics) — the lozi kingdom has continued to see itself as a uniquely separate entity. even during colonial rule in the rest of nothern rhodesia, barotseland was unique in securing a protectorship from the british empire, allowing it to carry on uninterrupted (w/ the exception of proselytizing missionaries). post-1964, there has persisted an undercurrent of secessionist impulse and reasoning. that sentiment is being stirred again.
the barotseland agreement of 1964 acknowledged the king and his council’s powers over land matters and that “Barotse native courts shall have jurisdiction .. in respect of matters concerning rights over or interest in land in Barotseland.”
last year a new zambian constitution was drafted, and which went into effect this month, that raised huge concerns in barotseland, outlined in an article in the zambian post last august, Absence of Barotse agreement in draft constitution angers BRE. BRE is the barotse royal establishment. i’ll highlight one area of concern in particular
According to article 293(1), all rights of ownership, in searching for, mining and disposing of, minerals and petroleum, wheresoever located in Zambia, are hereby vested in the President in trust for, and on behalf of, the people of Zambia.
in october the zambian govt announced that it would be issuing licenses for oil and gas exploration. as you may have already guessed, some of those are in western province.
here’s a story in today’s lusaka times: Barotse Petroleum awarded exploration licence
GOVERNMENT has awarded the first petroleum exploration licence to a Zambian company, Barotse Petroleum Company, to explore oil and gas in Western Province.
And two other Zambian companies have successfully gone through to the second bidding round for petroleum exploration. The two are Majeetu, which bid for block 15 in North-Western Province, and Metprosol, block 34 in the Kafue Basin in Southern Province.
Barotse Petroleum Company is among the three Zambian companies which successfully bid for the petroleum blocks.
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Mr Mwale said he is confident that other successful bidders will follow suit to obtain their licences.
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He said bidders in Western Province should not be distracted by the current confusion in the province because Government will institute measures to protect their interests.
“confusion” is not what has been going on in western province. the other day the govt sent armed police (and perhaps military?) to a meeting re the barotseland agreement in the provincial capital of mongu which resulted in them firing live rounds on unarmed civilians and, according to my own well-placed sources there, killed six.
the zambian media – mostly based out of lusaka, far away, is only reporting two killed at the meeting, but talking w/ relatives there this morning, locals are reporting that there are at least 27 bodies accounted for in the ensuing crackdown as people reacted to the govt sending armed forces to what should have been a peaceful meeting. and now more forces have arrived from around the country, having set up roadblocks around mongu and the surrounding communities and also conducting house to house sweeps to detain males. i am getting this info from family members in mongu. they say that they’re hearing of people shot in their houses.
here’s an article in the zambian post today, Cops shoot dead Mongu youth, which i looked up b/c my brother-in-law says he sold them a picture of a body shot in one of the compounds near his place. they have a bureau in mongu, but otherwise there is no media operation (outside of radio) in the area. i don’t think this is his photo though or else they botched the credit, but the article gives an idea of some of what is going on.
limulunga is where the king’s palace is located, not far from mongu, and there was to have been a meeting there today, which relatives were attending, but i hear from others that it was never able to start.
there are many issues at play here – control of the land being foremost. also the issue of secession, which hightens even more w/ events in southern sudan this week, as well as long-standing tribal animosities. a quick review of the media in lusaka, and the generated comments, indicate that the rest of country is getting filtered information.
i hope to be able to get more info to pass on, but the phone connections were really poor today and my relatives do not have internet access.
Posted by: b real | Jan 15 2011 20:28 utc | 25
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