Anybody who is long oil, i.e. bets on higher crude prices, has an interest to instigate War on the 70+ million people of Iran.
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June 30, 2008
Short Thought
Anybody who is long oil, i.e. bets on higher crude prices, has an interest to instigate War on the 70+ million people of Iran.
Short Thought
Anyone who is long oil, i.e. is betting on higher crude prices, has a financial interest to push the impression of imminent War on Iran.
Taliban or Local Strongmen?
The weekend’s action around Peshawar in the Pakistani province Khyber Agency seems to have been a ruse. The Pakistani government sent in local paramilitaries to fight alleged Taliban there. But there was not much of a fight at all. The LA Times writes:
It may have been even more of a show as Syed Saleem Shahzad reports for ATOL:
The groups temporarily pushed away were local warlords rather than some threatening Taliban. LAT:
As his constituency seems to like him, the man will certainly be back. The whole campaign was simply a big show put up by the government of Pakistan which is under pressure from Washington and NATO to do something. Just like the U.S. blames every problem in Iraq on Iran, NATO and the U.S. see every problem in Afghanistan connected to alleged Taliban in Pakistan’s eastern provinces. The Canadian journalist Graeme Smith says that is wrong. In an interview form Kandahar with RealNews he explains that the center of the insurgency is in Afghanistan. Even if a wall would be build between Pakistan and Afghanistan, he says, the insurgency would just go on as before. The insurgency uses hit and run methods on a larger scale. They take control over some towns and disperse as soon as ‘western’ troops show up and start dropping bombs. Then the insurgency moves into another area and repeats the scheme. There are too few ‘western’ troops to prevent this. The result is that people do not feel safe under the protection of the government and its heavy handed ‘western’ enforcers. Kabul loses legitimization and the Taliban start to get tolerated by the people or even win their direct support. This year Taliban attacks on U.S./NATO and Afghan forces in eastern Afghanistan are up by 40%. Civilian casualties are up by 60%. That certainly does not indicate that ‘western’ forces are winning the contest. They drop bombs whenever they have ‘intelligence’ about the whereabouts of some alleged Taliban leader or group and inevitably kill many civilians. Yesterday 33 ‘militants’ were killed. How many of those were civilians? How many people were wounded in that attack? Who are these people to turn to for security and to feel safe and protected? Just like the people in Bara, Pakistan, the Afghanis will likely look for local strongmen. The ‘western’ media will then again mistake those for ‘Taliban’. June 29, 2008
Entitlement to Credit
Tony Pugh writes for McClatchy on Credit ripoff: How a $100 purchase turns into a $1,000 debt The story is about subprime credit cards, how much of a rip-off these are and how finally the regulators are going after some bad behavior by the card issuers. That is all reported well as it should be. To spike an otherwise dry story, the author adds some human interest.
The above is all we learn on how Ms. Adams got the card. She must have in some way signed up for it. The processing fees are outrages, yes, but why then did she get that specific card? Was she scammed or did she not read the conditions and fees attached to it? The reporter does not let us know.
That cancellation was never confirmed in writing by either side and the credit card issuer added interest costs, late fees and over-limit fees to the cards balance. A year later Ms. Wright finds that she owes some $1000+ on that card. Now that is a problem. But still I wonder why she took out the card in the first place and why she did not cancel it in writing. She signed up for a card, the issuing company checked her credit records and sent her a card. That service was provided for a fee. Why did she believe that the cost for the already provided service would go away when she cancels the card? If you buy a car on credit but do not use it don’t you still have to pay for the car? Ms. Adams now has a credit counselor and some help from the Better Business Bureau. But unless the dispute is solved, her credit rating stays negative. Why is that a problem?
There goes my last compassion for Ms. Adams. Entitlement to credit is not a human right. She and her also disabled friend can not pay $1,000 they own the credit card company. But they complain about not being able to buy a house AND a car AND more stuff because of the dispute. Next to reading contracts Ms. Adams should also learn a bit about tax-write-offs. You only get write-offs on taxes that you ow
Sorry lady, you are a hopeless case. I am all for better and stricter regulation of credit card issuers. They practice usury, they are vultures and there should be laws to protect their prey. But the reporting on the case does not show any wrongdoing by the company. Yes, the fees and interests are outrageous, but they are also legal. Nobody held a pistol to Ms. Adams’ head and made her sign the dotted line. There are people like Ms. Adams who feel entitled to a house and a car and further credit even as they are unlikely to ever be able to pay for it. Those people are in need of some harsh lessons and the credit card companies provide these. That is the only point where they do deliver a real service and deserve their fees.
Hersh on Ongoing Operations Against Iran
Seymour Hersh on Iran: Preparing the Battlefield – The Bush Administration steps up its secret moves against Iran. There is not much new information in the piece. Hersh mostly pulls together many know bits and pieces on U.S. activities versus Iran. Hersh confirms the existence of a new secret presidential finding first reported six weeks ago by Andrew Cockburn of Counterpunch. The finding allows for support of groups hostile to Iran as well as for direct operation by U.S. special commands and by the CIA within Iran including the use of ‘defensive lethal force.’ It is supported by bipartisan funding of up to $400 million. U.S. operations against Iran are not new, but have now been ‘significantly expanded.’ Admiral Fallon, who was been dismissed as Centcom commander, was, according to Hersh, not kicked out over disagreement about an attack on Iran, but for insisting on unity of command and protesting against special force operations that are run outside of the regular chain of command. According to Hersh groups used to make trouble in Iran include:
Hersh reports also that U.S. special operation groups have seized Al Quds commanders in Iran and taken them to Iraq for interrogations. CIA and the military joint special operations command disagree on using these groups and some of the tactics. There seems to be an up tick of incidents within Iran that may be related to the U.S. operations there. Hersh notes that these are ‘regime change’ operations that have nothing to do with nuclear issues. This new wave of such operations was initiated after the National Intelligence Estimate on Iran published in December found that there is no active military nuclear program in Iran. Regime change in Iran and control over Iran’s natural resources as well as the routes into Central Asia are strategic U.S. foreign policy goals which have bipartisan support. All other issues, including the squabble over nuclear stuff, are simply ways and means to reach those goals. UPDATE: Somehow I missed the most important sentence of the piece. FCL caught it:
June 28, 2008
Missing Answers on the Pashtun Troubles
There is a fight building up in western Pakistan where some local warlords from the Khyber area under the banner of the Taliban seemed to be near to get control over Peshawar. The Pakistani government sent a few troops and is shelling some alleged warlord camps. Peshawar and the Khyber Pass region are the route of two thirds of the supplies for ‘western’ troops in Afghanistan. In all the reporting about these power struggles in west Pakistan and about the resistance in Afghanistan (if one can separate these at all) two issues are missing. 1. According to this UNHCR request for donations (pdf) there are still 2.1 million Afghan refugees living in Pakistan. Most of their refugee camps are around Peshawar. What is their role in this conflict? What is their position? How do they contribute to the fights in Pakistan and in Afghanistan? 2. Over the last decades many workers from Pakistan have been guest working in the Gulf region. In the 80s they were mostly in Saudi Arabia, now more are in Dubai and Oman. Some estimates say that at times 10% of the male workforce of Pakistan was working in the Gulf region. Pakistan has a Sufi tradition. The radical interpretation of Islam the Taliban adhere to is in the Wahhabi tradition of Saudi Arabia. The guest workers and lots of Saudi money were the vehicle to bring Wahhabism to Pakistan. How much control and influence do the Saudis have over the Taliban position? What is their stand on the trouble in Pakistan and the resistance in Afghanistan? I have yet to find reports and analysis that really dig into these strategic questions. Answers to those questions and strategic concepts following from these are more important than another ten thousand ‘western’ or Pakistani troops here or there. If there is some radical Islam movement, it is likely Wahhabi. Has anybody ever developed a strategy against that and its source? June 27, 2008
No Post Today
No post today. Well except this one, which has no real content/links because I am busy or whatever. Seymour Hersh is said to have a piece out this weekend about U.S. clandestine operations in Iran. That might be interesting and we’ll look at it when it appears. In other news, casualties in Iraq are up, casualties in Afghanistan are up and the U.S. economy is tanking. As GM reaches a new low let’s remember "What is good for GM is good for America."
So that phrase (which is false in its origin) still holds. June 26, 2008
Juan Cole and the Iraq Public Opinion
Prof. Juan Cole points to an air attack by the U.S. forces in Iraq which killed another family and concludes:
That conclusion is nonsense. The ‘Iraq public’ certainly never asked for or wants a Status of Force Agreement. All available polls find that the majority of the Iraq public wants the U.S. forces to completely leave Iraq. Indeed only U.S. puppets in the Green Zone, who’s position depend on backing by U.S. forces, do argue for such an agreement. To what purpose is Prof. Cole making this false assertion?
The Guardian’s Mysterious Tsvangirai Op-ed
Morgan Tsvangirai is the ‘western’ supported opposition leader in Zimbabwe who runs against Robert Mugawe. Yesterday the British Guardian published an op-ed by Tsvangirai which called for military intervention. That op-ed has since been taken down from the Guardian website. Today the Guardian publishes a letter by Tsvangirai, that delegitimizes yesterdays comment which is still available via the Google cache:
The op-ed also spits with hate towards Mugawe calling him "a power-crazed despot." Picking from the above comment, the ‘western’ media repeated the call for military intervention. Today there is a full retraction of the above. In his letter to the Guardian Morgan Tsvangirai now writes:
I find no editorial explanation on the Guardian website on what happened here.
Conspiracy minded people will smells an ‘Information Operation’ campaign by some USuk group that forgot to make sure that they really held the strings of their puppet. There may be other non-nefarious explanations. The Guardian urgently needs to tell why and how this happened. June 25, 2008
The War On Tourism
As someone who has traveled quite a but in the U.S., on business trips and on vacation tours, I am dismayed with all the new regulations that make such trips psychological and physical very uncomfortable. Consider:
Sometime in 1999 my boss sent me off on an emergency trip (twelve hour notice) to San Fransisco to cut a fast deal with some dot com venture. I was booked from Hamburg to Frankfurt to Washington DC to SF on Lufthansa and United. Because of bad weather in Frankfurt and congestion delays in Heathrow I ended up flying Hamburg, London, LA, SF by three airlines I had not booked with and arrived just in time but without my luggage. On the way I hacked a business and negotiation plan into my laptop and exchanged some highly sensitive emails with my boss. We actually cut the deal after some very personal negotiations but ended up paying too much to the U.S. partner. Today such a business would be impossible. The airlines will no longer allow such emergency flight switching, sensitive data on a laptop may kill your company and not many managers like the personal disparagement that now comes with the entry of the U.S. Not one of the above measures would have prevented 9/11. What is their purpose? Cui bono? I will likely never again canoe through the everglades, hike the woodsin sight of Mount St. Helens or visit the Jamestown railroad museum in east California. That is sad, but there are nice places elsewhere too. Not everyone fights in this war on tourism.
Flathead’s Reality
Flathead attempts to rewrite history:
Why do they even pay this guy? June 24, 2008
Bushian Diplomacy
Bush cancels South Korea trip. The people of South Korean were unwilling to serve him Texan steaks.
Zimbabwe – ‘His Ward Abandoned Him’
When the ‘western friendly’, neo-liberal ruler of Kenia Mwai Kibaki manipulated the election results, the U.S. and other ‘western’ powers backed him and urged the somewhat socialist and winning opposition politician Raila Odinga into a ‘national unity’ government. When the ‘western unfriendly’, somewhat socialist ruler of Zimbabwe Robert Mugabe manipulated the election results, the U.S. and other ‘western’ powers backed the neo-liberal opposition politician Morgan Tsvangirai and tried to prevent a ‘national unity’ government. But now something went wrong. The opposition candidate Tsvangirai gave up and took refuge in the Dutch embassy. On page 1 of the conservative German daily Franfurter Allgemeine Thomas Scheen is frank in explaining some relations (my translation and emph.):
I’d say the only people Tsvangirai will have to ‘justify’ this to are his voters. That is also exactly what he plans to do. Anyway. Zimbabwe Under Siege, was written by Gregory Elich six years ago and published in Swans Commentary. It captures the colonial, political-economic background of the Zimbabwe issue that is still so much in play today. It is not short, but well sourced and well written. I recommend it. June 23, 2008
Josh Marshall Hit By Electric Shock
Josh Marshall is Shocked, Shocked … that General Motors starts a crash program to develop an electric powered car.
Let’s just say that I can not find the company which killed its own EV-1 inspiring for building it again. Anyway here comes the whopper:
So Marshall, a historian and journalist, has written about U.S. foreign policy and internal U.S. political bickering without ever considering the main driver of these? Fossil fuels and how to profit from them? Oh boy …
Higher gas prices really seem to wake people up. Hi Josh, welcome to the party. But I am shocked, shocked … to find that only now people like you are starting to think. What again was Gulf War I about? Pistachios?
Oh really? No. Those historians will wonder how companies like GM could come up with a crash program for electric powered cars without being pressed by journalists to explain where the electricity for those cars would come from. They will find, 50 or 100 years from now, that journalists of that time believed that
Iran War Fantasies
The New Yorker has a looong piece on arch-zionist and casino multi-billionaire Sheldon Adelson. In a small scene described therein, the ‘richest Jew in the world’ (his words) talks of someone this blog has taken some interest in:
When Richard Perle brought Fakhravar to the U.S. in April 2006, the ‘student leader’ did not speak English and was seen by fellow Iranian exiles as the fraud he is. Now the third riches guy in the U.S. listens to his fantasies of Iranians giving flowers and candies as thank-you for shock and awe. That’s quite a career step. Flowers and candy expectations and even more dangerous fantasies about a ‘cakewalk’ are also in a recent pamphlet from the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, an AIPAC too-dumb-to-think think tank. It is the master narrative for the TV talking heads and ‘experts’ that will ‘discuss’ how easy the U.S. will win against Iran shortly before that war begins. John Bolton is already explaining that the Arabs will be ‘delighted’ when Teheran gets bombed. While the U.S. people may not be keen for another war, expect less resistance from Europe than there was against the Iraq war. The propaganda campaign against Iran here in Germany is running at full pace. For a while I had the fantasy that the EU-3 are doing the sanction and negotiation bidding with Iran to stall another U.S. aggression by running out the time of the Bush administration. But that seems no longer to be the case. The EU foreign police head Solana was in Teheran just ten days ago to deliver a new offer (pdf) of negotiations about ‘incentives’ (there was nothing new in it) if Iran stops enrichment. In May Iran distributed a new proposal (pdf) of its own, offering international industrial partnership in its enrichment facilities. Despite the possibilities of further talks, without giving Iran time to officially answer the EU-3 proposal and without having issued any response to the Iranian proposal, the EU today put new sanctions on Iran’s biggest national bank and froze Iranian assets. This step came much too early for being part of a stalling strategy. June 22, 2008
Economic War Between OPEC and the U.S. Financial System
Oil markets are in a bubble driven by speculation. While peak oil is a real concern, it does not explain recent short term price moves. People drive less now in the U.S., China has increased its subsidized oil prices by 17.5% and airlines have stopped flying certain routes. Supply has stayed fairly constant. Still prices are going up. The speculation is driven largely by U.S. financial entities that trade in unregulated commodities with over the counter derivative contracts. F. William Engdahl has explained how the mechanisms works and Pam Martens points to the massive involvement of Citibank and other big players. The OPEC folks are pissed. They know the prices they are selling their oil for are far below the top prices in the commodity markets and they know that some of the barrels they offer find no buyers. They do know that it is speculation that drives this. The current too high prices will make people develop other energy sources and will destruct the long term demand for their product. They learned that lesson in the 1970s and do not want to repeat it. Cont. reading: Economic War Between OPEC and the U.S. Financial System June 21, 2008
Cheney and Friends
by Antifa While it is heartening to hear that bombing Iran is not an act If the fall of America is to be the consequence, well then a whole lot of hell will have to go down on its enemies first. The people who want to bomb the hell out of Iran are supremely They’ve drawn up the several thousands of targets, set a perfectly Meanwhile, they keep the PR and diplomatic chaos and military
Midsummer Open Threat
Comment early, comment often … News & views … June 20, 2008
Torture Week
It was torture week, with a few hearings and a bit of remarkable reporting on the issue.
There is not much to add to that. I recommend everyone to read McClatchy’s series written by Tom Lassiter on torture and Gitmo, the Warren Strobel story with the above Taguba quote and the one on how cases like this may now proceed through the courts:
… where he was again tortured. Declaring torture illegal was one of the big cultural achievements of mankind. This administration and this Congress have taken us back to the middle ages. The U.S. needs to think seriously about how to change a system that allows such aberration.
Michael Gordon’s New Beat: Bomb Iran
There is a fresh sign that an attack on Iran is in the cards. The New York Times has put Michael A. Gordon on the bomb-Iran beat. Gordon, you will remember, co-wrote with Judith Miller a bunch of the false Iraq-WMD pieces. But unlike Miller he was not fired and lately his task has been to write Petraeus schmooze pieces from Baghdad. But now he writes about an attack on Iran and the NYT editors put the baloney on page A01:
Only nine paragraphs later does Gordon find the space to somewhat hint that Mofaz’s assertions are wrong. Iran does not have a ‘program for developing nuclear weapons’. Gordon also has this false line:
The ‘serious concern’ the IAEA expressed (pdf) related to the false accusations the U.S. made towards Iran, not to Iran’s work on nuclear matters.
The ‘alleged studies’ are a matter of concern for the IAEA, not ‘Iran’s suspected work’. A small but important difference. Retired Air Force Colonel Sam Gardiner wrote a study about the propaganda build up towards the War on Iraq: Truth from These Podia Summary of a Study of Strategic Influence, Perception Management, Strategic Information Warfare and Strategic Psychological Operations in Gulf II. Gardiner is now writing at Spinwatch and recently put up this graph: ![]() Gardiner notes:
Recently Israel agreed to a ceasefire with Hamas, started negotiations with Syria through Turkey and even offered talks with Lebanon. Obviously Olmert wants to pull the teeth that might bite back in the case of an attack on Iran. These preperations, propaganda about Iran’s involvement in attacks in Iraq, the general increased message volume on Iran and Michael Gordon’s assignment to his new beat are signs that some campaign is likely to happen. |
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