Today the G20 Finance Ministers are meeting to prepare for their bosses come-together early next month.
The U.S. wants West European countries and Japan to spend more 'stimulus' money. The Europeans says that they are already spending enough when 'automatic stabilizers' are taken into account. These are unemployment and other social payments that increase automatically during a recession. In the U.S. many of such measures are not automatic and were put into its 'stimulus' package making it look bigger than the European ones.
The West Europeans want more global regulations for all things financial. The U.S. will fight new global regulations as it sees them as infringements on its sovereignty.
The Chinese? They only want to make sure the U.S. pays their money back.
Nobody at the top wants to admit that the big banks are bankrupt and need to be closed down. Instead they continue to throw taxpayer money into those blackholes.
As there is absolutely no unity on what to do, and not even a common understanding of the problems, the G20 meeting will be without real results. Sure – there will be some agreement on further support for the IMF or another sideshow. But on the real issues nothing will get done.
No developed economy can survive without trust in its financial system. Without clean banks there is no trust. The real economy slump will thereby continue to get deeper and deeper. Over time this will create some political will to push for a real solution. This fall or early next year, another G20 meeting may start to push for some coordinated thorough cleanup of the real mess, the bankrupt banks.
So as sad as it may be - the situation still needs to get worse before it can even start to get better.