There is a typical chain of events when some terrorism scare is involved:
- some incident happens that is related to "terrorism"
- the media, nudged on by authoritative commentary from the government, sensationalizes the event
- immediate cover-your-ass measures are implemented by the authorities
- secondary effects of these measures turn out to be worse than the original incident
- hardly anyone in the media explains the causation.
A deadly example of this scheme is currently taking place in Mesepotamia.
Cholera is spreading throughout Iraq. It is transmitted by dirty water and is deadly especially to children and elderly people:
In its most severe forms, cholera is one of the most rapidly fatal illnesses known: A healthy person may become hypotensive within an hour of the onset of symptoms and may die within 2-3 hours if no treatment is provided. More commonly, the disease progresses from the first liquid stool to shock in 4-12 hours, with death following in 18 hours to several days without rehydration treatment.
In the Kurdish provinces alone some 13 people have died and overall tens of thousands of cases have been registered. Given the general situation in Iraq it is likely that many cholera related illnesses have not been recorded and many dead not registered as cholera related.
The Iraqi government and the World Health Organization are fighting the epidemic. The solution is simple:
“We urgently need chlorine as many governorates have run out of it and water is being distributed without purification. This can lead to an outbreak [of cholera] in other provinces in central and southern Iraq [where sanitation is already poor],” Adel Muhsin, the health ministry’s inspector-general in Baghdad, said.
A shipment of 100,000 tons of the water purifier has been held up at the Jordanian border over fears the chemical could be used in explosives.
Beginning in October 2006 some 13 chlorine tankers were blown up by resistance groups in Iraq.
Such "WMD attacks" looked bad in the U.S. media, but while lots of people got sick, nobody was killed from the chlorine effects of these bombs.
Still, the immediate reaction by the authorities (likely the U.S. military) was to prevent further chlorine shipments. Thus a deadly cholera epidemic.
Lesson: Beware any "quickfixes" to such overplayed "threats".
(via Eric Umansky and the Armchair Generalist)