In February I wrote about Pressure on Zardari:
[Zardari's] recent peace offer to opposition fighters in Swat was a smart move. But in the 'west' it was immediately criticized and he will now be pressured to continue the fighting there.
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The fighting over a local justice system has continued since the early 1990s and has little to do with the Taliban issues in Afghanistan. A compromise in Swat could actually help to take away support from Wahabbi/Deobandi hardliners that are at the core of the Taliban. Pressure on Zardari on this issue can only increase the strife in Pakistan and speed up his downfall.Even without 'western' interference a compromise as now in negotiation will not be easy to achieve as there are already many other possible spoilers.
One spoiler has now appeared in form of a cellphone video that shows the flogging of a women.
Video of Taliban flogging girl stirs anger in Pakistan
Flogging video shakes Pakistan peace accord
Pak President Zardari Condemns Flogging of Teenage Girl, Orders Inquiry
The cellphone video of the flogging will be used to step back from the compromise deal and that move may well reignite fighting in Swat.
The short cellphone video is part of this Channel 4 report:
As you can see men get flogged too for 'moral crimes'. The flogging in both shown cases is rather symbolic through at least two layers of cloth and without much pain. The whole flagellation punishment in this form seems to be more about inducing shame then inducing pain.
The genuineness of the video is denied by the Taliban and there is only one person who claims to have witnessed this.
The cellphone video will put pressure on Zardari to turn away from the deal that reintroduced a local justice system in Swat and to thereby restart the fighting with the locals just as the U.S. would like him to do.
Which makes me wonder a bit about the timing of the videos emergence.