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Open Thread 08-13
I’ll be on the road for the next two days to celebrate the first Sunday after the first full moon in spring with some relatives. These are the days to worship the Germanic goddess Eostre, or whatever may fit you, and to her honor we’ll light up some big fires.
So I’ll be likely unable to post in the next 36 hours. (Still missing a MoA laptop – if you haven’t yet, you may want to contribute for one.)
Please use this as an open thread for your news, views and opinions.
Hillary has her own pastorate issues:
At the heart of The Family’s American branch is a collection of powerful right-wing politicos, who include, or have included, Sam Brownback, Ed Meese, John Ashcroft, James Inhofe and Rick Santorum. They get to use The Family’s spacious estate on the Potomac, The Cedars, which is maintained by young men in Family group homes and where meals are served by The Family’s young women’s group. And, at The Family’s frequent prayer gatherings, they get powerful jolts of spiritual refreshment, tailored to the already powerful.
Clinton fell in with The Family in 1993, when she joined a Bible study group composed of wives of conservative leaders like Jack Kemp and James Baker. When she ascended to the Senate, she was promoted to what Sharlet calls the Family’s “most elite cell,” the weekly Senate Prayer Breakfast, which included, until his downfall, Virginia’s notoriously racist Senator George Allen. This has not been a casual connection for Clinton. She has written of Doug Coe, The Family’s publicity-averse leader, that he is “a unique presence in Washington: a genuinely loving spiritual mentor and guide to anyone, regardless of party or faith, who wants to deepen his or her relationship with God.”
Furthermore, The Family takes credit for some of Clinton’s rightward legislative tendencies, including her support for a law guaranteeing “religious freedom” in the workplace, such as for pharmacists who refuse to fill birth control prescriptions and police officers who refuse to guard abortion clinics.
More background here.
When Clinton first came to Washington in 1993, one of her first steps was to join a Bible study group. For the next eight years, she regularly met with a Christian “cell” whose members included Susan Baker, wife of Bush consigliere James Baker; Joanne Kemp, wife of conservative icon Jack Kemp; Eileen Bakke, wife of Dennis Bakke, a leader in the anti-union Christian management movement; and Grace Nelson, the wife of Senator Bill Nelson, a conservative Florida Democrat.
Clinton’s prayer group was part of the Fellowship (or “the Family”), a network of sex-segregated cells of political, business, and military leaders dedicated to “spiritual war” on behalf of Christ, many of them recruited at the Fellowship’s only public event, the annual National Prayer Breakfast. (Aside from the breakfast, the group has “made a fetish of being invisible,” former Republican Senator William Armstrong has said.) The Fellowship believes that the elite win power by the will of God, who uses them for his purposes. Its mission is to help the powerful understand their role in God’s plan.
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The Fellowship’s ideas are essentially a blend of Calvinism and Norman Vincent Peale, the 1960s preacher of positive thinking. It’s a cheery faith in the “elect” chosen by a single voter—God—and a devotion to Romans 13:1: “Let every soul be subject unto the higher powers….The powers that be are ordained of God.” Or, as Coe has put it, “we work with power where we can, build new power where we can’t.”
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The Fellowship’s long-term goal is “a leadership led by God—leaders of all levels of society who direct projects as they are led by the spirit.” According to the Fellowship’s archives, the spirit has in the past led its members in Congress to increase U.S. support for the Duvalier regime in Haiti and the Park dictatorship in South Korea. The Fellowship’s God-led men have also included General Suharto of Indonesia; Honduran general and death squad organizer Gustavo Alvarez Martinez; a Deutsche Bank official disgraced by financial ties to Hitler; and dictator Siad Barre of Somalia, plus a list of other generals and dictators. Clinton, says Schenck, has become a regular visitor to Coe’s Arlington, Virginia, headquarters, a former convent where Coe provides members of Congress with sex-segregated housing and spiritual guidance.
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The Fellowship isn’t out to turn liberals into conservatives; rather, it convinces politicians they can transcend left and right with an ecumenical faith that rises above politics. Only the faith is always evangelical, and the politics always move rightward.
This is in line with the Christian right’s long-term strategy. Francis Schaeffer, late guru of the movement, coined the term “cobelligerency” to describe the alliances evangelicals must forge with conservative Catholics. Colson, his most influential disciple, has refined the concept of cobelligerency to deal with less-than-pure politicians. In this application, conservatives sit pretty and wait for liberals looking for common ground to come to them. Clinton, Colson told us, “has a lot of history” to overcome, but he sees her making the right moves.
These days, Clinton has graduated from the political wives’ group into what may be Coe’s most elite cell, the weekly Senate Prayer Breakfast. Though weighted Republican, the breakfast—regularly attended by about 40 members—is a bipartisan opportunity for politicians to burnish their reputations, giving Clinton the chance to profess her faith with men such as Brownback as well as the twin terrors of Oklahoma, James Inhofe and Tom Coburn, and, until recently, former Senator George Allen (R-Va.).
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The libertarian Cato Institute recently observed that Clinton is “adding the paternalistic agenda of the religious right to her old-fashioned liberal paternalism.”
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Then, as now, Clinton confounded secularists who recognize public faith only when it comes wrapped in a cornpone accent. Clinton speaks instead the language of nondenominationalism—a sober, eloquent appreciation of “values,” the importance of prayer, and “heart” convictions—which liberals, unfamiliar with the history of evangelical coalition building, mistake for a tidy, apolitical accommodation, a personal separation of church and state. Nor do skeptical voters looking for political opportunism recognize that, when Clinton seeks guidance among prayer partners such as Coe and Brownback, she is not so much triangulating—much as that may have become second nature—as honoring her convictions. In her own way, she is a true believer.
Posted by: lg | Mar 22 2008 16:56 utc | 7
which headline to believe?
ap: Somalia: Militants Glad to Be on U.S. List
Islamic militants in Somalia welcomed being added to the United States’ list of terrorist organizations, saying they wished only that the designation had come sooner. The State Department announced Tuesday that it added to its list the military wing of the Council of Islamic Courts, called Al Shabab, or the Youth, because it is affiliated with Al Qaeda, according to American officials. “We are happy that the U.S. put us on its list of terrorists, a name given to pure Muslims who are strong and clear in their religious position,” Sheik Muqtar Robow, Al Shabab’s spokesman, said.
that is a rewrite of an earlier version that the associated press put out on the 20th w/ the same headline, only it had some more content and more on one of the sentences that remained in the later versions.
specifically,
“We are happy that the U.S. put us on its list of terrorists, a name given to pure Muslims who are strong and clear in their religious position,” Sheik Muqtar Robow, al-Shabab’s spokesman, told The Associated Press by phone from an undisclosed location in Somalia.
it also quoted another somali
Earlier in the day [wednesday], Council of Islamic Courts leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys denied links between terrorists and al-Shabab and said the militants “are part of the coalition for the reliberation of Somalia.”
“The U.S. policy toward Somalia is always wrong and twisted,” Aweys said. “They made the wrong decision in 2006 when they backed the Ethiopian invasion, and they are wrong to designate part of the resistance as terrorists.”
now let’s look at a reuters article from saturday
reuters: Somali Islamists say US terror listing forges unity
MOGADISHU (Reuters) – Islamist insurgents in Somalia say their inclusion on a U.S. terrorism list will help recruiting and has spurred them to strengthen ties with other groups blacklisted by Washington.
“We were not terrorists,” rebel commander Mukhtar Ali Robow told Reuters by telephone from an undisclosed location.
“But now we’ve been designated … we have been forced to seek out and unite with any Muslims on the list against the United States,” he said late on Thursday.
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“We want to be very, very clear that this is not a designation against opposition groups,” Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the United States’ number two diplomat for Africa, told Reuters.
“Al Shabaab has tried to conflate the anti-Ethiopian agenda with their terrorism agenda and it’s very dangerous,” she said.
“There are lots of people in Somalia who have a nationalist agenda … and I think people are not aware of just how strong the al Shabaab links with al Qaeda are.”
When the sharia courts group was in power in Mogadishu, Washington focused on another leader it says has al Qaeda ties.
Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, now in exile in Eritrea, told Reuters the U.S. designation of al Shabaab was wrong.
“The Americans labelled me a terrorist and God knows that was a lie,” he said. “I didn’t do anything to them … it’s the habit of Americans who found themselves rich and powerful and handed the leadership of their country to crazy people.”
curious that both wire services use the same exact phrasing when describing what sheik muqtar robow “told _____ by telephone from an undisclosed location”. it looks to me like they are both working off the same copy or template. what are the odds of such a coincidence? several other outlets picked the earlier version of the ap story w/ that sentence intact. one i saw changed it to “undisclosed site” rather than location, but the later is the term the original used.
i’d wager that it a sign of a propaganda op. after all, the articles quote both robow & aweys explicitly stating ‘we are not terrorists, that is incorrect’ yet the focus of the articles are then that they are “happy” about being labeled terrorists?
islam online has the more correct headline — Somali Fighters Reject Terror Label
MOGADISHU — Somali resistance fighters have bristled at the US designation of their group as a terrorist organization, vowing not to lay down their arms until the Ethiopian invaders withdraw from their homeland.
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The Islamic Courts, which ruled Somalia for six months after routing a Washington-backed alliance of warlords, managed to briefly restore unprecedented order and stability on most of the Somali territories after more than 15 years of unrest.
But since their ouster, Somalia has descended into chaos with almost daily attacks against Ethiopian troops and government forces.
Somali experts have said that the Islamic Courts fighters have grown more powerful in recent months, regaining control of at least one-third of Somalia thanks to sophisticated attacks and unified ranks in the face of the weak government.
evidently, robow communicated w/ the bbc too, though it’s not disclosed how or from where
..ironically the fact that the US has repeatedly made statements linking al-Shabab with al-Qaeda may have made it more attractive to some of the foreign fighters.
A senior member of the al-Shabab, Sheikh Muktar Robow, told the BBC he welcomed the US decision.
“Al-Shabab feels honoured to be included on the list. We are good Muslims and the Americans are infidels. We are on the right path,” he said.
But he rejected the US’s accusations that members of the group are linked to al-Qaeda.
“We are fighting a jihad to rid Somalia of the Ethiopians and its allies, the secular Somali stooges,” he said.
earlier in the piece, the bbc article, for whatever purpose, misinforms their readers by pretending to point out a “pattern” in the insurgency
In the past few weeks, al-Shabab has attacked a number of strategic towns, including Dinsor in the south-west and Bur Hakaba, near the seat of parliament in Baidoa.
A pattern is emerging whereby the militia briefly occupy the town, often killing a number of people, then withdraw with arms, ammunition and military vehicles seized from Somali government and Ethiopian troops.
attacking a number of “strategic towns” whereby “often killing a number of people” is rather ambiguous. don’t they mean that the insurgency is taking out military bases/strongholds and killing (though mostly forcing out) those same soldiers whose ammo & equip they take? there have been assassinations of collaborators w/ the occupation & TFG, but those are not part of the “pattern” the bbc is looking for. since there are firefights in these attacks, civilians are indeed killed in the crossfire, but the way the article presents the “pattern” is a falsehood, most likely deliberate.
Posted by: b real | Mar 23 2008 4:40 utc | 16
robert dreyfuss on john mccain the neocon on wednesday’s democracynow
A Century in Iraq, Replacing UN with “League of Democracies,” Rogue State Rollback? A Look at John McCain’s Foreign Policy Vision
AMY GOODMAN: It’s good to have you with us. You cite Brookings Institution analyst Ivo Daalder as saying, quote, “If you thought George Bush was bad when it comes to the use of military force, wait ’til you see John McCain.” Can you explain?
ROBERT DREYFUSS: Well, what I did in putting this piece together was look at McCain’s own writing and speeches, his article in Foreign Affairs, and I spoke to a number of his advisers, including Randy Scheunemann, who is his chief foreign policy strategist. I spoke to John Bolton. I spoke to Jim Woolsey. I spoke to a number of people who are neoconservative in thought who have now clustered around the McCain campaign and see his effort to become president as a way for them—that is, for the neoconservatives—to return to the position of power they had in the first Bush administration from 2001 to 2005.
McCain has an instinctive preference for using military power to solve problems overseas. And when you couple that with a kind of hotheaded temperament, with a kind of arrogance and really a tendency to fly off the handle, I think we have a lot to fear…
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AMY GOODMAN: And the others in the neocon circle, the advisers, like, for example, Bill Kristol, like Max Boot, tell us about their involvement.
ROBERT DREYFUSS: You know, it’s very interesting, Amy. If you look at the list of people who say they’re advising the McCain camp, you find a broad range of people. You find people like Henry Kissinger, Brent Scowcroft, Larry Eagleburger. These are the traditional kind of Nixon-era realists, many of whom certainly wouldn’t be considered liberals, but who certainly are realists. But when you look at McCain’s positions, his views on things, you don’t find any of the influence of people like Eagleburger and Scowcroft.
What you see instead is that the rest of McCain’s advisers, and you named several of them—James Woolsey, the former CIA director, who has been traveling and campaigning with McCain and who I interviewed for this piece; Bill Kristol, who’s very close to McCain for probably a decade and has been kind of an angel sitting on his shoulder and whispering in his ear all that time; people like Scheunemann; people like Max Boot; Ralph Peters; there’s a long list of people who have joined the McCain advisory team—and it’s these people whom McCain listens to when it comes to foreign policy. He certainly hasn’t expressed anything in any foreign policy area that you would identify with the Republican realist camp. He’s much closer to the neocons.
And he seems to be, as I said earlier, the true neocon himself, someone who, after early in his career in the ’80s being kind of suspicious about some foreign interventions that happened at that time, at the end of the Cold War, when the Soviet Union collapsed, McCain seemed to have felt unburdened, like now American power can express itself. And that’s when he attached himself to the neoconservative vision that America, as the sole superpower, could throw its weight around, could remake the world in its own image and that there would be no effective opposition to it.
of what i’ve read of his over the years, dreyfuss’ sources are usually from the realist camp & he helps to advance their messages, however i don’t find much to differ w/ on his take on mccain.
another thing he mentioned in today’s interview
And if you look at his broad policies that he’s outlined, he has suggested point blank that we’re in a long-term, almost unending struggle with al-Qaeda and various other forms of Islamism. And as a result, he wants to create a whole new set of institutions to deal with those. One of those institutions would be what he calls the League of Democracies, which is basically a way of short-circuiting the UN, where Russia and China, in particular, but also various non-aligned countries often stand up to the United States.
Also, he wants to create a new much more aggressive covert operations team. He says he wants to model it on the old Office of Strategic Services, the World War II era OSS, and to create this out of the CIA but include into it psychological warfare specialists, covert operations people, people who specialize in advertising and propaganda, and a whole bunch of other kind of—a wide range of these kind of covert operators, who would then form a new agency that would be designed to fight the war on terrorism overseas and to deal with rogue states and other troubling actors that we—or McCain decides he happens not to like at that moment.
dreyfuss’ article in the nation
Hothead McCain
If McCain intends to be a shoot first, ask questions later President, consider a couple of the new institutions he’s outlined, which seem designed to facilitate an unencumbered, interventionist foreign policy.
First is an unnamed “new agency patterned after the…Office of Strategic Services,” the rambunctious, often out-of-control World War II-era covert-ops team. “A modern day OSS could draw together specialists in unconventional warfare; covert action operators; and experts in anthropology, advertising, and other relevant disciplines,” wrote McCain in Foreign Affairs. “Like the original OSS, this would be a small, nimble, can-do organization” that would “fight terrorist subversion [and] take risks.” It’s clear that McCain wants to set up an agency to conduct paramilitary operations, covert action and psy-ops.
This idea is McCain’s response to a longstanding critique of the CIA by neoconservatives such as Richard Perle, who have accused the agency of being “risk averse.” Since 2001 the CIA has engaged in a bitter battle with the White House and the Pentagon on issues that include the Iraq War and Iran’s nuclear weapons program. The agency lost a major skirmish with the creation of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, which put the White House more directly in charge of the intelligence community. And now McCain wants to put the final nail in the CIA’s coffin by creating a gung-ho operations force. Scheunemann, who credits Max Boot of the Council on Foreign Relations with the idea, says the new agency is urgently needed to “meet the threats of the twenty-first century in a time of war, much as the OSS was created in a time of war.” And he disparages the CIA as a bunch of has-beens. The new agency would eclipse “an organization created to meet the needs of the cold war and hang out in embassies and try to recruit a major or two or deal with walk-in defectors,” Scheunemann told The Nation.
a policy of “rollback” is straight outta the neocon playbook from the reagan years. what next? IRI w/ guns?
Posted by: b real | Mar 26 2008 16:58 utc | 42
didn’t get a chance to follow this story too closely, but the independent provides the sizzle
Revolution! Another coup in the world’s most unstable country
According to legend, the Comoros islands have always had an explosive history. Claire Soares reports on the latest eruption
Africa’s One-Day War had been coming for weeks. And just in case the renegade colonel digging in his heels on the remote Indian Ocean island was in any doubt, enemy helicopters skimmed the craggy peaks and lush forests on the eve of the assault, dropping leaflets warning of imminent military action. When the invasion was finally launched yesterday, resistance was paltry and within hours the rebel leader was on the run, reportedly disguised as a woman and trying to escape to sea in a small canoe.
It seems no plot is too crazy for the Comoros islands. This is, after all, a country that used to be a pirate haven; a country that has suffered some 20 coups or attempted coups in the past three decades; not to mention an archipelago that became the spiritual home of the mercenary widely believed to have provided the inspiration for Frederick Forsyth’s classic tale of guns for hire in Africa, The Dogs of War.
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This time around, it is the second biggest island, Anjouan, that is at the centre of the Comoros storm. Anjouan has been viewed as a renegade province for almost a year after the regional leaderCol Mohamed Bacar, who decided to forge ahead with a election last June– even though it had been been officially postponed — and declare himself the winner.
Ever since then he has been calling the shots, much to the annoyance of the Comoros President Ahmed Sambi, who some say delayed the 2007 poll in revenge for his plane being refused permission to land on the island during the election campaign.
Over the past month, troops from the incongruously titled National Development Army have been massing next door on the archipelago’s third island, Moheli, in a bid to smoke Col Bacar out of his hole and force him towards a diplomatic solution. Back-up arrived in the form of 1,300 soldiers from the African Union, which has a traditional aversion to any secessionist moves on a continent where the borders were drawn quite arbitrarily by the old colonial powers.
And still Col Bacar, a French-trained former gendarme and one-time coup leader, remained defiant. But yesterday Mr Sambi’s patience ran out.
i did catch comments elsewhere suggesting that the AU (under external influence?) wanted this opportunity to flex its muscles in order to add something positive to counter its weak reputation in the face of somalia, congo, darfur, etc…
and also saw these two items when they came out, but haven’t seen any followup in the coverage i’ve seen yesterday or yet today
reuters: US backs Comoros to end crisis by military force
(March 7) The United States will support any action by the government of Comoros to reunify the Indian Ocean islands, including military force which “now appears necessary”, a U.S. envoy said on Friday.
The central government led by President Ahmed Abdallah Mohamed Sambi is preparing an offensive to win back control of Anjouan island whose self-declared leader, Mohamed Bacar, has refused to step down since claiming victory in an illegal election last June.
“Given this implacability, the United States will now support any actions taken by President Sambi, AU (African Union) partners, or the international community to restore Comorian unity,” U.S. Ambassador Niels Marquardt said in a statement published by the state-owned weekly newspaper, Al-Watwan.
The envoy, based in Madagascar, said representatives from the AU, Senegal, France, the Arab League and the United States travelled to Comoros last month to present Bacar with a choice: accept free and fair elections or exile.
“Choosing neither option, Colonel Bacar alone must now accept full responsibility for the military conflict that now appears necessary to reunify the Union of the Comoros,” Marquardt added.
“His illegitimate hold on power and quest for personal gain will likely and unfortunately lead to bloodshed.”
A U.S. embassy official in Madagascar confirmed the comments.
irin: South Africa disappoints Comoros on the eve of military action
JOHANNESBURG, 14 March 2008 (IRIN) – The Comoros government has expressed “disappointment” with South African President Thabo Mbeki’s reported opposition to a military solution to end the standoff between the authorities on Anjouan and the other two islands in the Indian Ocean archipelago.
The crisis has been simmering since June 2007, when national elections were held. The Union government and the African Union (AU) postponed the poll on Anjouan, citing irregularities and intimidation in the run-up to voting, but Anjouan strongman Mohamed Bacar printed his own ballot papers, held an election and claimed a landslide victory.
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Mbeki reportedly told an international news agency on 12 March that Bacar had informed him in a letter he was ready to hold fresh elections as early as May this year.
“I think that this is really the way that we should go. I don’t think there is any need to do anything apart or additional to that,” Mbeki told the news agency at the end of an official visit to the Indian Ocean island of Mauritius.
In response to Mbeki’s remarks, Abdourahime Said Bakar, the Union government spokesman and Minister of Education, told IRIN: “We are a bit disappointed, since the AU has decided that there is no alternative but a military solution and South Africa has now decided to retreat.”
Bakar said there was international consensus that Mohamed Bacar was a rebel, so “how can you now say we can sit and talk with him … A few weeks ago he was offered a way out [during a meeting with international negotiators], and he refused. We will restore the authority of the Union government in Anjouan and then sit and talk after elections.”
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The AU has sanctioned military force to remove Bacar and a pan-african military force of about 2,000 soldiers comprising troops from the Comoros, Tanzania, Sudan and Senegal, with logistical support from Libya, has been gathering on Moheli, the island nearest Anjouan, for the expected sea and airborne assault.
The United States has also offered logistical and intelligence support.
Posted by: b real | Mar 26 2008 19:23 utc | 45
not seeing any more reports on the u.s. drone that went down in southern somalia outside of what i already posted in #60. a reuters article on somalia does mention it but then in the context of a propaganda op from the folks at the SITE institute — the same people who brought us that UBL video last sept before AQ even released it — to help sell the pretext for the u.s. being there:
A Somali jihadist group calling itself the Young Mujahideen Movement issued a Web message on Friday referring to a U.S. spy plane that “fell in the city of Merka” and threatening the United States, according to the SITE Institute, a U.S.-based monitoring service.
“We are preparing for America … what will make them forget the blessed attacks in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam,” the SITE Institute translation, monitored in London, said. It said the message was distributed by the Global Islamic Media Front.
gettlemen has another awful attempt at reportage up at the NYT, finally taking notice that Somalia’s Government Teeters on Collapse – something it’s been doing ever since it was created in kenya, actually – which i’m really only drawing attention to for the following ‘graf
Government officials say much of the resistance is simply spoilers who are deeply invested in the status quo of chaos, like gun runners, counterfeiters and importers of expired baby formula.[lol!]
But some of the men believed to be the biggest spoilers are part of the government. To get clan support and — just as crucially — more militiamen, transitional leaders have cut deals with warlords like Mohammed Dheere, now Mogadishu’s mayor, and Abdi Qeybdid, now the police chief. These are the same men whom the C.I.A. paid in 2006 to fight the Islamists, a strategy that backfired because the population turned against them, mostly because of their legacy of terrorizing civilians.
“cut deals with”
“now the”
those are more weasel words though, as the TFG itself is comprised of warlords — temp prez yusuf is a former warlord — and both dheere & qeybdid have been in their current positions since the TFG moved into mogadishu earlier in 2007, a story which i covered here. glad to see the NYT is on the ball 😉 otherwise, the article is pretty worthless outside of limiting the reader’s understanding of the real story in somalia.
for instance, gettleman writes:
By its own admission, the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia is on life support. When it took power here in the capital 15 months ago, backed by thousands of Ethiopian troops, it was widely hailed as the best chance in years to end Somalia’s ceaseless cycles of war and suffering.
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The Islamists have been gaining recruits, overrunning towns and becoming bolder. The new prime minister, credited as the government’s best — and possibly last — hope, is reaching out to them, and some are receptive. But it is unclear whether he has the power within his own divided government to strike a meaningful peace deal before it is too late.
The looming failure is making many people here and abroad question the strategy of installing the transitional government by force. In December 2006, Ethiopian troops, aided by American intelligence, ousted the Islamist administration that briefly controlled Mogadishu, bringing the transitional government to the city for the first time.
The Bush administration said it was concerned about terrorists using Somalia as a sanctuary. The hunt for them continued with a recent American cruise missile strike aimed at a suspect in southern Somalia, but it missed, and wounded several civilians and promptly incited protests.
most media reports, quoting local somali officials, put the casualties at 4-6 persons dead w/ a number of others wounded.
two human rights watch staffers also write only of the wounded in an los angeles times op-ed on friday, but, despite their fence-sitting stance on the legitimacy of state/int’l violence, at least they don’t play along w/ the lie that the TFG ever had a chance at establishing rule
Off-target: When missile strikes at alleged terrorists go awry, U.S. policy takes a hit
Fifteen months ago, the Bush administration supported a full-scale Ethiopian military offensive that ousted the ruling Islamist authority from Mogadishu and installed a weak but internationally backed transitional government. The intervention triggered a predictable insurgency by both Islamist militants and ordinary Somalis, who view Ethiopia as a historic foe.
Ethiopian and Somali troops together are fighting against a coalition of insurgents demanding Ethiopian withdrawal. The escalating conflict has killed thousands of Somali civilians and forced up to 700,000 people — 60% of the residents of Mogadishu — to flee the city. Insurgents, Ethiopian troops and Somali government forces have each committed serious crimes — mutilating captured soldiers, bombarding residential blocks and hospitals, and systematically looting homes, respectively.
The result? An unsurprising growth in anti-Western and anti-American sentiment among Somalis who never supported radical Islamist movements before. Fifteen months after the Ethiopian invasion, insurgents are gaining strength in Mogadishu and other areas of the country, capitalizing on the anger and resentment caused by these atrocities. Credible reports indicate that Islamist recruitment of Somali youth is growing, a backlash that will complicate U.S. counter-terrorism goals long into the future.
look, “counter-terrorism” is still terrorism. if they really wanted to address the causes of what the normal, thinking individual would consider terrorism, then there would be anti-terrorism goals. iow, this is intentional – create more conditions for the long war to guarantee an pretext for a multiplicity of “national interests.” why is that not obvious to journo’s, poli’s, and professional human rights workers?
Posted by: b real | Mar 29 2008 6:43 utc | 64
michael weinstein of (the late?) PINR has a new analysis up of the situation in somalia
Washington’s Disastrous Approach to Somalia
From the moment that Washington gave its blessings to and assisted the Ethiopian invasion and occupation of Somalia in the name of anti-terrorism, it both excluded itself from being a partner in nation building and insured that it would create the very “terrorist” movement that it was pledged to prevent. That judgment is not made from hindsight, but was expressed by a host of political leaders, journalists, analysts and Somali intellectuals from the outset, including the present writer. It was obvious that using an occupation force from a rival state to prop up a weak and divided transitional government that lacked legitimacy would cause Somalia to fragment politically and would spawn a liberation movement with an Islamic revolutionary component – just as happened in Iraq after the United States invaded and occupied that country.
By backing Addis Ababa, Washington could not play the role of honest broker and has since then simply dithered, allowing a catastrophe to unfold under the watchful eyes of the surveillance aircraft that it constantly flies over Somalia, one of which crashed at the end of March, documenting the practice conclusively. (The plane went down in the Lower Shabelle region, where Ethiopian forces were conducting search operations for “terrorist bases” – they failed to find any.
A brief sketch of Washington’s reported actions during March shows a scenario,
which – were it not so grim – could pass for a comedy of blunders.
weinstein gives the united states entirely too much benefit of the doubt at times
All of the events of March betoken ineptitude and confusion. Far from isolating the “terrorists,” Washington succeeded in increasing their prestige…
but his article will likely help to force more pressure on the u.s. & ethiopia from other actors.
today’s norway post announces
Norway reviews engagement in Somalia
Norway will no longer sponsor African nations who want to send troops to Somalia. At the same time Norway also withdraws from the International Contact Group on Somalia.
Norway has together with the US been co-chair of the Contact Group, which was established in 2006. Members are Italy, Sweden, Great Britain, Tanzania, the US, EU and Norway.
Norway has called a meeting of the Group at the end of April, and will there announce that it is turning the chair over to the UN Special Envoy to Somalia.
Undersecretary of State, Raymond Johansen says that Norway believes that the UN will be better able to achieve peace in Somalia, both because it has the means, and also because the Special Envoy has stronger ties to those involved in the conflict.
from what i’ve read, the contact group was created by the u.s. expressly to add the cloak of int’l legitimacy for the 2006 invasion & occupation of somalia.
the situation in somalia, from a humanitarian perspective, is increasingly getting bleaker as thousands are still fleeing every month from the capital mogadishu. last saturday, during the day, ethiopian & TFG forces shelled the bakara market killing & injuring unknown numbers of civilians after claiming to have taken fire from insurgents in the area. the biz owners in the market had just recently began employing their own security service to protect their businesses from looting by occupying forces. recall that it was also the biz owners who initially supported the islamic courts union in early 2006 to end the rule of the cia-backed warlords/terrorists.
ngo’s & human rights organizations are starting to put more pressure for something to be done
yesterday refugees international released a bulletin — Somalia: Proceed with Caution — which recommends, among others, that
The US Administration must condemn human rights violations committed by the Ethiopian forces. The US Congress should investigate the conditions under which military support was provided to Ethiopia, ensuring it adheres to the principles outlined under US law.
HRW, for instance, points out that
Since intervening in Somalia in support of the TFG in 2006, Ethiopian troops have violated fundamental provisions of international humanitarian law by failing to distinguish between civilians and military objectives. For example, Ethiopian troops repeatedly used “area bombardment” in populated urban areas in response to insurgent attacks. These indiscriminate attacks killed and wounded hundreds of civilians. Hospitals were deliberately targeted in some of the early offensives in March-April 2007. Ethiopian forces have also carried out targeted attacks on civilians, including killings of civilians by snipers and summary executions of individuals in their custody.
Since late 2007, when new Ethiopian troops were rotated into Mogadishu, reports of unlawful killings by Ethiopian and TFG troops in the context of house-to-house searches increased significantly. Several reports describe Ethiopian troops slitting the throats of victims, including, in one case reported to Human Rights Watch, that of a two-year-old child. Amnesty International has also collected many reports of killings conducted in this manner, which eyewitnesses described as “slaughtering like goats.” Looting of civilian property has also been reported in the context of these searches, which generally follow insurgent attacks in the neighborhood.
will the u.s. congress do anything about this? there are several that are in the pocket of meles zenawi’s lobbyists. congressman payne can only do so much. the state dept policy in the HOA is very clear about their protection of meles.
from march 14th,
U.S. Praises Ethiopia ‘s Peacekeeping Role on Continent
The United States on Thursday lauded Ethiopia’s role in peacekeeping efforts under the Afican Union and UN missions in Africa.
Briefing local press at his office here in Addis Ababa, US Ambassador spoke of Ethiopia’s contribution in peace efforts in Burundi, Liberia and Somalia and described troops there as the “most desciplined” troops in the continent.
…
[Ambassador] Yamamoto stressed that Ethiopia must continue to support the international community by contributing to peacekeeping missions despite heavy human and material costs, which the world must repay, in return.
…
The ambassador accused the international media of reducing US role in Africa as counter terrorism. He said about 90% of his governments’ activities were focusing on development issues including health, education and trade accros the continent.
The Ambassador pointed out that behind all US interventions in the country were the interest of the people and government of Ethiopia .
Ethiopia is a key US ally in the Horn of Africa region in the fight against terrorism.
Posted by: b real | Apr 1 2008 15:46 utc | 77
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