The Lebanese Army is currently (again) trying to storm the Nahr al-Bared camp in north Lebanon:
Security and political sources said on Wednesday the army, concerned about being sucked into a war of attrition, had decided to mount an all-out assault on the camp to root out the militants, who have defied demands that they surrender.
Witnesses said the army was bombarding the camp from all sides, often at a rate of 7 to 10 artillery shells per minute.
The conflict over Nahr al-Bared started over eight weeks ago. Nearly all of the camp’s regular Palestianian inhabitants have fled from it since the conflict started. The Lebanese army is fighting a group of only one or two hundred foreigners.
According to Seymour Hersh, this Salafi group was part of a Saudi/Hariri plan. Later there were reports how the group got fired when those plans were allegedly aborted.
The Pakistani military recently solved a nearly similar stand off, within a few days. It was bloody, but there was not all out destruction. The Lebanese army is shelling Nahr al-Barad for eight weeks now. Sometimes a few shells per day, sometimes with very intense fire.
Why does it take the Lebanese army nearly nine weeks and lots of devastating heavy weapon useage to flush out a few hundred fighters?
Let me consinder an answer:
Back in May, I wrote about Nahr al-Bared and a new U.S. Air Base. The short version:
- The Palestinian refugee camp Nahr al-Bared lies right next to the road that connects the harbour city of Tripoli some 8 miles south to the currently unused Rene Mouawad Air Base 7 miles north of it.
- There are rumors that the U.S. is interested in using the air base for its own purposes. The major logistics for the base would come through the Tripoli port.
- A Palestinian camp with some 45,000 frustrated and mostly young and poor people right on top of that ‘line of communication’ would be a substantial risk to such a base.
Those were my thoughs back in May. We don’t know what the Saudi/Hariri plans really were about. But we do know that as a result of the plans and prolonged fighting the camp is now destroyed.
For lack of resources it is unlikely that Palestinian refugees will ever be able to rebuild it.