The bomb attack on Benazir Bhutto’s convoy during her arrival in Karachi will not be the last attempt to derail the U.S. sponsored ‘reforms’ of the Pakistani dictatorship. There is more to come from various sides.
One wonders who the perpetrators of this one were and backs them.
Officially it will of course be ‘Al Qaeda’ and as in Casablanca the authorities will ’round up the usual suspects.’
But there are many others possibilities of who might have had interest in staging this attack:
- Musharraf only agreed to the deal to allow Bhutto as new Prime Minister under heavy U.S. pressure. Without Bhutto his future powers would be less restricted.
- While Bhutto was allowed to return to Pakistan, her primary contender
Nawaz Sharif was denied entry to the country. (Bhutto is by heritage
the representative of the landowners. Sharif is the candidate of
industry and bazzari interests. Both have been prime ministers twice
and both were exiled after being disposed by the military due to
corruption accusations.) Without Bhutto, Sharif might be seen and implemented as an alternative. - The military intelligence service ISI has its hands in various games and certainly very close relations to the Pashtun tribes in Waziristan and their radical guests from other countries. ISI, or at least part of it, sees Afghanistan as the Pakistani hinterland and wants to keep influence there. Their instrument are the tribes and the religious-driven part of those known as Taliban (first institutionalized under Bhutto). A new Prime Minister Bhutto supporting U.S. interest would not be friendly to ISI’s support for the Afghani resistance.
- There could be Indian interests in all of this as India and Pakistan are always in latent strive over Kaschmir. I could not find anything about Bhutto’s current view on this. If someone has information on this please let us know.
- Lastly a cynic might assume that Bhutto herself arranged this to amplify the support she will need.
Whoever it was – Pakistan will certainly stay under the curse of ‘interesting times’.
It was funny to watch the ‘western’ press glorifying Bhutto over the last year. The media picture of her is certainly managed. Every report describes her now ended exile as ‘self-imposed’. There were serious corruption charges and threats of imprisonment against her when she left the country. ‘Self- impossed’ describes a rather different reality.
Bhutto’s primary asset in the view of ‘western’ politicians is probably her education in various British and U.S. elite universities. On other issues a bet on her is just as risky as one on Musharraf or Sharif or any combination of those three.