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OT 07-43
Go listen to Digby and come back here to give and take news & views.
this is interesting take on sistani from Allawi’s Occupation of Iraq. contradicts prof. cole and others who perceive najaf to be an accommodation of democracy as an end in itself:
Sistani and the Relationship Between Religion and the State
The virtual seclusion of Sistani during the last decade of Ba’athist rule in Iraq added to the mystery of his views on the role of religion in the modern state. His communications with outsiders during these years were strictly limited to his rulings on matters of religion, and he did not give one public statement (a bayan) that could be construed as political in content. He did, however, make a strongly worded pronouncement in April 2002, denouncing the Israeli action against the Palestinians in the occupied territories, condemning what he said was American support for it, and demanding a united Muslim response. It was the absence of any substantial information on Sistani’s political position that gave rise to speculation as to his real intentions.
Many linked Sistani to the `quietist’tradition in Shi’a Islam, even attributing to him a belief in the separation of `mosque and state, a ludicrous interpolation of a western secular concept into an entirely different tradition.’ This became part of the ideological arsenal of the neo-conservatives and their allies, who tried to invent a non-interventionist, even secular, bent to the Najaf establishment. This quiescent Najaf became contrasted with the Iranian model of clerical rule, and all kinds of wishful thinking was aired about Najaf replacing Iran as the global pivot of Shi’a Islam.’ This line of thinking may also have been helped by the Sadrists’ talk of the `active’ Marji’iyya and the `passive’ Marji’iyya, with the latter clearly associated with Sistani. Another thread that led people to equate Sistani with the `quietist’ school in Shi’a Islam was his long association with Grand Ayatollah al-Khoei., The best pre-2003 record of Sistani’s political views emerges from an obscure exchange between Grand Ayatollah Sistani and Professor Abdul Aziz Sachedina, a scholar of Islam at the University of Virginia.
Professor Abdul Aziz Sachedina, a practising Shi’a originating from the East African Khoja Shi’a Muslim community, was a noted expert on Shi’a jurisprudence. He had published a number of seminal works on Shi’a Islam, including The Just Ruler in Shi’ite Islam and a detailed analysis of al-Khoei’s Quranic exegisis, The Prolegomena to the Quran. Sachedina had proposed a number of non-traditional approaches to understanding Islam, which appeared to irritate his community which then sought to stop him from public lecturing and discoursing on Islam. Sachedina, rather innocently, decided to seek recourse with Ayatollah Sistani, and to subject his teachings to the Ayatollah’s scrutiny, and, he hoped, obtain his understanding and approval for continuing in his way. In August 1998, Sachedina travelled to Iraq and had intensive discussions with the Grand Ayatollah. The exchanges between Sachedina and Sistani took place over a period of two days, in which Sistani’s views on a number of crucial issues became clear. The meetings were later outlined in an account by Sachedina, entitled `What Happened in Najaf?’8 They are an excellent primer to the inherent potential of conflict between religious reformers and intellectuals on the one hand, and the authority of the religious establishment on the other. Far from being the detached and ethereal figure of the imagined `quietest’ tradition, in these discussions Sistani is shown to have some vigorous opinions on the primacy of the Marji’ in matters of doctrine. He made scathing remarks about the experiment in `reformist Islam’ under President Khatami, and was sceptical about religious pluralism and coexistence. Revealingly, Sistani also pointed out that he had had disagreements with al-Khoei on matters of juridical principles, but `had abstained from mentioning these disagreements in public”
Sistani emerges as someone who is vitally concerned with the role of Islam in state and society, and one who does not advocate a benign negligence or avoidance of all things to do with the state or government. The argument that is usually trotted out by those who make a claim for the lack of interest of the Shi’a in worldly power is that the Shi’a have no resonance with the modern state. To them no state is legitimate. Legitimate power is the sole prerogative of the Hidden Imam who, upon his return from occultation, will establish the perfect state. This line of reasoning, however, had no attraction for Sistani. The Grand Ayatollah was certainly not a proponent of the detached Marji’iyya, indifferent to the state and worldly power, and concerned only with the way Shi’a Muslims should obey their religious injunctions in a profane world. Neither was he a narrowly sectarian religious leader. He made it clear to Sachedina that he considered the institution of the Marji’iyya and its rulings to be valid for all Muslims, not only the Shi’a. To Sistani, the state was necessary to protect Islam, but that was a far cry from demanding the direct rule of the ulema as a precondition to ensuring the Islamic identity of the country. Sistani’s views were far more subtle than the crude division between `quietist’ and `activist’ ulema.
The linking of Sistani to the non-interventionist school in Shi’a Islam went hand in hand with an attempt to see a commitment to democratic principles inside the Najaf Marji’iyya. The idea was that, at bottom, the Marji’iyya had to be democratic. Democracy implies the rule of the majority and that the Shi’a, by adhering to democratic norms, would inevitably attain power. This led to another bout of wishful thinking on the part of the CPA and Iraqi secularists who, curiously, refused to relate Sistani’s views on the state and government to a far more meaningful set of markers, namely, the evolution of his political theory within the traditions of Shi’a scholasticism.” In this regard, the most important innovation in recent times, and the theoretical and jurisprudential underpinning of the Islamic Republic in Iran, was the rise of the doctrine of Wilayat al-Fagih (`Guardianship of the Jurisprudent’). Sistani stood between the two polar extremes in modern Shi’a religious politics: the apolitical, inward-looking, strain best exemplified by Ayatollah aI-Khoei, and [210] the interventionist and activist strain associated with Ayatollah Khomeini. Al-Khoei barely acknowledged the concept of `Guardianship of the Jurisprudent; and limited it to authority over a minor. Sistani, on the other hand, expanded the notion drastically, and admitted the idea of the `Guardianship of the Jurisprudent’ to cover all matters that affect the Islamic social system. The ruling of the faqih (jurisprudent) would be paramount in all matters social and political, and all believers, including other mujtahids, have to abide by them. In his fatwas on this matter, Sistani was careful to limit the scope of authority of the fagih over social matters; but actually his definition of social effectively covered all facets of Islamic society, including its politics.” Where he differed from Khomeini was in his willingness to accept the involvement of clerics in the management of political affairs, and he did not agree with Khomeini’s insistence that the fagih’s political skills have to be added to his religious authority to complete the requirements of the position. Without explicitly saying so, Sistani was concerned with the corrupting effects of politics on the reputation and authority of the ulema, rather than any theological arguments against politics per se. His Wilayat al-Fagih was in many ways designed to ensure the primacy of the rulings of the faqih in essential matters of state, without risking direct engagement in the political process. In this framework, democracy is not an end in itself but a process by which the scaffolding of an Islamic state can be established. Eventually, this state will have to acknowledge the involvement of the Marji’iyya in all critical matters, even though it would not formally enshrine this role in its constitutional make-up.”
Posted by: slothrop | Jun 22 2007 17:21 utc | 32
Think Tank floats Gladio-like Black Op Scenarios for Turkey
The think tank entertaining strategy of tension and other ideas for plausibly deniable black ops would be the Hudson Institute.
And we know that Gladio structures operated (operate) in Turkey as well.
Terrifying scenarios discussed at US think tank
A Washington-based think tank is reported to have had participants at a closed-door meeting, including Turkish military officials and civilian experts, discuss various crisis scenarios for Turkey in a brainstorming session.
Assassination of the recently retired chief of Turkey’s Constitutional Court, Tülay Tuğcu; a plot where 50 people would lose their lives in a terrorist act claimed by the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in İstanbul’s Beyoğlu district; and a cross-border operation by the Turkish military into Iraq were among the possible scenarios discussed at the Hudson Institute, known for its anti-Islam discourse and neocon stance, both favored at the time of the US invasion of Iraq. Sources close to the think tank said that a significant number of the participants from the US objected to the scenarios floated during the session, asserting that they were too “unrealistic,” and refrained from making comments on the possibilities mentioned. (…)
More details revealed on scandalous meeting
A workshop organized on Turkey by a Washington-based think tank last week turned out to have an invitation text for participants that was no less scandalous than the meeting itself.
While the workshop included discussions on strange and terrifying scenarios in Turkey as part of a brainstorming exercise, the invitation text listed terrorist attacks and assassinations as possible Turkish case scenarios to inform the participants about the exact topics beforehand.
(…)
Sources confirm that various Turkish military officials and civilian experts, the Hudson Institute’s Turkey expert Zeyno Baran, Iraqi President Jalal Talabani’s son Kubat Talabani, as well as Brig. Gen. Suha Tanyeri and military attaché Brig. Gen. Bertan Nogaylaroğlu participated in the meeting.
The text of the scenario briefly envisions chaotic days for Turkey beginning with a suicide bomber killing 50 people, including tourists, on the pedestrian Beyoğlu Street in İstanbul. … Beneath this scenario, the invitation text lists brainstorming questions such as: “How would the military operation change if it turns out that the two attacks were not the work of the PKK, but al-Qaeda?”
Scenario: Into northern Iraq
June 18: A suicide bomber crashes his explosives-laden pick-up truck into the police station in Beyoğlu, a crowded shopping and cultural district of Istanbul frequently visited by tourists. The resulting detonation collapses the front of the police station and severely damages several nearby buildings. The attack claims the lives of at least 50 police officers, shoppers and tourists, while critically wounding over 200. Within hours, rumors spread that the PKK was behind the horrific attack, although no organization has yet claimed responsibility.
June 19: Interior ministry officials announce that the attacker was trained at a PKK camp in northern Iraq. The Turkish General Staff concurs with the interior ministry’s findings. General Büyükanıt warns that PKK terrorists will continue their attacks in major cities as long as the Turkish-Iraqi border is left unprotected and the command and control structure of the terrorist organization is still intact. He maintains that the border can only be protected from both sides, and therefore, a military incursion should be enacted immediately. The US State Department releases a statement urging Turkish authorities to remain calm despite the severity of the attack.
June 23: Iranian officials announce that an Iranian truck convoy carrying ammunition to Damascus has been attacked by PKK operatives in Iran. They claim that the Americans instructed the PKK to attack the train in order to stop the supplies from reaching Syria. Iran, angered by this attack, offers to provide logistic and military support for any Turkish operation against the PKK in northern Iraq.
June 24: Another suicide attack occurs outside the Constitutional Court in Ankara. This attack is timed so as to coincide with the departure of President of the Court Tülay Tuğcu. She is mortally wounded and dies later that day at a nearby hospital. Investigators confirm that the explosives used in this attack were the same kind as those used in the Beyoğlu bombing.
June 25: Dual statements from the interior ministry and the General Staff point to the PKK’s involvement in the attack. Millions of Turks take to the streets in Ankara, Istanbul, Samsun and Izmir to denounce this violence and call for the military to deal the PKK a mortal blow.
June 25-28: In an effort to acquire political capital in the pre-election period by appealing to the ultranationalists, Prime Minister Erdoğan successfully lobbies Parliament and acquires authorization for a cross-border operation. The General Staff identifies the following objectives for such an operation: 1) to undertake precision assaults against designated regions; and 2) to halt the flow of weapons and militants into Turkey.
June 29: At dawn, 50,000 Turkish troops cross into Iraq, establishing several checkpoints along the Iraqi side of the border and engaging in minor skirmishes with PKK fighters. The Iraqi government strongly condemns the actions of the Turkish military, demanding that it leave immediately. The US State Department’s response to the incursion is similar, asserting that Turkey’s actions will only serve “to destabilize the region and could very well end up decreasing Turkish security in the long run.” However, late in the afternoon, the White House releases a statement saying that Turkey has “the right to defend itself against terrorism, just as all sovereign countries do.”
June 30: Massoud Barzani denounces the Turkish “invasion,” and vows that the Peshmerga will defend Iraqi Kurdistan.
Key questions for discussion
Are the responses of the various actors (White House, State Department, etc.) to the Turkish operation realistic?
How would Iraq’s neighbors respond? How would Israel respond? How would the Arab League respond?
How would the EU respond? Would this effectively spell the end of Turkey’s accession talks?
How would Russia respond? Would it seek to exacerbate tensions between the US and Turkey? How?
Given the treacherous terrain and difficulties of guerilla warfare, can the Turkish army conduct a successful operation against the PKK camps located in northern Iraq?
What would be the consequences of a clash between a small band of Peshmerga and Turkish Special Forces, resulting in multiple casualties from each side?
Would the Turkish Armed Forces welcome the Iranian proposal to conduct a joint operation against the PKK in northern Iraq? How would this cooperation impact US-Turkish relations? How would it affect NATO solidarity?
How would Baghdad react to this operation? Would it throw its full support behind Barzani and the Kurds? Or would it side with Turkey?
Would the US Congress move to threaten sanctions against Turkey, as it did during the Turkish invasion of Cyprus in 1974?
How would new evidence that the June 24 bombing of the Constitutional Court was actually perpetrated by al-Qaeda affect the Turkish campaign?
Potential Wildcards
A new set of clues indicates that the suicide terrorist who attacked the police station in Beyoğlu was trained by Hezbollah in a Syrian camp.
In a raid near Kandil Mountain, Turkish security forces confiscate two-year-old MOSSAD training manuals and videos showing Israeli agents side by side with the PKK militants.
A Peshmerga unit on patrol in northern Iraq panics and attacks a group of Turkish Special Forces. After the battle, it is revealed that one of the gunned-down Peshmerga is, in fact, an American soldier who was training the Kurdish militia. This soldier, however, was not authorized to be on patrol with the Peshmerga.
The toolbox is deep and old.
Oh, there’s more…
….In the nineteenth century, the great headquarters of international terrorism was London. The defense of the empire required operations which the public decorum of the Victorian era could not openly avow. The main vehicle for British terrorist operations in Europe was Giuseppe Mazzini and his phalanx of organizations starting from Young Italy: Young Germany, Young France, Young Poland, Young Turkey, Young America. Mazzini was a paid agent of the British Admiralty, and received his funding through Admiralty official James Stansfeld. Mazzini’s terrorism was directed against what the British called “the arbitrary powers”: Prussia, Russia, and Austria. Each of these had a large population of oppressed nationalities, and Mazzini created a terrorist group for each one of them, often promising the same territory to two or more of his national sections. The important thing was that rulers and officials be assassinated, and bombs thrown. The net effect of all this can be gauged by the complaint of an Austrian about Mazzini’s operations in Italy: Mazzini aimed at making Italy turbulent, he lamented, which was bad for Austria, but without making Italy strong, which might be bad for the British. Mazzini operated out of London during his entire career, which simply means that he was officially sanctioned, as were anarchists like Bakunin and a whole tribe of nihilists. Mazzini worked well for Europe – including the Ottoman Empire, and the Americas. For other parts of the world, the Admiralty had specialized operations.
State-sponsored terrorism can have a number of goals. One of these is to eliminate a politician, business leader. Back around 1500, Niccolò Machiavelli included a long chapter on conspiracies in his masterwork, The Discourses. For Machiavelli, a conspiracy meant an operation designed to assassinate the ruler of a state, and to take his place by seizing power. Modern terrorism is more subtle: by eliminating a leading politician, it seeks to change the policy direction of the government that politician was leading. The paradox here is that a faction or network penetrating the state sometimes undertakes the elimination of the head of state or head of government, and often a very eminent and beloved one.
A good example is the French Fifth Republic under President Charles de Gaulle. De Gaulle would not accept the demand of the US and UK to dictate policy to France as a member of the Atlantic Alliance. De Gaulle took France out of the NATO supernational command, ejected the NATO headquarters from its home near Paris, condemned the Vietnam war, refused the British entry into the European Economic Community, challenged the US to pay its foreign obligations in gold rather than paper dollars, called for a free Quebec, and otherwise demonstrated creative independence from the Anglo-Americans. The result was a series of approximately 30 assassination attempts, carried out by French right-wing extremists. but with the Anglo-American secret services lurking in the background. None of the attempts to assassinate De Gaulle was successful.
Another example was Enrico Mattei, the head of the Italian state oil company ENI. Mattei challenged the hegemony of the US-UK seven sisters oil cartel. He offered Arab oil producers a 50-50 split of the profits, far more than the Anglo-Americans were offering, and he was willing to help the Arabs with their own economic development. Mattei was growing powerful enough to challenge the subordination of Italy to the US-UK domination of NATO when his private jet crashed near Milan in October 1962, an event which can be attributed to sabotage on the part of the CIA and its alliances, among them some of the French Algerians who were also the enemies of de Gaulle. After Mattei’s death, ENI began to abide by the rules of the Anglo-American oil cartel….
And when one looks at Col. Ralph Peter’s redrawn, redivided map of the middle east and reads a little from oddly prescient imperial apologists like Robert Kaplan, one realizes that Turkey is in for some shit. It is one of the Key, not key, strategic hinges in the world right now – perhaps even more than Italy was during the cold war.
Jim Lobe wrote an article looking at the neoconservative agenda regarding Turkey:
Perle Prefers Military Intervention to Islamic Party Election Sweep in Turkey.
Earlier this year Prime Minister Erdogan talked about the “Deep State”. I wonder if he is feeling pressure.
Posted by: Anonymous | Jun 24 2007 13:33 utc | 60
“Similar to what is described here in political terms, it seems the regime at the time meshed with the informal economy to sidestep the sanctions…”
this seems to have been standard operating procedure. very early on, saddam used privatization in industry and agriculture to beef up his patronage system, a system saddam certainly did not invent:
The Iraqi state itself was thus becoming not simply the arena of significant political action, but also an array of procedures, attitudes and practices. These grew out of the actions and visions of those who were able, for a variety of reasons, to wield significant power over the greater part of the Iraqi population and constituted the field of distinctively Iraqi politics. Although contested by those who felt excluded or disadvantaged by this regime of power, it nevertheless had come to represent an increasingly well-defined set of preoccupations, articulated by the people who had succeeded in mastering it. Regardless of personal or factional differences, or even of significant ideological divergence, certain features were becoming apparent.
Principally, these comprised the importance of personal trust, the determination to preserve inequality, whether materially or status-based, and the prominence of the disciplinary impulse, expressed primarily through the use of coercion. These features made any construction of an Iraqi identity ambiguous, since it was obvious that any such identity would be determined largely by individuals who had an overdeveloped sense of Iraq as an apparatus of power and an underdeveloped sense of Iraq as a community.
…
Selective patronage was a principle applied to the population as a whole insofar as the economic policies of the new regime were concerned. In its handling of agricultural policy and of business enterprise, and in the general direction of the Iraqi economy, Hasan al-Baler’s government made much use of radical socialist rhetoric, but in fact made sure that all economic directives were geared primarily to enhancing the control of Hasan al-Baler and his associates. This meant that the chief economic policies of the regime took two main forms. One was largely populist in nature. It took shape in early 1969 in the cancellation of all compensation for sequestered lands. At a stroke, this relieved the beneficiaries of land redistribution of the financial burden which compensation had implied. It also removed a major item of government expenditure. In addition, subsidies of basic commodities were introduced, as were limited social and welfare services and tax relief. These were not to be fully developed until significant resources became available after the massive increase in oil income of the mid-Ig7os, but they gave the impression of a government concerned about the economic well-being of the people as a whole.
Investment in agriculture was increased and in May 1970 more complex land reform measures were introduced. These attempted to rectify some of the adverse results of previous land reform acts, for instance by paying more attention to the relationship between the type of land (and irrigation system) and the limits of permitted landholding. Co-operatives were established and cultivators were obliged to join them to benefit from the subsidised seed, fertiliser and other benefits through which the government tried to channel investment into agriculture. At the same time a number of collective farms were set up to placate the leftist members of the party whom Hasan al-Baler and Saddam Husain thought worth courting at the time. However, the numbers involved were never very large and the collectivisation experiment in Iraq was more a result of the symbolic politics being conducted at the senior levels of the regime than a policy adopted out of ideological conviction. The other measures introduced at the time, although they brought immediate benefits for a substantial number of landholding peasants, failed to check the relative decline of Iraqi agriculture. Productivity levels continued to decline and, when faced by the population growth of the previous years, the government resorted to [2o6] the policy of importing increasing quantities of food. By the early 1970s, Iraq was a net importer of food grains and its food import bill had been subject to a twelvefold increase since the early 1g6os.
The provision of subsidised food and removal of financial burdens from the peasantry, although costly, were populist in intent and generally popular in effect. However, they also corresponded to the patrimonial system of Hasan al-Bakr and his circle. The goal was to create a basis of dependent support through selective use of the economic powers now vested in the leading members of the regime. This found various forms of expression. The confiscation of the property of political opponents and, on a much larger scale, the continuing sequestration of landholdings opened up great opportunities for the leading members of the regime to bestow favours on some, as well as to demonstrate to others the cost of disfavour. The slow pace of land distribution was marginally eased by the elimination of compensation, but the state remained the single largest landowner, having at its disposal both sequestered lands and lands brought under cultivation through new irrigation schemes. Consequently, whether through land redistribution or through the leasing of sequestered lands, those who now controlled the state had vast powers of patronage at their disposal. Nor was such a patronage system limited simply to the title to land: the co-operatives provided a useful form of social control through their regulation of crops, supply of fertiliser and marketing mechanisms.
As under all previous regimes, the government of Hasan al-Bakr ensured that land distribution and the role of the state as prime landlord benefited those in power. In some cases, this led to the acquisition of land by individuals close to the political leadership on a scale not seen since the notorious land appropriations by the political elite under the monarchy. Equally useful, as far as the power brokers of Baghdad were concerned, was the distribution of leases to chosen followers and the enlargement of client networks through access to landholdings ultimately controlled by the government. This generally meant favouring those who already held land. In the mid-1970s roughly one-third of the agricultural land in Iraq was still owned by a mere 3 per cent of the landowners – a group which was now deeply enmeshed in networks of government patronage and thus dependent upon those who allowed them to make or to retain their fortunes. This provided Hasan al-Bakr and Saddam Husain with a measure of social control and a bulwark against more radical factions, either from within the party or from outside. By no means convinced Ba’thists, these beneficiaries could [207] nevertheless recognise and appreciate a system of privilege which rewarded them so well.’
This was also the policy pursued in relation to business enterprise. Despite the socialist rhetoric, there were no further nationalisations of businesses and individual entrepreneurs were encouraged to help in building up Iraq’s weak industrial base. In certain fields, such as contracting and construction, this was the period when a number of people laid the foundations – and created the necessary connections – for the large business concerns that were to emerge with the great increase in oil revenues in the mid- 1g7os. At this stage, however, although on a more modest scale, the principles had been established whereby economic policy could be used to cement the hold of the leading members of the regime on the expanding world of entrepreneurial activity. This was achieved primarily through patronage, the terms of which were officially made possible by state policy, but the targeting of which was in the hands of those who could command state power.
The setting up of business enterprises, the awarding of contracts by state organs, the issuing of licences for the importation of goods and raw materials, the control of foreign exchange and the domination of negotiations with the reorganised labour unions were among the many instruments employed by the government to regulate economic activity. They gave to those who held office the means to create their own power bases, directly and indirectly. A structure was thus being created which was geared not simply or even primarily to the general concern of improving the economic condition of the country, but rather to the particular preoccupation of creating networks of complicity and dependence which would reinforce the position of those in power.
…
It has been accompanied during the past decade or so by a general government encouragement of the virtues of what has been portrayed as `Arab’ and `tribal’ culture. This is a construction, no less than any other narrative taken up and developed by the official media of the Iraqi state. It is thus selective and largely instrumental, although, of course, it is presented as the restatement of a `natural’ characteristic of the bulk of the Iraqi population. Yet it is entwined with the particular regime of power that constitutes the state of Iraq under Saddam Husain. This has given a meaning to notions of tribal identity whereby townsmen, several generations removed from the countryside, are now rediscovering their `tribal’ affiliations and identities, or are consciously seeking out a tribal shaikh to ask permission to affiliate to his tribal following, where their own lineage has become obscure. Clearly, such identifications have a purpose and make a certain amount of sense in the world of Iraqi politics, where networks for protection and advancement so markedly affect the life chances of individuals.
The systems of favouritism, of inclusion and exclusion, associated with this process and reproduced in varying fashion across Iraq as a whole, have served Saddam Husain well. Most intimately, and occasionally dramatically, he has used the same system to keep his immediate family in line. As has long been apparent, Saddam Husain’s conception of the state is largely a dynastic one, formed by considerations of lineage which continue to be important markers of identity and status in the communities of rural Iraq from which Saddam Husain and his closest lieutenants come. Transferred to the level of the state, this favours the kin of the ruler. They are drawn into the heart of power and are granted unrivalled access and privileges, the better to serve him. Quite apart from the personal likes and dislikes which mark relationships between any small group of people working together, there are also the factions which form amongst the more closely related kin in an extended family. Since the death of Saddam Husain’s cousin `Adrian Khairallah Tulfah in 1989, the close family has been divided into three identifiable groupings: one consists of Saddam Husain’s three half-brothers on his mother’s side, Barzan, Sib’awi and Wathban; another consists of the al-Majid clan, cousins on his father’s side; in addition, a third element comprises his two sons, `Uday and Qusay, although their ambitions have led them to form separate followings of their own.
Saddam Husain has used these men to cement his power and indeed is dependent on them to some degree since they occupy some of the [267] most important posts in the state security apparatus. However, he has ensured that no single one of them or indeed grouping amongst them should be in a position to challenge him. Nor should any of them assume that they have a right to the favours dispensed by Saddam Husain. On the contrary, they are constantly reminded through reassignment and through the granting of land and of economic concessions, as well as through the withdrawal of the same,drat they are all creatures of the president. It is for Saddam Husain to determine how they can best serve him and the reward they should receive. Inevitably, as in Iraq at large, much energy and skill is devoted to playing one group off against another, favouring now one, now another, but opening to all the possibility of privileged access if they can curry favour with the president.
…
By the end of the 19gos there was a contradiction between the restrictions of sovereignty and trade inherent in the sanctions regime and Iraq’s actual economic situation. Under the gradually expanded terms of the `oil for food’ resolutions Iraq had once again become a major oil exporter. By 2001-2 it was producing an estimated 2.8 million barrels of oil per day, exporting 1.7 million barrels of oil per day under the UN’s `oil for food’ arrangement. This earned Iraq roughly $12 billion in 2001-2. After the removal of a fixed percentage to pay for compensation claims, meet UN expenses and provide the Kurdish Regional Government with 13 per cent of the proceeds, the Iraqi government retained some 50 per cent to spend on imports. It supplemented these revenues by charging purchasers a levy on the oil it exported, as well as by exporting oil semi-covertly outside UN control through Turkey, Iran, Jordan and, after the reopening of the Syrian pipeline in late 2000, through Syria. These operations brought in an estimated additional $2 billion per year.
The economic activity these revenues generated and the widening scope of import possibilities made Iraq once again a hub of regional trade. Although substantial numbers of contracts for imported commodities and equipment had been held up by the UN Sanctions Committee during the years since the implementation of UN SC Resolution 986 (amounting to roughly $4 billion worth byJanuary 2002), over the same period contracts worth about $3o billion had been approved. Companies and countries which had hitherto been wary of re-entering the Iraqi market could not pass up the opportunities and inducements offered by an Iraqi government eager to encourage its
[279] commercial re-integration into the world economic system, Mnual events such as the Baghdad Trade Fair drew ever larger numbers of participants, with some i,6oo companies and 47 countries takingpcrt in November 2001. For ordinary Iraqis, at least those living in themajor urban centres, a wide range of goods was now available on the ra’ket at increasingly affordable prices. For the Iraqi government, thisn’as a political asset in more senses than one. As its revenues increasediihad made a point of encouraging trade deals with neighbouring stale and with three of the permanent members of the UN Security Couucil – Russia, France and China-as a means of giving these countriesAake in their continued access to the Iraqi market.”
The decay of the sanctions regime and its political consequences, visible both in the region and at the UN, underlined a further contradiction. This emerged from a political aim behind the economicsanctions, occasionally voiced in public by US and British government spokesmen. This was the part it was hoped that they would play in undermining Saddam Husain and in hastening a change of regime Yet, paradoxically, the sanctions appeared to be having the opposite ffect. They had strengthened the networks of the repressive patrimonioJstate, both materially and in terms of fostering the kind of beleaguered solidarity which the war with Iran had generated during the 1g8os, Nor had the sanctions prevented the Iraqi government from maintaining a large military establishment which, although much reduced in terms of size and equipment from its peak in 19go, was still formidable domestically. Of greater concern was the possibility that, despite the sanctions, Saddam Husain had restarted Iraq’s programme for the development of weapons of mass destruction, once the UN weapons inspectors departed in 1998.
CHARLES TRIPP, A HISTORY OF IRAQ (2nd ed., 2002). London: CUP.
what those authors in annamissed’s link describe as informal economy was, according to tripp, a crucial component of patronage.
this sad situation could have gone on forever.
Posted by: slothrop | Jun 24 2007 16:50 utc | 63
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