Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
September 8, 2008
Georgia is not the Center of the World

While some more or less realistic versions of the Georgia conflict are now emerging, ‘western’ media are still obfuscating ongoing developments.

Moscow claims that all troops introduced after August 8 into South Ossetia and Abkhazia are now back on Russian Federation territory. The Russian force level within former Georgian borders is back to what is allowed under the internationally recognized peacekeeping agreements from the early 1990s.

In line with the six-point agreement signed on August 12 by Medvedev, Sarkozy and, after some obfuscation, Saakashvili, Russia keeps troops near a central crossing off the Poti harbor and one monitoring the major west-east highway north of Gori. These troops make sure that currently no major weapon systems like tanks will be imported to Georgia without RF interference.

But those few dozens soldiers are now the only Russian Federation troops on genuine Georgian grounds. But the usual agencies still make a big issue out of their presence.

AP headlines: Russia vows Georgia pullout when EU sends monitors.

Reuters writes:

Russia agreed to completely withdraw its troops from Georgia’s heartland within a month on Monday, but there was no commitment to scale back its military presence in two Georgian separatist regions.

AFP claims: Russia commits to new Georgia pull-back"

President Dmitry Medvedev pledged Monday to withdraw all Russian troops from Georgia within a month, although Russian forces will remain in two breakaway regions recognised by Moscow as independent states.

Medvedev said he had agreed to the deployment of at least 200 European Union observers in Georgia by October 1 to monitor the pull-out after winning assurances from a visiting European Union mission.

As usual, nothing of that comes near to what Medvedev really said:

Medvedev said Russia’s full withdrawal from Georgia will come not more than 10 days after the European Union deploys at least 200 observers in the ‘buffer zone’ near South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which under the new agreement is set to happen by October 1.

However, before the pullout takes place, Russia must receive from Georgia "legally binding documents on non-use of force against Abkhazia and South Ossetia," Medvedev said.

Somehow, the ‘western’ news agencies seem to have missed that crucial point.

The U.S. funded website civil.ge just wrote Sarkozy: Saakashvili Guarantees Non-Use of Force. The two ‘Releated’ headlines civil.ge attached to that short piece are: Saakashvili Downplays Treaty on Non-Use of Force and Saakashvili Says No to Treaty on Non-Use of Force. The links are to old stories but they show how that guy is just a flag in the wind while the Russian Federation demands for a peaceful solution have been the same for years.

Unless there is a completely unambiguous declaration from Georgia and a -at least informal-  commitment from the ‘west’ not to rearm Georgia, the Russian federation will not pull back the observer troops. A simple ambiguous letter from Saakashvili is unlikely to fulfill that demand. It is not a ‘legally binding document’.

Sarkozy’s say-so on an alleged letter from Saakashvili will not be enough to generate trust. Sarkozy lost such when he, under U.S. pressure, signed that mysterious letter that distorted the real content of his negotiations with Medvedev.

Saakashvili, after he lost out in his lunatic attempt to establish control over areas that never really belonged to Georgia, introduced a Patriot Act and then a Charter of Politicians of Georgia both of which the oppositions parties denied to support as both would tend to subscribe to support his authoritarian government point fo view.

Politically the guy is toast. He claims: Georgia [is] at the Center of World Politics. Thanks to superbly managed ‘western’ propaganda he was right with that claim for a few days.

But what is clear by now, except maybe to him, is that the center of world politics is not the place where the world wants Georgia and especially a lunatic like Saakashvili to be.

Comments

Off topic but not off greatest importance. Mexico is falling apart: murders, abductions, corruption within and without government, scandalous rise in price of staples, absolute insecurity. Will we have to send troops there?

Posted by: jlcg | Sep 8 2008 21:06 utc | 1

b, what we have to bear in mind is simly this: the US has suffered a military defeat in Georgia. This is contestable, I suppose, and certainly open to denial, but it happens to be the truth. Bernard-Henri Levy is eating his own excrement even as we speak.
The one great taboo in the USA is of course to concede a military defeat. And given the ways things have played out in Iraq, the subject is especially sensitive. Giving rise to lies throughout the three branches of Government.

Posted by: alabama | Sep 8 2008 22:02 utc | 2

Giving rise to lies throughout the three branches of Government.

Fox, CNN, and … which was the third one?

Posted by: a swedish kind of death | Sep 9 2008 0:49 utc | 3

The third branch of the gov’t is the Mad Cane campaign — reminding Medvedev that he had been a POW, John saved Georgia from annihilation by the Russian juggernaut and Sara Cuda saved New Orleans from Gustav with imprecatory prayer…

Posted by: Chuck Cliff | Sep 9 2008 5:31 utc | 4

b, what does saak care? He got the money and the attention, and presumably that was the point. Let’s not rush to call him stupid or reckless just yet.

Posted by: d | Sep 9 2008 6:32 utc | 5

NYTimes
Breakfast for BHL.

Posted by: alabama | Sep 9 2008 11:25 utc | 6

Cheney seems intent on stirring things up. Planning an October surprise for the US presidential race, maybe? If that was his intention, it certainly didn’t work:
“Aliyev made it clear that he values [good] relations with Washington, but that he is not about to start an argument with Russia,” the Kommersant report said, adding that Azerbaijani aides described Cheney as becoming “extremely irritated” by Baku’s decision to adopt a “wait-and-see position.”
Compounding Cheney’s displeasure, immediately following the discussions Aliyev reportedly telephoned Russian leader Dmitry Medvedev to inform the Kremlin about the substance of the US energy stance. Mammadyarov later departed for Moscow for further diplomatic discussions.
In a fit of pique, Cheney skipped a reception held in Baku in his honor, according to Azerbaijani sources.

Posted by: D. Mathews | Sep 9 2008 13:40 utc | 7

Georgia was the key [given the number of Israelis in government as well as the connections to Israel] to doin it to Iran eithr as a joint US/Israeli cakewalk or watching Israel’s back while Israel was doin it.
Russia screwed the whole plan [ looks like they were privy to some secrets and itching to put it to the Georgians and the lawyer from Columbia U.
If by a miracle [given his choice of Ms. Palin…is this the best the Republicans of Lincoln, Taft, Ike and Reagan can come up with it…..] McCain gets to become CinC, his top man Randy Schoenemann who also is Saakashvilli top man both Georgia/Israel will become the Center of the World.
And from the increasing numbers of bankruptcies on Wall Street and DC, the USA will definitely become just another Argentina beginning in early 2009.

Posted by: omop | Sep 9 2008 19:51 utc | 8

inner city press: As Russia Proposes Arms Embargo on Georgia, Sarkozy’s Dream World Exposed

UNITED NATIONS, September 9 — The day after French president Nicolas Sarkozy for the second time claimed to have solved the Georgia – Russia conflict, Russia’s Ambassador to the UN Vitaly Churkin put the claims in a decidedly different light. He unveiled a draft Security Council resolution to impose an arms embargo on Georgia, and said it will be impossible to consider extending the UN mission in Abkhazia, slated to end on October 15, unless the Council hears directly from representatives of Abkhazia and South Ossetia on October 7-8.
The resolution has no chance of passing, and the U.S. will be tempted to deny visas to the Abkhaz and Ossetian representatives. When Inner City Press asked U.S. Deputy Permanent Representative Alejandro Wolff, he linked the areas’ leaders to ethnic cleansing. Georgia’s president Mikhail Saakashvili did the same September 8 in Tblisi, saying that Abkhaz leaders have promised that “only wild animals” will live in the Kodori Gorge. Inner City Press asked Amb. Churkin about the comment; he said he will not respond to “every wild statement” by Mr. Saakashvili.
Inner City Press asked if there is any chance Russia will reverse its recognition of the unilateral declarations of independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. No, he answered, describing draft treaties and further steps Russia has taken to recognize the two republics. Inner City Press asked, what then will be discussed at the October 15 Geneva talks, which Sarkozy bragged about on September 8? “The demilitarization of Georgia,” Churkin answered. Video here.
As with Sarkozy’s earlier six point plans, the sides have entirely different understandings of the supposed agreement.

Posted by: b real | Sep 10 2008 2:41 utc | 9

Interesting posting by b real.
The question thats puzzling is; 1] Sarkozy fronting for Europe, or Georgia, or the UN, or the US or Israel?
Also puzzling is the deafening silence on this question from Washington.
Reminiscent of the Abbot Costello skit..whose on first, whats on second….

Posted by: omop | Sep 10 2008 14:45 utc | 10

One’s mind turns to the frontiers as a whole and hotspots.
Crimea is an autonomous republic. (of the Ukraine, today.)
Sevastopol was a *closed* city until 1996, one forgets.
Crimea has already once proclaimed itself independent (92.)
Riots broke out in 2006 because of the presence of the Amrikis (NATO Bs)
Err… Crimea was declared “NATO free” whatever that means.
Sevastopol has 37 primary schools.
36 teach only in Russian. (from a friend.)
Rumors have it the Russians have been handing out passports to Crimeans.
No reliable source has confirmed that, because the ppl there say they would take the offer if it existed but can’t find whoever is offering it. If only!
A cursory turn on google showed lots of Russian flags about.
——
Russia, the big bear, with tremendous territory, is strong militarily but otherwise very weak (demography, economy, exports, GDP, social aspects, etc.) It needs Europe as much as Europe needs it. The Europeans must stop kow-towing to the Americans, and bit by bit, the frontiers have to be fixed, in some kind of ‘mixed’ deal. It is Russia’s weakness that leads it to paranoia (justified in some measure I must admit), but good collaboration would put an end to it all. Imho, and open doors of course, common sense.

Posted by: Tangerine | Sep 11 2008 13:51 utc | 11