Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 19, 2008
Open Thread 08-04

The "paper of record" wants you to know that an Inquiry Finds Power Failure in London Jumbo Jet Crash.

A ‘Jumbo Jet’ is a four-engine Boeing 747 while the plane that crashed in London was a twin-engine ‘Triple Seven’. A trivial mistake one may think but for the fact that the crash landing was likely a result of engine problems.

If the NYT gets even such banalities wrong, how about other stuff? Yes, a rhetorical question …

News accounts are often misleading – intentionally or by mistake – and one has to read from multiple sources to know what really happens.

In the last open thread Bea documents the Israeli attempts to derail the current ‘peace process’. b real keeps watch on AFRICOM and on the aftermath of the Coup in Kenya.

Please help their efforts and contribute your news & views here.

This is an open thread.

Comments

The situation in Basra had been visibly building up for some days. And now, this:
Casualties from Basra clashes reach 314

Some 97 civilians, security forces and gunmen were killed and 217 others wounded in clashes that erupted in central Basra between gunmen the extremist Shiite organization Soldiers of Heaven and security forces in the province, a high-level security official in the Basra intelligence department said on Saturday.

97 killed. That’s not ‘clashes’, that’s a battle if you ask me. There is more, too.

Friday’s clashes coincided with others in al-Nassiriya city, southern Iraq, between an ultra-religious group calling itself Ansar Ahmad al-Yamani, or Supporters of Ahmad al-Yamani, and security forces. The clashes left 150 people, including a number of security commanders, killed or wounded.

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 19 2008 16:27 utc | 1

Reidar Visser has a new essay up. Very timely.
Ashura, 1429/2008: Iraq’s Shiites between Sectarianism, Iraqi Nationalism, and Mahdism

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 19 2008 17:18 utc | 2

Seven Questions: The De-Bremerification of Iraq
Interview with a collaborator – Amb. Feisal al-Istrabadi, one of the “founding fathers” of the new Iraq – but more readable than most other similar material.

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 19 2008 17:22 utc | 3

Franklin Lamb: Bombing at Qarantina ~ What was the message of the recent bombing of a US Embassy vehicle in Lebanon?

….But this bombing seems different [from others in Lebanon] somehow.
It is doubtful that it was a failed attempt to assassinate Ambassador Feltman. Had they targeted him it is likely the Ambassador would be dead.
Murderous as it turned out to be for those killed and wounded, and while all terrorist acts are fundamentally designed as means of communication, the Qarantina blast, using 33 lbs. of high explosive is meant to tell the Bush administration something. Specifically that the Bush Administration is widely viewed in Lebanon and the Middle East, and increasingly in America itself, as a criminal regime, and that it must depart Lebanon post haste.
The Qarantina blast is advising Bush and Rice to expedite US Ambassador Feltman’s long delayed and overdue departure and send a helicopter if necessary to get him to Cyprus for a plane back to Washington. Don’t even use Lebanon’s airport.
The message is also that if Bush and/or Israel act on their plans to attack Iran or Lebanon or Syria, the Embassy should be closed sooner rather than destroyed later. Few in Lebanon doubt that if Israel or the Bush administration bomb Iran that the American University of Beirut, bombed in 1991, and other US Rumsfeldian ‘legitimate targets of opportunity’ will be attacked….
Despite Ms. Rice’s tough talk from a Saudi Palace that: “The United States will, of course, not be deterred in its efforts to help the Lebanese people, to help the democratic forces in Lebanon resist interference in their affairs,” the Embassy closure may be imminent with a possible reopening with the new US administration.
For many in Lebanon, the American Embassy under the Bush dministration has become an Israel Embassy in the way that John Bolton became a second Israeli UN Ambassador. Once an Embassy joins one side in an internal conflict as it did in 1982 it loses its diplomatic status and under international can be targeted if is a participant in hostilities against the Country.
What little credibility the Bush administration had, was lost when it intensified the US record of facilitating Israel’s destruction of Lebanon, a string of five wars armed and funded, largely unknowingly, by American taxpayers and without their consent during 1978, 1982, 1993, 1996 and 2006. The Bush performance this week in occupied Palestine erases any doubt about its objectivity.
Few in Lebanon, Palestine, or the wider Middle East take Bush for anything more than a dangerous zealot in the service of Israel, not America. American citizens have no problem with Arabs and Muslims and they are realizing that Bush/Cheney has created fear to facilitate Israeli aggression.
The Arabs, indeed the World realize that Bush and Rice’s latest Middle East trip was merely a futile fantasy tour and will achieve nothing to resolve the Question of Palestine, the central cause of the conflict in the Middle East. Which of course is the whole idea.
Any rationale that the American Embassy is dong legitimate work for American citizens here and should remain in Lebanon was severely weakened during the July 2006 war, when Embassy staff stiffed US citizens and left them stranded and in mortal danger in Tyre. This occurred when the Embassy cancelled a rescue Ship because of Israeli attacks near the Port of Tyre, and ordered Embassy staff not to take the US citizen telephone calls because it might “tie up our lines”.
“Just drive to Beirut for Christ’s sake” ‘asc # 1’ (American Service Center employee number on– US Embassy consular staff can’t use real name anymore for their own security) advised some American citizens who did manage to get through by phone. Apparently blivious to the fact that Israel was bombing any vehicle that moved south of the Litani River with weapons paid for by the same frantic and desperate US citizens. Anger is still intense in Lebanon and the States over these callous breaches of diplomatic responsibility and national duty.
The Bush administration’s intense and continuing interference in Lebanon’s internal affairs rendered it guiltier of doing what it claims others are doing. Many of Lebanon’s political leaders have asked it to stop. It ignores these calls and sends instead a parade of Welch Club adherents including David Welch, John Burns, Eliot Abrams and others on almost weekly visits with more orders, commands, and threats.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 17:33 utc | 4

Turning to that other front where the industrial world *may* get to pay the price for its cannibalistic policies… From the Independent’s business editor:
The week the economy turned nasty

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 19 2008 17:34 utc | 5

West Bank Bantustan
One perspective on the upsurge in violence in Palestine this week.
~Snip:

The IDF operations and rocket attacks are indeed linked to the so-called peace process, but not in the way that most have suggested. One cannot divorce events in Gaza and Sderot from the Annapolis agenda since, in fact, far from being a threatening interruption to Olmert-Abbas talks, the violence is sadly a natural extension of Roadmap logic.
First, let us remember the context for Israel’s self-declared “disengagement” from the Gaza Strip in 2005. The spectacle of Israeli soldiers dragging away screaming settlers, an image which apparently symbolised the rift in Israeli society between those willing to compromise and the religious extremists, was a useful smokescreen for the openly-stated motivations for the redeployment. From then prime minister, Ariel Sharon, to veteran statesmen like Shimon Peres and US negotiator Dennis Ross, it was explained that disengagement was about demographics, the term preferred in polite conversation for the reality that Palestinians are considered a strategic threat on account of their race.
As Sharon’s advisor, Dov Weisglass, made clear, disengagement was all about putting the peace process in “formaldehyde”. Talking to Ha’aretz newspaper, Weisglass boasted how disengagement legitimised “our contention that there is no negotiating with the Palestinians”, and moreover:
“… in regard to the large settlement blocs, thanks to the disengagement plan, we have in our hands a first-ever American statement that they will be part of Israel … Sharon can tell the leaders of the settlers that he is evacuating 10,000 settlers and in the future he will be compelled to evacuate another 10,000, but he is strengthening the other 200,000, strengthening their hold in the soil.”
The acknowledgement that there would have to be a future token removal of settlers in the West Bank brings us right up to date with post-Annapolis theatrics, as Bush hurried to Israel urging Olmert to get serious about those hill top trailer outposts. While in Jerusalem, the US president outlined his two-state vision that unites everyone from the Israeli political establishment and Abbas’s clique, to Blair and western liberals. Broadly speaking, it means recognition of Israeli West Bank colonisation, the preservation of Israel’s right to discriminate against non-Jews, and the creation of more sealed-off, “autonomous” Palestinian homelands.
It is a recipe for the creation of more, post-disengagement “Gazas”. Proposals such as those made by former IDF deputy chief of staff and advisor to Barak and Sharon, Uzi Dayan, call for a West Bank “disengagement” to protect Israel’s “Jewish-democratic character”. It’s the same “more land, fewer Arabs” mantra and, as Dayan’s map shows, it means unilateral Israeli annexation of huge chunks of the West Bank and the creation of Palestinian bantustans.

Please do take a good look at the map. It tells the whole story, except perhaps that it doesn’t show where areas containing water happen to fall, or where the areas of most fertile land lie. If those were included, I believe it would show that they have been excised out of the former West Bank and marked for Jewish control.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 17:45 utc | 6

That 777 crash-landing-power-failure-short-of-runway was a model for Boeing itself.
Their 787 is now delayed … again … lending more credence to insider reports that
BA composite matrix design is flawed in concept & fabrication … and may never fly.
More … BA’s significant aerospace defense (sic) hedge on commercial aviation is in
risk of a deep roll-back as US economy comes to a standstill and tax revenues slump.
Boeing is near completion of multi-year production contracts to design, build and
deliver 190 C-17s to the U.S.A.F. through mid-2009. Then that $1B KC-767 dropout.
DoD revenue stream was programmed into BA’s 787 development plan … now it’s soft.
Tapped out, even with UK’s four C-17 order bumping to five, then six in September,
thx2 Sr. Robin Philip, CD, Defence Equipment & Support for UK Ministry of Defence.
This along the same lines as BA’s pals frequently, “negotiating a job with Boeing at
the same time (s)he.mil was involved in awarding DoD contracts with the (BA) company.”
(so RP gets BA:UK EXEC?) Ergo, a “hard landing”, one a “little short of the runway”.
National security digression … Boeing may be hacking its hiring policy to bring in
cheaper H1-B’s and offset deficits. BA advertises defense jobs, they notify many US
candidates they’ve ‘been selected for interview’ … but when the US noticees go to
BA’s HR site to update their resume, they’re cookie-404’d. “HR having difficulties.”
HR won’t take any e-mail attachments, the promised interviewee notice is never sent,
BA can show to DHS/INS, “Hey, we tried. Nobody wanted the job. Let’s hire an H1-B.”
(but nobody’s watching, not even the hard-line anti-immigration pol’s, only MX:C.A.)
You can’t make this schtuff up. It takes a huge dollup of moral decrepitude by 7&7.
US is still the Greatest Country on Earth(TM), home of the set-free, landless slave.

Posted by: Polly Androus | Jan 19 2008 17:52 utc | 7

Inside the Ruins of Nahr al-Bared ~ Slide show

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 18:06 utc | 8

More Photos of Nahr al-Bared ~ by Marcy Newman

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 18:17 utc | 9

Meron Benvenisti: The march of cynics
An incisive and biting commentary on the hypocrisy of Bush, Olmert, and Abbas during the recent Bush visit to Israel/Palestine. Recommended.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 18:21 utc | 10

comrades, friends
i am sorry i have not been able to offer much in these last months other than my mostly melancholic meditations. what copeland has written – i also feel – even when i ultimately have faith in both the people & the mechanisms of history
i read everything here – both out of necessity & of love
that pulpy mass i can pick up or watch on this or that day – & whether the medium is supposedly ‘left’ or ‘right’ – it is guaranteed that i will :
a) read another demonisation of president chavez – whether it is that he subsidises his people, or he subsidises other people, whether he is a secret member of farc or a lover of naomi cambell – on & on their banalities are rolled out
b) i will see the anhilation of the palestinian people decribed as an equable response by israel – especially by that psychopath regev or his phallus parlant – wolf blitzer
c) i will witness the complete disasters of afghanistan & iraq described as victories – when even the blindest of their number must see the defeat of the empire before their eyes
d) i will observe functionaries of this or that western govt shitting their pants while they watch their stockmarkets tumble to kindom come while some of their number will profit well from the parlous circumstances of capital
e) i will witness this or that functionary speak most loftily of the gifts of democracy – when what even the blindest of us see is complete & utter disaster
f) i will watch crowds of commentators, pundits & thickheads on this or that piece of shit television reveal nothing other than their sordid prejudice & their appalling misunderstaning of their own circumstance & complet & utter lack of comprehension of what is happening in the world, especially their world
in brief, everything to make my organic & self evident melancholy – merge into misery
a misery manufactured completely by capital

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 19 2008 18:27 utc | 11

You can watch the notorious Bush “checkpoint gaffe” referred to in Benvenisti’s commentary in #10 right here. A stunning and fairly unforgettable display of classic Shrub crass insensitivity.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 19 2008 18:33 utc | 12

for bea

Posted by: annie | Jan 19 2008 18:46 utc | 13

& if i am to be fully frank – i hope that with the economic meltdown in what is called the ‘first world’ – that those beneficiaries of the despair of the majority of ‘others’ commence tasting just a little bit of that misery
a dictum goes that a baton across the head by a cop teaches more about the state than twenty paperbacks
i read in something today, perhaps english, perhaps australian – i read so many that they appear like vomit sometimes – that australia was happy with its ‘new’ relationship with india would “cushion” it against the current crisis of capitalism. what kind of deviant scum of a ‘journalist’ can look to the poor of india to soften the blow of capital’s ferocity. these so called scribblers are really beneath contempt – they dine easily at the table of the devil – while weeping out of their windows worrying that they will soon become like the people they hate & prove that with every editorial they write – they do not want to become ‘them’ – they are so happy to be moneyed puppets – what we call here – pantins
at least murdoch – monstrous as he is – demystifies the relationship between him & his employees – he has called them it often enough – whores – cheap trick ones at that
& tonight we hear them weeping – knowing in what is left of their bought up ‘hearts’ – that the boyking cannot save them with economic policies so crude – they could have thought them up between puking in the toilets at the new school of research in new york
no, tonight we hear them hysteric – knowing the “folks” or the “guys” at the “fed” are as fucked up as they are – & do not have a clue – witness what passed for a presss conference with bush & the ‘economic planners’ & you could smell shit thousands of miles away under their nervous & harried smiles
no, it is clear – the class war will continue unabated with costs that even that old reaganite economic planner paul craig roberts – witnesses through the veil of his tears

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 19 2008 21:17 utc | 14

Following Bea’s link @ 10, I see this on the right hand column:
Canada takes close allies U.S., Israel off torture watchlist
That’s much better. It will be better still if Canada realizes that as of now they have no moral authority to be pompously drawing up a Torture Watchlist, unless “watch” in their parlance means “be a spectator of”.

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 19 2008 22:45 utc | 15

Couldn’t bury it much deeper could they?
Buried on p A12 of the Sat NYT, under “National Briefing”, a collection of AP stories of crime, murder and untimely death around the US, in the very last clip, headed merely “Former Secretary on Waterboarding.”
It seems that the original Sect of Homeland Security, Tom Ridge, states unequivocally that “under any set of rules, … waterboarding was, is, and will always be torture.”
Why did they feel compelled to report it at all? What goes through the minds of NYT editors?

Posted by: small coke | Jan 19 2008 23:08 utc | 16

My view is that all are fantastic, drinks all round! I admire in particular the dedication, because we can’t all be dedicated everywhere, we have our own focus–and to keep focus we have to keep looking and then–if we have any–publishing our results, and moonofalabama is results central, in many fields.
Any news story, I’ll expect the whisky bar to be first in helping me understand what’s going on, and I think that’s true of many–and the help is active, necessary work well done, and human with all human traits but I suppose justice & compassion fighting…is the computernet going to be the next wave of intellectual development–is it already being–and what does that mean for those who don’t have access, or don’t want access–I’m thinking of Rupert Murdoch and any other powerful person who is also cruel enough and selfish enough to hit me on the head while asking for money–is there a way back into the papers? Are papers still valid? I don’t read any, but I listen to the radio, and parts of the radio are valid–and growing, I think (I hope!) But the printed press–are there none of the floating dollars that want to invest in a new form of on-paper-or-other-non-electric-substance communication that explicitly proposes itself to people en masse–people still read the Sun! And maybe as internet sales rise, the Sun sinks, but Rupert owns the right internet sites so he’s still quids in maybe…but the internet is big and there are your mates sending you links to other sites (you’re on the net)…
So the net destabilises, but maybe printed sheets can stabilise? Because they’re more open to public scrutiny? A decent paper filled only with decently written stories that are only ideological in the profound sense of; “We are telling you the truth and trying to keep you entertained, or vice versa, but never trying to tell you lies or keep you uninformed”
…for now, all of you, errr….this is a whisky bar right, okay, whiskies all round, however they want them, mine’s a whisky mac but then when I stand up…ach….fresh air!
(But that’s just when someone else walks into the bar, catches the conversation and WHAM! YES! Which was me before the ultimate–for that evening–whisky mac, maybe beer chasers, and some tea!)
William Gladstone – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

As Chancellor, Gladstone made a speech at Newcastle on 7 October 1862 in which he supported the independence of the Confederate States of America in the American Civil War, claiming that Jefferson Davis had “made a nation”. Great Britain was officially neutral at the time, and Gladstone later regretted the Newcastle speech. In May 1864 Gladstone said that he saw no reason in principle why all mentally able men could not be enfranchised, but admitted that this would only come about once the working-classes themselves showed more interest in the subject. Queen Victoria was not pleased with this statement, and an outraged Palmerston considered it seditious incitement to agitation.

Posted by: Argh | Jan 20 2008 0:45 utc | 17

R’giap, It must be said again, I so love your passionate writings, and comments, because, I very much resonate with it..
Steel…

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 20 2008 2:45 utc | 18

r’giap: you used to be much more eloquent and literary … that’s taken a bitter edge.
Say, maybe one more for the gipper, a few paragraphs about something you dearly love?
Perhap … name at birth: Lhama Dhondrub
Born to a peasant family in northeastern Tibet, Lhama Dhondrub was soon recognized
as the 14th Dalai Lama (Mongolian for “Ocean of Wisdom”).
Be that ocean. The tide flows in, and the tide ebbs out. We’re all a long time dead.

Posted by: Peris Troika | Jan 20 2008 3:15 utc | 19

The Official Story Unfolds
A useful summary of the CIA tapes scandal thus far, by Scott Horton of Harper’s.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 20 2008 4:04 utc | 20

NY Review of Books: As the Iraqis See It
Recommended.

Posted by: Bea | Jan 20 2008 5:21 utc | 21

These might be useful pages for a bit.
Results of the 2008 Democratic presidential primaries
Results of the 2008 Republican presidential primaries
Paul seems to have done better in Nevada than John McCain, but don’t expect that to get a lot of press.

Posted by: Monolycus | Jan 20 2008 8:06 utc | 22

Because I’m still pissed off about RealID (and fascist nannies like Chertoff in general), I’ll link to this article: Analysis: Metcalfe’s Law + Real ID = more crime, less safety.
The crux of what this article states should be obvious. A centralized database of this sort makes us less secure NOT because we expect more criminals to suddenly arise out of the woodwork to take advantage of it, but because it would only take ONE unscrupulous and well-placed individual to catastrophically compromise it. This makes it fairly statistically inevitable that it WILL BE comprised.
I’m often dismissed as a tinfoil hat wearing paranoic (not here) when I voice my concern over these kinds of issues. The two arguments that are primarily tossed at me are that these things require the complicity of a large number of people and that a large number of people could not possibly keep a secret (I reject both halves of this premise; most things do not require the full knowledge of all personnel, and more importantly, there HAVE been whistleblowers who end up being legally gagged) or that I am giving the feds too much credit for being competent (I get tired of how we refer to people who have gotten EVERY SINGLE THING they want post-Nixon administration as “buffoons”. Doesn’t speak well for progressives if the opposition really are as stupid as we say they are).
The same kinds of people who imagine that the entire Islamic world is plotting against them and that this sea of terrorists is being directed by a supervillian who has eluded authorities since 2001 by living in a cave accuse me of being paranoid and unrealistic because I can not imagine hordes of Islamic terrorists hiding under my bed, but I CAN imagine a single malicious individual compromising a treasure trove like the RealID database.
Maybe I AM paranoid. Maybe there are no “bad apples” amongst the six and a half billion people roaming the planet that would abuse this collected data. Maybe everyone in the world is a nice, responsible person who respects the privacy and liberty of all of their fellows after all. It’s not like there’s any kind of precedent for this sort of thing.

Posted by: Monolycus | Jan 20 2008 9:55 utc | 23

Elaine asks a question. Any thoughts about WWIII?

The logic of lending is such that it doesn’t merely build commerce or infrastructure, it builds wars. And the biggest spenders who ask the fewest questions are governments off on looting expeditions. The US, for example, is on such an expedition. Instead of doing it on the cheap, we are doing it the most expensive way possible. We are ringing up gigantic debts with the private bankers to pay for all this! This is what the ‘budget deficit’ is all about: not welfare or school money or paying for retirement. The creatures who lend money for wars all want us to think we are spending too much on retirement or teaching our children or protecting babies. But NEVER do they EVER mention cutting the funds flowing into wars that are all about stealing stuff from foreigners who don’t have nuclear bombs!
Indeed, right now, Social Security pays for these wars. The money is being surrendered to the international bankers and to the Chinese and Arabs who buy our government debt. Social Security is one of the very, very few systems taking in more than it spends. The military spends and brings in very little. Since it is costing us many lives as well as several billion a week to occupy Iraq, all these billions are in the form of IOUs to bankers in foreign lands. And this is a gusher of money flowing out of the US along with the trade deficit which, together, equals about a trillion a year. We have to go on some military adventure where the bankers are to get this money back. Since this is much of the world, it means WWIII, doesn’t it?

Posted by: DM | Jan 20 2008 10:01 utc | 24

bloody global warming !

Posted by: DM | Jan 20 2008 11:23 utc | 25

“I have had no electricity for a week, and I cannot afford to buy it from neighborhood generators,” said Hamdiyah Subeih, a 42-year-old homemaker from Baghdad’s Shiite Baladiyat district. “I would rather live in Saddam Hussein’s hell than the paradise of these new leaders.”
Good work, America. AP Source

Posted by: DM | Jan 20 2008 12:00 utc | 26

Col. Tad Lawson: One thing about Americans, we’re not cut out to be occupiers. We’re new at it and not very good at it. ~Judgment at Nuremberg (1961)

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 20 2008 12:41 utc | 27

re #26 , Col. Tad Lawson, yes, played by Richard Widmark, can hear him now – intense and to the point, no matter whose head it may be on. Thanks Uncle, Montana’s a good place to be. Also thanks to DM, #’s 23 & 24, for links to Elaine Supkis, who pays attention to geology as well as to banking triumphs, (and sensibly lives inland and up), and to midwest weather, the result of deliberately helped climate changes so soothingly called “global warming”. (by the way, notice that a group in New Jersey is pushing massive tree planting, obviously sensible and good for economies, but that the major “environmentalists”, bought by the same money power as rents us all, never have?) (sorry, can’t find link to tree pluggers right now, they had advertised on NY Times linked Dot Earth)
WWIII? Maybe, depending mostly on Putin’s actions,but I expect some fast invasions after the coasts go, genetically focused biologicals to kill lots of Asians in China and kind-of-Russia, (Japanese, Koreans, and much of South Asia will drown/be crushed before)and out-of-town police actions (then control) worldwide. A cowardly new world, with no “entitlements” whatsoever.
Epicenters all over the place.
Davos (Switzerland) conference starts Wednesday, but some key members are in Saudi Arabia that first day. Don’t know why.

Posted by: plushtown | Jan 20 2008 14:50 utc | 28

The Navy, SecDef Gates primary tool, is again reigning in the warmongerers:

The U.S. military said Sunday that attacks in Iraq linked to Iranian explosive devices have fallen off in recent days after a sharp increase earlier in the month, and that the overall flow of weaponry from Iran has dropped.
The roadside bombs, known as EFPs, are armor-piercing explosives that have killed hundreds of U.S. soldiers in Iraq. U.S. military officials have been saying for months that Iran, a Shiite country, has been supplying EFPs to Shiite militias in Iraq, despite strong denials by Tehran.
“The number of signature weapons that had come from Iran and had been used against coalition and Iraqi forces are down dramatically except for this short uptick in the EPFs in the early part of January,” military spokesman Rear Adm. Gregory Smith told a news conference.
“It’s uncertain again what is happening in Iran that’s leading to that occurrence,” Smith said. He added, however, that “we don’t think that the level of training has been reduced at all, we don’t believe that the level of financing has been reduced.”
He said the U.S. is trying to understand the various ways in which Iran exerts influence inside Iraq, including training of and financial support to militias as well as the smuggling of weapons.
Smith’s remarks came a week after the top U.S. commander in Iraq, Gen. David Petraeus, said EFP attacks had risen by a factor of two or three recently.

Mullan, Fallon, Smith … Gates has put a lot of Admirals into high positions … haven’t seen any media to pick up on that … there’s a good story behind this …

Posted by: b | Jan 20 2008 14:57 utc | 29

DM # 23, it is only a World War if fleets of bomber planes visit first world countries at home – not likely. Will you settle for ‘hardships’ instead?
U.S. soldiers and shoppers hit the wall

Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have pushed the U.S. armed forces to the limit. Many soldiers have scarcely seen their families in recent years. But a much larger American army, the one that’s spent this century shopping, is even more overextended and its pain is now coming home to roost.
(snip)
Think of it as getting the sacrifice of U.S. soldiers and the obliviousness of U.S. shoppers a little more in sync. The non-relation between expensive wars and exempt non-warriors, a mirage Bush has fostered, has become unsustainable.
(snip)

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 20 2008 17:03 utc | 30

DOug Noland, who was right all along on the credit mess about the http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/CreditBubbleBulletinHome“>Daisy Chain:

The financial crisis took another giant leap this week. Credit insurer (“financial guarantor”) Ambac lost its AAA rating (from Fitch), in what will mark the onset of a devastating run of downgrades for the likes of Ambac, MBIA and the entire industry. The “monoline” insurance business, as we’ve known it, is done and the value of the insurance they’re written is evaporating by the day.

Virtually all the major financial players are embroiled in this Systemic Credit Fiasco. Importantly, the mind-blowing demise of the “financial guarantors” is fomenting a crisis of confidence in Credit insurance in all its various forms (certainly including the Credit default swap (CDS) and MBS guarantee markets). According to Bloomberg news, $2.4 TN of securities are at risk to the financial guarantor industry downgrades. I’m assuming that our policymakers will attempt to throw together some type of industry recapitalization strategy, although the complexity of the issue leaves one perplexed as to how any bailout plan would be structured. I suspect that our federal government will eventually be forced to enter the “financial guarantee” business, at least to the point of assuming the obligations of municipal bond (from the “monolines”) and mortgage-backed securities (from the GSEs) insurance.
The Credit system is today an incredible mess. Literally Trillions of securities, previously valued in the marketplace based upon confidence in the underlying financial guarantees, are now suspect. This has severely impacted marketplace liquidity. And perhaps tens of Trillions of Credit and other derivative contracts are now subject to very serious counterparty issues. Many players throughout the Credit market are now severely impaired and have lost the capacity to hedge against/mitigate further losses.

Leveraged speculator dynamics in concert with a Bursting Credit Bubble now places enormous stains on the stock market. Not only have faltering Credit Availability and Credit Marketplace Liquidity dramatically diminished the prospects for companies, industries and the general economy. Limited liquidity in the Credit market has also created a backdrop where those seeking to hedge (or profit from) heightened systemic risks have few places to go for relatively liquid trading outside selling stocks and equity index products. And sinking stock prices further aggravates the unfolding Corporate Credit Crisis, fostering only greater systemic stress and greater selling pressure. “Contemporary finance” is being exposed as a daisy-chain of interrelated weak underlying structures, unrecognized risks and acute fragilities.

You ain’t seen nothing yet …

Posted by: b | Jan 20 2008 18:11 utc | 31

Sole Gaza power plant closes amid Israel lockdown
Lockdown??? Collective punishment … warcrime …

Gaza’s only power plant shut down for lack of fuel on Sunday as Israel kept up a blockade of the Hamas-run territory in retaliation for rocket fire, despite warnings of the humanitarian impact.
The closure of the plant, which accounts for 30 percent of the population’s needs, was set to sharply worsen power cuts already hitting the impoverished coastal strip.

“We have had to close the power plant for want of fuel,” its director Rafiq Mliha told reporters.
“This closure is going to have very serious consequences for residents, but also for the operation of hospitals and water treatment plants.”

“This is a very fragile system that is suffering from seven months of closure and every additional blow is reverberating throughout hospitals, water wells and homes in Gaza,” said Sari Bashi, director of the Israeli human rights watchdog GISHA.
The UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine refugees (UNRWA) warned that the shutdown of the power plant would have “a devastating impact.”
“Depriving people of such basics as water is tantamount to depriving them of human dignity,” UNRWA spokesman Christopher Gunness said.
“It is difficult to understand the logic of making hundreds of thousands of people suffer quite needlessly.”

“We are targeting the terror elements and we are trying to show the international community that we are exhausting all possible options before Israel decides on a broad (military) operation,” a senior government official quoted him as saying.
Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri said the new measures amounted to a “death sentence” for the territory and called for international intervention.
“Closing the crossings into the Gaza Strip and stopping fuel shipments, alongside the continuation of the criminal killings, represents a death sentence and a slow death for the Palestinian people,” he told AFP.
“We consider this crisis to be a violation of international law. The occupation must provide for the basic needs of the Palestinian people.”

Posted by: b | Jan 20 2008 19:32 utc | 32

Sunday alternative to NYT anyone?
Anyone who is fed up w/the Global Warming is the problem bs, may find this site refreshing. At least they realize we’ve exhausted the carrying capacity of the earth, though they don’t realize Patriarchy, w/it’s insistence upon separation of humans from one another & from the earth is the root of the problem. Nevertheless, it’s a step forward:
Civilisation as we know it will no longer exist within 30 years. This bleak conclusion is not one I have arrived at lightly. However, wherever I look the evidence suggests that we are heading towards a major ecological breakdown which the majority of us are unlikely to survive. A number of critical environmental problems are coming to a head and the fall out from these will dwarf any attempts we can make to tackle them. If the pitiful attempts that have been made so far to tackle the environmental crisis are any guide, then major ecological breakdown is inevitable within a few years.
Once civilisation starts to unravel, it will happen quickly. Crop yields will fall considerably as the effects of climate change and peak oil really start to bite. It is likely that one of the first casualties will be the current banking and financial system, which is unlikely to be able to withstand the strain. Thus wealth will offer no protection.
Compounding this will be the fact that fossil fuels and other oil-based products will become increasingly hard to obtain, so the transportation infrastructure will grind to halt. From a practical point of view, food will be in very limited supply, no one will be able to pay for it, and there will be no transportation available to deliver it. As the crisis deepens, the electricity supply will be disrupted as will water supplies. Disease will almost certainly thrive in such an environment. Conflict over what limited resources remain will be almost inevitable. In short we will be transported back to the dark ages in a very short space of time and many people, used to living a comfortable western lifestyle, will be unlikely to survive this transition.
So what has brought us to the brink? There are many factors which have contributed to our current situation. In particular overpopulation and over consumption of resources such as fossil fuels lie at the heart of our dilemma. This is underpinned by our economic system, which rewards exploitation of resources and focuses on economic growth. This system has contributed to the demise of ecosystems worldwide.
What is often not realised is that the environmental and societal problems we face are all connected and all can be attributed totally to the impact of too many people consuming too many resources. This is why symptomatic treatments, like trying to tackle climate change, while simultaneously encouraging economic growth are doomed to failure. Unless humans change their entire philosophy and way of life such band-aid solutions will do little to avert the coming crisis. Unfortunately, powerful national and corporate interests will never allow the kind of fundamental changes that are necessary to address these issues constructively.

Posted by: plushtown | Jan 21 2008 18:49 utc | 54

Tanzania rejects hosting US military outfit AFRICOM

Tanzania has rejected a plea from the United States to station troops here under the auspices of US African Command (Africom), and the government is encouraging member countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) to do the same, APA learns here.
Speaking to journalists on Sunday after a weeklong conference of Tanzanian diplomats’ conference held in Zanzibar, the Minister for Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Bernard Membe said an Africom presence in the country would have created tension and worsened public opinion of SADC governments.

“On this issue, we were clear – we told the US that we cannot help them on this,” Membe said, “and we told SADC countries that this programme might stir unnecessary tension in our countries.”
Membe said though Tanzania values its friendly relationship with the United States, it cannot compromise when it comes to matters of security.

Tanzania presently holds the chair on SADC’s defense and security organ. The SADC member countries are Tanzania, Angola, Botswana,Lesotho,Malawi, Mozambique,Swaziland, Zambia,Zimbabwe, Namibia, South Africa, Mauritius, Democratic Republic of Congo, Madagascar and Seychelles.

south africa’s defense minister & zambia’s president mwanawasa – the SADC chairperson – already made it clear earlier last year that SADC member countries would reject a military presence in their territories and encouraged the rest of the african nations to do so, but it’s good to see tanzania officially reject the offers.
not so good news from nigeria last week…
thisday online quoting nigerian minister of foreign affairs maduekwe saying

On the controversial AFRICOM issue, the minister said that Nigeria had not changed her stance over the physical presence of US troops on Africa soil, but conceded that an inter-military cooperation would benefit Nigeria’s military through training, equipment and sharing intelligence.
There would be an administrative and strategic cooperation between the two countries in a bid to enhance security, he told journalists.
He said: “There are risks in engaging or partnering the US military, but there are greater risks in not accepting the opportunities being offered by AFRICOM.”
The important thing, he added, was to strike a balance and to make sure that Nigeria’s sovereignty was not compromised.

Posted by: b real | Jan 21 2008 22:19 utc | 55

The Vineyard of the Saker on Israel’s Gaza policy

Posted by: Bea | Jan 22 2008 1:01 utc | 56

Mexico Hits Drug Gangs With Full Fury of War
There are drug wars in Mexico – the smugglers defying the state monopoly of power. The easiest way to stop it would be decriminalization of drugs in the U.S. But profits from drugs and private prisons are too high to do so.
From the piece a tiny but important detail:

“You cannot count on the local police,” said a veteran federal inspector in Reynosa, who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of losing his job. “The problem lies in the state police. They are completely at the service of these guys.”
In Tamaulipas state, just south of eastern Texas, the government’s focus has been on strangling the Zetas. Founded by former Mexican commandos trained in the United States, the Zetas have long been the professional assassins of the Gulf Cartel, which controls the flow of drugs along the Gulf Coast and across the Texas border. The group is believed to have scores of members, though the exact number is unknown.

The gift of the School of the Americas and its like keeps giving …

Posted by: b | Jan 22 2008 6:44 utc | 57

As the media likes to tell us, Iran is a undemocratic “regime” that needs to be changed.
Iran Leader Backs Parliament in a Dispute With Ahmadinejad

TEHRAN — Iran’s supreme religious leader, in what appeared to be his first public dispute with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, sided with Parliament on Monday in a conflict over energy policy.
The supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, intervened after Mr. Ahmadinejad had refused to carry out a measure that required his government to supply gas to remote villages during this year’s exceptionally cold winter.

The speaker of Parliament, Gholamali Hadad Adel, said that Mr. Ahmadinejad had complained to him in the past months about some of the measures passed by Parliament. But Mr. Hadad Adel said he was surprised by a recent letter from Mr. Ahmadinejad in which he said that the natural gas law was unconstitutional

The president defied the parliament and the constitution and the supreme court stepped in.
Funny how that works in SOME democracies …

Posted by: b | Jan 22 2008 6:49 utc | 58

Religious extremists in the Middle East beating up a Jew:

“A bunch of goons, maybe 20 or 30 guys, attacked me – it was like a pogrom,” he told Haaretz. “They kicked me, beat me, and then just left me there. Luckily, I am a strong guy and was able to get up and go to the hospital.”

“My attackers thought they won, but there is a procession in my support,” said T., who was born in New York.

Shouldn’t someone hunt down these “terrorists”?
Not gona happen of course, their government is protecting them. The people try to help themselves against these extremist fundamental terrorizing nuts.

In recent months, Beit Shemesh residents have banded against what they call growing religious intimidation and coercion by some Haredi residents of the city.
This week, a family in one of the city’s modern Orthodox neighborhoods received warnings and threats because a television in their living room faced a main thoroughfare that borders an ultra-Orthodox housing project. In October, five ultra-Orthodox men assaulted a woman and an Israel Defense Forces soldier for sitting next to each other on a bus bound for Beit Shemesh.
Signs along main streets call on people to dress modestly, meanwhile, and women say they no longer feel comfortable jogging along some roads.
T., who has since been released from the hospital, helped organize a recent protest against the violence. Sources say the attack on Sunday was a culmination of ongoing harassment.
Shalom Lerner, deputy mayor of Beit Shemesh, told Haaretz that the incident marks new heights for Haredi violence in the city.
“It’s sad that they are trying to terrorize the city,” Lerner said. “Unfortunately, though, the Haredi violence isn’t news anymore. The fact that there is a demonstration, however, that the silent majority is standing up and fighting back, is a major achievement. People are realizing that the time for action is now.”

U.S. immigrant beaten up in ‘pogrom’ by ultra-Orthodox gang

Posted by: b | Jan 22 2008 11:23 utc | 59

This is the horrifying Western thinking that has been allowed to evolve since the World allowed the U.S./uk pre-emptive invasion of Iraq without attributing guilt or consequences to such an atrocity. An atrocity that has been witnessed by all people, by all governments, of all nations.
Quite frankly, this Special Report in today’s UK Guardian Unlimited is one of the most disturbing and frightening news articles that I have read in my lifetime. It portrays a thinking of madmen.
Pre-emptive nuclear strike a key option, Nato told.

[snip]
The west must be ready to resort to a pre-emptive nuclear attack to try to halt the “imminent” spread of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, according to a radical manifesto for a new Nato by five of the west’s most senior military officers and strategists.
Calling for root-and-branch reform of Nato and a new pact drawing the US, Nato and the European Union together in a “grand strategy” to tackle the challenges of an increasingly brutal world, the former armed forces chiefs from the US, Britain, Germany, France and the Netherlands insist that a “first strike” nuclear option remains an “indispensable instrument” since there is “simply no realistic prospect of a nuclear-free world”.
[snip]
To prevail, the generals call for an overhaul of Nato decision-taking methods, a new “directorate” of US, European and Nato leaders to respond rapidly to crises, and an end to EU “obstruction” of and rivalry with Nato. Among the most radical changes demanded are:
· A shift from consensus decision-taking in Nato bodies to majority voting, meaning faster action through an end to national vetoes.
· The abolition of national caveats in Nato operations of the kind that plague the Afghan campaign.
· No role in decision-taking on Nato operations for alliance members who are not taking part in the operations.
[snip]
· The use of force without UN security council authorization when “immediate action is needed to protect large numbers of human beings”.

My first thought is that this manifesto further paves the way for an Israeli/u.s. strike on Iranian military installations even if not a NATO operation. This proclamation appears to set a new tone in the continued song of “Bomb, Bomb, Bomb… bomb, bomb Iran”.
And just imagine if this happens later this year.
Rgiaps’s link above to Rev. Martin Luther King’s speech is most relevant here.

Posted by: Rick | Jan 22 2008 11:34 utc | 60

Homeland Security High :
As if high school weren’t terrifying enough
How to Stop Terrorism? Begin in School
Maryland High School Offers Homeland Security Courses

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 22 2008 17:01 utc | 61

@rick – @60 – saw that nonsense too this morning – the generals running wild …
In Germany such NATO partition would not be impossible without a quite unlikely change of the constitution.

Posted by: b | Jan 22 2008 17:04 utc | 62

Maryland High School Offers Homeland Security Courses

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 22 2008 21:35 utc | 63

For Ron Paul lovers…

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 22 2008 21:47 utc | 64

@anon’s link is to the usual worn out leftist rhetoric which fails to supprt the contention that a vote for Paul is not a vote for peace.
There isn’t a soul in the democrat party who can end amerika’s dependence on war empire and oppression. Arguing that Paul’s opposition to the tokenism of affirmative action which was the dems piss weak response to centuries of oppression for amerika’s slave race, indicates Paul isn’t pro war, is a typical dem ethically bankrupt stance. This is especially the case when the immediate object of the argument seems to be let the Iraqis and other victims of amerika’s colonisation suffer and die for as long as it takes to turn amerika into a socialist utopia. So far at least 1 million Iraqis have died as a direct result of Clinton’s sanctions and Bush’s war how many million more will die before the amerikan left wins power?
Apparently amerika will become that socialist utopia if everyone gets behind Hilary Obama and their parasitical colleagues.
Find a genuine anti-war candidate amongst amerika’s left, then argue for pacifists to support him or her. No committed pacifist could vote for any of the war-mongers which currently represent amerika’s faux left party.
The dems will discover to their cost that their eternal compromising to sell-out, on race, war, and the environment will mean that electorate rejects the dem hegemony on peace, minority and environment voters.

Posted by: Debs is dead | Jan 23 2008 0:42 utc | 65

Heath Ledger found dead in Manhattan apartment. no? how bout, Michael Lewis gets a vasectomy.? Still no?
Good!
the ‘news’ follows 4 rules…


1. ignore important stories
2. raise triva to the level of news
3. if # 1 is not possible then muddy the waters to the point that the story is impossible to follow.
4. Put it out there in a sweet short blurb but never ever explain context, nor follow up.

Read: How They Slant TV From A – Z, by USIA psy-ops expert

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 23 2008 1:08 utc | 66

only one working source i’ve found on this currently, and no clarification of whether it’s a “regional integration team hub” as opposed to actual HQ site. (i’d be surprised if it were the latter – unless DoD jettisoned their intial criteria.)
The agreement is imminent between Rabat and Washington – The base of Africom will be installed in Morocco [machine translation from french via babelfish]

Mary Carlin Yates, ordering it civil assistant of Africom, thus said true by affirming at the time of its videoconference to the American embassy in Algiers on last 16 January, that African countries postulated to shelter the seat of this military command. In the final analysis, it is Morocco which will be the land of welcome.
Morocco is about to conclude an agreement with the United States on the installation with Tan Tan from a base from the military command in Africa (Africom). Information was revealed by Mary Carlin Yates, at the time of a similar videoconference to that of Algiers with the Moroccan journalists with Rabat.
The number two of Africom indicated that members of the American Congress put the last final improvements at an agreement with the Moroccan authorities, during a recent stay in Morocco, so that the base having to shelter the US military command for Africa will be built not far from Tan Tan in the south, in extreme cases of the borders of the Sahara Occidental. It is the village of Short-nap cloth Indian millet which was selected to shelter this project.
Negotiations between the American information and the Moroccan secret service prepared the ground with this agreement concluded by the US congressmen, which would have visited other African countries, combined of Washington, which were on the rows to accomodate the seat of Africom.
American experts made a topographic study of the ground, which lends itself ideally to such a project because of the proximity of the Moroccan Atlantic coasts, from where the facility for US Navy to approach some.
Transmitted to the Pentagon, the proposal was ratified by the department of Robert Gates, who will start soon the delivery of the equipment necessary to the construction of the base. In exchange of these facilities, the United States proposed in Morocco a financial counterpart, in the form of very tempting assistance, indicate the same sources.
This being, the American military presence in Morocco does not constitute a new fact insofar as the kingdom alaouite authorized into 1983 the United States to build several installations of this kind, of which most famous is the air base of Ben Jarir, located at an about sixty kilometers of Marrakech.
Folds back also proposed in the USA to build bases in the Sahara Occidental, but Washington, which recognize only the Moroccan administration in this territory, and not its sovereignty because of the dispute of the Polisario Face, rejected this offer.
Thus, Mohammed VI made profitable the refusal of many African countries to accomodate the command of Africom, of which particularly Algeria and Nigeria, to submit its proposal.
An aubaine which the Pentagon could not allow to miss within sight of the hostility by the major part of the States of the continent to this project. Numbers of them justified their position by the fact that a US military presence on their territory could be at the origin of terrorist attacks.

reportedly, the u.s. has had private use of land around tan-tan for awhile now.
did’cha know?

The U.S. and Morocco have a longstanding special relationship. They have had a treaty of friendship since 1787, the longest unbroken peace agreement the U.S. has maintained with any country in the world.

from a 1998 article by stephen zunes, Morocco and Western Sahara, who’s been covering the u.s.’ support for morocco’s occupation of western sahara for a long time now.

Morocco has remained one of Washington’s closest strategic allies in either Africa or the Arab world, particularly during the early years of the Reagan administration. Morocco allows the U.S. Navy access to its port facilities and grants the U.S. Air Force landing, refueling, and overflight rights. There has been close binational cooperation in intelligence and communications.

Meanwhile, the U.S. has been largely silent about the Moroccan government’s ongoing human rights abuses against its own people, and Washington has prodded Morocco to pursue questionable neoliberal economic policies. With the demise of the anticommunist rationale for the cold war, Morocco is now being touted as a bulwark against Islamic extremism and as a model for U.S.-backed economic reforms.

Posted by: b real | Jan 23 2008 4:14 utc | 67

It’s two for Tuesday…
Torture is in fashion: Fall 2008 Mens John Galliano
click through this slideshow…
American citizen Padilla Sentenced to More Than 17 Years in Prison

The jury was told that Padilla was recruited by Islamic extremists in the U.S. and filled out an application.

that one gets me every time…just like they found a terrorists half burnt passport in the WTC rubble..

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 23 2008 5:04 utc | 68

IRC study shows Congo’s neglected crisis leaves 5.4 million dead

Conflict and humanitarian crisis in the Democratic Republic of Congo have taken the lives of an estimated 5.4 million people since 1998 and continue to leave as many as 45,000 dead every month, according to a major mortality survey released today by the International Rescue Committee.
“The conflict and its aftermath, in terms of fatalities, surpass any other since World War II,” says the aid group’s president, George Rupp. “Congo’s loss is equivalent to the entire population of Denmark or the state of Colorado perishing within a decade. Although Congo’s war formally ended five years ago, ongoing strife and poverty continue to take a staggering toll. We hope this week’s peace agreement in North Kivu will mean an end to the hostilities and a restart of reconciliation and recovery efforts.”
The latest mortality survey was conducted last year by the International Rescue Committee and the Burnet Institute and covers the period of January 2006 through April 2007. Researchers visited 14,000 households in 35 districts of Congo’s 11 provinces. The final toll combines figures from four previous IRC mortality surveys with data from the newest study.

Posted by: b real | Jan 23 2008 5:06 utc | 69

There is very clearly an attempt in progress to put the Sibel Edmonds case on the “front burner” (or at least to take it out of the freezer). Further evidence here and here. These “signs of spring” (which certainly can’t be characterized as “early” despite their appearance in January) seem to strengthen the belief that something has happened behind the scenes, in addition, of course, to the long term and up to now nearly fruitless efforts of Luke Ryland and other supporters of Sibel Edmonds. We’ll know for sure that something is up if either Grassley or Leahy becomes visible, or some ambitious pol takes up the cause. One should, I think, bear in mind that the “dark side” has had five years to prepare a plausible refutation of Ms. Edmonds charges, so we may merely be witnessing a new attempt to swiftboat a pesky personality, and turn the
accuser into the accused, or to use her in some way to put the derailed
attack on Iran back on track. In any event, the congressional hearing at which Grossman is slated to testify could prove to be a compelling “media event”, in the unlikely event that any of the “guardians of democracy” should decide to cover it.

Posted by: Hannah K. O’Luthon | Jan 23 2008 5:38 utc | 70

2006 book [html & pdf versions] – The Conservative Nanny State: How the Wealthy Use the Government to Stay Rich and Get Richer – dean baker

Posted by: b real | Jan 23 2008 5:42 utc | 71

For 9-11 conspiracy theorists: This link regarding Louai al-Sakka arises from a bit of Googling and the Giraldi article.
Needless to say, the authenticity of the allegations made there are by no means above suspicion. Certainly, the picture that emerges here is that of western and affilitated intelligence agencies working hand-in-glove with “Al Qaeda” leaders, be it via infiltration, co-optation, or occult manipulation. Moreover, that picture seems much more credible than the notion that Al Qaeda has (ever?) been absolutely impenetrable to such infiltration, especially since there can scarsely be a Middle Eastern intelligence service which would not have a lively interest in effecting such a penetration.

Posted by: Hannah K. O’Luthon | Jan 23 2008 6:02 utc | 72

@DM#25 surely we don’t have to go round that mulberry bush again.
but just in case you weren’t being facetious: when you pump more energy (heat, aka warming) into a chaotic system (like weather) then what you get during the transition period is greater extrema and more rapid changes of state, not a general evening-out to a steady warm state (that’s possible over time, but things take a hella long time to settle down in a system this big).
so yes, localised extrema of cold are to be expected from “warming”, as are greater pressure gradients, greater average windspeeds, more intense droughts, more intense rains, more intense heat waves… every weather “phenomenon” is a function of energy being dissipated in the atmosphere, and the more energy there is to dissipate, the more extreme the phenomena can get.

Posted by: DeAnander | Jan 23 2008 6:22 utc | 73

Tens of Thousands Cross Downed Gaza Wall

Tens of thousands of Palestinians poured from the Gaza Strip into Egypt Wednesday after masked gunmen with explosives destroyed most of the seven-mile wall dividing the border town of Rafah.
The Gazans crossed on foot, in cars or riding donkey carts to buy supplies made scarce by an Israeli blockade of their impoverished territory. Police from the militant group Hamas, which controls Gaza, directed the traffic. Egyptian border guards took no action.

Will Congress now cut the bribes to Egypt for disobaing Israeli orders?

Posted by: b | Jan 23 2008 10:42 utc | 74

Army Off Target on Recruits

The percentage of new recruits entering the Army with a high school diploma dropped to a new low in 2007, according to a study released yesterday, and Army officials confirmed that they have lowered their standards to meet high recruiting goals in the middle of two ongoing wars.
The study by the National Priorities Project concluded that slightly more than 70 percent of new recruits joining the active-duty Army last year had a high school diploma, nearly 20 percentage points lower than the Army’s goal of at least 90 percent.

After linking the recruiting data to Zip codes and median incomes, [the study] found that low- and middle-income families are supplying far more Army recruits than families with incomes greater than $60,000 a year.

Posted by: b | Jan 23 2008 11:01 utc | 75

Put a bit of phantasy into this one …
Court Rules Inmates Can’t Sue for Property Loss

“Congress could not have chosen a more all-encompassing phrase than ‘any other law enforcement officer’ ” to show that it intended broad immunity, Justice Clarence Thomas wrote for the majority. Therefore, the law “forecloses lawsuits against the United States for the unlawful detention of property by ‘any’ not just ‘some,’ law enforcement officers.”
Thomas was joined by Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. and Justices Antonin Scalia, Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Samuel A. Alito Jr.
Justice Anthony M. Kennedy wrote the dissent for the rest of the court. He said the court was wrong not to look at the context of the statute — that it related to customs rather than prisons — and said the implications of the decision were great.
“The seizure of property by an officer raises serious concerns for the liberty of our people and the Act should not be read to permit appropriation of property without a remedy in tort by language so obscure and indirect,” Kennedy wrote.

Posted by: b | Jan 23 2008 11:12 utc | 76

edward herman & david peterson: There Is No “War on Terror”

One of the most telling signs of the political naiveté of liberals and the Left in the United States has been their steadfast faith in much of the worldview that blankets the imperial state they call home. Nowhere has this critical failure been more evident than in their acceptance of the premise that there really is something called a “war on terror” or “terrorism” — however poorly managed its critics make it out to be — and that righting the course of this war ought to be this country’s (and the world’s) top foreign policy priority. In this perspective, Afghanistan and Pakistan rather than Iraq ought to have been the war on terror’s proper foci; most accept that the U.S. attack on Afghanistan from October 2001 on was a legitimate and necessary stage in the war. The tragic error of the Bush Administration, in this view, was that it lost sight of this priority, and diverted U.S. military action to Iraq and other theaters, reducing the commitment where it was needed.

..talk of the “failure” of the war on terror rests on the false premise that there really is such a war. This we reject on a number of grounds.

Posted by: b real | Jan 23 2008 15:39 utc | 77

“Human Fear” Chemicals Researched By Pentagon

from Wired Magazine
American military researchers are working to uncover and harness the most terrifying chemical imaginable: that most primal odor, the scent of fear.
Pheromones are chemicals released by animals as signals to their own kind: for sex, for territorial marking, and more. They’re often detected in the olfactory membranes. But there’s more to pheromones than attraction. Many animals have an alarm pheromone which is used to signal danger; aphids, for example, use it to cause their fellow lice to flee.
Now, the US Army is trying to track down and harness people’s smell of fear. The military has backed a study on the “Identification and Isolation of Human Alarm Pheromones,” which “focused on the Preliminary Identification of Steroids of Interest in Human Fear Sweat.” The so-called “skydiving protocol” was the researchers’ method of choice.
The authors collected sweat, urine, blood, saliva, ECG, respiration, and self-report measures in 20 subjects (n=11 males and n=9 females) before, during, and immediately following their first-time tandem skydive, as well as before, during, and immediately following their running on a treadmill for the same period of time. Measurements between the test (skydive) and control (exercise) conditions were made on consecutive days, each experiment precisely matched to the minute between subjects and between conditions to prevent diurnal confounds. Emotional states were monitored using brief standardized questionnaires. For most of the observed compounds, men showed an increase in the compound emission during acute emotional stress, while women showed either no change or a decrease in emission of the compound.

Can we get anymore bizarre”??

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 23 2008 16:39 utc | 78

From anon link @64
Paul’s criticisms of the Iraq War and the Bush administration are entirely tactical and stem from his ultra-nationalist and isolationist outlook, not any principled opposition to American imperialism.
This is bullshit and should discredit the entire article, regardless of your feelings about Paul. He has repeatedly used the term empire on the campaign trail and has often expressed his desire to dismantle ours. On several occasions, he has referred to the Chalmers Johnson trilogy, even holding up “Blowback” during one of the debates. That series’ premise is that the US is a world empire and that maintaining it will lead either to bankruptcy or nuclear war while destroying the republic (See Patriot Acts, Military Service Commission, domestic spying, which Dems supported.) No other candidate I know of – not even Kucicec or Gravel – has taken that position. And Paul is doing it in front of Republican audiences.
Paul’s opposition to the Iraq war is NOT tactical or even strategic because these terms accept the empire as a desirable objective. Tactical criticism comes from those who think the war was a badly managed good idea, e.g, Kristol, McCain, Podhoretz, etc. Strategic criticism come from those, like von Crevald, who called the Iraq invasion a strategic blunder because they saw it as a bad move, even a losing move, in the Great Game. Paul’s opposition is to the POLICY objective – the existence of the empire itself. Whatever one thinks of his other positions, and there is much to question, he’s got this one right. And the isolationist charge leveled in the graph is completely at odds with the charge that Paul is pro-empire. How can one be an isolationist and pro-empire at the same time? Right now, I think the world would breathe a collective sigh of relief if the US did withdraw inside its own borders for a while and mind its own business.
This piece is just a disingenuous left winger whining because a conservative is scoring points on an issue the left can’t score on despite sharing similar views.

Posted by: lg | Jan 23 2008 17:38 utc | 79

Don’t miss these incredible historic scenes of Gazans exploding out of their prison. Watch the videos and scroll down to see the photos.
The Greatest Prison Outbreak

Posted by: Bea | Jan 23 2008 17:59 utc | 80

Yea Bea, U.S. “concerned” that the Palestinians got out of their cage.
Not concerned at all about Israel’s murderous siege and collective punishment of Gazans though.

Posted by: ran | Jan 23 2008 18:27 utc | 81

The Wonga Coup: Transparency and Conspiracy in Equatorial Guinea

To date, the risks in Equatorial Guinea must seem well worth taking to the oil companies, although surprises and disappointments, like those encountered by Mann and his co-conspirators, could well lie ahead. Working in such a corrupt and repressive country always entails unexpected risks and costs, although these risks are hardly reflected in official statistics about the country. Overall economic growth rates certainly seem miraculous, ranging anywhere from 52 to 72 percent in the first years of this decade. According to UNDP, between 1990 and 2003, no country in the world grew faster. Stunningly, the CIA World Fact book lists Equatorial Guinea as having the second highest per capita income in the world behind only Luxemburg. Such prosperity seems almost hallucinatory or otherworldly, but the statistics and anecdotes of sudden riches mask the grossly unequal way that wealth is being distributed within the country. Despite official per capita income measures ranging from $2,000 to $50,000 most people in the country remain desperately poor. Most of the oil profits leave the country as soon as they are produced, either accruing back to the oil companies or into the secret off-shore bank accounts of the president and his family. If the oil wealth is a surprising gift from heaven, it is manna only for Obiang and his kin, and for the oil companies, rather than for the people of Equatorial Guinea.
The quick extraction of wealth from the country and the sudden enrichment of the Obiang regime has been made possible by a global economic system that turns out to be opaque rather than transparent. Access to global financial circuits and an impressive ability to take advantage of regulatory gaps have allowed the president to export the state’s revenue with impressive efficiency. A 2004 U.S. Senate investigation into accounts used to launder money – including those held by President Obiang – at Riggs Bank in Washington, D.C. shed light on this process and showed how the licit and illicit economies are so well integrated with one another.

adam robert’s 2006 book The Wonga Coup: A Tale of Guns, Germs and the Steely Determination to Create Mayhem in an Oil-Rich Corner of Africa was a good read (review by caroline elkins)

Posted by: b real | Jan 24 2008 5:04 utc | 82

Tracking down the smell of fear is the sine qua non of insanity.
I guess in the Homeland they’ll be taking swabs of people’s armpits in the national airports, in order to screen the frightened. I’m scared already.
“Papers,…your papers please.” …”Armpit,…your armpit if you please.”

Posted by: Copeland | Jan 24 2008 5:34 utc | 83

Ha! The scent of fear.
Wonder if they were collecting pheromones in Wall Street this week.

Posted by: DM | Jan 24 2008 8:26 utc | 84

Ref. lg @ post #79 above:
Ron Paul voters support Al-Qaeda according to MSNBC
On a related note, I watched MSNBC on the evening of the Nevada Primary for over an hour. During this time, Ron Paul’s name was not even mentioned! All of the other major contenders were mentioned during the time I watched. Ron Paul placed second in the primary. A viewer would have been hard pressed to realize this watching MSNBC.
Further reading about David Shuster of MSNBC:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Shuster#Tenure_at_Fox_News

Posted by: Rick | Jan 24 2008 13:26 utc | 85

Gareth Porter: Crying (Iranian) wolf in Argentina

For 13 years the US and Argentina have charged that Iran was behind the fatal fire-bombing of a Jewish community center in Buenos Aires. In November, reported pressure from the two governments led Interpol to “red list” five former Iranian officials and a Hezbollah leader for allegedly masterminding the attack. But a FBI agent and top US diplomats now say no real evidence was ever produced and any link with Iran was at best “flimsy”.

Posted by: Alamet | Jan 25 2008 1:26 utc | 86

Luke Ryland’s latest update gives a conjectural, but plausible reading of the behind the scenes maneuvering and public posturing about U.S. sponsored nuclear proliferation for Turkey, and its connection to the recent uptick of activity regarding the Sibel Edmonds case. Well worth reading.
For those following the Edmonds case I recommend subscribing to Ryland’s mailing list.
My only objection would be to the headline which speaks of “White House panic”: to me it seems more likely that it is just a bit of ordinary daily business for the Bush administration, namely, once again legalizing retroactively what, for mere mortals, would be criminal activity.

Posted by: Hannah K. O’Luthon | Jan 25 2008 5:31 utc | 87

Another typical day in Afghanistan. U.S. troops, not under NATO command but for the Afghans that’s no difference, raid a house at night WITHOUT coordination with the Afghans. Police thinks they are Talibs, the U.S. thinks the police are Talib. Ten Afghan police die.
10 Die in Mistaken Afghan Firefight

At least nine Afghan police officers and a civilian were killed early Thursday in a firefight between American forces and the officers in Ghazni Province, just south of the capital, local officials said.
The American forces were searching houses in a village on the outskirts of Ghazni town and blew open the gates of a house, according to local Afghan officials. District police officers heard the explosion and rushed to the scene, suspecting that the Taliban were in the area, but were themselves mistaken for Taliban and shot by the American soldiers, the officials said. Aircraft supporting the operation fired on one of the police cars.
The killings set off protests in the town on Thursday afternoon, and demonstrators blocked the main highway and prevented a government delegation from reaching the town from a nearby airfield, local officials said.

The Afghan government has repeatedly requested that United States forces coordinate with local authorities and take along Afghan security forces during operations because there have been many instances in which Americans have inadvertently killed civilians or local police officers.
But Mr. Hussaini, the Parliament member, said the American forces involved had not coordinated with any government authority before or during the raid.

Eight people were detained by American soldiers, Mr. Rahman said, but two were from the provincial Education Department.
In other violence on Thursday, a NATO soldier was killed and two were wounded in an explosion in southern Afghanistan, NATO said in a statement.

Posted by: b | Jan 25 2008 9:21 utc | 88

http://www.moonmovie.com/

Posted by: DM | Jan 25 2008 10:38 utc | 89

Imperial buildup against China …
Guam Braces for Peaceful Military Incursion

Guam has served as an important U.S. military outpost since World War II. But now the sultry tropical island, about three times the size of the District of Columbia and with a population of 173,000, is set to become a rapid-response platform for problems ranging from pirates to terrorists to tsunamis, as well as a highly visible reminder to China that the United States is nearby and watching.
To that end, U.S. Marines by the thousands and U.S. tax dollars by the billions ($13 billion at last count) are to be dispatched to Guam over the next six years, along with a major-league military kit that includes Trident submarines, a ballistic missile task force, Navy Special Operations forces and Air Force F-22 fighter jets. Nuclear-powered attack submarines and B-2 stealth bombers have already arrived, and preparations are being made to accommodate aircraft carriers.

Posted by: b | Jan 25 2008 11:40 utc | 90

Know your enemy. Anyone (like me) who has studiously avoided absorbing anything much about finance for their entire life, and is just (maybe too late), discovering that what you don’t know may hurt you – might be interested in this topical link about “financial engineering”. Caveat Emptor.
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance

How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless mortgage-based securities. (23-Jan-2008)
Summary In recent years, young financial engineers have used “structure finance” techniques to create a variety of high-rate, “low-risk” securities, such as collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) or credit default swaps (CDSs). The current global financial crisis is coming about because many of these “low-risk” securities are turning out to be worthless. This article explains how these faulty securities were created, and what went wrong.

Posted by: DM | Jan 25 2008 11:42 utc | 91

From POLTERGEIST II, Carol Ann: “They’re back!” :
Wolfowitz appointed chairman of arms-control advisory panel
Rumsfeld: Ramp up information warfare

The U.S. military can’t fight the war on terrorism alone. It needs help from a host of other U.S. government agencies, including a new one that should be created to use the Internet to wage an information offensive against Muslim extremists, former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said Jan. 23.
In an address to an information warfare conference, Rumsfeld said the United States is “sitting on the sidelines” in a global battle of ideas. “We’re barely competing,” and for that reason we are losing, he said.

You know, to back up his pal Cheneys recent call for even more surveillance
It’s like whack-a-mole with these guys. They keeps popping up — over thar! Now over thar! WHACK!
It’s like a bad dream that you keep having each night or a B movie……
Here’s Wolfowitz practically giddy with excitement telling West Point academy students that 9/11 is about to happen, and will make war profitteers ricj
(june 2001)
Wolfowitz chilling speech

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 25 2008 11:43 utc | 92

“They’re back!”…

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 25 2008 13:49 utc | 93

Test:
Wolfowitz appointed chairman of arms-control advisory panel
Rumsfeld: Ramp up information warfare
This is highly speculative, but after taking out the above titles and keywords, i.e., Wolfowitz,Rumsfeld the original post that I tried to post which would not go through after several tries, finally did after taking out certain words. I’m left wondering if there is not a military program that does something akin to keyword blocking as a means of governing fast spreading data signals or news.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 25 2008 14:04 utc | 94

feorge bush in the electric chair. this granny’s got the right idea. lol.

Posted by: annie | Jan 25 2008 14:05 utc | 95

Air Force to punish 70 for nuke flight

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jan 25 2008 16:06 utc | 96

douglas valentine is back on counterpunch today, and w/ a preview of his followup to the strength of the pack
How the CIA Inflitrated the DEA: Operation Two-Fold

The DEA and its predecessor federal drug law enforcement organizations have always been infiltrated and, to varying degrees, managed by America’s intelligence agencies. The reason is simple enough: the US Government has been protecting its drug smuggling allies, especially in organized crime, since trafficking was first criminalized in 1914. Since then drug law enforcement has been a function of national security in its broadest sense; not just protecting our aristocracy from foreign enemies, but preserving the Establishment’s racial, religious and class prerogatives.
The glitch in the system is that while investigating traffickers, federal drug agents are always unearthing the Establishment’s ties to organized crime and its proxy drug syndicates. US intelligence and security agencies recognized this problem early in the early 1920s and to protect their Establishment patrons (and foreign and domestic drug smuggling allies fighting communists), they dealt with the problem by suborning well-placed drug law enforcement managers and agents.
They have other means at their disposal as well. In 1998, for example, in a series of articles in the San Jose Mercury News, reporter Gary Webb claimed that the CIA had facilitated the flow of crack cocaine to street gangs in Los Angeles. After the Agency vehemently denied the allegations, Webb was denounced by the CIA’s co-conspirators: the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, and the Washington Post. Frightened into submission by the growls of its biggers and betters, the Mercury News retracted Webb’s story and sent the reporter into internal exile. The CIA’s Inspector General later admitted that Webb was partially right. But being unjustly discredited is the price one pays for tearing the mask off the world’s biggest drug trafficker.
It’s always been that way. Case in point: in 1960 MacMillan published Russ Koen’s book The China Lobby. In it Koen said the Nationalist Chinese were smuggling narcotics into the US, “with the full knowledge and connivance” of their government in Taiwan. He said that “prominent Americans have participated and profited from these transactions.” The idea of prominent Americans profiting from drug trafficking was unthinkable and quick as a flash, Harry J. Anslinger, the Commissioner of the Federal Bureau of Narcotics (FBN), denounced Koen as a fraud. Within weeks Koen’s book was remaindered into obscurity by MacMillan.
Professor Al McCoy’s seminal book The Politics of Heroin, published in 1972, is another example. The CIA knew about McCoy’s research and approached his publisher, demanding that it suppress the book on grounds of national security. Harper Row refused, but agreed to allow the CIA to review the book prior to publication. When McCoy objected, Harper Row said it would not publish the book unless McCoy submitted.
Examples of federal drug law enforcement’s complicity with the CIA also abound and many are recounted in my first book on the subject, The Strength of the Wolf: The Federal Bureau of Narcotics 1930-1968. In my new book, The Strength of the Pack: The Politics, Espionage Intrigues, and Personalities that Defined the DEA, I explain how the CIA infiltrated the DEA and how, under CIA direction, the war on drugs became a template for the war on terror. One example shall be presented in this essay.

Posted by: b real | Jan 25 2008 18:53 utc | 97

garowe online: Somalia’s govt says insurgents briefly captured airbase, looted weapons

BAIDOA, Somalia Jan 25 (Garowe Online) – Somali insurgents raided and briefly seized a major military airbase in southern Somalia on Friday after out-gunning base soldiers, a military official has said.
“The insurgents who attacked Baledogle [airbase] captured the base and looted weapons, medicines and other equipment,” local police commissioner Isse Moallim Yasir told Garowe Online.
Three government soldiers were killed and six others wounded in the short skirmish with the heavily-armed rebels, who briefly captured the base and held other soldiers hostage.
Baledogle, 100KM northwest of the capital Mogadishu, is located in Lower Shabelle region.

A spokesman for the al-Shabaab guerrillas claimed responsibility for the raid, saying that there was “no resistance” at the base and denied reports of any deaths on the al-Shabaab side.
Al-Shabaab spokesman Mukhtar Robow “Abu Mansur” told a Mogadishu-based radio station later today that they captured several Somali soldiers alive, while others “hid in the mosque.”
He said al-Shabaab later released all the captured soldiers.

that station was shabelle radio/media network, whose website is again down. aweys yusuf, who was one of the primary reporters until he was forced to flee for his safety when the TFG was threatening the station (among others), is now a correspondant for reuters (and subject to their editors and handlers), which put up the following article
Islamist rebels conduct raid on Somali airfield

Islamist insurgents briefly seized control of Somalia’s biggest military airfield on Friday and looted weapons, witnesses and an Islamist commander said.
Muktar Ali Robow, leader of the al-Shabab rebel militia, told a local radio station his forces also captured government troops during the raid on Baledogle, about 100km west of the capital, Mogadishu.
“We seized Baledogle Airport, took supplies of arms and also captured some Somali soldiers, but we released them,” Robow told Shabelle Radio by telephone from an undisclosed location.
Residents said Islamist fighters armed with machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades took control of the airfield before breaking into two armouries and leaving.
“They seized the airport and killed three soldiers. We saw them taking government weapons with them and burning two battlewagons,” resident Ali Aded Diriye told Reuters by phone.

michael weinstein of PINR, which doesn’t appear to be publishing yet this year, has a good commentary up at garowe online
What Somalia Teaches Us About the World

The Courts’ attempted reforms were firmly rooted in a humane understanding of Islam that accorded with traditional Somali culture – the Quranic proclamation that human beings are “co-directors in the earth” and are responsible for creating a just and merciful community. This humane disposition offered the promise of an Islamic political formula consistent with modernity, yet rooted in revealed religion. One did not have to be a Muslim to be moved by the life-affirming creativity of the side of the Courts movement that was shown as it ascended.
The failure of the Courts movement as a result of internal excess and external repression has effaced the memory of its integrative potential.Indeed, foreign journalists, commentators and analysts systematically discounted the integrative tendencies of the Courts at the moment when they were most obvious – perhaps the possibility of a humane Islamic (not Islamist) politics was too inconvenient to acknowledge.
Recognition of the Courts’ life-affirming side does not imply the judgment that the cynics were perverse, but only that they neglected half the story – the part that revealed that Somalis are not inherently contentious and clan-bound, that they are capable of attempting to forge a political community when they are presented with an attractive political formula that resonates with their received culture and is based in grassroots self-help; that they have the potential to create a more favorable balance of public function and private interest.
The tragedy of contemporary Somalia is that the most promising formula for a political community has been shattered. When Somalia devolved after 1990 and became stateless, people turned to the mosques and created autochthonous institutions that became the springboard for the Courts revolution. Where can they turn now? Where is the focal point for popular impetus? What will bring people out of the self-destructive self-protection that marks the demoralized phase of the human condition – the “fretful and grudging” disposition that the Quran so aptly names and attributes to anxiety.
It is disquieting to read all the plans for reorganizing Somalia that pour out from the pens of Somali intellectuals and Western experts. Many of them are intelligent and insightful, and some of them are well-intentioned, but none of them factor in the Somalis as a people capable of exerting collective will. All the plans see-saw between top-down and bottom-up approaches, and centralist, federalist, confederalist and cantonalist structural formulas. All the plans are elitist, guided by an engineering mentality; none of them is organic, inspired by awakening popular sentiment. This is not to cast blame; putting the cart before the horse is a symptom of demoralization, an indication of a political post-traumatic stress disorder and perhaps it makes the best of a bad situation. The problem is that the wide diversity of plans ends up mirroring the divisions of a devolved political community rather than overcoming them. State structure
is not the fundamental issue; mobilization of popular will is what is wanting and wanted.
An outsider has no business telling people how to organize their lives – it is rude, arrogant and patronizing to do so, and it would behoove Western governments, international organizations and assorted “experts” to own up to that. An outsider can, however, legitimately respond to questions that insiders ask him. Somalis continually query: Why do the great powers seem to aid and abet our suffering? Why do they treat us like stepchildren? Why do they turn a blind eye to the atrocities committed by their proxies?
The simple, honest and brutal answer is that they do not find it in their perceived interest to give full-hearted and appropriate help and encouragement. It is not that they are in conspiracy to hold Somalia back, but that Somalia is just a piece in the mosaic of their foreign policies that has no value in and for itself, but is one element of a regional strategy that is based on what regional actors can bring to the table. From the viewpoint of the great powers, Ethiopia is the linch-pin state, Djibouti gets their foot into the door, Eritrea is a North Korea without nuclear weapons and Somalia is too disorganized to take seriously, except as a possible staging base for “terrorists” and, secondarily, as a potential source of raw materials and as another foothold for power in the Middle East. Their utopia, sketched in the strategic plan for the U.S. military’s Joint Task Force – Horn of Africa, is a harmonized region following the dictates of Western policy. Short of that impossible dream, they will settle for an uneasy alliance with Ethiopia and a dependent Djibouti. One can question the wisdom of this policy all that one wishes,but it remains the perceived interest of the major international actors.
The annoying – to understate the sentiment – aspect of the international powers’behavior is its hypocrisy: they talk the humanitarian and democratic talk, but they do not walk the walk. It is understandable that Somalis try to hold them to their words, but that has little or no effect.
What Somalia teaches us about the world is that one has to bring something to the table to count. Ethiopia brings its sheer size and military force, Djibouti brings its location and receptivity, and Eritrea brings its track record of determined resistance. At present, Somalia brings little or nothing.
The most important asset that Somalia could bring to the table in the future would be an effective political organization based on an integrated political community supported by popular will. The key is popular impetus crystallized around an attractive political formula. The watchword is self-organization that does not provoke destructive external intervention. No doubt, that will be difficult to achieve, but it is not beyond the realm of possibility.

Posted by: b real | Jan 25 2008 19:30 utc | 98

comment submitted to Paul Krugman’s blog:

Who gets stimulated?
Fast work by the people at the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, who figure out who gets what from tax plans. They now have distribution tables for the stimulus proposal announced yesterday, and they more or less match my expectations.
Here’s what it looks like, by quintiles of the income distribution:
[see graphic at original post]
I’d guess that the top two quintiles are unlikely to be liquidity-constrained, so the rebate will have little effect on their spending. But they get 58% of the money. The bottom two quintiles, which are the place you’d most expect to have an impact, get only 21% of the money. Split the difference on the middle quintile, and you’ve got a plan where around 2/3 of the outlay is likely to be ineffective.
Now. I’ve been in touch with some people on the Hill, who say that the glass is best viewed as 1/3 full rather than 2/3 empty — that it’s only thanks to the Democrats that people likely to spend their rebate are getting anything at all. And they have a point: this plan will produce some stimulus, while the Bush plan would have done virtually nothing.
And I suppose that it may be true that this was the best Nancy Pelosi could get. But I just can’t bring myself to celebrate.

Professor K,
I don’t exactly have a “Gospel According to Paul” folder in my collection of internet bookmarks — my own liberal bible. Still, I cherish as revelation your, “Tax-Cut Con” (together with Ed Kilgore’s, “Starving the Beast.”
Respecting your opinion as I do, I’d be curious to know what you make of republican presidential candidate, Mike Huckabee’s proposal: rebuild I-95.
To this member of the democratic-wing of the democratic party (maternal grandson of a founding UAW member/paternal grandson of an itinerant coal miner), this sounds like a good idea — a better idea than any “3-T” consumer spending spree. (Perhaps a more politically palatable version would not be confined to the east coast; or would focus instead on the still-devastated gulf coast . . . or would target mass-transit, rather than roads.)
Also, can you offer any balm for the irksome, underlying agitation I feel about any stimulus proposal: whatever final form it ends up taking, we’ll be charging its cost to our China Bank credit card?
Thank you!
[don’t know yet if this comment will get “approved” and posted — or replied to.]

Posted by: manonfyre@7cities.net | Jan 25 2008 22:29 utc | 99

DAVOS time – and no Billmon posting.
I am a little curious. What happened to this guy?

Posted by: DM | Jan 26 2008 0:16 utc | 100