Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 11, 2009
Thailand’s Embarrassement

In a huge embarrassment for the right-wing government in Thailand, a meeting of 16 Asian state leaders today had to be canceled after demonstrators stormed the convention hall.

Let us look back for some context.

In September last year I wrote about The Coup Attempt in Thailand:

[The] 'People’s Alliance for Democracy' (PAD) is demonstrating against the government that was elected last December and is ruling within a six party coalition with two-third of the seats in parliament.

The PAD followers demand that Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej steps down, but have little else that one could describe as a political program.

The prime minister, like his predecessor Thaksin Shinawatra who was ousted in 2006 in an army coup, has his base in the poor rural parts of Thailand in which the majority of the population lives. Samak has introduced cheap health care and village development programs in the agricultural areas. Are these programs partially corrupt? Sure. Are these programs designed to buy votes? Yes. But that is part of any democracy. What else are tax policies and earmarks in the U.S.?

Leader of PAD is the right-wing media mogul Sondhi Limthongkul who's newspapers, websites and TV stations drive the protests. He has support from largely middle class urbanites including a union for well payed government employees and part of the army establishment. To gain some popularity the PAD claims to act for the king who has so far stayed neutral and did not intervene on either side.

Despite its name, the 'People’s Alliance for Democracy' is very undemocratic …

Then in December I thought that the PAD had overreached because the demonstrations of its 'yellowshirts' shut down the tourist business. But I was wrong. Eventually and with the prodding from the Thai king a court declared the elected government illegal and some lawmakers were bribed to change sites. The parliament then elected the current Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva.

But the balance changed again as Taksin's supporters in red shirts took to the streets. There was a huge demonstrations in Bangkok last week with over 100,000 participants.

This morning demonstrators in Pattaya, where the ASEAN countries' plus China's, Japan's and South Korea's leaders were supposed to meet, stormed the convention hall. Some of the state leaders are now holed up in blockaded hotels, others get flown out by helicopter. The meeting and a followup tomorrow will not take place.It is unheard of that a high level international meeting gets such a treat.

This is an incredible international embarrassment and loss of face for the Abhisit Vejjajiva government. It will have to step down.

For now the government has declared an emergency for Pattaya and shutdown the media and communication means. But that will not end the conflict. The 'yellow-shirt' and 'red-shirt' sides may increase the level of their conflict and start to use more violence. The (also embarrassed) army may get involved too.

The best for now would probably be a caretaker government and new elections. Let's hope the reverted king is wise enough to push for them.

Comments

Looking at the footage on the Japanese NHK evening news tonight, it appeared that the army and/or police were rather passive. They sure didn’t try hard to prevent the ‘red shirts’ from entering the building.

Posted by: Philippe | Apr 11 2009 15:06 utc | 1

Even worse that I though – the foreign dignities decided to leave …
Protests cause summit postponement

Violence was in the air. Red-shirted protesters confronted police and so-called “blue shirts” who support the government. The UDD crowd brandished Molotov cocktails and slingshots, as police fought to held the two sides apart.

News of the key Asian nations’ decision to withdraw from the summit comes after Thai protesters laid siege to the gathering of Asian leaders on Friday, clashing with security forces and forcing their struggle to oust the prime minister into the international spotlight.
Mr Abhisit had earlier vowed that the summit, which had been focused on finding ways to fight the global financial crisis, would go ahead. It has already been postponed and relocated several times because of Thailand’s political turmoil.

The PAD seems to want more strife:
PAD tells government to muscle up

People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD) leaders called on the government to exercise its full authority against the United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD) protesters who forced the government to call off the 14th Asean Summit and related summits in Pattaya.
PAD leaders Somkiat Pongpaiboon and Somsak Kosaisuk together with alliance spokesman Panthep Puapongpan made the suggestion at a press conference on Saturday afternoon.
Mr Panthep said the five PAD leaders expressed concern over the unrest in Pattaya. They wanted the government to exercise greater control over the red-shirt protesters to protect the country’s honour as it is hosting the summits.

Well, when the PAD blockaded the airport and thereby shot the tourism business down, it was not so keen to have more police involvement …
More here.

Posted by: b | Apr 11 2009 17:12 utc | 2

China Daily: Thai capital in state of emergency

BANGKOK — Thailand has imposed a state of emergency in its capital, Bangkok, and surrounding areas.
The action by Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva comes a day after anti-government protesters swarmed into a hotel hosting an Asian summit, forcing its cancellation.
The protesters, who are seeking Abhisit’s resignation, also blocked a major Bangkok intersection for several days last week, disrupting traffic.
The decree bans gatherings of more than five people and forbids reporting that is considered threatening to public order.

Bangkok Post is extremely slow to reach right now:
So just one headline from its homepage as I can not get to the article:
Tanks mobilized in Bangkok
Last year when the ‘yellowshirts’ protested against the elected government and closed down the international airport for a week, the military did not come out even when the government asked for it.
Now as the right-wing government wants the military to take action against the ‘redshirts’ it immediately comes out.

Posted by: b | Apr 12 2009 10:59 utc | 3

“Live” coverage at Bangkok Pundit

Posted by: b | Apr 12 2009 11:24 utc | 4

More liveblogging from a journalist.
After the government launched emergency law in Bangkok yesterday the red-shirts started more forceful protests. While the police is out of the picture (i.e. stays neutral) the military came out with weapons. Several people were shot.
The protests go on and still escalating.

Posted by: b | Apr 13 2009 10:43 utc | 5

So the red-shirts for this time were not successful.
For an outlook on the possible further development a neutral view: Normalcy requires a semblance of equal justice

The doomed defeat of the red-shirted protesters under the United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD) against the government of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva has restored calm and order in the streets of Bangkok after a day of rioting that resulted in two deaths and scores of injuries.
The red shirts have evidently lost the battle, but their war against what they see as gross injustices in Thai society between the haves and have-nots, between the traditional elite and the governed, will continue as long as they are unrecognised and unaddressed.

In hindsight, the reds’ rise was bound to happen due to the disparity of Thailand’s socio-political hierarchy and the asymmetry between the status quo and changing times. Their efforts came to naught this time, but the anti-establishment sentiments behind them are likely to simmer and fester until they find an outlet somewhere else, sometime down the road.
The undercurrents against establishment forces should not be underestimated. The lack of recognition and accommodation will make these undercurrents pent-up and dangerous.
The onus for the way ahead now rests on Mr Abhisit and his supporters. The reds’ miscalculated gamble has made their months-long movement futile. What is needed next is the willingness of the establishment forces to accept, address and accommodate the reds’ sense of injustice and inequality.
Otherwise the demands for greater social justice and share of the pie may well reappear in other shapes, forms and colours down the road.

Posted by: b | Apr 16 2009 11:43 utc | 6