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How Will The Right React?
Assuming Obama wins the election, what will be the reaction on the right?
As far as I can distinguish them, there are three groups on the Republican side:
- the libertarians somewhat overlapping with
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the classic small state conservatives
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the value conservatives
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the neo-conservatives
We can assume that the economic situation will get worse and stay bad for at least two years.
How will these groups react under economic stress and out of power?
My estimation:
- Some kind of capitulation within the first two groups. They understand that state intervention, even though they hate it, is sometimes necessary.
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The neo-conservative group will try to change its mantle and to wiggle themselves into the Democratic realm.
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The middle group includes a lot of workers who will get screwed by the crisis. It includes the religious nuts. These are the people that think Obama is an Arab and a terrorist. If they find some kind of ‘leader’ they could become dangerous.
But I haven’t been around in the states recently, so my take is likely not correct.
Please let us know your predictions.
Apparently the US pres. campaign has derailed completely. Rabble rousing, racist slurs, etc. from the Repubs, Palin over the top or beyond the pale (still trying to think of a good horror nick name for her that is why the pale, pale being a post or stick, basically), McCain backtracking etc (see some previous posts.)
McCain seems to be occupying the position of place holder, the loser candidate who plays his valiant citizen role, à la Kerry, saving democracy on a not-so-white horse. The indignity of it all is mortifying, even experienced third-hand. Tangential to the financial crash, no European pol will ever again point to the US as a ‘vibrant democracy’ .. even that midget-brain Sarkozy has become more Gaullist recently. (De Gaulle wanted to keep the Brits out of the future “EU”.) Ignore, I tend to ramble…
From a secular, progressive, modernist, yada yada pov, it is easy to sneer and scoff at the trailer-park Bible-thumpers. Nevertheless, they represent the only revolutionary force in the US – so weak as to not deserve that name…
They have been co-opted through a clever scam which began long ago, became blatant under Bush the Second’s First Reign (aka Rove). They were brought into the fold (!) through an orchestrated association between conventional moral values of the individual kind, appeals to tradition of a folksy-cultural type, roots, American exceptionalism and isolationism, not to mention white supremacy married with ,or coupled with, the elite’s economic paradigm – free market BS dressed up in terms of personal responsibility, perpetual economic growth, etc.
God practically ordained you could reap impressive profits from screwing over your foolish neighbor. In this way, the potential revolutionaries fell into the trap of old-time peons under religious sway in a hierarchical scheme that justifies itself with halos etc. and rewards its adherents. Protestant reformist zeal, successful (so to speak from *one* pov) in the past, turned into acceptance of dominance and was channeled into trivia, went past its sell date.
At present, we have the mainstream (and the media never mistook that), the main forces, political and economic, even the military-industrial complex, whatever, behind the stability, quasi-Republican candidate, who has the advantage of a fresh face and profile and a discourse of hope, renewal, repair, a brightly lit future, Beacons on the Hill, etc. And the uber conservative forces are left to handle the de-fanging, legitimizing, semi-supporting, hand holding, the rag-tag band of potential protestors. Perhaps not precisely planned, that was/is Palin’s function. What else is she good for?
The campaign, according to one commentator on some board, is ‘ass backwards.’ The fraud of the two-party system is exposed, in plain sight.
Ppl like to call it a ‘culture war’ – metro incl. gay Blues against heartland Red necks…oppositions that are partly economic and masquerade as ideological and are upped by coloring states red or blue according to a slim percentage.
What will the grass-roots poorer repubs. and religionist do when they, the true heart of Amerika (their TV candidates) lose?
Nothing.
They have been de-fanged, were always complicit in the system, bit of both, there will be no uprising, no reaction beyond sobbing, cursing, or praying… Their living is dependent on the present arrangements, the Gvmt. subsidies, water, communal halls, infrastructure, huge subsidies (agri), ethanol cash, free public schooling, Medicare, tax arrangements, etc. even mortgages, still today. (Ok that was alongst the trad divisions which don’t mean much.)
The redistribution of wealth in the US, very considerable but always denied, will not be questioned. Palin will satisfy them, as a failed icon she will do fine in ‘hearts’… and on Hallmark cards!
Posted by: Tangerine | Oct 13 2008 16:09 utc | 18
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