Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 7, 2008
The ‘Surge Success’ Falling Apart

As Badger reports, Maliki’s troops, under U.S. command, are razing another Shia part of Baghdad, Shoala in the north-east. As they have learned from their U.S. trainers, the first thing to do in such attacks (remember Fallujah) is to shut down the areas hospital. Otherwise wounded could get treatment and one can’t have that. The big idea is likely to make everybody flee the area the U.S. decided to clean.  

In the Sunni Baghdad quarter Adhamiyah, the Awakening fighters are nervous.  Their extortion racket, peace for money, worked well with the U.S. so far, but they know that this is only temp work and they want a permanent position. But the Maliki government does not want to take over the contract. Without perspektive of getting paid, some of these folks fall back to their old business – setting up bombs for whoever pays best.

U.S. military officers in Adhamiyah said they were not sure who was responsible for the growing number of roadside bombs — extremists sneaking back into the neighborhood or factional leaders jockeying for power. The U.S. military has more than 2,200 Awakening fighters in Adhamiyah and nearby neighborhoods.

Military officers said they have tried numerous avenues to get Awakening fighters hired into the Iraqi security forces, but they say they have no evidence that the vast majority of applications have been acted upon.

Dr. iRack sees the ‘success’ of the ‘surge’ falling apart:

We have to get this right . . . and get it right right now. The clock is ticking. The only solution is a political one, and it will involve pushing the Maliki government to move much faster to co-opt Sunni and Shia combatants.

But there is only one way the U.S. can really put pressure on Maliki and the green zone profiteers. The sole thing these folks fear is a retreat of the U.S. troops that are covering their asses.

The U.S. could threaten to withdraw its forces. But would that threat be believable unless really taken forward? Cheney would certainly not agree to a full retreat as there is this 1% chance that Maliki really might let them go.

The green zoners know that. The only thing they fear will not happen unless the U.S. administration changes.  A grand political stalemate while the situation for the Iraqi people gets worse by the day.

Comments

But there is only one way the U.S. can really put pressure on Maliki and the green zone profiteers. The sole thing these folks fear is a retreat of the U.S. troops that are covering their asses.
So much so that, the Green Zone government is prepared to pay extortion money to keep the US military as their mercenary army:
Iraq’s Industry minister opens door to reimbursing U.S.

Iraq’s industry minister opened the door Wednesday to reimbursing the United States for at least some of the billions of dollars spent for reconstructing the country.
(snip)

There, all that hard work put in to ‘reconstruct’ the country is acknowledged at long last! The Democrats must be sooo happy.

Posted by: Alamet | May 7 2008 23:40 utc | 1

It was rather predictable that things would start to fall apart once the surge stopped surging. For Cheney et al, this might be a benefit, not a bug. Iraq sliding into chaos this fall would seem to be the perfect excuse to finally attack Iran, which can be blamed for being responsible for American deaths in Iraq — which will probably wreak havoc with the election. We certainly seem to be starting our early Cold War-era nuclear desensitization propaganda campaign nice and early: What do you do for an encore after TV weatherman Al Roker goes to a Minuteman missile silo? Call Democrats traitors and make Duck and Cover drills mandatory?

Posted by: Madison Guy | May 7 2008 23:58 utc | 2

US:Iraq is a macrocosm of Israel:Palestine, but a microcosm of the US metropolitans.
Cherthoff got his wish, the DEA just extradited “Macaco” to the US to train our SWAT.
You’ll see a whole lot more encirclement stomping, and crushed larynx’s, and multiple
brain contusions when you, “musta fell in the shower,” after your DHS arraignment.
With BlackWater springing up all across the southern tier with no-name “academies”
which include military arms bunkers, Cheney’s Black Ops already sub-rosa in DoD’s
budget, we could have Obama for President and Lillian Tomlin as VP, and still the
paramilitaries would run amok, and still Congress would approve their next $108B.
At least the SEC is outing the banks and brokers, but I suspect that’s the Big Money
getting tired of those skim-off pump-and-dump alpha-chasing greasey-haired scumbums,
and once all the cards are on the table, and the insiders know the real deal, we’ll
see a draconian lockdown at the retail level. They’re not in this for your health.
Then you’ll see the grass growing up through the sidewalk cracks like in the 1980’s.

Posted by: Burt Turtle | May 8 2008 3:53 utc | 3

The Senate Armed Services Committee unanimously approved language for the new supplemental (due for a House vote tomorrow or Friday) which would require the Iraqis to pay for reconstruction, security and the Awakening. The latest draft of the House version – with Pelosi’s approval – requires Iraq to pay 50% of reconstruction funding.
The House is also attempting to place DoD contractors under military justice but has ignored the fact that State is actually the employer of contractors like Blackwater.
Meanwhile the BBC reported that the people of Sadr City have been warned to get out of their neighborhoods before a big new push by GZG and US forces.
For in the US those who like, calls to members of the Out of Iraq caucus (and to your own rep) telling them you support the Lee Amendment which limits spending to the actual redeployment of troops may at least encourage them to keep fighting – at the moment they are left with no real options while congressional leadership pushes a supplemental that is garbage.

Posted by: Siun | May 8 2008 5:23 utc | 4

1. Bush.Con destroys Iraq, then charges a 50% origination fee for the reconstruction.
2. Bush.Con destroys USA, then charges a 50% origination fee for “economic stimulus”.
With interest! Boy, that’s gotta make the boys behind the Fed happy, all that lucre!
One for me, one for you; two for me, one for you; three more for me, none for you!
I don’t know about you, but if someone shoved their mitt halfway up my ass, I think
I’d be doing a little more bellowing about it, than listening to Hillary prattle on.

Posted by: Parry Tell | May 8 2008 6:10 utc | 5

I wonder if the Iraqi government will be paying for all these new walls as part of “reconstruction”? I hear the U.S. imports them all at about $1000.00 per section. With the Iraqi’s complaining they could cast them in country for $25.00 per section, but I guess they don’t understand how this thing is suppose to work.

Posted by: anna missed | May 8 2008 6:36 utc | 6

via Juan Cole – another sign of Sunni-Shia alignment in the words of a Sunni cleric:

“Response of Shaykh Hamid al-Ali:
“I mentioned in the Al-Jazirah meeting that it is imperative to differentiate between the Shiite ideology and the Safavid political plan.
“Regarding the honorable Shia in Iraq who have stood against the Safavid [i.e. Iranian] plan, our differences with them are ideological and can be resolved through dialogue, as always has been the case throughout the history of our nation.
“As for the advocates of the Safavid [Iranian] plan, and I do not know to which of the Shiite scholars you referred in Iraq, this plan is a destructive danger and there is another way of dealing with it. If they really are against the Safavid plan, the people of Iraq should benefit from all communities in the society who are against the American and Safavid occupiers. Without doubt, Shaykh Harith al-Dari is a trustworthy personality, is honorable, and has solid and good stances; hence, his opinion should be taken with regards to the Shia who are against the Safavid occupation. God is All-Knowing.

Posted by: b | May 8 2008 8:56 utc | 7

The Senate Armed Services Committee unanimously approved language for the new supplemental (due for a House vote tomorrow or Friday) which would require the Iraqis to pay for reconstruction, security and the Awakening.
If Iraq has to pay for the Awakening militias, they simply won’t be paid. Maliki and Co don’t want them. It is a US initiative and the US has to pay.
But it is also true, though less so, of the other issues. The Iraqis will not pay for US initiatives, whatever congressmen in Washington imagine, or indeed neocons. The war is on the US budget until the end. There’s no getting out of it.

Posted by: Alex | May 8 2008 9:32 utc | 8

A new “pottery barn” rule. The store pays and the customer stays.

Posted by: Browning | May 8 2008 11:44 utc | 9

Anna Missed # 6, of course! The walls plus the new imperial embassy. Because, what else was constructed in all of Iraq in these last five years? But first, Iraq will have to pay for the razing of Sadr City:
Residents says Iraqi soldiers warn them to leave Sadr City

Iraqi soldiers for the first time warned residents in the embattled Sadr City district to leave their houses Thursday, signaling a new push by the U.S.-backed forces against Shiite extremist who have been waging street battles for seven weeks.
(snip)

Posted by: Alamet | May 8 2008 14:14 utc | 10

Eight killed when rockets hit US base

EIGHT people were killed and eight more wounded, including four soldiers from US-led coalition forces, in new violence in Iraq’s southern city of Basra today, the American military said.
Two civilian contractors were among those killed when several rockets slammed into a coalition military base in Basra at around 2.20pm (9.20pm AEST), the military said.
(snip)

Posted by: Alamet | May 8 2008 23:14 utc | 11

Now, this comes as a surprise:
Iran recalls ambassador to Iraq

Iran recalled its ambassador to Iraq in protest of Baghdad’s support for a move by the United Arab Emirates to take ownership of three Persian Gulf islands.
The Emirates News Agency, WAM, said April 28 that the Iraqi government expressed “unconditional support” for the Emirates’ sovereignty over the Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa islands, which lie at a key access point to the Strait of Hormuz.
(snip)

Posted by: Alamet | May 8 2008 23:17 utc | 12

IRAQ: The elusive Iranian weapons

A plan to show some alleged Iranian-supplied explosives to journalists last week in Karbala and then destroy them was canceled after the United States realized none of them was from Iran. A U.S. military spokesman attributed the confusion to a misunderstanding that emerged after an Iraqi Army general in Karbala erroneously reported the items were of Iranian origin.
When U.S. explosives experts went to investigate, they discovered they were not Iranian after all.

Posted by: b | May 9 2008 9:03 utc | 13