Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
June 2, 2008
The Market Rulez

Two week ago I wrote about Junk Accounting at used by Radian Group Inc. The company, in deep trouble, marked its debt "to market" and booked the difference of what it really owned to what other expected it would be able to pay back as a profit.

Today Bloomberg picks up the issue and there are bigger names involved:

Merrill Lynch & Co., Citigroup Inc. and four other U.S. financial companies have used an accounting rule adopted last year to book almost $12 billion of revenue after a decline in prices of their own bonds.

Here’s how it works, according to Richard Bove, an analyst at New York-based Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. A company decides to designate $100 million of its subordinated bonds as subject to mark-to-market accounting. The price of the bonds drops to 80 cents on the dollar from 100 cents. So the firm books $20 million on the "presumed savings that you have on your liabilities," Bove said.

The rule change by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) that allowed this mess was introduced in February 2007 after heavy lobbying by Wall Street.

According to Bloomberg, the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision protested against the introduction of the new rule.

But the FASB is a private institution and the Security and Exchange Commission, which has statutory authority over accounting rules, simply did not use its legal power, but defered to the industry owned institution.

Banks ‘regulating’ themselves will end in a big, big mess. Then the taxpayers will be asked to bail them out again. Thus rulez the market.

Comments

I’ve been paying close attention to this financial death spiral, and this mad idea of selling off assets to increase liquidity, often times funded by -loans from the same institutions- is a widespread, and obviously disastrous financial trick. It really boils down to some sort of clever accounting to keep their sinking ship afloat just a little longer. It won’t work, and so many of the big boys are playing this game (think Citi, National City, ect.) that if it starts falling apart we’re looking at a new Great Depression!
What fools we all are.
Look, economics is complicated, and I am but a hobbyist without the time to keep track of everything going on, but there are a few economists that I trust at the moment because their judgment has been proven over the last few years. Try these two out.
http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/
Ignore their politics (the first is, as far as I can tell, a European socialist with a strong free market bent, and the second is a libertarian who hates the Federal Reserve), they keep up on the news -very well- and their analysis is generally sound.

Posted by: Li | Jun 2 2008 14:40 utc | 1

Remember that when a major fainancial institution announces losses, it is only announcing those losses that it can no longer continue to bury in its books: the real losses are that part of the iceberg below the waterline.

Posted by: ralphieboy | Jun 2 2008 14:58 utc | 2

My question is why is this now accepted as “common practice” – these guys are not stupid. Speaking of bosses only now I assume, since any underling does what he’s told or gets fired.
So the boss either wants a depression, perhaps so he can buy up assets cheap, or he knows one is coming no matter what, so he must make the best of it for himself. In other words, all will be rubble soon, so stock up on cash & property, etc.
^^The above is only speculation of course, but I can’t believe all the corporatists are so clueless as to be sucked into a vortex unknowingly.

Posted by: rapt | Jun 2 2008 15:42 utc | 3

@rapt – they knwo, they have taken care of their personal wellness …
Morgan Stanley, Merrill, Lehman Ratings Cut by S&P
S&P is guilty of the whole mess just as much as the others. But now they fight each other. It will be bloody on Wall Street.

Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch & Co. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. plummeted in New York trading after Standard & Poor’s lowered credit ratings for the investment banks, saying they may have to book more writedowns on devalued assets.
Morgan Stanley, the second-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, was cut to A+ from AA-, S&P said today in a report. Merrill Lynch, the third-biggest, was cut to A from A+, as was Lehman Brothers, the fourth-biggest. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the largest of the group, was affirmed at AA-. The outlook on all four New York-based companies remains negative, S&P said.

Posted by: b | Jun 2 2008 18:55 utc | 4

“It will be bloody on Wall Street.”
“There will be blood.”, for sure.

Posted by: pb | Jun 2 2008 21:43 utc | 5

Most American corporations follow the same guiding principle: Socialize the risk – Privatize the profit.

Posted by: jeremiah | Jun 2 2008 21:54 utc | 6

j,
And ain’t it funny that some of the biggest proponents of Free Market Capitalism come from industries that are amost entirely dependent on government regulation/intervention to make a profit: defense, energy, transportation, pharmaceuticals, etc.
If our government were turly laissez-faire it would declare that oil is one source of energy out of many, the market should decide which is best, and if the oil companies cannot gain access to their suppliers, then that’s their problem.
Instead, we have declared oil to be a “strategic resource”, thus allowing the oil companies to sit down with Dick Cheney and “plan US energy strategy” – in total secrecy, of course – which amounts to a government-sponsored cartel deviding up market shares.

Posted by: ralphieboy | Jun 3 2008 10:14 utc | 7

Behind the falsification of US economic data
Snip:

WSWS) — In recent years, it has become increasingly clear to those who follow US economic statistics that there is something dubious about the numbers released by official government agencies and used to guide many aspects of social and public policy.
The details and chronology of the corruption of economic data are presented in a new book by Kevin Phillips, the political commentator and former Republican Party adviser who has become something of a muckraking critic of the “excesses” that he helped set in motion. The book is entitled, Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism. Phillips summarizes some of his main conclusions in an article in the current issue of Harper’s Magazine.
The article focuses primarily on three measures: the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI), the quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the monthly figure for the unemployment rate. Phillips convincingly demonstrates that the real unemployment rate in the United States is between 9 and 12 percent, not the 5 percent or less that is officially claimed. The real rate of inflation is not 2 or 3 percent, but instead, between 7 and 10 percent. And real economic growth has been about 1 percent, not the 3-4 percent officially claimed during the most recent Wall Street and housing bubble that has burst.
Phillips’s background makes his statements all the more significant. He was a prime strategist for Nixon’s 1968 presidential campaign and one of the main architects of the notorious “Southern strategy,” through which the old Republican Party of Wall Street and Main Street refashioned itself with a right-wing populist appeal, stoking racial antagonisms while above all capitalizing on the bankruptcy of American liberalism to shift the political spectrum sharply to the right.
The corruption of official statistics is not the work of one administration, and Phillips traces it back nearly 50 years. The current occupant of the White House has, in fact, been somewhat less active on this front than his predecessors.
Soon after John F. Kennedy took office in 1961, Phillips points out, he appointed a committee to recommend possible changes in the measurement of official joblessness. What soon followed was the use of the category of “discouraged workers” to exclude all those who had stopped looking for jobs because they weren’t available. Many who had lost employment in basic industry, in a trend that was just beginning to pick up steam with automation and the rise of global competitors in such industries as steel and auto production, were no longer counted as unemployed.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jun 3 2008 22:21 utc | 8

Second Great Depression in Detroit

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jun 3 2008 22:31 utc | 9

I think this one particular issue’s – the marking to market on the liabilities side of the balance sheet – getting dragged out into the light is the last straw for many on the financial stocks. It’s just too brazen, and it’s the kind of thing that, while a bit obscure, can be described easily in terms non-financial types can understand.
I don’t think it’s a coincidence what happened yesterday and today with Lehman Brothers. I suspect they’re already finished and they won’t be the last.

Posted by: mats | Jun 4 2008 0:12 utc | 10