The worst of the current slump seems to be over for now. Markets in Britain and Germany are not in panic and I expect U.S. markets to level too later today.
Bush is supposed to speak this morning which is a bad idea. He is certainly not that person that can inject public trust. He and Paulson were the ones who screamed ‘fire’ within the full theater and initiated yesterdays panic.
The Paulson plan will likely be given another try in the House. It has now been re-labeled as ‘rescue plan’ instead of ‘bailout’. That comes a bit too late. Marketing can not revive a bad product after it failed. The resistance within the U.S. population against a Wall Street bailout seems to be too big to be overcome by Congress and I’d suggest it will be even bigger against a second attempt.
It is wrong plan and Paulson, with obvious conflicts of interests, is the wrong person to execute any plan right now. Why, by the way, is he still in office?
The same question goes for Bernanke. Take a look at the Fed’s balance sheet. The Fed is now out of power.
Ian Welsh has a plan. Congress should give the Treasury some $150 billion for emergency measures and start drafting and hold hearings on a real rescue bill. I am not sure I agree with all the proposals he wants to put in there. There might be need for some more radical measures, like direct federal lending to main street.
There is a lot of hyperbole in the current media. The financial system will not be destroyed. It will change and morph into a different, hopefully more responsible, one. Hedge funds and ‘special investment vehicles’ may vanish. So what. Was there ever a justification for their existence other than greed?