Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 2, 2008
Why are suicide attacks in Iraq increasing?

Suicide Bombing in Iraq continues unabated:

A suicide bombing Wednesday in the city of Baqouba killed seven people
and wounded 22, police said, while authorities increased the death toll
from a Baghdad suicide attack at a funeral the previous day to 36.

My impression is that the number of such bombings has increased. Below the fold I have collected news of recent suicide attacks in Iraq. The list is likely incomplete. There were at least 17 bombings in the last 30 days. The U.S. military has noticed this too:

Petraeus said the number of high-profile bombings, a trademark of Sunni
insurgents, had dropped 60% from a peak of more than 120 in March.

But suicide attacks using explosives vests and car bombs began to inch back up in November and December, the chart showed.

The wikipedia list
of suicide attacks in Iraq ends in October. There were more than one bombing every two days throughout 2007 except for October where only 11 are listed (October may be incomplete.)

The bombings are usually attributed to ‘Al Qaida in Iraq’. At the same time:

[A] spokesman for Iraq’s Interior Ministry said Saturday that U.S. and
Iraqi forces had destroyed 75% of the Al Qaeda in Iraq network

This begs some questions:

  1. If ‘Al Qaeda in Iraq’ is diminished, why is the number of suicide attacks constant or increasing?
  2. How effective are the ‘Concerned Citizens’ payed to fight ‘Al Qaida in Iraq’ really?
  3. Why is there (still) a constant stream of volunteers?
  4. Where are these from?
  5. What does this mean for the overall and future situation in Iraq?

I don’t have answers to these questions. Please let me know your ideas on this in the comments.

Wednesday, January 2, 2008:
Suicide bombing kills 7 north of Baghdad

The dead included a policeman and two members of a U.S.-backed armed volunteer group, the Brigades of 1920s Revolution, a police officer said.

Tuesday, January 1, 2007:
Suicide bomb at Baghdad funeral kills 32

In Tuesday’s bombing the east Baghdad neighborhood of Zayouna, a mixed Shiite and Sunni district, a man loaded with explosives walked into a funeral tent outside the home of Nabil Hussein Jassim, a retired army officer killed along with another 13 people in a car bombing in downtown Baghdad’s Tayaran Square on Friday.

Friday, December 28, 2007:
Car bomb hits busy Baghdad market

The attack took place in Tayaran Square, the scene of other deadly bomb attacks in the past two and a half years.

It lies in a predominantly Shia quarter of the city, which makes it the target of Sunni extremists.

Tuesday, December 25, 2007:
Two Bombings Kill At Least 26 in N. Iraq

The bombing in Baiji, near a checkpoint outside a two-story housing complex for oil industry employees, was the more devastating of the two attacks Tuesday. The complex was guarded by members of the Facilities Protection Service, part of the Interior Ministry, and members of the local Sunni volunteer security force, one of the many groups increasingly targeted by insurgents after joining forces with the U.S. military.

The second blast occurred about 11 a.m. in western Baqubah, in Diyala province. A suicide bomber blew up a vehicle amid a crowd of protesters following a funeral, …

According to Iraqi officials and residents of Baqubah, the funeral was for two members of the city’s Sunni volunteer force, former members of an insurgent group who had turned against al-Qaeda in Iraq and allied themselves with the U.S. military.

Monday, December 31, 2007:
Bomber at checkpoint in Iraq kills 12

In the most serious attack against one of the groups Monday, a suicide bomber drove a minibus rigged with explosives into a checkpoint in Tarmiyah, 30 miles north of Baghdad, police and a member of the local awakening council said.

Friday, December 25, 2007:
Suicide Bomber Kills 20, Wounds 80 in Iraq

A suicide bomber killed at least 20 people, injuring another 80, in the town of Baiji, 250 kilometres north of Iraqi capital Baghdad, the BBC reported on Tuesday.

The bomber detonated the charge when he was stopped by police and local militias in the town, but appears to have been targeting queuing to buy gas cylinders in a residential area, the BBC said.

The bomber detonated the charge when he was stopped by police and local militias in the town, but appears to have been targeting queuing to buy gas cylinders in a residential area, the BBC said.

Sunday, December 20, 2007:
Suicide bomber attack in Iraq kills 13

At least 13 Iraqi volunteer fighters, including a leader, were killed and eight wounded in a suicide attack in Baquba city, 60 km southeast of the Iraqi capital on Thursday, a medical source said.

The bomber blew himself up targeting a volunteer centre linked to local public committees in Baquba, according to the source.

Sunday,
December 20, 2007:
Suicide bomber attacks MND-N Soldiers, Iraqis (Diyala)

A Multi-National Division – North Soldier and five Iraqi civilians were killed from a suicide vest attack while conducting combat operations in the Diyala province Dec. 20.

Sunday,
December 20, 2007:
Suicide bomber kills 14 in Iraq

U.S. forces said the suicide bomber struck a foot patrol near a building where a city council meeting was to be held, killing one soldier and wounding 10. Iraqi police said the building was also being used to recruit volunteers for neighbourhood patrols, 13 of whom were killed and 10 wounded.

Tuesday, December 18, 2007:
Suicide bombing kills 10, wounds 24 in Diala

At least ten people were killed and 24 others wounded on Tuesday when a suicide bomber blew himself up amid a popular café in Diala, central Iraq, a security source said.

Saturday, December 15, 2007:
3 die in attacks on Iraqi volunteers

In northeast Baghdad’s Adhamiya neighborhood, a former Sunni insurgent stronghold, two volunteers died and 10 were injured when a bomb exploded next to their checkpoint.

Also Saturday, a suicide car bomber detonated his vehicle in Baghdad’s Bayaa neighborhood, killing one Iraqi civilian.

Tuesday, December 11, 2007:
Bomber targeting Iraq lawmakers kills 2

Two prominent Iraqi lawmakers, including a former prime minister, escaped assassination Tuesday when a suicide bomber blew himself up at a checkpoint near their offices here and killed two guards.

In addition, the United States announced that an American soldier had died of injuries suffered Monday in a suicide bombing. Two other service members were wounded in the attack.

Sunday, December 9, 2007:
Suicide Bombing Kills 8 In Northern Iraq Oil Town

A suicide bomber driving an explosives-laden truck attacked a police station north of Baghdad on Saturday, the latest in a week of bombings that have left 80 people dead.

The truck was allowed through the main gate of the complex in the town of Baiji after the driver told guards he was delivering sand to a construction site inside.

Saturday, December 8, 2007:
Suicide bomber kills at least seven

A SUICIDE truck bomber attacked a police station in one of Iraq’s major oil hubs in the north of the country yesterday, killing at least seven and injuring 13 in an area home to many refinery workers and engineers.

The attack in Beiji was at least the third deadly suicide attack in 24 hours in Iraq and came a day after a key oil pipeline in the city was struck by an insurgent bomb.

Friday, December 7, 2007:
Female suicide bomber kills 16 in Iraq

A female suicide bomber today killed 16 people in an attack north-east of Baghdad on former Sunni Arab insurgents who have turned against al-Qaida.


The building is used by members of the 1920 Revolutionary Brigades, some of whose members have begun working alongside security forces against al-Qaida.

Friday, December 7, 2007:
Attacks in Iraq Kill 25 People

The separate car bomb attack on the checkpoint in the restive city of Baquba killed seven Iraqi soldiers and three volunteers who had been working with American forces. Baquba was the scene of a suicide car bomb attack earlier this week that detonated at the entrance to a bus station and killed five people.

Tuesday, December 4, 2007:
Suicide bomber kills six in Iraq attack

A suicide bomber blew himself up at the gate of a police station northeast of Baghdad, killing at least six people, including five security personnel, police said Tuesday.

Police Colonel Ibrahim al-Obeidi from Baquba, capital of Diyala province, said the bomber attempted to enter the police station in the town of Jawalaa, 100 kilometres (60 miles) north of the city.

Comments

Aswat Al Iraq and this Reuters report say it was again a woman bomber. From the Reuters piece:

Strikes by female suicide bombers are comparatively rare but there have been several in recent weeks in Diyala, including one which killed 16 people on December 7 and another which wounded seven people at a police station in Baquba on New Year’s Eve.

I find this very significant, because I always thought the Iraqi resistance could only go so far without full range female involvement. The occupation gained critical time when their fundamentalist thugs shocked women into home confinement. Possibly that shock is wearing off now. I hope these incidents weren’t wholly religiously inspired.

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 2 2008 19:51 utc | 1

“Battlefield of the Mind”: U.S. Behavioral Specialists “Deprogram” programing Iraqi Prisoners? Perhaps?
I got a new tin hat for X-mass… it looks quite dashing on me.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 2 2008 20:22 utc | 2

My general suspicion follows this Reuters piece cited by Juan Cole:
‘BUHRIZ – Police arrested Thamir al-Akkash, a member of neighbourhood patrols in Diyala province, after they discovered he was still helping al Qaeda militants, Diyala police chief Major-General Ghanim al-Qureyshi said. Akkash was arrested in the town of Buhriz, 60 km (35 miles) northeast of Baghdad.’
Its not hard to imagine that the “awakening” program, from the Sunni resistance perspective, has been more about cutting back AQ’s overreach rather than eliminating them altogether. All the players I’m sure, are completely “awake” to how the program offers many opportunities to be exploited for their own benefit and are preforming as expected – but only to the extent their own needs are not compromised. So AQinM is rolled back more to its former function of all purpose car bomb retribution central and allowed to flourish in that role specifically. Eventually though, the U.S. will come to realize their new partners, like their old (Shiite) partners are willing to play only so far in their interest, and that happens to be for them a bridge too far. But, as long as the script writer is paying good money they will continue to mutter the lines under their breath, and not loud enough for anyone in the audience to actually hear.
Posted by: anna missed | Jan 2, 2008 3:20:37 PM | 1

[The above was on the save darfur thread – I repost it here and will delete the other comment. b.]

Posted by: b | Jan 2 2008 20:38 utc | 3

Don’t forget Omar Baghdadi’s special three-hits-each campaign against the apostates continues until Jan 29.

Posted by: Badger | Jan 2 2008 20:48 utc | 4

badger
that link does not work

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 2 2008 22:13 utc | 5

Don’t know why, but Badger’s #4 link just worked for me (in Massachusetts). Perhaps fixed by Bernhard? Thanks to b, to all, and to rgiap for many excellent posts. Have a survivable new year.

Posted by: plushtown | Jan 2 2008 22:26 utc | 6

corrected badgers link

Yes, badger – I knew I read that but couldn’t find it.

In other words, it is built right into Baghdadi’s reading of history that the primary targets of his “campaign” at the present time should be, not the occupier, but other Iraqis. Probably this is something to bear in mind when trying to figure out who he really is.

Bghdadi has some interesting speeches
The one you worked on was posted early December. Do you have a hunch when it was originaly posted, i.e. when did the campaign start?

Posted by: b | Jan 2 2008 22:32 utc | 7

From badgers post
Keeping the Sunni collective from the malice of the “Awakenings”,…
vs
From my post above
Part of the program will involve small detainee groups, possibly led by an Iraqi cleric and a behavioral scientist, “undergoing enlightenment, deprogramming and de-radicalization sessions” for six weeks.
Probably this is something to bear in mind when trying to figure out who he really is.
Perhaps we know who he is, if not at least we know the message they speak…
Get where I’m coming from?

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 2 2008 22:38 utc | 8

It was posted on the jihadi boards that week, Dec 3 or 4, I believe, that’s when he launched the campaign. (Already on Dec 9, Al-Hayat reporter was attributing the wave of suicide bombings to the Baghdadi speech).

Posted by: Badger | Jan 2 2008 22:49 utc | 9

Uncle, I didn’t get any hats this year, but I have a spare occam’s razor if you need one, if you catch my drift.

Posted by: Badger | Jan 2 2008 23:02 utc | 10

merci badger & b for this

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 2 2008 23:04 utc | 11

it is clear yet again – how manifestly mutliple are the ways that the american empire has underestimated iraq & its people
the suffering is largely felt only by the people of iraq but the consequences of the stupidity of the empire’s strategies collapse into one another like some tatty house of cards
what it tries to pretend to the world is a success is a failure almost beyond comprehension – it is like dunkirk happening daily at the interior of all & i mean all its policies
it would seem as opposed to all the other bankrupt empires that preceded it, the u s empire has only one talent – that of demolition
& from jerusalem to jakarta – that is exactly what they are doing – above all else – demolition

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 2 2008 23:36 utc | 12

i put up a post about it. i hate long cut n paste comments.
short version: can one make ‘sense’ out of an environment where chaos and corruption reign? seriously. think about it- if you could get a chunk of cash for ratting on your neighbor (and lie), would you? if there were few consequences, because your neighbor is a suspected ‘terrorist’ by the occupying forces due to his religion? how about all the lawless merc empires being carved out over there right now, with taxdollars and drug and prostitution money? i don’t try to make sense out of any ‘patterns’ in iraq, nor do i believe in “al qaida” as a significant force i have to worry about. or rather, i worry about theocrat-friendly dictators who kill free election advocates, and who have nukes in pakistan more. i trust what i read in the english lang american press even less than i do the american military.
we are barely holding on to some bases, and it’s not clear who is in control, ultimately, of oil production. there’s still plenty of killing left to happen; power hasn’t settled and too many groups are still fighting for it. it may be decades before “iraq” is a stable state, and then perhaps it will only be as it was pre-occupation, run by a strongman supported by an oil hungry state. like the political horserace here, i am not that interested in the daily tragedy in iraq. it’s cold, but until some things happen (things that will and must happen), i don’t consider the shape of iraq or its political landscape to be permanent. we’ll see who comes out on top. it likely won’t be the US.

Posted by: chicago dyke | Jan 2 2008 23:51 utc | 13

@ Badger # 10 & Uncle $cam #’s 2 & 8, Ockham’s razor cuts to this:
In any human organization, bowling team to Chamber of Commerce meeting to World Bank, those that pay the bills and provide the labor make the decisions, usually before the meeting or by following others’ lead during. This is not “conspiracy”, a tellingly tainted word that only means “breathing together”, but simply common business/human practice.
The money power pays for chaos as well as order, then invests in opportunities. Ever wonder who bought snuff films, by all accounts very pricey and viewed privately? Could only be those with the money.
David Berkowitz, Son of Sam, about 15 years ago said, yes, guilty, but not only one, that as member of The Process (4 godheads: Jehovah, Satan, Luficer, Jesus)he and they got income from snuff films and from folowing instructions to spread chaos.
(I saw Process members in Chicago Loop in 1971, dressed in 1 piece monk outfits {real ones have more pieces}, saw their godheads description, decided it meant anything goes, avoid. Was later told by sophomore that they had good parties but people disappeared. According to Berkowitz, they were active in NYC and LA in late 70’s, when he was a newsworthy vicious part.)

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 3 2008 0:31 utc | 14

sorry, #14 above was me.

Posted by: plushtown | Jan 3 2008 0:33 utc | 15

sorry, Lucifer, the most important from elite perspective. Here are cartoons using mainstream news quotes re
Bali 88/202 and London 7/7/05.

Posted by: plushtown | Jan 3 2008 0:43 utc | 16

Interesting observation on the Iraqi resistance and its global implications. LINK

Posted by: anna missed | Jan 3 2008 10:06 utc | 17

according to this NYT piece, the bombing of the “concerned citizens’ has some effect.

But Abu Talib, an Awakening Council leader in southern Baquba, the capital of Diyala, said that continued insurgent attacks and lukewarm support from the Iraqi security forces were alienating his followers and could potentially push them back into the insurgency.
“We have had many martyrs, but nobody cares about them,” he said. “There is no recruitment of the Awakening Councils into the Iraqi security forces, and this will destroy the security situation in Baquba, because we now protect most of the neighborhoods.”
Abu Talib said his followers remained the enemy of Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia, which he said had recently killed four of his leaders in Baquba. But he complained that government forces continued to attack and detain his members. “The Awakening Councils are the first line of defense for the Iraqi security forces,” he said. “If this line is destroyed, the security forces will face Al Qaeda alone.”

Posted by: b | Jan 3 2008 10:55 utc | 18

From anna missed @17 link

At the global level, a four-year American’s sinking in the Iraq-war, was a golden opportunity for China and Russia to be converted into super powers, and it was an opportunity for the socialists in Latin American to advance and seize the power in several countries known before as (the US backyard) at the expense of the interests of America itself, even in North America competition, Washington lost the war in all areas, except the military superiority, but you can not be a superpower dominating the world depending on your bully capabilities alone without economic, cultural and ideological success

We do not know when the Iraqi resistance will launch its second phase, but it will come in the future in the form of a popular revolution and the national anti-sectarian and stands against linking politics to religion and regional influence, especially Iran, and this revolution will shakes the American occupation and its influence in the region and the world.

Posted by: b | Jan 3 2008 11:07 utc | 19

The suicide bomb yesterday was against the “Awakening council”

Members of the Sunni security force said the blast killed one of their leaders, Abdul Rafia al-Nadawi, known as Abu Sajad, a lecturer in the education department at Diyala University.
Militiaman Ismael Talib, 35, said he saw a bearded man in black clothes jump atop the hood of the vehicle before setting off his bomb. “We expected this act because we decided to confront al-Qaeda,” Talib said. “We have lost more than 25 people from our group, as well as five leaders, in the fight against al-Qaeda.”

WaPo and NYT attribute these to the “Osama speech” a few days ago and don’t make the connection of a longer trend and Baghdadi’s speech. But the danger is understood.

Attacks last year by al-Qaeda in Iraq scared large numbers of policemen off the job in Diyala province. Similar large-scale desertions from militia forces could be a damaging blow to the U.S. military effort there.

Posted by: b | Jan 3 2008 11:25 utc | 20

clarification of some stuff i said last night at my place, b. thanks for dropping by.
question: who benefits from the destruction of the local militias such as ‘the awakening council?’

Posted by: chicago dyke | Jan 3 2008 11:40 utc | 21

i am sufficiently tired of the myth of a q
i think if they exist at all as a fighting force – which i strongly believe is not the case – they are little more than a sect – even in the areas where you would suppose – they are both extremely marginal & extrememly ineffective
the literature in english & french is clear – the surviving leadership of a q have a very poor history as far as being warriors go – ateef who died in tora bora was the only leader who possessed strategic sense in any military way
when i hear aq-in-iraq, or the north african wing or this or that filipino or indonesian franchise – it is entirely laughable – as if ubl has divisions hiding behind the koran. it is so clearly an untruth as to be almost appalling in its supposed presence wherever the state dept, the cia, or the pentagon want them to be
there is an imam here, an emir there – but there are no armies & there is not even sufficient persons to carry out military operations either in iraq or algeria for example
every target, & i mean every target since 2001 has been a soft target -easy work for a couple of disenfranchised hoods – even spain did not carry with it any envergure in its operation – bali & london – again offer more proof if proof is needed of the extremely schematic form these attacks come
perhaps there exists affinity groups – & that is about as far as i am prepared to go – not the sleepers mr rupert murdoch imagines in his syphlitic nightmares – if they are sleepers – then the mad doctors sriving their 4/4 in glsgow needed to sleep a little more
no, there is no international organisation as the americans want there to be – even in the high days of the comintern – they were barely capable of determining policy let alone military action – & this crude & vulgar islamist organisation led by a bent egyptian doctor & a millionaire engineer are not capable of anything other than the most crude – communications operations & that in & of itself is not such a sophisticated thing
it stretches credulity to believe they have any pull whatsoever in iraq today or in lebanon – as ‘thinkers’ perhaps they have had the capacity to mobilise people but there is sufficient day to day reality to incite even the most apolitical person to take on a military role in either iraq or lebanon
& it would seem that its ‘closest’ allies in the muslim brotherhood in egypt for exampl in the last 2 years have shifted qualitatively back to parliamentary politics
only in pakistan is it possible that a viable aq could be created but even there clan & tribal differences would soon marginalise a sect like aq

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 3 2008 18:32 utc | 22

Comrade R’giap, I strongly agree, here is what I suspect is AQ in Iraq.
Whether Al queda exists or not, pre 2001 and pre 2003 especially, the idea of resistance to a global corporate domination was both western and non western and there was a fair bit of exchange. Now do I think there are radicals in Iraq? Yes I do.
If the actual question doesn’t simply deal with the label of “Al Qaeda”, but rather with the reality of the existence of well-funded and often very well-trained paramilitary groups associated with militant forms of Sunni Muslim, primarily Wahhabist, religio-political ideologies that pursue the goals of jihad through acts of violence, terrorism and warfare- the answer is “yes” and “no” but we opened that door. In other words, as much as I believe Al qaeda to be a Western intelligence construct, it is also real, now. Real in the bifurcation of ANYONE that doesn’t fit our aims is Al queda and It refers to the perpetrators of any acts of terror or resistance to our plans. And there are more than likely also radicals of every ethnic stripe willing to take up the brand if it suits their goals.
Further, Jeff mills says, “the “War on Terror” is inflaming passions and creating flesh and blood enemies, which is precisely what the war-makers require for their generational game. They needn’t hoax the fact that millions of Brzezinski’s “stirred-up Muslims” want their heads. They just need good intelligence to keep the game on script.”
Just as the saying goes, ‘If there were not a God we would have to create him, so to we have to create a controlled enantiodromia, of opposites in a echo chamber feedback loop to justify our stay. If there were no Al qaeda we’d have to fund them…etc.. it’s mostly, a sciamachy. We created this sanguinivorous monster, …blood, oil, and soon water, there is no difference. Just as there is no difference in the choice of candidates outside of the Military industrial complex in post scarcity America.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 3 2008 19:07 utc | 23

with you, completely, uncle
there exists formations, perhaps affinity groups but whether they take commands from even a diffuse central organisation seems highly unlikely to me
but what is being created especially given the demographic of the world, especially of the arab world is that it is constructed primarily of youth who are now learning the lessons that this world will never forget
& it is in this sense that i understand imperialisms desire to undertake a war of anhilation – because every day this youth not only gets mobilised, organised but it becomes deeply educated in the ways of the empire
& given the fact that you have both an enormous reservoir of educated cadre – in fact a highly educated cadre – especially in the sciences – & a rank of file that permutates in so many ways that they can create endless organisations of resistance. & they are not the tamil tigers – i think their aim will be very focused
imperialsm has created the condition in which such forms of resistance to it are not lonly organic but necessary

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 3 2008 19:34 utc | 24

2007 was the worst year ever, for US troop deaths in Iraq, according to msnbc, etc.link
As for candidates for suicide bombing, these will not be hard to find. Particularly women, once the trend begins. Many women have lost everything (husbands, children, brothers, etc.), cannot find work, cannot live by begging, cannot emigrate, refuse to become prostitutes. The list of attacks from wiki (incomplete – it has 762 footnotes…They add: Note also that some attacks involve multiple simultaneous bombings) shows: 2004 = 140, 2005 = 478, 2006 = 297, 2007= 401.
Others give other numbers. NPR; 550 in 2007. McClatchy gives a breakdown of known nationalities for 124 of them in Iraq, mostly Saudi, it is from Hafez’s book on the topic. “Suicide attacks more than doubled each year from the U.S.-led invasion in 2003 to 2005, Pape said. In 2006, he said, they jumped just under a third. The American military has reported more than 1,400 since January 2004. Before the U.S.-led invasion, there had been no suicide bombings in Iraq.”mcC Also, Pape: “I have collected demographic data from around the world on the 462 suicide terrorists since 1980 who completed the mission, actually killed themselves. This information tells us that most are walk-in volunteers. Very few are criminals. Few are actually longtime members of a terrorist group. For most suicide terrorists, their first experience with violence is their very own suicide-terrorist attack.” american conservative
Al Q? I think not. (See r giap and Uncle). Progression? Yes. In violence, murder, civil deaths generally? Also.
Affinity groups – I’d even hedge that. And Al Q (or islamist fundamentalist groups) did not organise Bali and Madrid.

Posted by: Tangerine | Jan 4 2008 10:38 utc | 25

We haven’t been sticking to the timetable negotiated with the insurgents. Maybe now we’ll try a little harder

Posted by: alabama | Jan 5 2008 2:37 utc | 26

Al Qaeda video messages can now be downloaded to cell phones

Al-Qaeda video messages of Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahri can now be downloaded to cell phones, the terror network announced as part of its attempts to extend its influence.

You know, to serve terrorize you better?

Posted by: Ghost of Saddam Hussein | Jan 6 2008 11:52 utc | 27